NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 9 (Tuesday, October 22 - Saturday, October 26)

[Udog]

NCAAF

Friday, October 25

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Boise State at BYU: What bettors need to know
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Boise State Broncos at Brigham Young Cougars (-7.5, 61.5)

Two of the hottest teams in the FBS meet up Friday night when the Boise State Broncos visit the Brigham Young Cougars. Boise State is off to a blistering start atop the Mountain West's West Division on the strength of a three-game winning streak. But the Broncos will have their hands full against a BYU squad that has won four consecutive games, including a thrilling 47-46 slugfest against the host Houston Cougars last Saturday.

Few teams in the nation boast the offensive firepower of Boise State, which has overcome a one-sided loss to host Washington in its season opener to average better than 45 points over its last six games. Led by a top-25 rush attack, the Broncos should expect to meet their match as they tangle with a Cougars defense limiting opponents to just over 21 points per game. Defense ruled the day in their last encounter, a 7-6 Boise State win back on Sept. 20, 2012.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE: BYU has held steady as a 7.5-point favorite, with the O/U falling slightly from 62.5 to 61.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures at LaVell Edwards Stadium will be in the low-60s with sunny skies and wind blowing diagonally out of the northeast at 5 mph.

ABOUT BOISE STATE (5-2, 3-1 Mountain West, 4-3 ATS): The Broncos roll into Provo, Utah without starting quarterback Joe Southwick. The senior standout suffered a broken ankle in last week's 34-17 home victory over Nevada, leaving the offense in the hands of backup Grant Hedrick. The junior hasn't played a full game since his senior year of high school but is excited for the opportunity to take the reins, telling the Idaho Statesman: "I've been preparing for this for four years." Hedrick went 18-for-21 for 150 yards and added eight carries for 115 yards and two scores versus Nevada.

ABOUT BYU (5-2, 4-3 ATS): The Cougars find themselves in a difficult position, facing just six days between games and still recovering from last week's four-hour, seven-minute marathon win over Houston. BYU surrendered 483 yards in that one, but head coach Bronco Mendenhall said afterward he was proud of how his team buckled down after allowing 34 first-half points. "(Houston) got four giant plays in the first half," he told the Salt Lake Tribune. "Every one of them was an assignment mistake or an execution mistake ... and then, man, I thought (the defense) played pretty well in the second half."

TRENDS

* Boise State is 25-9 ATS in its last 34 road games.
* BYU is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games against the Mountain West.
* Over is 8-1 in the Broncos' last nine games following an ATS loss.
* Under is 12-3-1 in the Cougars' previous 16 Friday games.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Southwick underwent ankle surgery Monday afternoon, and the Broncos are optimistic he'll be able to return before season's end.

2. Boise State RB Jay Ajayi leads the conference with 12 rushing touchdowns and is second in yards with 766.

3. BYU QB Taysom Hill has thrown eight touchdown passes in his last three games after recording just one passing TD in his first four outings.


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[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9

Saturday's games
Top 13 games

Clemson got whacked at home by Florida State last week, how do they bounce back here, vs Maryland team they've beaten three times in a row by 43-21 average score. Tigers won three of last four visits here, winning by 11-13-4 points. Clemson covered five of last six games as a road fave in ACC play- their last six ACC road wins are by 11+ points- they won first two road games this year by 12-35 points. Maryland is improved but lost 34-10 last week at Wake Forest; they're -6 in turnovers in last two games, after being +4 in first five. ACC home underdogs are 6-4.

Virginia Tech won its last nine games with Duke, going 2-3 vs spread in last five; Blue Devils lost last five visits here by average score of 35-9, going 1-3 vs spread in last four, losing 41-20/44-7 last two. Duke (+2.5) was down 22-0 at Virginia last week, rallied for 35-22 win to get to 5-2; they're 2-0 on road this year, at Memphis/UVa. Hokies won last six in a row after losing opener to Alabama; they've won last three games, giving up 12 ppg, and had last week offr. Tech is 5-2 in its last seven games as a home favorite. ACC home favorites are 9-5 against the spread.

Oregon is 9-2 in last 11 games vs UCLA, winning last four by an average score of 41-20; Bruins lost 49-31/60-13 in last two visits here. Since '05, Oregon is 31-17-2 as home favorite, 2-1 this year and they won 62-34 in game they didn't cover- they've scored 45 points in every game this year and won all seven by 21+ points. UCLA ran ball well vs stiffs but in last two games have total of only 152 yards- they were outgained 419-266 in 24-10 loss at Stanford last week. Oregon ran ball for 291 yards/game in last four vs UCLA. Pac-12 home favorites are 11-5 against the spread.

USC beat Utah last two years 23-14/38-28, covering in last game here on a blocked FG for TD as time expired; Utes are 11-11 as road dogs under Whittingham, 1-1 this year, winning 20-13 (+6.5) at BYU, losing 35-24 (+3.5) last week at Arizona, week after upsetting Stanford at home. SC's offense was awful in 14-10 loss at Notre Dame last week; if WR Lee is unable to go (didn't play in 2nd half last week), Trojans will have seven walk-ons on offensive 2-deep depth chart. USC is 9-5 as home favorites the last 2+ years, 2-2 this year, with one win by more than 7 points.

Kansas State (+2.5) went to Morgantown and beat West Virginia 55-14 LY, outgaining Mountaineers 479-243, but Wildcats are struggling so far this year, losing last three games by 10-4-10 points while allowing 33.0 ppg to Texas/OSU/Baylor. WVU is also down this year, giving up 110 points in last two games; they're 0-3 away from home this year, losing by 9-37-31 points while allowing 42 ppg. Not fond of laying 11 points with team that lost at home to I-AA North Dakota State; K-State is 7-2 in last nine games as a home favorite, but best team they've beaten this year is UL-Lafayette (48-27, -11).

Texas Tech/Oklahoma split last eight meetings; all four Sooner wins were by 10+ points, three of four losses by 7 or less points. Tech lost seven of last eight visits here, winning 41-38 (+11) in last visit here two years ago, their only cover in last four visits to Norman. Red Raiders are 7-0, with wins at SMU/Kansas/WV; they've gained 518+ in each of last four games, but Oklahoma is best defensive team they've faced, allowing 21 or less points in every game but upset loss to Texas (36-20, -12) couple of weeks ago in Dallas. Big X home favorites are 4-4 against the spread.

TCU (+7) beat Texas 20-17 LY, outrushing Longhorns 217-86 with a +3 turnover ratio; Horned Frogs are finding Big X play to be tough, starting 1-3 in league play this year, with only win 27-17 (-24) vs a bad Kansas team. TCU is 5-8 in league play since joining the Big X, after being 30-1 in last four years in Mountain West. Not sure what to think of 4-2 Texas that has had two weeks since uplifting 36-20 win over Oklahoma, a week after they survived 31-30 at Iowa State. Longhorns are 3-0 in Big X with totals of 52-61-56. They lost other road game 40-21 (-7) at BYU.

Northwestern won six of last eight games with Iowa; underdogs won six of the eight games SU. Wildcats won three of last four visits here, are 5-1 vs spread in last six games as a series dog- they had 349 rushing yards in LY's 28-17 (-5) home win over Hawkeyes. 4-3 Iowa is 2-2 at home, with losses to Michigan State/Ohio State last two weeks; Hawkeyes are 3-5 in last eight games as a Big Dozen home favorite. Northwestern lost three in row after a 4-3 start, losing 20-17 as 13-point favorites to Minnesota last week; they scored 6-17 points in last two games, after scoring 30+ in first five games, as their QBs have been banged up.

Nevada won its last eight games vs rival UNLV, covering six; Rebels lost last four visits to Reno by average score of 37-18 (0-4 vs spread), but for first time in four years, Nevada is single digit favorite, sign of progress in UNLV's program (won 4 in row for first time since '84 earlier this year). Wolf Pack allowed 42.3 ppg in last three games, allowing 1,037 yards on ground; they've scored 31+ points in their wins this year, but also lost in OT at San Diego St. 51-44- they scored 20 or less in other three losses. UNLV is 1-1 as road dog; they allowed 117 points in last three games.

Oregon State is 6-1, with only loss to I-AA Eastern Washington, which then lost its next two games; Beavers have best QB you've never seen in senior Mannion- they've scored 44 ppg vs I-A foes and four of their last five games were on road. State lost last three games with Stanford by 4-25-38 points, in series where favorite is 6-3-1 vs spread in last ten tilts. Cardinal lost four of last six visits to Corvallis, but won 38-13 last time they were here. Stanford has had rough games last three weeks, beating Washington by FG, losing at Utah, then beating UCLA 24-10 last week.

Missouri is 7-0 after spanking Florida 36-17 last week (TY 500-151) in freshman backup QB Mauk's first college start; Tigers (+10.5) lost 31-10 at South Carolina LY, outgained 396-255 in first SEC meeting. Mizzou scored 36+ points in every game, but they also allowed 435+ yards in four of last five games. Gamecocks are on road for 4th time in last five weeks; they're 2-2 on road, allowing 23+ points in five of last six games- they completed only 8-22 passes in LW's 23-21 loss at Tennessee. SEC home favorites are 5-8 against the spread so far this season. Carolina is 14-10-1 as road dogs under Spurrier, 0-1 this season.

Nebraska whacked Minnesota 38-14/41-14 last two years, outgaining the Gophers by 264 yards/game; Cornhuskers won first two conference tilts 39-19/44-7 after getting upset at home by UCLA- they're 10-7-1 as road favorites under Pelini, 1-0 this year- this is only their second road game this year (44-7 at Purdue, -13). Minnesota scored 13.3 ppg in 1-2 start in league play; they're still without coach Kill,. who is recovering after a series of seizures. Gophers are 4-6 in last ten games as home underdog, losing to Iowa 23-7 in Big Dozen home opener. Big Dozen home dogs have covered five of seven games this year.

Penn State allowed 84 points in last two games, losing at Indiana in only true road game this year, then beating Michigan in OT. Ohio State is 8-3 in last 11 games against the Lions, with last five wins all by 11+ points, but Penn State did win two of last three visits here. Buckeyes are 3-0 in league play, winning by 7-10-10 points while allowing 24+ points in all three games. OSU covered four of last five tries as a home favorite in Big Dozen games. Penn State covered three of last four games as a Big Dozen road underdog, but failed to cover last two when getting double digits.

[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, October 26

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Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Afternoon action
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Louisville Cardinals at South Florida Bulls (+20, 46.5)

Cardinals QB Teddy Bridgewater has completed 68 percent of his passes during his career – 72 percent this season with 20 touchdown passes and only two interceptions. His top three targets – DeVante Parker, Damian Copeland and Eli Rogers – all have at least 26 receptions and 391 yards while combining for 14 touchdowns.

The Bulls average 258.5 total yards, which ranks 121st out of 123 FBS teams, while their defense has played well much of the season. Linebacker DeDe Lattimore boasts 56 tackles to lead South Florida, which is 22nd in the nation in passing yards against (200) and 33rd in total defense (360.5).

LINE: The Cardinals opened as 20.5 road faves and are now -20. THe total opened at 46.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with clear skies.
TRENDS:

* Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Cardinals are 0-5 ATS in their last five games in October.
* Bulls are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games following a bye week.


Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones (+12.5, 56)

Cowboys QB J.W. Walsh was pulled in favor of Clint Chelf during the 24-10 win over Texas Christian and coach Mike Gundy admitted he won't reveal his starting quarterback until game time. "We won't publicly name one," Gundy said. "We'll let those guys practice and then we'll see how it goes this week."

Iowa State QB Sam B. Richardson has thrown for 1,255 yards with 10 touchdowns and five interceptions this season. Linebacker Jeremiah George made a career-high 18 tackles against Baylor and ranks fifth nationally with 11.5 per game while three Iowa State players are ranked in the top seven nationally in solo tackles - Jacques Washington (third, 7.0) and George and Sam E. Richardson (tied for seventh, 6.5).

LINE: The Cowboys opened as 14-point road faves and are now -12.5. The total is currently 56.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-40s and wind will blow toward the S endzone at 14 mph.
TRENDS:

* Favorite is 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Cowboys are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games.


Nebraska Cornhuskers at Minnesota Golden Gophers (+10.5, 52)

Two open dates over the last four weeks allowed No. 21 Nebraska to get its feet wet in Big Ten Conference play. The inactivity may also have bought the Cornhuskers enough time to get quarterback Taylor Martinez back from injury as they head to Minnesota on Saturday to face the Golden Gophers. Martinez, who has been dealing with turf toe since Nebraska lost to UCLA on Sept. 14, has sat out the last three games as Tommy Armstrong Jr. and Ron Kellogg III have directed the team to three straight victories.

While the Cornhuskers boast the country’s 10th-ranked rushing attack (284.8 yards per game), the Golden Gophers are 28th in rushing offense (210.1) with four players (David Cobb, Mitch Leidner, Philip Nelson and Rodrick Williams) tallying at least one 100-yard game this year – the first time Minnesota has achieved that feat since 1967. However, Tracy Claeys revealed that Leidner – the team’s starting quarterback the past two games – is battling an illness. As a result, it is unclear if Leidner or Nelson, who came on in relief last week, will draw the start against Nebraska.

LINE: The Huskers opened as 10.5-point road faves. The total opened at 52.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-40s and wind will blow across the field at 14 mph.
TRENDS:

* Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Golden Gophers are 1-4 ATS in their last five conference games.
* Under is 10-4 in Golden Gophers last 14 home games.


Connecticut Huskies at Central Florida Knights (-23, 52.5)

Connecticut has been unable to find any kind of rhythm offensively. After head coach Paul Pasqualoni was fired on Sept. 30, interim coach T.J. Weist plugged in freshman quarterback Tim Boyle. In two games, he's led the Huskies to just 26 points - including a 41-16 loss to Cincinnati last week.

The Knights, ranked in the Top 25 for the first time since 2010, are led by efficient quarterback Blake Bortles. His 64.9 percent completion rate and 11-to-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio are large reasons why Central Florida ranks 46th in the nation in passing offense.

LINE: The Knights opened as 22.5-point home faves and are now -23. The total opened at 52.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with wind blowing toward the S endzone at 7 mph.
TRENDS:

* Huskies are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
* Knights are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Under is 11-5 in Knights last 16 home games.


Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Miami Hurricanes (-24.5, 54)

The Demon Deacons seek a third straight win after knocking off North Carolina State and Maryland in consecutive weeks following a 2-3 start. Against the Hurricanes, Wake Forest hopes to improve its presence on the road, where it has disappointed this season.

hings definitely are looking up from all angles for the Hurricanes, who have not been ranked this high since November 13, 2005. Quarterback Stephen Morris has Miami poised for the big play at all times, ranking fifth in the nation with an average of 16.52 yards per completion. Duke Johnson averages a conference-best 7.1 yards per carry, and his 109.2 yards per game trail only Boston College's Andre Williams among ACC rushers.

LINE: Miami opened as a 21-point fave and is now -24.5. The total is currently 54.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with wind blowing across the field at 13 mph.
TRENDS:

* Demon Deacons are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Hurricanes are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games.
* Under is 19-7 in Demon Deacons last 26 games overall.


Vanderbilt Commodores at Texas A&M Aggies (-17.5, 69)

The Commodores have yet to announce whether quarterback Austyn Carta-Samuels, who left Vanderbilt's upset of Georgia in the second quarter with a leg injury, or redshirt freshman Patton Robinette will get the start.

Johnny Manziel is second nationally in total offense (396.4 yards per game) and the Aggies are ranked fifth in the country in passing yards (377.1), third in total offense (588.7) and fourth in scoring (46.9 points). The Texas A&M defense is on the other end of the national rankings, allowing 494.4 yards (ranked 118th out of 123 FBS teams), 226.6 rushing yards (112th) and 33.9 points (104th).

LINE: The Aggies opened -18 and are now -17.5. The total opened 68.5 and is up to 69.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 20 percent chance of rain.
TRENDS:

* Commodores are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
* Over is 6-1 in Aggies last seven games overall.
* Aggies are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games in October.


Eastern Michigan Eagles at Northern Illinois Huskies (-31, 66.5)

Eastern Michigan takes the field for its second game since wide receiver Demarius Reed was found shot to death in an off-campus apartment Oct. 18. The Eagles honored Reed by wearing his No. 2 on their helmets in last week’s 56-28 loss to Ohio.

he Huskies rank fourth nationally in rushing, with Jordan Lynch and Cameron Stingily leading the way for an offense averaging 304.7 yards on the ground. Northern Illinois has scored 30 or more points in six of seven games, and its season low in points is 27.

LINE: The Huskies opened -30 and are now -31. The total is currently 66.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with wind blowing across the field at 14 mph.
TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings.
* Road team is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings.


Clemson Tigers at Maryland Terrapins (+14.5, 60)

Clemson is coming off a humiliating loss against Florida State, but Maryland knows exactly what that feels like. The 10th-ranked Tigers aim to bounce back from their lopsided top-five showdown on Saturday when they visit the Terrapins in ACC action. All eyes will be on Tajh Boyd and Clemson, which was demolished by the Seminoles, 51-14, last weekend in a game that could have potentially propelled the Tigers to the forefront of the national title picture.

The Terps lost two receivers, Stefon Diggs and Deon Long, to broken legs against Wake Forest. That was the last thing Maryland needed, as its passing game - and its offense in general - is struggling, managing a total of 37 points over the last three games.

LINE: The Tigers opened -13 and are now -14.5. The total opened at 60.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with wind blowing across the field at 12 mph.
TRENDS:

* Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
* Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
* Terrapins are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games following a S.U. loss.


North Carolina State Wolfpack at Florida State Seminoles (-32, 58)

The Wolfpack had an extra week to prepare a stout defensive unit that has been holding opponents to 21.2 points per game, and knowing they have beaten Florida State twice in the past three meetings gives them confidence.

No. 3 Florida State is second in the initial BCS rankings and coming off a dominant victory at Clemson, but the Seminoles know they have a lot of work left to do if they want to play for the national championship. The Seminoles, tops in the nation with only four turnovers, boast the No. 3 scoring offense in the FBS (53.2 points per game) and have scored at least 41 in every game.

LINE: The Seminoles opened as 28.5-point home faves and are now -32. The total opened at 58.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies.
TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Wolfpack are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings.
* Over is 6-0 in Seminoles last six games overall.


Duke Blue Devils at Virginia Tech Hokies (-13.5, 47.5)

Duke arrives in Blacksburg with plenty of momentum, winners of three straight including last week's comeback victory at Virginia that featured 35 unanswered points to overcome a 22-0 deficit. Quarterback Anthony Boone moved to 5-0 as a starter with the win over the Cavaliers but fellow signal caller Brandon Connette had a major hand in the decision as well. The junior became the first quarterback in school history with two game-winning, fourth quarter touchdown passes.

Riding a six-game win streak and fresh off a bye week, Virginia Tech looks to stay unbeaten in conference play. The 19th-ranked Hokies appear to be in good position for a run at the ACC championship game, atop the Coastal Division alongside unbeaten Miami, with a November 9th showdown against the Hurricanes drawing ever closer. Against the Blue Devils, Virginia Tech may get a lift with the season debut of cornerback Antone Exum, who missed the first seven games following offseason knee surgery.

LINE: Tech opened as a 13.5-point home fave. The total opened at 47.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with clear skies.
TRENDS:

* Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Under is 7-1-1 in Hokies last nine games overall.
* Blue Devils are 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 games in October.


Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma Sooners (-7, 59)

Texas Tech worked its way to the top of the Big 12 under first-year head coach Kliff Kingsbury on the back of a strong passing attack. The ninth-ranked Red Raiders get their biggest test yet when they visit No. 12 Oklahoma on Saturday. Texas Tech is averaging 416.4 passing yards but has yet to face a defense like the Sooners, who are surrendering the fewest yards in the Big 12.

The Sooners roll the opposite way, leaning on the running game for an average of 227.9 yards while quarterback Blake Bell provides a dual threat under center. Oklahoma has allowed only two teams to go over 200 yards passing, led by Tulsa’s 226-yard effort on Sept. 14.

LINE: The Sooners opened -8 and are now -7. The total is currently 59.
WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for a 49 percent chance of thunderstorms.
TRENDS:

* Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Sooners are 0-4 ATS in their last four conference games.
* Over is 9-2 in Red Raiders last 11 games overall.


Tennessee Volunteers at Alabama Crimson Tide (-28, 51.5)

Tennessee is re-energized under first-year coach Butch Jones and filled with confidence after upsetting South Carolina 23-21 last Saturday. The Volunteers have forced 17 turnovers (12 interceptions, five fumbles) with junior linebacker A.J. Johnson (55 tackles), sophomore strong safety Brian Randolph (46 tackles, three interceptions) and senior defensive end Marlon Walls (4.5 sacks) all enjoying solid campaigns.

Top-ranked Alabama is rolling toward its third consecutive BCS title game appearance and the host Crimson Tide attempt to win their 12th consecutive game and avoid the upset bid of improving Tennessee on Saturday. Alabama sits atop the first BCS standings and is looking for its seventh consecutive victory over the Volunteers.

LINE: The Tide opened as 28-point home faves. The total opened at 51.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with sunny skies.
TRENDS:

* Road team is 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 meetings.
* Volunteers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
* Under is 7-2-1 in Crimson Tide last 10 home games.


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[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, October 26

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Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Evening action
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UCLA Bruins at Oregon Ducks (-23.5, 71.5)

Bruins' sophomore quarterback Brett Hundley (13 touchdowns, six interceptions) had his poorest effort of the season against Stanford, passing for a season-low 192 yards and being intercepted twice. The Bruins were unable to run effectively without leading rusher Jordon James (463 yards), who remains questionable with an ankle injury.

Ducks QB Marcus Mariota has gone 265 attempts without throwing an interception to set a Pac-12 record and senior Josh Huff (627 receiving yards) and sophomore Bralon Addison (543) share the team lead with 32 receptions. Sophomore Byron Marshall (team-best 746 rushing yards) has stepped up in the absence of De'Anthony Thomas and recorded four consecutive 100-yard outings.

LINE: The Ducks opened as 21.5-point faves and are now -23.5. The total opened at 70 and is up to 71.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with clear skies.
TRENDS:

* Over is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings in Oregon.
* Road team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
* Ducks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall.


Baylor Bears at Kansas Jayhawks (+34.5, 66)

Fifth-ranked Baylor could easily look past what is expected to be another blowout victory when it travels to Kansas on Saturday, but quarterback Bryce Petty has other ideas. "It's just about a one game at a time kind of mentality,'' Petty said. "To us it doesn't matter where we play or who we play or when we play. It's always about Baylor."

The Jayhawks decided to burn the redshirt of freshman quarterback Montell Cozart during last week's 34-19 loss to Oklahoma as the 6-2, 180-pound star recruit rushed for eight yards on three carries in two series of action. Cozart will likely see more time against Baylor as Weis - who won three Super Bowls as New England Patriots offensive coordinator - tries to resurrect a unit that is averaging a Big 12-worst 18.3 points and ranked 112th among the 123 FBS teams in the nation.

LINE: The Jayhawks opened as 35.5-point home dogs and are now +34.5. The total opened at 66.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with wind blowing toward the S endzone at 6 mph.
TRENDS:

* Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in Jayhawks last five home games.
* Bears are 17-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.


South Carolina Gamecocks at Missouri Tigers (-2.5, 53.5)

The Gamecocks began the season ranked seventh but have underperformed and are in danger of falling out of the Top 25 if they can't right the ship this week. Backup quarterback Dylan Thompson will get the start in place of Connor Shaw (knee), meaning they're likely to lean on running back Mike Davis, who has recorded six 100-yard rushing games.

The Tigers' first season in the SEC was derailed by injuries, but Missouri didn't miss a beat with redshirt freshman Maty Mauk under center in last week's 36-17 win over Florida. Mauk stepped in for injured senior James Franklin and passed for 295 yards and a touchdown while adding a rushing score to earn SEC Freshman of the Week honors.

LINE: Missouri opened -3 and is now -2.5. The total opened at 52 and is now 53.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with clear skies.
TRENDS:

* Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
* Over is 8-1 in Gamecocks last nine conference games.
* Tigers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.


Furman Paladins at LSU Tigers (-45.5)

The Paladins notched a 27-10 victory over Appalachian State last week thanks to a 98-yard interception return for a touchdown by Gary Wilkins – one of five turnovers forced by the Furman defense. Reese Hannon was efficient for the Paladins, completing 13-of-19 passes for 164 yards and a touchdown, while Hank McCloud contributed 89 yards on 13 rushing attempts.

The Tigers have one of the nation’s top wideout duos, with Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry combining for 95 catches, 1,600 yards and 14 receiving touchdowns through eight games. The Tigers’ air attack has somewhat overshadowed sophomore running back Jeremy Hill, who has rushed for at least 100 yards in four of his last six games, although his 4.0 yards per carry against Ole Miss was his worst mark of the season.

LINE: The Tigers opened as 45.5-point home faves.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-60s.
TRENDS:

* Paladins are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Paladins are 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games.
* Tigers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games following a ATS loss.


Florida Atlantic Owls at Auburn Tigers (-23.5, 51)

Owls coach Carl Pelini was worried about his team keeping fresh during the bye week, so he made sure to have a full-speed scrimmage at a practice. “The most important thing we get out of these days is full-speed work,” Pelini told the Palm Beach Post. “You don't want to go two weeks between playing full speed.”

After last week's win over Texas A&M put Auburn in control of its own destiny in the SEC West, many see the Tigers as potential national-championship contenders. But Auburn coach Gus Malzahn has his team focused on what's ahead, as in this week's game, rather than the big picture. “The only thing we talked about is this week and Florida Atlantic,” Malzahn said at his weekly news conference. “We're not talking about anything else or thinking about anything else. We're going to keep the same approach.”

LINE: The Tigers opened as 25.5-point faves and are now -23.5. The total opened at 51.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with clear skies.
TRENDS:

* Owls are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 road games.
* Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Under is 5-1 in Tigers last six home games.


Penn State Nittany Lions at Ohio State Buckeyes (-14.5, 56.5)

Freshman quarterback Christian Hackenberg has taken the reins of the offense and has the Nittany Lions ranked 26th in the nation in passing (283.7 yards per game), and he'll need to be sharp against an Ohio State defense that doesn't give up much on the ground. It helps that Hackenberg has the Big Ten's top receiver in Allen Robinson, who has 43 receptions for 705 yards and five TDs.

The Buckeyes have been prone to slow starts in their three conference games but have outscored opponents 58-27 in the second half over that span. Ohio State ranks 18th in the nation in total offense (494.6 yards per game) led by quarterback Braxton Miller (831 passing yards, 8 TDs; 335 rushing yards) and has been especially strong on the ground with Carlos Hyde (443 yards, 5 TDs) and Jordan Hall (438 yards, 8 TDs) leading the way.

LINE: The Buckeyes opened as 14-point home faves and are now -14.5. The total opened at 56.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s and wind will blow across the field at 7 mph.
TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Ohio State.
* Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in Buckeyes last five games overall.


Fresno State Bulldogs at San Diego State Aztecs (+7.5, 62)

Bulldgos Davante Adams continues his meteoric rise as one of the nation's top wide receivers. He tied a school record with four touchdown receptions last week and remains the nation’s active career leader in receptions (8.5) and receiving yards per game (106.8). He’ll be up against a San Diego State secondary that allows an average of 280.2 passing yards a game, 15th most in the nation.

The Aztecs have been wildly inconsistent in the fourth quarter over the last month. They blew a nine-point lead with less than three minutes remaining in a loss to Oregon State on Sept. 21, outscored New Mexico State 15-0 in the final quarter of a 10-point win the following week, blew a 21-point lead against Nevada before winning in overtime and then stormed back from a 14-point deficit in their most recent game, a 27-20 victory at Air Force.

LINE: The Bulldogs opened as 8.5-point road faves and are now -7.5. The total opened at 61.5 and is up to 62.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with wind blowing toward the E endzone at 4 mph.
TRENDS:

* Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Aztecs are 5-0 ATS in their last five conference games.
* Over is 6-1 in Bulldogs last seven games following a bye week.


Stanford Cardinal at Oregon State Beavers (+3.5, 56.5)

The Cardinal have excelled under the steady guidance of quarterback Kevin Hogan (62.9 completion rate, 13 touchdowns, five interceptions), who is 11-1 as a starter. Hogan's top target is wide receiver Ty Montgomery (36 catches, 15.7 yards per reception, five TDs) and the junior is also a major threat on special teams as he has returned two kickoffs for scores.

The Beavers, who have played only one home game since Sept. 7, are tied with Missouri for the most interceptions with 14 while cornerback Steven Nelson shares the national lead with five. QB Sean Mannion, who leads the nation in touchdown passes (29) and yards (2,992), faces a defense which is tied for 22nd in the nation with 19 sacks.

LINE: The Beavers opened as 5.5-point home dogs and are now +3.5. The total opened at 55 and is up to 56.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s.
TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Oregon State.
* Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.


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[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, October 26

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Texas Tech at Oklahoma: What bettors need to know
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Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma Sooners (-7, 59)

Texas Tech worked its way to the top of the Big 12 under first-year head coach Kliff Kingsbury on the back of a strong passing attack. The ninth-ranked Red Raiders get their biggest test yet when they visit No. 12 Oklahoma on Saturday. Texas Tech is averaging 416.4 passing yards but has yet to face a defense like the Sooners, who are surrendering the fewest yards in the Big 12.

Kingsbury is putting his faith in a pair of freshmen quarterbacks including Davis Webb, who delivered with 462 yards and two touchdowns in his first career road start at West Virginia last week. Oklahoma is allowing opposing passers a nation-low 149.7 yards but was burned by the big play in its lone loss against Texas. The Red Raiders notched road victories in two of their last three games but struggle running the ball - something they could be forced to go to against the Sooners.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Oklahoma opened as a 8-point favorite and has been bet down to -6.5. The total has moved from 59.5 to 59.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid 60s with a 49 percent chance of thunderstorms and wind blowing SSW at 7 mph.

TEXAS TECH (7-0, 4-0 Big 12, 5-2 ATS): The Red Raiders are second in the nation in passing yards but rank 98th in rushing average and are still waiting for their first 100-yard rusher this season. Kingsbury shifted from one freshman quarterback to another when Baker Mayfield (knee) got hurt, and Webb stepped right up like nothing ever happened with over 400 yards in each of the last two games - wins over Iowa State and West Virginia. Kingsbury is not sure which freshman will get the nod Saturday, depending on Mayfield’s health. “We’ll see how Baker feels and take it from there,” Kingsbury said.

OKLAHOMA (6-1, 3-1, 3-4 ATS): The Sooners roll the opposite way, leaning on the running game for an average of 227.9 yards while quarterback Blake Bell provides a dual threat under center. Oklahoma held the Longhorns under 200 yards passing in the 36-20 loss on Oct. 12, but were burned by passing touchdowns of 59 and 38 yards. The Sooners cleaned up those mistakes in a 34-19 victory at Kansas last week, holding the Jayhawks to a total of 16 passing yards.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Red Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
* Sooners are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The last time Texas Tech visited Oklahoma, on Oct. 22, 2001, the Red Raiders snapped the Sooners’ NCAA-best 39-game home win streak.

2. Texas Tech is looking for its first 8-0 start since beginning the 2008 campaign with 10 consecutive victories.

3. Oklahoma has allowed only two teams to go over 200 yards passing, led by Tulsa’s 226-yard effort on Sept. 14.


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[Udog]

NCAAF

Saturday, October 26

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South Carolina at Missouri: What bettors need to know
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South Carolina Gamecocks at Missouri Tigers (-2.5, 53.5)

Missouri has made a surprising rise to the top of the SEC East but faces one of its biggest challenges yet when the seventh-ranked Tigers host No. 20 South Carolina on Saturday night. Missouri has knocked off division powers Georgia and Florida the past two weeks to establish itself as the front-runner to reach the SEC championship game and checked in at No. 5 in the first BCS standings. "It's obvious that our team has to deal with that distraction," Missouri coach Gary Pinkel told reporters. "They went from two weeks ago not dealing with anything to now being a lot of things out there. The more they look at those things the less focus they will have as a player."

The Gamecocks have gone the other way, falling from lofty preseason expectations with two early losses, including a 23-21 defeat at Tennessee last week that dropped them two games behind the Tigers in the loss column. "It's possible," Spurrier said of his team's SEC East title hopes. "We know we have to win every game from here. We put ourselves in that situation, and we've just got to make the best of it." South Carolina will have its hands full with Missouri, which is the only team besides Oregon to have won each of its games by 15 or more points.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2.

LINE: Missouri opened a 3-point favorite and has come down to -2.5. The total has moved from 53 to 53.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the low 50s with clear skies and winds blowing SW at 2 mph.

ABOUT SOUTH CAROLINA (5-2, 3-2 SEC, 2-5 ATS): The Gamecocks began the season ranked seventh but have underperformed and are in danger of falling out of the Top 25 if they can't right the ship this week. Backup quarterback Dylan Thompson will get the start in place of Connor Shaw (knee), meaning they're likely to lean on running back Mike Davis, who has recorded six 100-yard rushing games. South Carolina ranks 21st in the nation in total defense (342.6 yards per game) but will need a big game from star defensive end Jadeveon Clowney and company against a Missouri offense that averages 513.4 yards and 44.3 points per contest.

ABOUT MISSOURI (7-0, 3-0, 6-0-1 ATS): The Tigers' first season in the SEC was derailed by injuries, but Missouri didn't miss a beat with redshirt freshman Maty Mauk under center in last week's 36-17 win over Florida. Mauk stepped in for injured senior James Franklin and passed for 295 yards and a touchdown while adding a rushing score to earn SEC Freshman of the Week honors. Missouri's defense has been the biggest surprise, though, thanks to an outstanding defensive line led by Michael Sam, who leads the SEC in sacks (9) and tackles for loss (13).

TRENDS:

* Gamecocks are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven conference games.
* Over is 8-1 in Gamecocks' last nine conference games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Missouri has forced a turnover in 37 consecutive games, the longest active streak in the FBS. The Tigers' 14 interceptions are tied for the most in the nation.

2. Thompson is 2-0 as a starter with wins over East Carolina and Clemson. He has completed 53.9 percent of his passes in his career for 1,465 yards and 12 touchdowns with four interceptions.

3. The Tigers have not started 8-0 since going 11-0 in 1960 under legendary coach Dan Devine.


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[Udog]

Where the action is: Saturday's NCAAF line moves

The odds for Week 9 of the college football season have been on the move since hitting the boards last weekend. We talk to oddsmakers about the biggest adjustments to this Saturday’s spreads.

Temple Owls at SMU Mustangs – Open: -11, Move: -14

This spread has jumped as many as three points, to the key number of 14. Temple has only one win on the season and takes on a 2-6 SMU squad with an explosive passing offense.

“Considered sharp action moving the line on SMU, who are by no means a powerhouse,” says Aron Black of Bet365.com tells Covers. “Not a game that will have folk going out of their way to see, but a big mover on the board.”


Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Miami Hurricanes - Open: -21, Move: -22, Move: -24

The Canes opened as big home faves here, and rightly so. Miami has won the last four matchups between these two programs and are 3-1 ATS over that stretch. Respect for sharp action adjusted the line and an influx of public money quickly followed suit.

"We opened Miami -21 and since opening this game, we've been crushed with Miami money," says Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker with CarbonSports.ag. "Public got behind the Hurricanes and once we picked up that this was going to be the kind of game where the sharps and squares are on the same side, we got very aggressive and we're now dealing -24."


Arizona Wildcats at Colorado Buffaloes – Open: +15.5, Move: +13

This Pac-12 matchup has watched the line drop due to injuries on the Arizona side, especially in the Wildcats secondary. Colorado has fallen below a two-TD underdog but action could buyback the Wildcats before kickoff.

“Action so far likes the home team and the points on the earlier lines but it’s coming back on Arizona -13,” says Black. “This line could go back up to -14 or a juiced -13.5.”


Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones - Open: +13.5, Move: +13, Move: +12.5

The Cowboys will be in search of their third-straight victory but the last time they visited Ames, they left on the wrong end of a 37-31 scoreline.

"The first bet we took on this game was on the dog and was from one of our sharper players, so we went to Okie State -13 and eventually to -12.5," Stewart told Covers. "At some point, I do expect more money to show on the favorite and I wouldn't be surprised if we went back to 13."


UCLA Bruins at Oregon Ducks – Open: -21, Move: -23.5

Oregon’s dominance over the Pac-12 is evidenced by this line move, with action on the Ducks bumping the spread off the key number and up as many as 2.5 points.

“This should be the best team that Oregon has played so far, but the line says this is an easy win for the Ducks to pad BCS rankings against a high-ranked team,” says Black. “Action so far has gone with the moves on the Ducks, and surprisingly no one likes the Bruins at +23.5.”


Houston Cougars at Rutgers Scarlet Knights - Open: -7, Move: -6.5

The Cougars have cashed in for their faithful backers by posting an unblemished 6-0 ATS record for the season which is tops in the nation.

" At this point, I could see us going down to 6 or just leaving it 6.5 as we'd like to drive a bit more money on the home favorite," said Stewart.


Stanford Cardinal at Oregon State Beavers – Open: +4.5, Move: +3.5

Bettors know Corvallis is a tough place to play and have taken this line down near a field goal, putting their faith in Beavers’ ninth-ranked offense (44.1 points per game).

“Not the biggest of line moves, but it’s an interesting line given the Beavers’ ability to score with the pass,” says Black. “Action so far is pretty split with about 1.5/1 Cardinal to Beavers ATS, but the opposite clip on the Oregon State moneyline.”


Clemson Tigers at Maryland Terrapins - Open: +14, Move: +17

Clemson was thrashed by Florida State last time out and must rebound against a slumping Maryland program. Books have seen nothing but Clemson money from the word 'go', moving it a full three points.

"We opened Clemson a solid 14-point road favorite and we thought that number would be high enough to attract some action on the dog," says Stewart. "We were wrong and money has poured in on the favorite. I can't see us going any higher than -17 so if you like the dog, play it now because this game either stays at -17 or dips back down to 16.5 or even 16."

[Udog]

College football betting weather report: Saturday's forecasts

Here is a look at some of the notable weather around college football stadiums for Saturday's matchups:

Ball State Cardinals at Akron Zips
Temperatures will be in the mid-40s with cloudy skies and wind blowing across the field at 20 mph.


Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Miami Hurricanes
Wind will blow across the field at 13 mph.


Houston Cougars at Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Wind will blow toward the NE endzone at 11 mph.


Northwestern Wildcats at Iowa Hawkeyes
Wind will blow across the field at 14 mph.


Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones
Wind will blow toward the S endzone at 14 mph.


Nebraska Cornhuskers at Minnesota Golden Gophers
Wind will blow across the field at 13 mph.


Vanderbilt Commodores at Texas A&M Aggies
There is a 20 percent chance of rain at Kyle Field.


Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Virginia Cavaliers
Wind will blow across the field at 11 mph.


Miami (OH) Red Hawks at Ohio Bobcats
Wind will blow across the field at 13 mph.


Toledo Rockets at Bowling Green Falcons
There is a 15 percent chance of rain with wind blowing across the field at 20 mph.


Western Michigan Broncos at Massachusetts Minutemen
Wind will blow across the field at 14 mph.


Temple Owls at SMU Mustangs
There is a 60 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.


Buffalo Bulls at Kent State Golden Flashes
Wind will blow across the field at 20 mph.


Michigan State Spartans at Illinois Fighting Illini
Wind will blow across the field at 15 mph.


Eastern Michigan Eagles at Northern Illinois Huskies
Wind will blow across the field at 17 mph.


Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma Sooners
Forecasts are calling for a 68 percent chance of thunderstorms.


Troy Trojans at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Wind will blow across the field at 12 mph.


Baylor Bears at Kansas Jayhawks
Wind will blow toward the S endzone at 8 mph.


South Alabama Jaguars at Texas State Bobcats
There is a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.


Texas Longhorns at TCU Horned Frogs
There is a 70 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.


Colorado State Rams at Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
There is a 20 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

[Udog]

Essential betting tidbits for Week 9 of college football

We dug up these vital betting tidbits for some of Saturday's college football action that will help you make the right call before kickoff.

- The South Florida Bulls are 4-1 SU (3-2 ATS) in the last four home meetings with the Louisville Cardinals.

- The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings between the Oklahoma State Cowboys and Iowa State Cyclones. The Cyclones are 12.5-point home dogs Saturday.

- The Nebraska Cornhuskers have won 16 straight meetings with the Minnesota Golden Gophers.

- The Houston Cougars are tops in the nation with 6-0-0 ATS. The Cougars are 7-point road dogs at Rutgers Saturday.

- Under bettors will have been targeting the Akron Zips recently. The Under is 13-3 in the Zips last 16 games. Saturday's total against Ball State is 52.5.

- The UConn Huskies are mired in a seven-game losing streak and are 1-6 ATS in that stretch. The Huskies are 23-point road dogs at Central Florida.

- The Under is 7-1 in the previous eight meetings between Northwestern and Iowa. Saturday's total is 52.5.

- Since getting blown out by Clemson, Wake Forest is 2-0 SU and ATS with wins over NC State and Maryland. The Deacons are 24-point road dogs at the Miami Hurricanes Saturday.

- Texas A&M has scored at least 40 points in a school-record and FBS-leading 10 consecutive games.

- Virginia leads the nation in third-down defense, forcing fourth down 73.4 percent of the time. The Cavaliers are 10-point home dogs against Georgia Tech.

- The Under is 6-0 in Navy's last six home games. The Middies host Pitt with a total of 52.

- The Ohio Bobcats have won six of the last seven meetings with Miami (Ohio) and are 5-2 ATS over that stretch. The Bobcats are 25-point home faves Saturday.

- Something goes awry with Toledo coming off a bye week. The Rockets are 0-7 ATS in their previous seven games following a bye. They are 4-point road dogs at Bowling Green Saturday.

- The SMU Mustangs are 14-point faves with Temple in town Saturday. The Mustangs are 0-1 ATS as favorites thus far this year.

- Northern Illinois RB Jordan Lynch leads all active FBS players with 17 100-yard rushing games.

- The dog is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings between Buffalo and Kent State.

- The favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings between Illinois and Michigan State. The Spartans are 9.5-point road faves Saturday.

- Tulsa is 8-0 SU and ATS in the last eight meetings with Tulane. The Golden Hurricane are 3-point road faves this time around.

- Since outscoring its opponents 159-41 during its 4-0 start, Maryland has been outscored 123-37 while going 1-2 over its last three contests. The Clemson Tigers are 16.5-point road faves at Maryland Saturday.

- If the Florida State Seminoles defeat the North Carolina State Wolfpack, it will be the 'Noles first 7-0 start since winning the national title in 1999. The 'Noles are 32-point home faves.

- Oklahoma has allowed only two teams to go over 200 yards passing, led by Tulsa’s 226-yard effort on Sept. 14. The Sooners host Texas Tech, which is averaging 416.4 passing yards.

- The Virginia Tech Hokies lead the all-time series with the Duke Blue Devils 13-7, but have won 12 straight. The Hokies are 13.5-point faves Saturday.

- The Tennessee Volunteers have lost nine consecutive SEC road contests. The Volunteers are at Alabama as 28-point dogs Saturday.

- The top Covers consensus pick on totals is the Under 58.5 in the Boston College at North Carolina matchup (65 percent).

- The Over is 8-1 in the previous nine meetings between Rice and UTEP. Saturday's total is currently 59.

- Special teams will be a factor between West Virginia and Kansas State. The Mountaineers rank third nationally in net punting. Kansas State ranks first in the country with an average of 24.7 yards per punt return.

- The Troy Trojans still lead the nation with a 7-0-0 O/U record. Troy is at Western Kentucky with a total of 62.

- The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings between Notre Dame and Air Force. The Irish are 19.5-point road faves.

- The Under is 4-0 in UTSA's last four conference games. The Roadrunners host UAB with a total of 59.5 Saturday.

- The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall. They are 5.5-point road faves at Florida International.

- The Nevada Wolf Pack are the top Covers consensus pick this week at 73 percent. The Pack are 6.5-point home faves over UNLV.

- Oregon is 4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS in the last four meetings with UCLA at Autzen Stadium. The Ducks are 23.5-point home faves Saturday.

- The Under is 7-3 ATS in Southern Mississippi's last 10 home games. The Golden Eagles are 11.5-point home dogs against North Texas.

- The South Alabama Jaguars are on hot streak against the spread. They are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall and are 2-point road faves at Texas State.

- Baylor has scored 70 or more points four times this season - it accomplished that feat three times in its first 111 years of football.

- The Over is 5-1-1 in San Jose State's last seven conference games. The Spartans host Wyoming with a total of 71.5.

- Missouri has forced a turnover in 37 consecutive games, the longest active streak in the FBS. The Tigers' 14 interceptions are tied for the most in the nation.

- It's homecoming at Ole Miss Saturday. The Rebels have won 14 of their last 16 homecoming games and are 41-point faves against Idaho Saturday evening.

- Auburn is a big 23.5-point home fave with Florida Atlantic in town, but the Owls are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 road games.

- The Texas Longhorns are 20-5 after a bye week under head coach Mack Brown. Texas is a 2.5-point road dog at TCU after its most recent bye week.

- The Over is 10-1 in Penn State's last 11 Big 10 matchups. Saturday's total is 55 as the Nittany Lions travel to Ohio State.

- Arizona’s 56-31 victory last season was just its second in 15 games with the Colorado Buffaloes. The Wildcats are 13-point road faves Saturday evening.

- The San Diego State Aztecs have won their last four home games against Fresno State but are 1-3 ATS in that stretch. The Aztecs are 7.5-point road faves.

- The Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings between Stanford and Oregon State at Reser Stadium. Saturday's total is currently 56 this time around.

- The Cal Golden Bears are the only FBS team to not cover a spread this season. The Bears are 0-7 ATS and are 27.5-point road dogs at Washington.

- The home team is 4-0 ATS in the previous four meetings between Hawaii and Colorado State. Hawaii is a 2.5-point road dog Saturday and are 2-1 ATS in its home games this season.

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9

Saturday's games
Notes on rest of the games......

-- Home side covered 15 of last 18 Georgia Tech-Virginia games; faves are 8-3 vs spread in last 11. ACC home underdogs are 6-4 this year.
-- UConn is 0-6 this year, losing 41-16/41-12 in only road games; dogs are 8-2 vs spread in AAC games, 5-1 on road. UCF isw 5-1, with last three wins all by 7 or less points.
-- Ball State won its last three games vs Akron by 7-17-6 points; they've won last three road games, by 31-21-21 points. MAC home underdogs are 1-11 vs spread this season.
-- Miami lost last three visits to Ohio U, by 7-21-9 points; Red Hawks are 0-4 as road underdogs this year, losing by an average score of 40-11.

-- Buffalo won its last three visits to Kent State by 3-7-4 points; Bulls won last five games, last four by average score of 37-7. Kent lost its last three games, allowing an average of 34.3 ppg.
-- Western Michigan is 0-5 vs spread in last five games, with losses all by 18+ points; Broncos hammered UMass 52-14 (-16.5) in first meeting last year, outgaining Minutemen, 551-218.
-- Houston lost its first game last week, 47-46 at home to BYU; they're +14 in turnovers this year, are 2-0 on road, winning 22-13 at Temple and 59-28 at UTSA. Rutgers gave up 1,019 yards in its last two games.
-- Boston College covered once in its last six games as an ACC road dog; they lost last three games with North Carolina, by 18-21-2 points, with underdogs covering three of last four series games.

-- Pitt split two road games this year, winning 58-55 at Duke, losing at Va Tech 19-9. Panthers held last three foes under 100 yards rushing, ACC non-conference favorites are 14-7 vs spread, 4-1 on road.
-- UAB is 2-4, allowing average of 38.5 ppg; they're 1-2 as road dog this year, losing by 3-3-39-28 points. UTSA lost its last three games, giving up an average of 40 ppg. C-USA home favorites are 2-5 vs spread.
-- Temple is 2-0 as road dog this year, covering in losses at Notre Dame (28-6, +29), Cincinnati (38-20, +21). SMU is 1-4 vs I-A teams, beating Memphis 34-29 in its last game.
-- Arizona had 438 yards rushing in 56-31 (-29) win over Colorado LY; favorites are 5-0 vs spread in Wildcats' games this year. Buffs allowed average of 51.7 ppg in its last three games vs I-A opponents.

-- Robinette starts at QB for Vanderbilt after leading comeback win vs Georgia LW; under Franklin. Vandy is 11-5 vs spread in game following a win. Texas A&M alllowed 33-38-45 points in its last three games.
-- Florida Atlantic is 5-0 as a road dog this season, losing 34-6 (+31) to Miami, best team they've played. 6-1 Auburn is off dramatixc 45-41 win at Texas A&M last week; they have Arkansas/Tennessee on deck.
--Alabama won its last six games vs Tennessee, winning last four here by average score of 24-9; Vols covered seven of last nine here, but lost their two road games this year, 59-14 at Oregon, 31-17 at Florida.
-- Tulsa won/covered its last eight games with Tulane, winning last four here by average score of 39-14. Green Wave is 5-2; their last three home games were decided by a total of eight points.

-- Underdogs covered five of last six Cal-Washington games, as Huskies won last four, with only one of four by more than 8 points. Cal is 0-6 vs spread this year, losing last five games, all by 18+ points.
-- Michigan State won nine of last ten games with Illinois, winning last five visits here, covering last four (average score of last five, 38-14). Big Dozen home underdogs are 2-4 vs spread this season.
-- Miami had big week already, being eligible for bowl this year; they've won last four games vs Wake Forest (3-1 vs spread), with last meeting in '09. Wake is 0-2 as road dog in '13, losing 24-10 at BC, 56-7 at Clemson.
-- Wyoming is 13-4 as a road underdog under Christensen, but they lost last three games overall, allowing 41.7 ppg. Home teams are just 3-17 vs spread in Mountain West games, 2-9 when facvored.

-- Faves covered last three Troy-Western Kentucky games; WKU won last two, 31-26/41-18. five of Trojans' six I-A games were decided by 7 or less points, with losing side scoring 31+ in all five of those.
-- This is a sub-par Air Force team; they're 0-6 vs I-A teams, with four losses by 18+ points (2-4 vs spread). Notre Dame is 5-2, but with only one win (Temple 28-6 in opener) by more than seven points.
-- South Alabama is 5-0 vs spread this year, with all five games decided by 7 or less points- their three road games were decided by total of only 10 points. Texas State won two of three I-A home games.
-- Southern Miss is 0-18 since end of '11 season; their two home losses this year are by total of 8 points. North Texas is 5-2 vs spread, but 1-3 SU on road, with only win 28-13 (-3.5) at Louisiana Tech.

-- Louisiana Tech is 1-5 vs I-A teams, losing road games at NC State by 40-14, 13-10 at Kansas. FIU's last two games were decided by total of 4 points, after they lost first four games by average score of 47-6.
-- Favorites covered seven of last eight Oklahoma State-Iowa State tilts; Cowboys lost three of last four visits here, losing 37-31 (-27) in OT last time they were here '11, when they were unbeaten coming in.
-- Underdogs covered four of last five Louisville-South Florida games, as Cardinals won last two, 27-25/34-24, but they've lost four of last five in James Stadium, giving up 41.3 ppg in the four losses .
-- Toledo won its last three games vs Bowling Green by average score of 29-17; underdogs are 4-2-1 vs spread in Rockets' last seven visits here. Falcons is 3-0 at home vs I-A teams, with all three wins by 17+.

-- Rice won six of its last seven games with UTEP, winning last three in Houston by 4-1-8 points; underdogs are 6-2 vs spread in last eight series gamwes. Owls won last four games, three by six or less points.
-- Home side won last two Fresno-San Diego State games; Bulldogs won 52-40 (-7) LY, lost 35-28 (+8) here in '11. Fresno is 6-0 this season, with three wins by 5 or less points- they allowed 37+ in those three wins.
-- Colorado State (-6) beat Hawai'i 42-27 LY, Hawai'i completed only 19 of 46 passes. Rams are 3-4, scoring 34-59-52 in their wins, 27 or less in losses.Mountain West home underdogs are 1-8 against the spread.