Thanks guys. Glad we can bring in some winners. I post on a couple betting forums, but this is by far my favorite.. smart and funny group. 3-4 last week with a few kicks in the nuts that should have won...hope to do better..
2* Carolina -6.5 over St. Louis
Don't look at the Rams win last week and think they are good. They were +4 in TOs and were -200 in yards vs. the Texans. St Louis is still one of the worst teams in the league. They won't be able to score on Carolines very good D (10th vs he run and pass). The Rams are 29th in YPR and 31st in YPPA. I think Carolina is undervalued and after they get a few wins they will be appropriately valued so we need to jump on them now. My calc line is Car -8. I have a very good trend against the Rams (based on their big dog win last week) that is 72-37 ATS. Blowout city!
1* Jax +7.5 over SD (Possible upgrade)
After SD got a big win vs Indy on Monday night it is time to go against them. Diego's D is pitiful. They are 29th in YPR allowed and 28th in YPPA. They have no run game (22nd). Rivers has been playing good this year, but Jacksonvilles only stat that is not terrible is their pass D (13th in YPPA). Jax looked improved with Henne and Blackmon last week. And their strength of schedule is 2nd in the league (vs SD's 21st). I actually think Jax can upset SD and am taking a piece on the money line. I have a 56-28 ATS trend playing on winless dogs (and a couple other factors) that favors Jax.
1* Buff +7.5 over Mia'
play at +7 or more
These two teams are very similar statistically and I am not sure why Mia is -7.5. My calculated line is 5.5. Mia has no run game (26th) and their pass game is mediocre (11th in YPPA). Buffalo is 10th in YPR and shouldn't have a problem running on Mia's mediocre D (17th). Buff's D is average (14h vs the run and 17th vs the pass), but should keep this game competitive. I have a solid 122-71 ATS trend on Buffalo in this spot.
Kind of like NYG and NYJ too...contemplating adding
post at different times on website/forums but think my record is accurate here, but will double check....most accurate record on my website
Like I said, my intention wasn't to bust balls...only know cuz I'm trying to be disciplined for once and follow one guy for an entire NFL season so I've only played the ones you posted on here.
Like I said, my intention wasn't to bust balls...only know cuz I'm trying to be disciplined for once and follow one guy for an entire NFL season so I've only played the ones you posted on here.
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