Announcement

**Udog** · 10-12-2013, 09:41 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

-- When Super Bowl odds for this year were originally posted, the Saints were 15-1; now they’re 9-2. Seattle was 10-1, now they’re 5-1.

– On flip side, Giants were 20-1 to win it; now, they’re 1,000-1.

– According to gambling guys on espn.com, the spread should change 10 points if Aaron Rodgers were to miss a game and be replaced by his backup, Seneca Wallace. That’s the biggest number of any NFL player.

– Next in line on that list are four QB’s, at nine points each: Brady, Brees and both Manning brothers.

– Steelers’ season over/under win total was 9; on October 12, they’re 0-4 and their chance of getting to 10 wins is 0.12%. Oy.

– Since 2003, NFL underdogs getting 20% or less of the action are 94-70 (57.3%) against the spread.

*****

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random Saturday stuff......

13) OK go get a map, or just go to Mapquest.

Find the Atlantic Ocean, then find the state of Indiana, then find the town of South Bend in Indiana. Put your finger on South Bend, then look at the Atlantic Ocean again, and then explain to me how the hell Notre Dame is playing basketball in the Atlantic Coast Conference.

Not football, just basketball, though they do have to play five football games a year vs ACC teams, but while they don’t have to share NBC’s football money with the rest of the league, they do share in the league’s basketball money. What a country.

12) A minor league hockey team in Bakersfield is giving away a funeral plot for two as part of a promotion; you laugh, but its worth $5,000 and its something everyone will need at some point.

Why is there a hockey team in Bakersfield? They’re in the same league as a team in Las Vegas, so you tell me. I’ve seen the team in Vegas play; minor league hockey is always good stuff.

11) Sam Cassell Jr committed to play basketball for UConn next year; he is playing at Chipola JC in Florida now, while his dad is an assistant for the Washington Wizards- he coached the Wiz’ team in the Las Vegas Summer League.

10) Speaking of Las Vegas, UNLV hasn’t won four football games in a row since 1984, but they will if they beat Hawai’I tonight and they’re a 9.5-point favorite.

9) I don’t see how any commissioner of any sport should be in the Hall of Fame for that sport, unless they were a founder, with one possible exception being Pete Rozelle, who brought the NFL into the television age and helped turned it into the money-making machine it is today.

Paul Tagliabue? No freakin’ way. Think Hall of Fames should be reserved for players/coaches/GMs, people who win/lose games.

8) Someone told me this week that USA Today is $2 a copy now; do people really still buy newspapers? Why? I can see people buying the local paper because they’ve got coupons for shopping that help save money, but $2 a day for a national paper? I don’t get it.

7) When you see NBA teams playing preseason games in the Phillipines, you realize their preseason is as much about marketing their product than it is about getting ready to play a season. Sending Jeremy Lin’s team over to Asia is making the Rockets/NBA a lot of money.

6) Why can’t the NFL go to 14 playoff teams next year instead of 2015? Giving out only one bye per conference is going to change how December games are played in the league.

5) When Giants lost 27-21 in Chicago Thursday, they avoided becoming the first NFL team ever to allow 30+ points in each of their first six games.

4) Eli Manning has thrown eight 4th-quarter INTs this season; no one else has thrown more than three.

3) Its amazing the amount of people I talk to who have no idea when Columbus Day is; I told someone I had Monday off from work and they’re like, “Why??” Um, the guy who discovered America? Remember him?

2) Since 2003, NFL underdogs of 14+ points are 43-36-3 against spread. Since 1976, dogs of 20+ points are 7-1, with only loss when the expansion Buccaneers lost 42-0 at Pittsburgh when the Steelers were an NFL power.

1) There is an ongoing struggle in sports management between old-school types who run things “by feel” and mostly younger people who like to use numbers/analytics to explain/analyze things.

At some point, you better have a little of both on your side, because while you need data to make good decisions, there definitely are intangible, immeasureable things that make a team win/lose.

Some Ivy League whiz kid will come up with a formula someday to define what a good teammate is, but its BS, because a lot of what that entails happens off the field, away from the analysts’ eye, in the locker room, on the team plane, in restaurants/hotels.

The value of human intuition and instinct will never disappear from running sports teams or any type of business, and that’s coming from a numbers guy.

**Udog** · 10-12-2013, 09:42 AM

NASCAR betting: Bank of America 500 preview

The Chase for the Championship marches into Charlotte Motor Speedway for the Bank of America 500 Saturday. Here’s a quick look at three drivers to watch when the Sprint Cup takes to the 1.5-mile quad oval track:

Favorite

Matt Kenseth (+400)

The current points leader is sliding back a bit after back-to-back wins in September. Kenseth followed a seventh-place showing at Dover with an 11th-place finish at Kansas last weekend. The No. 20 car has an average finish of 11.38 at Charlotte and placed 15th there in the Coca-Cola 600 back in May. Kenseth has been dominant on tri-oval tracks, with an average finish of 8.04 over the past three years.

Live underdog

Brad Keselowski (+1,800)

Keselowski may not be among the 13 Chase contenders but there’s no lack of motivation for the No. 2 Ford. He’s in a very vocal battle with Kyle Busch and would love nothing more than to stick it to his rival with a win at Charlotte Saturday. He’s among the best tri-oval drivers in NASCAR and boasts three wins on those intermediate tracks since 2011. With Keselowski outside of the Chase looking in, there is added value in his outright odds.

Long shot

Jamie McMurray (+10,000)

For a guy sitting first among non-Chase contenders, McMurray is sure getting some tasty odds this weekend. He’s been among the best drivers the past six races, posting an average finish of 11th – sixth best in all of the Sprint Cup. McMurray has two Top-5 finishes in his last five races, and while he hasn’t run well at Charlotte for his career, he did win one of the Sprint Cup Showdowns in Concord, NC back in May.

Key stat: Just 14 of the 109 races at Charlotte have been won by the pole sitter (12.8 percent). Jimmie Johnson is the last do it in 2004 and 2009.

Odds to win Bank of America 500:

Matt Kenseth 4-1
Kyle Busch 6-1
Kasey Kahne 7-1
Joey Logano 10-1
Jeff Gordon 10-1
A.J. Allmendinger 100-1
Kevin Harvick 10-1
Kurt Busch 15-1
Carl Edwards 15-1
Brad Keselowski 18-1
Clint Bowyer 18-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 18-1
Martin Truex Jr. 25-1
Denny Hamlin 25-1
Greg Biffle 30-1
Ryan Newman 30-1
Brian Vickers 35-1
Jimmie Johnson 7-2
Juan Montoya 60-1
Jeff Burton 60-1
Paul Menard 80-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 100-1
Marcos Ambrose 100-1
Mark Martin 100-1
Danica Patrick 100-1
Aric Almirola 100-1
Jamie McMurray 100-1
Field (Any Other Driver) 50-1

**Udog** · 10-12-2013, 09:42 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Edmonton at Saskatchewan

The Roughriders look to follow up their 31-17 win over BC last week and build on their 13-6 ATS record in their last 19 games following a SU victory. Saskatchewan is the pick (-9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by 13 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-9 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 12

Game 293-294: Edmonton at Saskatchewan (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 105.827; Saskatchewan 113.375
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 13 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 9 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-9 1/2); Over

MONDAY, OCTOBER 14

Game 295-296: Winnipeg at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 98.064; Montreal 119.148
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 21; 48
Vegas Line: Montreal by 10 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-10 1/2); Under

Game 297-298: Toronto at Hamilton (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 118.728; Hamilton 113.543
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 5; 58
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 16

Saturday, October 12

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (3 - 11) at SASKATCHEWAN (9 - 5) - 10/12/2013, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win over a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-3 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, October 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (2 - 12) at MONTREAL (6 - 8) - 10/14/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.
MONTREAL is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-4 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (9 - 5) at HAMILTON (7 - 7) - 10/14/2013, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-4 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 16

Edmonton (3-11) @ Saskatchewan (9-5)—Eskimos lost their last ten games that weren’t with Winnipeg; they lost 39-18 (+2.5) to Riders in season opener (turned ball over four times (-4) trailed 22-1 at half), then 30-27 (+4) in Week 9, when Saskatchewan gained 487 yards and was +3 in turnovers. Edmonton lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 4-8-16 points. Last four series games went over the total, as did eight of last 11 Eskimo games overall, but four of Riders’ last five stayed under. After leading Toronto 15-1 at half two weeks ago, Edmonton was outscored 80-31 in last three halves; they’re 3-2 as a road dog this year, losing away games by 10-5-3-3, with wins at Hamilton/Winnipeg. Roughriders ended 4-game skid with upset win in Vancouver last week; they lost last two home games, are 3-3 as home favorites this year.

Winnipeg (2-12) @ Montreal (6-8)—Teams split meetings in Weeks 1-2; lot of coaches from those two games have been fired since; Bombers are 1-11 since upsetting Alouettes 19-11 (+7) in Week 2—they’re 1-7 vs spread in last eight games, losing last two weeks by combined score of 91-28- they failed to cover last four road games, losing by 23-23-18-27 points. Winnipeg was outscored 57-17 in second half of last three games; they’ve won three of last four games with Alouettes, with four of last five meetings played here staying under the total. Montreal won its last two games, outscoring foes 45-6 in first half; they’re 3-3 as favorites this year, 1-3 at home- they’re 3-4 SU at home, with wins by 5-1-5 points. Underdogs are 7-4 vs spread in last 11 series games. Last three Bomber games and four of last five Montreal home games went over the total.

Toronto (9-5) @ Hamilton (7-7)—TiCats (+3.5) upset Argos 33-19 in Rogers Centre last week, their first series win in last five tries; that snapped Toronto’s 4-game win streak. Argos lost four of last six visits here, with losses by 9-5-15-19 points; they’ve won/covered last six away games, despite being underdog in three of the six-- they trailed last seven games at halftime, getting outscored 37-7 in first half the last two weeks. Argos outscored last five opponents 115-50 in second half. Only team to beat Argos on road this were BC Lions, who won 24-16 (-7) over Toronto back in Week 2. Toronto (-3.5) won 39-34 at home in first meeting this year, in season opener. Hamilton is 6-3 in its last nine games overall after a 1-4 start; they’re 4-3 at home this year, 2-2 as home favorites, with home wins by 5-23-8-2 points. Five of last six series games went over total.

CFL

Week 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, October 12

4:30 PM
EDMONTON vs. SASKATCHEWAN
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Edmonton's last 13 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Saskatchewan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Monday, October 14

1:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 8 games on the road
Winnipeg is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Winnipeg
Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

4:30 PM
TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Hamilton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-12-2013, 09:47 AM

MLB
Dunkel

LA Dodgers at St. Louis
The Dodgers look to bounce back from last night's 3-2 loss and build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 games when the total is set at 6 1/2 or lower. LA is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 12

Game 903-904: LA Dodgers at St. Louis (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.547; St. Louis (Wacha) 15.025
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 6
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130); Over

Game 905-906: Detroit at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 16.873; Boston (Lester) 15.902
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Boston (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+120); Under

MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, October 12

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (95 - 71) at ST LOUIS (100 - 67) - 4:05 PM
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. MICHAEL WACHA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 100-67 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 78-61 (+22.6 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 56-28 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ST LOUIS is 35-20 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
ST LOUIS is 100-67 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 387-266 (+55.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 214-135 (+56.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 95-71 (+7.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 23-11 (+10.2 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 46-37 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA DODGERS are 35-18 (+16.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 69-43 (+17.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA DODGERS are 22-11 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
KERSHAW is 23-5 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 20-24 (-11.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 4-3 (+1.2 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
KERSHAW is 4-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.67 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 6-7 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-6. (-0.7 units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (96 - 71) at BOSTON (100 - 66) - 8:05 PM
ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-3 (+1.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

JON LESTER vs. DETROIT since 1997
LESTER is 2-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.545.
His team's record is 3-4 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MLB

Saturday, October 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

4:07 PM
LA DODGERS vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games

8:07 PM
DETROIT vs. BOSTON
Detroit is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Boston's last 16 games when playing Detroit

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MLB

Saturday, October 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tigers at Red Sox: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox (-138, 7.5)

The Boston Red Sox and Detroit Tigers have storied histories but will be facing each other for the first time in the postseason on Saturday when Game 1 of the American League Championship Series revs up at Fenway Park. Boston is looking to reach the World Series for the first time since 2007 while Detroit is seeking to return for the second consecutive year and third time in eight seasons. The Tigers won the season series 4-3.

The two teams were the highest-scoring squads in the majors – Boston recorded 853 runs, 57 more than Detroit – so the balance of potent bats and strong pitching arms will be intriguing. The health of Miguel Cabrera (groin) continues to be an issue but the Tigers' standout belted a two-run shot – his first homer since Sept. 18 – in the division series finale against Oakland and is 10-for-19 against Red Sox starter Jon Lester. Boston is certainly more rested after clinching its series against Tampa Bay on Tuesday while Detroit wrapped up its set versus Oakland on Thursday night and then traveled across the country.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, Fox

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-50s and wind will blow in from right field at 10 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (15-8, 2.57 ERA) vs. Red Sox LH Jon Lester (15-8, 3.75)

Sanchez led the AL in ERA and allowed only nine regular-season homers but was shaky in his ALDS start against Oakland. He gave up six runs (five earned) and eight hits – including three homers – in 4 1/3 innings. Sanchez's lone career outing against Boston was for the Marlins in 2006 when he yielded seven runs and eight hits in 4 1/3 innings in his second career start.

Lester went 3-0 in five September starts and the strong finish carried over to a victory against Tampa Bay in which he allowed two runs and three hits in 7 2/3 innings. He went 2-0 with a 4.26 ERA versus the Tigers this season – including a victory on Sept. 3 in which he allowed one run and struck out nine in seven innings – to improve to 2-2 with a 4.63 ERA in seven career outings. Lester gave up just one homer over his last 10 regular-season starts before permitting two solo shots in the start against the Rays.

TRENDS:

* Over is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings.
* Tigers are 15-36 in the last 51 meetings in Boston.
* Tigers are 6-0 in their last six games vs. a left-handed starter.
* Red Sox are 12-2 in Lesters last 14 home starts.

WALK-OFFS:

1. The final meeting of the regular-season series resulted in Boston posting a 20-4 victory over the Tigers on Sept. 4.

2. Detroit CF Austin Jackson had a miserable ALDS against Oakland, going 2-for-20 with 13 strikeouts.

3. Red Sox CF Jacoby Ellsbury went 9-for-18 with seven runs scored and four stolen bases in the ALDS while playing through a foot injury.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-12-2013, 09:47 AM

NHL
Dunkel

NY Islanders at Nashville
The Predators look to build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 games versus the Islanders. Nashville is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Predators favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 12

Game 51-52: Boston at Columbus (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.599; Columbus 11.085
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-125); Under

Game 53-54: Edmonton at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.342; Toronto 10.330
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+145); Over

Game 55-56: Philadelphia at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.754; Detroit 10.812
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+150); Under

Game 57-58: Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 13.226; Tampa Bay 11.720
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-130); Over

Game 59-60: Colorado at Washington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 12.422; Washington 10.657
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+115); Under

Game 61-62: Buffalo at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 10.573; Chicago 12.084
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-240); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-240); Over

Game 63-64: NY Rangers at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 12.343; St. Louis 11.287
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 65-66: NY Islanders at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 10.356; Nashville 11.864
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-120); Under

Game 67-68: Dallas at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.286; Minnesota 12.623
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-145); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-145); Under

Game 69-70: Montreal at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 12.329; Vancouver 11.084
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+115); Under

Game 71-72: Ottawa at San Jose (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.256; San Jose 13.178
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-180); Over

**Udog** · 10-12-2013, 09:48 AM

NHL

Saturday, October 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2:00 PM
BOSTON vs. COLUMBUS
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Columbus
Columbus is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Columbus's last 13 games at home

7:00 PM
COLORADO vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games at home
Washington is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home

7:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. TORONTO
Edmonton is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Edmonton is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 8-15-1 SU in its last 24 games ,when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

7:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. TAMPA BAY
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. CHICAGO
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
Chicago is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games at home

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. MINNESOTA
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 15 games when playing at home against Dallas
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. NASHVILLE
NY Islanders are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games on the road
NY Islanders are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing Nashville
Nashville is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
Nashville is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games

8:00 PM
NY RANGERS vs. ST. LOUIS
NY Rangers are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road
NY Rangers are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
St. Louis is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

10:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. VANCOUVER
Montreal is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Vancouver12-5-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing Montreal

10:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. SAN JOSE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing San Jose
Ottawa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing Ottawa

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-12-2013, 10:56 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, October 12

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) at COLUMBUS (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/12/2013, 2:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 22-9 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 133-117 ATS (+256.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-0-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (1-3-0-0, 2 pts.) at TORONTO (4-1-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/12/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 129-135 ATS (-20.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
TORONTO is 58-75 ATS (-45.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.
TORONTO is 74-82 ATS (-63.3 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
TORONTO is 94-118 ATS (-89.4 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
TORONTO is 145-144 ATS (-74.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-0-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (1-4-0-0, 2 pts.) at DETROIT (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/12/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 1-1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (3-1-0-0, 6 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (3-1-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/12/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 6-1 (+4.8 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 6-1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (4-0-0-0, 8 pts.) at WASHINGTON (1-3-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/12/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 7-2 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 14-5 ATS (+19.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 15-5 ATS (+20.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 117-163 ATS (-64.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 1-0-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (0-4-0-1, 1 pts.) at CHICAGO (2-1-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/12/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 183-137 ATS (+23.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
CHICAGO is 246-278 ATS (-39.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 125-145 ATS (-71.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-0-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY RANGERS (1-3-0-0, 2 pts.) at ST LOUIS (3-0-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/12/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 15-4 ATS (+8.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 14-1 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-0-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY ISLANDERS (2-1-0-1, 5 pts.) at NASHVILLE (1-3-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/12/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 167-111 ATS (+292.4 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 153-138 ATS (+303.0 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 13-3 ATS (+9.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 1-0-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) at MINNESOTA (1-1-0-2, 4 pts.) - 10/12/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 1-13 ATS (+18.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 155-123 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 25-13 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-3 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-3-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MONTREAL (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) at VANCOUVER (3-2-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/12/2013, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 33-57 ATS (+91.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 6-18 ATS (+24.1 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 14-31 ATS (+48.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 1-1 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 1-1-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (1-0-0-2, 4 pts.) at SAN JOSE (4-0-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/12/2013, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 1-0 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 1-0-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-12-2013, 11:17 AM

MLB

Saturday, October 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dodgers at Cardinals: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals (+128)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have their pitching rotation lined up perfectly for the National League Championship Series and will be banking on ace Clayton Kershaw to come up big in Saturday's Game 2 against the host St. Louis Cardinals. Postseason sensation Carlos Beltran drove in all three runs, including an RBI single in the 13th inning, to lift the Cardinals in the series opener. Kershaw lost both starts against St. Louis this season, permitting six runs in 13 frames.

Cardinals rookie Michael Wacha can't match the credentials of Kershaw, but the 22-year-old is coming off perhaps the best back-to-back starts turned in by any pitcher in recent memory. Wacha has surrendered one hit in each of his last two outings and was dominant in a season-saving elimination game against Pittsburgh in the NL Division Series. Dodgers third baseman Juan Uribe has a five-game postseason hitting streak and six RBIs in his last three contests.

TV: 4:07 p.m. ET, TBS

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-70s. Wind will blow out to right field at 7 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (16-9, 1.83 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (4-1, 2.78)

Kershaw was dominant in his first NLCS start, striking out 12 and giving up one run on three hits in seven innings against Atlanta. He came back on three days' rest despite throwing 124 pitches and allowed only two hits on three runs over six frames. Kershaw led the NL with 232 strikeouts, a sparking 1.83 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP, but he is 4-5 with a 3.75 ERA in 12 career starts against the Cardinals.

Wacha carried a no-hitter into the eighth inning in Game 4 in Pittsburgh, only to see it broken up by Pedro Alvarez's solo home run. It was the only hit allowed by Wacha, who tied his season high with his second straight nine-strikeout performance. He did not allow a run in three of five September starts, including a no-hit bid against Washington that was thwarted by an infield single with two out in the ninth.

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-1-1 in Kershaw's last eight starts vs. Cardinals.
* Dodgers are 1-4 in Kershaw's last five road starts vs. Cardinals.
* Cardinals are 8-1 in their last nine games following a win.
* Over is 8-1 in Cardinals last nine playoff games as an underdog.

WALK-OFFS:

1. Beltran has nine RBIs this postseason and 34 in 40 career playoff games.

2. Dodgers CF Andre Ethier returned to the lineup in Game 1, his first start since injuring his left ankle on Sept. 13.

3. Cardinals SS Pete Kozma is 4-for-5 with three doubles and three RBIs against Kershaw.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-12-2013, 12:45 PM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, October 12

Dodgers-Cardinals
Kershaw is 3-0, 1.04 in his last four starts, with 36 strikeouts in 26 IP; his last three starts went over total- he is 0-2, 4.15 against the Cardinals this season.

Wacha's last two starts: 16 IP, two hits, one run, four walks, 16 K's. He took a no-hitter into 7th inning in both games. He's only started nine games and hasn't pitched against the Dodgers.

Dodgers are 4-4 against St Louis this year, with road team winning five of the eight games, and five of eight staying under the total. LA is 3-2 in playoffs but 8-12 in last 20 games overall; four of their last five games went over the total.

Cardinals won 12 of their last 15 games; four of their last six games went over the total. Teams played 13 innings late into night Friday. St Louis won ten of its last eleven home games.

Tigers-Red Sox
Sanchez is 0-2, 5.23 in his last four starts; over is 5-2-1 in his last eight starts. He hasn't pitched against Boston in the last four seasons.

Lester is 4-0, 2.53 in his last six starts, with last three going over total; Boston scored 28 runs in his last four starts. He is 2-0, 4.26 in two starts vs Detroit this season.

Detroit won last two games, scoring 11 runs, after losing seven of previous 10 games; eight of their last ten games stayed under the total. Tigers are 27-23 vs lefthanded starters this season.

Boston scored 26 runs in its 3-1 series win over Tampa Bay; eight of their last nine games went over the total. Red Sox are 3-4 vs Detroit, with the home team 5-2 in those games. Boston won 20-4 last time teams played, September 4.

**Udog** · 10-12-2013, 12:46 PM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, October 12

Early Game

Hot teams
-- Bruins won two of their first three games. Columbus won its last three games, allowing three goals.

Cold teams
--

Series records
-- Bruins won last three games with Columbus: 3-2/2-1/5-3.

Totals
-- All three Boston games stayed under the total.

**Kaptain** · 10-12-2013, 01:54 PM

thanks U Dog....always appreciate your efforts and input

**Udog** · 10-12-2013, 04:22 PM

Originally posted by Kaptain View Post

thanks U Dog....always appreciate your efforts and input

You're sure welcome Kaptain! Here's a little more....

**Udog** · 10-12-2013, 04:23 PM

NHL
Short Sheet

Saturday, October 12

Boston at Columbus, 2:05 ET
Boston: 20-9 OVER after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored
Columbus: 0-10 ATS in home games after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game

Edmonton at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Edmonton: 11-33 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
Toronto: 12-3 OVER off a road win scoring 4 or more goals

Philadelphia at Detroit, 7:05 ET
Philadelphia: 16-1 ATS after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game
Detroit: 10-2 UNDER off a home loss

Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay, 7:05 ET
Pittsburgh: 18-5 ATS off a road loss
Tampa Bay: 25-10 OVER in a home game where where the total is 5.5

Colorado at Washington, 7:05 ET
Colorado: 15-5 ATS in non-conference games
Washington: 11-22 ATS in home games off a home loss against a division rival

Buffalo at Chicago, 8:05 ET
Buffalo: 49-37 ATS in road games after a blowout loss by 3 goals or more
Chicago: 91-52 UNDER in home games in non-conference games

NY Rangers at St Louis, 8:05 ET
NY Rangers: 6-20 ATS after a huge blowout loss by 5 goals or more
St Louis: 14-2 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games

NY Islanders at Nashville, 8:05 ET
NY Islanders: 28-16 OVER after playing a road game
Nashville: 13-3 ATS after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game

Dallas at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
Dallas: 1-13 ATS when playing on back-to-back days
Minnesota: 63-48 ATS off a close home win by 1 goal

Montreal at Vancouver, 10:05 ET
Montreal: 5-16 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games
Vancouver: 16-5 UNDER in home games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days

Ottawa at San Jose, 10:05 ET
Ottawa: 7-1 ATS after allowing 4 goals or more 2 straight games
San Jose: 90-63 UNDER off a road win by 2 goals or more

**Udog** · 10-12-2013, 04:24 PM

MLB
Short Sheet

Saturday, October 12

LA Dodgers at St. Louis, 4:05 ET
LA Dodgers: 22-10 SU revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite
St Louis: 38-43 SU after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games

Detroit at Boston, 8:05 ET
Detroit: 2-10 SU in road games after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less
Boston: 34-18 SU after 3 straight games where they committed no errors

Announcement

Saturday's Trends and Indexes - 10/12 (MLB, CFL, NHL, Misc.)

Saturday's Trends and Indexes - 10/12 (MLB, CFL, NHL, Misc.)

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment