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**Udog** · 10-11-2013, 09:52 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Some NFL trends with Week 6 upon us.........

-- Lions are 3-12-1 vs spread in last 16 road games.

– Seattle is 19-6-1 vs spread in last 26 home games.

– Steelers are 1-8 in last nine tries as a road favorite.

– Chiefs covered twice in last nine games as a favorite.

– Houston is 4-11-2 vs spread in last 17 games vs NFC teams.

– Bengals are 5-2-1 in last eight games as a road favorite.

*****

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Things I'm looking for this weekend

13) Saints-Patriots is the best NFL game this week. How much clutching, grabbing of Saint TEs/RBs will be allowed? New England had zero penalties last week in Cincinnati.

12) Is Oklahoma-Texas Mack Brown’s last stand with the Longhorns? If Brown is gone, would Art Briles leave Baylor to coach a conference rival?

11) In Tampa, we have Nick Foles’ 7th start, Mike Glennon’s 2nd. Foles’ best start came on this field last December. Both Philly wins this year came within the NFC East.

10) Unbeaten Missouri goes between the hedges to play banged-up Georgia, which is off a pair of epic wins over LSU/Tennessee.

9) Matt Cassel starts at QB for the Vikings, but with newly-acquired Josh Freeman looming over his shoulder. Carolina hasn’t allowed a first half TD yet this year, but is only 1-3.

8) Indiana got the Penn State monkey off its back last week, now they try to build on that success when they go to Michigan State. Hoosiers are better, but how much better?

7) Cardinals struggle with lefty pitching, which could be bad news with Kershaw/Ryu facing them in the NLCS.

6) Michigan Wolverines struggled to beat Akron/UConn, now they visit Happy Valley to play a Penn State team that got upset at Indiana last week.

5) The Bronco juggernaut is a 28-point favorite over Jacksonville, which fired Denver DC Del Rio as head coach two years ago. Peyton Manning goes back to Indy next week, doubt he or his teammates look ahead.

4) Northwestern fought Ohio State tooth-and-nail last week but came up short at home; now they’re a 10-point dog at Wisconsin. This week might tell us more about good the Wildcats are than last week did.

3) Raiders have been lousy the last few years, but they’ve still won their last six visits to Arrowhead, where they are Public Enemy #1. 5-0 Chiefs are looking to triple last year’s win total as well as exact some revenge for those six losses.

2) Will Jadeveon Clowney play at Arkansas? Is everything good with the Gamecocks? Not often a coach calls out a player like Spurrier did, but he’s a unique coach.

1) Colts-Chargers Monday night game features Indy coach Chuck Pagano going against his brother John, who is San Diego’s DC. Pretty good QB duel, too.

**Udog** · 10-11-2013, 09:53 AM

NASCAR betting: Bank of America 500 preview

The Chase for the Championship marches into Charlotte Motor Speedway for the Bank of America 500 Saturday. Here’s a quick look at three drivers to watch when the Sprint Cup takes to the 1.5-mile quad oval track:

Favorite

Matt Kenseth (+400)

The current points leader is sliding back a bit after back-to-back wins in September. Kenseth followed a seventh-place showing at Dover with an 11th-place finish at Kansas last weekend. The No. 20 car has an average finish of 11.38 at Charlotte and placed 15th there in the Coca-Cola 600 back in May. Kenseth has been dominant on tri-oval tracks, with an average finish of 8.04 over the past three years.

Live underdog

Brad Keselowski (+1,800)

Keselowski may not be among the 13 Chase contenders but there’s no lack of motivation for the No. 2 Ford. He’s in a very vocal battle with Kyle Busch and would love nothing more than to stick it to his rival with a win at Charlotte Saturday. He’s among the best tri-oval drivers in NASCAR and boasts three wins on those intermediate tracks since 2011. With Keselowski outside of the Chase looking in, there is added value in his outright odds.

Long shot

Jamie McMurray (+10,000)

For a guy sitting first among non-Chase contenders, McMurray is sure getting some tasty odds this weekend. He’s been among the best drivers the past six races, posting an average finish of 11th – sixth best in all of the Sprint Cup. McMurray has two Top-5 finishes in his last five races, and while he hasn’t run well at Charlotte for his career, he did win one of the Sprint Cup Showdowns in Concord, NC back in May.

Key stat: Just 14 of the 109 races at Charlotte have been won by the pole sitter (12.8 percent). Jimmie Johnson is the last do it in 2004 and 2009.

Odds to win Bank of America 500:

Matt Kenseth 4-1
Kyle Busch 6-1
Kasey Kahne 7-1
Joey Logano 10-1
Jeff Gordon 10-1
A.J. Allmendinger 100-1
Kevin Harvick 10-1
Kurt Busch 15-1
Carl Edwards 15-1
Brad Keselowski 18-1
Clint Bowyer 18-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 18-1
Martin Truex Jr. 25-1
Denny Hamlin 25-1
Greg Biffle 30-1
Ryan Newman 30-1
Brian Vickers 35-1
Jimmie Johnson 7-2
Juan Montoya 60-1
Jeff Burton 60-1
Paul Menard 80-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 100-1
Marcos Ambrose 100-1
Mark Martin 100-1
Danica Patrick 100-1
Aric Almirola 100-1
Jamie McMurray 100-1
Field (Any Other Driver) 50-1

**Udog** · 10-11-2013, 09:53 AM

NBA Southwest Division betting preview: Howard the difference?

With Dwight Howard’s move to Houston, the Southwest Division is shaping up to be the NBA’s toughest stable of teams. The Rockets, Spurs, and Grizzlies should all make the postseason and even the Pelicans, projected to finish last in the division, look like they could be respectable.

Dallas Mavericks (2012-13: 41-41 SU, 48-34 ATS)

Odds to Win Division: +1600
Season Win Total: 44.0

Why Bet The Mavericks: They finished .500 last year despite missing Dirk Nowitzki for a good chunk of the schedule. Once Nowitzki returned, they went 18-12 SU (.600) after the All-Star Break, which over an 82-game season would mean 49 wins. That would have been sixth place in the Western Conference. This year, Nowitzki will be healthy from the start.

Why Not To Bet The Mavericks: This was not a good defensive team to begin with and they may actually have gotten worse with the additions of Jose Calderon and Monta Ellis. The West is still loaded and I don't believe the Mavs will be a playoff team. Maybe they are the eighth seed at best.

Season Win Total Pick: Under 44 Wins.

Houston Rockets (2012-13: 45-37 SU, 41-40-1 ATS)

Odds to Win Division: +130
Season Win Total: 54.5

Why Bet The Rockets: Thanks to the addition of Dwight Howard, the Rockets have become the (slight) favorites to win the Southwest Division as they now have two of the best 15 players in the league (James Harden). I am a big fan of GM Daryl Morey, who has built a nice roster that can contend in the stacked Western Conference. We already know the team can score (106 PPG last season), but with Howard and likely sixth man Omar Asik, they will now be a good defensive team as well.

Why Not To Bet The Rockets: I'm going to come out and say it. You are not going to win an NBA championship with Dwight Howard as your best player. When Orlando made the NBA Finals in 2009, Howard was not the main reason why. It remains to be seen how head coach Kevin McHale will manage the minutes. While they'll be better in 2013-14, I'm not convinced that they will improve to the level the oddsmakers are calling for. Howard's poor free-throw shooting will also cost the Rockets ATS wins during the regular season since they'll be favored in most games.

Season Win Total Pick: Under 54.5 wins.

Memphis Grizzlies (2012-13: 56-26 SU, 46-34-2 ATS)

Odds To Win Division: +400
Season Win Total: 49.0

Why Bet The Grizzlies: This remains a very good, under the radar team. They were No. 1 in the league in points allowed (89.3 PPG) last season and made it all the way to the Western Conference Finals, ousting both the Clippers and the undermanned Thunder, needing only 11 games to do so. While they were swept by the Spurs, two of the games went to overtime. They will always be underrated because they don't have a superstar.

Why Not To Bet The Grizzlies: Well, they don't have a superstar and the West is probably tougher this year than last. They did fine last year after trading Rudy Gay, but can they do the same over a full season? Their advancement through the Western Conference playoffs last year was aided by the Clippers being coached by Vinny Del Negro and the Thunder being without Russell Westbrook. Houston and Golden State will both be better this year, resulting in a likely drop in the Conference standings.

Season Win Total Pick: Over 49 wins.

New Orleans Pelicans (2012-13: 27-55 SU, 40-42 ATS)

Odds To Win Division: +2500
Season Win Total: 40.0

Why Bet The Pelicans: While still far from a top-tier contender, the Pelicans figure to be one of the most improved teams in the Conference. They will be one of the better defensive teams in the league thanks to last year's No. 1 overall draft choice, Anthony Davis. They also are much improved in the backcourt with the additions of Jrue Holliday and Tyreke Evans.

Why Not To Bet The Pelicans: They’re stuck in the wrong division. In the Eastern Conference, I would say this would be a playoff team. But in the West, they're not and in the Southwest Division they're buried and probably doomed for last place. A last-place team is unlikely to win 40 games in any division. Last year, the six last place teams averaged just 26.8 wins, none topping 34.

Season Win Total Pick: Under 40 Wins.

San Antonio Spurs (2012-13: 58-24 SU, 39-41-2 ATS)

Odds To Win Division: +140
Season Win Total: 55.5

Why Bet The Spurs: C'mon. We write this team off every year and every year they finish near the top of the Western Conference. They were one Ray Allen missed 3-pointer from winning a fifth NBA title last June and over the last eight non-lockout seasons, they have won: 58, 61, 50, 54, 56, 58, 63 and 59 games. They are the most proven commodity among the top teams in the West, have the least question marks and have the best coach.

Why Not To Bet The Spurs: Eventually, father time has to catch up with this team, right? Maybe I'm wrong and Houston is going to be better and with Memphis still in the mix, this is probably the toughest division in the league.

Season Win Total Pick: Over 55.5 wins.

**Udog** · 10-11-2013, 09:55 AM

CFL
Dunkel

BC at Calgary
The Lions look to bounce back from their 31-17 loss to Saskatchewan last week and build on their 9-3 ATS record in their last 12 games following a SU defeat. BC is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: BC (+7). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 11

Game 291-292: BC at Calgary (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 118.782; Calgary 120.544
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 2; 49
Vegas Line: Calgary by 7; 53
Dunkel Pick: BC (+7); Under

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 12

Game 293-294: Edmonton at Saskatchewan (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 105.827; Saskatchewan 113.375
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 13 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 9 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-9 1/2); Over

MONDAY, OCTOBER 14

Game 295-296: Winnipeg at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 98.064; Montreal 119.148
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 21; 48
Vegas Line: Montreal by 10 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-10 1/2); Under

Game 297-298: Toronto at Hamilton (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 118.728; Hamilton 113.543
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 5; 58
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 16

Friday, October 11

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (9 - 5) at CALGARY (11 - 3) - 10/11/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 46-22 ATS (+21.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 75-52 ATS (+17.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games off a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-3 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-4 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 12

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EDMONTON (3 - 11) at SASKATCHEWAN (9 - 5) - 10/12/2013, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win over a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-3 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, October 14

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WINNIPEG (2 - 12) at MONTREAL (6 - 8) - 10/14/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.
MONTREAL is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-4 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (9 - 5) at HAMILTON (7 - 7) - 10/14/2013, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-4 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 16

British Columbia (9-5) @ Calgary (11-3)—Calgary is on roll, opening two-game lead in west while winning six of last seven games; they’re 4-3 as home favorites this year (6-1 SU), with four of six home wins by 11+ points. Lions had 3-game win streak snapped by Riders last week; they’re 1-3 as underdogs this year, 3-4 SU on road, with losses by 12-26-1-8- they won last two road games. Teams split first two meetings this year; Stampeders (-3.5) won season opener 44-32 at home, running ball for 200 yards in game they led 31-6 at half, then lost 26-22 (+3.5) on road in Week 8, despite +3 turnover ratio (had three INTs). Lions won four of last six visits here, but home teams have won four of last five series games, after losing eight of nine before that. Three of BC’s last four games stayed under the total; three of last four series games went over.

Edmonton (3-11) @ Saskatchewan (9-5)—Eskimos lost their last ten games that weren’t with Winnipeg; they lost 39-18 (+2.5) to Riders in season opener (turned ball over four times (-4) trailed 22-1 at half), then 30-27 (+4) in Week 9, when Saskatchewan gained 487 yards and was +3 in turnovers. Edmonton lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 4-8-16 points. Last four series games went over the total, as did eight of last 11 Eskimo games overall, but four of Riders’ last five stayed under. After leading Toronto 15-1 at half two weeks ago, Edmonton was outscored 80-31 in last three halves; they’re 3-2 as a road dog this year, losing away games by 10-5-3-3, with wins at Hamilton/Winnipeg. Roughriders ended 4-game skid with upset win in Vancouver last week; they lost last two home games, are 3-3 as home favorites this year.

Winnipeg (2-12) @ Montreal (6-8)—Teams split meetings in Weeks 1-2; lot of coaches from those two games have been fired since; Bombers are 1-11 since upsetting Alouettes 19-11 (+7) in Week 2—they’re 1-7 vs spread in last eight games, losing last two weeks by combined score of 91-28- they failed to cover last four road games, losing by 23-23-18-27 points. Winnipeg was outscored 57-17 in second half of last three games; they’ve won three of last four games with Alouettes, with four of last five meetings played here staying under the total. Montreal won its last two games, outscoring foes 45-6 in first half; they’re 3-3 as favorites this year, 1-3 at home- they’re 3-4 SU at home, with wins by 5-1-5 points. Underdogs are 7-4 vs spread in last 11 series games. Last three Bomber games and four of last five Montreal home games went over the total.

Toronto (9-5) @ Hamilton (7-7)—TiCats (+3.5) upset Argos 33-19 in Rogers Centre last week, their first series win in last five tries; that snapped Toronto’s 4-game win streak. Argos lost four of last six visits here, with losses by 9-5-15-19 points; they’ve won/covered last six away games, despite being underdog in three of the six-- they trailed last seven games at halftime, getting outscored 37-7 in first half the last two weeks. Argos outscored last five opponents 115-50 in second half. Only team to beat Argos on road this were BC Lions, who won 24-16 (-7) over Toronto back in Week 2. Toronto (-3.5) won 39-34 at home in first meeting this year, in season opener. Hamilton is 6-3 in its last nine games overall after a 1-4 start; they’re 4-3 at home this year, 2-2 as home favorites, with home wins by 5-23-8-2 points. Five of last six series games went over total.

CFL

Week 16

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Trend Report
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Friday, October 11

9:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. CALGARY
British Columbia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
British Columbia is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Calgary
Calgary is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Calgary's last 11 games at home

Saturday, October 12

4:30 PM
EDMONTON vs. SASKATCHEWAN
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Edmonton's last 13 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Saskatchewan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Monday, October 14

1:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 8 games on the road
Winnipeg is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Montreal is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Winnipeg
Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

4:30 PM
TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Hamilton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

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CFL

Week 16

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Lions at Stampeders: What bettors need to know
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B.C. Lions at Calgary Stampederes (-7, 53)

The BC Lions are struggling to maintain their position in the West Division after suffering a rare home loss, but their confidence in backup quarterback Thomas DeMarco gives them a chance when they visit the division-leading Calgary Stampeders on Friday. DeMarco has shown flashes of injured starter Travis Lulay in the two games since Lulay suffered a separated shoulder, throwing for 286 yards and recording a 21-yard run last week against the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Unfortunately for the Lions, DeMarco also threw three picks in that contest, something he’ll need to control better against a Calgary defense that has 18 interceptions.

The Stampeders have dealt with their share of injuries to key personnel and it has not slowed them at all as veteran quarterback Kevin Glenn can attest. Even though starting pivot Drew Tate was 3-for-4 last week in his first pass attempts since Week 2, Glenn’s strong performance in Tate’s absence (169-for-247 passing with 14 touchdowns to five interceptions) will make him tough to bench. With other important players such as wide receiver Joe West in full health as well, Calgary’s problems are ones most teams would love to have.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, TSN

LINE: Calgary opened as a 7.5-point home favorite and has been bet down to -7. The total is steady at 53.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid 40s (9 degrees) with partly cloudy skies and a 30 percent chance of rain with winds blowing SE at 3 mph.

ABOUT THE LIONS (9-5, 7-7 ATS): BC’s defense averages a league-best 246.7 passing yards allowed and is second in rushing yards allowed per game with 86.6. Linebackers Adam Bighill and Solomon Elimimian play a big part in containing opposing offenses, with Bighill leading the team with with 72 tackles and six sacks, while Elimimian has 53 tackles, two sacks and three interceptions. Veteran quarterback Buck Pierce has seen limited snaps since arriving from the BC Lions, completing 6-of-13 passes as he becomes reacquainted with the team that launched his CFL career.

ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (11-3, 9-5 ATS): West caught eight passes for 120 yards in his first action since injuring his shoulder in Week 4. Running back Jon Cornish was named offensive player of the week and Canadian player of the week after rushing for a season-high 208 yards with two touchdowns against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to overtake Kory Sheets for the league rushing lead. Cornish led the league in rushing last season with a career-high 1,457 yards and is 42 yards away from matching that total with four games remaining.

TRENDS:

* Lions are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 meetings.
* Lions are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games.
* Over is 4-1 in Lions last five road games.
* Over is 9-2 in Stampeders last 11 home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Calgary K Rene Paredes leads the league in kicking points with 166 - four shy of his career-best. Paredes has made 41-of-43 field goal attempts.

2. The Stampeders are tied for the league lead in sacks with 48.

3. BC is 3-4 on the road; Calgary is 6-1 at home.

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**Udog** · 10-11-2013, 10:19 AM

MLB
Dunkel

LA Dodgers at St. Louis
The Dodgers open the NLCS in St. Louis and look to build on their 9-2 record in Zack Greinke's last 11 starts on the road. LA is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 11

Game 901-902: LA Dodgers at St. Louis (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 16.488; St. Louis (Kelly) 15.084
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-120); Over

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, October 11

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LA DODGERS (95 - 71) at ST LOUIS (100 - 67) - 8:35 PM
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 100-67 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 78-61 (+22.6 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 56-28 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ST LOUIS is 11-0 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off this season.
ST LOUIS is 100-67 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 80-43 (+23.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 387-266 (+55.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 214-135 (+56.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 95-71 (+7.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 23-11 (+10.2 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 46-37 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA DODGERS are 69-43 (+17.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA DODGERS are 49-37 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 22-11 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
GREINKE is 22-7 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 15-3 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 22-7 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 17-4 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 53-45 (-8.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 4-3 (+1.2 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
GREINKE is 8-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.263.
His team's record is 8-4 (+4.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-2.5 units)

LANCE LYNN vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LYNN is 2-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, October 11

Dodgers-Cardinals
Greinke is 7-2, 1.60 in his last 12 starts, with ten of last thirteen starts staying under the total; he beat St Louis here 3-2 on August 5, allowing two runs in his 6.1 IP. Dodgers scored a total of four runs in his last three starts.

Kelly is 7-2, 2.81 in his last ten starts, with over 5-1-1 in his last seven; he was 1-1, 3.24 in two starts against the Dodgers this season.

Dodgers are 4-3 against St Louis this year, with road team winning five of the seven games, and four of seven staying under the total. LA beat Atlanta in last series 3-1, with all four games going over total. Kemp is out, Ethier may play for Dodger squad that scored 26 runs against the Braves.

Cardinals won 11 of their last 14 games; four of their five games vs Pittsburgh went over the total.

MLB

Friday, October 11

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Trend Report
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8:37 PM
LA DODGERS vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home

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MLB

Friday, October 11

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Dodgers at Cardinals: What bettors need to know
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Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals (+104, 7)

Two of baseball's storied franchises square off when the St. Louis Cardinals host the Los Angeles Dodgers on Friday night in Game 1 of the National League Championship Series. The Dodgers surged into contention with a ridiculous 42-8 stretch and haven't let up, bludgeoning the Atlanta Braves into submission in four games in the NL Division Series. Los Angeles also has a steller rotation led by likely Cy Young Award winner Clayton Kershaw and Game 1 starter Zack Greinke.

St. Louis advanced to its third straight NLCS - and eighth since 2000 - by outlasting Pittsburgh in five games behind ace Adam Wainwright, who will be unavailable until Game 3 in Los Angeles. The Cardinals can't match the muscle of the Dodgers but they have a deep and balanced lineup that led the NL in runs and doubles. Joe Kelly will start the opener for St. Louis, which won the final two games of the NLDS to improve to 8-1 in playoff elimination games since 2011.

TV: 8:37 p.m. ET, TBS

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid 70s with partly cloudy skies and winds blowing south at 8 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Dodgers RH Zack Greinke (0-1, 3.00 ERA) vs. RH Joe Kelly (0-0, 3.38)

Greinke went 15-4 with a 2.63 ERA in the regular season but lost the Dodgers' only game in the NLDS despite allowing two runs on four hits in six innings. He was 7-2 on the road but his ERA (3.21) was more than a run worst and batting average against (.263 against .207) was substantially higher than at Dodger Stadium. Greinke won at St. Louis on Aug. 5, allowing two runs on eight hits in 6 1/3 innings.

Kelly did not factor in the decision after giving up three runs in 5 1/3 innings of a Game 3 loss in Pittsburgh. Kelly went 10-5 with a 2.69 ERA during the regular season, including 10-2 as a starter after he was inserted into the rotation in early July. The 25-year-old Kelly was outstanding at home with a 5-1 record in eight starts, including 5 1/3 innings of one-run ball against the Dodgers on Aug. 6.

TRENDS:

* Dodgers are 17-35 in the last 52 meetings in St. Louis.
* Cardinals are 36-15 in their last 51 home games.
* Dodgers are 35-16 in their last 51 road games.
* Over is 6-1 in Cardinals' last seven playoff games.

WALK-OFFS:

1. Los Angeles went 4-3 against the Cardinals during the regular season, winning three of four in St. Louis in early August.

2. SS Hanley Ramirez batted .500 and RF Yasiel Puig .471 while Carl Crawford and Juan Uribe combined to hit five homers as the Dodgers set an NL postseason series record with .333 team batting average versus Atlanta.

3. RF Carlos Beltran has been immense in the postseason with career totals of 16 homers and 31 RBIs in 39 games, but the Cardinals need more from 2B Matt Carpenter, who was 1-for-19 in the NLDS after collecting a league-high 199 hits in the regular season.

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**Udog** · 10-11-2013, 10:23 AM

NHL
Dunkel

New Jersey at Calgary
The Devils look to take advantage of a Calgary team that is coming off a 3-2 win over Montreal on Wednesday and is 3-7 in its last 10 games following a victory. New Jersey is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Devils favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 11

Game 1-2: Phoenix at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.303; Philadelphia 10.479
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 3-4: Los Angeles at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.382; Carolina 10.864
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-125); Over

Game 5-6: Pittsburgh at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.650; Florida 9.869
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-180); Over

Game 7-8: NY Islanders at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.966; Chicago 10.871
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-180); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+160); Under

Game 9-10: Dallas at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.863; Winnipeg 10.828
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 11-12: New Jersey at Calgary (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.842; Calgary 10.431
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-115); Over

**Udog** · 10-11-2013, 10:25 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, October 11

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PHOENIX (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (1-3-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/11/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 290-262 ATS (+22.6 Units) first half of the season since 1996.
PHOENIX is 47-32 ATS (+86.4 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1996.
PHOENIX is 191-165 ATS (+24.1 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 59-62 ATS (-51.1 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)
LOS ANGELES (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) at CAROLINA (2-1-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/11/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 5-20 ATS (+35.3 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-0-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (3-0-0-0, 6 pts.) at FLORIDA (1-3-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/11/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 161-121 ATS (+24.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
FLORIDA is 133-153 ATS (+305.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
FLORIDA is 2-12 ATS (+15.2 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 5-2 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 5-2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.3 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (2-0-0-1, 5 pts.) at CHICAGO (1-1-0-1, 3 pts.) - 10/11/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 328-340 ATS (-37.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 48-59 ATS (-33.4 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-0-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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DALLAS (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) at WINNIPEG (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/11/2013, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 1-0-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (0-1-0-3, 3 pts.) at CALGARY (2-0-0-2, 6 pts.) - 10/11/2013, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 60-43 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 1-0-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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**Udog** · 10-11-2013, 10:27 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, October 11

Hot teams
-- Penguins won their first three games, outscoring opponents 12-3.
-- Islanders won two of their first three games.

Cold teams
-- Philly lost three of first four games. Coyotes lost two of their three road games.
-- Carolina split its first four games, scoring nine goals. Kings split their first couple games, with wins in OT/SO.
-- Florida lost its last three games, outscored 16-3.
-- Chicago lost its last two games, both by 3-2 scores.
-- Winnipeg lost its last two games, scoring total of three goals. Dallas split its first couple games, scoring two goals in both games.
-- Flames split their first four games, with losses in OT/SO. New Jersey is 0-4, losing last three games in either OT or SO.

Series records
-- Coyotes are 4-3 in last seven games vs Philly, 2-2 in last four visits here.
-- Home side won last two LA-Carolina games.
-- Penguins won nine of their last eleven games with Florida.
-- Chicago won its last three games against the Islanders.
-- Home side won last two Dallas-Winnipeg games.
-- Home side won last four New Jersey-Calgary games.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Coyote-Flyer games stayed under the total.
-- Three of four Carolina games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Florida-Pittsburgh games.
-- Six of last eight Islander games went over the total.
-- Last two Dallas-Winnipeg games went over the total.
-- Three of first four Calgary games went over the total.

**Udog** · 10-11-2013, 10:30 AM

NHL

Friday, October 11

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Los Angeles is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. PHILADELPHIA
Phoenix is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Florida
Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Florida is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Winnipeg's last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games at home

8:00 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. CHICAGO
NY Islanders are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games
NY Islanders are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
Chicago is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing NY Islanders

9:00 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. CALGARY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 7 games on the road
New Jersey is 2-3-2 SU in its last 7 games ,when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
Calgary is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

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**Udog** · 10-11-2013, 11:28 AM

NHL
Short Sheet

Friday, October 11

Phoenix at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Phoenix: 40-32 SU in road games on Friday nights
Philadelphia: 11-17 SU in home games off a win

LA Kings at Carolina, 7:05 ET
LA Kings: 106-160 SU after a non-conference game
Carolina: 5-20 SU after a division game

Pittsburgh at Florida, 7:35 ET
Pittsburgh: 155-110 SU when playing with 2 days rest
Florida: 2-12 SU on Friday nights

NY Islanders at Chicago, 8:05 ET
NY Islanders: 2-11 SU off an home win scoring 4 or more goals
Chicago: 9-3 SU off a close road loss by 1 goal

Dallas at Winnipeg, 8:05 ET
Dallas: n/a
Winnipeg: n/a

New Jersey at Calgary, 9:05 ET
New Jersey: 30-23 SU in road games
Calgary: 8-13 SU in non-conference games

**Udog** · 10-11-2013, 11:30 AM

MLB
Short Sheet

Friday, October 11

LA Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals, 8:35 ET
LA Dodgers: 18-6 UNDER after a one run win
St Louis Cardinals: ST LOUIS is 11-0 SU in home games when playing with a day off

Announcement

Friday's Trends and Indexes - 10/11 (MLB, CFL, NHL, Misc.)

Friday's Trends and Indexes - 10/11 (MLB, CFL, NHL, Misc.)

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