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NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 6 (Thursday, October 3 - Saturday, October 5)

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  • #16
    NCAAF

    Saturday, October 5


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Afternoon action
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Maryland Terrapins at Florida State Seminoles (-15.5, 56.5)

    The Terrapins are 0-11 at Florida State and just 2-21 overall against the Seminoles, including a 41-14 setback at home last season. But after surrendering at least 40 points in three straight games to close out the 2012 campaign, Maryland remade itself into a defensive powerhouse thanks in part to the play of linebackers Marcus Whitfield and Yannik Cudjoe-Virgil.

    In two games against ACC teams, Florida State QB Jameis Winston totaled 686 yards passing and eight touchdowns with just one interception. The Seminoles had three different receivers go over 90 yards in the win over Boston College and are averaging 239.5 yards on the ground to keep defenses honest.

    LINE: The Noles opened as 15-point faves and have been bet up to 15.5. The total opened at 57 and is down to 56.5.

    WEATHER: There is a 25 percent chance of thunderstorms and wind will blow toward the NW endzone at 6 mph.

    TRENDS:

    * Terrapins are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall.
    * Terrapins are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Florida State.
    * Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last five conference games.


    Louisville Cardinals at Temple Owls (+32, 58)

    Teddy Bridgewater looks to match last season’s performance against Temple when No. 7 Louisville opens its American Athletic Conference campaign by visiting the struggling Owls on Saturday. Bridgewater recorded a career-high five touchdown passes in a 45-17 rout of Temple in 2012 and equaled that effort against Ohio in the 2013 opener.

    The Owls have lost the last three games by a total of 12 points and still kept the scoring against to an average of 26.5 overall despite giving up a lot of yardage. First-year starter Connor Reilly needs to improve his 52.5 completion percentage, but he has five players with at least 10 receptions.

    LINE: The Cards opned as 33-point faves and are now 32. The total has remained at 58.

    WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies.

    TRENDS:

    * Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
    * Owls are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.
    * Over is 7-2-1 in Owls last 10 home games.


    Texas Tech Red Raiders at Kansas Jayhawks (+17, 53.5)

    The Red Raiders are averaging 520 yards of offense and 38.8 points a game while the defense is holding opponents to an average of 13.3 points through four games this season, tied for 10th best in the FBS.

    The Jayhawks open conference play looking to snap a 21-game losing streak in the Big 12. They ended another long skid — 22 losses in a row against FBS opponents — in their previous game, beating Louisiana Tech 13-10 on Sept. 21 on Matthew Wyman's 52-yard field goal as time expired.

    LINE: Tech opened at -16 and is currently -17. The total opened at 54 but is down to 53.5.

    WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s and wind will blow across the field at 13 mph.

    TRENDS:

    * Red Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Kansas.
    * Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
    * Over is 6-1 in Jayhawks last seven games following a bye week.


    Illinois Fighting Illini at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-10, 59.5)

    Offensive coordinator Bill Cubit's unit is performing at a record-setting clip, as the Illini's 161 points are its most ever through four games — and the record through five games is 193 in 1903. Illinois averages 478.5 yards and 40.3 points with quarterback Nathan Scheelhaase (1,162 yards passing, 12 TDs, three INTs) leading the revival.

    The Huskers had a week off after trouncing South Dakota State 59-20 on Sept. 21, but the extra time might not have been enough to nurse quarterback Taylor Martinez back to health. The senior is considered day-to-day with turf toe, but senior Ron Kellogg III and freshman Tommy Armstrong Jr. filled in admirably against the Jackrabbits.

    LINE: The Huskers opened as 10-point home faves. The total opened at 61 and is down to 59.5.

    WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-50s and wind will whip across the field at 20 mph.

    TRENDS:

    * Fighting Illini are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games.
    * Over is 4-1-1 in Cornhuskers last six home games.
    * Cornhuskers are 18-4-2 ATS in their last 24 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.


    Georgia State Panthers at Alabama Crimson Tide (-55, 61)

    Panthers senior wide receiver Albert Wilson is off to a strong start with 22 catches for 457 yards and four touchdowns, and currently leads all active FBS players in yards per catch with a 19.6 career average. Wilson also ranks fourth among active FBS players in all-purpose yards.

    The Crimson Tide, who enter this game on a seven-game win streak, are a combined 26-3 against their final eight opponents in the previous five seasons, including a 63-7 win over Georgia State in 2010.

    LINE: The Tide opened as 55.5-point faves and are now -55. The total opened at 59.5 and is up to 61.

    WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies.

    TRENDS:

    * Crimson Tide are 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. S-Belt.
    * Under is 6-1-1 in Crimson Tide last eight home games.
    * Under is 6-2 in Crimson Tide last eight vs. S-Belt.


    Georgia Bulldogs at Tennessee Volunteers (+10, 64)

    The Bulldogs have played one of the most challenging schedules in the nation thus far - facing three top-10 opponents - but have come through the brutal stretch in good shape. The offense has shined despite the stiff competition, averaging 41.2 points and 554 yards (sixth in the nation), but could be without leading rusher Todd Gurley (ankle).

    Tennessee has won four straight at home, but it had plenty of trouble putting away South Alabama in a 31-24 victory last week. First-year coach Butch Jones accentuated the positive at Monday's media day - focusing on the success of the running game, the discipline in terms of penalties and the defense's penchant for forcing turnovers - but the Volunteers are still looking for a signature win.

    LINE: The Bulldogs opened as 10.5-point road faves but are now -10. The total opened at 63.5 and is up to 64.

    WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies.

    TRENDS:

    * Bulldogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six conference games.
    * Volunteers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.
    * Over is 6-0 in Bulldogs last six games overall.


    Minnesota Golden Gophers at Michigan Wolverines (-19, 50)

    The Golden Gophers opened the season with four nonconference wins before falling to Iowa at home, 23-7, last week in their Big Ten opener. Minnesota, which is just 118th in the FBS in passing at 111.2 yards per game, relies heavily on a rushing attack that averages 231.8 yards per game, 23rd-best in the FBS.

    No. 17 Michigan aims to move past two subpar performances when it hosts Minnesota in its Big Ten opener Saturday. After two impressive wins to open the season, the Wolverines struggled to put away Akron (28-24) and Connecticut (24-21) — a team that has since fired its coach.

    LINE: Michigan opened -21 and is currently -19. The total opened at 50.

    WEATHER: There is a 43 percent chance of thunderstorms.

    TRENDS:

    * Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
    * Golden Gophers are 0-5 ATS in their last five meetings.
    * Over is 9-1-1 in Wolverines last 11 games following a bye week.


    Clemson Tigers at Syracuse Orange (+13.5, 64)

    Tigers QB Tajh Boyd leads an offense that averages 491.8 yards and 43 points, supported by dangerous wide receiver Sammy Watkins. Boyd has thrown nine touchdown passes without an interception in four consecutive wins for the Tigers.

    Syracuse has posted two straight victories going into its first-ever ACC game. The Orange beat standout quarterbacks Geno Smith of West Virginia in 2011 and Louisville’s Teddy Bridgewater last year at the Carrier Dome.

    LINE: Clemson opened as 13.5-point road faves. The total is 64.

    WEATHER: N/A

    TRENDS:

    * Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
    * Orange are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
    * Under is 13-3 in Orange last 16 games following a bye week.


    Northern Illinois Huskes at Kent State Golden Flashes (+9, 62.5)

    No. 23 Northern Illinois takes its high-powered offense and undefeated record on the road once again, traveling to Kent State for its Mid-American Conference opener. The Huskies, coming off a 55-24 rout at Purdue, have a national-best 17 straight wins in conference play, with their last league loss coming in October 2011.

    The Golden Flashes had a bit of their flash back last week when senior running back/receiver Dri Archer played his first full game after being slowed by an ankle injury. Archer's big-play ability showed as he had two plays of over 30 yards, including a 31-yard touchdown reception.

    LINE: Kent State opened as 9.5-point home dogs and are now +9. The total opened at 62.5.

    WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms.

    TRENDS:

    * Huskies are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 conference games.
    * Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
    * Huskies are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six meetings.


    Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Miami Hurricanes (-5.5, 55)

    Sophomore quarterback Vad Lee shined in the Yellow Jackets’ first three games – all victories – but he struggled mightily against the Virginia Tech Hokies, completing just seven passes while throwing two interceptions and losing a fumble. Georgia Tech ranks 10th nationally with 291.3 rushing yards per game.

    Miami pens its conference slate against the Yellow Jackets and brings a six-game winning streak into the matchup. The Hurricanes have breezed through most of their early-season schedule - other than a five-point victory against Florida - and outscored their other three opponents 160-34.

    LINE: The Canes opened as 4.5-point faves and are up to -5.5. The total opened at 55.5 and is now 55.

    WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.

    TRENDS:

    * Hurricanes are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
    * Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Miami.
    * Yellow Jackets are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings.


    Kansas State Wildcats at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-14, 59.5)

    The Wildcats finished first in the conference in scoring and rushing defense and third in total defense last season, but rank seventh or worse in all three categories this season. All three areas figure to be tested by the Cowboys, who rank second in the league in scoring and are one of five Big 12 teams averaging at least 474 total yards.

    Coming off an uncharacteristic loss in its conference opener versus West Virginia, No. 20 Oklahoma State seeks it first Big 12 victory of the season on Saturday when it hosts Kansas State. Working in the Cowboys’ favor this weekend is the fact that coach Mike Gundy’s teams have fared well in regular-season games following a loss (13-2 since the start of 2007).

    LINE: The Cowboys opened as 15-point faves and are now -14. The total opened at 57.5 and is up to 59.5.

    WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with wind blowing across the field at 10 mph.

    TRENDS:

    * Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games.
    * Under is 7-1 in Wildcats last eight road games.
    * Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.


    Fresno State Bulldgos at Idaho Vandals (+27, 67)

    The No. 21 Bulldogs are 4-0 for their best start since the 2001 squad quarterbacked by David Carr won its first six games. Now it is senior Derek Carr as the star attraction and the younger brother of the Fresno State legend has thrown 14 touchdown passes for an offense that ranks 12th nationally by averaging 44 points per game.

    Redshirt freshman quarterback Chad Chalich is showing a lot of promise as both a passer (1,111 yards, four touchdowns, no interceptions) and runner (team-best 202 yards). Chalich had 424 yards of total offense -- eighth-best in program history – in the victory over Temple by throwing for 310 yards and rushing for 114.

    LINE: The Bulldogs opened as 24-point road faves are are now -27. The total opened at 65 and is up to 67.

    WEATHER: N/A

    TRENDS:

    * Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.
    * Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.
    * Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.


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    Comment


    • #17
      NCAAF

      Saturday, October 5


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Evening action
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Oregon Ducks at Colorado Buffaloes (+38.5, 69)

      De'Anthony Thomas, the speedy Ducks junior running back who has six touchdowns while averaging eight yards per carry, is doubtful with an ankle injury. The junior was hurt on the opening kickoff of last week's 55-16 victory over California and did not return, and with No. 18 Washington up next, it would seem Oregon - a 38-point favorite - will not rush him back.

      Colorado struggled to contain Oregon State's relentless passing attack in a 44-17 loss last week and is expected to have an even harder time dealing with Ducks dual-threat quarterback Marcus Mariota. The Buffaloes may have found a way to improve on their 103rd-ranked rushing attack as freshman Michael Adkins II rushed for 98 yards against Oregon State in his collegiate debut.

      LINE: The Ducks opened -38 and are now -38.5. The total opened at 70 and is down to 69.

      WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with clear skies.

      TRENDS:

      * Ducks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.
      * Buffaloes are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games overall.
      * Over is 35-17 in Ducks last 52 games overall.


      Arkansas Razorbacks at Florida Gators (-11.5, 43)

      Arkansas has never had much success against Florida losing eight of their nine previous matchups. Their last game was in 2009 when then-No. 1 Florida needed a field goal with nine seconds left to pull out a 23-20 win. The Razorbacks have dropped two straight after a soft opening schedule, and their powerful rushing game will get a stern test from Florida's top-ranked run defense.

      The Gators enter the contest ranked second in the nation total defense but could be without star lineman Dominique Easley and cornerback Marcus Roberson, both of whom are battling knee injuries. Replacing Jeff Driskel, who broke his leg, QB Tyler Murphy completed his first 13 passes last week and finished 15-for-18 for 156 yards.

      LINE: The Gators opened at -10 and are currently -11.5. The total opened at 43.

      WEATHER: There is a 17 percent chance of rain in the forecast and wind will blow across the field at 6 mph.

      TRENDS:

      * Razorbacks are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games.
      * Razorbacks are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings in Florida.
      * Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.


      TCU Horned Frogs at Oklahoma Sooners (-10, 46.5)

      The TCU defense has piled up a Big 12-leading 15 sacks and has allowed 59 total rushing yards over the past two games. Sophomore quarterback Trevone Boykin has passed for 625 yards and four touchdowns and has 158 yards on the ground.

      The Sooners are allowing 12 points per game – sixth-best nationally – and sophomore middle linebacker Frank Shannon (team-best 27 tackles) and Corey Nelson (21) are leading the charge. Oklahoma leads the series 8-4, including a 24-17 road victory last season.

      LINE: Oklahoma opened as a 10.5-point fave and is now -10. The total is 46.5.

      WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with clear skies.

      TRENDS:

      * Horned Frogs are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
      * Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last five conference games.
      * Over is 7-2 in Sooners last nine conference games.


      LSU Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldgos (+9.5, 55.5)

      The Tigers have recorded more than 400 yards of total offense and scored 30 or more points in each of their first five games for the first time in school history. However, Les Miles’ biggest concern entering this contest has to revolve around a defense that blew a number of coverages due to communication errors on the field and the sideline in the loss to Georgia.

      The Bulldogs responded in emphatic fashion to their loss at Auburn on Sept. 14, using a 35-point second quarter to rout Troy 62-7. Mississippi State has outscored its two opponents at home (Alcorn State and Troy) by an 82-7 margin in the first half, including a 58-0 advantage in the second quarter.

      LINE: LSU opened as a 10-point road dog and is now -9.5. The total opened at 54.5.

      WEATHER: There is a 55 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

      TRENDS:

      * Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a bye week.
      * Over is 5-0 in Tigers last five games overall.
      * Tigers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine meetings in Mississippi State.


      Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+5.5, 62)

      Junior quarterback Taylor Kelly has thrown for more than 300 yards in each of the Sun Devils’ first four games, and junior college transfer Jaelen Strong has made an immediate impact with 433 receiving yards and two touchdowns.

      The Fighting Irish defense hasn’t been as impressive as last season, but linemen Stephon Tuitt and Louis Nix remain among the best in the country. Linebacker Jarrett Grace has a team-high 37 tackles for Notre Dame, which could struggle to slow down an Arizona State team averaging 44.3 points per game.

      LINE: The Irish opened as 5.5-point home dogs. The total opened at 62.

      WEATHER: N/A

      TRENDS:

      * Fighting Irish are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
      * Over is 5-1 in Sun Devils last six non-conference games.
      * Under is 8-2 in Fighting Irish last 10 games following a ATS loss.


      Kentucky Wildcats at South Carolina Gamecocks (-21, 54)

      Kentucky faces its third straight nationally ranked foe after losses to Louisville and Florida. The Wildcats have been juggling quarterback duties between Maxwell Smith and Jalen Whitlow, with both showing varying degrees of effectiveness. Kentucky coach Mark Stoops would like to go with one signal caller, but is not in a rush to make that call.

      South Carolina has only one home game in October, so the No. 12 Gamecocks know they need to get a win over visiting Kentucky on Saturday to make their hopes for a Southeastern Conference Eastern Division crown easier. The Gamecocks struggled a bit against Central Florida last week, thanks in part to a shoulder injury to starting quarterback Connor Shaw, who may be back against the Wildcats.

      LINE: The Gamecocks opened as 21-point home faves. The total opened at 55 and is down to 54.

      WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with clear skies.

      TRENDS:

      * Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last four conference games.
      * Over is 6-0 in the last six meetings in South Carolina.
      * Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.


      West Virginia Mountaineers at Baylor Bears (-28, 69)

      West Virginia stumbled out of the gate this season, but turned heads last week when it upset then-No. 11 Oklahoma State at home. Making his first start, Florida State transfer quarterback Clint Trickett threw for 309 yards as the Mountaineers rebounded from an ugly 37-0 loss at Maryland the week before. Trickett, however, injured his shoulder late in the game and is questionable for Saturday.

      Baylor averages a gaudy 751.3 yards of offense and 69.7 points, but has played the likes of Wofford, Louisiana-Monroe and Buffalo. The Bears' defense is has allowed just 23 points thus far.

      LINE: The Bears opened at -27 and are currently -28. The total opened at 68.5 and is now 69.

      WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-70s and wind will blow across the field at 11 mph.

      TRENDS:

      * Under is 8-0 in Mountaineers last eight games overall.
      * Over is 20-5-1 in Bears last 26 conference games.
      * Bears are 15-2 ATS in their last 17 home games.


      Ohio State Buckeyes at Northwestern Wildcats (+7, 61)

      No. 3 Ohio State attempts to remain undefeated under second-year coach Urban Meyer and stretch the nation’s longest winning streak to 18 games. Ohio State leads the series 59-14-1 and has won the last four meetings.

      The two-quarterback system of senior Kain Colter (237 rushing yards, 77.1 percent completion percentage) and junior Trevor Siemian (67.1 completion percentage for 671 yards and four touchdowns) is clicking as the Wildcats are averaging 41.3 points per game.

      LINE: The Buckeyes opened as 5.5-point road faves and are now -7. The total opened at 59 and is up to 61.

      WEATHER: There is a 56 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow toward the north endzone at 13 mph.

      TRENDS:

      * Wildcats are 6-0 ATS in their last six conference games.
      * Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
      * Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.


      Washington Huskies at Stanford Cardinal (-7.5, 52)

      Huskies RB Bishop Sankey ranks first in the nation with 151.8 rushing yards per game and senior quarterback Keith Price ranks 12th in pass efficiency for the Huskies, who haven't trailed all season.

      Stanford’s stellar offensive line has helped the Cardinal out rush their last two opponents – Washington State and Arizona State – by a 478-101 margin. The defense is led by linebacker Shayne Skov and linebacker Trent Murphy, who returned an interception for a touchdown last week against the Cougars.

      LINE: Stanford opened as a 6.5-point fave and is now -7.5. The total opened at 52.5 and is down to 52.

      WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with clear
      skies.

      TRENDS:

      * Huskies are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
      * Under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings.
      * Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.


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      Comment


      • #18
        NCAAF

        Saturday, October 5


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Washington at Stanford: What bettors need to know
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Washington Huskies at Stanford Cardinal (-7, 52.5)

        Stanford aims for its 13th straight win Saturday when the fifth-ranked Cardinal host No. 18 Washington, which is 4-0 for the first time since 2001. The Huskies defeated Stanford 17-13 a year ago in Seattle, but the Cardinal offense has undergone a transformation this season while scoring at least 34 points in each of its first four games. “They’re not nearly as one-dimensional as they were maybe a year ago,” said Washington coach Steve Sarkisian. “We’re going to have to defend everything.”

        The Huskies lead the Pac-12 in total defense and will be tested by a Stanford offense that is led by junior quarterback Kevin Hogan, who is 9-0 as a starter. Hogan threw for three touchdowns in last week's 55-17 victory over Washington State and Devon Cajuste added 115 receiving yards, including two long touchdown catches. The Huskies are coming off a 31-13 win over Arizona last Saturday, when junior running back Bishop Sankey had a school-record 40 carries for 161 yards and a score.

        TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

        LINE: Stanford opened at -6.5 and has been bet up to -7. Total steady at 52.5.

        WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid 70s with clear skies and winds blowing north at 5 mph.

        ABOUT WASHINGTON (4-0, 1-0 Pac-12, 3-1 ATS): Sankey ranks first in the nation with 151.8 rushing yards per game and senior quarterback Keith Price ranks 12th in pass efficiency for the Huskies, who haven't trailed all season. While the offense has lived up to expectations, the much-improved defense has been critical to Washington's early success. Safety Sean Parker and linebackers Princeton Fuimaono and Shaq Thompson lead the defense, which is allowing just 3.8 yards per play this season --third-best in the nation.

        ABOUT STANFORD (4-0, 2-0, 2-2 ATS): Preseason All-American David Yankey missed last week’s rout of Washington State to attend to a family situation, but he’ll be back at left guard this Saturday. Stanford’s stellar offensive line has helped the Cardinal out rush their last two opponents – Washington State and Arizona State – by a 478-101 margin. The defense is led by linebacker Shayne Skov and linebacker Trent Murphy, who returned an interception for a touchdown last week against the Cougars.

        TRENDS:

        * Under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings.
        * Huskies are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Stanford.
        * Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.
        * Cardinal are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 conference games.

        EXTRA POINTS:

        1. The Cardinal is 32-3 at Stanford Stadium since the final home game of 2007.

        2. Washington is outscoring opponents 73-12 in the first half this season.

        3. Stanford is 25-1 under coach David Shaw when it gains more rushing yards than its opponent.


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        Comment


        • #19
          NCAAF

          Saturday, October 5


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Arizona State vs. Notre Dame: What bettors need to know
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+6, 62)

          Arizona State looks to become the first team to defeat USC and Notre Dame in consecutive weeks on Saturday when the 24th-ranked Sun Devils face the Fighting Irish at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Notre Dame likely needs to win its remaining seven contests to reach a BCS bowl, while Arizona State hopes to build on its impressive 62-41 win over the Trojans last Saturday. The Sun Devils generated 612 yards of offense against USC, and they’ll seek to continue that pace against a Notre Dame defense that struggled in losses to Michigan and Oklahoma.

          The Sun Devils’ balanced attack is led by senior running back Marion Grice, who leads the FBS in scoring this season with 12 touchdowns and has scored 31 in 17 games. “He’s just phenomenal,” Arizona State coach Todd Graham said. “He has this way of eluding people very smoothly to get to the end zone. He’s a unique back.” In order to keep the Sun Devils’ offense off the field, the Fighting Irish need strong performances from running backs Amir Carlisle, Cam McDaniel and George Atkinson III, who is averaging more than seven yards per carry.

          TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

          WEATHER: N/A

          LINE: Arizona State opened -6.5 and has been bet down as low as -5.5. The total opened 62 and has remained steady.

          ABOUT ARIZONA STATE (3-1, 2-2 ATS): Junior quarterback Taylor Kelly has thrown for more than 300 yards in each of the Sun Devils’ first four games, and junior college transfer Jaelen Strong has made an immediate impact with 433 receiving yards and two touchdowns. Safety Alden Darby had two interceptions and seven tackles against USC, but the Sun Devils’ run defense ranks 11th in the Pac-12. All-American defensive lineman Will Sutton, who had 13 sacks last season, is off to a slow start while dealing with constant double-teams.

          ABOUT NOTRE DAME (3-2, 0-4-1 ATS): The Fighting Irish defense hasn’t been as impressive as last season, but linemen Stephon Tuitt and Louis Nix remain among the best in the country. Linebacker Jarrett Grace has a team-high 37 tackles for Notre Dame, which could struggle to slow down an Arizona State team averaging 44.3 points per game. The Fighting Irish need a bounce-back effort from quarterback Tommy Rees, who threw two interceptions on his first three passes last week in a 35-21 loss to Oklahoma.

          TRENDS:

          * Sun Devils are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.
          * Fighting Irish are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
          * Over is 4-0 in Sun Devils' last four neutral site games.
          * Under is 19-7 in Fighting Irish's last 26 vs. Pac-12.

          EXTRA POINTS:

          1. Notre Dame is 12-0 under coach Brian Kelly when it does not commit a turnover.

          2. Arizona State is 10-0 under Graham when leading at halftime.

          3. Notre Dame has won nine of its last 10 regular-season games at an NFL stadium since 1995.


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          Comment


          • #20
            NCAAF

            Saturday, October 5


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Ohio State at Northwestern: What bettors need to know
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            Ohio State Buckeyes at Northwestern Wildcats (+7, 61)

            No. 3 Ohio State attempts to remain undefeated under second-year coach Urban Meyer and stretch the nation’s longest winning streak to 18 games when it visits No. 15 Northwestern on Saturday night. The Buckeyes have won 28 of the past 29 meetings with the Wildcats, but a rising Northwestern program is a bona fide threat to upset Ohio State. The Wildcats are attempting to start 5-0 for the second straight season and fourth time in six years.

            Northwestern coach Pat Fitzgerald is well aware of what’s at stake against the powerful Buckeyes. “When you play a team that’s ranked in the Top 5 that’s playing as well as they are, it’s an incredibly difficult challenge for us,” Fitzgerald said. Ohio State is coming off a 31-24 victory over Wisconsin that featured the return of star quarterback Braxton Miller from a knee injury. The Buckeyes suffered a huge blow against the Badgers by losing standout safety Christian Bryant to a season-ending broken ankle.

            TV: 8 p.m. ET, ABC.

            LINE: Ohio State opened -5.5 and moved to -7. Total opened 59 and moved to 61.

            WEATHER: Temperatures in high 60s with 74 percent chance of thunder showers, winds SSW at 12 mph.

            ABOUT OHIO STATE (5-0, 1-0 Big Ten Leaders, 3-1-1 ATS): Miller was solid in his return from a Sept. 7 injury by passing for 198 yards and four touchdowns while adding 83 rushing yards against Wisconsin. The offense is averaging 48.2 points per game despite the period without Miller and senior Corey “Philly” Brown (24 receptions, 254 yards) and junior Devin Smith (20 for 331) each have five touchdown receptions, while senior Jordan Hall has rushed for 427 yards and eight scores. Junior outside linebacker Ryan Shazier has a team-leading 37 tackles – including a Big Ten-leading seven tackles for loss – and junior cornerback Bradley Roby has two of the Buckeyes’ six interceptions.

            ABOUT NORTHWESTERN (4-0, 0-0 Big Ten Legends, 2-2 ATS): The Wildcats expect senior Venric Mark (1,366 yards in 2012) to return from a three-game absence due to a leg injury to team with junior Treyvon Green, who has averaged seven yards per carry while rushing for 404 yards and five touchdowns. The two-quarterback system of senior Kain Colter (237 rushing yards, 77.1 percent completion percentage) and junior Trevor Siemian (67.1 completion percentage for 671 yards and four touchdowns) is clicking as the Wildcats are averaging 41.3 per game. Northwestern has intercepted 10 passes – four returned for touchdowns – with junior safety Ibraheim Campbell having a team-leading three picks and junior outside linebacker Collin Ellis and sophomore defensive end Dean Lowry each having two.

            TRENDS:

            * Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
            * Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
            * Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
            * Home team is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

            EXTRA POINTS:

            1. Ohio State leads the series 59-14-1 and has won the last four meetings. Northwestern’s last victory over the Buckeyes was in 2004.

            2. Northwestern has 19 interceptions over its last seven games.

            3. The Buckeyes have been dominant in the first quarter, outscoring opponents 116-21.


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • #21
              College football weather report: Possible thunderstorms expected

              Find out how weather will impact your college football bets for Saturday's matchups:

              Maryland Terrapins at Florida State Seminoles (-17, 58)

              There is a 17 percent chance of thunderstorms that could hit late in this game.



              Penn State Nittany Lions at Indiana Hoosiers (+3, 65.5)

              There is a 68 percent chance of thunderstorms for this game.



              Louisville Cardinals at Temple Owls (+32, 58)

              Forecasts are calling for a 25 percent chance of rain.



              Eastern Michigan Eagles at Buffalo Bulls (-12.5, 52)

              Forecasts are calling for a 25 percent chance of rain.



              Illinois Fighting Illini at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-8.5, 60.5)

              Wind will blow across the field upwards of 20 mph.



              Michigan State Spartans at Iowa Hawkeyes (-1, 37.5)

              Forecasts are calling for a 67 percent chance of rain at Kinnick Stadium.



              Rutgers Scarlet Knights at SMU Mustangs (+4.5, 55)

              There is a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.



              Central Michigan Chippewas at Miami (OH) RedHawks (+3, 47)

              Forecasts are calling for a 57 percent chance of thunderstorms.



              Ohio Bobcats at Akron Zips (+5, 57)

              There is a 39 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for Akron.



              Western Michigan Broncos at Toledo Rockets (-21.5, 57.5)

              There is a 29 percent chance of thunderstorms and wind will blow toward the north endzone at 7 mph.



              Minnesota Golden Gophers at Michigan Wolverines (-19, 48.5)

              There is a 24 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.



              Massachusetts Minutemen at Bowling Green Falcons (-26.5, 55)

              There is a 34 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.



              Northern Illinois Huskies at Kent State Golden Flashes (+9, 64.5)

              Forecasts are calling for a 27 percent chance of thunderstorms.



              Kansas State Wildcats at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-13.5, 59.5)

              Wind will blow toward the east endzone at 13 mph.



              FIU Golden Panthers at Southern Miss Golden Eagles (-17, 46)

              Forecasts call for a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms.



              UCF Knights at Memphis Tigers (+9.5, 48)

              Forecasts are calling for a 53 percent chance of thunderstorms.



              Texas State Bobcats at UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (-11.5, 55)

              Forecasts in Lafayette are calling for a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms.



              Missouri Tigers at Vanderbilt Commodores (+1, 55.5)

              There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.



              West Virginia Mountaineers at Baylor Bears (-28.5, 69.5)

              There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast with wind blowing across the field at 14 mph.



              Ohio State Buckeyes at Northwestern Wildcats (+7, 61)

              The forecast in Evanston is calling for a 74 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow toward the north endzone at 12 mph.

              Comment


              • #22
                NCAAF
                Armadillo's Write-Up

                Week 6


                Saturday's games
                Notes on rest of the games......

                -- Underdogs are 11-2-1 vs spread in last 14 Air Force-Navy games. AF lost three of last four visits here, with three of four games decided by 3 or less points.
                -- Underdogs covered last seven Western Michigan-Toledo games (5-2 SU); Broncos lost 66-63 (+11) in last visit here.
                -- Eastern Michigan won its last five games vs Buffalo, with three of five decided by 4 or less points; EMU is 0-1 vs I-A teams, allowing 41 ppg.
                -- Boston College allowed 83 points in losing its last two games, at USC and vs Florida State; they step down in class here, vs Army team that is 1-3 vs I-A teams, with losses by 26-14-14 points.

                -- Central Michigan won three of last four games vs Miami, but they've allowed 44 ppg in losing first four games vs I-A teams. Miami is 0-4 this season, outscored by an average score of 39-9.
                -- Virginia scored total of 32 points in 1-2 start vs I-A teams; since 2007, Cavaliers are 5-9-4 as home favorites. Ball State scored 37 ppg in taking three of four games vs I-A opponents- they're 24-7 as road dogs.
                -- Favorites covered four of last five Georgia Tech-Miami games; 'canes won last four series games, with three wins by 16+ points. Tech lost by 24-7/33-17 in last two visits here.
                -- NC State failed to cover its last 12 games as a road favorite, losing 10 of the 12 games SU. Home teams are 10-1 in this series; Wolfpack lost last five visits here- last time they beat Wake two in row was '01-'02.

                -- Nebraska's defense allowed 602/504 yards to Wyoming/UCLA, then gave up 465 to I-AA South Dakota State last game. Illinois is playing on road for first time; they're 4-9 vs spread in last 13 away games.
                -- Marshall is 5-8 in its last 13 games as a home favorite. UTSA is 1-3 in its last four games, with losses by 21-25-31 points.
                -- Since 2005, North Texas is 0-2 as a road favorite; they've lost six road games in a row SU. Tulane is 5-3 vs spread at home under Johnson.
                -- Tulsa won six in row, nine of last 10 games with Rice, going 3-1-1 vs spread in last five. Owls lost last three visits here by 4-37-35 points.

                -- Virginia Tech won seven of last nine games with North Carolina; dogs are 4-2 vs spread in last six. Hokies covered once in last seven games as a home favorite. UNC is 2-2-1 in last five games as a road underdog.
                -- Cincinnati won six of last seven games with South Florida, winning its last three visits here by 3-17-5 points. USF is 0-4 and hasn't come closer than 15 points in any of their games.
                -- Michigan won last five games with Minnesota, four by 22+ points; in last 10 series games, faves are 7-3 vs spread. Gophers lost 58-0/34-10 in last two visits to the Big House.
                -- Central Florida had tough game with South Carolina last week- they're 8-0 in last eight vs Memphis, winning last four here but covering in only one of four. Memphis is 1-2 in first three games, but allowed total of 24 points in last two, so their defense is improved.

                -- Since 2005, Rutgers is 6-10 as a road favorite; they lost 52-51 in OT at Fresno in only road game this year. SMU is 6-2 in its last eight games as a home underdog.
                -- Fresno State won last seven games with Idaho (5-2 vs spread); they won/covered last four visits to Moscow. Vandals upset Temple 26-24 last week, after giving up 40+ points in losing their first four games.
                -- UL-Lafayette is 5-8 in last 13 games as a home favorite. Texas State is 3-1 after upsetting (+12) a good Wyoming team last week, 42-21.
                -- New Mexico State won three of last four games with New Mexico, as underdogs covered all four games. Aggies covered four of last five visits to Albuquerque.

                -- Cal won its last eight games with Washington State, but Coogs are 5-1 vs spread in last six visits to Berkeley. Cal's freshman QB Goff couldn't play in rain last week, had trouble gripping the wet ball.
                -- Northern Illinois won its last six games with Kent State, covering five of them; they won 42-14/34-3 in last two visits here. Kent is 8-10-1 in its last 19 games as a home underdog.
                -- South Carolina won 12 of last 13 games with Kentucky, going 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight. Wildcats lost last six visits to Columbia, going 1-3 vs spread in last four.
                -- Hard to lay 17 points with Southern Miss team that hasn't won game since 2011 (0-16 SU). FIU lost its first four games by 187-23 total.

                -- Bowling Green covered five of last seven games as a home favorite. UMass was outscored 106-14 in three games vs I-A opponents.
                -- Florida Atlantic won three of last four games with UAB, with average total in four games, 76.0. Owls are 10-1 in last 11 games as a road dog.
                -- Underdogs covered six of last eight Texas Tech-Kansas games; Tech won last six meetings, winning 41-34/45-34 the last two years. Kansas covered six of last nine games as a home underdog.
                -- Middle Tennessee is 0-6 in last six games as a home dog. East Carolina had big regional win, upsetting North Carolina in its last game; Pirates are 4-8 in last dozen games as a road favorite.

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