Wednesday's Trends and Indexes - 9/25 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Wednesday, September 25

Good Luck on day #269 of 2013!

At this time, the sports menu in this thread consists of MLB, CFL and WNBA until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Six of the more intriguing NFL games this weekend:

-- 49ers @ Rams—Two disappointing rivals playing on a short week.

-- Bengals-Browns—What if Cleveland traded Trent Richardson to get a draft pick to grab a QB and then realize Brian Hoyer is their guy?

-- Seattle-Houston—Both Texan wins came on the last play, then they got spanked by Baltimore. If they’re for real, they win this game at home.

-- Giants-Chiefs—Two teams going in opposite directions and quickly.

-- Patriots-Falcons—NE faced two rookies and Josh Freeman at QB in their first three games; competition gets a little stiffer this week.

-- Dolphins-Saints—When Drew Brees left San Diego, Miami chose Daunte Culpepper over Brees; think he remembers?


*****

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but........

13) If you want to bet the World Series before the playoffs start, the AL rep is -$140 over the NL champ, whomever they may be.

12) UCLA is raising $50M to build a new football practice facility, almost as much as that high school football stadium in Dallas cost.

11) Detroit Tigers have used only six starting pitchers all season and the sixth, Jose Alvarez, only made five starts.

They’re worried about Miguel Cabrera’s recurring injuries, but they’ve been lucky with their starting pitchers’ health.

10) ESPN.com reports that since 2001, CC Sabathia has thrown 43,390 pitches, most in the major leagues.

9) AFC East teams are 6-0 against the spread outside their division so far this season.

8) St Louis Cardinals are 75-42 vs righty starters, 16-23 vs lefties, which could be bad news if they play the Dodgers (Kershaw/Ryu) in short series.

7) Lions’ WR Nate Burleson broke his arm in a car accident; football coaches have to hold their breath every time the phone rings. If its not a stripper hitting a player in the head with a bottle, it’s a one-car accident or a DUI. As the old saying goes, nothing good happens after midnight.

6) In three of the last four years, golf’s Player of the Year didn’t win a major that year; if Eldrick Woods wins this year, it’ll be four of five.

5) Seven NFL teams are 3-0, which means they have as many wins as the four teams in the NFC East combined (3-9).

4) 49ers held only two of their last nine opponents under 27 points.

3) South Carolina better not be overlooking Central Florida this week; the Knights already won at Penn State and have an NFL-level QB in Blake Bortles and an excellent coach in George O’Leary.

2) In NFL’s long history, the Giants and Redskins have never been 0-3 in the same season. Until now.

1) Shaquille O’Neal bought part of the Sacramento Kings; hopefully that means he is off TNT’s studio show (please Lord, make this happen). Its not that he says bad things, its that I can’t understand half of what he says, so I don’t even know if he’s good or bad, he just takes airtime away from Charles Barkley, which is who you want to listen to on that show.

[Udog]

Football lines that make you go hmmm...

I only caught about 30 seconds of the Chicago Bears’ win over the Pittsburgh Steelers Sunday night.

As I settled into bed, I flicked the game on with Pittsburgh down 34-23 in the fourth quarter, just in time to see Bears DE Julius Pepper scoop up a fumble and run it back for a 42-yard score.

“OK, I’ve seen enough”. CLICK!

Chicago is among the handful of 3-0 teams but isn’t getting the love that Denver, Seattle, and New Orleans are receiving. Hell, they’re even getting overshadowed by perfect starts from Kansas City, New England and Miami.

That disrespect continues in Week 4, with oddsmakers setting the Bears as high as 3-point road underdogs in Detroit Sunday. Only one other undefeated team is an underdog in Week 4: The 3-0 Dolphins visiting the 3-0 Saints as 6.5-point pups (Patriots are a pick'em at Atlanta after opening -1).

The Lions have started 2-1, taking some of the pressure off head coach Jim Schwartz, but haven’t been overly impressive in those contests. Detroit’s pass defense has been sub-par, allowing 262 yards through the air per game, against the likes of Christian Ponder, veteran Carson Palmer and one-legged Robert Griffin III.

Chicago has won three straight over the Lions and boasts a 9-1 SU record in its last 10 versus its NFC North rivals. Detroit has been a favorite in only one of those games. Until this week.

NCAAF

South Carolina Gamecocks at Central Florida Knights (+7)

Central Florida is making the most of its new stage in the AAC and will take to the national stage this Saturday.

Central Florida hosts SEC power South Carolina in front of a sold-out crowd at Bright House Networks Stadium, a game which will be broadcast on ABC – the first time UCF will play on national network television in the school’s history.

The Knights have jumped out to a 3-0 start and are coming off a bye after stunning Penn State in Happy Valley two weeks ago. Central Florida is doing it on both sides of the ball, averaging 36.7 points will giving up just 12.7 per game.

Books are giving UCF a TD cushion versus the Gamecocks, who aren’t going to look past the Knights. Central Florida nearly spoiled Steve Spurrier’s debut with South Carolina eight years ago, losing 24-15 to the Gamecocks but covered as 21-point road underdogs.

Early money has sided with the Knights, taking the home side down from +7.5 to +7. Is it faith in UCF or a sharp move to discount South Carolina?

Oklahoma State Cowboys at West Virginia Mountaineers (+18.5)

The last time these Big 12 programs clashed, the total topped out at 80 points last November. Oklahoma State won that shootout, 55-34.

This year, the number is much slimmer, with books setting the total at 57 points. The Cowboys offense is still the same, putting up 45.3 points per game so far, but WVU doesn’t have the same explosiveness, which was painfully evident in a 37-0 pantsing by Maryland last weekend.

Oklahoma State shows no mercy on the road, going 16-5 SU away from Stillwater since 2010. If the Mountaineers and former OSU offensive coordinator Dana Holgorsen put on another showing like last weekend, Okie State could top the total – and the 18.5-point spread – all by itself.

[Udog]

Beyond the BCS: Capping college football's small conferences

Some of the best betting value in college football is hiding beyond the BCS, in the small conferences. Each week, Covers Experts’ Doc’s Sports will look at the little programs that could help you make big cash this college season.

Team to watch: Bowling Green Falcons (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS)

This week: -14.5 vs. Akron

Bowling Green has won four in a row against Akron, including a 24-10 road victory last season. The Falcons are also 5-0 ATS in their last five against the Zips. Akron may be hard-pressed to contain Bowling Green’s offense and turn the tide of the head-to-head series.

The Falcons are averaging 510.2 total yards through four games and they went off for 576 in its first Mid-American Conference contest (a 41-22 thrashing of Kent State). Matt Johnson is throwing for 250 yards per game and Travis Greene is averaging 5.5 yards per carry.

The Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last eight conference showdowns and 5-0 ATS in their last five against teams with losing records (Akron is 1-3). They are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 overall and 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games.

Team to beware: Central Michigan Chippewas (1-3 SU, 0-4 ATS)

This week: +23.5 at North Carolina State

Central Michigan travels to N.C. State Saturday and its first foray into BCS competition this season did not end well. The Chippewas paid a visit to the Big House and trailed Michigan 56-6 after three quarters before losing 59-9. They are allowing 193.5 rushing yards per game (Michigan went for 242), which is bad news because the N.C. State offense is racking up 196.7 ground yards per contest.

Recent trends also do not favor Central Michigan. The team is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 road games, 2-9 ATS in its last 11 out of conference, 0-4 ATS in its last four against the ACC, and 2-10 ATS in its last 12 against opponents with winning records (the Wolfpack are 2-1 following a 26-14 loss to Clemson).

Total team: Utah State Aggies (2-2 SU, 3-1 O/U)

This week: 61 at San Jose State

Utah State’s defense has been stingy this season, especially since an opening loss to Utah. The Aggies held Air Force to 20 points in a blowout win, crushed Weber State 70-6, and they just barely lost 17-14 on the road at Southern Cal last week.

Weber State passed for a mere 34 yards on 20 attempts and USC managed just 164 through the air. Friday opponent San Jose State may have to try its hand on the ground, but the team is averaging only 74.7 rushing yards per game.

The under is 4-0 in Utah State’s last four Friday dates and 6-0 in its last six against teams with losing records (San Jose State is 1-2). It is a solid 13-6 in the team’s last 19 overall.

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Kansas City at Seattle
The Mariners look to build on their 7-3 record in Hisashi Iwakuma's last 10 starts against AL Central opponents. Seattle is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Mariners favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 25

Game 951-952: NY Mets at Cincinnati (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Matsuzaka) 15.403; Cincinnati (Latos) 16.798
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-185); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-185); Over

Game 953-954: Washington at St. Louis (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 15.634; St. Louis (Miller) 14.559
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+115); Under

Game 955-956: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Liriano) 15.680; Cubs (Arrieta) 13.817
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 6
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-175); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-175); N/A

Game 957-958: Milwaukee at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 15.440; Atlanta (Maholm) 14.851
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+130); Over

Game 959-960: Philadelphia at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.059; Miami (Hand) 14.598
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-140); Under

Game 961-962: Arizona at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Delgado) 15.105; San Diego (Kennedy) 14.829
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+100); Over

Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Nolasco) 15.412; San Francisco (Zito) 14.506
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-135); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+115); Over

Game 965-966: Oakland at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Straily) 14.727; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.224
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-140); Under

Game 967-968: Toronto at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Rogers) 15.302; Baltimore (Norris) 14.769
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+135); Over

Game 969-970: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Axelrod) 14.611; Cleveland (Salazar) 16.222
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-270); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-270); Under

Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 15.998; NY Yankees (Hughes) 14.478
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 973-974: Houston at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 15.403; Texas (Perez) 14.307
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-290); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+250); Over

Game 975-976: Detroit at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 13.530; Minnesota (Correia) 14.432
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 977-978: Kansas City at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Santana) 15.792; Seattle (Iwakuma) 17.278
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-120); Under

Game 979-980: Boston at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Peavy) 15.914; Colorado (Chacin) 14.296
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-175); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-175); Under

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, September 25

Hot pitchers
-- Miller is 2-0, 3.06 in his last three starts. Zimmerman is 4-0, 2.25 in his last four outings.
-- Liriano is 1-0, 2.25 in his last three starts. Arrieta is 2-1, 3.80 in his last four.
-- Hamels is 3-0, 2.86 in his last three road starts.

-- Straily is 4-0, 2.45 in his last five starts. Weaver is 3-1, 2.45 in his last five.
-- Rogers is 2-1, 2.02 in his last four starts.
-- Salazar has a 2.48 RA in his last six starts, but no wins.
-- Price is 0-1, 2.79 in his last three starts.
-- Scherzer is 1-0, 2.77 in his last couple starts.
-- Perez is 6-2, 3.19 in his last nine starts.
-- Iwakuma is 3-0, 1.89 in his last seven starts. Santana is 1-0, 0.64 in his last two starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Latos is 1-2, 4.67 in his last five starts. Matsuzaka is 1-4, 6.60 in six starts for the Mets.
-- Maholm is 1-1, 6.46 in his last six starts. Lohse is 1-2, 5.04 in his last five.
-- Hand allowed four runs in 5.2 IP in his first '13 start.
-- Delgado is 1-1, 5.23 in his last four starts. Kennedy is 0-1, 6.75 in his last three outings.
-- Zito is 0-4, 10.27 in his last six starts, last of which was August 26. Nolasco allowed 13 runs in 6.1 IP in his last two starts.

-- Chacin is 1-2, 4.88 in his last four starts. Peavy is 0-0, 4.74 in his last three.

-- Norris is 1-1, 5.49 in his last four starts.
-- Axelrod is 0-3, 17.10 in his last three starts.
-- Hughes is 0-6, 6.15 in his last twelve starts.
-- Keuchel is 1-2, 5.87 in his last four starts.
-- Correia is 0-2, 5.29 in his last three starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Matsuzaka 2-6; Latos 12-31 (4 of last 5)
-- Zimmerman 5-31 (0 of last 6); Miller 8-29 (3 of last 6)
-- Liriano 6-25 (1 of last 5); Arrieta 2-13 (0 of 8 with Chi)
-- Lohse 9-31; Maholm 7-25 (1 of last 6)
-- Hamels 7-32 (3 of last 4); Hand 0-1
-- Delgado 6-18; Kennedy 10-30 (1 of 9 with SD)
-- Nolasco 7-31 (1 of last 9); Zito 8-23

-- Peavy 2-22 (0 of 9 with Bos); Chacin 4-30 (2 of last 2)

-- Straily 6-26 (1 of last 6); Weaver 3-23 (0 of last 6)
-- Rogers 7-20; Norris 10-29
-- Axelrod 7-19 (4 of last 7); Salazar 3-9
-- Price 6-25 (0 of last 7); Hughes 8-28 (0 of last 4)
-- Keuchel 4-21; Perez 8-18
-- Scherzer 7-31 (3 of last 5); Correia 7-34 (1 of last 16)
-- Santana 12-32 (0 of last 4); Iwakuma 6-26 (1 of last 16)

Totals
-- Under is 10-4 in last fourteen Hamels starts.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Latos starts.
-- Ten of last twelve Atlanta games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last eleven Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last 12 Zimmerman starts went over the total.
-- Under is 10-1-1 in last twelve San Diego games.
-- Last five San Francisco games stayed under total.

-- Five of last seven Boston games stayed under the total.

-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Tampa Bay games. Under is 6-0-1 in Bronx' last seven games.
-- Seven of last nine White Sox games went over the total.
-- Eight of last eleven Baltimore games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Detroit games went over the total.
-- Ten of last fourteen Oakland games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Kansas City games stayed under.

Hot teams
-- Reds won seven of their last ten games; Mets won four of last five.
-- Washington won 13 of its last 17 games. Cardinals won six of last eight.
-- Pirates won three of their last four games.
-- Atlanta won four of its last six games.
-- Diamondbacks won three of their last four games.
-- Dodgers won four of their last five games. San Francisco is 9-6 in its last 15 games, 6-4 in last nine at home.

-- Tampa Bay won 10 of its last 13 games.
-- Indians won six of their last seven games; they've won 13 in a row against the White Sox. .
-- Tigers won seven of their last ten games.
-- Royals are 5-3 in their last eight games.
-- Rangers won three of their last four games.
-- AL West champ A's won 11 of their last 14 games. Angels won ten of their last fourteen games.

Cold teams
-- Phillies lost four of their last five games. Marlins lost eight of last eleven.
-- Cubs lost 11 of their last 14 games.
-- Milwaukee lost four of its last six games.
-- Padres lost three of their last four games.

-- Rockies lost seven of their last ten games. Boston is 3-4 in its last seven.

-- Orioles are 5-11 in their last sixteen games. Blue Jays lost nine of their last fourteen games.
-- Bronx scored one run in last two games; they're 3-7 in their last ten.
-- White Sox lost 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Astros lost their last 11 games, outscored 62-16.
-- Twins lost 11 of their last 14 games.
-- Mariners lost 12 of their last 16 games.

Umpires
-- Phil-Mia-- Home side won seven of last eight Baker games.
-- Mil-Atl-- 10 of last 12 Nauert games stayed under total.
-- NY-Cin-- Favorites won 11 of last 14 Gibson games.
-- Pitt-Chi-- Five of last seven Marquez games went over.
-- Wsh-StL-- Underdogs are 8-7 in last fifteen Kellogg games.
-- Az-SD-- Visiting team won last four Ripperger games.
-- LA-SF-- Favorites won eight of last nine Bell games.

-- Bos-Col-- Six of last seven Fletcher games stayed under.

-- Chi-Cle-- Seven of last ten Everitt games stayed under.
-- TB-NY-- Seven of last ten Winters games stayed under.
-- Tor-Blt-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Guccione games.
-- Hst-Tex-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Conroy games.
-- Det-Minn-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Culbreth games.
-- A's-LA-- Six of last eight Hirschbeck games stayed under.
-- KC-Sea-- Underdogs won four of last six Cederstrom games.

[Udog]

MLB

Wednesday, September 25

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Trend Report
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12:35 PM
NY METS vs. CINCINNATI
NY Mets are 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing NY Mets

1:45 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Washington's last 17 games on the road
Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
St. Louis is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

2:20 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games at home

3:35 PM
OAKLAND vs. LA ANGELS
Oakland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

7:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
NY Yankees are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay

7:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. CLEVELAND
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:05 PM
TORONTO vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 15 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

7:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MIAMI
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ATLANTA
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home

8:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Texas is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
Texas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

8:10 PM
DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Minnesota's last 19 games when playing Detroit

8:40 PM
BOSTON vs. COLORADO
Boston is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

10:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 12 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Seattle is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

10:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. SAN DIEGO
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

10:15 PM
LA DODGERS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games


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[Udog]

MLB

Wednesday, September 25

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Wednesday's MLB betting notes and tips
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NATIONAL

New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds (-190, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Reds right-hander Mat Latos is 9-1 with a 2.89 ERA and .228 opposition batting average in 13 home starts.

Hot batting stat: Cincinnati OF Shin-Soo Choo is a .286 career hitter with two home runs in 14 at-bats against Mets righty Daisuke Matsuzaka.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with mostly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Reds are 10-1 in their last 11 Wednesday games.


Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals (-133, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Nationals right-hander Jordan Zimmermann has struggled against St. Louis in his career, going 0-2 with a 9.12 ERA and six home runs allowed over 25 2/3 innings.

Hot batting stat: Cardinals C Yadier Molina is a career .455 hitter in 11 at-bats versus Zimmermann.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-70s with mostly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: St. Louis is 5-0 in rookie starter Shelby Miller's last five outings on four days' rest.


Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs (+160, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Pirates left-hander Francisco Liriano is 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA and 34 strkeouts in five career starts against the Cubs.

Cold batting stat: Cubs 1B Anthony Rizzo is batting just .184 in 185 at-bats against lefties this season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s under sunny skies. Wind will blow in from right-center field at 10 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-1 in Liriano's previous six starts as a road favorite.


Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves (-154, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Brewers right-hander Kyle Lohse is just 3-6 with a 4.15 ERA and 13 home runs against in 15 starts away from Milwaukee.

Hot batting stat: Milwaukee OF Carlos Gomez is 8-for-19 with a home run lifetime against Braves starter Paul Maholm.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 65 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow from right to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 14-3 in Lohse's last 17 starts against teams with winning records.


Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins (+126, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Phillies left-hander Cole Hamels was sensational in his previous start against the Marlins, limiting them to a run on four hits while racking up 11 strikeouts in a 6-1 win.

Hot batting stat: Miami OF Chris Coghlan is a career .346 hitter with two home runs in 26 at-bats against Hamels.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s, but with a 55 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms, the roof at Marlins Park may be closed. Wind will blow from left to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: Philadelphia is 19-7 in Hamels' previous 26 Wednesday starts.


Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres (-125, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Padres right-hander Ian Kennedy struggled in his only career start against his former team, surrendering six runs on six hits over 4 1/3 innings of a 10-9 loss.

Cold batting stat: San Diego hitters are batting just 3-for-30 against Arizona starter Randall Delgado.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with mostly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 6-1 in Delgado's last seven starts on four days' rest.


Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants (-130, 6.5)

Cold pitching stat: Dodgers righty Ricky Nolasco has surrendered 13 runs on 16 hits over his last two starts, spanning 6 1/3 innings.

Cold batting stat: Los Angeles 1B Adrian Gonzalez has struggled mightily against Gianst starter Madison Bumgarner, managing just two hits in 20 career at-bats.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: The Dodgers have won seven of Nolasco's last eight road starts.


AMERICAN

Oakland Athletics at Los Angeles Angels (-137, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Angels right-hander Jered Weaver is 10-7 with a 2.27 ERA in 166 2/3 career innings versus the Athletics.

Cold batting stat: Athletics OF Coco Crisp is a career .146 hitter with zero home runs or RBIs and 10 strikeouts in 48 at-bats against Weaver.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Los Angeles is 8-0 in Weaver's last eight starts on 10 or more days of rest.


Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles (-152, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Orioles right-hander Bud Norris is 4-4 with a 5.06 ERA in 10 starts and two relief appearances since the All-Star break.

Hot batting stat: Blue Jays SS Jose Reyes has five hits in 13 all-time at-bats against Norris.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will be calm.

Key betting note: The over is 7-0 in umpire Chris Guccione's last seven games behind home plate involving Baltimore.


Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians (-265, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: White Sox righty Dylan Axelrod has been dreadful on the road, going 1-8 with a 7.36 ERA in 11 starts and four relief outings.

Cold batting stat: Indians OF Nick Swisher is hitless in 11 career at-bats against Axelrod, though he has walked twice.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 6-0 in Axelrod's last six starts as a road underdog.


Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees (OFF, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Rays left-hander David Price is 5-3 with a 2.98 ERA and just six home runs allowed in 13 second-half starts.

Hot batting stat: Tampa Bay OF Matt Joyce and DH Luke Scott are a combined 14-for-33 against Yankees starter Phil Hughes.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with clear skies. Wind will blow in from center field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: New York is 2-11 in Hughes' last 13 Wednesday starts.


Houston Astros at Texas Rangers (-280, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Rangers left-hander Martin Perez is 0-2 in three starts since reeling off a six-game winning streak.

Cold batting stat: Astros OF Chris Carter is batting .225 with 63 strikeouts in 142 at-bats against lefties so far this season.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-90s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: Houston is 1-11 in starter Dallas Keuchel's last 12 appearances on five days' rest.


Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins (OFF, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Tigers right-hander Max Scherzer is 8-2 with a 2.44 ERA and 119 strikeouts in 103 1/3 innings away from Detroit.

Hot batting stat: Detroit 3B Miguel Cabrera is batting a sizzling .440 with a homer and eight RBIs in 25 at-bats against Twins starter Kevin Correia.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The Twins are 3-13 in Correia's last 16 starts.


Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners (-109, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Mariners right-hander Hisashi Iwakuma has held opponents scoreless in three of his last four starts.

Hot batting stat: Seattle 2B Kyle Seager is hitting .277 with 14 homers in 310 at-bats against right-handers in 2013.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-50s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 9-1 in Seattle's last 10 Wednesday games.


INTERLEAGUE

Boston Red Sox at Colorado Rockies (+160, 10)

Hot pitching stat: Rockies right-hander Jhoulys Chacin is 9-4 with a 3.77 ERA in 17 home starts this season.

Hot/Cold batting stat: Colorado 1B Todd Helton is a career .348 hitter with three homers in 46 at-bats versus Red Sox starter Jake Peavy.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 4-1-2 in Colorado's last seven Wednesday games.


** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 8:55 p.m. ET Tuesday.



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

MLB

Wednesday, September 25

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Rays at Yankees: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees (N/A)

The New York Yankees have absolutely no margin for error left. The Yankees are one loss - or one win by the Cleveland Indians - away from mathematical elimination and will try to stay alive when they host the Tampa Bay Rays on Wednesday. The Rays are winners of five straight games and are leading the wild-card race, a game ahead of Cleveland and two clear of third-place Texas.

Tampa Bay’s pitching staff is allowing an average of two runs during its five-game winning streak and shut out New York 7-0 in the series opener on Tuesday. The Rays are closing out the season on the road and will finish up at last-place Toronto after wrapping up with the Yankees. New York pushed itself out of contention by dropping seven of its last 10 games.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, ESPN, Sun Sports (Tampa Bay), YES (New York)

WEATHER: Temperatures in the high 60s, partly cloudy skies and winds blowing north at 5 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rays LH David Price (8-8, 3.43 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Phil Hughes (4-13, 5.07)

Price is winless in his last five starts and failed to get through seven innings in the last two. The reigning Cy Young Award winner scattered two runs and nine hits over five innings in a no decision against Baltimore on Friday. Price’s last win came against New York on Aug. 24, when he surrendered two runs on five hits over six innings.

Hughes was pushed back into the rotation when CC Sabathia was shut down with a hamstring injury. The 27-year-old has been working on a time-share in the fifth spot of the rotation with David Huff and will be looking to complete five innings for the first time since Aug. 20. Hughes was knocked around by Tampa Bay on July 28, allowing five runs on nine hits in four innings.

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-1 in Prices last seven road starts vs. Yankees.
* Yankees are 4-1 in Hughes' last five starts vs. Rays.
* Over is 3-1-1 in Hughes' last five starts vs. Rays.
* Rays are 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Over is 5-2-1 in Prices last eight starts vs. Yankees.

UMP TRENDS - Mike Winters:

* Under is 7-3 in Winters' last 10 games behind home plate.
* Under is 13-6-1 in Winters' last 20 games behind home plate vs. New York.
* Road team is 4-0 in Winters' last four games behind home plate vs. Tampa Bay.

WALK-OFFS:

1. Rays CF Desmond Jennings (hamstring) missed the last two games and remains day-to-day.

2. New York has missed the playoffs once in the last 18 seasons (2008).

3. Tampa Bay SS Yunel Escobar (left ankle) and C Jose Lobaton (bruised right elbow) both left Tuesday’s series opener and are day-to-day.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, September 25

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NY METS (72 - 85) at CINCINNATI (90 - 68) - 12:35 PM
DAISUKE MATSUZAKA (R) vs. MAT LATOS (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-1 (+2.3 Units) against NY METS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

DAISUKE MATSUZAKA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

MAT LATOS vs. NY METS since 1997
LATOS is 2-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.19 and a WHIP of 1.145.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.1 units)

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WASHINGTON (84 - 74) at ST LOUIS (93 - 65) - 1:45 PM
JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) vs. SHELBY MILLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 84-74 (-6.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 4-18 (-13.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
WASHINGTON is 84-74 (-6.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 59-55 (-11.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 27-36 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 6-15 (-10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 93-65 (+7.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 93-65 (+7.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 74-42 (+19.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 211-134 (+54.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 24-12 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in road games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 35-16 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
ZIMMERMANN is 43-21 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ZIMMERMANN is 43-21 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 47-44 (-13.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ST LOUIS is 70-75 (-19.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 5-0 (+5.5 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 0-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 9.73 and a WHIP of 1.779.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-5. (-5.0 units)

SHELBY MILLER vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
MILLER is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.750.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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PITTSBURGH (91 - 67) at CHICAGO CUBS (65 - 93) - 2:20 PM
FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 19-32 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 46-50 (-20.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LIRIANO is 9-17 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in September games since 1997. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 91-67 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 41-36 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 17-7 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
PITTSBURGH is 42-30 (+11.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 50-42 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 91-67 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 73-54 (+18.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PITTSBURGH is 51-39 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
PITTSBURGH is 56-31 (+18.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 65-93 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 30-50 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 24-48 (-16.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 29-47 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 65-93 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 29-57 (-15.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 139-188 (-65.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 12-6 (+3.8 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
13 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+7.3 Units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LIRIANO is 3-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 0.923.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.7 units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
ARRIETA is 2-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.176.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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MILWAUKEE (70 - 87) at ATLANTA (93 - 64) - 7:10 PM
KYLE LOHSE (R) vs. PAUL MAHOLM (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 153-166 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 153-166 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 15-27 (-12.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 93-64 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 44-20 (+16.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 53-23 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 92-63 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 41-18 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 114-73 (+21.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MAHOLM is 18-6 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MAHOLM is 18-6 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 53-53 (+6.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 42-36 (+14.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 (+1.7 Units) against ATLANTA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

KYLE LOHSE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
LOHSE is 4-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.550.
His team's record is 5-6 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-4. (+2.9 units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
MAHOLM is 4-11 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.457.
His team's record is 7-16 (-7.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-13. (-7.0 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (72 - 85) at MIAMI (58 - 100) - 7:10 PM
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. BRAD HAND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 72-85 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 42-52 (-23.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-47 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-17 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 72-85 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-26 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-40 (-12.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 34-43 (-17.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HAMELS is 13-19 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 13-19 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 7-14 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 4-11 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 58-100 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 101-135 (-40.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 13-27 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 58-98 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MIAMI is 38-70 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 33-67 (-20.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 12-6 (+2.9 Units) against MIAMI this season
11 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

COLE HAMELS vs. MIAMI since 1997
HAMELS is 9-12 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.086.
His team's record is 11-17 (-17.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 17-11. (+3.9 units)

BRAD HAND vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
HAND is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

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ARIZONA (80 - 77) at SAN DIEGO (73 - 84) - 10:10 PM
RANDALL DELGADO (R) vs. IAN KENNEDY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 73-84 (+1.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 43-36 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 73-81 (+4.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 52-57 (+4.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KENNEDY is 13-1 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 17-10 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
ARIZONA is 17-10 (+11.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less this season.
ARIZONA is 15-8 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
ARIZONA is 86-80 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
KENNEDY is 3-10 (-7.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
KENNEDY is 4-12 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 10-7 (+4.7 Units) against ARIZONA this season
8 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

RANDALL DELGADO vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
DELGADO is 1-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.444.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

IAN KENNEDY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
KENNEDY is 0-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 12.47 and a WHIP of 2.540.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.2 units)

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LA DODGERS (91 - 66) at SAN FRANCISCO (72 - 85) - 10:15 PM
RICKY NOLASCO (R) vs. BARRY ZITO (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-8 (+2.0 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.9 Units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
NOLASCO is 5-4 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.73 and a WHIP of 1.182.
His team's record is 6-4 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.3 units)

BARRY ZITO vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
ZITO is 9-10 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.56 and a WHIP of 1.225.
His team's record is 12-14 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-16. (-10.2 units)

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OAKLAND (94 - 64) at LA ANGELS (77 - 80) - 3:35 PM
DANIEL STRAILY (R) vs. JERED WEAVER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 33-17 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
WEAVER is 58-28 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
WEAVER is 15-4 (+10.4 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
WEAVER is 32-9 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
WEAVER is 30-7 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
WEAVER is 57-27 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
WEAVER is 73-36 (+25.6 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 94-64 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 42-35 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 34-17 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 21-12 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
OAKLAND is 91-60 (+20.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 62-42 (+12.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 74-59 (+18.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 91-55 (+24.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 77-80 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 38-42 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA ANGELS are 31-40 (-19.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA ANGELS are 17-21 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 72-79 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 34-47 (-14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 11-7 (+3.7 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
12 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.1 Units)

DANIEL STRAILY vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
STRAILY is 1-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 6.91 and a WHIP of 1.536.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.1 units)

JERED WEAVER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
WEAVER is 10-7 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.27 and a WHIP of 1.050.
His team's record is 14-11 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 19-4. (+14.2 units)

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TORONTO (72 - 85) at BALTIMORE (81 - 76) - 7:05 PM
ESMIL ROGERS (R) vs. BUD NORRIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 72-85 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 28-43 (-11.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 42-56 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 177-148 (+35.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 69-56 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 45-35 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 77-71 (+14.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 162-125 (+39.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 36-20 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 124-101 (+29.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 83-63 (+25.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
NORRIS is 10-3 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 81-72 (-34.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 181-305 (-103.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 9-8 (+1.6 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
10 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.2 Units)

ESMIL ROGERS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
ROGERS is 0-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

BUD NORRIS vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHI WHITE SOX (62 - 95) at CLEVELAND (87 - 70) - 7:05 PM
DYLAN AXELROD (R) vs. DANNY SALAZAR (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 62-95 (-29.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 26-54 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 17-34 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 25-46 (-18.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 60-90 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 38-64 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 49-71 (-15.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 31-62 (-29.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 11-32 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 11-39 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 87-70 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 50-30 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 39-32 (+8.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CLEVELAND is 84-67 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 55-50 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 54-49 (+5.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 51-34 (+14.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 53-23 (+26.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CLEVELAND is 32-12 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 105-111 (-35.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 16-2 (+14.8 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

DYLAN AXELROD vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
AXELROD is 0-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.440.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

DANNY SALAZAR vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
SALAZAR is 0-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.635.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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TAMPA BAY (88 - 69) at NY YANKEES (82 - 75) - 7:05 PM
DAVID PRICE (L) vs. PHIL HUGHES (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 10-7 (+0.4 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

DAVID PRICE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PRICE is 8-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.264.
His team's record is 12-7 (+5.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-6. (+5.8 units)

PHIL HUGHES vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
HUGHES is 3-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.327.
His team's record is 5-4 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.3 units)

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HOUSTON (51 - 107) at TEXAS (86 - 71) - 8:05 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 51-107 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 72-171 (-48.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 49-102 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 67-144 (-41.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 17-64 (-29.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 20-69 (-29.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 48-23 (+15.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PEREZ is 7-0 (+7.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
PEREZ is 7-0 (+7.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 14-10 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
HOUSTON is 17-20 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
TEXAS is 86-71 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 41-35 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TEXAS is 39-36 (-18.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 7-15 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
TEXAS is 83-67 (-7.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 94-84 (-26.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 16-2 (+11.2 Units) against HOUSTON this season
10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.5 Units)

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. TEXAS since 1997
KEUCHEL is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.65 and a WHIP of 1.257.
His team's record is 1-3 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

MARTIN PEREZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
PEREZ is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.00 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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DETROIT (92 - 66) at MINNESOTA (66 - 91) - 8:10 PM
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. KEVIN CORREIA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 8-10 (+4.3 Units) against DETROIT this season
12 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+7.4 Units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SCHERZER is 5-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.87 and a WHIP of 1.185.
His team's record is 8-3 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+0.6 units)

KEVIN CORREIA vs. DETROIT since 1997
CORREIA is 1-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.144.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

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KANSAS CITY (83 - 74) at SEATTLE (69 - 89) - 10:10 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. HISASHI IWAKUMA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 6-18 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 27-8 (+18.2 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
IWAKUMA is 28-20 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
IWAKUMA is 27-19 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 83-74 (+5.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 39-37 (+6.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 79-71 (+3.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 60-50 (+9.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 22-15 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
SEATTLE is 69-89 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 34-43 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SEATTLE is 2-9 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday this season.
SEATTLE is 66-86 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 23-31 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 23-29 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 41-50 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in home games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
SEATTLE is 13-20 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 4-2 (+1.2 Units) against SEATTLE this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
SANTANA is 12-7 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.306.
His team's record is 19-11 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 15-14. (-0.9 units)

HISASHI IWAKUMA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

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BOSTON (95 - 63) at COLORADO (72 - 86) - 8:40 PM
JAKE PEAVY (R) vs. JHOULYS CHACIN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-1 (+0.5 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JAKE PEAVY vs. COLORADO since 1997
PEAVY is 4-6 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.350.
His team's record is 8-10 (-6.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-6. (+3.6 units)

JHOULYS CHACIN vs. BOSTON since 1997
CHACIN is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.349.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet

Wednesday, September 25

National League

NY Mets at Cincinnati, 12:35 ET
Matsuzaka: NY Mets 20-12 SU in road games after a game where the bullpen gave up no runs
Latos: Cincinnati 16-19 SU after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games

Washington at St Louis, 1:45 ET
Zimmerman: Washington 4-18 SU as a road underdog of +100 to +125
Miller: St Louis 14-2 SU in home games against NL East opponents

Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 ET
Liriano: Pittsburgh 17-7 SU when playing on Wednesday
Arrieta: Chicago Cubs 2-12 SU at home when the total is 7 or less

Milwaukee at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
Lohse: Milwaukee 15-27 SU against left-handed starters
Maholm: Atlanta 41-18 SU in home games against right-handed starters

Philadelphia at Miami, 7:10 ET
Hamels: Philadelphia 3-10 SU after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals
Hand: Miami 65-35 SU in home games after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games

Arizona at San Diego, 10:10 ET
Delgado: Arizona 3-11 SU after allowing one run or less in a win over a division rival
Kennedy: San Diego 14-7 SU after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits

LA Dodgers at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Nolasco: LA Dodgers 16-4 SU after 6 or more consecutive road games
Zito: San Francisco 10-17 SU in home games after a one run loss


American League

Oakland at LA Angels, 3:35 ET
Straily: Oakland 21-12 SU in road games against division opponents
Weaver: LA Angels 27-41 SU after 2 or more consecutive home games

Toronto at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Rogers: Toronto is 13-29 SU after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games
Norris: Baltimore 26-17 SU after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Axelrod: White Sox 21-46 SU as a road underdog of +100 or higher
Salazar: Cleveland 18-6 SU in home games after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games

Tampa Bay at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
Price: Tampa Bay 19-3 SU after a game where they had 6 or more extra base hits
Hughes: NY Yankees 6-15 SU after 4 or more consecutive unders

Houston at Texas, 8:05 ET
Keuchel: Houston 14-10 SU when playing on Wednesday
Perez: Texas 7-15 SU in September

Detroit at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Scherzer: Detroit 22-27 SU on the road when the total is 7.5 or less
Correia: Minnesota 39-28 SU with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20

Kansas City at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Santana: Kansas City 52-43 SU after 1 or more consecutive unders
Iwakuma: Seattle 2-9 SU in home games when playing on Wednesday
I

nterleague

Boston at Colorado, 8:40 ET
Peavy: Boston 62-42 SU against right-handed starters
Chacin: Colorado 7-27 SU in an inter-league game

[Udog]

Where the action is: NFL mid-week line moves

NFL Week 4 lines have been on the board since late Sunday at some books which is more than enough time for the betting markets to force the oddsmakers’ hands and adjust those original odds. We talk to online sportsbooks about the biggest mid-week line moves heading toward the weekend:

Seattle Seahawks at Houston Texans – Open: 43.5, Move: 41.5

The total for this highly-anticipated matchup has been trimmed as many as two points at some books, with early action expecting a defensive stalemate. Seattle is tops in the league, allowing just nine points on 241.7 yards per game. Houston is right behind them, giving up only 249 yards per contests through the first three weeks.

Sharp money has come in on the Under but bookmakers expect the public to look to the Over, after the Seahawks scored 45 points in a blowout win over Jacksonville last Sunday.

“It’s still very early, but so far we’ve written more bets on the Over,” Peter Childs of Sportsbook.com tells Covers. “But, we very much respect the Under action more than the Over action.”

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars – Open: +9.5, Move: +7.5

As mentioned above, the Jaguars are coming off a thrashing in Seattle but the early action has trimmed this spread as many as two points. The Colts have a bad habit of finding themselves in close games – no matter the level of competition – and could be bound for a letdown after upsetting San Francisco last Sunday.

“This line definitely looks heavy on Indianapolis, but it’s hard not to favor them by a good amount,” Aron Black of Bet365.com tells Covers. “It’s a lot of points to give on the road, but you can’t say Jacksonville is worth too much regardless if it’s at home or on the road. Indy is one of our heavier-played teams so far, and Jacksonville is about as friendless as you can be for a mid-week position. I can’t see this going anywhere but towards Indianapolis.”

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Minnesota Vikings – Open: Pick, Move: +2.5

This neutral-site game in London, England features two 0-3 squads looking for their first win – regardless of what country it comes in. Despite an embarrassing loss to Chicago on Sunday Night Football, the betting market is still behind the Steelers – especially with Minnesota QB Christian Ponder listed as questionable with a rib injury.

“Ponder’s backup Matt Cassell isn’t that much of a downgrade from Ponder. We feel bettors are going to back the Steelers in this game,” says Childs.

With this game taking place at Wembley Stadium, UK books usually take extra action on these NFL England showcases. However, according to Black, the winless records of both sides are keeping the early action at bay. He does expect more money to come closer to kickoff Sunday.

Dallas Cowboys at San Diego Chargers – Open: Pick, Move: +2.5

The Cowboys impressed enough people with their thumping of St. Louis last week to move this spread off the fence and as many as 2.5 points. That, coupled with San Diego’s poor defense and bad habit of imploding late in the game has this line teetering on the key number of three.

“Action so far is pretty split,” says Black. “And it’s hard to tell where this line will go, but I would say it stays pretty solid where it is, barring any unforeseen news.”

New England Patriots at Atlanta Falcons – Open: Pick, Move: -2.5

The Patriots have fallen out of favor with bettors after a not-so-impressive 3-0 start. New England has squeaked by the Bills and Jets, and took advantage of a crumbling Tampa Bay team last weekend.

Atlanta isn’t that hot right now either, falling to 1-2 after a loss to Miami in Week 3. Last year, the Falcons didn’t suffer their second loss until Week 14. According to Childs, both sharp and public money on Atlanta has pushed the opener as many as 2.5 points.

“That’s a pretty big move considering the team they are facing, a 3-0 Pats team that the public usually loves to back,” says Childs. “From the support the Falcons are seeing in this game, it’s a testament that people are very down on the Patriots and don’t buy their 3-0 start against arguably the worst teams in the NFL.”

Childs does believe there will be some buyback on New England as an underdog. With this being the Sunday Night Football matchup – often the banker game for an NFL Sunday – he says books will be cheering for the Patriots, which is a rare occurrence in NFL betting.

“It might be a welcome change for us to root for the Pats and the plus points,” he says.