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Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 9/19 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

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  • Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 9/19 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, September 19

    Good Luck on day #263 of 2013!

    At this time, the sports menu in this thread consists of MLB, CFL and WNBA until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    CFL Matchups

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    NASCAR Schedules

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Some NFL trends for your perusal, with Week 3 on the horizon.......

    -- Raiders covered nine of last 13 tries as a double digit underdog.

    -- Tennessee is 8-15 vs spread last 23 times it was a favorite.

    -- 49ers are 14-4-1 vs spread in their last nineteen home games.

    -- Atlanta is 11-4-1 vs spread when facing AFC teams the last four years.

    -- Washington is 5-15 vs spread last 20 times they were a non-divisional home favorite.

    -- Dallas is 7-21-1 vs spread in last 29 games as a favorite.


    *****

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Our NFL List of 13...........

    32) Jaguars—One TD in two games, didn’t even cover as 6.5-point dogs in Oakland where Raiders had been 9-23 as a home favorite over last decade. 20-point dogs this week- they do have sharp-looking uniforms though.

    31) Browns—Horrendous uniforms and now their QB is hurt after failing to score a TD in Baltimore last week. Looks like they're going with Hoyer over the more experienced Campbell this week, a curious decision.

    Trading Trent Richardson to the Colts gives them two #1 picks next April and is kicking sand in face of previous Browns adminiustration.

    30) Panthers—Lot of times I watch Carolina games because I enjoy watching Cam Newton play, but for Pete’s sake, could you give him a better OC than Mike Shula? How can an NFL franchise that has to be worth a half a billion dollars pinch pennies with its coaching staff?

    What else is there to spend money on? You want to pinch pennies, fire the cheerleaders. Good grief. Anyway, they should’ve won in Buffalo last week and now a desperate 0-2 Giant team comes calling. Interesting game.

    29) Redskins—Outscored 50-7 in first half of their two games; no one seems to know if QB is hurt, or if his knee is just restricting his movement. They better beat Detroit this week, or things could get ugly, since we’re such a patient society these days.

    28) Steelers—You can’t run the ball without an adequate offensive line; actually, you can’t do much of anything with a leaky OL, but at least if they let Big Ben throw the ball a lot, they’d have a better chance to win and they’d be watchable.

    8) 49ers—They got smoked in Seattle LY too and wound up in the Super Bowl. Niners host Harbaugh’s old team this week, as Luck returns to the Bay Area with his Colts.

    7) Chiefs—Trivia; KC was first team, other than Lombardi’s Packers, to play in two Super Bowls, but they haven’t been in one since winning Super Bowl IV. Reid’s 2-0 start has people in KC optimistic again.

    6) Texans—First team since at least 1970 to start 2-0 while winning both games on last play of the game; tough game in Baltimore this week, with Andre Johnson banged-up. Clemson rookie WR Hopkins looks like a keeper.

    5) Patriots—Will be interesting to follow their WR’s progress, as they learn NFL game from ground up. am thinking they’ll be lot tougher after their bye week.

    4) Saints—Won first two games by skin of their teeth; could be a team that needs home field in playoffs, or at least to play in a dome somewhere- they seemed out of sync outdoors on grass last week.

    3) Dolphins—Hey, you start an NFL season with two road wins, and I don’t care who they were against, you get ranked this high. Miami didn’t have a penalty last week; hope they get a sellout for their home opener with Atlanta this week.

    2) Seahawks—Really good on defense, still not sold on their passing game. Scored 12 points at Carolina, completed less than half their passes against 49ers last week. Championship-level teams do better than that.

    1) Broncos—Speaking of which, they’ve scored 90 points in two games against good teams. Now we’ll see how they do as 14-point favorites against a bitter dicvisional rival Monday night.

    Comment


    • #3
      WNBA
      Dunkel


      Washington at Atlanta
      The Dream look to open up the playoffs and build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 home games versus the Mystics. Atlanta is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-6). Here are all of today's picks.

      THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 19

      Game 651-652: Washington at Atlanta (8:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Washington 107.664; Atlanta 115.986
      Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 8 1/2; 147
      Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 152
      Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-6); Under

      Game 653-654: Phoenix at Los Angeles (10:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 110.163; Los Angeles 120.327
      Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 10; 168
      Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 7 1/2; 161 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-7 1/2); Over




      WNBA
      Long Sheet

      Monday, September 16


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      WASHINGTON (17 - 17) at ATLANTA (17 - 17) - 9/19/2013, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      WASHINGTON is 244-296 ATS (-81.6 Units) in all games since 1997.
      WASHINGTON is 153-195 ATS (-61.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
      WASHINGTON is 34-59 ATS (-30.9 Units) in road games in August or September games since 1997.
      WASHINGTON is 43-69 ATS (-32.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
      WASHINGTON is 153-193 ATS (-59.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1997.
      WASHINGTON is 17-36 ATS (-22.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1997.
      WASHINGTON is 8-25 ATS (-19.5 Units) after allowing 55 points or less since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ATLANTA is 8-6 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
      ATLANTA is 10-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
      9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      PHOENIX (19 - 15) at LOS ANGELES (24 - 10) - 9/19/2013, 10:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      PHOENIX is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in August or September games over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
      PHOENIX is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
      PHOENIX is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
      LOS ANGELES is 13-21 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games this season.
      LOS ANGELES is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after a division game this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      LOS ANGELES is 8-5 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
      LOS ANGELES is 9-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
      7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      WNBA

      Monday, September 16


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      8:00 PM
      WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
      The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 12 games
      Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
      Atlanta is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
      See more trends!

      10:00 PM
      PHOENIX vs. LOS ANGELES
      Phoenix is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
      Phoenix is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games at home
      Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        MLB
        Dunkel


        NY Yankees at Toronto
        The Yankees look to build on their 5-1 record in Hiroki Kuroda's last 6 starts against the Blue Jays. New York is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-130). Here are all of today's picks.

        THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 19

        Game 951-952: San Diego at Pittsburgh (12:35 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Kennedy) 15.770; Pittsburgh (Cole) 14.545
        Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8
        Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-165); 7
        Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+145); Over

        Game 953-954: San Francisco at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.739; NY Mets (Niese) 14.137
        Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
        Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 7
        Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-150); Under

        Game 955-956: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Arrieta) 14.810; Milwaukee (Lohse) 14.113
        Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 7
        Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-155); 8
        Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+135); Under

        Game 957-958: St. Louis at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wacha) 15.111; Colorado (Oswalt) 13.790
        Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 11
        Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); 10
        Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-170); Over

        Game 959-960: LA Dodgers at Arizona (3:40 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Nolasco) 15.479; Arizona (Miley) 14.274
        Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 7
        Vegas Line: Arizona (-110); 8
        Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-110); Under

        Game 961-962: Miami at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Alvarez) 13.678; Washington (Gonzalez) 16.045
        Dunkel Line: Washington by 2 1/2; 8
        Vegas Line: Washington (-270); 7
        Dunkel Pick: Washington (-270); Over

        Game 963-964: Seattle at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Paxton) 15.435; Detroit (Fister) 14.424
        Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7
        Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 8
        Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+170); Under

        Game 965-966: Houston at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 14.270; Cleveland (Jimenez) 15.727
        Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 9
        Vegas Line: Cleveland (-240); 8
        Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-240); Over

        Game 967-968: NY Yankees at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 16.167; Toronto (Redmond) 14.765
        Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7
        Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-130); 8 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-130); Under

        Game 969-970: Baltimore at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 17.449; Boston (Lackey) 16.658
        Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9
        Vegas Line: Boston (-140); 8 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+120); Over

        Game 971-972: Texas at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 15.588; Tampa Bay (Moore) 14.671
        Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8
        Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 7
        Dunkel Pick: Texas (+100); Over

        Game 973-974: Minnesota at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Correia) 13.553; Oakland (Straily) 16.026
        Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2 1/2; 7
        Vegas Line: Oakland (-230); 7 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-230); Under

        Comment


        • #5
          MLB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Thursday, September 19


          Hot pitchers
          -- Cole is 1-0, 2.08 in his last couple starts. Kennedy is 1-0, 3.18 in his last three outings.
          -- Bumgarner is 1-0, 2.00 in his last three starts. Niese is 3-1, 2.93 in his last six.
          -- Wacha is 2-1, 1.86 in his last five starts.
          -- Miley is 1-0, 2.70 in his last two starts. Nolasco is 4-1, 3.00 in his last five starts, but got KO'd in second inning in his last start.
          -- Gonzalez is 3-1, 2.93 in his last four starts.

          -- Paxton is 2-0, 1.50 in his first two starts.
          -- Jimenez is 3-0, 0.84 in his last three starts.
          -- Redmond is 2-0, 3.31 in his last three starts.
          -- Moore is 7-0, 2.04 in his last ten starts.
          -- Straily is 4-0, 1.90 in his last four starts.

          Cold pitchers
          -- Arrieta is 1-2, 6.66 in his last five starts. Lohse is 1-1, 4.97 in his last four.
          -- Oswalt is 0-5, 6.85 in five starts this season.
          -- Alvarez is 2-3, 5.28 in his last six starts.

          -- Fister is 1-3, 4.50 in his last four starts.
          -- Keuchel is 1-2, 7.88 in his last three starts.
          -- Kuroda is 0-4, 7.71 in his last six starts.
          -- Lackey is 1-2, 4.93 in his last five starts. Tillman is 1-2, 4.43 in his last three.
          -- Darvish is 0-4, 3.51 in his last four starts; he lost his last two starts 1-0.
          -- Correia is 1-4, 4.05 in his last six starts.

          Starting Pitchers/First Inning
          You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
          -- Kennedy 9-29 (0 of last 8); Cole 5-16 (3 of last 3)
          -- Bumgarner 3-30 (0 of last 10); Niese 7-21
          -- Arrieta 2-12 (0 of 7 with Chi); Lohse 8-30 (1 of last 12)
          -- Wacha 1-7; Oswalt 1-5
          -- Nolasco 7-30 (1 of last 8); Miley 10-30 (4 of last 7)
          -- Alvarez 2-13; Gonzalez 8-30

          -- Paxton 0-2; Fister 7-30
          -- Keuchel 3-20 (1 of last 6); Jimenez 6-29 (1 of last 14)
          -- Kuroda 9-30 (3 of last 4); Redmond 2-11
          -- Tillman 8-30 (4 of last 7); Lackey 10-27 (1 of last 6)
          -- Darvish 9-28; Moore 7-24 (1 of last 10)
          -- Correia 7-29 (1 of last 15); Straily 6-25 (1 of last 5)

          Totals
          -- Nine of last twelve San Diego games stayed under the total.
          -- Three of last four Giant games went over the total.
          -- Ten of last twelve Cub games stayed under the total.
          -- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Colorado games.
          -- Seven of last nine Arizona games went over the total.
          -- Six of last eight Miami games stayed under the total.

          -- Eight of last eleven Detroit games stayed under the total.
          -- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Cleveland games.
          -- Last six Toronto games stayed under the total.
          -- Under is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Baltimore games.
          -- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Tampa Bay games.
          -- 11 of last 17 Minnesota games went over the total.

          Hot teams
          -- San Diego won nine of its last twelve games.
          -- Giants won seven of their last ten games. Mets won four of last six.
          -- Brewers won six of their last seven games.
          -- Cardinals won nine of their last twelve games.
          -- Diamondbacks won five of their last seven games.
          -- Washington won 12 of its last 15 games..

          -- Detroit won six of its last eight games.
          -- Indians won ten of their last fifteen games.
          -- Red Sox won eight of their last twelve games. Orioles won four of last five.
          -- Tampa Bay won five of its last seven games.
          -- A's won nine of their last twelve games.

          Cold teams
          -- Pirates lost last three games, scoring four runs.
          -- Cubs are 11-25 in their last 36 games.
          -- Colorado lost 11 of its last 15 games.
          -- Dodgers lost ten of their last thirteen games.
          -- Miami lost ten of its last thirteen games.

          -- Mariners lost eight of their last ten games.
          -- Astros lost last five games, outscored 30-9.
          -- Blue Jays lost six of their last eight games. Bronx lost four of its last five.
          -- Texas lost 11 of its last 13 games.
          -- Twins lost 10 of their last 14 games.

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB

            Thursday, September 19


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            12:35 PM
            SAN DIEGO vs. PITTSBURGH
            San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
            Pittsburgh is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against San Diego
            Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego

            1:08 PM
            SEATTLE vs. DETROIT
            Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
            Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
            Detroit is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

            1:10 PM
            SAN FRANCISCO vs. NY METS
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
            NY Mets are 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against San Francisco
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games

            2:10 PM
            CHI CUBS vs. MILWAUKEE
            Chi Cubs are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
            Milwaukee is 12-2 SU in their last 14 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
            Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

            3:10 PM
            ST. LOUIS vs. COLORADO
            St. Louis is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing Colorado
            St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Colorado's last 10 games at home
            Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

            3:40 PM
            LA DODGERS vs. ARIZONA
            LA Dodgers are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing Arizona
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games
            Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games

            7:05 PM
            MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
            Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
            Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
            The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 13 games
            Washington is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

            7:05 PM
            HOUSTON vs. CLEVELAND
            Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
            Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

            7:07 PM
            NY YANKEES vs. TORONTO
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 8 games when playing Toronto
            NY Yankees are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games when playing Toronto
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
            Toronto is 3-12 SU in their last 15 games when playing NY Yankees

            7:10 PM
            BALTIMORE vs. BOSTON
            Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Boston
            Boston is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
            Boston is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Baltimore

            7:10 PM
            TEXAS vs. TAMPA BAY
            Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
            Texas is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games on the road
            Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Texas
            Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

            10:05 PM
            MINNESOTA vs. OAKLAND
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oakland
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing Oakland
            Oakland is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
            Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • #7
              MLB

              Thursday, September 19


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Thursday's MLB betting notes and tips
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              NATIONAL

              San Diego Padres at Pittsburgh Pirates (-145, 7)

              Hot pitching stat: Pirates right-hander Gerrit Cole has won back-to-back starts against Texas and the Chicago Cubs, surrendering just one run on eight hits in 14 innings over that stretch.

              Cold batting stat: Pittsburgh SS Clint Barmes and 3B Pedro Alvarez are a combined 2-for-26 against Padres starter Ian Kennedy.

              Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 6 mph.

              Key betting note: Pittsburgh is 8-2 in the finale of its last 10 four-game series.


              San Francisco Giants at New York Mets (+130, 7)

              Cold pitching stat: Mets left-hander Jonathon Niese is 3-5 with a 4.48 ERA in 11 afternoon starts this season.

              Cold batting stat: New York OF Eric Young, Jr. has just three hits with six strikeouts in 21 at-bats against Giants starter Madison Bumgarner.

              Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with clear skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

              Key betting note: The Mets have lost 11 of their last 12 games against left-handed starters.


              Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers (-157, 8)

              Cold pitching stat: Cubs right-hander Jake Arrieta was roughed up in his last outing against Milwaukee, allowing four runs over five innings of a 5-3 loss.

              Hot batting stat: Chicago OF Junior Lake is 3-for-6 with a homer and four RBIs against Brewers starter Kyle Lohse.

              Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 50 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow from right to left field at 10 mph.

              Key betting note: Milwaukee is 9-2 in Lohse's last 11 home starts.


              St. Louis Cardinals at Colorado Rockies (+155, 10)

              Cold pitching stat: Rockies right-hander Roy Oswalt has lost all six of his starts in 2013 while allowing opponents to hit .360.

              Hot batting stat: Cardinals OF Carlos Beltran is 11-for-31 with a homer and eight RBIs in his career against Oswalt.

              Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 4 mph.

              Key betting note: The over is 6-0 in umpire Victor Carapazza's last six games behind home plate.


              Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks (-105, 8)

              Hot pitching stat: Dodgers right-hander Ricky Nolasco is 8-2 with a 2.63 ERA in 13 starts since joining the club in a trade with Miami.

              Hot batting stat: Los Angeles 2B Mark Ellis is 10-for-20 with four solo home runs lifetime against Diamondbacks righty Wade Miley.

              Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-90s with clear skies. Wind will blow from left to right field at 4 mph.

              Key betting note: Arizona is 6-0 in Miley's last six starts against teams with winning records.


              Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals (-250, 7)

              Hot pitching stat: Nationals right-hander Stephen Strasburg has limited opposing hitters to a .181 average in 10 second-half starts.

              Hot batting stat: Washington 3B Ryan Zimmerman has hit 10 home runs in a month for just the second time in his career.

              Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 5 mph.

              Key betting note: The over is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings.


              AMERICAN

              Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers (-185, 8)

              Hot pitching stat: Tigers right-hander Doug Fister is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA in 14 innings against the Mariners, who drafted him in the seventh round in 2006.

              Cold batting stat: Members of the Seattle roster are hitting a collective .229 in 48 at-bats against Fister.

              Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 30 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms. Wind will blow in from right field at 9 mph.

              Key betting note: The under is 11-1 in Fister's previous 12 starts against teams with losing records.


              Houston Astros at Cleveland Indians (-215, 8)

              Hot pitching stat: Indians right-hander Ubaldo Jimenez is 5-5 with a 1.83 ERA and 71 strikeouts in 10 second-half starts.

              Cold batting stat: Cleveland OF Michael Bourn is hitting just .138 with eight strikeouts in 38 career at-bats against the Astros.

              Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with a 45 percent chance of showers. Wind will blow out to left-center field at 6 mph.

              Key betting note: Houston is 1-10 in starter Dallas Keuchel's last 11 outings on five days' rest.


              New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays (+108, 8.5)

              Cold pitching stat: Yankees right-hander Hiroki Kuroda struggled in his previous start against Toronto, surrendering seven runs - five earned - on nine hits over five innings of a 7-2 defeat.

              Hot batting stat: Blue Jays C J.P. Arencibia is 9-for-21 with a homer against Kuroda.

              Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 6 mph.

              Key betting note: New York has lost eight of Kuroda's last 10 starts against American League East opponents.


              Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox (-130, 8.5)

              Hot pitching stat: Orioles right-hander Chris Tillman has dominated the Red Sox in his career, going 4-1 with a 2.15 ERA in nine starts.

              Hot batting stat: Baltimore slugger Chris Davis is 11-for-26 with a pair of homers and six RBIs against Boston starter John Lackey.

              Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 6 mph.

              Key betting note: The under is 21-5-1 in Lackey's last 27 starts.


              Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays (-114, 7)

              Hot pitching stat: Rays left-hander Matt Moore is 7-0 with a 1.90 ERA in his last 10 starts.

              Cold batting stat: The Tampa Bay roster is batting just .143 with one RBI in 56 at-bats against Texas righty Yu Darvish.

              Weather: Dome.

              Key betting note: Texas has lost Darvish's last six starts.


              Minnesota Twins at Oakland Athletics (-215, 7.5)

              Hot pitching stat: Athletics right-hander Dan Straily has won four straight starts while allowing just five runs over 23 2/3 innings in that span.

              Hot batting stat: Oakland OF Yoenis Cespedes went 5-for-11 with six RBIs in a three-game series against Minnesota earlier this month.

              Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

              Key betting note: The over is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings in Oakland.


              **Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 3:55 p.m. ET Wednesday.


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Comment


              • #8
                MLB
                Long Sheet

                Thursday, September 19


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                SAN DIEGO (71 - 80) at PITTSBURGH (87 - 65) - 12:35 PM
                IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. GERRIT COLE (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                PITTSBURGH is 87-65 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                PITTSBURGH is 48-29 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
                PITTSBURGH is 87-65 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                PITTSBURGH is 70-52 (+18.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                PITTSBURGH is 37-27 (+9.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
                PITTSBURGH is 53-31 (+15.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                SAN DIEGO is 71-80 (+3.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                SAN DIEGO is 11-5 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
                SAN DIEGO is 79-75 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
                SAN DIEGO is 71-77 (+6.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                SAN DIEGO is 447-513 (+37.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
                SAN DIEGO is 35-35 (+7.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
                SAN DIEGO is 22-14 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
                KENNEDY is 8-0 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                PITTSBURGH is 39-45 (-32.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
                PITTSBURGH is 15-30 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
                PITTSBURGH is 43-50 (-23.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                SAN DIEGO is 4-2 (+4.1 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
                4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)

                IAN KENNEDY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
                KENNEDY is 2-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.90 and a WHIP of 1.065.
                His team's record is 2-3 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

                GERRIT COLE vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
                COLE is 0-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.667.
                His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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                SAN FRANCISCO (70 - 82) at NY METS (68 - 83) - 1:10 PM
                MADISON BUMGARNER (L) vs. JON NIESE (L)
                Top Trends for this game.
                SAN FRANCISCO is 70-82 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                SAN FRANCISCO is 33-40 (-16.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
                SAN FRANCISCO is 69-78 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                SAN FRANCISCO is 36-44 (-13.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
                SAN FRANCISCO is 29-43 (-25.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                SAN FRANCISCO is 16-21 (-11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
                NY METS are 22-11 (+14.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
                NY METS are 20-12 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
                SAN FRANCISCO is 85-81 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                SAN FRANCISCO is 62-47 (+14.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
                NY METS are 21-31 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
                NY METS are 8-25 (-14.4 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
                NY METS are 32-44 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
                NY METS are 101-118 (-43.5 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
                NY METS are 12-21 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in home games in day games this season.
                NY METS are 32-44 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
                NY METS are 20-36 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
                NY METS are 10-21 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                NY METS is 4-1 (+4.5 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
                5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.2 Units)

                MADISON BUMGARNER vs. NY METS since 1997
                BUMGARNER is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 1.000.
                His team's record is 1-1 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

                JON NIESE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
                NIESE is 1-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.150.
                His team's record is 1-2 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)

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                CHICAGO CUBS (63 - 89) at MILWAUKEE (68 - 83) - 2:10 PM
                JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. KYLE LOHSE (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 63-89 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 13-28 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 27-62 (-26.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 23-46 (-16.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 27-45 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 63-89 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 42-68 (-19.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 8-22 (-14.0 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 10-33 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
                CHICAGO CUBS are 59-81 (-19.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
                MILWAUKEE is 54-56 (+4.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                MILWAUKEE is 7-20 (-15.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
                MILWAUKEE is 17-33 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                MILWAUKEE is 13-5 (+8.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
                10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.1 Units)

                JAKE ARRIETA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
                ARRIETA is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.000.
                His team's record is 0-2 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

                KYLE LOHSE vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
                LOHSE is 5-5 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.457.
                His team's record is 13-6 (+7.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-13. (-8.7 units)

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                ST LOUIS (89 - 63) at COLORADO (69 - 84) - 3:10 PM
                MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. ROY OSWALT (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                ST LOUIS is 45-42 (-12.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
                OSWALT is 59-27 (+26.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
                ST LOUIS is 71-40 (+19.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                COLORADO is 69-84 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                COLORADO is 115-122 (-30.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
                COLORADO is 2-13 (-14.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
                COLORADO is 40-63 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
                COLORADO is 69-81 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                ST LOUIS is 4-2 (+1.0 Units) against COLORADO this season
                4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

                MICHAEL WACHA vs. COLORADO since 1997
                No recent starts.

                ROY OSWALT vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
                OSWALT is 12-9 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.217.
                His team's record is 16-18 (-6.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 21-13. (+6.6 units)

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                LA DODGERS (87 - 65) at ARIZONA (77 - 74) - 3:40 PM
                RICKY NOLASCO (R) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
                Top Trends for this game.
                LA DODGERS are 32-34 (-13.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
                ARIZONA is 19-10 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                LA DODGERS are 87-65 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                LA DODGERS are 41-33 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
                LA DODGERS are 38-29 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                NOLASCO is 64-48 (+30.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
                NOLASCO is 61-47 (+26.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
                NOLASCO is 34-27 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
                NOLASCO is 10-3 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
                NOLASCO is 6-0 (+7.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)
                ARIZONA is 46-55 (-18.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
                ARIZONA is 30-35 (-15.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                ARIZONA is 10-8 (+3.3 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
                11 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.2 Units)

                RICKY NOLASCO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
                NOLASCO is 8-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.051.
                His team's record is 9-2 (+8.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.2 units)

                WADE MILEY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
                MILEY is 3-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.02 and a WHIP of 1.248.
                His team's record is 4-2 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.5 units)

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                MIAMI (56 - 96) at WASHINGTON (81 - 71) - 7:05 PM
                HENDERSON ALVAREZ (R) vs. GIO GONZALEZ (L)
                There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                WASHINGTON is 11-4 (+5.8 Units) against MIAMI this season
                7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

                HENDERSON ALVAREZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
                ALVAREZ is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.11 and a WHIP of 1.499.
                His team's record is 0-3 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

                GIO GONZALEZ vs. MIAMI since 1997
                GONZALEZ is 3-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.54 and a WHIP of 0.800.
                His team's record is 3-2 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)

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                SEATTLE (67 - 85) at DETROIT (88 - 64) - 1:05 PM
                JAMES PAXTON (L) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                SEATTLE is 67-85 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                SEATTLE is 137-170 (-46.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
                SEATTLE is 64-82 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                DETROIT is 18-3 (+12.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -200 this season.
                DETROIT is 88-64 (-7.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                DETROIT is 84-61 (-8.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                DETROIT is 24-23 (-14.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                DETROIT is 4-2 (+0.7 Units) against SEATTLE this season
                3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

                JAMES PAXTON vs. DETROIT since 1997
                No recent starts.

                DOUG FISTER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
                FISTER is 1-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.643.
                His team's record is 1-1 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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                HOUSTON (51 - 101) at CLEVELAND (82 - 70) - 7:05 PM
                DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. UBALDO JIMENEZ (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                HOUSTON is 106-207 (-46.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                HOUSTON is 21-53 (-20.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
                HOUSTON is 21-63 (-25.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
                HOUSTON is 104-202 (-46.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                HOUSTON is 113-231 (-66.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
                HOUSTON is 67-138 (-35.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
                HOUSTON is 17-58 (-23.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                HOUSTON is 20-63 (-23.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                CLEVELAND is 82-70 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                CLEVELAND is 45-30 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
                CLEVELAND is 79-67 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                CLEVELAND is 29-21 (+10.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
                CLEVELAND is 48-23 (+21.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                CLEVELAND is 27-12 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
                JIMENEZ is 18-11 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
                JIMENEZ is 17-11 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
                HOUSTON is 22-32 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.


                Head-to-Head Series History
                CLEVELAND is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against HOUSTON this season
                1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

                DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
                KEUCHEL is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 1.00 and a WHIP of 0.778.
                His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

                UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
                JIMENEZ is 4-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.49 and a WHIP of 1.154.
                His team's record is 5-2 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)

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                NY YANKEES (80 - 72) at TORONTO (69 - 82) - 7:05 PM
                HIROKI KURODA (R) vs. TODD REDMOND (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                NY YANKEES are 51-64 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
                KURODA is 1-9 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season. (Team's Record)
                NY YANKEES are 80-72 (+5.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                TORONTO is 69-82 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                TORONTO is 37-40 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
                TORONTO is 25-41 (-13.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
                TORONTO is 39-54 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                TORONTO is 41-46 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
                TORONTO is 50-62 (-9.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                TORONTO is 16-30 (-11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                NY YANKEES is 14-4 (+9.6 Units) against TORONTO this season
                10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.2 Units)

                HIROKI KURODA vs. TORONTO since 1997
                KURODA is 4-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.145.
                His team's record is 5-2 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.4 units)

                TODD REDMOND vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
                REDMOND is 1-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.235.
                His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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                BALTIMORE (81 - 70) at BOSTON (92 - 61) - 7:10 PM
                CHRIS TILLMAN (R) vs. JOHN LACKEY (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                BALTIMORE is 38-42 (-9.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
                BOSTON is 92-61 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                BOSTON is 81-54 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                BOSTON is 40-20 (+17.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
                BALTIMORE is 81-70 (+3.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                BALTIMORE is 69-54 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
                BALTIMORE is 11-5 (+9.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 this season.
                BALTIMORE is 87-74 (+32.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                BALTIMORE is 45-29 (+25.6 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
                BALTIMORE is 24-11 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
                BALTIMORE is 77-65 (+21.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                BALTIMORE is 74-61 (+5.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                BALTIMORE is 57-44 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                BALTIMORE is 56-45 (+7.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                BALTIMORE is 45-37 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                TILLMAN is 20-10 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
                TILLMAN is 6-0 (+8.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                TILLMAN is 16-7 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                TILLMAN is 18-9 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
                TILLMAN is 17-5 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
                TILLMAN is 13-6 (+8.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
                TILLMAN is 18-12 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
                BOSTON is 84-74 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
                BOSTON is 25-44 (-27.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
                BOSTON is 29-41 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                BOSTON is 111-114 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
                BOSTON is 102-108 (-24.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
                BOSTON is 45-50 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                BOSTON is 182-179 (-48.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                BALTIMORE is 9-6 (+4.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
                11 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+7.5 Units)

                CHRIS TILLMAN vs. BOSTON since 1997
                TILLMAN is 4-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.15 and a WHIP of 1.172.
                His team's record is 5-4 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.0 units)

                JOHN LACKEY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
                LACKEY is 12-5 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.49 and a WHIP of 1.256.
                His team's record is 15-7 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 15-6. (+8.7 units)

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                TEXAS (82 - 69) at TAMPA BAY (83 - 68) - 7:10 PM
                YU DARVISH (R) vs. MATT MOORE (L)
                Top Trends for this game.
                TEXAS is 82-69 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                TEXAS is 3-13 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
                TEXAS is 69-71 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                TEXAS is 11-23 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
                DARVISH is 14-15 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
                MOORE is 19-5 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
                MOORE is 15-2 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
                TEXAS is 33-21 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                TAMPA BAY is 3-3 (-0.1 Units) against TEXAS this season
                2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

                YU DARVISH vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
                DARVISH is 1-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 0.60 and a WHIP of 0.800.
                His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

                MATT MOORE vs. TEXAS since 1997
                MOORE is 2-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.892.
                His team's record is 2-0 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                MINNESOTA (65 - 86) at OAKLAND (89 - 63) - 10:05 PM
                KEVIN CORREIA (R) vs. DANIEL STRAILY (R)
                Top Trends for this game.
                MINNESOTA is 51-97 (-20.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                OAKLAND is 89-63 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                OAKLAND is 99-60 (+26.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
                OAKLAND is 86-59 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                OAKLAND is 53-36 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                OAKLAND is 59-42 (+9.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                OAKLAND is 73-59 (+17.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
                OAKLAND is 86-54 (+20.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
                MINNESOTA is 19-19 (+16.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 over the last 3 seasons.
                MINNESOTA is 34-43 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
                MINNESOTA is 64-80 (+5.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                CORREIA is 98-89 (+29.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
                CORREIA is 45-46 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
                CORREIA is 96-87 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
                CORREIA is 65-61 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

                Head-to-Head Series History
                OAKLAND is 2-1 (+0.3 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
                2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

                KEVIN CORREIA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
                CORREIA is 1-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.059.
                His team's record is 1-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

                DANIEL STRAILY vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
                No recent starts.

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Comment


                • #9
                  CFL
                  Dunkel


                  Edmonton at Winnipeg
                  The Blue Bombers look to take advantage of an Edmonton team that is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games at Winnipeg. Winnipeg is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Bombers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+2 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

                  FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 20

                  Game 491-492: Edmonton at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 107.849; Winnipeg 108.866
                  Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 1; 55
                  Vegas Line: Edmonton by 2 1/2; 50 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+2 1/2); Over


                  SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 21

                  Game 493-494: Montreal at Hamilton (4:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 107.384; Hamilton 118.244
                  Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 11; 49
                  Vegas Line: Hamilton by 8; 53
                  Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-8); Under

                  Game 495-496: Toronto at Calgary (7:30 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 116.224; Calgary 120.672
                  Dunkel Line: Calgary by 4 1/2; 59
                  Vegas Line: Calgary by 7 1/2; 55
                  Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+7 1/2); Over


                  SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 22

                  Game 497-498: BC at Saskatchewan (4:30 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: BC 112.010; Saskatchewan 120.227
                  Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 8; 48
                  Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 5; 52 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-5); Under



                  CFL
                  Long Sheet


                  Week 13

                  Friday, September 20

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                  EDMONTON (2 - 9) at WINNIPEG (2 - 9) - 9/20/2013, 8:00 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  EDMONTON is 66-94 ATS (-37.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
                  EDMONTON is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1996.
                  EDMONTON is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) when playing on a Friday since 1996.
                  WINNIPEG is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  EDMONTON is 3-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
                  EDMONTON is 3-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
                  3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Saturday, September 21

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                  MONTREAL (4 - 7) at HAMILTON (5 - 6) - 9/21/2013, 4:00 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  HAMILTON is 7-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
                  HAMILTON is 5-3 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
                  5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                  TORONTO (7 - 4) at CALGARY (9 - 2) - 9/21/2013, 7:30 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  TORONTO is 5-1 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
                  TORONTO is 5-1 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
                  3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Sunday, September 22

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                  BRITISH COLUMBIA (7 - 4) at SASKATCHEWAN (8 - 3) - 9/22/2013, 4:30 PM
                  There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
                  BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
                  6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




                  CFL
                  Armadillo's Write-Up

                  Week 13


                  Edmonton (2-9) @ Winnipeg (2-9)—Home teams won last 11 series games; Eskimos lost last five visits here, by 7-10-26-12-1 point. Underdogs are 8-2 vs spread in Edmonton’s last ten visits here. Bombers (+5) lost 25-7 in Edmonton last week, turning ball over four times (-4); they’re -16 in turnovers for season and 1-4 at home, though they did upset Roughriders in last home game. Edmonton snapped 8-game skid last week by running ball for 153 yards; they’re 1-4 on road, with only win over TiCats in rain at Guelph in Week 2- they’re 1-1 as favorites this season, with last week only cover. Winnipeg is home dog to a 2-9 team; not good. Four of five Winnipeg home games, six of last eight Eskimo games went over total, but under is 8-3-1 in last dozen series games.

                  Montreal (4-7) @ Hamilton (5-6)—Tiger Cats are 5-4 in last nine series games, after losing eight of nine to Alouettes before that; Als lost last five visits here, by 37-8-23-8-15-13 points, as home side won eight of last nine series games, with last four in Hamilton going over total (this game is at Guelph, TiCats’ temp home, but you get the idea). Banged-up Alouettes have QB issues with Calvillo out; neither Marsh/Neiswander has proven to be an adequate backup. Alouettes lost last two weeks, allowing 37-36 points; they’re 2-2 as road underdogs, losing away games by 11-3-22 points, with wins at Winnipeg/Toronto. TiCats covered their last six games; they’re 2-2 as home favorites this year, winning home games by 5-23-8 points (3-2 SU). Four of five Hamilton home games this year stayed under total.

                  Toronto (6-5) @ Calgary (9-2)—Underdogs won SU in last seven series games; Stampeders (+3.5) won 35-14 at Toronto four weeks ago, outrushing Argos 177-74, getting three turnovers (+2) while shutting Toronto out in second half in stopping six-game series losing skid. Argonauts won last two visits here 23-21/22-14. Toronto scored 37-31 points while posting upsets last two weeks; they’ve won last four road games since losing 24-16 in Vancouver in Week 2 road opener- they’re 2-1 as road dogs this year. Red-hot Calgary won last four games; they are 3-2 as home favorites, winning at McMahon by 12-11-15-3-4 points- they won last three weeks despite being -1 in turnovers all three games. Four of last five Calgary games stayed under total, but seven of last nine Toronto games went over.

                  BC Lions (7-4) @ Saskatchewan (8-3)—Lions lost QB Lulay (shoulder) last week, either unproven DeMarco (threw six passes, one for TD in mop-up role last week) or former Lion Pierce (9-year vet recently re-acquired in trade) gets nod here, in series where BC won five of last seven games, despite losing last two visits to Regina by 23-20/27-21 scores. In its four losses, BC allowed 44-38-39-37 points; they allowed average of 17.4 ppg in their wins. Riders slipped up last two weeks, allowing 25-31 points in games they led at half (outscored 34-10 in second half). Saskatchewan is 3-2 as a home favorite, winning at Taylor Field by 15-37-3-23 points. Lions are -11 in turnovers last seven games, after being even in first four. Nine of last ten series games stayed under total, but three of last four games overall for both sides here went over.




                  CFL

                  Week 13


                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Trend Report
                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Friday, September 20

                  8:00 PM
                  EDMONTON vs. WINNIPEG
                  The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Edmonton's last 15 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 8 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
                  Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home


                  Saturday, September 21

                  4:00 PM
                  MONTREAL vs. HAMILTON
                  Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
                  Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games at home
                  Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

                  7:30 PM
                  TORONTO vs. CALGARY
                  Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
                  Toronto is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
                  Calgary is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
                  Calgary is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto


                  Sunday, September 22

                  4:30 PM
                  BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. SASKATCHEWAN
                  British Columbia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
                  The total has gone OVER in 11 of Saskatchewan's last 16 games
                  Saskatchewan is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing British Columbia


                  -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Last edited by Udog; 09-19-2013, 10:21 AM.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    MLB
                    Short Sheet

                    Thursday, September 19


                    National League

                    San Diego at Pittsburgh, 12:35 ET
                    Kennedy: 8-0 TSR in September
                    Cole: Pittsburgh 15-30 SU in September

                    San Francisco at NY Mets, 1:10 ET
                    Bumgarner: 16-6 Under as a favorite
                    Niese: Mets 9-27 SU as a home underdog of +125 or higher

                    Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee, 2:10 ET WGN
                    Arrieta: Cubs 4-18 SU off 9+ division games
                    Lohse: 34-14 TSR at home after allowing 1 or 0 ER's

                    St. Louis at Colorado, 3:10 ET
                    Wacha: St. Louis 29-15 SU away after winning 3 of their last 4 games
                    Oswalt: Colorado 4-22 SU as an underdog of +150 or higher

                    LA Dodgers at Arizona, 3:40 ET
                    Nolasco: 11-3 TSR in the second half of the season
                    Miley: Arizona 5-17 SU after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games

                    Miami at Washington, 7:05 ET
                    Alvarez: 8-2 Under after allowing 1 or 0 ER's last start
                    Gonzalez: 13-6 TSR in night games


                    American League

                    Seattle at Detroit, 1:05 ET
                    Paxton: Seattle 19-11 Over as a road underdog of +125 to +175
                    Fister: Detroit 18-3 SU as a home favorite of -175 to -200

                    Houston at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
                    Keuchel: Houston 6-26 SU revenging BB home losses
                    Jimenez: Cleveland 21-8 SU vs. AL West opponents

                    NY Yankees at Toronto, 7:05 ET
                    Kuroda: 1-9 TSR away in night games
                    Redmond: Toronto 19-8 Under as a home underdog

                    Baltimore at Boston, 7:10 ET MLB
                    Tillman: 8-0 TSR as a road underdog of +125 to +175
                    Lackey: Boston 9-18 SU revenging BB losses as a home favorite

                    Texas at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET MLB
                    Darvish: Texas 3-13 SU in September
                    Moore: 7-0 TSR with a line of +125 to -125

                    Minnesota at Oakland, 10:05 ET
                    Correia: Minnesota 10-2 Under as an underdog of +200 or higher
                    Straily: Oakland 25-8 SU off 6+ division games

                    Comment

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