NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 2 (Thursday, September 5 - Saturday, September 7)

[Udog]

College football betting weather report: Saturday's forecasts

Find out how weather will impact your college football bets for Saturday's matchups:

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Wisconsin Badgers (-45, 58.5)

The forecast in Madison is calling for temperatures in the high-70s and there is also a 42 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Bowling Green Falcons at Kent State Golden Flashes (+6.5, 44.5)

Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with a small 22 percent chance of rain in the forecast for Dix Stadium.

South Florida Bulls at Michigan State Spartans (-23, 43.5)

Rain looms in the forecast for this game in East Lansing as there is a 30 percent chance of showers in the forecast.

Florida Gators at Miami Hurricanes (+3, 48)

Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.

South Carolina State Bulldogs at Clemson Tigers (-52.5, 58.5)

The forecast is calling for temperatures in the mid-80s with an outside possibility of rain at 20 percent.

Weber State Wildcats at Utah Utes (-23, 48.5)

There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for Salt Lake City with wind blowing across the field at 8 mph.

New Hampshire Wildcats at Central Michigan Chippewas (-3, 62)

Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.

Utah State Aggies at Air Force Falcons (+9.5, 59)

Temperatures will be in the low-80s but rain could threaten with a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow at 10 mph towards the north end zone of Falcon Stadium.

Idaho Vandals at Wyoming Cowboys (-28, 65.5)

Forecasts in Laramie are calling for temperatures in the low-80s with a 37 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Syracuse Orange at Northwestern Wildcats (-17, 53)

Temperatures will be in the low-80s and forecasts are calling for a 21 percent chance of thunderstorms.

James Madison Dukes at Akron Zips (-3, 52.5)

Temperatures will be in the high-70s in Akron, but the threat of thunderstorms exists as the game progresses with a 22 percent chance.

Texas Longhorns at BYU Cougars (+7, 57.5)

Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with wind blowing across the field at 6 mph. There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.

Prairie View A&M Panthers at Texas State Bobcats (-31, 55.5)

A 20 percent chance of thunderstorms looms early in this game, but should subside as the game progresses. Temperatures will be in the low-90s.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks at Texas Tech Red Raiders (-38, 74)

Temperatures will be in the high-80s with winds blowing towards the north end zone at 8 mph.

Nicholls State Colonels at Western Michigan Broncos (-28.5, 53.5)

There is a 20 percent chance of rain in the forecast for Nazareth. Temperatures will be in the low-80s.

UAB Blazers at LSU Tigers (-34.5, 62)

A 20 percent chance of rain could hit early in the game, but the threat will disappear as the game progresses.

Sam Houston State Bearkats at Texas A&M Aggies (-36.5, 69)

Temperatures will be in the low-90s with a 20 percent chance of rain looming around kickoff.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Michigan Wolverines (-4, 50)

This chapter in the rivalry could be wet one as there is a 29 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast at the Big House. Temperatures will be in the mid-70s.

[Udog]

Where the action is: Saturday's NCAAF line moves

Books and bettors are both getting a grip on the college football season, which means plenty of line movement in Week 2 of the season. We talk to sportsbooks about the biggest adjustments to the odds heading into the weekend:

South Florida Bulls at Michigan State Spartans – Open: -24.5, Move: -23

Michigan State is still ironing out the wrinkles and has some health issues heading into Week 2, which has trimmed this spread a touch.

“Doubtfuls for Michigan State have seen this line creep down, but still obviously strong to the Spartans,” Aron Black of Bet365.com tells Covers. “Money is still coming on them at the adjusted line.”

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas-San Antonio Road Runners – Open: +31.5, Move: 26.5

The Cowboys took a while to get going against Mississippi State in Week 1 but found their high-scoring form in the second half. Some markets opened this one way too high and since the adjustment, the majority of money is on OSU and could take this spread back up.

“Heavy action on Cowboys,” says Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag. “On Friday, we moved OSU to -28 with 85 percent of cash on Oklahoma State.”

Toledo Rockets at Missouri Tigers – Open: -14.5, Move: -17.5, Move: -17

The Rockets are known for giving BCS programs a run for their money. This line jumped as many as three points, thanks to sharp money on Missouri, before bettors came back on Toledo, which is garnering 66 percent of the handle.

“Sharps are doing what sharps do in Week 2: touching double-digit dogs and smaller-market games,” says an oddsmaker with BetDSI.com.

Cincinnati Bearcats at Illinois Fighting Illini – Open: +12, Move: +7.5

The Bearcats beat up on Big Ten foe Purdue in Week 1 and opened as hefty favorites versus Illinois. However, early money made it clear the Illini have plenty of fight in them this weekend.

“Smart money says the opener gave too much to Cincy on the road,” says Black. “Although the line has gone to the Illini, the money is coming in now on the smaller spread on Cincinnati.”

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Tennessee Volunteers – Open: -9.5, Move: -13.5

Bettors expect a letdown from WKU after upsetting Kentucky in Week 1. Action has also bumped the total for this game from 55 to 58 points.

“Both sharp and public money is backing the Over Western Kentucky- Tennessee total, shooting from 55 to 58 with no buy back,” says BetDSI.com.

Oregon Ducks at Virginia Cavaliers – Open: +25.5, Move: +23.5, Move: 24.5

Some markets dropped the original line but most books opened Oregon -23 and have taken nothing but Ducks action, with sharp money getting a deal with Oregon on the road against a weaker ACC opponent.

“Ninety percent of money is on the Ducks,” says Perry. “This will be one of the five biggest decisions for the shop.”

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Auburn Tigers – Open: -13, Move: -10.5

Not everyone is buying into Auburn after its opening win over Washington State. The Tigers take on a dangerous Red Wolves squad, which has drawn the majority of spread bets and all the SU money, dropping from +390 to +330.

“Too much respect to Auburn with the early line,” says Black. “There has to be some respect given to a (ASU) team that went for 509 yards rushing last week.”

Idaho Vandals at Wyoming Cowboys – Open: -21.5, Move: -30, Move: -28.5

This line has moved as much as a full touchdown at some books while others opened Wyoming -27.5 and took sharp action on the home side, which pumped the line to -30. Wiseguys bought back the Vandals and has the line at -28.5 at most shops.

San Jose State Spartans and Stanford Cardinal – Open: -22, Move: -25.5

Stanford makes its debut against a familiar foe in SJSU. The Cardinal are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Spartans, but just escaped with a 20-17 win as 25.5-point favorites last fall. While the spread has climbed at most shops, Sportsbook.com is taking big money on San Jose State.

“Sharp money on San Jose State moved the line from Stanford -27.5 to -26,” says Perry. “About 72 percent of cash is on San Jose State.”

Sam Houston State Bearkats at Texas A&M Aggies - Open: -46.5, Move: -37

This game stinks of lookahead for the Aggies, with Alabama waiting on next week’s schedule. Johnny Manziel was the brunt of media criticism all week after his antics during the limited performance versus Rice in Week 1. A dark cloud resounds over this BCS-versus-FCS matchup and bettors have moved this line nearly 10 points since post.

[Udog]

Essential betting tidbits for Week 2 of college football

Below is a list of at least one betting tidbit for a plethora of matchups featuring two FBS schools on Saturday.

-Miami-Ohio gave up 374 yards in the second half last week to Marshall while only gaining 55 on offense. +17 at Kentucky this week.

-Penn State's offense managed just 57 yards rushing last week. Not much help for freshman QB Chistian Hackenburg. -24 vs. Eastern Michigan this week.

-Temple starting Quarterback Connor Reilly is expected to play but is nursing a sprained ankle. He led the owls in rushing yards last week at Notre Dame with 65. +3 vs. Houston.

-Kent State has covered the spread in the last four meetings with Bowling Green. +7 home dogs on Saturday.

-FCS McNeese State obliterated South Florida 53-21 last week. Bulls were 20.5-point faves. They are 23-point underdogs this week at Sparty, a swing of 43.5 points in spreads from Week 1 to 2.

-Michigan State wide receivers had six drops in Week 1 - a problem carried over from last season - as the offense struggled against Western Michigan.

-Oklahoma State opened as a 31.5-point road favorite at Texas Sam Antonio State and sharp action moved the line down as low as 26.5 by Friday afternoon.

-Cincinnati opened as a 12-point road favorite at Illinois and sharp action bet the line down to 7.5. Cincy has covered four in a rown and seven of eight going back to last season.

-The Gators have failed to cover in their last six games as favorites going back to last season. -3 on the road at Miami.

-Miami has scored at least 30 points in its last five games going back to last season.

-Big line moves in the Western Kentucky-Tennessee matchup. Line bet up to 13.5 from 9.5 and total bet up to 58 from 55.5.

-Middle Tennessee QB Logan Kilgore has a shoulder injury but is expected to play at North Carolina. All the early money us on the Blue Raiders though, moving the line from 21.5 to 17.5.

--Ball State started five new starters on the offensive line last week and gave up three sacks. -8 vs. Army.

-Mizzou has been bet up from -14.5 to -17 vs. Toledo. The Tigers have an off week next week before traveling to Indiana.

-Toledo's last seven games have played under the total. Missouri's last four have played over.

-Buffalo-Baylor is the highest total on the board of FBS matchups at 69 (dude).

-San Diego State lost to FCS Eastern Illinois last week at home as 14-point faves. A lot of sharp action came in on a quality Eastern Illinois team last week though so consider that for this week's game. Aztecs getting 28 points at Ohio State.

-Oregon gained 772 yards (500 on the ground) last week vs. FCS Nicholls State. -23 at Virginia.

-Air Force crushed Colgate by a score of 38-13 last week, but the Falcons lost Junior QB Kale Pearson to an ACL injury. Sophomore Jaleel Awini will start. +9.5 as the Falcons host Utah State Saturday.

-The under is 4-0 in the South Alabama Jaguars last four non-conference games. Total of 49 as the Jags are on the road to face Tulane.

-Wyoming racked up 602 yards of offense in Nebraska one week ago while Idaho surrendered 591 - 404 of which came through the air - in a loss to North Texas. The Cowboys are 28-point home faves.

-The Gamecocks are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six meetings with Georgia. The Bulldogs are 3.5-point faves.

-Memphis had a bye week to open the season the team has used that week off to better prepare for the Duke Blue Devils. Memphis are 4-point home dogs.

-Northwestern QB Kain Colter was injured last week versus Cal and is probable Saturday. But backup QB Trevor Siemian led Northwestern to a victory over Syracuse in the 2012 season opener. Northwestern is a 16.5-point home favorite against Syracuse Saturday.

-Seeing some sharp buy back on Idaho Saturday morning at Wyoming. Idaho quarterbacks coach was Wyoming running backs coach last season.

-Tulane has covered its last seven games going back to last season. 71% of the Covers Consensus is on the Green Wave today -6.5 vs. South Alabama.

-Nebraska gave up five touchdowns against Wyoming one week ago. Nebraska's defense was on the field for a total of 6 minutes and 41 seconds for those five TD drives. The Huskers are 28-point home faves against Southern Miss.

-LSU ended a streak of 331 straight carries without a fumble last week when the Tigers had one against TCU. -34.5 at home vs. UAB.

-The Kansas State Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus opponents from the Sun Belt Conference. They are 10.5-point faves against UL Monroe Saturday.

-For whatever it's worth, ESPN's Kirk Herbstreit said he'd be shocked if West Virginia can hang around with Oklahoma today. Sooners opened -19.5 and bet up to 21.5 by early Sat. morning.

-Tulsa's field goal woes carried over from last season when walk-on kicker Carl Salazar missed two of less than 40 yards in a 34-7 loss at Bowling Green. Freshman Daniel Schwarz was 12-of-18 last year and five of his six misses were from 36 yards or less. -10.5 at home vs. Colorado State.

-Tulsa only picked up 51 rushing yards in the opener, ranking them 110th in the nation. Tulsa is a 10.5-point home fave against Colorado State.