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NCAA CONSENSUS PICKS
As of 7:50 PST
September 14, 2013 »
Sides (ATS)
Time Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct Detail Odds
4:00 PM Wagner +29.5 329 19.44% Syracuse -29.5 1363 80.56% View View
3:30 PM Cal. Poly - SLO +7 377 21.25% Colorado State -7 1397 78.75% View View
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3:30 PM Stony Brook +12 377 22.26% Buffalo -12 1317 77.74% View View
1:00 PM Fordham +21 423 24.66% Temple -21 1292 75.34% View View
7:00 PM Northwestern State +29.5 385 24.97% Cincinnati -29.5 1157 75.03% View View
10:30 PM Texas-San Antonio +24.5 476 25.09% Arizona -24.5 1421 74.91% View View
7:30 PM Lamar +47 395 25.21% Oklahoma State -47 1172 74.79% View View
12:00 PM Western Illinois +25 479 25.44% Minnesota -25 1404 74.56% View View
3:30 PM Delaware +16.5 433 25.80% Navy -16.5 1245 74.20% View View
6:30 PM Southern Utah +21.5 416 25.94% Washington State -21.5 1188 74.06% View View
12:00 PM Akron +38 625 26.05% Michigan -38 1774 73.95% View View
7:00 PM Eastern Washington +8 438 26.56% Toledo -8 1211 73.44% View View
4:00 PM Northern Colorado +27.5 474 28.38% Wyoming -27.5 1196 71.62% View View
8:00 PM Weber State +39 475 31.88% Utah State -39 1015 68.12% View View
6:00 PM Bethune Cookman -3.5 488 32.11% Florida International +3.5 1032 67.89% View View
7:00 PM Nicholls State +26 474 32.58% UL Lafayette -26 981 67.42% View View
7:00 PM Vanderbilt +13 756 32.67% South Carolina -13 1558 67.33% View View
6:00 PM Central Florida +4.5 802 33.74% Penn State -4.5 1575 66.26% View View
12:30 PM UL Monroe +2.5 753 34.29% Wake Forest -2.5 1443 65.71% View View
2:00 PM Youngstown State +22.5 652 34.37% Michigan State -22.5 1245 65.63% View View
3:30 PM Tennessee +28.5 891 35.53% Oregon -28.5 1617 64.47% View View
7:00 PM Memphis +9.5 649 35.78% Middle Tennessee -9.5 1165 64.22% View View
9:00 PM Western Michigan +29 685 35.85% Northwestern -29 1226 64.15% View View
7:30 PM Kansas +7 751 35.97% Rice -7 1337 64.03% View View
12:21 PM Southern Mississippi +23.5 762 36.25% Arkansas -23.5 1340 63.75% View View
7:00 PM Kent State +36.5 709 36.45% Louisiana State -36.5 1236 63.55% View View
1:00 PM Eastern Michigan +27.5 716 36.53% Rutgers -27.5 1244 63.47% View View
7:00 PM Massachusetts +38 664 36.91% Kansas State -38 1135 63.09% View View
7:00 PM Florida Atlantic +11.5 711 37.58% South Florida -11.5 1181 62.42% View View
10:00 PM Oregon State +2.5 861 39.03% Utah -2.5 1345 60.97% View View
12:30 PM New Mexico +21 842 39.47% Pittsburgh -21 1291 60.53% View View
3:30 PM Nevada +35 848 39.55% Florida State -35 1296 60.45% View View
12:00 PM Tulsa +24.5 917 40.29% Oklahoma -24.5 1359 59.71% View View
10:00 PM Central Michigan +7.5 778 41.41% UNLV -7.5 1101 58.59% View View
12:00 PM Georgia State +40 855 42.75% West Virginia -40 1145 57.25% View View
8:00 PM Mississippi +2 1030 43.48% Texas -2 1339 56.52% View View
7:00 PM Mississippi State +7 947 44.65% Auburn -7 1174 55.35% View View
12:00 PM Bowling Green +2.5 1105 45.10% Indiana -2.5 1345 54.90% View View
6:00 PM Washington -10.5 1050 45.81% Illinois +10.5 1242 54.19% View View
12:00 PM UCLA +2.5 1349 48.44% Nebraska -2.5 1436 51.56% View View
6:00 PM Iowa -1.5 1070 50.64% Iowa State +1.5 1043 49.36% View View
3:30 PM Alabama -9 1479 51.43% Texas A&M +9 1397 48.57% View View
3:00 PM Boston College +15.5 1332 55.20% Southern California -15.5 1081 44.80% View View
8:00 PM Marshall -8 1041 55.34% Ohio +8 840 44.66% View View
8:00 PM Notre Dame -19 1243 57.07% Purdue +19 935 42.93% View View
3:30 PM Georgia Tech -9 1288 57.07% Duke +9 969 42.93% View View
10:30 PM Wisconsin +4 1504 59.56% Arizona State -4 1021 40.44% View View
12:00 PM Virginia Tech -8.5 1457 59.74% East Carolina +8.5 982 40.26% View View
7:00 PM Ohio State -14.5 1048 61.36% California +14.5 660 38.64% View View
8:00 PM Texas El Paso -3.5 1094 62.73% New Mexico State +3.5 650 37.27% View View
4:00 PM Ball State -3 1246 62.96% North Texas +3 733 37.04% View View
5:00 PM Northern Illinois -29 1270 65.70% Idaho +29 663 34.30% View View
7:30 PM Western Kentucky -7 1232 68.67% South Alabama +7 562 31.33% View View
12:00 PM Stanford -31 1594 69.46% Army +31 701 30.54% View View
7:30 PM Maryland -6.5 1703 74.96%
Connecticut +6.5 569 25.04% View View
12:00 PM Louisville -15.5 2313 76.79% Kentucky +15.5 699 23.21% View View
Totals (Over/Under)
Time Away Total Over Pct Home Total
Under Pct Detail Odds
6:00 PM Iowa 48.5 470 39.93% Iowa State 48.5 707 60.07% View View
6:00 PM Central Florida 49.5 499 42.00% Penn State 49.5 689 58.00% View View
12:30 PM UL Monroe 49 546 44.00% Wake Forest 49 695 56.00% View View
8:00 PM Mississippi 65 430 45.26% Texas 65 520 54.74% View View
8:00 PM Marshall 68 520 48.06% Ohio 68 562 51.94% View View
7:00 PM Mississippi State 52 546 48.40% Auburn 52 582 51.60% View View
3:30 PM Alabama 62.5 740 48.46% Texas A&M 62.5 787 51.54% View View
12:00 PM UCLA 70 768 50.29% Nebraska 70 759 49.71% View View
7:00 PM Florida Atlantic 45 538 50.37% South Florida 45 530 49.63% View View
7:00 PM Ohio State 66 513 50.49% California 66 503 49.51% View View
12:00 PM Virginia Tech 47 692 51.45% East Carolina 47 653 48.55% View View
12:30 PM New Mexico 49 637 51.54% Pittsburgh 49 599 48.46% View View
4:00 PM Ball State 58 601 51.72% North Texas 58 561 48.28% View View
7:30 PM Maryland 47 569 52.64% Connecticut 47 512 47.36% View View
10:00 PM Oregon State 56.5 617 53.47% Utah 56.5 537 46.53% View View
5:00 PM Northern Illinois 63 604 54.07% Idaho 63 513 45.93% View View
10:00 PM Central Michigan 53 587 54.66% UNLV 53 487 45.34% View View
3:00 PM Boston College 42.5 740 55.76% Southern California 42.5 587 44.24% View View
6:00 PM Washington 61.5 704 56.77% Illinois 61.5 536 43.23% View View
7:00 PM Memphis 53 583 56.99% Middle Tennessee 53 440 43.01% View View
8:00 PM Texas El Paso 56.5 566 57.00% New Mexico State 56.5 427 43.00% View View
12:00 PM Stanford 51.5 762 57.34% Army 51.5 567 42.66% View View
7:00 PM Vanderbilt 48.5 701 57.36% South Carolina 48.5 521 42.64% View View
8:00 PM Notre Dame 49 697 58.33% Purdue 49 498 41.67% View View
7:30 PM Western Kentucky 53.5 610 58.43% South Alabama 53.5 434 41.57% View View
12:00 PM Bowling Green 63 895 60.11% Indiana 63 594 39.89% View View
3:30 PM Nevada 65.5 781 60.83% Florida State 65.5 503 39.17% View View
7:00 PM Massachusetts 56.5 650 61.03% Kansas State 56.5 415 38.97% View View
7:00 PM Kent State 55 698 61.23% Louisiana State 55 442 38.77% View View
1:00 PM Eastern Michigan 53 763 62.70% Rutgers 53 454 37.30% View View
7:30 PM Kansas 58.5 729 63.45% Rice 58.5 420 36.55% View View
10:30 PM Texas-San Antonio 63.5 796 64.14% Arizona 63.5 445 35.86% View View
12:00 PM Georgia State 57.5 811 64.16% West Virginia 57.5 453 35.84% View View
12:00 PM Louisville 60 954 64.50% Kentucky 60 525 35.50% View View
12:00 PM Akron 58.5 914 65.24% Michigan 58.5 487 34.76% View View
10:30 PM Wisconsin 54 869 65.49% Arizona State 54 458 34.51% View View
9:00 PM Western Michigan 59 750 65.56% Northwestern 59 394 34.44% View View
12:21 PM Southern Mississippi 50 831 65.59% Arkansas 50 436 34.41% View View
3:30 PM Georgia Tech 57.5 893 66.39% Duke 57.5 452 33.61% View View
12:00 PM Tulsa 50 952 67.33% Oklahoma 50 462 32.67% View View
3:30 PM Tennessee 71 1093 70.02% Oregon 71 468 29.98% View View
Games are highlighted when more than 59% of all cash contests players choose outcome. See our FAQ page for details.Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
09/13/13 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
09/12/13 2-*3-*1 40.00% -*650 Detail
09/07/13 70-*37-*1 65.42% +*14650 Detail
09/06/13 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
09/05/13 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
09/02/13 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
09/01/13 4-*0-*0 100.00% +*2000 Detail
Totals 82-*46-*2 64.06% +15700
Saturday, September 14
Game Score Status Pick Amount
Louisville - 12:00 PM ET Louisville -14.5 500
Kentucky - Over 59.5 500
Akron - 12:00 PM ET Michigan -38 500 POD # 1
Michigan -
Western Illinois - 12:00 PM ET Minnesota -24.5 500
Minnesota -
Georgia State - 12:00 PM ET West Virginia -39 500
West Virginia -
Bowling Green - 12:00 PM ET Bowling Green +2.5 500 POD # 2
Indiana -
Virginia Tech - 12:00 PM ET Virginia Tech -8 500
East Carolina -
UCLA - 12:00 PM ET UCLA +2.5 500
Nebraska - Over 69 500
Tulsa - 12:00 PM ET Tulsa +24.5 500
Oklahoma -
Stanford - 12:00 PM ET Stanford -30 500 POD # 3
Army -
Southern Mississippi - 12:21 PM ET Arkansas -23 500
Arkansas -
UL Monroe - 12:30 PM ET UL Monroe +2.5 500
Wake Forest -
New Mexico - 12:30 PM ET New Mexico +22 500 POD # 4
Pittsburgh -
Eastern Michigan - 1:00 PM ET Eastern Michigan +27.5 500
Rutgers - Over 51.5 500
Fordham - 1:00 PM ET Temple -21 500
Temple -
Youngstown State - 2:00 PM ET Youngstown State +23.5 500
Michigan State -Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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Midday Games:
Boston College - 3:00 PM ET Boston College +14 500 POD # 3
Southern California - Under 42 500
Cal. Poly - SLO - 3:30 PM ET Colorado State -7.5 500
Colorado State -
Stony Brook - 3:30 PM ET Buffalo -12.5 500
Buffalo -
Nevada - 3:30 PM ET Florida State -35 500 POD # 4
Florida State - Under 65 500
Georgia Tech - 3:30 PM ET Duke +9 500
Duke - Over 58 500
Alabama - 3:30 PM ET Texas A&M +8.5 500 POD # 2
Texas A&M - Over 61 500
Delaware - 3:30 PM ET Delaware +16.5 500
Navy -
Tennessee - 3:30 PM ET Oregon -28 500
Oregon - Over 72 500
Ball State - 4:00 PM ET Ball State -3 500
North Texas - Over 59 500
Northern Colorado - 4:00 PM ET Wyoming -27.5 500
Wyoming -
Wagner - 4:00 PM ET Syracuse -28.5 500
Syracuse -
Northern Illinois - 5:00 PM ET Northern Illinois -28.5 POD # 5 500
Idaho - Under 62 500
Iowa - 6:00 PM ET Iowa State +1.5 500 POD # 1
Iowa State - Under 48.5 500
Bethune Cookman - 6:00 PM ET Florida International +3 500
Florida International -
Central Florida - 6:00 PM ET Central Florida +4.5 500
Penn State - Under 50.5 500
Washington - 6:00 PM ET Washington -10.5 500
Illinois - Under 62 500
Southern Utah - 6:30 PM ET Washington State -21.5 500
Washington State -Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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Evening POD'S
Western Kentucky - 7:30 PM ET South Alabama +6.5 500 POD # 4
South Alabama -
Maryland - 7:30 PM ET Maryland -5.5 500
Connecticut-
Lamar - 7:30 PM ET Lamar +47 500
Oklahoma State -
Kansas - 7:30 PM ET Rice -7 500 POD # 2
Rice -
Marshall - 8:00 PM ET Ohio +7.5 500 POD # 1
Ohio - Under 68 500
Texas El Paso - 8:00 PM ET New Mexico State +4 500 POD # 5
New Mexico State
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Mississippi - 8:00 PM ET Mississippi +2.5 500
Texas -
Weber State - 8:00 PM ET Utah State -39 500
Utah State -
Notre Dame - 8:00 PM ET Purdue +17 500
Purdue - Under 48 500
Western Michigan - 9:00 PM ET Northwestern -29 POD # 6 500
Northwestern - Over 59 500
Central Michigan - 10:00 PM ET Central Michigan +8.5 500
UNLV - Over 51.5 500
Oregon State - 10:00 PM ET Utah -3.5 500 POD # 7
Utah - Under 53 500
Texas-San Antonio - 10:30 PM ET Arizona -24.5 500
Arizona - Over 63.5 500
Wisconsin - 10:30 PM ET Wisconsin +5 500 POD # 8
Arizona State - Over 55 500Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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Top 25 Betting Recap - Week 3
September 16, 2013
Week 3 of the 2013 NCAA football betting season is in the books, and today, we're going to be taking a look at each of the Top 25 teams in the land and see how they did from an ATS perspective in this go around this past week.
(Results in parentheses represent SU Result-ATS Result)
1: Alabama (W-L vs. Texas A&M 49-42)
The Tide won last week, but they won't be happy about allowing over 500 yards and 42 points to Johnny Football whom they let in through the backdoor.
2: Oregon (W-W vs. Tennessee 59-14)
If Marcus Mariota wasn't a Heisman candidate before, he is now after throwing for 456 yards and four scores.
3: Clemson (Bye)
Up next is the dreaded "should win road game" against NC State.
4: Ohio State (W-W vs. California 52-34)
Kenny Guiton has proven to absolutely be a suitable replacement for the injured Braxton Miller.
5: Stanford (W-L vs. Army 34-20)
The Cadets ended with far more points than the Cardinal would have preferred to allow.
6: Texas A&M (L-W vs. Alabama 49-42)
A&M's National Championship hopes took a shot, but remain alive after a close loss to Bama.
7: Louisville Cardinals (W-W vs. Kentucky 27-13)
It was the first time that the Cards looked almost human this year.
8: LSU (W-L vs. Kent State 45-13)
LSU now has 37 or more scored in three straight games.
9: Georgia (Bye)
The Bulldogs earned this bye after playing Clemson and South Carolina to start off the season.
10: Florida State (W-W vs. Nevada 62-7)
You wouldn't know that FSU was losing in the second quarter. The Noles rolled off 31 unanswered in the third quarter alone.
11: Michigan (W-L vs. Akron 28-24)
First App State and now almost Akron. The Wolverines need to stop scheduling horrid opponents to come to the Big House.
12: Oklahoma State (W-W vs. Lamar 59-3)
Getting 426 yards almost seems like slacking for Okie State.
13: South Carolina (W-L vs. Vanderbilt 35-25)
The Gamecocks were up 28-0 and 35-10 and nearly were in a dog fight in the fourth.
14: Oklahoma (W-W vs. Tulsa 51-20)
Quarterback controversy is no more in Norman. This is Blake Bell's team for the foreseeable future.
15: Miami (Bye)
They're still partying in South Beach over the Canes' win two weeks ago over Florida.
16: UCLA (W-W vs. Nebraska 41-21)
After getting out to a wretched start, the Bruins rolled off 38 straight to stun the Huskers.
17: Northwestern (W-L vs. Western Michigan 38-17)
Very quietly, Northwestern is 3-0 and has scored 38+ in three games to start the campaign.
18: Florida (Bye)
If Will Muschamp loses this week to Tennessee, is he on the hot seat?
19: Washington (W-L vs. Illinois 34-24)
Keith Price threw for 342 and Bishop Sankey ran for 208, but the Huskies still couldn't cover -11 against a team that only completed 10-of-26 passes.
20: Wisconsin (L-W vs. Arizona State 32-30)
Next time, worry about spiking the ball, Joel Stave.
21: Notre Dame (W-L vs. Purdue 31-24)
Whew. Almost a second straight disaster against a Big Ten team for the Fighting Irish.
22: Baylor (Bye)
The Air Bear took the week off last week.
23: Nebraska (L-L vs. UCLA 41-21)
That 21-3 lead sure went away in a hurry. The Black Shirts have a lot of work to do in the Big Ten.
24: TCU (L-L vs. Texas Tech 20-10)
There's a real chance that TCU goes from Top 25 to not making a bowl game this year.
25: Ole Miss (W-W vs. Texas 44-23)
Think Texas has some defensive problems? Ole Miss rolled off 272 on the ground to stun Mack and the Longhorn nation.Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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College Recap – Week 3
September 15, 2013
Weekly Betting Notes
-- Home teams went 39-20
-- Favorites 47-12 straight up
-- Florida Atlantic (+12 ½) was the biggest underdog to win outright, beating South Florida 28-10 on the road. The Owls had plus-425 (Bet $100 to win $425) odds on the money line
-- Underdogs went 33-26 against the spread
-- The ‘over’ and ‘under’ went 29-29 with one push
Top 25 Betting Notes
-- Twenty of the 25 ranked schools played in Week 3 with Clemson, Georgia, Miami, Fl., Baylor, and Florida all on bye.
-- There were two matchups featuring ranked schools, which saw the higher-ranked team win on the road.
-- No. 1 Alabama 49 at No. 6 Texas A&M 42
-- No. 16 UCLA 41 at No. 23 Nebraska 21
-- The remaining 16 schools went 14-2 straight up and 7-9 against the spread.
-- No. 24 TCU lost 20-10 on Thursday to Texas Tech as a three-point road favorite.
-- No. 18 Wisconsin lost 32-30 on Saturday to Arizona State as a seven-point road underdog.
Perfection
Central Florida – 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS
The Knights will have a week off before a huge game on Sept. 28 at home against South Carolina.
Maryland – 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS
If the Terrapins beat West Virginia at home this Saturday, they'll have two weeks to get ready for a road trip to Florida State on Oct. 5.
Oregon – 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS
The Ducks have looked sharp on both sides of the ball and only three of the remaining nine games look tough -- at Washington, vs. UCLA, at Stanford.
Texas Tech – 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS
Looking at the schedule, the Red Raiders could be 7-0 before they visit Oklahoma on Oct. 26.
Fade Alert
New Mexico State – 0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS
The Aggies have allowed 56, 44 and 42 in their first three games. In Week 4, they travel to UCLA.
Florida International – 0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS
In Week 3, the Golden Panthers lost at home 34-13 to Bethune Cookman. This Saturday, FIU travels to Louisville.
Trending Over
A dozen teams have seen the ‘over’ cash in their first three games due to explosive offensive units or inept defensive fronts.
LSU – New offensive coordinator Cam Cameron has helped LSU put up 37, 56 and 45 points. Another shootout is on deck with Auburn and Gus Malzahn visiting Baton Rouge on Saturday.
Oregon – The Ducks are the most explosive team in college, evidenced by their 61.3 points per game average. Oregon gets a week off before conference play starts on Sept. 28.
Utah State – After losing to Utah 30-26 in Week 1, the Aggies have outscored their next two opponents 122-26. In Week 4, Utah State can put itself on the national map with a road victory against USC.
Under like Thunder
Through three weeks of the season, 14 teams have seen the ‘under’ cash in all three of their matchups and there are a couple major programs included in that group.
Louisville – Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater and the Cardinals get all the hype and deservingly so, but the defense has only surrendered 27 points in three games. With FIU visiting next week, another solid performance should be expected.
USC – The Trojans have a “vanilla” offense and a stout defense, which translates to low-scoring games. This week’s home game against Utah State will be the toughest test to date for the USC defense.
On the Rise
Every Sunday, Brian Edwards updates the VegasInsider.com Top 25. After watching the action this weekend, UCLA made the biggest jump from 19th to 9th. Another school on the rise was Ole Miss, who moved from 22nd to 17th in the VI rankings. Along with the Rebels, six other schools from the SEC were ranked in the latest poll.
Top 25
Rank School Record Prev
1 Alabama Crimson Tide 2-0 1
2 Oregon Ducks 3-0 2
3 Clemson Tigers 2-0 5
4 Georgia Bulldogs 1-1 6
5 Stanford Cardinal 2-0 3
6 LSU Tigers 3-0 7
7 South Carolina Gamecocks 2-1 8
8 Texas A&M Aggies 2-1 4
9 Florida State Seminoles 2-0 9
10 UCLA Bruins 3-0 19
11 Ohio State Buckeyes 3-0 14
12 Louisville Cardinals 3-0 11
13 Florida Gators 1-1 12
14 Northwestern Wildcats 3-0 15
15 Michigan Wolverines 3-0 10
16 Oklahoma Sooners 3-0 12
17 Ole Miss Rebels 3-0 22
18 Miami, Fl. Hurricanes 2-0 18
19 Baylor Bears 2-0 16
20 Oklahoma State Cowboys 3-0 20
21 Arizona State Sun Devils 2-0 23
22 Wisconsin 2-1 13
23 Texas Tech 3-0 NR
24 Virginia Tech 2-1 24
25 Central Florida 3-0 NRRemember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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Games to Watch - Week 4
September 16, 2013
Arizona State (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) at Stanford (2-0 SU, 0-2 ATS)
Todd Graham’s team was extremely fortunate to beat Wisconsin 32-30 as a six-point home favorite Saturday night in Tempe. Stanford won 34-20 at Army but never threatened to cover the number. Most books are listing the Cardinal as a 7 ½ or eight-point ‘chalk.’ Stanford is an abysmal 2-7 ATS in its last nine games as a home favorite. Since 2011, ASU is 1-4-1 ATS as a road underdog. These Pac-12 rivals haven’t met since 2010 when Jim Harbaugh’s last team picked up a 17-13 win at ASU. However, the Cardinal failed to cover as a 4 ½-point road favorite. Kickoff is slated for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on FOX.
Michigan State (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS) at Notre Dame (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS)
As of early Sunday night, most books had Notre Dame favored by 6 ½ or seven. During Mark Dantonio’s tenure, Michigan St. owns an 11-3 spread record in 14 games as a road underdog. The Spartans are the nation’s top-ranked defense in total yards allowed, surrendering just 177.0 per game. They finally got decent quarterback play in Week 3 when Connor Cook threw four TD passes without an interception. Notre Dame is 0-3 ATS this year after failing to cover in Saturday’s 31-24 win at Purdue as a 17-point road favorite. Irish QB Tommy Rees has 960 passing yards and a 7/2 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Brian Kelly’s team has cashed tickets at a 7-9-3 ATS pace in 19 games as a home favorite on his watch. NBC will have the telecast at 3:30 p.m. Eastern.
Tennessee (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) at Florida (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS)
The Gators have won eight in a row over UT, including last season’s 37-20 victory in Knoxville as three-point underdogs. Most books had UF favored by 14 or 14 ½ on Sunday night. Will Muschamp’s team had an open date after losing a 21-16 decision at Miami. QB Jeff Driskel sprained his knee against the Hurricanes, but he’s ‘probable’ and expected to start vs. UT. UF starting OG Jon Halapio is poised to make his season debut after missing the first two games with a strained pectoral muscle. Butch Jones’s team took a 59-14 shellacking Saturday at Oregon as a 29-point road underdog. UF is 5-7 ATS as a home favorite under Muschamp. CBS will provide television coverage at 3:30 p.m. Eastern.
North Carolina (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) at Georgia Tech (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)
North Carolina opened the season with a 27-10 loss at South Carolina. Next, the Tar Heels beat Middle Tennessee 40-20 as 19 ½-point home favorites. They had an open date following the win over the Blue Raiders. Senior QB Bryn Renner, who had a 28/7 TD-INT ratio last year, has thrown a pair of TD passes and one interception. RB Romar Morris has rushed for a pair of scores and is averaging 4.6 yards per carry. Ga. Tech has won four in a row and seven of the last eight against UNC, including a 68-50 triumph in Chapel Hill last season. The Yellow Jackets are 2-0 both SU and ATS with wins vs. Elon (70-0) and at Duke (38-14). Vad Lee threw four TD passes and ran for another score against the Blue Devils. Most books have tabbed Paul Johnson’s team as a six-point favorite. Johnson’s team is in the midst of a 7-1 ATS run dating back to 2012. ESPN will have the telecast at noon Eastern.
Arkansas (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS) at Rutgers (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Due to the uncertain status of Rutgers QB Gary Nova, there was no line as of early Sunday night. Arkansas will be seeking revenge for last season’s 35-26 loss to the Scarlet Knights as a 9 ½-point home favorite. The Razorbacks are off to a 3-0 start under new coach Brett Bielema, but they have failed to cover the spread in back-to-back outings. Arky is 1-5 ATS in its last six games as a road underdog. RU is 3-5 ATS as a home favorite during Kyle Flood’s tenure. Since losing a 52-51 overtime decision at Fresno St. in its opener, Rutgers has won a pair of games over Norfolk St. (38-0) and Eastern Michigan (28-10). Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack
Current odds to win the college football national championship.......
-- Alabama 21-10-- Got big road win under their belt last week.
-- Oregon 4-1-- Look like the class of the Pac-12.
-- Ohio State 13-2-- Hung 50+ on Cal with their backup QB.
-- Clemson/Florida State-- Two best teams in the ACC
-- 12-1 LSU/Stanford 15-1-- Cardinal hosts Arizona State this week.
-- Texas A&M 100-1-- Made McCarron look like Joe Namath last week.
*****
Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud........
13) Good move by CBS, promoting Greg Anthony to its lead analyst voice on college basketball ahead of Clark Kellogg, who always seemed to be yelling at us, and who seemed very uncomfortable when Steve Kerr was inserted at times to create a 3-man booth. Kellogg retreats to the studio.
12) Through two weeks, AFC West teams are 7-1 aganst the spread in non-divisional games.
11) NFL home underdogs are 7-3 overall; 3-0 in divisional games, 4-3 in non-divisional tilts. Home favorites are 6-4 in divisional games, 5-6-1 in non-divisional games, 11-10-1 overall. Underdogs are 18-13-1 against spread.
10) Rangers played Rays in St Pete the last two nights, battling for the top Wild Card spot, and didn't draw 11,000 fans for either game. When Rays pack up and leave the Trop for another city, don't ask why.
9) In 14 years with the Eagles, Andy Reid started 3-0 once, in '04 the year Philly made it to the Super Bowl. Reid’s Chiefs will be 3-0 if they beat the Eagles in Reid’s return to Philadelphia Thursday night.
8) IPhone 5s and IPhone 5c’s are available starting 8am Friday, which means lot of college kids will be skipping early classes to go to the ****. It’ll be like Christmas in September. Are Apple stores ever not crowded?
7) The median salary in this country last year was $51,017; in case you care about stuff like that. Or what A-Rod makes every 2.5 innings.
6) Kyle Anderson averaged 9.7 ppg LY for a very average UCLA team that fired its coach after the season. Now his father has come out and said his son’s sophomore season will most likely be his last at UCLA, and he’ll head to the NBA Draft. It is freakin’ September 18; could the father wait until his kid does something NBA-like before he makes the kid a pro?
How about just being the best college player he can be, then thinking about the draft? Would that be so bad? I’ll say this; if the kid isn’t guaranteed to be picked in the top half of the first round, he’s dumb to leave school early.
5) PGA has already announced the 2024 Ryder Cup is going to be at Bethpage Black on Long Island; 2024, for Pete’s sake. Meanwhile, its 2013 now and I have no idea what I’m having for dinner tonight.
4) British Columbia Lions lost QB Travis Lulay to a shoulder injury last week; now they’re deciding between inexperienced backup Thomas Demarco (played at Old Dominion, is an investment banker in offseason, very smart and very popular among his teammates) and nine-year veteran Buck Pierce, a former Lion (2005-2009) who was recently re-acquired in a trade with Winnipeg. Lions have a big game with Saskatchewan this week.
3) Danny Valencia's leadoff triple in the ninth inning emded Koji Uehara's streak of 37 consecutive batters retired; he then scored the go-ahead run on a sac fly as the Orioles got a big win, 3-2 in Boston.
2) When Giants played Baltimore in the '01 Super Bowl, I bought my dad a ticket for $325. Thirteen years later, top tickets for the Super Bowl in New Jersey will cost as much as $2,600- those tix will include access to indoor restaurants, which could be valuable on an early February evening.
1) Not often an NFL pointspread approaches 20 points, but Jacksonville is getting 19.5 points this weekend in Seattle- they'll need 'em.Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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Football lines that make you go hmmm...
We’ve seen this "Rope-a-Dope" from the New York Giants before.
New York, which is 0-2 SU and ATS out of the gate, lost its opening two games of the 2007 season in similar fashion, dropping to Dallas in Week 1 and getting blown out of the water by Green Bay in Week 2.
That New York team would rebound from that 0-2 start to win 10 of its final 14 games SU and ATS, make the playoffs, fight its way to the NFC Championship, and stun the undefeated New England Patriots in Super Bowl XLII.
So you can excuse us for being a little skeptical of the Giants as 1-point road underdogs in Carolina this Sunday. They actually opened as high as 2.5-point pups at some books.
New York is better than its record indicates. If not for a turnover bonanza, the Giants would have likely beaten the Cowboys in the opener, and Week 2’s loss to the Broncos wouldn’t have the G-Men scrambling for the panic button.
According to beat writer Art Stapleton of the N.J. Record, only three teams have gone on to make the playoffs after starting 0-3 since 1990 and none since 1998. That factoid makes this Sunday’s trip to Carolina even more important for New York.
And, just in case you were wondering, the 2007 Giants followed that 0-2 start with a 24-17 win at Washington in Week 3 as 3.5-point underdogs – starting a streak of six straight wins in which N.Y. went 5-1 ATS.
NFL
Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (-14.5, 49)
Rarely do you get to say two touchdowns is not enough when talking about NFL spreads. But, here we are.
The Broncos look like world beaters, smoking the defending Super Bowl champs and thumping the one team that may have the most inside info on Peyton Manning (H/T Eli) in the first two weeks of the season. Denver has outscored opponents 90-50 through those two games, winning by an average of 20 points against two very good teams.
The Oakland Raiders are not a very good team. A close loss to Indianapolis – which plays every game close – and a win over Jacksonville – which could be the worst team in NFL history – has everyone’s Silver and Black panties in the bunch.
If Denver’s defense can pick off a total of six passes against Super Bowl MVPs like Eli Manning and Joe Flacco, a forgotten third-round pick like Terrelle Pryor doesn’t stand a chance.
NCAAF
West Virginia Mountaineers at Maryland Terrapins (-5.5)
The Terps are 3-0 and looking for their first 4-0 start since 2001. But standing in Maryland’s way is a familiar foe – West Virginia. Oddsmakers have this one hanging at Maryland -5.5, moving up from as low as -4.
The Mountaineers have owned the Terrapins in recent years, winning seven straight and going 5-2 ATS in that span. If this is the year Maryland gets over the hump, a win over WVU is the first step.
That sounds a lot easier than it really is. West Virginia isn’t running and gunning like the last few years under Geno Smith. The ‘Neers struggled to put up points in their loss to Oklahoma but will be facing a depleted Maryland secondary that has two new starters in at corner.
Maryland backers can’t afford to give up a couple quick scores over the top at his wonky spread.Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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College football odds: Week 4 opening line report
The Stanford Cardinal (2-0 SU, 0-2 ATS) get their first real test of the season as they host the Arizona State Sun Devils (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) in a big matchup in the Pac-12.
Sun Devils RB Marion Grice tallied four touchdowns in a 32-30 victory over No. 20 Wisconsin Saturday night.
Stanford defeated Army 34-20 in an unconvincing victory for the No. 5 team in the land, but open as a double-digit favorite against its conference foe.
Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, and his team had varying opinions on where the line should open.
"We had a low of seven and a high of 13," Korner told Covers. "I put it right in the middle at 10. Stanford didn't show very well against an easy, knock-over team but they are at home, they're ranked and we wanted to keep it at double-digits and not be too low."
Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators (-14)
The Florida Gators (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS) and Tennessee Volunteers (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) will renew acquaintances in this fierce SEC rivalry.
The Gators are coming off a tough loss against in-state rivals Miami Hurricanes but a bye week will help them prepare for the Volunteers, who were hammered by the Oregon Ducks 59-14.
Korner and his team fully expect the Gators to win. It's just a question of by how much.
"All five of us were between 13.5 and 15 so we sent out 14," said Korner. "The line should hold right around there so I don't think you'll see too much up or down from the two touchdown area."
Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers (-18)
Another battle in the SEC features the Auburn Tigers (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS) traveling to Baton Rouge to face the LSU Tigers (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS).
Auburn might be 3-0 and are coming off a victory against Mississippi State, but the Tigers haven't proven anything to Korner.
"Most of the guys were between 15 and 18," he says. "I just think Auburn is a mediocre team and LSU at home is always tough. I just have to see Auburn play better than what we've seen for this to be any lower."
Clemson Tigers at NC State Wolfpack (+12)
Week 4 of the NCAA schedule opens with the Clemson Tigers (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) at the NC State Wolfpack (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS).
Clemson has looked sharp after defeating Georgia in Week 1 and thrashing South Carolina State in Week 2.
WR Charone Peake (eight receptions, 84 yards) tore his ACL during a midweek practice and is out for the rest of the season. But the Tigers boast weapons all over the field and open as double-digit favorites.
"We put it at Clemson -12," Korner states. "Gun to my head says this line goes maybe a little higher. Clemson is obviously the stronger of the two and we know when we have a standalone game like this, everyone bets favorites."
Michigan State Sparatans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-7.5)
The Irish (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS) were not overly convincing in their 31-24 victory over the Purdue Boilermakers but will open as favorites against the Spartans (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS).
"We were all around a touchdown and I stuck with a 7.5," says Korner. "There's nothing out there that leads me to believe that this should be higher or lower. Notre Dame was a little bit challenged this week against Purdue but they should be better prepared this time.this should be higher or lower. Notre Dame was a little bit challenged this week against Purdue but they should be better this time.Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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Beyond the BCS: Capping college football's small conferences
[b]Some of the best betting value in college football is hiding beyond the BCS, in the small conferences. Each week, Covers Experts’ Doc’s Sports will look at the little programs that could help you make big cash this college season.
Team to watch: Wyoming Cowboys
This week: -3.5 at Air Force
Wyoming is off to a solid start as it heads into its Mountain West opener against Air Force. The Cowboys lost at Nebraska 37-34, then scored a pair of blowouts over Idaho and Northern Colorado. They are 3-0 against the spread so far, 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall dating back to last year, and 6-0 ATS in their last six against teams with losing records.
A losing record is exactly what Air Force has after getting clobbered 52-20 and 42-20 by Utah State and Boise State, respectively. The Falcons are 1-7 ATS in their last eight overall, 1-4 ATS in their last five conference games, and 0-4 ATS in their last four at home. They may have a tough time stopping Wyoming Saturday. Air Force is giving up 474.3 yards per contest, while the Cowboys’ offense is going for an average of 534.3 yards - including 316.3 through the air.
Team to beware: Boise State Broncos
This week: +3 at Fresno State
This doesn’t appear to be one of the better Boise State teams. The Broncos edged Washington 28-26 in last season’s Las Vegas Bowl then got destroyed at Washington 38-6 in their 2013 opener on August 31. They are 1-5 ATS in their last six overall and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 conference games.
Senior quarterback Joe Southwick completed just 11 of 22 passes for 113 yards with one TD and one pick against Fresno State last year. Against Washington three weeks ago, he was 25 of 40 for 152 yards with no scores and one interception. The favorite is 11-0 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. Fresno State is a field-goal favorite at home Friday.
Total team: Florida Atlantic Owls
This week: 47 vs. Middle Tennessee
Florida Atlantic’s offense is far from a juggernaut. It mustered only 19 total points against Miami and East Carolina, with two quarterbacks combining to throw one touchdown and three interceptions in three games. The Owls are still without the suspended Damian Fortner, who was the team’s feature running back throughout the first half of last season. Their defense, though, limited South Florida to 10 points - none in the final three quarters - last Saturday.
The under is 4-0 in FIU’s last four overall. The Owls are going up against a Middle Tennessee team that has watched the total go under in five of its last six overall and four of its last five road games.Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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NCAAF
Long Sheet
Week 4
Thursday, September 19
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CLEMSON (2 - 0) at NC STATE (2 - 0) - 9/19/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 2-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-1 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Friday, September 20
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BOISE ST (2 - 1) at FRESNO ST (2 - 0) - 9/20/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 109-70 ATS (+32.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 109-70 ATS (+32.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 67-42 ATS (+20.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 69-37 ATS (+28.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 63-33 ATS (+26.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 74-45 ATS (+24.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 2-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NCAAF
Short Sheet
Week 4
Thursday, September 19th, 2013
#3 Clemson at NC State, 7:30 ET ESPN
Clemson: 15-5 ATS off a win by 35+ points
NC State: 6-0 Under in home games
Friday, September 20th, 2013
Boise State at Fresno State, 9:00 ET ESPN
Boise State: 3-11 ATS after scoring 37+ points
Fresno State: 14-4 ATS playing on artificial turf
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 4
Thursday's games
Clemson won eight of last nine games with NC State, but covered only two of last seven and got upset 37-13 (-7.5) in last visit here, though its previous three visits here were wins by 20-22-21 points. Visiting team is 7-1 vs spread in last eight series games. Tigers covered last four games as a road favorite; Wolfpack is 3-0-1 in last four games as home dog and is 10-3-1 since '08 when getting points at home- this is first year for new coach Doeren. Clemson allowed 522 yards to veteran Georgia offense in 38-35 opening win; State survived I-AA Richmond 23-21 in last minute and routed a graduation-ravaged La Tech team in its only I-A game.
Friday's games
Favorites covered the last 11 Boise-Fresno games; Broncos won/covered its last seven games with Fresno- they lost here 27-7 (+9.5) the last time they were series underdog, but won three visits since by combined score of 142-62 (47-21 average). Peterson is a ridiculous 86-7 coaching Boise, covering three of five times he was getting points- they lost 38-6 (+3) in only road game this year, at Washington- they lost 13 of 22 starters from LY's team. Fresno had unexpected week off last week because of the bad floods in Colorado; Bulldogs are 6-1 as home favorites under DeRuyter, in his second year coaching Fresno.
NCAAF
Week 4
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Trend Report
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Thursday, September 19
7:30 PM
CLEMSON vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Clemson is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Clemson is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Clemson
North Carolina State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Clemson
Friday, September 20
9:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. FRESNO STATE
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Fresno State
Boise State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games at home
Fresno State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at homeRemember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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Tech Trends - Week 4
September 18, 2013
Thursday, Sept. 19
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at CLEMSON at NC STATE...NCS has covered the last three meetings. Dabo, however, was 3-0 as road chalk and 4-0 as ACC visitor in 2012, and is 10-5 overall vs. number since last season. Pack was 10-3-1 as home dog for O'Brien 2009-12. Slight to Clemson, based on recent trends.
Friday, Sept. 20
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
at BOISE STATE at FRESNO STATE...FSU no covers last three after 11-1 break from gate vs. spread. FSU 0-1 vs. line at Dog House TY after 6-0 mark LY. Boise has won and covered last seven years in series. Boise, based on series trends.
Saturday, Sept. 21
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
NORTH TEXAS at GEORGIA...UGa was 0-4 laying 20 or more LY (0-3 in role at Athens) after 4-1 mark in role previous two years. UNT 4-1 getting 20 or more since 2011. Slight to UNT, based on team trends.
FIU at LOUISVILLE...FIU has covered the last two years vs. 'Ville and won outright at Papa John's in 2011. Although Golden Panthers no covers first 3 this season and just 4-8 last 12 as dog. Cards only 6-9 as Papa John's chalk since 2011, and 1-4 last 5 laying 20 or more. Slight to Louisville, based on recent trends.
WESTERN MICHIGAN at IOWA...Ferentz 5-12 last 17 vs. line since late 2011, 11-21-1 last 33 vs. line overall, and 3-10 laying DDs since 2010. WMU only 4-11 last 15 vs. line since late 2011. Slight to WMU, based on extended Iowa woes.
at VANDERBILT at UMASS...UMass 7-12 vs. line for Molnar since LY. James Franklin 12-3 as chalk since 2011 and 7-0 laying DDs that span. Vandy, based on team trends.
WAKE FOREST at ARMY...Deacs only 5-10 vs. line since LY but did win and cover vs. Army LY. West Point just 5-10 vs. line since LY and Black Knights poor 12-22 as home dog since 2003. Slight to Wake, based on team trends.
at PITT at DUKE...Blue Devils 7-2 vs. line last 9 vs. non-ACC. Duke, based on team trends.
MICHIGAN at UCONN...Wolves are 5-2 as DD chalk since LY and 2-0 as road chalk that span. Huskies 7-2 as Rentsch dog since 2009 (4-2 for Pasqualoni) but only 10-16 overall vs. spread since late 2010. Michigan, based on team trends.
PURDUE at WISCONSIN...Badgers have won and covered last four meetings since 2009 and six straight dating to 2005. Purdue 3-0 as road dog for Danny Hope LY but 0-2 vs. line in 2013 for Hazell. Gary Andersen teams 14-2 vs. line since LY at USU and Wiscy and Badgers 11-4-1 laying 20 or more since 2010. Wisconsin, based on team trends.
BALL STATE at EASTERN MICHIGAN...Ball 16-6 vs. line last 22 for Pete Lembo since mid 2011. Cards 9-5 vs. line away for Lembo and have won and covered last two years vs. EMU. Eagles only 9-21 vs. line at Ypsilanti since 2007. Ron English 5-10 as home dog with EMU. Ball State, based on team trends.
KENT STATE at PENN STATE...Kent State no covers last three or since Hazell left late LY. Golden Flashes were 2-7 as visiting dog 2010-11 before 3-1 mark LY. Kent State also 3-11 vs. line vs. non-MAC 2008-11 prior to 3-2 LY. Bill O'Brien has covered six straight as Happy Valley chalk since early LY and Nittany Lions 6-2 vs. line as host for O'Brien. Penn State, based on team trends.
MARSHALL at VIRGINIA TECH...Herd has lost and failed to cover in 2009 & '11 vs. Beamer. Beamer 8-21-1 last 30 on board since late 2010. Herd 3-1 as road dog LY and 9-6 as dog since 2011. Marshall, based on recent trends.
CINCINNATI at MIAMI-OHIO...Miami 4-10 vs. line since LY. RedHawks have lost and failed to cover last 3 in series and have lost last 7 SU vs. nearby Cincy, never closer than 24 last six. Cincy 8-4 as DD chalk since 2010, Tuberville 6-1 laying 20 or more at TT from 2010-12. Cincy, based on team and series trends.
NORTH CAROLINA at GEORGIA TECH...Wild games lately with GT winning last three, and a 68-50 scoreline LY! Tech now 11-5 vs. line since LY. Heels 1-5-1 last seven as dog since late 2010. GT, based on team trends.
WEST VIRGINIA vs. MARYLAND (at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore)...Terps have started 3-0 SU and vs. line TY and have covered last four since late LY. WVU 6-2 as dog since 2011. Maryland, based on recent trends.
SAN JOSE STATE at MINNESOTA...Spartans 2-0 vs. line for Caragher, now 13-2 vs. line since LY and 16-2 last 18 since late 2011. Also 23-6 last 29 on board and 8-2 as road dog since 201l. If favored, Minn.3-0 as home chalk since LY and 5-1 overall as chalk since 2012. SJSU, based on team trends.
TROY at MISSISSIPPI STATE...MSU 1-6 last seven vs. line against FBS foes. Though Dan Mullen is 11-4 as home chalk since 2010 for Mullen. Troy 5-1 vs. line non-Belt since LY. Troy, based on team trends.
UL-MONROE at BAYLOR...ULM 5-1 as dog vs. non-Belt since LY (including cover vs. Baylor). Baylor now 8-2 as home chalk since 2011, and 3-0 laying 20 or more since LY. Slight to Baylor, based on recent trends.
WYOMING at AIR FORCE...AFA has won 4 of last 5 meetings SU but has dropped last 4 vs. line against Wyo. Falcs 5-16 vs. line at home since 2010. Wyo 2-0 as road chalk LY and 14-8 last 22 vs. line overall. Cowboys 18-8 vs. line away since Christensen arrived in 2009. Wyo, based on team trends.
UTAH at BYU...Utah has won last 3 SU in series and covered 4 of last 5 meetings. Kyle Whittingham 19-13 as dog since 2005. BYU only 1-5 as single-digit chalk since LY. Utah, based on series and team trends.
HAWAII at NEVADA...Norm Chow has covered last five since late 2012. Warriors have also covered 4 of last 5 in series. Pack 0-4 as home chalk LY but Polian covered first try in role this season. Nevada still 25-14 as Reno chalk since 2004 (25-11 if tossing out 2012 mark). Slight to UH, based on recent trends.
UTAH STATE at SOUTHERN CAL...Lane Kiffin 4-12 vs. line since LY. Also 1-5 vs. line last six vs. non-Pac 12. USU 13-3 vs. line since 2012 and 7-2 last nine vs. points away from Logan. USU, based on recent trends.
SMU at TEXAS A&M...A&M only 4-3 as home chalk since LY, although Ags have won and covered last two years vs. SMU by big margins. June Jones 3-8 last 11 as visiting dog. A&M, based on SMU road woes and series trends.
RICE vs. HOUSTON (at Reliant Stadium)...UH has won and covered big the past two seasons, but Rice has covered last 5 and 8 of last 9 on board since midway in 2012 season. Rice, based on recent trends.
MICHIGAN STATE at NOTRE DAME...Irish have won and covered last two meetings and covered last three vs. MSU, which had enjoyed much spread success prior in series. Spartans have covered last four as dog away from East Lansing. Brian Kelly only 7-9 as DD chalk since 2010. MSU, based on team trends.
KANSAS STATE at TEXAS...Bill Snyder has won and covered last three vs. Mack Brown. KSU also 9-3 as dog since 2011, 17-8 in role since Snyder returned in 2009. Mack 9-15 as home chalk since 2009. KSU, based on Snyder trends.
ARKANSAS STATE at MEMPHIS...ASU has won SU last two years although Memphis got the cover in 2012. Tigers 5-1 vs. line since late 2012. Ark State, however, 21-8 since 2011 vs. line, 10-3 as home chalk that span, 9-4 laying DD. Slight to Arkansas State, based on team trends.
LA TECH at KANSAS...La Tech and Skip Holtz each no covers their last 8 since late 2012, Holtz also 4-19-1 vs. line last 24 at USF & LT. Weis, however, 0-3 as chalk since LY, 1-11 last 12 as chalk dating to ND days. Slight to LY based on extended Weis negatives.
COLORADO STATE at ALABAMA...CSU 4-1 vs. line last 5 since late LY and has covered last three as dog. Nick only 2-5 as home chalk since LY and 1-6 last 7 laying 30 or more. CSU, based on recent trends.
ARKANSAS at RUTGERS...Hogs only 1-6 vs. line last seven as visitor since mid 2011. If dog note Bielema 8-3-1 in role from 2009-12 at Wiscy. Rutgers 1-5 vs. line last five. Slight to Arkansas, if dog, based on Bielema dog marks.
ARIZONA STATE at STANFORD...Teams haven't met since 2010. Tree only 1-6 last 7 as Farm chalk since LY, 2-8 last 10 in role. But ASU only 1-4 as dog LY. Favored teams are 12-3 in ASU games since Todd Graham took over last season. Slight to Stanford, based on chalk-in-Graham trends.
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE at AKRON...Terry Bowden 0-4 as home dog since taking over Zips LY. Ragin' Cajuns 12-5 vs. spread away from Lafayette for Hudspeth since 2011, but 0-2 TY. Louisiana, based on Akron negatives.
IDAHO at WASHINGTON STATE...Leach has now covered four straight since late LY. Vandals 3-13 last 16 vs. spread. WSU, based on Idaho negatives.
MTSU at FLORIDA ATLANTIC...Carl Pelini and FAU have now covered 10 of their last 11 as dog. Although MTSU has won and covered the last 4 meetings and has won last 5 SU in series. Stockstill 4-0 as road chalk since 2011. Slight to FAU, based on Carl Pelini trends.
TULANE at SYRACUSE...Wave 7-3 last 10 on board since mid 2012 after La Tech win. Tulane also 6-1 last 7 as dog for Curtis Johnson. Cuse 5-8 last 13 overall as favorite. Tulane, based on team trends.
TOLEDO at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...Rockets have won and covered last three meetings, all DD wins. Toledo 14-6 vs. line as visitor since 2010. Chips 1-5 as home dog since 2011. Toledo, based on team and series trends.
TEXAS STATE at TEXAS TECH...Kingsbury 3-0 SU and vs. line. Red Raiders also 10-4 vs. non-Big 12 since 2010 and 7-1 laying 20 or more since 2010. Franchione and TSU 4-1 last 5 as dog since mid 2012. TT, based on team trends.
OREGON STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE...Rocky only 5-5 as dog since 2011 (1-2 as home dog). Mike Riley 0-2 as visiting chalk since 2010 and 1-5 last 6 as DD chalk. Slight to SDSU, based on team trends.
AUBURN at LSU...Gus Malzahn 9-6 vs. line since LY at Ark State & Auburn. LSU has won 5 of last 6 SU in series but is only 3-3 vs. line in those games and 15-23 as home chalk since 2007. Auburn, based on Malzahn numbers.
UTSA at UTEP...Coker 3-0 vs. line TY, 10-3 vs. points since 2012, also 6-1 vs. line away. UTEP 0-4 as home chalk since LY. UTSA, based on team trends.
MISSOURI at INDIANA...Pinkel 7-3 vs. line non-conf. since 2010. If favored note Tigers 9-3 as visiting chalk since 2007. Mizzou, based on team trends.
NEW MEXICO STATE at UCLA...Ags 1-5-1 as road dog since LY, 1-9 last 10 getting 20 or more since late 2011. More 10-6 vs. line with UCLA, 2-0 laying 20 or more.Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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