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The Bum's MLB News-Stats and POD'S Thru The World Series !
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Originally posted by Kaptain View Postgood luck tonight Bum....I took the cards
Well, if the Cards can beat Kershaw twice in a week, the Sox can certainly get to Wainwright now and again.
I feel terrible for Carlos Beltran. He's been waiting 16 years for this opportunity and now he may not see another pitch.
Pete Kozma needs to calm down and get his head in the series before it's too late.
Well, today's another day and here we go! Today, I'm thinking Cards (Wacha) again but I'm not booking anything til I see what you guys are doing.
Good luck today, guys!
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MLB
Dunkel
St. Louis at Boston
The Cardinals look to bounce back from last night's 8-1 loss in the opener and build on their 5-0 record in Michael Wacha's last 5 starts against a team with a winning record. St. Louis is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+105). Here are all of today's picks.
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 24
Game 953-954: St. Louis at Boston (8:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wacha) 17.246; Boston (Lackey) 16.444
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Boston (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+105); Under
MLB
Long Sheet
Thursday, October 24
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ST LOUIS (104 - 70) at BOSTON (105 - 68) - 8:05 PM
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. JOHN LACKEY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)
MICHAEL WACHA vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.
JOHN LACKEY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, October 24
Rookie Wacha won his last four starts, allowing nine hits, one run in 29.2 IP; three of those four games stayed under the total.
Lackey is 3-1, 3.00 in his last four starts; he has a 3.82 ERA in last five starts at Fenway Park. He is 5-4, 3.10 in 14 career postseason starts.
Cardinals are 7-5 in playoffs, 2-4 on road. Under is 5-4 in their last nine games. Cardinals are 5-6 playing in AL ballparks this year- those games had the DH (over 7-4).
Red Sox won five of their last six games, are 8-3 in playoffs, scoring total of seven runs in the losses. Over is 11-3-2 in their last sixteen games.
MLB
Thursday, October 24
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Trend Report
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8:07 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games at home
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
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MLB
Thursday, October 24
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Cardinals at Red Sox: What bettors need to know
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St. Louis Cardinals at Boston Red Sox (-125, 7)
Boston leads series 1-0.
The St. Louis Cardinals displayed some nerves in the field during the first game of the World Series and were bitten by errors in a loss. The Cardinals will look to clean up those mistakes when they visit the Boston Red Sox for Game 2 on Thursday. The Red Sox are riding a nine-game World Series winning streak and showed no jitters while jumping on top early in Game 1.
Mike Napoli followed an error with a three-run double in the first inning Wednesday and Boston got the aid of another error in a two-run second to jump in front of St. Louis. One of the best plays the Cardinals did make in the early innings came from Carlos Beltran, who reached into the bullpen in right field to rob David Ortiz of a grand slam. Beltran suffered a right rib contusion on that catch and was forced to leave the game, though, leaving his status in doubt for Game 2.
TV: 8:07 p.m. ET, Fox
WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid 40s with partly cloudy skies and winds blowing west at 9 mph.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (3-0, 0.43 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH John Lackey (2-0, 3.00)
Wacha was the NLCS MVP after tossing 13 2/3 scoreless innings over two starts against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The 22-year-old rookie allowed a total of one run on eight hits over 21 innings this postseason while striking out 22 and issuing four walks. Wacha made both NLCS starts at home and posted a 4.34 ERA in five games - three starts - on the road during the regular season while going 3-2.
Lackey was moved up to the No. 2 spot for the World Series after dominating the Detroit Tigers through 6 2/3 scoreless innings in the ALCS. The veteran struck out eight and did not walk a batter in that turn, outdueling Justin Verlander in a 1-0 triumph. Lackey last pitched in the World Series as a rookie for the Los Angeles Angels in 2002, when he went 1-0 with a 4.38 ERA in three games - two starts.
TRENDS:
* Over is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings in Boston.
* Cardinals are 2-7 in their last nine playoff road games.
* Red Sox are 9-0 in their last 9 World Series games.
* Red Sox are 6-1 in Lackey's last seven home starts.
* Cardinals are 4-0 in Wacha's last four starts.
UMP TRENDS - Mark Wegner:
* Under is 4-0-1 in Wegner's last five games behind home plate.
* Under is 25-12 in Wegner's last 37 interleague games behind home plate.
* Road team is 5-2 in Wegner's last 7 games behind home plate.
WALK-OFFS:
1. Beltran was taken for X-rays after leaving Game 1. Jon Jay replaced him in the field.
2. Ortiz hit a two-run homer Wednesday, giving him four in 11 playoff games this season.
3. St. Louis SS Pete Kozma went 0-for-3 and committed two errors in Game 1.Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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World Series Game 2
October 24, 2013
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (104-70) at BOSTON RED SOX (105-68)
Sportsbook.ag Line: Boston -120 & 7 over -120
Coming off a dominating 8-1 victory on Wednesday night, the Red Sox will look to take a 2-0 lead in the World Series against the Cardinals in Thursday's Game 2.
The Boston bats came alive early and often against St. Louis ace Adam Wainwright, but he wasn’t helped by uncharacteristically poor defense. Only three of the five runs charged to him were earned, as the Cardinals finished the game with three errors. This was the same team that finished the regular season with the fourth-fewest errors in the majors. And when the defense made good plays, there were bad results like when RF Carlos Beltran robbed a home run, but injured his ribs in the process, making him questionable for Thursday’s action.
Rookie sensation Michael Wacha (6-1, 2.16 ERA) takes the mound for St. Louis in this one, amid a torrid playoff stretch during which he is 3-0 with an 0.43 ERA and 0.57 WHIP. He’ll face veteran John Lackey (12-13, 3.49 ERA), who doesn’t have Wacha’s stuff, but has some savvy as he showed in his last start, when he shut out the Tigers over 6.2 innings en route to a 1-0 Red Sox victory. And Boston always enjoys playing at home where it now has a 58-29 record (.667) this season, as compared to the Cardinals who are just barely above .500 on the road at 45-4
Wacha (0.97 WHIP) has been incredible since he was called up and only continues to get better with this stretch during the playoffs, during which he has averaged 7.0 innings per start. He has given up only one run the entire postseason while striking out 22 batters and only walking four in his 21 innings. He hasn’t been quite as good on the road this year, but still has fantastic numbers away from home, going 2-0 with a 2.62 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in four starts.
Though he has never faced the Red Sox in his short career, the key for him will be getting through the core of the Boston lineup in 3-4-5 hitters Dustin Pedroia, David Ortiz and Mike Napoli who combined to go 5-for-11 with 7 RBI and four runs in Game 1. It would be helpful for the Cardinals if Wacha can last deep into this game, with five relievers pitching for St. Louis on Wednesday. But the unit has a respectable 3.36 ERA and 1.21 WHIP this season, including a 2.18 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in the playoffs, and should be dependable if called upon by manager Mike Matheny.
Lackey (1.16 WHIP) is always happy to pitch at Fenway Park where he has a 2.71 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 2013, garnering a 7-3 record (team 10-4). At home he has 83 strikeouts and 18 walks over 96.1 innings, and all season he has fanned 175 batters and walked 43 in 201.1 frames. His penchant to give up long balls is also improved at home, giving up only eight at Fenway versus 18 on the road. Lackey has also historically been a quality postseason pitcher, with a 5-4 record, 3.10 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 16 career outings, 14 of which were starts. This includes a 2.58 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in seven starts since 2008.
He has never faced St. Louis in his career, though the two current Cardinals who he has been exposed to—OFs Carlos Beltran and Matt Holliday—are a combined 0-for-16 with four strikeouts against him in their careers. Especially given that starter Jon Lester went 7.2 innings on Wednesday, Boston manager John Farrell should have no qualms looking to his relievers early in Game 2. Red Sox relievers have a 3.54 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 2013, and have been even better during the postseason, going 3-1 with a 1.08 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and five saves.Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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MLB
Dunkel
Boston at St. Louis
The Red Sox look to follow up their 4-2 win last night and build on their 10-1 record in their last 11 playoff games as an underdog. Boston is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Boston (+100). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, AUGUST 28
Game 959-960: Boston at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 17.122; St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.569
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+100); Under
MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Monday, October 28
Lester is 5-1, 2.11 in his last seven starts, 2-1, 1.40 in three playoff starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six starts.
Wainwright is 5-0, 1.25 in his last six home starts, 2-2, 2.89 in his last four in playoffs. Cardinals scored once in his last two starts, but four of his last five starts went over the total.
Boston is 6-3 in its last nine games; they're 4-3 on road in playoffs.
St Louis won eight of last 12 games; they've allowed 13 runs in their nine postseason wins, 33 in six losses. Cardinals are 13-2 in their last 15 games at home- four of their last six games went over the total.
MLB
Monday, October 28
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Trend Report
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BOSTON vs. ST. LOUIS
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 13 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
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MLB
Monday, October 28
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Red Sox at Cardinals: What bettors need to know
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Boston Red Sox at St. Louis Cardinals (-115, 7)
Series tied 2-2.
The first four games of the World Series have been won by the team that makes the fewest mistakes. Both the St. Louis Cardinals and the Boston Red Sox will attempt to take control of the series when the former hosts Game 5 on Monday. The big mistake of Game 4 was a high sinker to Jonny Gomes, who deposited it beyond the left-field wall to give the Red Sox a 4-2 win.
St. Louis became the first team in history to end a World Series game on a pickoff when its other big mistake came back to bite it on Sunday. Rookie Kolten Wong was nabbed at first base to end the game with Carlos Beltran at the plate representing the tying run. That marks two straight series games ending in historic fashion after Boston made the big mistake of Game 3 on an obstruction call at third base.
TV: 8:07 p.m. ET, FOX
WEATHER: Temperatures in high 50s with partly cloudy skies and winds blowing ESE at 4 mph.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Red Sox LH Jon Lester (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (0-1, 5.40)
Lester dominated in Game 1, striking out eight and scattering five hits in 7 2/3 scoreless innings. The 29-year-old has not allowed a run in 13 1/3 career innings in the World Series and is dominant in the 2013 postseason with five runs allowed in 27 total innings. Lester’s worst start of the playoffs was his lone road turn, when he surrendered two runs on seven hits in 5 1/3 innings at Detroit.
Wainwright did not get a lot of help from the defense behind him in Game 1 and ended up being charged with five runs (three earned) on six hits in five innings. That made two straight losses in the postseason for Wainwright, who came out on the bad end of a 3-0 shutout at Los Angeles in the National League Championship Series. Wainwright got the win in each of his two postseason starts at home, yielding two runs on 11 hits in 16 combined innings.
TRENDS:
* Under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in St. Louis.
* Red Sox are 5-2 in their last seven during Game 5 of a series.
* Cardinals are 7-1 in their last eight during Game 5 of a series.
UMP TRENDS - Bill Miller:
* Under is 36-17 in Miller's last 53 interleague games behind home plate.
* Under is 42-20 in Miller's last 62 games behind home plate.
* Home team is 6-2 in Miller's last eight interleague games behind home plate.
WALK-OFFS:
1. The Red Sox have committed errors in five straight games.
2. St. Louis 3B David Freese, who is the 2011 World Series MVP, is 1-for-12 with four strikeouts in the set.
3. Boston DH David Ortiz is playing 1B in the NL park and has reached base safely in each of his last seven trips to the plate.Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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World Series - Game 6
October 30, 2013
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (106-72) at BOSTON RED SOX (107-70)
Sportsbook.ag Line: Boston -115, St. Louis +105, Total: 7
The Red Sox return home Wednesday looking to knock off the Cardinals and clinch a World Series title in front of their home fans at Fenway Park for the first time since 1918.
Given the unusual endings to Game 3 and Game 4, Game 5 was quite normal as two Red Sox runs in the seventh proved decisive in a 3-1 victory. The Cardinals will be thrilled to have Michael Wacha (7-1, 2.22 ERA) on the mound for this all-important game, as the rookie right-hander has been brilliant this postseason with a 4-0 record in four starts to go along with a 1.00 ERA and 0.70 WHIP. In Game 2 at Boston, he gave up two runs in six innings to beat John Lackey for the win. Lackey (12-14, 3.51 ERA) will take the mound again in this one looking to avenge the last start, when he allowed three earned runs in 6.1 innings in the loss. He also got in some extra work in Game 4, throwing a hitless inning of relief.
Overall, the Red Sox have dominated at Fenway Park in 2013 with a 58-30 record (.659) while the Cardinals were strong on the road at 46-42 (.523). Returning to the AL will have big implications for both teams. For the Red Sox, it means David Ortiz, who could be on his way to the World Series MVP title with a ridiculous .733 BA, can return to DH while Mike Napoli slots in at first base. For the Cardinals, it should allow the ailing Allen Craig to DH while Matt Adams continues to play first.
Wacha (0.99 WHIP) seemingly gets better every start and now has 74 strikeouts, 25 walks and only six homers allowed in 81 innings. In his past three starts he has a 0.92 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. Although he has been slightly worse on the road this year (2.70 ERA, 1.17 WHIP), don’t expect that to be a problem with how he handled Fenway Park in his first try.
The one guy he has to watch out for is none other than Ortiz, who smacked a two-run shot in the sixth inning to give Boston its only runs of the game. In that contest, like many others, the St. Louis bullpen was tremendous, going three innings and giving up just one hit and no runs while striking out six. Cardinals relievers have a 2.20 ERA this postseason while keeping batters to a pithy .184 BA, fanning 43 batters in 45 innings.
Lackey (1.16 WHIP) is now pitching in his sixth postseason, placing a true veteran against a rookie. In 18 career postseason appearances (15 starts) he has a 3.14 ERA and 1.28 WHIP, going 5-5 with 73 strikeouts and 34 walks. Overall this season he struck out 181 and walked 45 in 207.2 innings, with the only scary part about his stat line being the 26 home runs he allowed. Lackey also pitched far better at home in 2013 with a 2.81 ERA and 1.08 WHIP at Fenway Park, going 7-4 (team 10-5) in those 15 starts.
Lackey was given a 2-1 lead by Ortiz’s home run in Game 2 but couldn’t hold on, with a sac-fly and error giving the Cardinals the lead for good in the bottom half of the inning. In his career, Lackey has done well against some of St. Louis’ key hitters including OFs Carlos Beltran (1-for-12) and Matt Holliday (1-for-10). And while the Cardinals bullpen has been good this postseason, the Boston bullpen has been even better, with a 1.34 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, .216 opponents' BA and seven saves in 47 innings.Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....
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