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**Udog** · 08-24-2013, 09:23 AM

NFL preseason primer: Saturday game betting breakdown

Here's a quick look at what to expect in Saturday's NFL preseason tilts.

Buffalo at Washington (-1, 42.5)

Injuries at the quarterback position are the story here for this late Saturday afternoon start time. Both the Bills and Redskins are 2-0 SU/ATS in the preseason, but the respective moods surrounding both teams are a bit darker than you’d think. In Buffalo, EJ Manuel appeared to be well on his way to winning the starting QB job in his rookie season. But after completing 26 of 33 passes for 200+ yards in two games, swelling was discovered in his left knee & he’s been lost for the remainder of the preseason. This leaves Kevin Kolb to start here. After injuring himself by slipping on a wet practice mat and missing the opener, Kolb didn’t look too good last week, throwing an INT and completing only 13 of 21 passes.

The Robert Griffin III saga has grabbed all the headlines in the Nation’s capital during training camp. Though he reportedly took reps against the starting defense in practice, RG3 has still not been cleared for the regular season opener against Philadelphia on September 9th (Monday night game). This is problematic because backup Kirk Cousins sprained his knee in Monday’s 24-13 win over Pittsburgh. Rex Grossman is the only other QB currently on the roster. The short week certainly is no help to Washington here.

NY Jets at NY Giants (-2.5, 38)

This annual clash is always one of the “most anticipated” games of the preseason, if for no other reason that it’s New York vs. New York. Because they’ve really never accomplished anything since Super Bowl III, the game was always taken more seriously by the Jets, who hold a 14-5 ATS edge since 1993. However, the Giants dominated last year’s game, winning 26-3. That was actually the second and not the third preseason game for both teams though.

After losing their opener to the Lions, the Jets won last week against the Jaguars 37-13, but that score is somewhat misleading as they outscored Jacksonville 27-0 after halftime. Rookie Geno Smith will get the start at QB this week over Mark Sanchez and this is his moment to try and earn the starting gig. Sanchez has been his usual uneven self this preseason, looking good at times and then turning the ball over like always. Smith did not play last week after injuring his ankle in the first game.

Cleveland at Indianapolis (-2.5, 42.5)

The Browns are 2-0 and have surprisingly looked pretty good for first year head coach Rob Chudzinski. They have beaten both St. Louis and Detroit at home, and the most promising bit of news has been the play of second year QB Brandon Weeden, who has gone a combined 18 of 25 for 229 yards and three touchdowns. To no one’s shock, he was officially named the team’s starter for the regular season, mid-week. In both games the Browns have led 17-0. Running back Trent Richardson saw game action for the first time last week. Unfortunately, several Cleveland players suffered serious injuries last week, including Richardson’s backup (Dion Lewis) as well as 1st round draft choice Barkevious Mingo.

The Colts responded nicely from a 44-20 drubbing at the hands of Buffalo in their opener to defeat the Giants on the road last week, 20-12. The defense (obviously) played much better, recording six sacks. QB Andrew Luck threw a pair of touchdown passes. Putting Indianapolis at somewhat of a disadvantage here is the fact they will have had two less days to prepare.

Tampa Bay at Miami (-3, 40)

During the week, we all learned how Hall of Famer Fran Tarkenton felt about Bucs QB Josh Freeman. Still though, it is widely presumed that he will win the starting job over rookie Mike Glennon out of North Carolina State. Tampa Bay is 0-2 this preseason and last week’s final score vs. New England was somewhat misleading as the team trailed 25-10 going into the fourth quarter. The week previous they were dismantled at home by Baltimore 44-16.

Miami is playing its fourth preseason game, but its first at home. After opening the NFL season with an outright loss to the Cowboys in the Hall of Fame Game, they have split a pair of road games, first winning at Jacksonville 27-3 and then losing last week at Houston 24-17. The worst news of all has been the loss of tight end Dustin Keller for the year on a much debated shot to the knee. On a positive note, second year QB Ryan Tannehill and newly acquired WR Mike Wallace connected on three passes for 58 yards last week.

Kansas City at Pittsburgh (-3, 40)

Both of these teams are 0-2 so far and have scored 13 points in each of their games. Thus, it hasn’t been pretty for either of these playoff hopefuls. The short week does the Steelers no favors here, though they will at least get to play at home. Rookie running back Le’Veon Bell won’t play for the remainder of the preseason after getting hurt last week at Washington, but at least the injury doesn’t appear to be as bad as was originally feared. But it has been a sloppy two games for Mike Tomlin’s team.

One would think that the Chiefs would really want to get Andy Reid a win in his first preseason with the team. But then again, they failed to ‘circle the wagons’ last week for QB Alex Smith, who was facing his former team, the San Francisco 49ers. Playing without injured running back Jamal Charles, the only touchdown Kansas City scored last week came via a kick return. Smith did not look very good. Surprisingly, after playing one another, the Chiefs and 49ers made a trade. They exchanged receivers Jonathan Baldwin and AJ Jenkins, both of whom have been considered disappointments in their short careers.

Philadelphia at Jacksonville (+3.5, 43)

Mike Vick has officially been named the starter for the Eagles, which seems to be the right call as his skill set seems better suited to run Chip Kelly’s up-tempo offense compared to Nick Foles. This will be Philadelphia’s first road game under Kelly as they split a pair of home games against the Patriots and Panthers. It will be interesting to see how the quarterbacks perform now that the competition has been settled. The defense was much better last week, holding Carolina to only nine points after being shredded by Tom Brady and New England in the opener. Five-time Pro Bowl offensive lineman Jason Peters is set to return to the lineup here and is scheduled to play about three quarters.

For the Jaguars, it’s the same old story. This team simply cannot put points on the board. They are 0-2 and have scored only 16 points total. The much maligned Blaine Gabbert has officially been named the starter by 1st year Head Coach Gus Bradley, but I found that interesting as he’s injured and there are concerns about him being ready to practice for the regular season opener. Gabbert did play well last week vs. the Jets and the team did lead 13-10 at halftime before getting blown out in the second half.

Atlanta at Tennessee (-3, 42.5)

Both teams here are 0-2, but with the Falcons that’s a bit misleading as their backups stink and blew a 23-7 fourth quarter lead last week at Baltimore. Both Julio Jones and Stephen Jackson looked good in limited action last week. With the first team offense getting extended playing time this week, you have to like Atlanta’s chances more. However, special teams have been an issue so far as they have given up a touchdown on a punt return each of the first two games.

Tennessee is a team that I don’t have much regard for heading into the regular season and it’s not been a very good first two games for them at all. The first team offense has yet to generate a touchdown and the kicking game was a disaster last week in Cincinnati with three missed field goals. The Titans defense allowed the most points in the league a year ago and again looks suspect coming into 2013. Wide receiver Kendall Wright is injured. Just about the only positive has been the re-tooled offensive line.

St. Louis at Denver (-6.5, 43.5)

Big line here as the injury-riddled Broncos host the 0-2 Rams. After pulling out an ugly 10-6 victory over San Francisco in the opener, the Broncos were flat out embarrassed last week by Seattle, losing 40-10. This will be their first home game of the preseason. Denver defenders have been dropping like flies as of late, most notably now Von Miller, who will be suspended for the first six regular season games. At least Peyton Manning will see his most action of the preseason this week, thereby giving the team a chance.

The Rams issues have been on offense as they generated only seven points last week in a loss to Green Bay, at home. That lone touchdown came in the fourth quarter as once again the first team offense failed to impress. St. Louis was 1 of 14 on third down vs. the Packers and 0 for 3 when going for it on fourth down.

Cincinnati at Dallas (-2.5, 43.5)

The Bengals are becoming a trendy pick to contend not just in the AFC North, but to be one of the very best teams in the conference as well. They are 2-0 so far in the preseason and that’s playing without stud receiver AJ Green, who may play this week here in Dallas. I like what I see from rookie running back Giovani Bernard. The first team offense put up 220 total yards in last week’s win over Tennessee. In two games, the Bengals have averaged 431.5 yards of offense as a whole.

This will be the fourth preseason game for the Cowboys and their first at home. Since winning the Hall of Fame Game, they have lost at both Oakland and Arizona and looked unimpressive in doing so, scoring a combined 24 points. The lone touchdown last week came in the fourth quarter. The first team offense has yet to account for a single point. The ugliest part of last week’s 12-7 loss were the six turnovers.

San Diego at Arizona (-4, 40.5)

If one thing is clear with the Cardinals, it’s that they have a solid defense. In two games, they have given up just seven points and that came on a touchdown in the fourth quarter last week vs. Dallas. As mentioned in the Cowboys writeup, they forced six turnovers. Now 2-0 in the preseason for first year coach Bruce Arians, they host a San Diego team that’s 0-2 and not looked very good. This would seem to be a favorable matchup for the home team.

The Lightning Bolts appear to be headed for a long season in their first year under Mike McCoy. While both Cardinals’ preseason games have gone Under, both Chargers games have gone Over. The San Diego defense has allowed 64 total points thus far. On offense, there were four turnovers in last week’s 33-28 loss at Chicago. At least running back Ryan Matthews looked decent, carrying the ball nine times for 45 yards. Don’t forget that both starting receivers are sidelined with injuries.

**Udog** · 08-24-2013, 09:23 AM

AFC South preview: Texans are head of the class

The Houston Texans will look to take advantage with Vegas posting a season win total of 10.5, two wins more than the defending Super Bowl champion Ravens.

AFC South Division

HOUSTON TEXANS

Team Theme: TALL TALL TEXANS

Riding high in the saddle following back-to-back AFC South titles, the Texans are once again the class of their division and arguably the entire AFC. After ascending to new heights last year, Houston did not stand still during the offseason when they acquired Hall of Fame FS Ed Reed and P Shane Lechler. They will combine with reigning NFL defensive player of the year J.J. Watt (81 tackles and 20.5 sacks) to form one of the best stop-units in the league, all under the lead of DC Wade Phillips. Its no coincidence the Texans’ defense has improved an average 73.5 YPG the last two years since it flamed out in a 6-win season in 2010. On the offensive front, coordinator Rick Dennison gobbled up dynamic WR DeAndre Hopkins from Clemson in the first round of the draft. He’ll work in tandem with star WR Andre Johnson. Along with thoroughbred RB Arian Foster, a tantalizing trio of skill players surrounds QB Matt Schaub. It’s like we mentioned on these pages last year: between Gary Kubiak’s playbook, Dennison’s offensive mind and Phillips’ stingy defensive schemes, the Texans are standing extra tall with sights on the Super Bowl these days.

Stat You Will Like: The Texans are 0-4 ATS away versus NFC West opponents in their franchise history.

PLAY AGAINST: vs. Tennessee (9/15)

IN THE STATS: The Texans are 24-12 ‘In The Stats’ the last two seasons.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

Team Theme: WHAT GOES UP…

When the Colts jumped from 2-14 to 11-6 after selecting QB Andrew Luck with the first pick of the draft last year they recorded the 2nd biggest turnaround in NFL history. Only the 2008 Dolphins, who went from 1-15 to 11-5, made a larger leap. It should be noted that the other two teams in NFL annals making this much of an improvement regressed four and three games respectively the following year. The feeling here is regression is likely this season: despite their improvement, last year’s 11-win Colts actually allowed 12 YPG more than they gained. That and a case of Sophomore Blues appear to be lurking in the offing for Luck. Helping matters, Indy will face the 3rd softest strength-of-schedule opponents in 2013 (last year’s foes .461 overall), including four games with the NFC West (Colts are 7-1 SU against the division since 2005). Then again, Peyton Manning put up those numbers. The return of head coach Chuck Pagano, back from a bout with cancer, could offset a ton of history. Don’t forget: the Colts have made the playoffs 11 times the last 13 seasons. Stay tuned.

Stat You Will Like: The Colts own the weakest rushing attack in the AFC the last four years, averaging just over 95 RYPG.

PLAY AGAINST: at Kansas City (12/22)

IN THE STATS: The Colts were 0-5 ‘ITS’ during the final five games of the season last year.

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Team Theme: SIGN, SIGN, EVERYWHERE A SIGN

Despite a fall from 5 wins to 2 last year, the worst in franchise history, signs of improvement abound. Consider: after being outgained in 11 of their first 12 games of the 2012 season, the Jaguars refused to raise the white flag when they won the stats in three of their final four games. In addition, after failing to gain more than 325 yards in any game in 2011, Jacksonville bettered that mark on seven different occasions last year. Toss in the fact that of the 17 teams who won 2 or fewer games the previous season, 16 of them have improved on their win total this millennium (witness the Colts and Rams last year) the following season. New head coach Gus Bradley brings a defensive pedigree to Jacksonville, a team that ranked 30th in total ‘D’ last season while allowing 444 points, a franchise-record. He was Seattle’s defensive coordinator the last four years and his unit allowed a league-low 15.3 PPG last season. New offensive coordinator Jedd Fisch returns to the NFL after two years at the University of Miami, banking on first-round pick OT Luke Joeckel’s ability to plow open running lanes for a healthy Maurice Jones-Drew.

Stat You Will Like: The Jaguars are 10-6 SU all-time versus the NFC West with only three losses by more than 4 points.

PLAY ON: at Seattle (9/22)

IN THE STATS: The Jaguars are 15-33 ‘ITS’ the L3Y, but 3-1 ‘ITS’ the L4 games of 2012.

TENNESSEE TITANS

Team Theme: BLUE COLLAR NETWORK

It was no surprise whatsoever to witness the blue-collar moves made by Mike Munchak and the Titans this offseason. After all, Munchak is a Hall of Fame offensive lineman and he did what he knows best – rebuild the offensive line – in order to keep his job a while longer in Tennessee. A three-game slippage with falling numbers on both sides of the ball sent Munchak into desperation mode when he signed G Andy Levitre (Bills) and selected G Chance Warmack (Alabama) in the first round of this year’s draft. The moves should benefit QB Jake Locker and RB Chris Johnson who, despite rushing for 1,000-plus yards in each of his five seasons in the league, has seen his numbers fall appreciably since his 2,006-yard performance in 2006. As a result, Johnson expects the Titans to become a ground-and-pound ‘run-first’ offense. It’s safe to assume that if Munchak is gone at the end of the year, so too will be Locker - a top-10 pick two years ago who, after witnessing last year’s successful rookie crop of quarterbacks, suddenly finds the clock ticking. After having last made the playoffs in 2008 and spending $100 million dollars on free agents, owner Bud Adams is expecting results… now.

Stat You Will Like: The Titans have allowed season-high, or 2nd-high, yards in 7 of their first 14 games under Munchak.

PLAY ON: as a dog vs. Houston (12/29)

IN THE STATS: The Titans won the stats in 4 of their final 6 games last season.

Note: Team write-ups are excerpts from the 2013 PLAYBOOK Football Preview magazine. Numbers following team name represent the amount of returning starters on offense and defense, with an asterisk (*) designating a returning quarterback. Potential designated ‘Play On’ and ‘Play Against’ Best Bets follow each team’s preview.

**Udog** · 08-24-2013, 09:24 AM

Mountain West Conference Preview: Chasing Boise State

As soon as the Boise State Broncos joined the Mountain West Conference, they became the team to beat. Boise State, San Diego State, and Fresno State finished in a three-way tie at the top of the Mountain West last season. San Diego State lost a bunch of talent from last year, but Boise State and Fresno State are expected to contend for the title again in 2013. Utah State and San Jose State were added to the conference in the offseason.

Boise State Broncos (2012: 11-2 SU, 6-7 ATS)

Odds to win conference: +150
Season win total: 10

Why bet the Broncos: Even in a “down” year, Boise State went 11-2 last season and their two losses were by a total of six points. Chris Petersen has established himself as one of the best coaches in college football. Boise State’s defense has allowed less than 20 points per game in five straight seasons. Joe Southwick has a year under his belt as the starter, and he should be better in 2013.

Why not bet the Broncos: Boise State returns just nine starters from last year’s team. The Broncos don’t have as many talented skill position players on offense as they normally do, and that could hold this unit back. Boise State doesn’t have the talent at linebacker that they have had in recent years, which could make the defense a little less dominant.

Season win total pick: Under 10

Fresno State Bulldogs (2012: 9-4 SU, 11-2 ATS)

Odds to win conference: +225
Season win total: 10

Why bet the Bulldogs: The Fresno State passing game won’t take a back seat to anyone this year. Derek Carr is a star at the quarterback spot, and he has two amazing receivers in Josh Harper and Davante Adams. The Bulldogs have the best secondary in the Mountain West, and teams are going to struggle to air it out against this group. Fresno State hosts Boise State this year, and they don’t have to play Utah State at all.

Why not bet the Bulldogs: Fresno State has one glaring weakness and it is their kicking game. The Bulldogs may end up losing a close game or two due to the lack of an experienced placekicker. Fresno State lost three of their top four tacklers from last season. The Bulldogs have been inconsistent the past couple seasons.

Season win total pick: Over 10

Utah State Aggies (2012: 11-2 SU, 11-1-1 ATS)

Odds to win conference: +600
Season win total: 7.5

Why bet the Aggies: Utah State was a couple plays away from being unbeaten in 2012. The Aggies return a ton of talent in 2013. Chuckie Keeton may be the best player in the conference, and he’ll be a great leader for the offense. Zach Vigil and Jake Doughty lead an amazing group of linebackers that are going to make a living in the opposition’s backfield.

Why not bet the Aggies: The schedule makers did Utah State no favors in their first season in the Mountain West. Utah State must play on the road in four of their first five games. Keeton is great, but there isn’t much talent at the wide receiver spot. The Aggies secondary is a question mark, and there are teams in the Mountain West who can take advantage of a soft secondary.

Season win total pick: Over 7.5

San Diego State Aztecs (2012: 9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS)

Odds to win conference: +750
Season win total: 7.5

Why bet the Aztecs: San Diego State Coach Rocky Long loves to run the football, and he has the perfect bruiser for his system in running back Adam Muema. Muema ran for 1,458 yards and 16 touchdowns as a sophomore last year. A strong defensive front allows the Aztecs to play a unique 3-3-5 defense. The Aztecs have a very talented group of linebackers to lead the defense.

Why not bet the Aztecs: San Diego State turned the ball over 15 times in their four losses last season. The schedule is tough as the Aztecs must travel to take on Ohio State. They must also play both Boise State and Fresno State in conference action. Leon McFadden was a star at corner, but he is now in the NFL. The Aztecs secondary is a big question mark.

Season win total pick: Under 7.5

San Jose State Spartans (2012: 11-2 SU, 11-2 ATS)

Odds to win conference: +950
Season win total: 7.5

Why bet the Spartans: San Jose State knows how to get into the backfield. The Spartans defense sacked the opposing quarterback 42 times last year, and they finished the season with a whopping 92 tackles for a loss. Nick Fales and Noah Grigsby are great senior leaders for the offense at quarterback and wide receiver.

Why not bet the Spartans: The jump to the tougher Mountain West could be tough on a team that was accustomed to playing in the WAC. Can the team ever find a running game? Fales and the passing game are very good, but with absolutely zero balance this Spartans offense will likely find it hard to move the ball against top defenses.

Season win total pick: Under 7.5

Nevada Wolfpack (2012: 7-6 SU, 4-9 ATS)

Odds to win conference: +2500
Season win total: 5.5

Why bet the Wolfpack: Nevada has a very good nucleus of stars on the offensive side. Cody Fajardo is an ultra-talented quarterback who can do it all. Brandon Wimberly and Richy Turner are both reliable receivers who can rack up the yardage. This offense is going to score a lot of points again this year.

Why not bet the Wolfpack: Chris Ault will be a very tough head coach to replace. Few guys have changed college football the way Ault did, and he will definitely be missed. Nevada’s defense must replace seven of their top eight tacklers from last season. The secondary is definitely a weakness. This defense will give up the points in bunches.

Season win total pick: Over 5.5

Air Force Falcons: (2012: 6-7 SU, 3-10 ATS)

Odds to win conference: +4000
Season win total: 6.5

Why bet the Falcons: Air Force has one of the best secondaries in the Mountain West. Kale Pearson is a quick quarterback who should do a good job running the triple option attack. Air Force seems to never be short on weapons at the running back spot, and that is the case once again this season.

Why not bet the Falcons: Air Force is undersized in the trenches every single year, and that has become a bigger problem now that the Mountain West is a stronger conference. The Falcons defensive line just cannot stop strong rushing games from running it down their throat every single play. There’s no balance on the offensive end.

Season win total pick: Under 6.5

Hawaii Warriors (2012: 3-9 SU, 4-7 ATS)

Odds to win conference: +4000
Season win total: 3.5

Why bet the Warriors: It is Norm Chow’s second year at Hawaii, and his system should start to resonate with players better in year two. Taylor Graham will be the new guy at quarterback, and he is a talented transfer from Ohio State. Hawaii has some good pass rushers at the defensive end spot, and the secondary is solid.

Why not bet the Warriors: Hawaii was absolutely miserable against the run in 2012. The Warriors are very thin at the linebacker spot, and that will be a problem. Chow still doesn’t have the type of players that fit well into his system, so it might take longer for things to get turned around. Hawaii has a brutally difficult schedule.

Season win total pick: Under 3.5

Colorado State Rams (2012: 4-8 SU, 4-6-2 ATS)

Odds to win conference: +4500
Season win total: 5.5

Why bet the Rams: Colorado State has amazing depth at the linebacker position. Shaquil Barrett and Corey James are the stars of the unit, but Colorado State has five or six very good linebackers. Donnell Alexander is a game breaker at running back. Alexander is the son of late NFL superstar Derrick Thomas, and he has tons of athleticism in a big and strong frame.

Why not bet the Rams: As good as the linebackers are, they must play behind a very poor defensive front. Colorado State’s defensive line was consistently pushed back last year, and the same should be expected in 2013. Who will be the team’s starting quarterback? The Rams have a great rushing attack, but they’ll need some balance offensively.

Season win total pick: Over 5.5

Wyoming Cowboys (2012: 4-8 SU, 7-5 ATS)

Odds to win conference: +4500
Season win total: 5.5

Why bet the Cowboys: Wyoming has a tremendous passing game with junior Brett Smith at the helm. Smith threw for 27 touchdowns and just six interceptions last year. He has a brilliant group of wide receivers on the outside. All four starters from the secondary return from last season, and they should be the strength of the defense.

Why not bet the Cowboys: While the passing attack is awesome, the offensive line and the running game are not. Smith was hit far too often in 2012, and there is no running game to take the pressure off of Smith. Wyoming is weak in the trenches on both sides of the ball, and that is a big problem in an improved Mountain West Conference.

Season win total pick: Under 5.5

New Mexico Lobos (2012: 4-9 SU, 6-5-1 ATS)

Odds to win conference: +10000
Season win total: 4.5

Why bet the Lobos: Bob Davie did a great job making this team competitive in only one year. Davie brought a disciplined approach that made a huge difference right away. Kasey Carrier is a strong running back, and Davie loves to run the football. The New Mexico offensive line was much improved in 2012, and they should be even better this year.

Why not bet the Lobos: The passing game is non-existent, which makes it tough to move the ball against a team with a good defensive front seven. The Lobos are really lacking play makers on the defensive side of the football. The secondary was the worst in the Mountain West last year, and the front seven is terrible at pressuring the quarterback.

Season win total pick: Under 4.5

UNLV Rebels: (2012: 2-11 SU, 6-5-2 ATS)

Odds to win conference: +10000
Season win total: 4

Why bet the Rebels: This is a team that wasn’t as far away as it seemed last season. They were very close in several of their losses. Running back Tim Cornett is a great guy to build the offense around. The UNLV offensive line should be the best it has been in years. The secondary has a lot of athleticism.

Why not bet the Rebels: Can UNLV ever stop the run? The Rebels have serious trouble in the middle of their defensive line, and good opponents exploit this at every single opportunity. Nick Sherry has been inconsistent at the quarterback position. The Rebels have lost 22 straight road games, so be careful betting them on the road.

Season win total pick: Over 4

**Udog** · 08-24-2013, 09:26 AM

NFLX
Dunkel

St. Louis at Denver
The Broncos look to bounce back from last week's 40-10 loss to Seattle as they host the Rams on Saturday. Denver is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Broncos favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-6 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

SATURDAY, AUGUST 24

Game 259-260: Buffalo at Washington (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 119.436; Washington 120.478
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Washington by 3; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+3); Over

Game 261-262: NY Jets at NY Giants (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 113.701; NY Giants 125.882
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 12; 35
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 2; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-2); Under

Game 263-264: Cleveland at Indianapolis (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 117.326; Indianapolis 121.777
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 4 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 2 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-2 1/2); Under

Game 265-266: Tampa Bay at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 121.138; Miami 117.741
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 3 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Miami by 3; 40
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+3); Over

Game 267-268: Kansas City at Pittsburgh (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 117.075; Pittsburgh 117.177
Dunkel Line: Even; 44
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+2 1/2);

Game 269-270: Philadelphia at Jacksonville (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 122.435; Jacksonville 121.703
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 39
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+3 1/2); Under

Game 271-272: Atlanta at Tennessee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.485; Tennessee 118.322
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 1; 45
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3); Over

Game 273-274: St. Louis at Denver (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 114.665; Denver 125.470
Dunkel Line: Denver by 11; 40
Vegas Line: Denver by 6 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-6 1/2); Under

Game 275-276: Cincinnati at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 124.555; Dallas 121.561
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3; 47
Vegas Line: Dallas by 2 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+2 1/2); Over

Game 277-278: San Diego at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 117.509; Arizona 126.452
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 9; 37
Vegas Line: Arizona by 4; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-4); Under

SUNDAY, AUGUST 25

Game 279-280: New Orleans at Houston (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 123.677; Houston 123.405
Dunkel Line: Even; 48
Vegas Line: Houston by 2 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+2 1/2); Over

Game 281-282: Minnesota at San Francisco (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 119.095; San Francisco 126.930
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 8; 36
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 4 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-4 1/2); Under

NFLX
Short Sheet

Saturday, August 24, 2013

Buffalo at Washington, 4:30 ET NFL
Buffalo: Bills 3-7-1 ATS in preseason road games since 2008
Washington: Redskins 7-2 ATS in home preseason games last four+ seasons

New York Jets at New York Giants, 7:00 ET
New York Jets: The "road" team has beaten the pointspread in this matchup in each of the last four years
New York Giants: Under is 6-2 since 2005 in Giants' second home preseason game

Cleveland at Indianapolis, 7:00 ET
Cleveland: Browns haven't covered in three straight preseason games since 2004
Indianapolis: Over is 5-2 in last seven Colts' home preseason contests

Tampa Bay at Miami, 7:30 ET
Tampa Bay: Buccaneers 8-3 ATS in road preseason games since 2008
Miami: Over is 5-0 in Week 3 games for Dolphins last five preseasons

Kansas City at Pittsburgh, 7:30 ET
Kansas City: Chiefs 3-19 ATS in preseason since 2008
Pittsburgh: Steelers 6-2 ATS at home since 2009 in first three weeks of preseason

Philadelphia at Jacksonville, 7:30 ET
Philadelphia: Eagles 15-29 ATS since 1993 when pointspread is a field goal or less either way
Jacksonville: Over is 7-3 since 2008 when Jacksonville plays in Weeks 3 & 4

Atlanta at Tennessee, 8:00 ET
Atlanta: Under is 6-2 for Falcons' road games in Weeks 2-4 since 2008
Tennessee: Titans 8-3 ATS at home last five seasons

St. Louis at Denver, 8:00 ET CBS
St. Louis: Rams 10-0 ATS in final two weeks of preseason since 2008
Denver: Over is 5-1-1 in Broncos' last seven home preseason games

Cincinnati at Dallas, 8:00 ET
Cincinnati: Over is 6-1 in Bengals' last seven road preseason contests
Dallas: Cowboys 1-4 ATS in the first home preseason game since 2008

San Diego at Arizona, 10:00 ET NFL
San Diego: Over is 5-2 in Chargers' road games since 2008 during last two weeks of preseason
Arizona: Cardinals 2-7-1 ATS in last 10 home preseason games versus AFC team

Sunday, August 25, 2013

New Orleans at Houston, 4:00 ET FOX
New Orleans: Saints 10-2 ATS in last 12 road preseason games
Houston: Over is 4-1-1 in Texans' last six preseason games

Minnesota at San Francisco, 8:00 ET NBC
Minnesota: Under is 8-3 since 2008 in Vikings' road preseason games
San Francisco: 49ers 6-0 ATS in home preseason games versus NFC teams since 1993

**Udog** · 08-24-2013, 09:28 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Winnipeg at Hamilton
The Blue Bombers look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 road games. Winnipeg is the pick (+10) according to Dunkel, which has the Tiger-Cats favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+10). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

SATURDAY, AUGUST 24

Game 295-296: Winnipeg at Hamilton (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 106.242; Hamilton 108.902
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 2 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 10; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+10); Over

Game 297-298: Saskatchewan at Edmonton (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 114.875; Edmonton 112.831
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 2; 51
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 4; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+4); Under

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 9

Saturday, August 24

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WINNIPEG (1 - 6) at HAMILTON (3 - 4) - 8/24/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 99-72 ATS (+19.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 6-3 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SASKATCHEWAN (6 - 1) at EDMONTON (1 - 6) - 8/24/2013, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in August games over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 4-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9

Winnipeg (1-6) @ Hamilton (3-4)—TiCats (-3.5) won 37-18 in Winnipeg last week, outgaining hosts 456-321; Bombers then fired OC Crowton after game, week after they canned their GM. New guy calling plays makes this harder game to call; road team is 7-0 vs spread in Winnipeg games this year. Bombers are 3-0 as road dogs, losing by 5-7 points and winning SU at Montreal. Hamilton is 0-3 vs spread in its temporary home this year; they beat Winnipeg 25-20 (-5.5) here in Week 3, its only win in three games at Guelph- they’ve won last three series games vs Bombers, by 10-5-19 points- five of last seven series games stayed under total. Winnipeg allowed average of 32.2 ppg last five weeks, with three of their last four Winnipeg games going over total. Hamilton is 3-1 when it scores 25+ points, 0-3 when it doesn’t.

Saskatchewan (6-1) @ Edmonton (1-6)—Roughriders (-2.5) snapped 6-game skid on this field with 39-18 win Opening Day, just their third win in last ten series games. After scoring 36.6 ppg in 5-0 pre-bye start, Riders split last two games, scoring 27-24 points, narrowly surviving Alouettes last week in game Calvillo left early (concussion). Saskatchewan is 3-1 on road, winning by 21-11-17 points, losing at Calgary. Eskimos passed for 511 yards last week, still lost 36-33 at Toronto (+9), its fifth straight loss; Argos were 31-36/458 passing, a ridiculous 12.7 yards/attempt. Edmonton is 0-3 at home, allowing 28.7 ppg in losses by 1-14-21 points. Last week was first time this year Roughriders ran ball for less than 145 yards (93). Six of last nine series games went over total, as have six of seven Edmonton games and three of four Roughrider road games.

CFL

Week 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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1:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. HAMILTON
Winnipeg is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

4:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 9 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Saskatchewan's last 17 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games

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CFL

Week 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CFL Saturday: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-10.5, 51.5)

Quarterback Henry Burris and the Hamilton Tiger-Cats looked firmly in control last week when they won their second straight game and second of four contests against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. The Tiger-Cats will try to defeat Winnipeg for a third time when they host the Blue Bombers on Saturday. Burris, who leads the league with 2,136 passing yards, welcomed wide receiver Andy Fantuz back from injury with four passes for 29 yards in the 37-18 victory over Winnipeg, while Hamilton also recorded its second straight game with more than 100 rushing yards.

The CFL debut of quarterback Max Hall did not turn around the Blue Bombers, who fired offensive coordinator Gary Crowton following their fifth straight loss. Hall threw for 241 yards and found chemistry with slotback Terrence Edwards (eight completions, 172 yards), but Winnipeg still trails the league in points for (153) and against (210). Hall will be under center again Saturday, this time with Marcel Bellefeuille calling plays as the Blue Bombers search for answers in what is quickly becoming a lost season.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (1-6): Defensive end Alex Hall recorded his league-leading ninth sack last week, matching his total from 2012. Winnipeg’s defensive line has accounted for the majority of the team’s league-leading 27 sacks, but its secondary allows 298.6 passing yards per game - more than any team other than the Toronto Argonauts. Edwards leads the Blue Bombers with 290 receiving yards, but only six receivers have more than 100.

ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (3-4): Rookie running back C.J. Gable recorded 147 yards from scrimmage last week and has established himself as Burris’ main option on the ground. Wide receivers Greg Ellingson and Bakari Grant have each recorded more than 400 receiving yards, while Samuel Giguere has 394 and Fantuz had 155 in Week 1 before getting injured. Defensive back Raymond Brown caught Hamilton’s first interception of the season in the third quarter against Winnipeg, while Rico Murray had a sack, an interception and a forced fumble in the contest.

TRENDS:

* Blue Bombers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
* Tiger-Cats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
* Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Hamilton.
* Under is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last 5 Saturday games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Burris has thrown for more than 300 yards in four of seven starts.

2. If the Blue Bombers lose their sixth straight game, it will be their longest losing streak since they dropped seven in a row in 1999.

3. The four-game season series between Hamilton and Winnipeg concludes in Winnipeg on the final week of the regular season.

Saskatchewan Roughriders at Edmonton Eskimos (+3.5, 53)

The Edmonton Eskimos keep seeing their fourth-quarter comeback attempts fall short, while the Saskatchewan Roughriders needed 10 points in the final 62 seconds to get back in the win column last week. The Eskimos hope the luck will even out when they host the Roughriders on Saturday looking to snap a five-game losing skid. The Eskimos have dropped their last three contests by a combined nine points and managed to score a season-high 33 against the Toronto Argonauts last week on the strength of quarterback Mike Reilly’s first 500-yard game, but have not won since Week 2.

Fortune smiled on Saskatchewan last week in the form of a 65-yard touchdown pass from quarterback Darian Durant to wide receiver Taj Smith, which tied the game and set the stage for Chris Milo’s game-winning field goal, but the Roughriders have not looked as dominant over the last two games as they did in their first five. Saskatchewan running back Kory Sheets, who has a league-leading 919 rushing yards, was limited to 74 last week. Perhaps a visit to the site of their 39-18 Week 1 victory will help the Roughriders regain their early season form.

TV: 4 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (6-1): Wide receiver Rob Bagg, who missed the entire 2011 season due to injuries, left last week’s game in the second quarter with a knee injury and is considered day-to-day. Slotback Geroy Simon caught the 1,000th pass of his career last week and the CFL all-time receiving yards leader has 208 with Saskatchewan. Linebacker Renauld Williams is leading the defense with six sacks and also has an interception and 28 tackles. Kick returner Jock Sanders dropped a punt and a kickoff return last week, leading to two turnovers.

ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (1-6): Wide receiver Nate Coehoorn, who is on pace for a career-best season with 362 receiving yards, signed a contract extension through 2015. Slotback Fred Stamps leads the league with 573 receiving yards and wide receiver Car Koch has 360, giving Reilly plenty of options as he gets comfortable as a starter. The Eskimos are missing linebacker JC Sherritt and cornerback Aaron Grymes on defense, but defensive end Odell Willis stepped up in their absence last week, recording two sacks and forcing two fumbles.

TRENDS:

* Roughriders are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games in August.
* Eskimos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
* Under is 14-5 in the last 19 meetings in Edmonton.
* Under is 4-0 in Roughriders last 4 games in Week 9.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Willis, who has five sacks with the Eskimos, had six last year as a member of the Roughriders.

2. Smith, who has four touchdowns, has caught passes of 61, 70, and 65 yards for his last three.

3. Edmonton is 0-3 against West Division opponents and 0-3 at home.

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**Udog** · 08-24-2013, 09:29 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Chicago at Atlanta
The Dream look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games against a team with a winning SU record. Atlanta is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, AUGUST 24

Game 601-602: Indiana at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 107.815; Minnesota 119.323
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 11 1/2; 152
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 10; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-10); Over

Game 603-604: Chicago at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 110.207; Atlanta 116.300
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 149
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4; 155
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4); Under

WNBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, August 24

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INDIANA (12 - 14) at MINNESOTA (19 - 7) - 8/24/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 90-129 ATS (-51.9 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
INDIANA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1997.
INDIANA is 64-91 ATS (-36.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (18 - 8) at ATLANTA (14 - 9) - 8/24/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
CHICAGO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WNBA

Saturday, August 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. MINNESOTA
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home

7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. ATLANTA
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Chicago
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago

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**Udog** · 08-24-2013, 10:18 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Washington at Kansas City
The Nationals look to follow up last night's series-opening 11-10 win and build on their 7-0 record in Jordan Zimmermann's last 7 starts in Game 2 of a series. Washington is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Nationals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, AUGUST 24

Game 951-952: Arizona at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Delgado) 15.597; Philadelphia (Martin) 14.652
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-110); Over

Game 953-954: Milwaukee at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Peralta) 15.382; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 16.676
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-200); Under

Game 955-956: Colorado at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Manship) 14.403; Miami (Fernandez) 15.967
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Miami (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-200); Under

Game 957-958: Atlanta at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 16.243; St. Louis (Miller) 15.189
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+115); Over

Game 959-960: Chicago Cubs at San Diego (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Samardzija) 13.188; San Diego (Stults) 14.616
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-125); Under

Game 961-962: Pittsburgh at San Francisco (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Liriano) 15.388; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.702
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-135); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+115); Over

Game 963-964: Oakland at Baltimore (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Parker) 14.171; Baltimore (Tillman) 15.512
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-145); Under

Game 965-966: Minnesota at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hendriks) 15.613; Cleveland (McAllister) 14.726
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+160); Over

Game 967-968: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.202; Tampa Bay (Price) 16.782
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-175); Under

Game 969-970: Toronto at Houston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Wang) 13.659; Houston (Peacock) 14.940
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 971-972: Texas at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 17.445; White Sox (Santiago) 15.807
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Texas (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-200); Under

Game 973-974: LA Angels at Seattle (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Vargas) 15.219; Seattle (Ramirez) 14.394
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Seattle (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+115); Over

Game 975-976: Detroit at NY Mets (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 16.227; NY Mets (Harvey) 14.879
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: Detroit (-140); 6
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-140); Under

Game 977-978: Boston at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 16.784; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 16.251
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+105); Over

Game 979-980: Washington at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 16.669; Kansas City (Davis) 15.231
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-120); Under

**Udog** · 08-24-2013, 10:24 AM

MLB

Saturday, August 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

4:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oakland's last 10 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Oakland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games

4:05 PM
DETROIT vs. NY METS
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Detroit is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home

4:05 PM
BOSTON vs. LA DODGERS
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Dodgers's last 18 games at home

7:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games

7:05 PM
ARIZONA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Philadelphia is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Arizona

7:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:10 PM
TEXAS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Chi White Sox's last 25 games when playing Texas

7:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games

7:10 PM
COLORADO vs. MIAMI
Colorado is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Colorado

7:10 PM
TORONTO vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 12 games
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games
Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CINCINNATI
Milwaukee is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 12 games when playing Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:15 PM
ATLANTA vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Atlanta is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
St. Louis is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Atlanta

8:40 PM
CHI CUBS vs. SAN DIEGO
Chi Cubs are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
San Diego is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

9:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

9:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. SEATTLE
LA Angels are 5-13 SU in their last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

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**Udog** · 08-24-2013, 10:28 AM

MLB

Saturday, August 24

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Saturday's MLB betting notes and tips
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NATIONAL

Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies (+100, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Diamondbacks right-hander Randall Delgado has hit his roughest stretch of the season, allowing 18 runs over his last four starts.

Hot batting stat: Arizona 1B Paul Goldschmidt is batting .400 with two homers and seven RBIs during a seven-game hitting streak.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: Philadelphia has won just once in its last 11 attempts in the second game of a series.

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds (-190, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Brewers right-hander Wily Peralta was torched by the Reds on Monday, surrendering seven runs on eight hits while walking four over 4 1/3 innings of a 9-1 loss.

Cold batting stat: Reds 2B Brandon Phillips is just 2-for-13 lifetime against Peralta.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left-center field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: Cincinnati is 10-1 in starter Bronson Arroyo's last 11 home outings against teams with losing records.

Colorado Rockies at Miami Marlins (-190, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Marlins right-hander Jose Fernandez is 6-0 with a 1.40 ERA and 86 strikeouts in 77 home innings.

Hot batting stat: Rockies SS Troy Tulowitzki doubled twice Friday night and has six multi-hit outings in his last nine games.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow from right to left field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 4-0 in Fernandez's last four starts against teams with losing records.

Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals (-133, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Braves right-hander Julio Teheran is 3-1 with a 1.75 ERA and 38 strikeouts in 36 innings since the All-Star break.

Hot batting stat: Cardinals C Yadier Molina has five multi-hit performances over his last six games.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from right to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Braves have won eight straight times in the third game of a series.

Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres (-120, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Cubs right-hander Jeff Samardjiza is coming off his second complete game of the season, a one-run, six-hit performance in an 11-1 drubbing of the Washington Nationals.

Hot batting stat: Cubs 2B Darwin Barney has three doubles in seven career at-bats against Padres starter Eric Stults.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s under cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Chicago is 8-2 in its last 10 road games against a left-handed starter.

Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants (+115, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Since allowing 10 runs in just 2 1/3 innings Aug. 9 in Colorado, Pirates lefty Francisco Liriano has held opponents to one run on eight hits over a 16-inning stretch.

Cold batting stat: Pittsburgh OF Andrew McCutchen is just 2-for-14 lifetime against San Francisco starter Tim Lincecum.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s under sunny skies. Wind will blow out to center field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 6-1-1 in Liriano's last eight starts on four days' rest.

AMERICAN

Oakland Athletics at Baltimore Orioles (-142, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Baltimore right-hander Chris Tillman is winless in his last three starts and absorbed the loss last time out, charged with four run on five hits - including a pair of homers - against Tampa Bay.

Hot batting stat: Orioles slugger Chris Davis is 3-for-8 with a pair of solo homers in his career against Oakland starter Jarrod Parker.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from right-center field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: Baltimore is 18-5 in Tillman's last 23 starts against teams with winning records.

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians (-180, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Indians right-hander Zach McAllister has bounced back following a rough outing against Detroit, surrendering two runs over 12 1/3 innings in victories over Minnesota and the Los Angeles Angels.

Hot batting stat: Twins 1B Justin Morneau is 3-for-8 with a homer against McAllister.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with clear skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 10-2 in McAllister's last 12 starts as a home favorite.

Texas Rangers at Chicago White Sox (+174, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rangers right-hander Yu Darvish has allowed three runs or fewer in six consecutive starts while racking up 57 strikeouts over 42 2/3 innings in that span.

Cold batting stat: Members of the Chicago roster are hitting .263 with zero home runs and 12 strikeouts in 38 combined at-bats against Darvish.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with clear skies. Wind will blow in from center field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 10-2-1 in Darvish's last 13 starts.

Toronto Blue Jays at Houston Astros

Cold pitching stat: Astros right-hander Brad Peacock is 0-2 with a 6.14 ERA in three home starts this season.

Cold batting stat: Blue Jays C J.P. Arencibia has homered in consecutive games for the first time since June 14-16 against Texas.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with a 30 percent chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Wind will blow from right to left field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 4-1 in Peacock's last five starts.

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays (-165, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Yankees left-hander CC Sabathia is 2-2 with a 7.86 ERA in six starts since the All-Star break.

Cold batting stat: New York DH Mark Reynolds has just four hits in 24 at-bats against Tampa Bay starter David Price, but three of them are homers.

Weather: Dome.

Key betting note: Tampa Bay has won just once in its last eight meetings with a left-handed starter.

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners (-130, 8)

Cold pitching stat: Mariners right-hander Erasmo Ramirez has given up seven home runs in 36 1/3 innings so far this season - one more than he surrendered in 59 innings in 2012.

Hot batting stat: Seattle DH Kendrys Morales has homered twice in 19 career at-bats against Seattle starter Jason Vargas.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 7-1 in Seattle's last eight home games against a left-handed starter.

INTERLEAGUE

Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers (-115, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Red Sox left-hander Jon Lester is 7-7 with a 4.34 ERA in 17 road starts, compared to 4-0 with a 3.64 ERA at Fenway Park.

Cold batting stat: Dodgers 2B Mark Ellis has just two hits in 12 career at-bats against Lester.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left-center field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: Boston is 7-1 in Lester's last eight Saturday starts.

Detroit Tigers at New York Mets (+116, 6)

Hot pitching stat: Tigers right-hander Max Scherzer has allowed two runs or fewer in six consecutive starts.

Cold batting stat: The five Mets who have faced Scherzer are a combined .188 with five strikeouts in 16 at-bats against him.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow in from right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 4-1-1 in Scherzer's last six Saturday starts.

Washington Nationals at Kansas City Royals (+104, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Nationals right-hander Jordan Zimmermann is coming off his worst start of the season, tagged for eight runs on seven hits - including three home runs - in an 11-1 loss to the Chicago Cubs.

Cold batting stat: Through Thursday's action, Washington OF Bryce Harper has just four home runs since July 2.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-80s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to left field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: Kansas City is 2-7 in starter Wade Davis' last nine starts.

** Odds, probable starters and weather forecast as of 11:20 p.m. ET Friday.

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**StarDust Bum** · 08-24-2013, 10:28 AM

Saturday's Betting Notes

August 24, 2013

Preseason Trends

-- Road teams are 3-1 in Week 3
-- Favorites are 3-1 both straight up and against the spread in Week 3
-- The ‘over’ is 3-1 in Week 3

Quick Hitters

-- Eight teams will be looking for their first preseason win on Saturday and there are two matchups that pit winless clubs against one another – Kansas City at Pittsburgh, Atlanta at Tennessee.
-- Five teams remain undefeated (2-0) in the preseason. Buffalo and Washington are two of those and they will square off in a late- afternoon battle from D.C. at 4:30 p.m. ET.
-- Three teams in action on Saturday, Tampa Bay (69), Jacksonville (64) and San Diego (64) have all struggled on the defensive side.
-- Philadelphia is the only road favorite listed on Saturday.
-- All totals are listed above 40 except the Giants-Jets matchup, which is hovering between 38 and 39 points.
-- Arizona has only surrendered seven points in the preseason.

Who’s the Boss?

Our friend “The SportsBoss” broke down QB rotations at the start of the preseason and listed seven units that he believed to have a distinct advantage in the exhibitions. Through two weeks of exhibition games, those teams were 14-0 SU and 12-1-1 ATS.

Arizona (2-0)
Baltimore (2-1)
Carolina (2-1)
Cincinnati (2-0)
Cleveland (2-0)
New Orleans (2-0)
Washington (2-0)

The record dropped this week automatically with Carolina beating Baltimore 34-27 on Thursday. Even though you have five more possible winners with this angle in Week 3, you might want to tread lightly since starters are expected to receive more minutes in the dress rehearsals. However, Week 4 might present value with the seven teams above.

Week 3 Coaching Angles

New York Giants - Tom Coughlin is 2-7 ATS in his last nine dress rehearsals.
Cincinnati Bengals – Marvin Lewis is 2-8 ATS in his last 10 dress rehearsals.

Preseason Betting Trends from Tony Stoffo

Buffalo Bills - The Bills have started a money making preseason trend the last three years having seen the Over be the winning side in their last three dress rehearsal games with 38-7, 35-32, and 35-20 finals. This year’s dress rehearsal game is against the Redskins on Aug. 24th. I have to add here that Washington in their last 2 dress rehearsal games have seen a combined 112 points scored - So this play can turn into a preseason double unit play here on the Over.

Atlanta Falcons - One of my favorite preseason plays goes here on the Falcons as in their 'dress rehearsal' game the last eight years the Falcons have gone a perfect 8-0 outscoring their opposition 187-61 not counting the 2011 abnormal preseason. This year’s 'dress rehearsal' game for the Falcons will be on Aug. 24 when they play Tennessee on the road.

Kansas City Chiefs - Kansas City has been one of the best fade teams in the preseason going an incredible 4-21 (16%) against the spread over the past six years. I definitely look for more of the same this year as I look for new head coach Andy Reid to continue the tradition in Kansas City of not giving a dame about these preseason games. The Chiefs are 0-2 this season with Reid in control.

Expert Thoughts

Below is analysis on a handful of games that you would find in our pro football products on VegasInsider.com.

Washington vs. Buffalo – Joe Nelson

The Bills have faced some tough luck with rookie quarterback E.J. Manuel getting injured last week and likely to miss the remainder of the preseason, essentially handing the starting job to Kevin Kolb despite his marginal track record. This is a critical game for Kolb to impress as Manuel and rookie Jeff Tuel have provided most of the offensive success so far this preseason for the Bills. Buffalo is playing up-tempo on offense which will be hard for Washington to adjust to on a short week after playing Monday night. Coach Marrone was very upset after the Week 2 game despite a win as penalties were in the forefront. Look for a crisper performance all around this week from Buffalo. Mike Shanahan is known for a strong historical mark in preseason games, 2-0 this season after Monday’s 24-13 win over Pittsburgh. The short week will have a big impact on Washington as starters are only expected to clock about 20 plays in this game before going to deeper reserves and fighting out position battles. Coach Marrone and the Bills are 2-0 in the preseason and the defense has been aggressive, something that is rare in the preseason NFL. Buffalo is mixing looks with a both 3-4 and 4-3 packages and it has been effective at confusing teams through two weeks. The secondary has also been a bright spot for the Bills on defense. With Shanahan and his preseason track record, going 52-30 S/U in preseason games, this line is inflated even with key players likely to see limited time with the awkward scheduling for the Redskins.

Indianapolis vs. Cleveland – Jimmy Boyd

The Browns have had some solid matchup advantages in the first two games on the preseason schedule. They faced the first string defense from the Rams for just one quarter. In Week 2 they faced a Lions team that has one of the worst defensive secondaries in the league. The Colts are certainly not a defensive powerhouse, but they will be the toughest challenge the Browns have faced, and Indianapolis has the luxury of playing in front of their home crowd. Cleveland's defense is also in for a challenge when they face off against Andrew Luck and his wealth of solid receivers. The Colts have been keeping the starters on the field longer as we progress through the preseason schedule.

Tennessee vs. Atlanta – Pat Hawkins

The Falcons have excelled over the last several years in Week 3 of the preseason. They take this game seriously and keep the starters in for all of the first half. They have gone 8-0 ATS in the "dress rehearsal" game in the last eight years, look for the trend to continue as the Falcons have plenty of fire power on offense to extend a nice size lead.

Dallas vs. Cincinnati – Bruce Marshall

Even in preseason, the old "better team getting the points" theory has a lot of substance. Here is another case; having watched Dallas in all three games, I have been completely unimpressed, especially the offense which has put almost nothing together. Dolphin game very fluky, a loss to the lowly Raiders and outplayed worse than the score indicated by Arizona does not bode well. Perhaps Romo's recovery from the back issues have slowed the progress of the offense throughout summer, but execution has been spotty at best, and not sold on the Kiffin defense, which has faced a couple of sloppy foes and has yet to get severely tested. The best unit on the field is the Cincy defense, with the first string roughing up both Atlanta and Tennessee, and I really like the Bengals' QB rotation after Dalton goes out in the 3rd Q, as both Josh Johnson (especially Johnson) and John Skelton have moved the team. Cowboys 1-5 vs. line last six preseason game threes and just 4-7 vs. spread in exhibitions for Garrett since 2011.

**Udog** · 08-24-2013, 10:52 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, August 24

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ARIZONA (65 - 62) at PHILADELPHIA (58 - 70) - 7:05 PM
RANDALL DELGADO (R) vs. ETHAN MARTIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 367-339 (+40.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
ARIZONA is 80-75 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 10-3 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 58-70 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 74-71 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-15 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 58-70 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 66-84 (-25.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against ARIZONA this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

RANDALL DELGADO vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
DELGADO is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.77 and a WHIP of 0.923.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

ETHAN MARTIN vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

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MILWAUKEE (56 - 72) at CINCINNATI (73 - 56) - 7:10 PM
WILY PERALTA (R) vs. BRONSON ARROYO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 56-72 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 56-72 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 172-124 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 172-124 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 19-2 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
CINCINNATI is 99-57 (+18.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ARROYO is 9-1 (+8.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
ARROYO is 31-9 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 101-87 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 33-26 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-8 (+0.5 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.1 Units)

WILY PERALTA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
PERALTA is 1-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.20 and a WHIP of 1.267.
His team's record is 1-4 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.8 units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ARROYO is 14-9 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.237.
His team's record is 18-10 (+7.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-13. (-3.0 units)

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COLORADO (60 - 70) at MIAMI (48 - 79) - 7:10 PM
JEFF MANSHIP (R) vs. JOSE FERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 124-168 (-31.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 197-256 (-60.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 15-39 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 29-34 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
FERNANDEZ is 15-9 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 10-4 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 10-2 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 5-0 (+7.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 15-8 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 12-3 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
FERNANDEZ is 8-1 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 117-172 (-36.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 97-128 (-37.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 9-25 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in home games in August games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 116-168 (-33.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 17-32 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
MIAMI is 76-120 (-32.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 64-105 (-29.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 (+2.5 Units) against COLORADO this season
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.0 Units)

JEFF MANSHIP vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

JOSE FERNANDEZ vs. COLORADO since 1997
FERNANDEZ is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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ATLANTA (77 - 51) at ST LOUIS (75 - 53) - 7:15 PM
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. SHELBY MILLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 60-34 (+15.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 203-132 (+49.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
ATLANTA is 77-51 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 76-50 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 119-76 (+26.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 72-54 (+17.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 38-35 (-9.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ST LOUIS is 29-36 (-17.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 60-68 (-22.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 (+1.1 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.0 Units)

JULIO TEHERAN vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
TEHERAN is 0-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.429.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

SHELBY MILLER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
MILLER is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.411.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (54 - 74) at SAN DIEGO (58 - 70) - 8:40 PM
JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. ERIC STULTS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 115-175 (-35.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 13-37 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 115-175 (-35.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 9-31 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 648-642 (-150.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 134-156 (+1.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 134-153 (+4.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 21-13 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
STULTS is 24-17 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STULTS is 11-4 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STULTS is 14-5 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STULTS is 24-16 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STULTS is 17-8 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STULTS is 19-9 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 1-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.211.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)

ERIC STULTS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
STULTS is 1-3 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.56 and a WHIP of 1.637.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)

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PITTSBURGH (76 - 52) at SAN FRANCISCO (56 - 72) - 9:05 PM
FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. TIM LINCECUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 30-49 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 37-41 (-15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 76-52 (+26.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 30-19 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
PITTSBURGH is 34-30 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 15-9 (+9.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less this season.
PITTSBURGH is 29-17 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 76-52 (+26.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 51-29 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 63-40 (+26.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PITTSBURGH is 44-31 (+14.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
PITTSBURGH is 47-22 (+23.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LIRIANO is 9-0 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LIRIANO is 10-1 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 56-72 (-27.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-34 (-19.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-35 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 17-24 (-16.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-27 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in home games in August games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 55-68 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 34-46 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-26 (-13.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 27-43 (-23.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LINCECUM is 23-36 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LINCECUM is 10-26 (-21.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LINCECUM is 11-19 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LINCECUM is 8-16 (-13.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LINCECUM is 23-35 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LINCECUM is 15-27 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LINCECUM is 1-14 (-15.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
LINCECUM is 7-18 (-12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 (+3.4 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.3 Units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
LIRIANO is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

TIM LINCECUM vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LINCECUM is 1-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.38 and a WHIP of 1.297.
His team's record is 2-4 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.4 units)

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OAKLAND (71 - 56) at BALTIMORE (69 - 58) - 4:05 PM
JARROD PARKER (R) vs. CHRIS TILLMAN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-1 (+3.8 Units) against OAKLAND this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.3 Units)

JARROD PARKER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
PARKER is 1-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 7.27 and a WHIP of 1.616.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.2 units)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
TILLMAN is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.61 and a WHIP of 1.742.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.1 units)

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MINNESOTA (57 - 70) at CLEVELAND (69 - 59) - 7:05 PM
LIAM HENDRIKS (R) vs. ZACH MCALLISTER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-7 (+0.5 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.3 Units)

LIAM HENDRIKS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
HENDRIKS is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.29 and a WHIP of 1.471.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

ZACH MCALLISTER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
MCALLISTER is 1-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.867.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

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NY YANKEES (68 - 60) at TAMPA BAY (73 - 53) - 7:10 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 509-590 (+25.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
PRICE is 47-22 (+18.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 68-60 (+5.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 96-59 (+26.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
PRICE is 20-21 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
PRICE is 20-21 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
PRICE is 20-21 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
PRICE is 7-12 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
PRICE is 9-14 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 8-6 (-0.0 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SABATHIA is 11-12 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.76 and a WHIP of 1.215.
His team's record is 15-18 (-9.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 15-17. (-4.2 units)

DAVID PRICE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PRICE is 7-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.76 and a WHIP of 1.278.
His team's record is 11-7 (+4.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-5. (+6.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (57 - 72) at HOUSTON (42 - 85) - 7:10 PM
CHIEN-MING WANG (R) vs. BRAD PEACOCK (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-3 (+0.5 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

CHIEN-MING WANG vs. HOUSTON since 1997
WANG is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

BRAD PEACOCK vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (75 - 53) at CHI WHITE SOX (52 - 75) - 7:10 PM
YU DARVISH (R) vs. HECTOR SANTIAGO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 37-26 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TEXAS is 10-1 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games in August games this season.
TEXAS is 36-24 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 58-36 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 25-14 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 52-75 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 109-114 (-29.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 50-70 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 31-49 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 40-56 (-13.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 3-12 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 26-47 (-22.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-2 (+0.3 Units) against TEXAS this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

YU DARVISH vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
DARVISH is 1-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.57 and a WHIP of 1.703.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

HECTOR SANTIAGO vs. TEXAS since 1997
SANTIAGO is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.69 and a WHIP of 0.750.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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LA ANGELS (56 - 71) at SEATTLE (59 - 68) - 9:10 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. ERASMO RAMIREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 56-71 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 33-38 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 21-28 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 20-35 (-25.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA ANGELS are 56-71 (-31.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 37-55 (-32.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 12-21 (-14.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 27-6 (+20.5 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 31-27 (+8.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SEATTLE is 31-13 (+14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 690-684 (+54.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
VARGAS is 35-26 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 9-18 (-16.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 103-117 (-44.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 7-7 (+0.5 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.1 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. SEATTLE since 1997
VARGAS is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 0.867.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.0 units)

ERASMO RAMIREZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
RAMIREZ is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (75 - 53) at NY METS (58 - 68) - 4:05 PM
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. MATT HARVEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 170-133 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 23-28 (-14.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 75-77 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-24 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
DETROIT is 162-127 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 41-34 (-15.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SCHERZER is 42-18 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 26-34 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 5-14 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
NY METS are 10-17 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in home games in day games this season.
NY METS are 26-34 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 33-45 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 28-44 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 19-43 (-20.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against NY METS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. NY METS since 1997
SCHERZER is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

MATT HARVEY vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (75 - 55) at LA DODGERS (76 - 52) - 4:05 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. HYUN-JIN RYU (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 144-148 (-29.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 19-31 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 125-134 (-36.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 71-93 (-29.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 28-52 (-25.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LESTER is 45-46 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 13-21 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 6-15 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 76-52 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 132-89 (+26.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 19-3 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
LA DODGERS are 33-14 (+20.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 50-33 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 73-52 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 46-29 (+11.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA DODGERS are 15-3 (+12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
RYU is 17-7 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
RYU is 16-7 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 35-19 (+13.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JON LESTER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

HYUN-JIN RYU vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (64 - 64) at KANSAS CITY (64 - 63) - 7:10 PM
JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) vs. WADE DAVIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 64-64 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 64-64 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 42-48 (-18.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 8-19 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
WASHINGTON is 24-33 (-10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 3-12 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
KANSAS CITY is 68-62 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 48-41 (+6.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 92-69 (+22.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ZIMMERMANN is 31-9 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 12-18 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
KANSAS CITY is 2-8 (-7.7 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

WADE DAVIS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 08-24-2013, 01:07 PM

MLB
Short Sheet

Saturday, August 24

National League

Arizona at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Delgado: D-backs have won second game of a road series four straight times after losing first game
Martin: Phillies 13-3 SU when facing Diamondbacks at home since 2008

Milwaukee at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
Peralta: Under is 6-1 in Peralta�s last seven road starts
Arroyo: Reds 11-4 SU when Arroyo starts at home

Colorado at Miami, 7:10 ET
Manship: Rockies 7-18 SU on the road after a win in 2013
Fernandez: Marlins 10-2 SU when Fernandez starts at home

Atlanta at St. Louis, 7:15 ET MLB
Teheran: Under is 5-2 in last seven starts for Teheran
Miller: Cardinals 9-4 SU when Miller starts at home

Chicago Cubs at San Diego, 8:40 ET
Samardzija: Under is 4-2 in last six road night starts for Samardzija
Stults: Padres 14-5 SU when Stults starts at home

Pittsburgh at San Francisco, 9:05 ET
Liriano: Pirates 5-2 in last seven road starts for Liriano
Lincecum: Giants 3-8 SU in last 11 home starts for Lincecum

American League

Oakland at Baltimore, 4:05 ET FOX
Milone: Athletics 3-6 SU when Milone starts a road day game
Tillman: Orioles 7-1 SU in last eight home starts for Tillman

Minnesota at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Hendriks: Twins 13-25 in road night games in 2013
Kazmir: Indians 7-3 SU when Kazmir starts at home

New York Yankees at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
Sabathia: Yankees 3-6 SU in last nine road starts for Sabathia
Price: Under is 9-0 last nine times Rays have faced a southpaw at home

Toronto at Houston, 7:10 ET
TBA: Blue Jays 9-26 on road after allowing more than 10 runs in previous game
Peacock: Over is 6-2 when Peacock starts for Astros

Texas at Chicago White Sox, 7:10 ET MLB
Darvish: Under is 4-1 in last five Darvish road starts
Santiago: Under is 6-1 in last seven home starts for Santiago

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle, 9:10 ET
Vargas: Over is 4-1 in last five road starts for Vargas
Ramirez: Mariners 5-1 when Ramirez starts a game

Interleague

Detroit at New York Mets, 4:05 ET FOX
Scherzer: Tigers 9-3 SU when Scherzer starts on road in 2013
Harvey: Under is 4-1 when Harvey starts a home day game

Boston at Los Angeles Dodgers, 4:05 ET FOX
Lester: Over is 7-2 in 2013 when Lester starts on road after team won in his last outing
Ryu: Dodgers 9-2 SU when Ryu starts at home

Washington at Kansas City, 7:10 ET
Zimmermann: Nationals 5-1 SU since start of 2012 in a Zimmermann road start after team lost in his last outing
Davis: Royals 4-7 SU when Davis starts at home

**Udog** · 08-24-2013, 01:09 PM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, August 24

Hot pitchers
-- Martin is 2-1, 3.31 in his last three starts.
-- Arroyo is 3-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.
-- Fernandez is 4-0, 1.72 in his last seven starts.
-- Teheran is 3-1, 1.80 in his last five starts.
-- Liriano won his last two starts, allowing one run in 16 IP.

-- Scherzer is 5-0, 1.90 in his last six starts. Harvey is 2-2, 2.16 in his last six.
-- Ryu is 4-1, 2.16 in his last five starts. Lester is 1-1, 2.49 in his last three.
-- Davis is 2-0, 3.27 in his last four starts.

-- McAllister is 2-0, 2.19 in his last couple starts.
-- Parker is 3-0, 2.30 in his last four starts.
-- Price is 3-0, 2.03 in his last six starts.
-- Peacock is 1-0, 2.19 in his last two starts.
-- Darvish is 3-0, 2.15 in his last four starts.
-- Mariners won last five Ramirez starts (4-0, 5.22), scoring 27 runs.

Cold pitchers
-- Delgado is 0-1, 6.00 in his last three starts.
-- Peralta is 1-4, 7.24 in his last five starts.
-- Manship is 0-3, 7.80 in three starts for Colorado.
-- Miller is 1-2, 5.32 in his last five starts.
-- Stults is 0-3, 5.77 in his last six starts. Samardzija is 1-1, 6.87 in his last three.
-- Lincecum is 1-4, 5.40 in his last six starts.

-- Zimmerman is 2-4, 6.08 in his last seven starts.

-- Tillman is 1-1, 4.62 in his last four starts.
-- Hendriks is 0-1, 3.94 in three starts this year.
-- Sabathia is 2-3, 9.16 in his last seven starts.
-- Santiago is 1-2, 4.60 in his last five starts.
-- Wang lost his last two starts, allowing 13 runs in 3.1 IP (last start July 2).
-- Vargas is 1-2, 5.40 in his last five starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Delgado 3-12; Martin 0-4
-- Peralta 4-26 (0 of last 13); Arroyo 4-25
-- Manship 1-3; Fernandez 4-24 (0 of last 7)
-- Teheran 7-24 (0 of last 10); Miller 5-23 (0 of last 10)
-- Samardzija 7-26 (1 of last 7); Stults 9-26 (5 of last 9)
-- Liriano 4-18; Lincecum 9-25 (0 of last 5)

-- Scherzer 4-25 (0 of last 10); Harvey 4-25 (0 of last 6)
-- Lester 8-26; Ryu 7-24 (1 of last 6)
-- Zimmerman 4-25; Davis 9-22 (4 of last 6)

-- Parker 8-25; Tillman 6-25
-- Hendriks 1-3; McAllister 5-17 (0 of last 5)
-- Sabathia 8-26 (3 of last 4); Price 6-19
-- Wang 0-5; Peacock 3-8
-- Darvish 7-23; Santiago 4-17
-- Vargas 2-16; Ramirez 3-6

Totals
-- Under is 10-1-1 in last twelve Philadelphia games.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Colorado games.
-- Six of last seven Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five St Louis games.
-- Four of last five Cub games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight San Francisco games.

-- Six of last nine Detroit road games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-3-2 in last fourteen Kansas City games.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Boston games.

-- Under is 12-4-2 in last eighteen Minnesota games.
-- Eight of last eleven Baltimore games went over the total.
-- You're reading ***************.com. Have a nice day.
-- Four of last six Tampa Bay games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last twelve Toronto games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Angel games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Phillies won five of their last six games.
-- Reds won nine of their last thirteen games. Milwaukee won six of its last nine games on foreign soil.
-- St Louis won nine of its last 12 games.

-- Detroit won four of its last six games.
-- Nationals won 10 of their last 14 games.
-- Dodgers are 46-10 in their last 56 games.

-- Indians won six of their last nine games.
-- Bronx Bombers won 10 of their last 13 games. Tampa Bay won seven of its last nine games.
-- Texas won 19 of its last 23 games. White Sox won six of last seven

Cold teams
-- Diamondbacks lost four of their last five games.
-- Miami lost eight of last nine home games. Colorado lost five of its last seven games overall.
-- Braves lost three of their last four games.
-- Cubs lost 14 of their last 20 games. San Diego is 4-5 in its last nine.
-- Pirates lost eight of last thirteen games. Giants are 4-8 in their last twelve.

-- Mets lost four of their last six games.
-- Kansas City lost eight of its last ten games.
-- Red Sox are 5-9 in their last fourteen games.

-- Minnesota lost seven of its last eleven games.
-- Oakland/Baltimore are both 4-6 in their last ten games.
-- Blue Jays lost 11 of their last 15 games. Astros lost four of their last six.
-- Seattle lost seven of its last ten home games. Angels lost four of their last five games, scoring 11 runs.

Umpires
-- Az-Phil-- Home team won last nine Fagan games.
-- Mil-Cin-- Seven of last nine Marquez games stayed under.
-- Col-Mia-- Underdogs are 7-5 in last twelve Fletcher games, with six of last nine staying under the total.
-- Atl-StL-- Nine of last thirteen Eddings games went over the total.
-- Chi-SD-- Six of last seven Cooper games stayed under total.
-- Pitt-SF-- 14 of last 15 Danley games stayed under the total.

-- Det-NY-- Favorites won nine of last eleven Nelson games.
-- Bos-LA--Under is 11-0-2 in last 13 Iassogna games; underdogs are 9-5 in his last 14 games behind the plate.
-- Wsh-KC-- Underdogs won five of last seven TWelke games.

-- A's-Balt-- Underdogs won four of last five Culbreth games.
-- Min-Clev-- Four of last five Wolcott games went over the total.
-- NY-TB-- Under is 7-4-1 in last twelve Meals games.
-- Tor-Hst-- 12 of last 14 Miller games stayed under the total.
-- Tex-Chi-- Underdogs won three of last four Wendelstedt games.
-- LA-Sea-- Five of last six Kulpa games stayed under the total.

**Udog** · 08-24-2013, 01:13 PM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Jeff Goodman is a very good college hoop writer who moved from CBSSports.com to ESPN this summer; here are six of his top 25 X’s/O’s college coaches, from a poll he took this summer………

T24) Fred Hoiberg, Iowa State—2-2 record in NCAA’s. Guys with NBA background are better at drawing up quick hitting scoring plays, since the NBA shot clock is so much shorter than the college one.

T19) Sean Miller, Arizona—11-6 record in NCAA’s. Will get to a Final Four soon.

T16) Mark Few, Gonzaga—15-14 record in NCAA’s. Overall is 374-93 and made Gonzaga his destination job.

T16) John Calipari, Kentucky—38-13 in NCAA tourney games; got freakin’ UMass to the Final Four. You do that, you can coach.

8) Billy Donovan, Florida—31-11 in NCAA’s. Says Vandy coach Kevin Stallings: “He’s the most well-prepared cpach in our league on a game-by-game basis, year-after-ear, in my opinion.” Think they read that quote in Lexington?

1) Tom Izzo, Michigan State- 39-15 in NCAA’s. In case you were wondering, John Beilein was #2 and Rick Pitino #3 in this poll of roughly two-thirds of D-I head coaches.

*****

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Searching for the meaning of life..........

13) HBO’s Hard Knocks is very, very well done, an interesting look inside how an NFL team’s training camp is run.

This year’s subject are the Cincinnati Bengals, who seem likeable enough. Last year was the first time I ever had HBO, so it was the first time I had seen Hard Knocks, when the Dolphins were the show’s focus. Miami had a rookie head coach and a rookie QB, so it wasn’t as conducive to good TV, since everyone just seemed to be getting to know everyone. Lot more laughter around Bengals’ camp.

12) That said, the harsh reality is that all 32 NFL teams will be down to 53 players on September 2. Training camp rosters are at 90, so like we’ve said before, 1,184 players have or will lose their jobs in the next ten days, that’s the harsh reality of professional sports.

Hard Knocks shows some of these difficult conferences, when the coach tells a player he has been cut; there is no easy to do this, you’re telling someone he’s not good enough for your team.

Yet the player is civil/professional, because he doesn’t want to burn bridges in case he could be brought back later on (like the A’s brought back Kurt Suzuki this week). Its just interesting to see how its done.

11) Reality is also setting in now for aspiring pro basketball players who are heading overseas to begin their seasons.

For UNLV’s Anthony Marshall, he is heading to the Ukraine after living his whole life in Las Vegas; I’m thinking he will get on an NBA roster someday, but to go from living in Vegas to the Ukraine, well culture shock doesn’t get much more drastic than that. Hope he dresses warm, plays well and gets back here to play in the NBA. He is a good enough defensive player that he should make it to the NBA eventually.

10) Back to Suzuki for a second: the A’s catching situation is messed up; John Jaso has had three concussions, Derek Norris broke his foot during the abysmal 8th inning vs Seattle Tuesday night and Steven Vogt just isn’t good enough to carry the catching load every day.

Oakland didn’t have another catcher on its 40-man roster, so enter Suzuki, who the A’s traded to Washington last June; he is solid defensively and at this time of year, that is so important. A’s need better defense, or this September won’t be nearly as much fun as last September was.

9) Dolphins’ TE Dustin Keller tore the ACL, MCL, PCL in his right knee last week but somehow didn’t sustain any cartilage damage, so it is possible he could rehab his knee and make a comeback in a year or two. Modern Medicine is really impressive sometimes; my knee started to hurt just reading about Keller’s injury.

8) Hall of Famer Cris Carter’s son Duran is a WR for the Montreal Alouettes in the CFL; he caught a 52-yard pass in the Als’ wild 39-39 win over the BC Lions Thursday.

7) This is Pete Carroll’s fourth season coaching in Seattle; only four current Seahawks were on the team before Carroll took over. There is an interesting article on espn.com on how the Seahawks go about their business differently than just about any other pro sports team.

6) Serious question: When a team like the Lions whacks perennial power New England 40-9 in a preseason game, do people get fired up and buy more tickets the next day? Myself I don’t think it’s a big indicator of regular season success (though its obviously better than losing 40-9) but I was wondering if teams see a bounce at the ticket window because of it.

5) Tampa Bay Bucs have a problem with staph infections at their practice facility; this isn’t a small problem- two players have already gotten infected.

4) Colorado Rockies’ closer Rafael Betancourt was having a good season, until he tore the ligament in his pitching elbow Thursday night; that means the Rockies need a new closer for not just the next six weeks, but next season, too.

3) When the Pirates’ Garrett Jones homered into McCovey Cove Thursday, it was the 91st home run hit into the water behind the RF fence at AT&T Park; 63 by the Giants, 28 by SF opponents.

2) Vin Scully is coming back for his 65th year in the Dodger broadcast booth next season, which is excellent news for anyone with the Extra Innings package. Scully started doing Dodger games when Harry S Truman was the President. He has seen an awful lot in his amazing career.

1) If you don’t think scouting/drafting is an inexact science, no matter how much money is spent on it, know that there were six QBs drafted ahead of Tom Brady in the 2000 Draft. Brady was the 199th player taken that year. One team didn’t draft him “….because his feet were too big.” Alrighty then.

Announcement

Saturday's Trends and Indexes - 8/24 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

Saturday's Trends and Indexes - 8/24 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

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