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**Udog** · 08-12-2013, 07:02 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Teams witb best record in regular season OT games. in NFL history........

1) Washington Redskins 23-14-1, .632

2) Denver Broncos 25-15-2, .619

3) Buffalo Bills, 19-12, .609

4) Arizona Cardinals 23-16-2, .588

5) Pittsburgh Steelers 21-15-2, .581

6) Cincinnati Bengals 15-11-1, .574

*****

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend........

13) Some writer complained Sunday night that Jason Dufner "is boring and bad television." He's a golfer, not a damn court jester. His job is to make as much money as he can, not to entertain the masses.

His even demeanor was what helped him win $1,445,000 this week; not too bad for a boring guy.

12) Eldrick Woods has played eight PGA rounds at Oak Hill and is +16, with no sub-par rounds. In his other 56 PGA rounds, he is a combined -63.

11) Between 2:00-2:45 Sunday, before Furyk/Dufner teed off, CBS was like an all-commerical channel, showing more ads than golf shots.

10) FOX paid an enormous amount of money to land US Open golf starting in 2015; they've asked Greg Norman to be their #1 analyst.

9) Realized tonight that DirecTV doesn't have a deal with FOX Sports1, so much like the Pac-12 Network, I won't be seeing that this weekend either.

I've got a lot of soccer channels and other channels I don't give a rat's ass about; the other channels I want, at least let me pay to get them.

8) Golfer named Jeff Overton is only American player to make a Ryder Cup team without winning a PGA tournament. Just thought you should know.

7) Diamondbacks' OF Cody Ross dislocated his hip while running out a ground ball Sunday; strange non-contact injury, but he just collapsed and was in severe pain. Have never seen anything like that before.

6) Somehow, Ike Davis has reached base in 24 of his last 32 ABs; one thing he has done is stop chasing bad pitches. Teams are still trying to get him to go fishing but now he is drawing walks- his batting average is even over .200 now (.205).

Mets have lot of 1B/DH types on their team, but not lot of OFs; 3B Flores has nine RBI in his first six big league games.

5) I'm concerned the Marlins are so dysfunctional that they're ruining Giancarlo Stanton's career; he's hitting only .238, because they've put so many stiffs around him in the batting orrder, it is stupid to give him any pitches to hit. Hopefully he'll get exiled from Miami soon.

4) Oakland A's won a game Sunday they had no business winning; pitchers walked 11 Blue Jays, infielders made two errors in first inning, but Balfour survived a rocky ninth inning and Oakland escaped with an ugly 6-4 win.

Teams that walk more batters than they strike out win a little less than 20% of the time, so if you walk 11, strike out 6 and win, you dodged a bullet.

3) 6-foot-8 rookie umpire Baker had a rough day behind the plate in Toronto, calling knuckleballer Dickey's pitches half the time; Baker seems to call the curve ball a strike more often than fastballs, not sure why that is.

2) Andy Pettitte allowed a first inning run for the 8th consecutive game, and threw 100+ pitches in less than five innings. Not good.

1) Diamondbacks have a backup catcher named Tuffy Gosewitch; that is a tremendous name.

**Udog** · 08-12-2013, 07:02 AM

NFL betting: Over cashes in at more than 70 percent through Week 1

Following the Buffalo Bills big 44-20 victory against the Indianapolis Colts, Week 1 of the NFL preseason is completed.

The 'over' has come through for bettors after the first 17 games of the preseason schedule going 12-5 O/U (over/under), good enough for 70.6 percent.

As we look ahead to the second week of games in the preseason schedule, here is a brief recap of the number from Week 1 which will include the inaugural Hall of Fame Game:

Favorites went 6-11 ATS (against the spread)

Favorites went 6-11 SU (straight up)

Over/Under results were 12-5 O/U

The home team went 6-11 ATS and 6-11 SU

**Udog** · 08-12-2013, 07:03 AM

MLB
Dunkel

San Diego at Colorado
The Padres look to bounce back from yesterday's 3-2 loss to Cincinnati and build on their 9-1 record in their last 10 games after scoring 2 runs or less in the previous game. San Diego is the pick (+160) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+160). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, AUGUST 12

Game 951-952: Philadelphia at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 13.139; Atlanta (Teheran) 17.066
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 4; 6
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-170); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-170); Under

Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Latos) 13.970; Cubs (Wood) 15.057
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+125); N/A

Game 955-956: San Diego at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Volquez) 14.671; Colorado (Chacin) 13.526
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-180); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+160); Over

Game 957-958: NY Mets at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Mejia) 15.797; LA Dodgers (Nolasco) 17.338
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-200); Under

Game 959-960: Oakland at Toronto (12:37 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Straily) 15.278; Toronto (Happ) 14.173
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-105); Under

Game 961-962: Texas at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 16.993; Houston (Oberholtzer) 13.827
Dunkel Line: Texas by 3; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-220); 7
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-220); Over

Game 963-964: LA Angels at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 15.019; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 16.415
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-150); Over

Game 965-966: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Fister) 15.557; White Sox (Sale) 16.010
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+105); Under

Game 967-968: Cleveland at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Salazar) 14.388; Minnesota (Albers) 15.712
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+100); Under

Game 969-970: Miami at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 15.067; Kansas City (Davis) 16.467
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-180); Over

Game 971-972: Baltimore at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Feldman) 14.996; Arizona (Miley) 16.259
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-120); Under

**Udog** · 08-12-2013, 07:07 AM

MLB
Short Sheet

Monday, August 12

National League

Philadelphia at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
Hamels: Phillies 1-5 SU last six times Hamels has started as a road dog
Teheran: Under is 8-2 in Teheran's last 10 home starts

Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 ET
Latos: Over is 8-3-1 in Latos' 2013 road starts after team won in his last outing
Wood: Cubs 1-4 SU in last five home night games

San Diego at Colorado, 8:40 ET
Volquez: Padres 6-13 SU in first game of a 2013 road series
Chacin: Rockies 7-2 SU in Chacin's last nine home starts

New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Mejia: Over is 6-1 in last seven Mets road series openers
Nolasco: Dodgers 5-1 SU in Nolasco's six starts

American League

Oakland at Toronto, 12:37 ET
Straily: Athletics 7-14 SU in 2013 road day games
Johnson: Over is 6-3 in Johnson's home starts for the Blue Jays

Texas at Houston, 2:10 ET
Darvish: Under is 6-1 in Rangers' last seven road series finales
Oberholtzer: Astros 4-14 SU in 2013 home series finales

Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees, 7:05 ET ESPN
Richards:Angels 2-6 SU in Richards' road starts
Kuroda: Yankees 9-3 SU in last nine home series openers

Detroit at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Fister: Under is 19-11-3 in Fister's road starts for Tigers
Sale: White Sox 10-2 SU when Sale pitches at home after previous start went Under

Cleveland at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Salazar: Indians 3-6 SU in 2013 in first game of a road trip
Albers: Under is 7-3 in last 10 Twins' home series openers

Interleague

Miami at Kansas City Royals, 8:10 ET
Koehler: Under is 5-2 in Koehler's last seven starts
Davis: Royals 3-7 SU when Davis starts at home

Baltimore at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Feldman: Over is 5-1 in Feldman's starts for the Orioles
Miley: Diamondbacks have won Miley's last five home starts

**Udog** · 08-12-2013, 07:08 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, August 12

Hot pitchers
-- Atlanta won last four Teheran starts (2-0, 1.13). Hamels has a 1.64 RA in his last three starts, but no wins; Phils are 3-9 when he starts on the road.
-- Latos is 3-0, 2.42 in his last four starts.
-- Chacin is 2-3, 2.41 in his last six starts. Volquez is 2-1, 3.97 in his last four.
-- Mejia is 1-1, 2.45 in three starts this season.

-- Davis is 1-0, 1.46 in his last couple starts. Koehler is 2-2, 3.24 in last four.
-- Miley is 3-0, 0.86 in his last three starts.

-- Oberholtzer is 2-0, 0.00 (14 IP) in his first two MLB starts. Darvish is 3-1, 1.37 in his last four starts.
-- Kuroda is 3-1, 1.13 in his last six starts. Richards is 1-0, 2.25 in his last three.
-- Detroit won last five Fister starts (4-0, 1.85). Sale has a 2.95 RA in his last three starts; White Sox scored seven runs in his last four outings.
-- Albers blanked the Royals for 8.1 innings in winning his MLB debut. Salazar is 1-0, 3.46 in his first two MLB starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Wood is 1-2, 4.82 in his last five starts.
-- Nolasco has a 4.50 RA in his last five starts, and hasn't finished sixth inning in any of those five games, but LA won last four, scoring 30 runs.

-- Feldman is 2-3, 6.16 in his last five starts.

-- Toronto lost Johnson's last three home starts (0-2, 8.82). Straily is 0-4, 6.30 in his last four starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. You're reading ***************.com. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Hamels 4-24 (1 of last 14); Teheran 7-22 (0 of last 8)
-- Latos 8-23 (0 of last 4); Wood 3-23
-- Volquez 8-24; Chacin 2-22
-- Mejia 0-3; Nolasco 7-23

-- Koehler 5-14 (1 of last 5); Davis 8-20 (6 of last 10)
-- Feldman 5-21 (0 of last 5); Miley 6-23

-- Straily 4-18; Johnson 4-16
-- Darvish 7-21; Oberholtzer 0-2
-- Richards 1-7; Kuroda 6-23 (0 of last 6)
-- Fister 5-23 (0 of last 5); Sale 7-22 (1 of last 7)
-- Salazar 0-2; Albers 0-1

Totals
-- Six of last eight Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Cincinnati road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Colorado games.
-- 12 of last 16 Dodger games stayed under the total.

-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Miami games.
-- Three of last four Arizona games went over the total.

-- Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Toronto games.
-- Four of last five Houston games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Angel games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Detroit games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Cleveland games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Braves won 15 of their last 16 games.
-- Cincinnati won four of its last five games.
-- Colorado won five of its last six home games.
-- Dodgers are 37-8 in their last 45 games. Mets won four of their last five.

-- Kansas City won 16 of its last 19 games.
-- Orioles won nine of their last thirteen road games.

-- Rangers won 12 of their last 13 games.
-- Tigers won 17 of their last 20 games.
-- Minnesota won seven of its last ten games.

Cold teams
-- Phillies lost 17 of their last 20 games.
-- Cubs lost eight of their last nine home games.
-- Padres lost five of their last seven games.

-- Marlins lost seven of their last eight games, scoring 17 runs.
-- Arizona is 3-4 in its last seven home games.

-- Oakland lost seven of its last ten games. Toronto lost three of last four.
-- Astros lost 23 of their last 28 games.
-- Angels lost 11 of last 16 games. Bronx Bombers lost five of their last six.
-- White Sox lost 13 of their last 17 games.
-- Indians lost six of their last seven games.

**Udog** · 08-12-2013, 07:20 AM

MLB

Monday, August 12

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Trend Report
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12:37 PM
OAKLAND vs. TORONTO
Oakland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Oakland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games at home

2:10 PM
TEXAS vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

7:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
LA Angels are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games
NY Yankees are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against LA Angels

7:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

8:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

8:10 PM
DETROIT vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Chi White Sox are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing Detroit

8:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. MINNESOTA
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

8:10 PM
MIAMI vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Miami's last 25 games
Kansas City is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:40 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego's last 12 games on the road
San Diego is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games

9:40 PM
BALTIMORE vs. ARIZONA
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 12 games
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore

10:10 PM
NY METS vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
NY Mets are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of LA Dodgers's last 16 games
LA Dodgers are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home

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**Udog** · 08-12-2013, 07:25 AM

MLB

Monday, August 12

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Monday's MLB betting notes and tips
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NATIONAL

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves (-170, 7)

Cold pitching stat: Phillies starter Cole Hamels gave up five runs in five innings in his lone start versus Atlanta this season.

Hot batting stat: Braves C Brian McCann is 16-for-57 (.281) in his career versus Hamels. McCann has notched three homers and driven in 15 runs in those at-bats. The catcher missed Sunday's game versus the Marlins due to a sore knee, however.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-80s with a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The Phillies are 3-7 in Hamels' last 10 road starts versus the Braves.

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs (+128, OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Reds SP Mat Latos is 4-1 in his last six starts. He is coming off a great start versus Oakland on August 6 where he tossed 7 1/3 scoreless innings in a 3-1 Reds victory.

Cold batting stat: Reds SS Zack Cozart is 1-for-13 (.077) in his career versus Cubs starter Travis Wood.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow in from center field at 7 mph. There is a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast.

Key betting note: The over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between the two ball clubs.

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies (-163, 9.5)

Cold pitching stat: Padres starter Edinson Volquez is 0-3 with a 12.18 ERA in four starts versus the Rockies this season. Volquez has given up 34 hits in 17 innings over the four starts.

Hot batting stat: Rockies C Wilin Rosario is 7-for-15 (.467) with two homers and seven RBIs in his career versus Volquez.

Weather: There is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for gametime. Temperatures will be in the low-70s with wind blowing from right field to left field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: The Padres are 2-7 in the last nine meetings in Colorado.

New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers (-192, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Dodgers pitcher Ricky Nolasco is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his two August starts. The Dodgers are 5-1 in Nolasco's starts since they acquired the righty from the Marlins.

Cold batting stat: Mets 1B Ike Davis is 5-for-23 (.217) with eight strikeouts in his career versus Nolasco.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The Mets are 1-4 in Jenrry Mejia's last five road starts.

AMERICAN

Oakland A's at Toronto Blue Jays (-114, 9.5)

Hot pitching stat: J.A. Happ gets the start for the Blue Jays. The lefty gave up six runs on seven hits in four innings of work in his last start on August 7. He was charged with the loss in a 9-7 defeat to the Seattle Mariners.

Cold batting stat: Jays slugger Edwin Encarnacion is 1-for-6 in his career versus A's starter Dan Straily.

Weather: Due to a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for gametime, the roof could be closed at Rogers Center in Toronto.

Key betting note: The Athletics are 5-0 in Straily's last five starts with five days of rest.

Texas Rangers at Houston Astros (+192, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Rangers starter Yu Darvish is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA in his previous two starts. He tossed seven innings in each performance.

Cold batting stat: Astros 2B Jose Altuve is 0-for-12 with five strikeouts in his career versus Darvish.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-100s with wind blowing out to right field at 8 mph. Due to a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast, the roof at Minute Maid Park could be closed Monday.

Key betting note: The Rangers are 20-6 in the last 26 meetings in Houston.

Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees (-150, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Yankees starter Hiroki Kuroda is 6-2 with a 1.74 ERA in his 10 starts at Yankee Stadium this season.

Hot batting stat: Angels slugger Mark Trumbo is 3-for-9 in his career versus Kuroda with two of those hits going for home runs.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow from right field to left field at 7 mph. There is a 20 percent chance of rain in the forecast for gametime.

Key betting note: The Angels are 1-10 in their last 11 Monday games.

Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins (-101, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Twins starter Andrew Albers was spectacular in his Major League debut on August 6. Albers went 8 1/3 innings scattering just four hits in a 7-0 victory over the Kansas City Royals.

Cold batting stat: Indians 2B Jason Kipnis is a career .204 hitter (11-for-54) at Target Field in Minnesota.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-70s with sunny skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The Indians are 1-5 in the last six meetings in Minnesota.

Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox (+111, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Detroit's Doug Fister has not lost since June 21 and is 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA in two August starts.

Hot batting stat: Sox 1B Adam Dunn is 6-for-10 with one double in his career versus Fister.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow out to right field at 12 mph. There is a 20 percent chance of rain in the forecast.

Key betting note: The White Sox are 1-4 in Chris Sale's last five starts vs. Tigers.

INTERLEAGUE

Baltimore Orioles at Arizona Diamondbacks (-119, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: O's starter Scott Feldman had a rough outing in his last turn on the mound. The righty gave up five runs on seven hits in 4 2/3 innings of work in an 8-4 loss versus the Seattle Mariners on August 3.

Cold batting stat: Collectively, the DBacks roster owns a .183 batting average in 82 at-bats versus Feldman.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-90s with sunny skies. Wind will blow from left field to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings.

Miami Marlins at Kansas City Royals (-180, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Royals starter Wade Davis is pitching much better after the All-Star break. He was 4-8 with a 5.89 ERA before the break, but is 1-1 with a 2.40 ERA in three starts since.

Cold batting stat: Marlins OF Juan Pierre is 2-for-13 (.154) in his career versus Davis.

Weather: There is a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. Temperatures will be in the low-80s and wind will blow from left field to right field at 4 mph.

Key betting note: The Marlins are 1-6 in Tom Koehler's last seven starts versus a team with a winning record.

** Odds, probable starters and weather forecast as of 8:33 p.m. ET Sunday.

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**Udog** · 08-12-2013, 07:27 AM

MLB

Monday, August 12

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MLB betting: Texas moves to 6-0 after Cruz suspension
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It has been a week since the suspensions stemming from the Florida biogenesis case in Major League Baseball were handed down.

Though it wasn't an overly star-studded list, the list included a few everyday players. Namely Nelson Cruz of the Texas Rangers.

Cruz was batting .269 with 27 homers and 76 RBI in a productive season before accepting the suspension from the league.

Following a 6-1 victory over the Houston Astros Sunday, the Rangers are a blistering 6-0 in life post-Nelson Cruz.

Any $100 bettor would be up $412.35 if they had wagered in each of the Rangers six ball games without their suspended slugger.

The Rangers will look to keep the streak rolling as they finish up their four-game set with the Astros Monday.

At the time of writing, the Rangers are -210 road favorites. Yu Darvish takes the mound for Texas.

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**Udog** · 08-12-2013, 08:45 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, August 12

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PHILADELPHIA (52 - 65) at ATLANTA (72 - 46) - 7:10 PM
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. JULIO TEHERAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 52-65 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-17 (-10.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 52-65 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-50 (-14.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 63-79 (-25.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 63-80 (-25.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HAMELS is 6-18 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 54-52 (-25.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 6-18 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 2-13 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 1-8 (-8.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 72-46 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 40-16 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 12-2 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
ATLANTA is 77-43 (+24.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 71-45 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 50-30 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 104-62 (+27.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 56-27 (+19.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 364-335 (+41.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-3 (+2.5 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.2 Units)

COLE HAMELS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
HAMELS is 12-8 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.207.
His team's record is 15-13 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 13-13. (-2.5 units)

JULIO TEHERAN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
TEHERAN is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.78 and a WHIP of 1.285.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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CINCINNATI (65 - 52) at CHICAGO CUBS (52 - 65) - 8:05 PM
MAT LATOS (R) vs. TRAVIS WOOD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 122-122 (-28.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 164-120 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 643-716 (+54.6 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 305-329 (+31.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 164-120 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 419-464 (+35.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 94-54 (+17.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 203-165 (+44.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 113-166 (-28.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-33 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 199-268 (-82.0 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 49-82 (-21.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-33 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 194-204 (-68.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 951-1053 (-187.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-42 (-10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 137-179 (-58.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 10-3 (+5.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.9 Units)

MAT LATOS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LATOS is 4-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.236.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-5. (-3.5 units)

TRAVIS WOOD vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
WOOD is 0-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.65 and a WHIP of 1.194.
His team's record is 0-5 (-5.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.7 units)

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SAN DIEGO (53 - 64) at COLORADO (55 - 64) - 8:40 PM
EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R) vs. JHOULYS CHACIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 129-150 (+3.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 21-15 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 129-147 (+6.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 441-508 (+34.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
VOLQUEZ is 38-24 (+18.0 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 119-162 (-31.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 55-75 (-25.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 3-9 (-13.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -200 over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 107-115 (-31.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 192-250 (-59.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 80-108 (-37.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 25-30 (-12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 10-3 (+7.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. COLORADO since 1997
VOLQUEZ is 3-6 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.00 and a WHIP of 1.945.
His team's record is 3-8 (-5.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-6. (-2.0 units)

JHOULYS CHACIN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
CHACIN is 4-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.146.
His team's record is 4-4 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.1 units)

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NY METS (54 - 61) at LA DODGERS (67 - 50) - 10:10 PM
JENRRY MEJIA (R) vs. RICKY NOLASCO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 32-45 (-13.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 18-38 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 67-50 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 10-1 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
LA DODGERS are 64-50 (+4.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 87-63 (+14.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 31-14 (+10.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LA DODGERS are 14-4 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
NY METS are 29-29 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
NY METS are 29-29 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
NOLASCO is 10-21 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.2 Units)

JENRRY MEJIA vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

RICKY NOLASCO vs. NY METS since 1997
NOLASCO is 5-8 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 5.22 and a WHIP of 1.407.
His team's record is 9-14 (-6.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-16. (-11.3 units)

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OAKLAND (66 - 50) at TORONTO (54 - 63) - 12:35 PM
DANIEL STRAILY (R) vs. JOSH JOHNSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 66-50 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 75-69 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 266-196 (+66.5 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
OAKLAND is 110-75 (+41.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 39-26 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 77-46 (+27.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 38-16 (+17.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 54-63 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 74-82 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 5-16 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
JOHNSON is 4-12 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-3 (+0.5 Units) against OAKLAND this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

DANIEL STRAILY vs. TORONTO since 1997
STRAILY is 0-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 1.312.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

JOSH JOHNSON vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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TEXAS (68 - 50) at HOUSTON (37 - 79) - 2:10 PM
YU DARVISH (R) vs. BRETT OBERHOLTZER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 36-14 (+15.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
HOUSTON is 92-185 (-46.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 69-118 (-43.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less since 1997.
HOUSTON is 19-42 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 6-31 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-24 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
HOUSTON is 23-58 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-42 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 67-138 (-36.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 59-124 (-33.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 14-47 (-19.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 8-28 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 10-2 (+5.2 Units) against HOUSTON this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

YU DARVISH vs. HOUSTON since 1997
DARVISH is 3-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.03 and a WHIP of 0.876.
His team's record is 3-1 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

BRETT OBERHOLTZER vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

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LA ANGELS (53 - 63) at NY YANKEES (59 - 57) - 7:05 PM
GARRETT RICHARDS (R) vs. HIROKI KURODA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 53-63 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 31-34 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 2-10 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday this season.
LA ANGELS are 53-63 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 35-49 (-27.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 42-44 (-13.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 24-38 (-24.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA ANGELS are 24-35 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA ANGELS are 688-681 (+54.9 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
NY YANKEES are 156-144 (-28.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 2-1 (+0.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

GARRETT RICHARDS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
RICHARDS is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 10.80 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

HIROKI KURODA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
KURODA is 2-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.67 and a WHIP of 0.980.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)

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DETROIT (69 - 47) at CHI WHITE SOX (44 - 72) - 8:10 PM
DOUG FISTER (R) vs. CHRIS SALE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 164-127 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 16-27 (-16.1 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 73-75 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 156-121 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 47-51 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
FISTER is 19-39 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
FISTER is 9-16 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 125-67 (+27.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 44-72 (-29.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 26-31 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 13-34 (-22.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 42-67 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 24-47 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 33-54 (-21.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 24-46 (-23.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 7-3 (+1.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

DOUG FISTER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
FISTER is 2-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.309.
His team's record is 3-5 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.7 units)

CHRIS SALE vs. DETROIT since 1997
SALE is 1-4 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.68 and a WHIP of 1.530.
His team's record is 1-4 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.6 units)

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CLEVELAND (63 - 55) at MINNESOTA (52 - 63) - 8:10 PM
DANNY SALAZAR (R) vs. ANDREW ALBERS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 9-31 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 6-21 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 52-63 (+5.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 51-57 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 63-55 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 86-57 (+44.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 60-52 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 23-16 (+9.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 37-24 (+12.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 35-20 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MINNESOTA is 90-126 (-35.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-24 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games in August games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 59-91 (-32.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-39 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-5 (+0.2 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.5 Units)

DANNY SALAZAR vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

ANDREW ALBERS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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MIAMI (44 - 72) at KANSAS CITY (61 - 54) - 8:10 PM
TOM KOEHLER (R) vs. WADE DAVIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 113-165 (-35.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 26-46 (-19.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 9-23 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 112-161 (-32.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 75-115 (-30.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 62-100 (-27.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 61-54 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 65-59 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 25-14 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 94-92 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 46-35 (+12.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MIAMI is 332-374 (+41.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 5-16 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TOM KOEHLER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

WADE DAVIS vs. MIAMI since 1997
DAVIS is 1-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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BALTIMORE (65 - 52) at ARIZONA (59 - 57) - 9:40 PM
SCOTT FELDMAN (R) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
FELDMAN is 10-18 (-14.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 4-13 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 65-52 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 57-45 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 32-27 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 24-12 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 60-44 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 46-31 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 85-75 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 36-22 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 35-31 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 39-48 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 24-30 (-13.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 52-51 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 30-35 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SCOTT FELDMAN vs. ARIZONA since 1997
FELDMAN is 0-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.182.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

WADE MILEY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

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**Udog** · 08-12-2013, 08:47 AM

NFL AFC North division preview: Books selling Ravens short?

The defending Super Bowl champion Baltimore Ravens aren’t getting any respect in the AFC North, with only the Cleveland Browns behind them on the division futures board.

Are the Ravens out of the picture with veterans like Ray Lewis and Ed Reed gone or are oddsmakers selling Baltimore short this season?

Baltimore Ravens (2012: 10-6 SU, 6-9-1 ATS)

Odds to win division: +300
Season win total: 8.5

Why to bet the Ravens: The defending Super Bowl champs are still a Top-10 team in my power ratings, despite losing a lot from last year. The Ravens have a terrific coaching staff and a solid QB in Joe Flacco, and they play three of their four toughest games on their strong home field where they are 16-2 SU over the last two seasons.

Why not to bet the Ravens: We’re not projecting a Super Bowl repeat in 2013. Baltimore broke the bank to sign QB Joe Flacco to a long-term deal. The decision to open the vault for Flacco will set the Ravens back a few years because they couldn’t afford to keep or sign other key contributors.

Season win total pick: Under 8.5

Cincinnati Bengals (2012: 10-6 SU, 9-6-1 ATS)

Odds to win division: +190
Season win total: 8.5

Why to bet the Bengals: Cincinnati made the playoffs last year for the second consecutive season. It was just the fourth time in the past 21 years. Cincinnati has a highlight reel offense with QB Andy Dalton throwing to WR A.J. Green. The Bengals have a stout defense that improved immensely under coordinator Mike Zimmer. The stop unit will be scary good if they improve further this year.

Why not to bet the Bengals: They are feeling good off back-to-back post-season appearances, but they are walking a fine line between wins and losses. They’ve played extremely easy schedules over the last two seasons, but this year they will face five teams out of their division ranked higher in my power ratings. It will be extremely important for the Bengals to win the majority of their divisional games if they want a playoffs three-peat.

Season win total pick: Under 8.5

Cleveland Browns (2012: 5-11 SU, 8-7-1 ATS)

Odds to win division: +600
Season win total: 6

Why to bet the Browns: Another season of change for the Cleveland Browns in 2013. Michael Lombardi takes over as the VP of player personnel and he felt it would be best to overhaul the coaching staff and change schemes to ignite the organization. The new head coach is Rob Chudzinski and his offensive coordinator is Norv Turner, who is a veteran play caller in the NFL. The changes will pay dividends for the Browns.

Why not to bet the Browns: Cleveland has ranked No. 24 or worse in points scored for five straight years and in nine of the last 10 years overall. The new defensive coordinator is Ray Horton, who has his work cut out for him as the Browns allowed 24 points or more in half of their games last season.

Season win total pick: Over 6

Pittsburgh Steelers (2012: 8-8 SU, 6-9-1 ATS)

Odds to win division: +170
Season win total: 9

Why to bet the Steelers: Pittsburgh failed to make the playoffs last season despite having the No. 1 overall defense. They won less than nine games for the first time since 2006 and it was just the third time since 1999. Last year was a fluke for Pittsburgh and it should bounce back with a strong season in 2013.

Why not to bet the Steelers: Pittsburgh’s roster is in a state of flux and their veterans are getting old and injury prone. They just don’t have the depth to survive if they miss significant time like last season. Luckily for the Steelers they are in the right division considering their issues, even though they aren’t what they once were.

Season win total pick: Over 9

Announcement

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 8/12 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 8/12 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

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