Announcement

**Udog** · 07-17-2013, 09:55 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- San Diego State alum Malcolm Thomas had 22 rebounds in a summer league game; its really hard to get 22 rebounds in one game.

-- Mets demoted utility guy Jordany Valdespin, who blew his big chance when they let him play 2B for a week after Ike Davis got sent to AAA.

-- First NHL preseason game is only sixty days away. 60.

-- Good add by ESPN, getting former Rams' GM Billy Delaney to analyze football; would be nice if he smiled once in a while though.

-- West Virginia's basketball team went 13-19 LY; since the season ended, five players have transferred out. These two facts are related.

-- Where are Johnny Manziel's parents during all this chaos? Someone has to tell the kid to put a lid on his antics. Thats what parents do.

*****

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.........

13) Wonder what the odds would've been on Prince Fielder hitting a triple last night? He has ten career triples in regular season play.

12) St Louis Cardinals have 14 games left with the Pirates, ten left with the Cincinnati Reds-- Wonder how many players, if any, those teams will add before July 31 to fortify their rosters.

11) This time LY, Matt Cassel was the Chiefs' starting QB, and played in the celebrity softball game at Kauffman Stadium. Now he is the backup QB up in Minnesota, ansd celebrity softball seems like a long time ago.

10) There were 1,200 accredited media at the first of three SEC football Media Days this week; I actually think I could get a press pass to this one.

SEC Commissioner Mike Slive went to college at Dartmouth.

9) Miami Heat cut Mike Miller Tuesday, saving them $17M of the $33M they were going to owe due to the luxury tax.

8) Cubs have used 42 players this season; of the 25 players on their Opening Day roster in 2012, only seven are still Cubs.

7) Surprised that Ron Jaworski had Ben Roethlisberger rated higher than Eli Manning; not disagreeing with him at all, just surprised. Jaws is ranking all 32 NFL starting QBs, a job destined to get him a lot of grief.

6) Ilya Kovalchuk signed a lucrative contract to play hockey in Russia; curious to see how much money he lost, if any, by bolting New Jersey for his homeland. Timing of his move hurt the Devils in free agency.

5) Saturday afternoon on FOX: Bronx at Boston.
Sunday night on ESPN: Bronx at Boston. Nice imagination, fellas.

4) Why don't the Philadelphia 76ers have a coach yet?

3) Inevitable reality TV show: Guys who clean up unwanted or bad tattoos. I am told it hurts more to get rid of a tattoo then it does to get one.

2) I could listen to Steve Spurrier talk all day. After listening to his rivals drone on and on with cliches, its refreshing to listen to Spurrier, who once in a while actually says what he is thinking.

1) These other SEC football coaches are so damn serious; when does Les Miles take the podium? Thats the 20 minutes I want to watch this week.

Florida's football program has a "life skills coordinator". What is that???

**Udog** · 07-17-2013, 10:02 AM

flashypants+ racks up MLB Pick 7 win

With the American League's 3-0 win in the All-Star Game last night, flashypants+ became our second MLB Pick 7 winner.

In preparation for the new rules that will soon take effect, flashy did it with 7 different teams in 7 days.

Congrats, flashy!

Last night's AL win also put kbsooner21 and Kaptain within striking distance at 5 wins each.

**Udog** · 07-17-2013, 10:03 AM

MLB Top 4: Best over/under bets after the break

Betting totals in the second half of the MLB schedule can be tricky. The summer heat can turn deep flys into home runs while playoff contenders sharpen their staff down the stretch, keeping runs at a minimum.

These four clubs, however, have proved to be profitable for the over or the under after the All-Star break over the past five seasons:

Records from 2008-2012.

Best post-break over bets

Minnesota Twins (185-157-24 over/under)

The Twins have leaned toward the over since opening the doors to Target Field back in 2010, owning a 113-99-12 over/under mark in those three full seasons. Minnesota is 41-49-2 over/under at the break, with a 23-21 O/U mark at home.

San Diego Padres (184-163-10 over/under)

San Diego’s pitching woes have been a blessing to over bettors the past two seasons. The Padres went 40-27-3 over/under after the break in 2011 and 42-32-1 over/under in the post-ASG schedule last summer. San Diego continues to cough up runs – ranked 25th in ERA – and is currently the top over bet in the National League at the break.

Best post-break under bets

Tampa Bay Rays (157-192-13 over/under)

The Rays have topped the American League in unders after the break the past two seasons, going a collective 59-82-7 over/under. Tampa Bay is accustomed to being in playoff contention down the stretch and its pitching staff has kept opponents in check. The Rays enter the break with a 46-43-7 over/under mark this season.

Philadelphia Phillies (160-188-13 over/under)

The Phillies’ talented staff gets a lot of the glory for Philadelphia’s under success, but the truth is that the bats haven’t been that great in recent seasons. The Phillies went 30-42-3 over/under last summer, hitting .246 and averaging 4.2 runs while boasting a collective 3.37 ERA – fifth best in the majors after the break.

**Udog** · 07-17-2013, 10:04 AM

NFL Games of the Year: Steelers spread could drop at New England

Odds are out for the biggest and best games of the upcoming NFL season. Covers Expert Ben Burns gives you his insight into some of these marquee matchups and predicts where the odds could move before kickoff.

NFL Week 9: Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots (-9)

Past history: New England 10-9 SU, 11-8 ATS, 10/9 O/U since 1986
Recent history: New England 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1/1 O/U since 2010

Early look at the Steelers: The Steelers, who are being projected to win nine games, play on the West Coast (at Oakland) the week before and host Buffalo after this game. The Steelers were 3-5 ATS on the road last season but 2-1-1 ATS as underdogs. They're 4-1 ATS as underdogs of greater than eight points this millennium.

Early look at the Patriots: The Pats, who are being projected to win 11 games, are off a game vs. Miami and have a bye on deck in Week 10. They were 4-4 ATS at home last regular season, going 8-6-1 ATS when laying points overall.

Where this line will move: Injuries and performance, through the first half of the season, will naturally play key roles in determining which way this line goes. If the teams were of roughly equal health and had equal records coming in, I could see the line dropping to -6 or -7.

**Udog** · 07-17-2013, 10:05 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Atlanta at Los Angeles
The Dream look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games in Los Angeles. Atlanta is the pick (+10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+10 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, JULY 17

Game 601-602: Tulsa at Seattle (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 102.690; Seattle 112.790
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 10; 141
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 6 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-6 1/2); Under

Game 603-604: Atlanta at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.375; Los Angeles 120.563
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 3; 164
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 10 1/2; 160
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+10 1/2); Over

WNBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, July 17

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TULSA (3 - 13) at SEATTLE (6 - 8) - 7/17/2013, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 77-52 ATS (+19.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
SEATTLE is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 7-4 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 9-2 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (10 - 3) at LOS ANGELES (10 - 4) - 7/17/2013, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in July games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-1 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Wednesday, July 17

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Trend Report
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3:00 PM
TULSA vs. SEATTLE
Tulsa is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Tulsa is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

10:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. LOS ANGELES
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Los Angeles is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

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**Udog** · 07-17-2013, 10:06 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Toronto at Winnipeg
The Argonauts look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games at Winnipeg. Toronto is the pick (Pick) according to Dunkel, which has the Argonauts favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto. Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 19

Game 421-422: Toronto at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 113.061; Winnipeg 111.075
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2; 58
Vegas Line: Pick; 53
Dunkel Pick: Toronto; Over

SATURDAY, JULY 20

Game 423-424: Montreal at Calgary (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 109.531; Calgary 122.495
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 13; 48
Vegas Line: Calgary by 7; 52
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-7); Under

Game 425-426: Edmonton at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 106.521; BC 120.171
Dunkel Line: BC by 13 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: BC by 8 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: BC (-8 1/2); Under

SUNDAY, JULY 21

Game 427-428: Hamilton at Saskatchewan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 112.968; Saskatchewan 116.906
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 4; 60
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 6; 57
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+6); Over

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 4

Friday, July 19

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TORONTO (1 - 2) at WINNIPEG (1 - 2) - 7/19/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-3 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, July 20

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MONTREAL (1 - 2) at CALGARY (2 - 1) - 7/20/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-0 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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EDMONTON (1 - 2) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (2 - 1) - 7/20/2013, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 7-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, July 21

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HAMILTON (1 - 2) at SASKATCHEWAN (3 - 0) - 7/21/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 47-25 ATS (+19.5 Units) in July games since 1996.
HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 4

Toronto (1-2) @ Winnipeg (1-2)-- Underdogs are 12-3 vs spread in last 15 Argo-Bomberr games; Argonauts won four of last five series games, winning six of last eight visits here; under is 5-3 in those eight games. Road teams won four of last six in series. Both teams are off to shaky starts; Toronto allowed 32.3 ppg so far, giving up 160-224 rushing yards last two weeks. Winnipeg is already -6 in turnovers, being minus in every game; both its losses are by five points, losing only home game 38-33 to Montreal, 25-20 at Winnipeg. Argos trailed all three games at halftime- they had 446 passing yards in last week's loss.

Montreal (1-2) @ Calgary (2-1)-- Stampeders (+2) won 22-14 in Montreal last week, their fourth win in last five series games; Calgary outgained Alouettes by 118 yards despite six Montreal sacks. Five of last seven series games went over total. Road team won all three Montreal games; Als scored 11-14 points in home losses last two weeks, with both games staying under- they scored 38 in only win- they've been outscored in second half in every game so far. Calgary has been outscored 55-22 in second half of games. Six of last eight series games went over the total.

Edmonton (1-2) @ BCLions (2-1)--Hard to tell much about Eskimos, since their last two games were played in monsoons. Lions won seven of last eight games against Edmonton; under is 8-4 in last twelve series games; BC (-3.5) won 17-3 in Edmonton last week, with Edmonton getting shut out in second half. Lions allowed total of 19 points last two games, after giving up 44 at Calgary in their opener- they ran ball for 160-197 yards last couple of games. Favorites covered four of last six series games, only three of last nine played here. Eskimos had three takeaways in their win; they didn't have any in either loss.

Hamilton (1-2) @ Saskatchewan (3-0)-- TiCats (+3.5) upset Roughriders 35-34 here LY, their first win in Regina in at least a decade, just their third win in last 18 games against the Riders. Underdogs are 4-1-1 vs spread in last six series games, 3-1-1 in last five played in Regina. Saskatchewan won its first three games, scoring 34.7 ppg, with all three tilts over the total; they've run ball for 173 ypg, and turned it over only once (+4). Hamilton gave up 147.3 rushing yards/game so far; they averaged over 11 yards/pass attempt last week, as they came from behind to beat Winnipeg for their first win this season.

CFL

Week 4

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Trend Report
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Friday, July 19

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. WINNIPEG
Toronto is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

Saturday, July 20

7:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. CALGARY
Montreal is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Montreal

10:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of British Columbia's last 7 games when playing at home against Edmonton
British Columbia is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games

Sunday, July 21

7:00 PM
HAMILTON vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Hamilton is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Hamilton's last 14 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Saskatchewan's last 14 games when playing Hamilton

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**flashypants** · 07-17-2013, 12:19 PM

Thx pal only if I could pick like that with my money on the line lol I would post it but as soon as I do I would make my bookie filthy rich he already got BMW & house off me lol

**kbsooner21** · 07-17-2013, 12:31 PM

Nice work Flashy

Announcement

Wednesday's Trends and Indexes - 7/17 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

Wednesday's Trends and Indexes - 7/17 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

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