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  • Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 7/11 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, July 11

    Good Luck on day #192 of 2013!

    At this time, the sports menu in this thread consists of MLB, CFL and WNBA until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    NASCAR Schedules

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    -- Mets beat the Giants 7-2, sweeping them by the bay for the first time since way back in 1994. Mets play much better away from home.

    -- Ole Miss suspended star guard Marshall Henderson because he failed multiple drug tests. The phrase "thin ice" is being used here, as far as the kid staying on the team, or even in school.

    -- Rangers put Yu Darvish on the DL (shoulder); bad news for them.

    -- Bruins signed goalie Tuukka Rask to a $56M, eight-year extension.

    -- Yoenis Cespedes' mother, Estela Milanes, was a lefty pitcher for the Cuban Olympic softball team.

    -- Josh Beckett had an operation to have a rib removed that was putting pressure on a nerve. He is expected to be ready next spring.


    *****

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Some good ideas and bad ideas..........

    Good Idea: Super Bowls should be played in good weather cities, so the quality of the game isn’t compromised: LA, San Diego, Dallas, Miami, New Orleans, Phoenix, Tampa. You know, either indoors or in warm weather.

    Bad Idea: The Super Bowl is in New Jersey this February. At night. Outdoors. There could be a blizzard, or sub-zero temps, or generally hideous weather. Oy.

    Good idea: All war veterans should get free medical care for the rest of their lives; for all I know, they might get it now thru the VA, but if they don’t, they should.

    Bad idea: I’ve said this before, but if you can go to war at age 18, you should be able to drink at age 18. Having the drinking age at 21 is too high.

    Good idea: FOX Sports1 hired Bill Raftery as its analyst for Big East games; this is a tremendous move. Raftery is great.

    Bad idea: FOX hired self-promoting screamer Gus Johnson as the play/play guy to be Raftery’s partner; lot of people like Johnson’s act, and it is an act. I’m not one of them.

    Good idea: The retractable domed stadium they built in Miami is very nice (are you listening Minnesota? “Retractable dome”); it’s a great ballpark to go and the late afternoon thunderstorm don't rain any games out.

    Bad idea: MLB letting Jeffrey Loria own a ballclub is so hideous, so unfair to the people of Miami whose taxes are paying for that great stadium. You want to trade Ricky Nolasco? That’s your business, but could you get something for him, other than a salary dump? Loria is a scumweasel of the highest order.

    Good idea: ESPN’s Insider content on the Internet is excellent, well worth what they charge for it. Well worth the knowledge.

    Bad idea: To get the Insider stuff, you have to get ESPN the Magazine delivered to your house; I tried to have them not give me the magazine, because its not very good, but they said the only way they wouldn’t send it to me is if I cancelled the whole account, and I want the Insider stuff.

    Their magazine could be some much better if they weren’t obsessed with being “edgy”. Nitwits.

    Good idea: I’m convinced that as soon as the concussion lawsuit stuff gets settled, the NFL will go to an 18-game schedule, with the Super Bowl on Sunday night of Presidents’ Day weekend (hopefully not in New Jersey anymore). I like the 18-game schedule; they do it in the CFL. The more football there is to watch, the better for me. It’s a way for them to increase their rights fees from the networks.

    Bad idea: Until the concussion lawsuits are settled, we’re stuck with four preseason games a year, because owners charge regular season ticket prices as part of the season ticket plans. This larceny has been going on for years; before 1976, teams played six exhibition games a year. Not good.

    Good idea: I’m off to Las Vegas for vacation today; NBA Summer League, mornings by the pool, this is tremendously tremendous. Next time you hear from me, I’ll be lounging in an air conditioned suite with a view of the Strip. Vacation in the desert; there is nothing wrong with this idea.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAF Games of the Year: Georgia at Clemson a likely pick'em

      NCAA Week 1: Georgia Bulldogs at Clemson Tigers (-2)

      Past history:
      Clemson hasn’t been able to beat Georgia in any of the last five meetings between these two teams. Their last win in the series came all the way back in 1990. But the Tigers and Bulldogs haven’t faced off since 2003, which is also the last time Clemson got shut out - a 30-0 defeat.

      Early look at Georgia:
      Georgia’s near upset of Alabama in the SEC Championship Game and second-half domination in their bowl against Nebraska has Bulldog boosters sky high heading into to the new campaign. With Heisman contending senior QB Andy Murray playing behind an offensive line with all five starters returning, that optimism appears justified.

      Early look at Clemson:
      The Tigers notched their second straight double-digit victory total last year, culminating with an impressive upset over LSU in their bowl. An offense that averaged 41 points per game in 2012 returns senior QB Tajh Boyd, junior WR Sammy Watkins and nine of their Top 10 on the offensive line.

      Where this line will move:
      This Saturday night national TV showdown on the opening week of the season is likely to attract lots of betting attention. Early money has shown for the home team, but SEC money nearly always shows for non-conference TV matchups. Expect this line to close in the pick ‘em range.

      Comment


      • #4
        CFL
        Dunkel


        Saskatchewan at Toronto
        The Argonauts look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 home games. Toronto is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Argonauts favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-1 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

        THURSDAY, JULY 11

        Game 121-122: Saskatchewan at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)

        Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 113.557; Toronto 117.061
        Dunkel Line: Toronto by 3 1/2; 58
        Vegas Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 53
        Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-1 1/2); Over


        FRIDAY, JULY 12

        Game 123-124: Calgary at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)

        Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 119.495; Montreal 112.975
        Dunkel Line: Calgary by 6 1/2; 50
        Vegas Line: Montreal by 3; 54
        Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+3); Under


        SATURDAY, JULY 13

        Game 125-126: Winnipeg at Hamilton (6:30 p.m. EST)

        Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 107.860; Hamilton 113.386
        Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 5 1/2; 58
        Vegas Line: Hamilton by 3 1/2; 54
        Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-3 1/2); Over

        Game 127-128: BC at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
        Dunkel Ratings: BC 117.660; Edmonton 109.521
        Dunkel Line: BC by 8; 46
        Vegas Line: BC by 3 1/2; 49 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: BC (-3 1/2); Under




        CFL
        Long Sheet


        Week 3

        Thursday, July 11

        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SASKATCHEWAN (2 - 0) at TORONTO (1 - 1) - 7/11/2013, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SASKATCHEWAN is 111-73 ATS (+30.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
        SASKATCHEWAN is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in dome games since 1996.
        SASKATCHEWAN is 46-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) in July games since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
        TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Friday, July 12

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CALGARY (1 - 1) at MONTREAL (1 - 1) - 7/12/2013, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CALGARY is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CALGARY is 4-0 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
        CALGARY is 3-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Saturday, July 13

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        WINNIPEG (1 - 1) at HAMILTON (0 - 2) - 7/13/2013, 6:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WINNIPEG is 5-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
        WINNIPEG is 6-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 1) at EDMONTON (1 - 1) - 7/13/2013, 9:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
        BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        CFL
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Week 3


        Saskatchewan (2-0) @ Toronto (1-1)-- Road teams won 10 of last 14 series games, with Riders winning six of last seven visits to Rogers Centre; underdogs are 6-3-1 vs spread in last ten series games, 5-3 in last eight played here. Riders ran ball for 144-151 yards in winning first two games, took ball away five times (+5) in wins by 21-15 points, scoring 34-36 points in wins over divisional rivals. Toronto split its first two games, winning 39-34 in only home game after they trailed by 6 at half; Argos allowed 160 rushing yards last week in Vancouver, a red flag. Five of last six series games stayed under the total.

        Calgary (1-1) @ Montreal (1-1)-- Stampeders lost three of four visits here since winning Grey Cup in Montreal in 2008; they lost here 33-32 (+7) LY, snapping three-game win streak vs Alouettes. Calgary has been hit hard by flooding, so life hasn't been normal for Stampeder players; they allowed 34 ppg in first two games, getting outscored 48-13 after halftime. Montreal split its first two games, both vs Winnipeg; Calvillo had one of worst days of his excellent career last week, getting sacked seven times and passing for only 121 yards. Six of last seven series games went over the total.

        Winnipeg (1-1) @ Hamilton (0-2)-- Blue Bombers won six of last seven series games, as seven of last ten series games stayed under total; Winnipeg was 3-4 in last seven visits to Hamilton. Winnipeg split its first two games this year despite turning ball over nine times (-5); they've got 11 sacks in two games (+3)TiCats allowed 69 points in losing first two games, giving up 149 ypg on ground; they've been outscored 28-10 in second half of their games. Underdogs covered six of last eight series games; dogs are 4-3-1 vs spread in last eight series games played in Hamilton. TiCats are playing in college stadium this season while their new stadium is being built.

        BC Lions (1-1) @ Edmonton (1-1)-- Lions won six of last seven games against Eskimos, winning five of last six visits here (won 19-18 here LY); under is 7-4 in last eleven series games. Underdogs covered six of last eight series games played here. Both teams are off to 1-1 start; Lions were down 31-6 at half in only road game, at Calgary. Eskimos won on rainy field on road vs TiCats last week, running ball for 177 yards, after losing at home to Roughriders week before; they've turned ball over five times (-2) in two games. Home underdogs are 0-2 so far this season; five of eight games went over.




        CFL

        Week 3


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Thursday, July 11

        7:30 PM
        SASKATCHEWAN vs. TORONTO
        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Saskatchewan's last 13 games when playing on the road against Toronto
        The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Saskatchewan's last 23 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games
        Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Saskatchewan


        Friday, July 12

        7:30 PM
        CALGARY vs. MONTREAL
        Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing Montreal
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Calgary
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games at home


        Saturday, July 13

        6:30 PM
        WINNIPEG vs. HAMILTON
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
        Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Hamilton
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
        Hamilton is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg

        9:30 PM
        BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. EDMONTON
        British Columbia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
        Edmonton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing British Columbia
        Edmonton is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing British Columbia


        -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        CFL

        Week 3


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Roughriders at Argos: What bettors need to know
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Saskatchewan Roughriders at Toronto Argonauts (-1.5, 53)

        After two weeks of regular-season action, the Saskatchewan Roughriders are the only team in the CFL without a loss. The Roughriders look to extend their hot start Thursday when they visit the defending Grey Cup champion Toronto Argonauts. After winning their home opener, the Argonauts dropped a road decision to the BC Lions in Week 2 and will need to recover quickly if they hope to contain Saskatchewan’s potent offense.

        The Roughriders lead the league with 75 points through two weeks - 10 more than the second-place Calgary Stampeders, who lost 36-21 at Saskatchewan in Week 2. Saskatchewan’s defense, which has allowed a league-low 39 points, held Calgary running back Jon Cornish to 50 yards on eight carries. Those are concerning numbers for Toronto, especially for running back Chad Kackert, who was limited to 20 yards on eight carries against BC.

        TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TSN

        ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (2-0): RB Kory Sheets leads the league with 264 rushing yards and 292 total yards from scrimmage. Sheets, who ran for 133 yards and one touchdown against Calgary, is the catalyst in Saskatchewan’s offense, attracting the attention of opposing defenses and opening the field for quarterback Darian Durant to connect with slot backs Chris Getzlaf and Weston Dressler. In two games, Getzlaf has already matched his touchdown total from last season (two) and looks poised to eclipse his career mark of 10 set in the 2011 season.

        ABOUT THE ARGONAUTS (1-1): QB Ricky Ray is off to an excellent start, completing 71.2 percent of his passes for 583 yards, four touchdowns and a career-high 113 passer rating. Ray’s favourite target - slot back Chad Owens - leads the league with 206 receiving yards. Ray and Owens will need to take advantage of the Roughriders’ mediocre pass defense (601 yards allowed) if Toronto wants to keep pace with Saskatchewan’s potent offense. Linebackers Robert McCune and Marcus Ball are setting the tone on defense with 14 and 12 tackles, respectively, while defensive back Jamie Robinson has 11.

        TRENDS:

        * The Argonauts are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.
        * The Roughriders are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine road games.
        * The under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Toronto.
        * The Roughriders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings in Toronto.

        EXTRA POINTS:

        1. Saskatchewan SB Geroy Simon - the league’s all-time receiving yards leader - has yet to make his debut with the Roughriders after missing the first two games with a leg injury. He remains day-to-day.

        2. Owens, named CFL's Most Outstanding Player last year after setting a professional football record in total yards, has 434 combined yards to start this season.

        3. Veteran Argonauts K Noel Prefontaine performed admirably in his season debut replacing the injured Swayze Waters in Week 2, finishing 3-for-3 in field goal attempts. Prefontaine has recorded 1,558 points in his CFL career.


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          WNBA
          Dunkel


          Los Angeles at Tulsa
          The Shock look to take advantage of a Los Angeles team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 road games. Tulsa is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

          THURSDAY, JULY 11

          Game 651-652: Minnesota at Indiana (12:00 p.m. EST)

          Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 118.861; Indiana 110.102
          Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 9; 144
          Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 149 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-4 1/2); Under

          Game 653-654: Los Angeles at Tulsa (9:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 113.229; Tulsa 113.665
          Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 170
          Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 7 1/2; 163 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (+7 1/2); Over




          WNBA
          Long Sheet

          Thursday, July 11


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MINNESOTA (9 - 3) at INDIANA (4 - 7) - 7/11/2013, 12:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MINNESOTA is 62-88 ATS (-34.8 Units) in July games since 1997.
          INDIANA is 86-124 ATS (-50.4 Units) as an underdog since 1997.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          INDIANA is 4-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
          INDIANA is 4-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          LOS ANGELES (8 - 4) at TULSA (3 - 11) - 7/11/2013, 9:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          LOS ANGELES is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
          LOS ANGELES is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 3 seasons.
          LOS ANGELES is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1997.
          LOS ANGELES is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
          LOS ANGELES is 27-47 ATS (-24.7 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1997.
          LOS ANGELES is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
          TULSA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          TULSA is 8-0 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
          LOS ANGELES is 7-3 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




          WNBA

          Thursday, July 11


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          12:00 PM
          MINNESOTA vs. INDIANA
          The total has gone OVER in 11 of Minnesota's last 16 games when playing Indiana
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
          Indiana is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games at home
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games at home

          9:00 PM
          LOS ANGELES vs. TULSA
          Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tulsa
          Los Angeles is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tulsa
          Tulsa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tulsa's last 12 games at home


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB
            Dunkel


            Cincinnati at Atlanta
            The Reds look to build on their 8-1 record in Mat Latos' last 9 starts in Game 1 of a series. Cincinnati is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Reds favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

            THURSDAY, JULY 11

            Game 951-952: Washington at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)

            Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 16.599; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.136
            Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 9
            Vegas Line: Washington (-140); 8
            Dunkel Pick: Washington (-140); Over

            Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Latos) 16.929; Atlanta (Hudson) 15.875
            Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 6
            Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 7 1/2
            Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+105); Under

            Game 955-956: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Westbrook) 17.079; Cubs (Jackson) 15.474
            Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 9
            Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); No Run Total
            Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); N/A

            Game 957-958: Milwaukee at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.960; Arizona (Miley) 13.824
            Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8
            Vegas Line: Arizona (-150); 9
            Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+130); Under

            Game 959-960: San Francisco at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 13.116; San Diego (Marquis) 13.987
            Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8
            Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 7
            Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+120); Over

            Game 961-962: Colorado at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Pomeranz) 13.269; LA Dodgers (Capuano) 16.779
            Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 3 1/2; 7
            Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-160); 8
            Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-160); Under

            Game 963-964: Toronto at Cleveland (12:05 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 14.945; Cleveland (Salazar) 16.186
            Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8
            Vegas Line: Toronto (-130); 9
            Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+110); Under

            Game 965-966: Minnesota at Tampa Bay (12:10 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pelfrey) 13.873; Tampa Bay (Moore) 16.282
            Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 9
            Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-200); 8
            Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-200); Over

            Game 967-968: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 14.936; Detroit (Sanchez) 16.557
            Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 8
            Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 7 1/2
            Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-160); Over

            Game 969-970: Kansas City at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Santana) 16.195; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.366
            Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8
            Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-135); 8 1/2
            Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); Under

            Game 971-972: Boston at Seattle (3:40 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Dempster) 16.357; Seattle (Ramirez) 14.633
            Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 10
            Vegas Line: Boston (-140); 8 1/2
            Dunkel Pick: Boston (-140); Over

            Game 973-974: Texas at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Wolf) 14.816; Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.923
            Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 7
            Vegas Line: Texas (-130); 8
            Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+110); Under

            Comment


            • #7
              MLB
              Short Sheet

              Thursday, July 11


              National League

              Washington at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET

              Zimmermann: Over is 7-3 in Zimmermann's last 10 road starts
              Kendrick: Over is 9-1 in Kendrick's last 10 home starts

              Cincinnati at Atlanta, 7:10 ET MLB
              Latos: Over is 7-3 when Latos starts on the road in 2013
              Hudson: Braves 8-0 SU when Hudson has started at home in 2013

              St. Louis at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 ET
              Westbrook: Over is 6-1 in Westbrook's road starts in 2013
              Jackson: Cubs 2-6 SU when Jackson starts at Wrigley Field

              Milwaukee at Arizona, 9:40 ET
              Gallardo: Brewers 0-4 SU in last four openers to a road series
              Miley: Over is 5-1 in Miley's home starts in 2013

              San Francisco at San Diego, 10:10 ET
              Bumgarner: Under is 7-3 in Bumgarner's last 10 road starts
              Marquis:Padres 8-1 SU in Marquis' last nine starts at Petco Park

              Colorado at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10 ET
              Pomeranz: Rockies 5-19 SU when facing southpaw on the road since last September
              Capuano: Over is 9-3 in last 12 Capuano starts at Dodger Stadium


              American League

              Toronto at Cleveland, 12:05 ET

              Buehrle: Blue Jays 15-2 SU as road favorite during day games last three years
              Salazar: Over is 6-2 in last eight Indians games as an underdog

              Minnesota at Tampa Bay, 12:10 ET
              Pelfrey: Twins 2-10 SU when more than a +200 underdog since 2010
              Moore: Under is 15-4 since 2008 when Rays are more than a -200 favorite during the day

              Chicago White Sox at Detroit, 1:08 ET MLB
              Sale: Under is 5-1 in 2013 when Sale starts a day game
              Sanchez: Tigers 7-0 SU last seven times they've been favorites of more than -150 during the day

              Kansas City at New York Yankees, 1:05 ET MLB
              Santana: Under is 7-1 when Santana starts during the day for the Royals
              Pettitte: Under is 10-4 when Yankees are playing final game of a home series in 2013

              Boston at Seattle, 3:40 ET
              Dempster:Red Sox 6-1 SU last seven times they've been road favorite during a day game
              Ramirez: Mariners 1-5 SU last six day games at Safeco Field

              Texas at Baltimore, 7:05 ET MLB
              Wolf: Under is 6-2-1 this year in game after Rangers score less than three runs
              Gonzalez: Orioles 11-0 last 11 Gonzalez starts at home

              Comment


              • #8
                MLB
                Armadillo's Write-Up

                Thursday, July 11


                Hot pitchers
                -- Zimmerman is 4-0, 3.76 in his last six starts.
                -- Braves are 8-0 when Hudson starts at home (1-1, 2.81 in last four overall).
                -- Jackson is 2-0, 3.09 in his last couple starts.
                -- Miley is 1-0, 0.66 in his last two starts.
                -- Bumgarner is 4-1, 2.83 in his last five starts.

                -- Dickey is 2-0, 0.61 in his last two road starts.
                -- Moore is 4-0, 1.40 in his last four starts. Pelfrey is 1-0, 2.19 in his last two starts on foreign soil.
                -- Sanchez is 3-1, 2.59 in his last five starts.
                -- Gonzalez is 4-1, 2.66 in his last six starts. Wolf won his only '13 start, back on May 22, allowing one run in five IP.

                Cold pitchers
                -- Kendrick is 0-2, 8.18 in his last couple starts.
                -- Latos is 2-2, 4.31 in his last five starts.
                -- Westbrook is 1-2, 8.41 in his last four road starts.
                -- Gallardo is 1-2, 9.00 in his last four starts.
                -- Marquis is 0-2, 7.02 in his last three starts.
                -- Capuano lost his last two home starts, allowing 13 runs in 8.2 IP. Pomeranz lost both '13 starts, allowing nine runs in 8.1 IP.

                -- MLB debut for Salazar, who is 5-5, 3.08 in 17 minor league starts this year, with 100 strikeouts in 76 IP.
                -- Sale is 0-6, 3.65 in his last seven starts; White Sox got shut out in three of the seven games, including the last two.
                -- Pettitte is 1-3, 6.03 in his last five starts. Santana is 0-0, 4.74 in his last three starts.
                -- Dempster is 1-2, 3.45 in his last five starts. Ramirez was 1-3, 3.36 in eight major league starts LY; he is 3-3, 3.09 in seven AAA starts this season.

                Starting Pitchers/First Inning
                You can wager on whether teams will score in the first inning. You're reading ***************.com. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
                -- Zimmerman 2-19; Kendrick 7-18
                -- Latos 7-18; Hudson 3-18
                -- Westbrook 3-11; Jackson 6-18
                -- Gallardo 4-19; Miley 4-18
                -- Bumgarner 1-18; Marquis 5-18
                -- Pomeranz 0-2; Capuano 2-9

                -- Dickey 5-19; Salazar 0-0
                -- Pelfrey 6-15; Moore 6-18
                -- Sale 6-17; Sanchez 2-14
                -- Santana 8-18; Pettitte 5-15
                -- Dempster 6-17; Ramirez 0-0
                -- Wolf 0-1; Gonzalez 5-15

                Totals
                -- Last three Washington games stayed under the total.
                -- Seven of last eight Cincinnati games stayed under.
                -- Five of last seven St Louis games went over the total.
                -- Last four Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
                -- Nine of last thirteen San Francisco games stayed under.
                -- Four of last five Dodger games stayed under the total.

                -- Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Toronto road games.
                -- Six of last eight Tampa Bay home games stayed under.
                -- Seven of last eleven White Sox games stayed under the total.
                -- Under is 4-0-2 in last six Bronx games.
                -- Seven of last eleven Boston games stayed under the total.
                -- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Baltimore games.

                Hot teams
                -- Phillies/Nationals both won five of their last seven games.
                -- Cardinals won six of their last seven games. Cubs are 7-4 in their last 11.
                -- Dodgers won ten of their last twelve games.

                -- Tampa Bay won 11 of its last 12 games.
                -- Tigers won seven of their last nine games.
                -- Kansas City won five of its last eight games.
                -- Red Sox won 11 of their last 15 games.
                -- Rangers won five of their last seven games.

                Cold teams
                -- Reds lost six of their last eight road games. Atlanta is 3-5 in its last eight games overall.
                -- Brewers lost six of their last eight games. Arizona lost its last three games, allowing 19 runs.
                -- Giants lost 13 of their last 15 games; San Diego lost 11 of last 12.
                -- Colorado lost seven of its last ten games.

                -- Indians lost six of last eight games; Toronto is 0-6 in game following its last six wins.
                -- Twins lost ten of their last eleven games.
                -- White Sox lost 11 of their last 14 games.
                -- Bronx lost three of its last four games.
                -- Mariners lost six of their last eight home games.
                -- Orioles lost five of their last seven games.

                Comment


                • #9
                  MLB

                  Thursday, July 11


                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Trend Report
                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  12:05 PM
                  TORONTO vs. CLEVELAND
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
                  The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Toronto's last 13 games on the road
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto
                  Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

                  12:10 PM
                  MINNESOTA vs. TAMPA BAY
                  Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
                  Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games

                  1:05 PM
                  KANSAS CITY vs. NY YANKEES
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
                  Kansas City is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games at home
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games

                  1:08 PM
                  CHI WHITE SOX vs. DETROIT
                  Chi White Sox are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Detroit
                  The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 11 games on the road
                  The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games at home
                  Detroit is 10-3 SU in their last 13 games when playing Chi White Sox

                  3:40 PM
                  BOSTON vs. SEATTLE
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
                  Boston is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games at home

                  7:05 PM
                  WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
                  Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
                  Washington is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
                  Philadelphia is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home

                  7:05 PM
                  TEXAS vs. BALTIMORE
                  Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                  Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
                  Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 8 of Baltimore's last 12 games when playing Texas

                  7:10 PM
                  CINCINNATI vs. ATLANTA
                  The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games
                  Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 15 of Atlanta's last 23 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games

                  8:05 PM
                  ST. LOUIS vs. CHI CUBS
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games on the road
                  St. Louis is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
                  Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing St. Louis
                  Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home

                  9:40 PM
                  MILWAUKEE vs. ARIZONA
                  Milwaukee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Arizona
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
                  Arizona is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Milwaukee

                  10:10 PM
                  SAN FRANCISCO vs. SAN DIEGO
                  The total has gone OVER in 17 of San Francisco's last 20 games when playing on the road against San Diego
                  San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games at home
                  The total has gone OVER in 17 of San Diego's last 20 games when playing at home against San Francisco

                  10:10 PM
                  COLORADO vs. LA DODGERS
                  The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Colorado's last 14 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
                  LA Dodgers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home
                  The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 11 games at home


                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    MLB
                    Long Sheet

                    Thursday, July 11


                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    WASHINGTON (47 - 44) at PHILADELPHIA (45 - 47) - 7:05 PM
                    JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) vs. KYLE KENDRICK (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    WASHINGTON is 4-15 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 363-326 (+49.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
                    KENDRICK is 62-42 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
                    WASHINGTON is 87-63 (+25.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
                    WASHINGTON is 21-7 (+11.8 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.
                    WASHINGTON is 23-8 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
                    WASHINGTON is 97-68 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
                    ZIMMERMANN is 15-3 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
                    ZIMMERMANN is 15-3 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
                    ZIMMERMANN is 12-1 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
                    ZIMMERMANN is 20-5 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    PHILADELPHIA is 126-128 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 63-61 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 126-125 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 59-66 (-16.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 32-43 (-22.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 (+1.3 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
                    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

                    JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
                    ZIMMERMANN is 2-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.62 and a WHIP of 1.513.
                    His team's record is 2-5 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.7 units)

                    KYLE KENDRICK vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
                    KENDRICK is 4-6 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.390.
                    His team's record is 8-10 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-8. (+1.6 units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    CINCINNATI (51 - 40) at ATLANTA (52 - 39) - 7:10 PM
                    MAT LATOS (R) vs. TIM HUDSON (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    ATLANTA is 67-50 (+16.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                    HUDSON is 267-165 (+45.0 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
                    HUDSON is 154-67 (+47.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
                    HUDSON is 45-18 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
                    HUDSON is 255-153 (+49.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
                    HUDSON is 67-27 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
                    CINCINNATI is 150-108 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    CINCINNATI is 636-709 (+55.5 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
                    CINCINNATI is 150-108 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                    CINCINNATI is 415-459 (+37.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
                    CINCINNATI is 459-512 (+43.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
                    CINCINNATI is 319-332 (+47.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    ATLANTA is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
                    3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

                    MAT LATOS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
                    LATOS is 3-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.118.
                    His team's record is 4-2 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

                    TIM HUDSON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
                    HUDSON is 4-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.216.
                    His team's record is 5-2 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    ST LOUIS (55 - 34) at CHICAGO CUBS (40 - 49) - 8:05 PM
                    JAKE WESTBROOK (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    ST LOUIS is 74-93 (-31.3 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 20-14 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
                    ST LOUIS is 47-22 (+18.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 101-150 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 692-659 (-151.4 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 44-76 (-21.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 101-150 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 45-78 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 943-1041 (-185.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 135-173 (-54.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
                    JACKSON is 18-31 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    JACKSON is 4-17 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    JACKSON is 17-31 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    JACKSON is 6-16 (-10.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    ST LOUIS is 4-2 (+0.6 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
                    5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

                    JAKE WESTBROOK vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
                    WESTBROOK is 6-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.328.
                    His team's record is 7-3 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-2. (+4.9 units)

                    EDWIN JACKSON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
                    JACKSON is 1-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.12 and a WHIP of 1.555.
                    His team's record is 2-6 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-5. (-3.6 units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    MILWAUKEE (37 - 53) at ARIZONA (47 - 44) - 9:40 PM
                    YOVANI GALLARDO (R) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    MILWAUKEE is 37-53 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    MILWAUKEE is 4-13 (-11.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
                    MILWAUKEE is 49-74 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                    MILWAUKEE is 5-16 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
                    MILWAUKEE is 37-53 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    MILWAUKEE is 9-22 (-14.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
                    ARIZONA is 153-126 (+24.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
                    MILWAUKEE is 27-18 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                    ARIZONA is 43-47 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
                    ARIZONA is 26-33 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    ARIZONA is 3-0 (+3.2 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
                    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

                    YOVANI GALLARDO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
                    GALLARDO is 7-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.55 and a WHIP of 1.063.
                    His team's record is 9-1 (+8.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-7. (-4.3 units)

                    WADE MILEY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
                    MILEY is 2-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 6.89 and a WHIP of 1.595.
                    His team's record is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    SAN FRANCISCO (40 - 50) at SAN DIEGO (41 - 51) - 10:10 PM
                    MADISON BUMGARNER (L) vs. JASON MARQUIS (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 40-50 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 15-30 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 (-8.7 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 40-48 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 21-32 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 27-34 (-13.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 18-30 (-16.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 14-27 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                    SAN DIEGO is 68-59 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAN DIEGO is 68-59 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                    MARQUIS is 36-27 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    MARQUIS is 16-6 (+11.7 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
                    MARQUIS is 15-9 (+11.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    MARQUIS is 36-27 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    MARQUIS is 22-16 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 69-46 (+18.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                    MARQUIS is 38-48 (-29.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 5-4 (+0.7 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
                    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

                    MADISON BUMGARNER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
                    BUMGARNER is 5-3 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.45 and a WHIP of 1.174.
                    His team's record is 10-4 (+5.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.5 units)

                    JASON MARQUIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
                    MARQUIS is 7-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.069.
                    His team's record is 10-5 (+6.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-6. (+1.3 units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    COLORADO (44 - 48) at LA DODGERS (45 - 45) - 10:10 PM
                    DREW POMERANZ (L) vs. CHRIS CAPUANO (L)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    COLORADO is 181-237 (-57.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                    COLORADO is 138-241 (-52.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997.
                    COLORADO is 68-148 (-64.1 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997.
                    COLORADO is 2-8 (-8.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
                    COLORADO is 181-234 (-54.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
                    COLORADO is 28-57 (-28.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
                    LA DODGERS are 8-13 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
                    LA DODGERS are 52-50 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
                    CAPUANO is 42-54 (-22.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
                    CAPUANO is 19-30 (-16.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    COLORADO is 5-4 (+1.6 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
                    7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.9 Units)

                    DREW POMERANZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
                    POMERANZ is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.363.
                    His team's record is 2-1 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

                    CHRIS CAPUANO vs. COLORADO since 1997
                    CAPUANO is 5-9 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.29 and a WHIP of 1.300.
                    His team's record is 5-10 (-7.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-7. (+0.2 units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    TORONTO (44 - 46) at CLEVELAND (47 - 44) - 12:05 PM
                    R.A. DICKEY (R) vs. DANNY SALAZAR (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    TORONTO is 70-78 (-35.7 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
                    CLEVELAND is 47-44 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    CLEVELAND is 44-41 (+6.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    CLEVELAND is 83-61 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
                    CLEVELAND is 22-13 (+8.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                    TORONTO is 25-14 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
                    DICKEY is 19-7 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    CLEVELAND is 111-120 (-37.9 Units) against the money line in home games in July games since 1997.
                    CLEVELAND is 9-24 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    CLEVELAND is 3-2 (+1.9 Units) against TORONTO this season
                    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

                    R.A. DICKEY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
                    DICKEY is 2-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.325.
                    His team's record is 3-1 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

                    DANNY SALAZAR vs. TORONTO since 1997
                    No recent starts.

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    MINNESOTA (37 - 51) at TAMPA BAY (52 - 40) - 12:10 PM
                    MIKE PELFREY (R) vs. MATT MOORE (L)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    MINNESOTA is 69-115 (-34.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
                    MINNESOTA is 30-61 (-23.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
                    MINNESOTA is 13-32 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                    TAMPA BAY is 111-75 (+26.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
                    TAMPA BAY is 101-57 (+28.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
                    MOORE is 14-4 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
                    MINNESOTA is 19-16 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    TAMPA BAY is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
                    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

                    MIKE PELFREY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
                    PELFREY is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.600.
                    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

                    MATT MOORE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
                    MOORE is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.738.
                    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    CHI WHITE SOX (35 - 53) at DETROIT (50 - 40) - 1:05 PM
                    CHRIS SALE (L) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    CHI WHITE SOX are 35-53 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    CHI WHITE SOX are 16-32 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
                    CHI WHITE SOX are 79-94 (-28.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                    CHI WHITE SOX are 33-48 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    CHI WHITE SOX are 19-33 (-15.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
                    CHI WHITE SOX are 489-498 (+43.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
                    DETROIT is 50-40 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    DETROIT is 18-20 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
                    DETROIT is 46-37 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    DETROIT is 38-39 (-19.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
                    DETROIT is 25-24 (-15.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
                    SANCHEZ is 21-27 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    SANCHEZ is 20-26 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    CHI WHITE SOX is 1-1 (+1.4 Units) against DETROIT this season
                    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

                    CHRIS SALE vs. DETROIT since 1997
                    SALE is 0-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.556.
                    His team's record is 0-3 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

                    ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
                    No recent starts.

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                    KANSAS CITY (43 - 45) at NY YANKEES (49 - 42) - 1:05 PM
                    ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. ANDY PETTITTE (L)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    NY YANKEES are 96-49 (+34.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
                    KANSAS CITY is 16-8 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
                    KANSAS CITY is 62-66 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                    SANTANA is 40-24 (+17.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    NY YANKEES is 4-2 (+1.8 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
                    4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

                    ERVIN SANTANA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
                    SANTANA is 5-7 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.89 and a WHIP of 1.545.
                    His team's record is 6-9 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-7. (+0.5 units)

                    ANDY PETTITTE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
                    PETTITTE is 11-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.270.
                    His team's record is 14-5 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-10. (-1.3 units)

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                    BOSTON (56 - 37) at SEATTLE (40 - 51) - 3:40 PM
                    RYAN DEMPSTER (R) vs. ERASMO RAMIREZ (L)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    BOSTON is 107-118 (-34.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                    DEMPSTER is 15-24 (-12.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    BOSTON is 56-37 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    BOSTON is 23-12 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
                    DEMPSTER is 62-49 (+16.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    BOSTON is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against SEATTLE this season
                    3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

                    RYAN DEMPSTER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
                    DEMPSTER is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 0.954.
                    His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

                    ERASMO RAMIREZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
                    RAMIREZ is 0-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.000.
                    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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                    TEXAS (53 - 38) at BALTIMORE (50 - 42) - 7:05 PM
                    YU DARVISH (R) vs. MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    BALTIMORE is 50-42 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    BALTIMORE is 56-42 (+19.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
                    BALTIMORE is 25-14 (+13.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
                    BALTIMORE is 74-54 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
                    BALTIMORE is 20-9 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
                    BALTIMORE is 45-34 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    BALTIMORE is 34-25 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                    BALTIMORE is 36-28 (+8.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                    BALTIMORE is 76-69 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
                    BALTIMORE is 31-20 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                    GONZALEZ is 20-11 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    GONZALEZ is 7-0 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
                    GONZALEZ is 7-0 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
                    GONZALEZ is 16-7 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    TEXAS is 113-64 (+31.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
                    TEXAS is 22-11 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    TEXAS is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
                    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

                    YU DARVISH vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
                    DARVISH is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 0.750.
                    His team's record is 0-1 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

                    MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. TEXAS since 1997
                    GONZALEZ is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 2.200.
                    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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                    Comment


                    • #11
                      MLB

                      Thursday, July 11


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                      Thursday's American League betting notes and tips
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                      Toronto Blue Jays at Cleveland Indians (+118, 9)

                      Cold pitcher: Jays starter R.A. Dickey allowed six earned runs in seven innings of work versus the Minnesota Twins his last time out.

                      Cold bat: Cleveland's Mark Reynolds is 0-for-8 in his career against Dickey.

                      Weather: Temperatures in the low-70s and mostly sunny skies. Winds will blow in from left field at 11.

                      Key betting stat: The over is 7-0 in Dickey's last seven starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.


                      Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays (-205, 8)

                      Hot pitcher: Rays starter Matt Moore has won his last four starts and has posted a 1.40 ERA in those appearances.

                      Cold batter: Rays star Evan Longoria has just one hit in eight ABs against Minnesota pitching this season.

                      Weather: Dome.

                      Key betting stat: The Rays are 12-3 in Moore's last 15 starts as a favorite.


                      Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees (-132, 8.5)

                      Cold pitcher: Royals starter Ervin Santana carries a career 7.71 ERA at the new Yankee Stadium into his start Thursday.

                      Hot batter: Royals slugger Billy Butler has four extra base hits in 16 career at bats versus Yankee starter Andy Pettitte.

                      Weather: Temperatures in the mid-80s and a 60 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to left field at six mph.

                      Key betting stat: The under is 9-1 in Santana's last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.


                      Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers (-161, 7.5)

                      Cold pitcher: The White Sox have lost six of SP Chris Sale's last seven starts overall this season.

                      Batter: Tigers slugger Miguel Cabrera is just 1-for-11 in his career versus Sale.

                      Weather: Mostly sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Wind will blow out to center field at 10 mph.

                      Key betting stat: The under is 16-5 in Sale's last 21 road starts.


                      Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners (+125, 8.5)

                      Hot pitcher: Sox starter Ryan Dempster has surrendered three or less earned runs in his last eight starts.

                      Cold batter: Seattle's Jason Bay is 2-for-26 (.125) in his career versus Dempster.

                      Weather: Roof may be open for the game with temperatures in the high-60s and sunny skies.

                      Key betting stat: The Mariners are 0-7 in their last seven games with umpire Jeff Nelson calling balls and strikes behind home plate.


                      Texas Rangers at Baltimore Orioles (+117, NA)

                      Hot pitcher: O's starter Miguel Gonzalez is tied for the team lead in quality starts with 11 this season.

                      Cold batter: O's slugger Chris Davis is 0-for-10 against Texas thus far this season. The Rangers are the only team he has yet to record a hit against.

                      Weather: Temperatures in the high-80s and a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow from left to right at five mph.

                      Key betting stat: The over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Baltimore.


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