The Bum's July's MLB POD'S-Stats-News

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Friday's National League betting notes and tips

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on Friday's National League games:

Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals (-152, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Nats starter Stephen Strasburg was torched for seven runs on five hits and four walks over two innings of work in an 8-3 loss to the Miami Marlins his last time out.

Cold batting stat: Nats SS Ian Desmond is just 3-for-16 with six strikeouts in his career versus Dodgers SP Ricky Nolasco.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-80s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 10 mph.

Key betting note: The Dodgers are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.


Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets (-117, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Phils starter Kyle Kendrick is 2-0 with a 1.20 ERA in two starts versus the Mets this season.

Hot batting stat: Phillies rookie Domonic Brown is 4-for-4 with one homer and five RBIs versus Hefner.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-80s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: The Mets are 1-6 in SP Jeremy Hefner's last seven starts vs. National League East.


Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds (-114, 8)

Hot pitching stat: The Pirates have won SP Francisco Liriano's last four starts.

Cold batting stat: Pirates OF Andrew McCutchen is hitting just .211 (8-for-38) in his career against Reds SP Mike Leake.

Weather: Temperatures in the low-80s and clear skies. Winds will blow from right field to left field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The under is 19-7-5 in the last 31 meetings.


Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers (-142, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Brewers starter Kyle Lohse is 3-0 in his last three home starts.

Hot batting stat: Marlins IF Placido Polanco is 11-for-31 (.355) in his career versus Lohse.

Weather: Retractable roof could be closed due to a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Key betting note: The under is 7-1 in the Brewers' last eight games overall.


San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals (-170, 9)

Cold pitching stat: The Padres are 0-4 in SP Jason Marquis' last four starts.

Cold batting stat: San Diego OF Carlos Quentin is 2-for-14 (.143) in his career versus Cards' SP Jake Westbrook.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-80s and clear skies. Winds will blow out to left field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: The Padres are 0-8 in their last eight vs. a team with a winning record.


Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies (-141, 9)

Hot pitching stat: The Rockies are 4-0 in SP Jorge De La Rosa's last four starts vs. National League Central foes.

Hot batting stat: Cubs OF Alfonso Soriano has blasted seven of his 16 home runs this season in July.

Weather: Temperatures in the mid-70s and a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms. Winds will blow from right field to left field at 6 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in Colorado.


Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants (-118, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: The Diamondbacks have lost seven of SP Ian Kennedy's last nine outings.

Hot batting stat: Giants 1B Brandon Belt has four home runs against Arizona this season. He does not have more than one homer against any other team.

Weather: Temperatures in the high-50s and clear skies. Winds will blow out to center field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: The over is 13-3 in the Diamondbacks' last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

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Four adjustments MLB bettors must make in the second half of the season

Editor's note: This article was originally published in July 2012. It has been edited to reflect the 2013 MLB season.

Major League Baseball is back on the diamond Friday, kicking off the post-All-Star break schedule with players and managers refreshed and refocused on the second half of the season.

Unlike the pre-break slate, the final three months of the MLB calendar throws a lot more outside factors into the mix when it comes to capping baseball on a daily basis. The temperatures are higher along with the stakes, as the playoff picture starts to take shape.

Any MLB bettor who thinks they can turn a profit in August with the same theories and tactics used in June may want to thumb through Charles Darwin's "The Origin of Species".

It's survival of the fittest in the second half of the baseball schedule and some of Covers Experts’ brightest minds explain the biggest adjustments MLB capper must make when betting the back half of the slate:

Pitchers and bullpens

The late-summer months can be devastating to a pitcher, even those that excelled in the first chunk of the season.

Standing alone on the mound with the sun sapping your energy is tough enough, but add in the pressure of starring down big-league bats with the game on the line and it’s amazing that these arms don’t melt like a Popsicle.

“I'll look to fade pitchers that have already surpassed their career highs in terms of innings pitched and have shown signs of wearing down,” says Covers Expert Sean Murphy. “A lot of young pitchers aren't used to the long haul that is the MLB season and tend to tail off down the stretch.”

With starters wearing down and resting up for the postseason push, bullpens become even more important down the home stretch of the season. Relief pitchers can also feel the heat before the expanded 40-man rosters provide some extra options in the later innings.

“(Some teams are) in playoff contention right now, despite continued bullpen struggles in the first half,” notes handicapper Teddy Covers. “They'll all be priced like contenders in the second half but without bullpen reinforcements, they're all in danger of dropping out of the race. Over bettors love, love, love struggling bullpens.”

Weather

When the mercury rises, so do the scores. That’s the general consensus among baseball bettors. On top of tired pitchers, certain hurlers can fall victim to the heat and humidity more than others.

Fly-ball pitchers like Oakland's Tommy Milone and the San Francisco's Matt Cain have pop-ups, which would have stayed in play in May, soar over the fence in August and September. Sinkerballers and ground-ball arms are not as susceptible to the effects of the humidity.

Bettors can also note cooler-climate clubs coming to play in hot-weather environments. Minnesota may find itself gassed for the series finale after a scorching set in Arlington or Los Angeles, giving extra value to the host side.

Odds

Books and bettors have a good idea of what they’re working with when it comes to baseball teams at the break. And for that reason, the moneyline prices see a major hike when a contender takes on a team outside of the playoff picture.

It’s no shocker to see the New York Yankees listed at -300 or higher versus a club like the Houston Astros come September. Betting on those big faves is a high-risk, low-reward wager but looking at the other side is a nice way to build your bankroll late in the year.

“There are times where I'll pull the trigger on a +250 dog that I wouldn't have bet at a +200 price point in the first half,” says Teddy Covers.

He keeps a close eye out for what he calls “September morph” teams, bad clubs that suddenly show life at the end of the season and good teams that stumble toward the finish line.

Last year, bettors would have been bit hard following the Boston Red Sox or Pittsburgh Pirates in the second half of the season (combined -48.86 units) but would have made a small mint cashing in on the late play of the Oakland A's and the Baltimore Orioles (combined +48.86 units).

What goes up…

Some baseball bettors would prefer to have their last three months of memory wiped clean when capping the post-break schedule. Facts and figures that have stood strong and true until mid-July now hold about as much weight as Paris Hilton’s bra.

Covers Expert Marc Lawrence says the most notable changes come from the biggest anomalies, like the Giants' losing record of the Nationals' poor first half. Even key players, who struggled in the first half of the slate are big enough impact players that their second-half turnarounds can carry a team back to prominence and provide plenty of value not just on moneyline odds but also MLB futures as well.

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MLB Top 5: Baseball's best bets after the All-Star break

The real baseball season begins after the All-Star break, with teams rounding the bend in the playoff race.

The Oakland Athletics have actually earned the most units for baseball bettors following the All-Star Game over the past five seasons at +31.85 units. However, +30.40 of those earnings came last summer when the A’s went 51-25 in the second half of the schedule. Before 2012, Oakland was 135-150 for just +1.45 units after the break.

We look at which teams have consistently been breadwinners during the home stretch of the season.

Stats as of 2008.

Best post-break bets

Philadelphia Phillies (224-139, +30.77 units)

The Phillies have been in the black following the break in each of the past five seasons, including earning +8.62 units in 2012. Philadelphia’s biggest windfall came from a 50-25 record in 2010 which earned +15.60 units. The Phillies could be tuning up for another post-break bonanza, going 7-3 in their last 10 outings as of Friday.

Milwaukee Brewers (200-161, +26.54 units)

The Brew Crew have funded plenty of late-summer beer funds with their winnings following the break. Milwaukee went 47-23 and won +19.42 units in 2011. Those profits seem like a lifetime away for Brewers bettors, who have suffered through a 37-54 record and a MLB-worst -18.00 units in the first half of this season heading into the weekend.

San Francisco Giants (198-163, +19.95 units)

The Giants caught fire in the second half of the schedule and rode that to a World Series title last year. They posted a 48-28 mark after the break and brought in +15.10 units for Bay Area bettors. It’s been hit or miss for San Francisco backers in the second half of the schedule the past few years. The team was -12.31 units in the hole following the break in 2011 but won +12.81 units in the home stretch of 2010.

Tampa Bay Rays (207-156, +17.36 units)

The Rays have been one of the most consistent winners of the post-ASG schedule since 2008, posting the third-best win/loss record and earning the fifth-most units. Tampa Bay was a cash cow in the summer of 2008, going 42-26 and bringing home +15.22 units en route to the AL Pennant.

Baltimore Orioles (164-202, +14.92 units)

The Orioles have been one of the better post-break bets over the past three seasons, earning +49.13 units between 2010 and 2012 with a collective 118-107 record. However, Baltimore dug a deep hole for its loyal fans after the ASG in 2008 and 2009, burning through -18.93 and -15.28 units respectively – both ranked second worst in the majors for that season.

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MLB Top 5: Baseball's worst bets after the All-Star break

Teams like the Houston Astros and Miami Marlins constantly carry a red flag for MLB bettors, especially after the All-Star break when a season’s worth of losing weighs on players and managers the most.

Surprisingly though, basement clubs like the Astros and Marlins aren’t the worst bets in baseball during the second half of the schedule. That honor goes to these five teams:

Record from 2008-2012.

Worst post-break bets

Pittsburgh Pirates (130-234, -78.30 units)

Screw the “Ides of March”. Pittsburgh backers better beware the Ides of July. The Pirates have become notorious for their post-break nose dives in recent years, including a 31-46 record and -21.45 units in 2012. Will it happen again in 2013? The Pirates enter the break as the top money winner, earning +23.50 units so far this summer.

New York Mets (156-207, -55.56 units)

Mets fans can celebrate hosting the All-Star Game this week but after that, they have very little to cheer for. New York bettors have been in the deep red following the break in each of the past five seasons. The Mets, who are already more than seven units in the hole this season, burned through -22.30 units with a 28-48 record in the second half of 2012.

Boston Red Sox (178-183, -47.87 units)

When you’re a high-profile ball club like the Red Sox, those losses cost extra. Boston did the bulk of that damage in 2012, finishing the post-break schedule at 26-50 and eating up -27.41 units – the most in the majors. The year before that, the BoSox went 35-37 and lost -17.46 units. Boston enters the second half of the season up +12.17 units – third most in baseball.

Seattle Mariners (152-209, -30.55 units)

Life in the American League West is tough. With rivals like the Rangers, Angels and Athletics usually picking up speed before the playoffs, the Mariners are left in their wake. Seattle was actually among the breadwinners after the break in 2012, pocketing +11.68 units, but thrashed their backers for -17.26 units in 2011 and -16.79 units in 2010.

Colorado Rockies (175-187, -25.01 units)

That magical second-half march in 2007 is a distant memory for Rockies bettors, whose wallets are about as thin as the air at Coors Field. Colorado went 31-46 and lost -3.76 units last summer, which are small potatoes compared to the -27.21 units the Rockies lost the two previous seasons. Colorado is in the middle of the NL West, down -4.95 units, but anything can happen in that ugly division.

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MLB Top 4: Best over/under bets after the break

Betting totals in the second half of the MLB schedule can be tricky. The summer heat can turn deep flys into home runs while playoff contenders sharpen their staff down the stretch, keeping runs at a minimum.

These four clubs, however, have proved to be profitable for the over or the under after the All-Star break over the past five seasons:

Records from 2008-2012.

Best post-break over bets

Minnesota Twins (185-157-24 over/under)

The Twins have leaned toward the over since opening the doors to Target Field back in 2010, owning a 113-99-12 over/under mark in those three full seasons. Minnesota is 41-49-2 over/under at the break, with a 23-21 O/U mark at home.

San Diego Padres (184-163-10 over/under)

San Diego’s pitching woes have been a blessing to over bettors the past two seasons. The Padres went 40-27-3 over/under after the break in 2011 and 42-32-1 over/under in the post-ASG schedule last summer. San Diego continues to cough up runs – ranked 25th in ERA – and is currently the top over bet in the National League at the break.

Best post-break under bets

Tampa Bay Rays (157-192-13 over/under)

The Rays have topped the American League in unders after the break the past two seasons, going a collective 59-82-7 over/under. Tampa Bay is accustomed to being in playoff contention down the stretch and its pitching staff has kept opponents in check. The Rays enter the break with a 46-43-7 over/under mark this season.

Philadelphia Phillies (160-188-13 over/under)

The Phillies’ talented staff gets a lot of the glory for Philadelphia’s under success, but the truth is that the bats haven’t been that great in recent seasons. The Phillies went 30-42-3 over/under last summer, hitting .246 and averaging 4.2 runs while boasting a collective 3.37 ERA – fifth best in the majors after the break.

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MLB betting: Scouting the toughest second-half schedules

The All-Star break provides baseball bettors with a chance to reflect on the first half of the season and make adjustments moving forward.

Here are three teams that face the toughest road in the unofficial second half.

Tampa Bay Rays +5.36 units

No team is hotter than the Rays over the past two weeks. Tampa Bay has won 12 of its last 13 games heading into a three-game set with the lowly Houston Astros but it will be tough sledding after the All-Star Break. The Rays will have played a league-high 53 home games by the break, leaving only 28 more contests at The Trop in the second half. Tampa Bay is 21-22 away from home (19-19-5 over/under) and kicks off the back stretch with a 10-game road trip following the All-Star festivities.

New York Yankees +3.31 units

The Yankees have been ravaged by injuries all season long, but sit eight games over .500 heading into their final set of the first half with the Minnesota Twins. The health of captain Derek Jeter remains a concern but Michael Pineda and Alex Rodriguez are on the mend and nearing returns to the lineup. New York plays 37 of its final 67 games away from Yankee Stadium, but that may not be such a bad thing. The Yankees are one of the few teams that boast a winning road record (23-21).

Los Angeles Dodgers -7.68 units

The Dodgers were one of the biggest disappointments in the bigs out of the gate, but Puig-mania has uplifted the squad to wins in 10 of its last 12 games. L.A. is just 1.5 games back of Arizona for the NL West lead heading into action Friday but only has a 22-25 record against divisional opponents. The Dodgers will only play 31 of their final 68 games at home and have a few tough interleague series’ remaining against strong AL East opponents (Blue Jays, Yankees, Red Sox, Rays).

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Top 5 MLB Trends

TB
TOR Over is 9-0-2 in Prices last 11 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

PIT
CIN Under is 8-0 in Pirates last 8 overall.

PIT
CIN Under is 8-0 in Pirates last 8 on grass.

PIT
CIN Under is 6-0-1 in Pirates last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

NYY
BOS Under is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 Friday games.

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Today's MLB Picks

Atlanta at Chicago White Sox

The Braves look to take advantage of a White Sox team that is 1-8 in its last 9 interleague games as an underdog. Atlanta is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Braves favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-130). Here are all of today's picks.


FRIDAY, JULY 19

Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST


Game 951-952: LA Dodgers at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Nolasco) 15.319; Washington (Strasburg) 16.744
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-155); Under


Game 953-954: Philadelphia at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 16.683; NY Mets (Hefner) 15.833
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+100); Over


Game 955-956: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Liriano) 16.692; Cincinnati (Leake) 15.735
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+105); Under


Game 957-958: Miami at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Turner) 14.476; Milwaukee (Lohse) 15.907
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-145); Over


Game 959-960: San Diego at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Marquis) 15.359; St. Louis (Westbrook) 14.789
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+160); Under


Game 961-962: Chicago Cubs at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Samardzija) 14.264; Colorado (De La Rosa) 15.729
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-145); Over


Game 963-964: Arizona at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Kennedy) 14.877; San Francisco (Gaudin) 13.744
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+105); Over


Game 965-966: Tampa Bay at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 16.036; Toronto (Rogers) 14.816
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-140); Under


Game 967-968: NY Yankees at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 14.100; Boston (Doubront) 15.791
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-150); Under


Game 969-970: Baltimore at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 15.565; Texas (Holland) 15.082
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+120); Over


Game 971-972: Cleveland at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kazmir) 15.680; Minnesota (Pelfrey) 16.521
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115); Over


Game 973-974: Detroit at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 15.497; Kansas City (Santana) 14.394
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-135); Under


Game 975-976: Seattle at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Saunders) 14.059; Houston (Norris) 15.028
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+105); Under


Game 977-978: Oakland at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Griffin) 15.027; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.623
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-135); Over


Game 979-980: Atlanta at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hudson) 16.069; White Sox (Danks) 14.461
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-130); Under

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Pro Baseball Trend Report

LA DODGERS (47 - 47) at WASHINGTON (48 - 47) - 7:05 PM
RICKY NOLASCO (R) vs. STEPHEN STRASBURG (R)

Top Trends for this game.

LA DODGERS are 33-35 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 150-125 (+23.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 18-10 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NOLASCO is 21-13 (+15.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 59-47 (+25.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 57-46 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 46-30 (+26.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 29-24 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 48-47 (-7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 48-47 (-7.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 34-35 (-9.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 21-25 (-9.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
STRASBURG is 7-11 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 7-11 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
STRASBURG is 10-15 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History

LA DODGERS is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
NOLASCO is 10-7 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 11-9 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-13. (-8.0 units)

STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
STRASBURG is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 0.75 and a WHIP of 0.583.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.4 units)


PHILADELPHIA (48 - 48) at NY METS (41 - 50) - 7:10 PM
KYLE KENDRICK (R) vs. JEREMY HEFNER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 129-129 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 129-126 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-24 (-9.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 114-96 (+26.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday since 1997.
KENDRICK is 63-42 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 17-27 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 5-14 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 36-53 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 17-27 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 28-45 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 22-36 (-16.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 5-12 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History

PHILADELPHIA is 6-3 (+2.3 Units) against NY METS this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

KYLE KENDRICK vs. NY METS since 1997
KENDRICK is 7-5 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.68 and a WHIP of 1.321.
His team's record is 7-7 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-5. (+3.3 units)

JEREMY HEFNER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
HEFNER is 2-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 10.20 and a WHIP of 2.200.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)


PITTSBURGH (56 - 37) at CINCINNATI (53 - 42) - 7:10 PM
FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. MIKE LEAKE (R)

Top Trends for this game.

PITTSBURGH is 123-189 (-48.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 223-444 (-94.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 94-220 (-67.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 152-110 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 152-110 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 56-37 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 24-19 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 25-15 (+12.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 56-37 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 35-22 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 46-28 (+23.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PITTSBURGH is 24-12 (+14.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CINCINNATI is 323-348 (-87.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History

PITTSBURGH is 6-4 (+4.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.6 Units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997

LIRIANO is 0-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LEAKE is 4-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.73 and a WHIP of 1.287.
His team's record is 6-8 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-5. (+2.2 units)


MIAMI (35 - 58) at MILWAUKEE (38 - 56) - 8:10 PM
JACOB TURNER (R) vs. KYLE LOHSE (R)

Top Trends for this game.

MIAMI is 104-151 (-33.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 103-147 (-30.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 69-105 (-26.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 93-144 (-41.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 78-41 (+24.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 87-49 (+24.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 102-55 (+31.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 38-56 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 38-56 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 55-59 (-19.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History

MILWAUKEE is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against MIAMI this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JACOB TURNER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997

TURNER is 0-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
KYLE LOHSE vs. MIAMI since 1997

LOHSE is 5-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.33 and a WHIP of 1.130.
His team's record is 6-3 (+3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.2 units)


SAN DIEGO (42 - 54) at ST LOUIS (57 - 36) - 8:15 PM
JASON MARQUIS (R) vs. JAKE WESTBROOK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 2-12 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
ST LOUIS is 48-24 (+17.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 49-19 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 438-502 (+35.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 61-55 (+15.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUIS is 36-28 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 36-28 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

MARQUIS is 18-10 (+12.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-1 (+0.6 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

JASON MARQUIS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
MARQUIS is 6-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.49 and a WHIP of 1.327.
His team's record is 6-2 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-7. (-6.6 units)

JAKE WESTBROOK vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
WESTBROOK is 1-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)


CHICAGO CUBS (42 - 51) at COLORADO (46 - 50) - 8:40 PM
JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. JORGE DE LA ROSA (L)

Top Trends for this game.

CHICAGO CUBS are 103-152 (-29.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 367-408 (-92.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 10-28 (-14.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 43-83 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 103-152 (-29.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 25-55 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 641-631 (-148.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
DE LA ROSA is 13-6 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 12-1 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 11-1 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
DE LA ROSA is 13-5 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-16 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 183-239 (-56.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 28-46 (-18.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 99-110 (-32.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 183-236 (-53.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against COLORADO this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. COLORADO since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.40 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

JORGE DE LA ROSA vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 3-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.59 and a WHIP of 1.356.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)


ARIZONA (50 - 45) at SAN FRANCISCO (43 - 51) - 10:15 PM
IAN KENNEDY (R) vs. CHAD GAUDIN (R)

Top Trends for this game.

KENNEDY is 1-8 (-7.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 72-47 (+20.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 65-57 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 77-66 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 155-127 (+24.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-51 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-49 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-32 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-30 (-15.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-3 (+2.4 Units) against ARIZONA this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

IAN KENNEDY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
KENNEDY is 6-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.52 and a WHIP of 1.051.
His team's record is 9-6 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-6. (+2.8 units)

CHAD GAUDIN vs. ARIZONA since 1997
GAUDIN is 1-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.87 and a WHIP of 1.435.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.0 units)

[StarDust Bum]

TAMPA BAY (55 - 41) at TORONTO (45 - 49) - 7:05 PM
DAVID PRICE (L) vs. ESMIL ROGERS (R)

Top Trends for this game.

PRICE is 4-8 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 66-42 (+19.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 496-586 (+17.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 104-58 (+28.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PRICE is 22-9 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 12-24 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TORONTO is 68-91 (-23.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-5 (+0.6 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.4 Units)
DAVID PRICE vs. TORONTO since 1997
PRICE is 12-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.28 and a WHIP of 1.060.
His team's record is 14-2 (+10.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-8. (-0.3 units)
ESMIL ROGERS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
ROGERS is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
NY YANKEES (51 - 44) at BOSTON (58 - 39) - 7:10 PM
ANDY PETTITTE (L) vs. FELIX DOUBRONT (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 58-39 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 31-11 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 46-58 (-23.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 65-63 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 29-36 (-18.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 20-32 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 109-120 (-34.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 85-96 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 60-71 (-22.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 62-81 (-24.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 19-40 (-19.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History

BOSTON is 4-2 (+2.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

ANDY PETTITTE vs. BOSTON since 1997
PETTITTE is 20-10 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.11 and a WHIP of 1.493.
His team's record is 25-12 (+12.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 18-18. (-0.6 units)

FELIX DOUBRONT vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
DOUBRONT is 2-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.32 and a WHIP of 1.258.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)


BALTIMORE (53 - 43) at TEXAS (54 - 41) - 8:05 PM
WEI-YIN CHEN (L) vs. DEREK HOLLAND (L)

Top Trends for this game.

TEXAS is 114-66 (+31.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 23-14 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOLLAND is 54-29 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOLLAND is 52-27 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOLLAND is 11-3 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
HOLLAND is 18-5 (+11.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOLLAND is 17-6 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOLLAND is 19-5 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 53-43 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 68-51 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 72-60 (+31.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 28-20 (+15.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 48-35 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 36-25 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 43-34 (+11.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 78-70 (+12.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 32-20 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHEN is 25-17 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 24-14 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 18-9 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History

TEXAS is 2-2 (+0.1 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.0 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)


WEI-YIN CHEN vs. TEXAS since 1997
CHEN is 2-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.23 and a WHIP of 0.886.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)


DEREK HOLLAND vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
HOLLAND is 4-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.448.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)


CLEVELAND (51 - 44) at MINNESOTA (39 - 53) - 8:10 PM
SCOTT KAZMIR (L) vs. MIKE PELFREY (R)

Top Trends for this game.

CLEVELAND is 2-16 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 51-44 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 21-16 (+7.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CLEVELAND is 48-41 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 32-28 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 34-30 (+6.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 29-20 (+8.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 26-13 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MINNESOTA is 85-122 (-36.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 0-13 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
MINNESOTA is 85-122 (-36.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-36 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 4-15 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PELFREY is 28-52 (-28.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
PELFREY is 31-52 (-25.0 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History

CLEVELAND is 4-2 (+1.0 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
KAZMIR is 4-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.176.
His team's record is 4-4 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.1 units)

MIKE PELFREY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
PELFREY is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)


DETROIT (52 - 42) at KANSAS CITY (43 - 49) - 8:10 PM
ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)

Top Trends for this game.

DETROIT is 52-42 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 64-70 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 48-39 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 88-75 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 25-26 (-18.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SANCHEZ is 21-28 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANCHEZ is 9-17 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANCHEZ is 20-27 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANCHEZ is 2-9 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 13-4 (+9.8 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 40-25 (+16.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 12-27 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 11-26 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History

KANSAS CITY is 3-2 (+2.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SANCHEZ is 1-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 0.56 and a WHIP of 0.688.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. DETROIT since 1997
SANTANA is 6-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.59 and a WHIP of 1.115.
His team's record is 7-4 (+3.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-2. (+5.6 units)


SEATTLE (43 - 52) at HOUSTON (33 - 61) - 8:10 PM
JOE SAUNDERS (L) vs. BUD NORRIS (R)

Top Trends for this game.

NORRIS is 14-5 (+11.4 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 23-16 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 24-6 (+19.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 145-274 (-70.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 65-129 (-43.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-32 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 7-25 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 87-165 (-36.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History

HOUSTON is 5-4 (+2.4 Units) against SEATTLE this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

JOE SAUNDERS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SAUNDERS is 1-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.55 and a WHIP of 1.562.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.1 units)
BUD NORRIS vs. SEATTLE since 1997

NORRIS is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

OAKLAND (56 - 39) at LA ANGELS (44 - 49) - 10:05 PM
A.J. GRIFFIN (R) vs. JERED WEAVER (R)

Top Trends for this game.

LA ANGELS are 249-187 (+42.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.
WEAVER is 51-23 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
WEAVER is 29-7 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
WEAVER is 13-2 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
WEAVER is 29-7 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
WEAVER is 50-22 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
WEAVER is 24-6 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
WEAVER is 11-1 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 56-39 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 70-63 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 27-9 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 56-39 (+24.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 56-36 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 38-20 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 101-69 (+39.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 35-20 (+14.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 68-39 (+27.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 29-9 (+16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GRIFFIN is 24-11 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRIFFIN is 8-0 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRIFFIN is 23-11 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRIFFIN is 16-5 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRIFFIN is 15-3 (+12.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 44-49 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 24-25 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA ANGELS are 15-23 (-17.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA ANGELS are 44-49 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 27-40 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 20-28 (-16.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.


Head-to-Head Series History

OAKLAND is 5-1 (+4.7 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.1 Units)

A.J. GRIFFIN vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GRIFFIN is 2-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 0.56 and a WHIP of 0.750.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

JERED WEAVER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
WEAVER is 9-7 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.36 and a WHIP of 1.044.
His team's record is 13-11 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 18-4. (+13.2 units)


ATLANTA (54 - 41) at CHI WHITE SOX (37 - 55) - 8:10 PM
TIM HUDSON (R) vs. JOHN DANKS (L)

Top Trends for this game.

ATLANTA is 5-11 (-9.6 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
HUDSON is 31-16 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 46-18 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 30-15 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 37-55 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 49-64 (-19.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 100-102 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 23-33 (-16.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 35-50 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 21-35 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 20-34 (-14.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
DANKS is 4-16 (-15.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
DANKS is 24-34 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History

There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TIM HUDSON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
HUDSON is 3-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.232.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.9 units)

JOHN DANKS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
DANKS is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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MLB Top 3: Baseball's best runline bets after the All-Star break

The marathon MLB season can start to wear on bettors after the break, which makes it a good time to mix up your wagers with something new. If you’ve been betting nothing but moneylines, try your hand at the runline – baseball’s version of the spread.

We take a look back over the past five seasons to find out which clubs have constantly covered the runline after the All-Star break.

Records between 2008-2012.

Best post-break runline bets

Baltimore Orioles (164-202 SU, 197-169 ATS)

The Orioles constantly get love on the runline from oddsmakers due to playing in the ultra-competitive AL East. Baltimore has made the most of those extra runs, covering the spread 53.8 percent of the time after the break since 2008. This year, the O’s are 54-42 against the runline for +15.86 units.

Oakland Athletics (186-175 SU, 196-165 ATS)

The A’s get a similar treatment in the AL West, where the Angels and Rangers hog the spotlight. Oakland has put together some strong second half pushes, including last summer when the club went 51-25 SU and 52-24 ATS in the latter half of the schedule. So far this season, the A’s are 51-44 against the runline for +10.20 units.

Kansas City Royals (157-206 SU, 195-167 ATS)

The Milwaukee Brewers actually have a better second-half runline record (196-163 ATS) than the Royals but K.C. provides much more value due to its losing record. Kansas City was a beast ATS in 2011, posting a 46-25 ATS mark despite winning only 34 of those 71 post-break contests. In 2012, the club went 45-33 ATS. The Royals have struggled against the runline in 2013, going 42-50 ATS for -14.24 units at the break.

Other notables:

Milwaukee Brewers (200-161 SU, 196-163 ATS)
New York Yankees (217-149 SU, 191-175 ATS)
Toronto Blue Jays (177-181 SU, 190-168 ATS)

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MLB
Short Sheet

Friday, July 19

National League

Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington, 7:05 ET
Nolasco: Dodgers 4-1 SU last five times on the road with total under 8
Strasburg: Under is 6-1 last seven times Strasburg has started at home as less than -200 favorite

Philadelphia at New York Mets, 7:10 ET
Kendrick: Phillies have won their last six games at Citi Field
Hefner: Under is 5-1 in Hefner's last six road starts

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
Liriano: Under is 5-1 in last six road night games for Pirates
Leake: Reds 11-4 SU at home against lefthanders in 2013

Miami at Milwaukee, 8:10 ET
Turner: Marlins 2-6 SU when Turner starts on the road
Lohse: Under is 6-2 when Lohse starts for Brewers at Miller Park

San Diego at St. Louis, 8:15 ET
Marquis: Over is 14-5 in last 19 road starts for Marquis
Westbrook: Cardinals 4-1 SU in Westbrook's last five starts as HF of more than -150

Chicago Cubs at Colorado, 8:40 ET
Samardzija: Under is 18-9-1 in Samardzija's career road starts
De La Rosa: Rockies 28-5 SU over last three years when De La Rosa starts at home

Arizona at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Kennedy: Under is 12-3 in first game of a Diamondbacks road series in 2013
Gaudin: Giants 15-5 SU in last 20 home games against Padres


American League

Tampa Bay at Toronto, 7:07 ET MLB
Price: Rays 20-8 SU when Price starts on the road after the team lost in his previous start
Rogers: Under is 5-2-1 in Rogers' starts for the Blue Jays

New York Yankees at Boston, 7:10 ET MLB
Pettitte: Over is 6-2 since 2007 when Pettitte starts at Fenway Park
Doubront: Red Sox 13-2 SU in first game of a home series in 2013

Baltimore at Texas, 8:05 ET
Chen: Orioles 2-5 SU in Arlington since 2011
Holland: Under is 7-1 in Holland's home starts in 2013

Cleveland at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Kazmir: Indians 2-6 SU in Kazmir's road starts
Pelfrey: Over is 6-2 in Pelfrey's starts at Target Field

Detroit at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Sanchez: Tigers 2-6 SU in Sanchez's 2013 road starts
Santana: Under is 7-2 when Santana starts for Royals at Kauffman Stadium

Seattle at Houston, 8:10 ET
Saunders: Mariners 3-7 SU in Saunders' road starts
Norris: Under is 8-1 in last nine home starts for Norris

Oakland at Los Angeles Angels, 10:05 ET
Griffin: Over is 13-2 in first game of Athletics road series in 2013
Weaver: Angels 9-2 SU when Weaver starts a home night game after Angels lost his previous start


Interleague

Atlanta at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Hudson: Braves 2-8 SU in 2013 when Hudson starts on the road
Danks: All four of Danks' 2013 home starts have been Under
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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, July 19

First Post

Totals
-- Eight of last nine Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Last eight Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Milwaukee games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five San Diego games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Colorado games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Diamondback games stayed under total.

-- Over is 7-1-2 in last ten Atlanta games.

-- Last six Tampa Bay games stayed under the total; four of Blue Jays' last five games went over.
-- Last three Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Baltimore games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Cleveland games stayed under total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Kansas City home games.
-- Five of last seven Seattle games went over the total.
-- Last six Oakland games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Dodgers won six of their last eight games.
-- Phillies won six of their last eight games. Mets won five of last seven.
-- Pirates won three of their last four games.
-- Marlins won three of their last four games.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last nine games.
-- Cubs won six of their last nine games.
-- Arizona/Giants both won three of their last four games.

-- Rays won 14 of their last 16 games.
-- Orioles won four of their last five games.
-- Indians won five of their last six games.
-- Detroit won six of its last seven road games.
-- Mariners won their last three games, scoring 18 runs.
-- Oakland won five of its last seven games.

Cold teams
-- Nationals lost five of their last seven games.
-- Reds lost five of their last eight games.
-- Brewers lost four of their last five games.
-- Padres lost 14 of their last 16 games.
-- Colorado is 1-6 in game following its last seven wins.

-- Braves are 5-7 in their last dozen games. White Sox lost 13 of last 18.

-- Blue Jays lost three of their last four games.
-- Bronx lost five of its last eight games. Boston is 4-5 in its last nine.
-- Rangers lost four of their last five games.
-- Minnesota lost six of its last eight games, but won last two.
-- Royals lost their last five games, outscored 30-12.
-- Astros lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Angels lost four of their last five games.
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MLB

Friday, July 19

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Trend Report
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7:05 PM
LA DODGERS vs. WASHINGTONThe total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games
LA Dodgers are 17-5 SU in their last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

7:07 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. TORONTOTampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

7:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY METS
Philadelphia is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing NY Mets
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
NY Mets are 8-17 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

7:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
NY Yankees are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Boston is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games

8:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TEXAS
Baltimore is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Texas
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Texas's last 23 games at home

8:10 PM
MIAMI vs. MILWAUKEE
Miami is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing Milwaukee
Miami is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games

8:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. HOUSTON
Seattle is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Seattle

8:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 5-13 SU in their last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games

8:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. MINNESOTA
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:10 PM
DETROIT vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Detroit
Kansas City is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Detroit

8:15 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 11 of San Diego's last 16 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
San Diego is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of St. Louis's last 16 games when playing at home against San Diego
St. Louis is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against San Diego

8:40 PM
CHI CUBS vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 10 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games at home

10:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. LA ANGELS
Oakland is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
LA Angels are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Oakland

10:15 PM
ARIZONA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Arizona is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 9 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona

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Friday, July 19

Game Score Status Pick Amount

LA Dodgers - 7:05 PM ET Washington -154 500
Washington - Under 7.5 500

Tampa Bay - 7:07 PM ET Tampa Bay -134 500
Toronto - Under 8.5 500

NY Yankees - 7:10 PM ET Boston -165 500
Boston - Over 9.5 500

Pittsburgh - 7:10 PM ET Cincinnati -108 500
Cincinnati - Under 7.5 500

Philadelphia - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets -119 500
NY Mets - Over 8 500

Baltimore - 8:05 PM ET Texas -135 500
Texas - Over 9 500

Atlanta - 8:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox +108 500 POD # 4
Chi. White Sox - Under 9 500

Cleveland - 8:10 PM ET Cleveland -124 500
Minnesota - Over 9 500

Detroit - 8:10 PM ET Kansas City +121 500 POD # 3
Kansas City - Over 8.5 500

Seattle - 8:10 PM ET Houston +106 500 POD # 5
Houston - Under 8.5 500

Miami - 8:10 PM ET Miami +138 500 POD # 2
Milwaukee - Over 8 500

San Diego - 8:15 PM ET St. Louis -190 500
St. Louis - Under 9 500

Chi. Cubs - 8:40 PM ET Colorado -148 500
Colorado - Over 9 500

Oakland - 10:05 PM ET Oakland +119 500 POD # 1
LA Angels - Over 7.5 500

Arizona - 10:15 PM ET San Francisco -121 500
San Francisco -Under 7.5 500