The Bum's 2013 Canadian Football Best Bets and Grey Cup Winner !

[StarDust Bum]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/20/13 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
10/19/13 2-*1-*1 66.67% +*450 Detail
10/18/13 0-*2-*0 0.00% -*1100 Detail
10/14/13 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
10/12/13 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
10/11/13 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
10/05/13 0-*4-*0 0.00% -*2200 Detail
10/04/13 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail

Totals 12-*11-*1 52.17% -*50


Thursday, October 24

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Winnipeg - 7:30 PM ET Winnipeg +10.5 500 POD # 2

Toronto - Under 53 500 POD # 1


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Friday, October 25

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Edmonton - 10:00 PM ET BC Lions -7 500 POD # 2

BC Lions - Over 51.5 500 POD # 1


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Saturday, October 26

Game Score Status Pick Amount


Montreal - 1:00 PM ET Montreal +5.5 500 POD # 1

Hamilton - Under 53.5 500 POD # 3


Saskatchewan - 7:00 PM ET Calgary -4.5 500 POD # 2

Calgary - Under 54.5 500 POD # 4

[StarDust Bum]

CFL
Dunkel

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 25

Game 293-294: Edmonton at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 107.122; BC 111.201
Dunkel Line: BC by 4; 55
Vegas Line: BC by 7; 51
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+7); Over


SATURDAY, OCTOBER 26

Game 295-296: Montreal at Hamilton (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 116.148; Hamilton 115.283
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 1; 57
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 5; 53
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+5); Over

Game 297-298: Saskatchewan at Calgary (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 115.134; Calgary 125.471
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 10 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Calgary by 4; 54
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-4); Under




CFL
Long Sheet

Week 17

Friday, October 25

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EDMONTON (3 - 13) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (9 - 7) - 10/25/2013, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) when playing on a Friday since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 7-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 26

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MONTREAL (7 - 9) at HAMILTON (8 - 8) - 10/26/2013, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 7-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 6-4 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SASKATCHEWAN (11 - 5) at CALGARY (13 - 3) - 10/26/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
CALGARY is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
CALGARY is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in games played on turf this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 67-43 ATS (+19.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 113-74 ATS (+31.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 100-66 ATS (+27.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win over a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-4 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 8-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 18

Edmonton (3-13) @ British Columbia (9-7)—Skidding Lions lost last three games, giving up 35.3 ppg; they’ve been outscored 61-21 in first half of those games. Luckily for them, the awful Eskimos come to town, having lost last four games, three by 12+ points. BC won first two meetings this season, 17-3 (-3.5), 31-21 (-9); they’ve won four in row and eight of last nine series games, with seven of last nine played here going over the total. Eskimos are 5-2 vs spread as road underdogs, covering last four tries in losses by 5-3-3 points, with a win at Winnipeg, so they’ve competed in games, just haven’t won many (1-13 vs teams other than the Bombers). Lions have given up an average of 150.7 rushing yards/game the last three weeks; they’re 4-3 as home favorites this year, winning home games by 8-10-7-4-3-22 points, with a loss to the Riders. Under is 5-2 in BC’s home games, 1-6 in Edmonton road games.

Montreal (7-9) @ Hamilton (8-8)—Alouettes (-1.5) crushed Hamilton 36-5 at home last week, running out to 31-3 halftime lead, fifth straight win for home team in this series; Als (+8) lost 28-26 here in first meeting five weeks ago—they’ve lost six straight road games in this series, with last five series games in Ontario going over the total. Montreal won three of last four games, covered four of last five; they’re 3-2 as road underdogs this year, 3-5 SU on road, with losses by 8-8-25-7-7 points. TiCats covered eight of last 11 games, are 3-2 SU in last five; they’ve won four of last five home games, with wins by 23-8-2-6 points and a loss to Calgary. Hamilton has been minus in turnovers in each of last five games and outscored in second half in each of its last seven games. Last four TiCat games stayed under the total.

Saskatchewan (11-5) @ Calgary (13-3)—Home side won both series games this year; Roughriders (-2) won 36-21 in Regina in Week 2 (outscored Calgary 22-0 in 2nd half), then lost 42-27 (+3) in post-bye game at McMahon in Week 7, with Stamps outrushing them 223-171. Last four series games went over the total. I say Riders are streaky; this is their season: 5W-L-3W-4L-3W, that’s streaky- they’re 2-1 as a dog this season, 5-3 SU on road, with weird losses at Edmonton/Montreal during their skid. Calgary won eight of last nine games, covering last four; they’re 5-3 as home favorites this year, winning home games by 12-11-15-3-4-27-14 points, with a loss to Toronto. Saskatchewan has nine INTs in its last three games, with a +8 turnover ratio in those games. Seven of eight Stampeder home games went over the total; last five Rider games stayed under.




CFL

Week 18

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Trend Report
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Friday, October 25

10:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Edmonton is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games
Edmonton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
British Columbia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games


Saturday, October 26

1:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. HAMILTON
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Montreal is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Hamilton
Hamilton is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Montreal
Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Montreal

7:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. CALGARY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games
Saskatchewan is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Calgary is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Calgary's last 12 games at home


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CFL

Week 18

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Eskimos at Lions: What bettors need to know
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Edmonton Eskimos at BC Lions (-7, 51)

Three straight losses without quarterback Travis Lulay have knocked the BC Lions out of contention to host a playoff game. Lulay remains day-to-day with a shoulder injury, meaning the Lions will likely start Thomas DeMarco when they host the Edmonton Eskimos on Friday. DeMarco is completing just 55 percent of his passes and has thrown eight interceptions over the last three games, and will need to be a lot better if Lulay can’t return in time for the West Semifinal.

The Eskimos have lost four in a row and remain winless against West Division opponents, going 0-8. Edmonton has managed just 22 points over its last two games, overshadowing what has been a solid debut season at starting quarterback for Mike Reilly. Reilly has completed 60.1 percent of his passes with 22 touchdowns and 16 interceptions despite being sacked 53 times while also leading the Eskimos in rushing with 624 yards, and should reach 4,000 passing yards against BC.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (3-13): Slotback Fred Stamps, who leads the league with 1,259 receiving yards, is 143 away from tying his career high and has a career-best 11 touchdowns. Linebacker Rennie Curran had another strong game last week, leading the team with eight tackles. Curran, named CFL Defensive Player of the Week two weeks ago, is rising to the occasion while linebacker J.C. Sherritt is sidelined with a broken thumb.

ABOUT THE LIONS (9-7): Even without Lulay, slotback Nick Moore reached 1,000 receiving yards in a season for the first time in his career after emerging as the top option in the BC receiving corps. The Lions' defense runs through linebacker Adam Bighill, who leads the team with 84 tackles and eight sacks. Kick returner Tim Brown leads the league with 1,901 combined return yards.

TRENDS:

* Eskimos are 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings in BC.
* Eskimos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. West.
* Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last six Friday games.
* Under is 4-1 in Lions last five home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Reilly will have his hands full trying to figure out the BC defense, which has limited opponents to a league-low 243.8 passing yards per game.

2. Eskimos DE Marcus Howard leads the team with 10 sacks.

3. The Lions are 6-1 at home.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL
Dunkel

Montreal at Hamilton
The Alouettes look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 road games. Montreal is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 10

Game 291-292: Montreal at Hamilton (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 114.859; Hamilton 115.283
Dunkel Line: Even; 57
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 3 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+3 1/2); Over

Game 293-294: BC at Saskatchewan (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 109.201; Saskatchewan 121.206
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 12; 48
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 4 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-4 1/2); Under




CFL
Long Sheet

First Round

Sunday, November 10

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MONTREAL (8 - 10) at HAMILTON (10 - 8) - 11/10/2013, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 7-4 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 7-4 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (11 - 7) at SASKATCHEWAN (11 - 7) - 11/10/2013, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 46-24 ATS (+19.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-4 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-4 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
9 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

First Round

Montreal (8-10) @ Hamilton (10-8)—These teams played three times in final seven weeks of season. Alouettes recovered from 2-5 start to make playoffs, winning four of last six games, covering nine of last 12, but they lost two of three vs Hamilton this year, losing 28-26 (+1) in Week 13, then 27-24 (-5.5) here two weeks ago- they beat TiCats 36-5 (-1.5) three weeks ago in Quebec. Home side won all three series games and last six overall in series. Montreal covered seven of last eight games as an underdog- they’re 4-5 SU on road this season, losing by 11-3-22-2-3 points. TiCats won four of last five games, are 2-4 as home favorites this year, but won five of last six SU at “home”, with last three home wins by total of 11 points. Last six Hamilton games, last three Alouette games all stayed under the total. Under is 11-7 in last 18 series games.

BC Lions (11-7) @ Saskatchewan (11-7)—These two teams also played three times in last seven weeks, actually three times in five weeks (Weeks 13-15-17). Roughriders beat Lions 31-17 (+3) on road, then 35-14 (-4) at home to win season series 2-1 and grab home field here, after Lions won first meeting 24-22 (+6) in Regina. Streaky Saskatchewan’s season: 8-1 start, then $l, 3W and mow two more losses- they’re just 2-3 in last five home games, with wins by 5-21 points. BC allowed 78 points in losing last two road games; they upset Calgary in meaningless season finale last week- they’re 1-5 vs spread when getting points this season. Roughriders covered just two of last ten when giving points. Last 10 series games and 18 of last 22 meetings stayed under the total, as did six of last seven Rider games, and five of last eight BC games overall.




CFL

First Round

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. HAMILTON
Montreal is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Montreal is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Hamilton
Hamilton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Montreal
Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

4:30 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. SASKATCHEWAN
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
Saskatchewan is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games


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CFL

First Round

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CFL Playoffs: What bettors need to know
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Montreal Aouettes at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-3, 52)

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats enter the playoffs on a high note as they prepare to host the Montreal Alouettes in the East Semifinal on Sunday. Hamilton won four of its last five games to finish the regular season 8-2 against East Division opponents, including two wins in three contests against Montreal. Tiger-Cats quarterback Henry Burris led the league with 4,925 passing yards and running back C.J. Gable was named East Division Most Outstanding Rookie.

The Alouettes season began with Anthony Calvillo at quarterback and Dan Hawkins as coach. With Hawkins fired and Calvillo injured, Montreal finished the season with a very different look under new pivot Troy Smith, but defense remains its most reliable asset. Alouettes linebacker Chip Cox was named East Division Most Outstanding Defensive Player after leading the league with 114 tackles and adding 12 sacks and four interceptions for a defense that allowed a league-low 88.4 rushing yards per game.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE ALOUETTES (8-10): Smith has yet to reach 1,000 passing yards in the CFL and his inexperience shows in his accuracy: a 60-for-114 completion rate with five interceptions. Smith has plenty of targets available, including S.J. Green, Arland Bruce and rookie Duron Carter, who finished the regular season with 909 receiving yards despite making his CFL debut in August. Montreal’s defense was tied for the league-lead in interceptions with 24, with a league-best seven caught by cornerback Geoff Tisdale.

ABOUT THE TIGER-CATS (10-8): Gable recorded 1,380 yards from scrimmage despite missing time early on due to injuries. Three Hamilton receivers - Bakari Grant, Andy Fantuz and Greg Ellingson - finished with at least 800 receiving yards. Mark Beswick was named Most Outstanding Special Teams Player with a league-high 24 special teams tackles, while linebacker Brandon Isaac has four sacks since joining the team mid-season.

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Hamilton.
* Alouettes are 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings in Hamilton.
* Under is 10-4 in Alouettes last 14 vs. East.
* Tiger-Cats are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Hamilton KR Brandon Banks returned a missed field goal 107 yards for a touchdown in the last game between the Tiger-Cats and the Alouettes.

2. Alouettes RB Tyrell Sutton rushed for 185 yards in the last two games against the Tiger-Cats.

3. Hamilton was 6-3 playing its home games at Alumni Stadium in Guelph this season.


BC Lions at Saskatchewan Roughriders (-4, 51.5)

Quarterback Travis Lulay and running back Andrew Harris have given the BC Lions hope heading into Sunday’s West Semifinal at the Saskatchewan Roughriders. Lulay returned to action briefly in the final regular-season game, taking 13 snaps to test his injured shoulder and completing 3-of-4 passes while adding a 1-yard touchdown run. Harris finished the season two rushing yards short of 1,000 after recording 102 in his last game, one week after Stefan Logan ran for 121 yards for BC.

BC will need every facet of its offense in top condition against a stingy Roughriders' defense that recorded 57 sacks, 24 interceptions and allowed a league-low 20 passing touchdowns. Saskatchewan’s defensive line of John Chick, Tearrius George, Ricky Foley and trade addition Alex Hall have 30 sacks between them. Roughriders quarterback Darian Durant (4,154 passing yards) and running back Kory Sheets (1,598 rushing yards) were both rested for the final game of the regular season and are healthy heading into the playoffs.

TV: 4:30 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE LIONS (11-7): Linebacker Adam Bighill led the team with 92 tackles and nine sacks despite missing a couple weeks with a sprained ankle. Bighill and cornerback Cord Parks (six interceptions) form the backbone of a defense that limited opponents to 245 passing yards per game. Slotback Nick Moore established himself as one of the league’s top receivers with his first 1,000-yard season, totalling 1,105 receiving yards.

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (11-7): Three Saskatchewan receivers - Chris Getzlaf, Weston Dressler and Taj Smith - finished the regular season with at least 1,000 receiving yards. All-time receiving leader Geroy Simon, who spent the majority of his career with the Lions before joining Saskatchewan last offseason, was limited to his lowest yard total since 2001, with 565 yards on 40 catches. Defensive back Dwight Anderson has 53 tackles and a team-leading five interceptions.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Saskatchewan.
* Lions are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games.
* Roughriders are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four Division Semifinals games.
* Over is 6-0 in Lions last six playoff games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Lions KR Tim Brown finished with 1,901 combined return yards - second in the league. Brown also scored one kick-return touchdown.

2. Roughriders LB Renauld Williams, who led the team with seven sacks before being injured, could return if Saskatchewan makes it to the Grey Cup final.

3. Saskatchewan was 6-3 at home during the regular season; BC was 3-6 on the road.

[StarDust Bum]

CFL

Sunday, November 10

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Montreal - 1:00 PM ET Hamilton -3.5 500 POD # 1

Hamilton - Under 53 500 POD # 2

BC Lions - 4:30 PM ET Saskatchewan -4 500 POD # 3

Saskatchewan - Over 52.5 500 POD # 4

[Udog]

Love it! Good luck, Bum!