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Saturday's Trends and Indexes - 6/1 (NBA, NHL, MLB, WNBA, Misc.)
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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, June 1
Game 5 was close until James outscored Pacers 16-13 by himself in 3rd quarter; Miami is 0-4 vs spread in game following its last four wins, just as Pacers are 5-0 vs spread in game following last five losses, but in last game, their starting G's/bench combined to shoot 5-20, which obviously ain't helping. No Andersen (Suspension) for this game for Miami, which is good for Indy's big guys, who have been dominating offensive boards. Over is 7-2 in this round of playoffs so far; seven of last nine Miami games went over total, as did six of last seven Heat-Pacer games. Indy G Stevenson is 13-27 in Pacer wins, 6-27 in their losses this series.
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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, June 1
Blackhawks were down 3-1 to Detroit, rallied to win series; Kings were down 2-0 in first series to St Louis, are 8-3 in playoffs since then. Kings won four of last six games against Chicago, winning two of last three here, after an 0-7 series skid vs Blackhawks before that; teams haven't met since LA won 5-4 here March 25. Chicago has killed all but one of 41 opponent power plays in playoffs; under is 5-3-4 in their playoff tilts, 10-2-1 in LA's. Blackhawks are just 6-37 with man advantage, Kings 7-35- there were exactly three goals scored in each of LA's last five games in San Jose series. Both teams won last series in 7, with Kings losing all three road games- they're 1-5 on road in playoffs.
Penguins mowed thru #8-7 seeds in first two rounds, going 8-3, 5-1 at home; they've won six games in row over Boston, with all three wins this season by a single goal. Pens are 13 for 46 on power play (28.2%) in playoffs, six more power play goals than anyone else in playoffs. Bruins won five of last six games, beating #5-6 seeds; they've killed 30 of foes' 37 power plays, but 7 goals given up is most of teams still playing. Boston is 3-2 on road in playoffs. Over is 7-4 in Pittsburgh's playoff games, 6-4-2 in Boston's. Bruins lost last three visits to Steel City, after winning three in row before that. This is first time since '07 both #1 seeds got to this point; that year, both #1 seeds (Detroit/Buffalo) lost.
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NASCAR betting: FedEx 500 preview
NASCAR is taking on the Monster Mile at the Dover International Speedway for the FedEx 400 Sunday.
The event will mark the midpoint of the 26-race regular season and a year ago, nine of the top-10 ranked drivers leaving “The Monster Mile” wound up punching their tickets into the Chase.
Here’s our betting preview:
Favorite: Jimmie Johnson (+400)
Johnson has owned Dover in the past and was the fastest on the track at practice this week. He won both races at Dover in 2002, becoming the first driver in history to score a season-sweep at a track during his rookie campaign. Johnson has seven wins, 11 top-fives, and 16 top-10s in 22 starts at the Monster Mile. He is also the defending champ.
Live dog: Kurt Busch (+2000)
In 25 Dover starts, Busch has one win (2011), six top-fives and eight top-10s. He led 90 laps in his October 2011 win and has led at least two laps in each of his last four starts. He’s starting to heat up and bettors can get great value on him this weekend.
Long shot: Ryan Newman (+7500)
Newman has great value this week for a driver that boasts three wins and six top-fives at Dover in 22 starts.
Key stat: The winner of 16 of the last 19 races at Dover has come from a driver who started inside the top 10.
Notable quotable
"Dover is one of my favorite tracks. It's one of the few tracks that you get your greatest sense of speed. You can really feel the speed inside the car and anything can happen at that one-mile oval, making the nickname 'Monster Mile' very fitting. When you drop off into the corner, you feel the speed the most.” - Paul Menard
Odds to win the FedEx 400 courtesy of JustBet:
Jimmie Johnson 4/1
Kyle Busch 5/1
Matt Kenseth 6/1
Kasey Kahne 8/1
Denny Hamlin 8/1
Carl Edwards 12/1
Clint Bowyer 12/1
Brad Keselowski 12/1
Greg Biffle 15/1
Kevin Harvick 15/1
Martin Truex Jr. 15/1
Jeff Gordon 15/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 20/1
Kurt Busch 20/1
Tony Stewart 35/1
Joey Logano 35/1
Mark Martin 40/1
Ryan Newman 75/1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 100/1
Aric Almirola 100/1
Paul Menard 100/1
Marcos Ambrose 100/1
Jamie McMurray 100/1
Juan Montoya 100/1
Jeff Burton 200/1
Danica Patrick 300/1
Austin Dillon 300/1
Field 50/1
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