Monday's Trends and Indexes - 4/22 (NBA, NHL, MLB, Misc.)

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, April 22

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CHICAGO (45 - 38) at BROOKLYN (50 - 33) - 4/22/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 36-46 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 180 and 184.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 6-6 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 8-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (56 - 27) at LA CLIPPERS (57 - 26) - 4/22/2013, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 45-37 ATS (+4.3 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) in home games this season.
MEMPHIS is 47-33 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 61-41 ATS (+15.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 64-35 ATS (+25.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 147-200 ATS (-73.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 75-105 ATS (-40.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 11-7 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 12-7 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
12 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

Home teams hold court in opening weekend of NBA playoffs

Home was where the heart – and the money – was in the opening weekend of the NBA Playoffs.

All eight home teams – New York, Denver, Brooklyn, L.A. Clippers, Indiana, San Antonio, Miami and Oklahoma City – won their Game 1 matchups. All eight host teams were betting favorites, posting a collective 6-2 mark against the spread. The Knicks and Nuggets were the lone home sides that failed to cover.

Saturday’s NBA Playoff action saw the home teams split, 2-2 ATS (against the spread), but all four home favorites came cashing in Sunday, with Indiana, San Antonio, Miami and OKC winning in decisive fashion.

There wasn’t much value taking the home teams SU (straight up) on the moneyline, with Brooklyn priced as the most affordable home chalk at -190. The Heat, who opened against Milwaukee, were set as -2,000 moneyline favorites. A $100 parlay on all eight home teams would have returned just $673.33.

Brooklyn (-4.5) and the L.A. Clippers (-5.5) are set as home favorites Monday. Oddsmakers have the Nets priced at -200 on the moneyline while the Clippers are set as -230 favorites to win straight up.

This weekend’s NBA Playoff action finished with a 3-4-1 over/under record with Western Conference games going 1-3 over/under.

[Udog]

Where the action is: Public pads faves, sharps haven't shown up

Early money is coming in on the NBA home favorites Monday after host teams went 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS this past weekend.

Monday’s NBA playoff slate features just two games, Chicago at Brooklyn and Memphis at Los Angeles, and both the Nets and Clippers have been bet up off the original spread. Brooklyn opened as low as a 4-point favorite versus Chicago and is now as high as -5. Los Angeles has climbed from -5 to -6 in Game 2 against Memphis.

“It’s been kids on the favorites,” Jeff Sherman, assistant manager at the LVH superbook in Las Vegas, told Covers, alluding to a lack of sharp money. “And with all eight home faves winning outright this weekend, we expect more moneyline favorite money, straight and parlays, to continue.”

The Nets turned heads with a dominant performance against the Bulls in Game 1 Saturday, holding Chicago to only 89 points, including just 35 at the half. According to John Avello, director of race and sportsbook at the Wynn Las Vegas, the money is coming in on Brooklyn, which is a change of pace from Game 1.

“There’s a little bit of Brooklyn money now but we had a little bit of Chicago money before the series started,” Avello told Covers. “But after that Game 1 showing, the believers aren’t believing anymore. I don’t think we’ll see that sort of showing tonight. I think (the Bulls) come with a better effort.”

As for the total for Chicago-Brooklyn, the number has stayed relatively steady after opening at 183 points. Some markets have tacked on an extra half-point after the teams topped the 181.5-point total in Game 1.

In the Western Conference, Los Angeles is also coming off a one-sided win, defeating Memphis 112-91. That final score is a bit of a shocker for some NBA fans, who expected this No. 4-versus-No. 5 series to be the most competitive of the first round. Much like the Brooklyn-Chicago game, sharp money hasn't shown its face yet for this 10:30 p.m. ET tipoff.

“I didn’t think the first game was indicative of how this series will go,” says Avello. “I expect Memphis to be around in this game and for it to be a closer contest. It could close at -6 or it could close at -5. I could see some plays on the underdog here. I think the underdog is live.”

The total for Game 2 is also on the move, dropping from 181.5 to as low as 179.5 as of Monday afternoon. However, some shops are hovering around the opening number with money coming in on the over. The teams combined for 203 points and blew the 178.5-point number out of the water in Game 1. According to Michael Stewart of CarbonSports.ag, 92 percent of their total wagers have been on the over.

“I could see us moving the total on this game a point and a half if we do not see any money come in on the under leading up to game time,” Stewart told Covers.