Saturday's Trends and Indexes - 4/6 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, MLB, Misc.)

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Saturday, April 6

Good Luck on day #96 of 2013!

At this time, the sports menu in this thread consists of NBA, NHL, MLB and NCAAB until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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Matchup Links

NBA Matchups

NBA Hot and Not

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NHL Hot and Not

MLB Matchups

MLB Previews

MLB Hot or Not

MLB Umpires

MLB Trends

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NASCAR Schedules

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

-- Of the 30 starting pitchers Friday, Atlanta's Mike Minor was only one to record an out after the 7th inning. 14 didn't finish the sixth inning.

-- Lions signed 38-year old David Akers to replace 42-year old Jason Hanson as their new kicker. Akers missed 13 FGs last year; not good.

-- Rutgers is paying former AD Tim Pernetti $1.25M to go away, plus he gets to keep his company car for another year. Where do I sign up for one of these jobs where you get paid six or seven figures to disappear?

-- Danilo Gallinari tore his ACL, is out for the year, very bad news for the Nuggets, who've won 16 of their last 18 games.

-- Astros were outscored 19-3 in three games since winning their opener; they're first team ever to strike out 13+ times four games in a row.

-- Lakers held off Memphis 86-84 to hold onto 8th place in the West; how would like to be the #1 seed and have to face them in the first round of the playoffs, which start in two weeks?


*****

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.......

13) Finally!!!!

Jerry Tarkanian will be inducted into the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame in Springfield in September; very much deserved, very good news. His UNLV teams were the face of college basketball in the early 90’s, and he also won big before that at Long Beach State.

You win over 80% of your games, it’s a no-brainer to get in the Hall of Fame. Took some people entirely too long to figure that out.

12) There are rumors afloat that Miami Marlins’ home opener Monday might only draw 15,000 or so people, in a brand-new domed stadium; not sure how, but former used car dealer Alan R. Selig has to rid baseball of Jeffrey Loria. He’s a menace.

11) Rutgers fired its AD Friday (technically, he quit, but seriously…….), which is horrible news for the basketball program, since you have to hire an AD before a coach and April is a prime recruiting month.

If a basketball coach isn’t in place 10 days from now, and chances are he won’t be, it sets recruiting back an entire year, and the last thing Rutgers needs is to fall further behind in recruiting.

10) Word has it Rutgers’ #1 coaching target will be URI’s Danny Hurley, but he’s only been at Rhode Island for a year, and not a very good year at that. Realistically, if you’re Hurley (a Seton Hall alum), if he coaches another year at URI, shows progress and Seton Hall doesn’t progress much next year, he can probably go back and coach at his alma mater.

9) Week 3, NFL preseason, Saturday night primetime: Rams at Broncos. This is good news, someone at CBS thinks the Rams have potential.

Either that, or they wanted an excuse to air more of those Peyton Manning commercials, as if there aren't enough on TV already.

8) This seems hard to believe but apparently it is true: ESPN.com says that Orioles’ 1B Chris Davis is first player ever to knock in 3+ runs in each of his team’s first four games. No one ever did that before? Wow. Davis hit a grand slam Friday, now has 16 RBI after four games.

7) Conference musical chairs isn’t limited to the big boys: Illinois-Chicago goes from Horizon League to take Creighton’s place in the MVC; Oakland takes UIC’s place in the Horizon.

6) TV ratings for the NCAA tournament are up 13% from LY, and are as high as they’ve been overall since 2005.

5) As far as I can remember, Thursday night was first time ESPN paired Bill Raftery/Bob Knight together in a 3-man booth at the NIT, in what was probably Knight’s last broadcast for ESPN (guy who originally hired Knight has left ESPN).

Raftery actually drew a small amount of personality out of the former Indiana coach, but Knight just wasn’t very good on TV. If he is indeed done behind the mike, he won’t be missed much.

4) Why do teams videotape practices anyway? Are there enough hours in the day to review them? Do these coaches ever sleep? Seems like overkill.

3) Transfer news: UNLV loses Mike Moser to Washington, NC State loses Rodney Purvis is off to UConn. Moser can play for U-Dub next season.

2) Somewhere out in the Arizona desert, former Arizona State football coach Frank Kush probably thinks Mike Rice was too easy on his Rutgers hoop team. Kush was infamous for not even letting his players have water breaks in practice, back in the old days when people didn’t realize (or didn’t care) that hydration is a necessity.

Speaking of football practices, why do college football teams practice more in the spring than NFL teams do? I’ve always wondered this. If they’re going to practice so much in the spring, why not play a couple of games, too?

1) Speaking of the Naismith Hall of Fame, how was Rick Pitino not in it already? I’m sure he’d much rather have a large wooden trophy handed to him Monday night, but he’ll take both. Could be a very excellent weekend for the Louisville coach.

[Udog]

NASCAR betting: STP Gas Booster 500

The Sprint Cup Series shifts to Martinsville, Va. for the STP Gas Booster 500 at Martinsville Speedway this Sunday.

Thirty of the last 32 races held at the smallest track (.526 miles) have featured a double-digit number of caution flags.

Hendrick Motorsports teammates Jeff Gordon and Jimmie Johnson lead all active drivers with seven victories each at Martinsville.

Favorite: Jimmie Johnson (+500)

Johnson has seven wins, tying Dover (Del.) International Speedway for his career-best total at a single track on the circuit. A win Sunday would make him the winningest active driver at the half-mile oval. Johnson holds the series’ best driver rating for the track and has finished outside the top-10 only three times in 22 races.

Live dog: Dale Earnhardt Jr. (+1,200)

Earnhardt has never visited Victory Lane at Martinsville in 26 attempts, but Virginia is one of his best tracks statistically. He has led more laps at Martinsville (868) than at any other track and his 14 top-10 finishes there ranks second only to Daytona, where he's posted 15 top 10s.

Long shot: Ryan Newman (+2,500)

Ryan Newman won last year's spring race at Martinsville. After a slow start, Newman has posted a seventh-place finish at Bristol and 10th at Fontana. Newman has one win, seven top 5s and 11 top 10s in 22 races at Martinsville.

Key stat: No active driver has scored his or her first Cup win at Martinsville. Also, the race winner at Martinsville has started from the pole 20 times, the most productive starting position of any track.

Notable quotable:

"I remember the first several races I ran there (Martinsville), I ran into everything. I ran into other race cars, walls, pace cars, just about everything that could be ran into, I found it." Dale Earnhardt Jr. on his early history at Martinsville.

Odds to win the STP Gas Booster 500 courtesy of JustBet:
Jimmie Johnson 4/1
Brad Keselowski 6/1
Kyle Busch 6/1
Jeff Gordon 8/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 12/1
Kasey Kahne 12/1
Tony Stewart 12/1
Matt Kenseth 12/1
Kevin Harvick 15/1
Mark Martin 15/1
Carl Edwards 15/1
Clint Bowyer 15/1
Greg Biffle 20/1
Joey Logano 25/1
Ryan Newman 25/1
Martin Truex Jr. 30/1
Kurt Busch 40/1
Brian Vickers 40/1
Jeff Burton 50/1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 50/1
Jamie McMurray 60/1
Aric Almirola 60/1
Paul Menard 75/1
Juan Montoya 75/1
Marcos Ambrose 75/1
Danica Patrick 300/1
Regan Smith 300/1
Field 50/1

[Udog]

Final Four teams by the betting numbers

With the national semifinals this Saturday, we decided to look at all four teams traveling to Atlanta and their respective betting records this season.

Louisville Cardinals

Overall: 33-5 SU (Straight Up), 23-15 ATS (Against The Spread) 18-14 Over/Under

Postseason: 7-0 SU, 6-1 ATS, 7-0 O/U

Stats: Louisville has won its four tournament games by an average of 21.8 points.

Cardinals center Gorgui Dieng is averaging 11 points on 83 percent shooting, 7.5 rebounds, and 2.5 blocks per game in the tournament.

Wichita State Shockers

Overall: 30-8 SU, 19-14-2 ATS, 14-15 O/U

Postseason: 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS, 5-2 O/U

Stats: Wichita State is holding its opponents to 34.4 percent from the floor in the tournament, way down from its season average of 39.3 percent.

The Shockers are shooting 75.8 percent from the foul line in the tournament, significantly higher than their season average of 69.8, and better than the other remaining Final Four teams.

Michigan Wolverines

Overall: 30-7 SU, 18-16-1 ATS, 21-14 O/U

Postseason: 5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS, 4-2 O/U

Stats: Michigan is holding opponents to 24.4 percent from 3-point range in the tournament, well below its season average of 32.3.

Wooden All-American Trey Burke is averaging 15.5 points and 7.8 assists in the tournament.

Syracuse Orange

Overall: 30-9 SU, 20-15 ATS, 15-18 O/U

Postseason: 7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS, 4-4 O/U

Stats: Syracuse is yielding 45.8 points per game in the tournament, way down from its season average of 58.6.

The Orange rank 131st nationally in field goal percentage at 44 percent.

To win NCAA Championship outright (courtesy of Bet365):

Louisville -138,
Michigan +300
Syracuse +475
Wichita State +1200

[Udog]

Georgia Dome a haven for NCAAB over bettors

The NCAA tournament moves to Atlanta for the Final Four, setting up shop in the Georgia Dome for Saturday’s semifinals and Monday’s national title game.

The 1.6 million square-foot venue is no stranger to college basketball, having hosted numerous conference tournaments and two Final Four events in 2002 and 2007.

Playing in these massive football stadiums can sometimes wreak havoc on any given teams’ shooting, but the Georgia Dome has become a haven for high scores in recent years – subsequently paying out big for over bettors.

Since 2009, there have been 27 college basketball games in the Georgia Dome. Those games played to a combined 15-12 over/under mark. Teams also combined to shoot 43.4 percent from the field and 33.4 percent from 3-point range in those contests.

Shrinking that sample size from 2011 to 2013, teams shot just under 44 percent from the floor and knocked down 32.3 percent of their 3-point attempts but tipped the scales in favor of the over with an 11-5 over/under tick in those 16 games.

Looking back over the past two seasons, over bettors have really loved games in the Georgia Dome. Teams hit 48 percent from the field, shot better than 36 percent from distance and topped the total in each of the past five games inside the Georgia Dome, including big-school bouts between Kansas and Michigan State, and Kentucky and Duke as part of the Champions Classic this past November.

As for the past two Final Four weekends held in the Georgia Dome, both 2002 and 2007 produced 2-1 over/under records in their three contests with the national title game going 1-1 over/under.

This weekend’s four contenders have a combined 10-6 over/under record in the tournament, with Louisville playing over in all four games and Syracuse posting a 1-3 over/under count. The Cardinals take on Wichita State (3-1 O/U) with a total of 133 points while Syracuse battles Michigan (2-2 O/U) with a total of 131.

[Udog]

NCAA tournament trends: Betting the Final Four

Listed below are some interesting trends and angles for the Final Four and National title game as college basketball betting head to Atlanta this weekend.

All results listed below are ATS (Against The Spread) and most recent since 1991 unless noted otherwise.

FINAL FOUR NOTES

• No. 1 Seed favorites 4 > pts are 6-1 ATS (Louisville)

• No. 8 or lower Seeds are 1-4 ATS (Wichita State)

• Favorites who won by 20 > pts are 0-4 ATS (Louisville)

• Favorites 4 > pts who scored 80 > pts in Elite Eight are 1-7 ATS (Louisville)

• Teams who are 4-0 ATS last four games are 8-15 ATS (Michigan, Wichita State)

• Big East teams are 0-3 ATS since 2004 (Louisville, Syracuse)

NATIONAL TITLE GAME NOTES

• No. 1 Seed favorites are 7-2 ATS

• No. 4 Seeds are 2-0 ATS

• No. 5 or worse Seeds are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS

• Favorites of 5 < pts are 11-1 ATS

• Favorites who scored 80 > pts in the Final Four are 5-1 ATS

• Teams with a win percentage of .810 < are 1-5 ATS

• Dogs > 2 pts who allowed 60 > pts in the Final Four are 0-5 ATS

• Dogs of 3 > pts off a SU dog win are 0-4 ATS

• Big East teams are 4-0 ATS

• Big 10 teams are 0-4 ATS

COACH ME UP

Louisville’s Rick Pitino is:

47-13 SU and 36-22-3 ATS in NCAA tournament
119-52 SU and 100-66-5 ATS vs. Big East
16-11 SU and 11-16 ATS vs. Big Ten
4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS vs. MVC
8-8 SU and 4-12 ATS vs. Beilein
12-5 SU and 10-6-1 ATS vs. Boeheim
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Marshall

Michigan’s John Beilein is:

12-6 SU and 14-3-1 ATS in NCAA tournament
47-53 SU and 50-48-2 ATS vs. Big East
6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS vs. MVC
0-9 SU and 3-6 ATS vs. Boeheim
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Marshall
2-2 SU AND 1-2-1 ATS vs. Pitino

Syracuse’s Jim Boeheim is:

34-18 SU and 27-21-2 ATS in NCAA tournament
13-4 SU and 11-6 ATS vs. Big Ten
292-160 SU and 219-227-5 ATS vs. Big East
4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS vs. MVC
9-0 SU and 6-3 ATS vs. Beilein
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Marshall
1-0 5-12 SU and 6-10-1 ATS vs. Pitino

Wichita State’s Greg Marshall is:

4-1 SU and ATS in NCAA tournament
2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS vs. Big East
3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS vs. Big Ten
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Belein
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Boeheim
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Pitino

[Udog]

NCAA tournament's biggest betting mismatches: Final Four

Finding a chink in the oddsmakers’ armor is tough come tournament time. We peel back Saturday’s Final Four matchups in search of some underlying mismatches that could make or break your college basketball bets.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Syracuse Orange (+2.5, 131)

Wolverines’ four-guard set vs. Orange’s long, athletic zone

Michigan’s high-powered offense is driven by a four-guard set featuring freshman big Mitch McGary as the only starter over 6-foot-6. The Wolverines are able to play at a very quick pace, averaging nearly 75 points on 58 field goal attempts per game. Many of those come from behind the arc and Michigan may have to rely on its 3-point shooting versus Syracuse Saturday.

With the Orange’s 2-3 zone plugging up the paint, the Maize and Blue could be left with little choice but to launch from distance. Michigan is among the best 3-point shooting teams in the country and is shooting 40 percent for the tournament.

Syracuse’s long defenders forced Indiana – another premier perimeter team – to chuck up bricks from outside, limiting the Hoosiers to 3-of-15 shooting from 3-point range. The Orange defense is getting a hand up on outside shooters while slowing games to a standstill - not Michigan’s type of party. Cuse has locked down tournament foes to just 61 total field goals in its four games so far.


Wichita State Shockers vs. Louisville Cardinals (-10.5, 130.5)

Shockers’ second-chance buckets vs. Cardinals’ poor glass cleaning

Wichita State has hustled its way into the Final Four, surprising opponents and the nation with great defense, terrific team play, and relentless work on the glass. The Shockers were 25th in the country in rebounding and are especially dangerous on the offensive boards – 38th in Div. 1.

In the tournament, they’ve been out-rebounded only once (vs. Gonzaga) and more than 32 percent of their total boards are coming off the offensive glass. That’s led to plenty of second-chance looks for WSU.

Louisville has barely broken a sweat in the tournament with its closest game coming versus Oregon in the Sweet 16. The Cardinals don’t have many weaknesses but they have been soft on the boards, allowing opponents to grab 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this season.

Louisville allowed the Ducks to pull down 11 offensive rebounds and escaped with an eight-point win, it’s only blown cover since Dec. 23. The Cardinals failed to out-rebound their opponents in all but one of their five losses this season, giving up an average of 10.2 offensive boards in those games.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

SATURDAY, APRIL 6

Game 815-816: Michigan vs. Syracuse (8:49 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 76.680; Syracuse 71.864
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 5; 127
Vegas Line: Michigan by 2; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-2); Under

Game 817-818: Wichita State vs. Louisville (6:09 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 69.176; Louisville 81.395
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 12; 129
Vegas Line: Louisville by 10 1/2; 132
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-10 1/2); Under




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, April 6

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MICHIGAN (30 - 7) vs. SYRACUSE (30 - 9) - 4/6/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
MICHIGAN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
MICHIGAN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
MICHIGAN is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WICHITA ST (30 - 8) vs. LOUISVILLE (33 - 5) - 4/6/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 23-15 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 23-15 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LOUISVILLE is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
WICHITA ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
WICHITA ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WICHITA ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Saturday, April 6

NCAA Tournament, Final Four

Michigan vs. Syracuse, 8:45 ET CBS
Michigan: 8-1 ATS playing on a neutral court
Syracuse: 0-6 ATS away off a combined score of 110 points or less

Wichita State vs. Louisville, 6:05 ET CBS
Wichita State: 10-2 Over as an underdog
Louisville: 8-1 ATS away off 6+ SU wins




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 6

Louisville's backcourt is thin without injured Ware (leg), but can Wichita handle their pressure, or gets shots inside vs dominating big man Dieng? Cardinals force turnovers on 27.5% of possessions (#2 in country), are 14-0 since losing in five OTs to Notre Dame Feb 9; their tourney wins are by 31-6-8-22 points. Wichita State beat Pitt by 18 in its only game vs Big East team; they won at VCU by 2, a team that also presses a lot. Louisville is 2-0 vs MVC teams this season, beating Northern Iowa by 5, Illinois State by 3. Shockers are 5-2 vs spread as an underdog; six of their last eight games went over total, as did last eight Louisville games. Cardinals covered ten of their last eleven games.

Syracuse blocks 19.4% of opponents' shots (#1), allow only 28.2% on arc (#3 in country), as rangy, great athletes make vanilla 2-3 zone a nasty defense. Inexperienced Michigan (#342 in experience, #334 in minutes off bench) lost twice to Wisconsin, team that slows game to a halfcourt game, lot like Syracuse will, but Beilein is great tactician who will have talented players prepared here. Wolverines are 3-2 vs spread as a dog; they beat Pitt by 5, in only game vs Big East opponent. Orange upset Indiana 61-50 last week, its only game vs Big Dozen opponent. Five of last six Syracuse games stayed under the total. Michigan makes 37.9% of its 3's (#25 in country), turns ball over less than anyone in country.




NCAAB

Saturday, April 6

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Trend Report
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6:05 PM
WICHITA STATE vs. LOUISVILLE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:49 PM
MICHIGAN vs. SYRACUSE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Syracuse's last 6 games
Syracuse is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games


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NCAAB

Saturday, April 6

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Where the action is: Saturday's Final Four line moves
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Bettors have been patiently waiting for Saturday’s next chapter in the NCAA tournament and Final Four action is starting to heat up at sportsbooks.

We check in with Terry Cox, director of race and sportsbook at the Peppermill Resort Spa Casino in Reno, and online sportsbook BetDSI on the action for the much-anticipated showdowns in Atlanta.

Wichita State Shockers vs. Louisville Cardinals – Open: -10, Move: -10.5

Bettors aren’t surprised the top-ranked Cardinals have cruised into the Final Four, but nobody predicted the Shockers would fight their way to Atlanta. Heavy action is coming in Louisville at a rate of 2-to-1 at the Peppermill with the public backing the Cardinals.

“Our clients love the favorites,” Cox told Covers. “Even the double-digit dogs don’t scare them away.”

Although money continues to pour in on Louisville, Cox likes Wichita State’s chances of a back door cover.

“Louisville has added incentive with what happened to the Ware kid, but I would give the motivational edge to Wichita,” Cox notes. “They have nothing to lose and Louisville can only fail. They are expected to win it all.”

Michigan Wolverines vs. Syracuse Orange – Open: +2.5, Move: +2

This game was a suggested pick ‘em by the Nevada-based oddsmaking service The Sports Club. But many Vegas books opened tTrey Burke and the
Wolverines as 2.5-point favorites. That line has since moved to Michigan -2 where it has leveled out. The Wolverines are a perfect 4-0 ATS in the tourney to this point.

“It’s scary how evenly bet this one is,” says Cox. “It’s pretty well right down the middle on the moneyline.”

Online books are reporting the same betting trends.

"Out of the thousands of tickets bet there is a difference of eight tickets on the Michigan-Syracuse game and a difference of less than 50K," says an oddsmaker from BetDSI. "Sharps haven't touched this game at all, sides or totals."


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NCAAB

Saturday, April 6

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Scouting the Opponent: Final Four betting storylines
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We've scanned the Internet to shed some light on storylines that will impact how the games are played, and possibly how you place your wagers.

Wichita State vs. Louisville (-10.5, 133) 6:09 p.m. ET

Louisville: Eamonn Brennan of ESPN.com has an in-depth story on what makes the Cardinals good offensively and defensively with the help of a coach's eye.

Villanova assistant coach Billy Lange described what he thought was the best approach to playing Louisville:

We were talking about one specific aspect of Louisville's style -- in this case its amorphous matchup-zone defense -- and Lange was explaining that the Cardinals are so good on that end of the floor, and so able to switch defense on a whim, that you can't really devise a game plan with sets and quick-hitters the way you can most normal defenses. You have to settle for giving your players broad concepts -- protect the ball, make the extra pass, penetrate and kick -- and hope they can get it from Point A to Point B without being micromanaged.

Lange said that a team's instincts are going to be important to beat Louisville down the court. He says clearly:

"If you get robotic against them, they're going to eat you alive," Lange said. "They're going to kick your [butt]. I mean they'll just straight-up kick your [butt]."

Wichita State: "They're Marquette on steroids," Louisville coach Rick Pitino said to describe Wichita State's defense at the Final Four media interviews.

"If you grab an offensive rebound, they slap it away," he said. "They don't let you go into the paint without four guys attacking you. They are the toughest team to score against."

Pitino's sentiments were justified by C.L. Brown of The Courier-Journal:

The Shockers (30-8) held West Regional top seed Gonzaga -- a team that shot 50.1 percent for the season -- to just 35.6 percent. They frustrated the Bulldogs' top two scorers, making Kelly Olynyk take 22 shots to net 26 points and holding Elias Harris to 2-of-8 shooting.

After dispatching Gonzaga 76-70, the Shockers dismantled No. 2 Ohio State in the regional final in a similar fashion. They held the Buckeyes to a season-low 22 points in the first half.

Wichita State is holding opponents to 34 percent field goal shooting and 25 percent 3-point shooting in the tournament. Which led Pitino to say this:

"I'll say this without any exaggeration," he said. "They're the best team we will have faced this year at the defensive end."


Michigan vs. Syracuse (2, 131) 8:49 p.m. ET

Syracuse: There are only a few guarantees in life: death, taxes, Christmas falls on December 25, and Syracuse will play a 2-3 zone defense. The Orange's defense has been out of this world in the tournament, holding teams to 45.8 points a game, on 29 percent shooting from the field and 15 percent from beyond the arc.

But the question posed by Bud Poliquin of Syracuse.com, why doesn't everyone follow head coach Jim Boeheim's lead and play the 2-3 exclusively?

"I don't know," answered [assistant coach Mike] Hopkins. "Maybe coaches are on Page 172 of 'The Coaching Handbook' and it says, 'Thou shalt not play zone.' It's amazing, really, because the zone wins. I mean, just look around."

"Coach has revolutionized it," Hopkins declared. "It's not normal. He sees it differently. He's changed everything. It's not like, 'Hey, let's stand around and wave our arms and call it a zone.' There are reads and rotations and reactions. You need IQ guys to play it. It's like the batter who can hit a 100-miles-per-hour fastball. Not everybody can do it."

Why are the pieces at Syracuse's disposal suited for playing the zone at a high level?

"You've got a fifth-year senior (James Southerland) and a junior (C.J. Fair) at the forward spot," explained Mike Hopkins, Boeheim's chief aide. "You've got a guy like Baye (Moussa Keita) who's played a lot of minutes in the middle with Rakeem (Christmas). We go 6-foot-6 and 6-foot-5 in the backcourt where Brandon (Triche) is a senior and Michael (Carter-Williams) is a gargantuan. And Jerami Grant has picked it up better than any freshman I've ever seen."

Michigan: Knowing what he is going against on Saturday, Michigan head coach John Beilein is preparing his team accordingly for the zone.

He was using his reserves, including 6-foot-10 forward Blake McLimans, to play at the top of the zone to simulate the length that they will see with Orange 6-foot-6 point guard Michael Carter-Williams.

Writes Everett Cook of Michigandaily.com:

On top of that, Michigan coach John Beilein implemented a new drill for his perimeter players. A whistle sounded during offensive run throughs, and whichever Wolverine had the ball had to jack up a shot, even if they were three to four fee behind the 3-point line.

Michigan freshman guard Nik Stauskas drained all six 3-point shots against Florida in the Elite Eight and if they shoot at their tournament average of 40.2 percent from behind the arc, they have a good chance of busting the zone. Stauskas also believed its a positive to have a week to prepare for the new defense.

"Before, we got like 36 hours to cram in all this information," Stauskas said. "Sometimes, when you're sitting in film for a couple hours, all the information doesn't really sink in just because it's so much at once. Dividing it up over five or six days makes it a lot easier to take in.

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NCAAB

Saturday, April 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wichita State vs. Louisville: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Wichita State Shockers vs. Louisville Cardinals (-10, 133)

Louisville overcame a gruesome injury to one of its best players and ended up dominating Duke to reach the Final Four. To earn a spot in the championship game, the top-seeded Cardinals will have to get by Cinderella Wichita State on Saturday in the NCAA Tournament in Atlanta. The Shockers had a surprisingly easy run to the Final Four, knocking off top-seeded Gonzaga in the third round and running out to a big lead before holding off second-seeded Ohio State in the Elite 8.

The Cardinals will bring Kevin Ware with them to Atlanta and will draw inspiration from their fallen teammate, who encouraged his teammates to win even as his tibia was coming through the skin in the first half of the Elite 8 win over the Blue Devils. Ware is out of the hospital and is making his way around on crutches. Wichita doesn’t have that type of story to capture the media’s attention, but it does have a solid defensive team that will try to throttle the Cardinals’ high-octane offense. The Shockers have a balanced offense and is a strong rebounding team that will try to keep Louisville from getting out on the break.

TV: 6:09 p.m. ET, CBS

ABOUT WICHITA STATE (30-8): The Shockers are the first Missouri Valley Conference team to reach the Final Four since Larry Bird’s Indiana State team in 1979 and will be trying to become the first ninth seed to reach the National Championship game. Wichita State has played two Big East teams this season and easily handled them both, knocking off DePaul 75-62 on Nov. 20 and coasting by Pittsburgh 73-55 in the NCAA Tournament opener. Shockers guard Tekele Cotton shut down Panthers point guard Tray Woodall in that matchup and will be trying to do the same against Peyton Siva and Russ Smith on Saturday. Wichita led by as many as 20 points in the second half against Ohio State before holding on down the stretch. Cotton hit a key 3-pointer in the final minutes and Malcolm Armstead led the way with 14 points in the 70-66 triumph. The Shockers limited the Buckeyes to 31.1 percent from the field and will need a similar defensive effort to stick with the Cardinals.

ABOUT LOUISVILLE (33-5): The Cardinals, who are the overall No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament, have done nothing to suggest that the lofty ranking is anything but accurate. With Ware out, the main issue will be keeping starting point guard Siva out of foul trouble Saturday. Siva runs the break and leads a team with more speed than any other remaining squad. Smith has used his speed to evade defenders and score 20 or more points in each of the four NCAA Tournament games. The Ware injury robs Louisville of some of its depth, but the Cardinals will still go eight or nine players deep to keep the full-court press and transition offense fresh. Louisville center Gorgui Dieng has added a different element to his offensive game with a 15-foot jump shot and has gone 20-for-24 from the field in the Tournament to go along with 30 rebounds and 10 blocked shots. Coach Rick Pitino is making his seventh Final Four appearance - second straight - and will be trying to win the National Championship for the first time since guiding Kentucky in 1996.

TRENDS:

* Shockers are 4-0 ATS in their last four NCAA Tournament games.
* Cardinals are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
* Over is 4-1 in Shockers’ last five overall.
* Over is 8-0 in Cardinals’ last eight overall.

TIP-INS

1. Louisville has won 14 straight games and needs one more to set a school record for wins in a season.

2. Wichita State is in the Final Four for the first time since 1965.

3. The Cardinals have shot at least 50 percent from the field in each of their four NCAA Tournament games.


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NCAAB

Saturday, April 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Michigan vs. Syracuse: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Michigan Wolverines vs. Syracuse Orange (1.5, 131)

Syracuse’s zone defense has caused plenty of problems for opposing offenses during the NCAA Tournament. Trey Burke and Michigan will try to solve that zone when the schools meet in the Final Four in Atlanta on Saturday. Burke against Orange point guard Michael Carter-Williams is a matchup that should have NBA scouts salivating, and the two have put together some of their best performances while guiding their teams in the NCAA Tournament.

Burke carried his team back from a 14-point deficit in the second half and hit an NBA-range 3-pointer to send the game to overtime against Kansas in the Sweet 16 before settling for 15 points, eight rebounds and seven assists in a surprisingly easy victory over Florida in the Elite 8. The Orange will put Carter-Williams and Brandon Triche at the top of its zone and try to force Burke and the rest of the Wolverines to settle for jump shots. Syracuse held a team that was familiar with that zone - Big East foe Marquette - to 22.6 percent shooting in the Elite Eight victory and has limited three of its four NCAA Tournament opponents to 50 or fewer points, including two to fewer than 40.

TV: 8:49 p.m. ET, CBS

ABOUT SYRACUSE (30-9): The Orange got run off the floor by Louisville in the Big East tournament but have successfully controlled the pace during each of their four NCAA Tournament games. Carter-Williams and Triche have formed a wall at the top of the zone that has allowed James Southerland and C.J. Fair to close out on shooters while big men Rakeem Christmas and Baye Keita stay home in the middle. Syracuse allowed the Golden Eagles to make 12 field goals in the Elite Eight and Carter-Williams has racked up nine steals in the last two games. Offensively, Carter-Williams has picked his spots to shoot or distribute. The sophomore went 3-of-6 from 3-point range en route to 24 points against Indiana in the Sweet 16 but focused more on his distribution responsibilities in the 55-39 Elite 8 win over Marquette, handing out six assists while scoring 12 points. Fair was Syracuse’s leading scorer in the regular season and has averaged 13.8 points in the Tournament.

ABOUT MICHIGAN (30-7): The Wolverines are making their first trip to the Final Four since the Fab Five took the college basketball world by storm with back-to-back championship game appearances in 1992 and 1993. The 2012-13 edition of the team bears a small resemblance to the Fab Five, with athletic wing players, strong outside shooting and a big man in Mitch McGary that is willing to do the little things. McGary’s hard screens won’t be as effective against a zone defense that will likely avoid chasing Burke and company off screens, but the Wolverines will still count on McGary’s rebounding to start the break or clean up the misses on the offensive end. Should the game turn into a jump-shooting contest, Michigan guard Nik Stauskas went 6-for-6 from 3-point range against Florida and has connected on 44.9 percent from beyond the arc in a strong freshman campaign. The Wolverines have averaged 78.8 points in the Tournament and can turn to Tim Hardaway Jr. or Glenn Robinson III if Stauskas struggles from the perimeter or Burke can’t get into the lane against the zone.

TRENDS:

* Wolverines are 4-0 ATS in their last four NCAA Tournament games.
* Orange are 1-5 ATS in their last six Saturday games.
* Over is 5-1 in Wolverines’ last six games following an ATS win.
* Wolverines are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.

TIP-INS

1. Syracuse is in the Final Four for the first time since the Carmelo Anthony-led 2003 team won the National Championship.

2. Michigan is 17-0 against non-conference opponents but coach John Beilein, who spent five years as a coach in the Big East with West Virginia, is 0-9 all-time against Syracuse.

3. The winner will face Louisville or Wichita State in the National Championship game Monday.


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[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, April 6

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CHICAGO (27-5-0-4, 58 pts.) at NASHVILLE (15-15-0-8, 38 pts.) - 4/6/2013, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 11-17 ATS (-12.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 26-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 155-124 ATS (+280.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 156-142 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 18-9 ATS (+8.5 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 27-9 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 27-9 ATS (+13.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
CHICAGO is 11-1 ATS (+9.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CHICAGO is 16-3 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHICAGO is 16-3 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.
NASHVILLE is 2-8 ATS (-6.5 Units) on Saturday games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 7-7 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 7-7-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.9 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (17-17-0-3, 37 pts.) at WINNIPEG (18-19-0-2, 38 pts.) - 4/6/2013, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 208-210 ATS (-77.7 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-4 (+5.4 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 6-4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.3 Units)

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EDMONTON (16-14-0-7, 39 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (21-13-0-3, 45 pts.) - 4/6/2013, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 1-11 ATS (+16.9 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 14-22 ATS (-14.7 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 7-3 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 7-3-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+7.6 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (16-18-0-2, 34 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (18-16-0-4, 40 pts.) - 4/6/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 98-191 ATS (+351.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 262-351 ATS (-114.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 118-177 ATS (-69.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
NY ISLANDERS are 65-105 ATS (-55.5 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 7-3 (+5.3 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 7-3-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

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NY RANGERS (18-15-0-3, 39 pts.) at CAROLINA (16-18-0-2, 34 pts.) - 4/6/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 7-2 (+4.8 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 7-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.3 Units)

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BOSTON (24-8-0-4, 52 pts.) at MONTREAL (24-8-0-5, 53 pts.) - 4/6/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 24-13 ATS (+3.7 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 24-13 ATS (+3.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 29-9 ATS (+14.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 31-20 ATS (+52.2 Units) in road games after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.
BOSTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 143-123 ATS (+268.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
MONTREAL is 7-13 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 10-20 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 6-15 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 11-11 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 11-11-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
10 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.3 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

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TORONTO (20-13-0-4, 44 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (15-13-0-9, 39 pts.) - 4/6/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 184-200 ATS (+428.4 Units) in road games second half of the season since 1996.
TORONTO is 90-89 ATS (+203.3 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
TORONTO is 13-5 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 13-5 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.
NEW JERSEY is 15-22 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 15-22 ATS (+42.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
NEW JERSEY is 0-5 ATS (-5.9 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-4 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-4-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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WASHINGTON (18-17-0-2, 38 pts.) at FLORIDA (12-19-0-6, 30 pts.) - 4/6/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 25-16 ATS (+43.6 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 10-3 ATS (+6.8 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
FLORIDA is 136-163 ATS (+320.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
FLORIDA is 47-87 ATS (+154.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 28-54 ATS (+92.8 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
FLORIDA is 18-27 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 10-5 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 10-5-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.8 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

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COLORADO (12-20-0-4, 28 pts.) at PHOENIX (16-15-0-6, 38 pts.) - 4/6/2013, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 1-11 ATS (+16.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
COLORADO is 2-17 ATS (+25.9 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
PHOENIX is 11-2 ATS (+8.4 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 195-171 ATS (+19.4 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 7-2 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

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CALGARY (13-18-0-4, 30 pts.) at VANCOUVER (20-11-0-6, 46 pts.) - 4/6/2013, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 8-24 ATS (+39.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 3-13 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
VANCOUVER is 27-5 ATS (+17.2 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 31-10 ATS (+15.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 32-40 ATS (-32.2 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 202-188 ATS (-94.1 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 10-5 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 10-5-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 6

Hot teams
-- Flyers won their last four games, scoring 18 goals.
-- Oilers won five of their last six games. Los Angeles won six of last eight at home.
-- Islanders won five of last seven games. Lightning won three of their last four.
-- Bruins won their last three games, allowing two goals. Montreal won four of last five.
-- Panthers won their last three games, allowing eight goals. Washington won six of its last eight games.
-- Phoenix won three of its last four games.
-- Canucks won seven of their last nine games.

Cold teams
-- Blackhawks are 3-4 in their last seven games. Nashville lost four of last five.
-- Winnipeg lost its last five games, outscored 20-6.
-- Carolina lost ten of its last eleven games. Rangers lost six of last seven on road, scoring three goals in the six losses.
-- Devils lost their last five games, scoring nine goals. Toronto lost four of its last five road games.
-- Avalanche lost seven of its last eight games.
-- Calgary lost its last five games, outscored 22-8.

Totals
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Chicago games.
-- Five of last six Philly games went over the total; five of Winnipeg's last seven games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Edmonton games.
-- Four of last five Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-3-2 in Rangers' last thirteen games.
-- Under is 10-1-2 in last thirteen Boston games.
-- Over is 12-4-2 in last eighteen Toronto games.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Florida games.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Colorado games.
-- Under is 8-0-2 in last ten Vancouver games. Last three Calgary road games stayed under the total.

Series records
-- Blackhawks won their last three games with Nashville.
-- Flyers won their last three games against Winnipeg.
-- Kings won eight of last ten games with Edmonton.
-- Islanders won six of last eight games with Tampa Bay.
-- Rangers won their last six games with Carolina.
-- Bruins lost last two games vs Montreal after winning previous five; all seven games were decided by a single goal.
-- Maple Leafs won three of last four visits to New Jersey.
-- Panthers lost last six games with Washington, outscored 28-9.
-- Coyotes won nine of last eleven games with Colorado.
-- Flames lost four of last five visits to Vancouver.

Back-to-backs
-- Rangers are 1-3 if they played night before; they've played fewest set of back/backs in league, to this point.
-- Colorado is 1-5 if it played the night before.
-- Flames are 1-4 if they played the night before.

[Udog]

NHL

Saturday, April 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. NASHVILLE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

3:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WINNIPEG
Philadelphia is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Winnipeg is 5-18-1 SU in its last 24 games ,when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

4:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. LOS ANGELES
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Edmonton's last 8 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 8 games when playing Edmonton
Los Angeles is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home

7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 13 games
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
NY RANGERS vs. CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Rangers last 8 games on the road
NY Rangers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games at home
Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NY ISLANDERS
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the NY Islanders last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. NEW JERSEY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

7:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. FLORIDA
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida's last 8 games
Florida is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games

9:00 PM
COLORADO vs. PHOENIX
Colorado is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
Phoenix is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Phoenix is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado

10:00 PM
CALGARY vs. VANCOUVER
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Calgary's last 12 games
Calgary is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 6

Hot Teams
-- Washington won its last eight home games. Pacers won seven of their last nine games (10-3 last 13 AF).
-- Miami won 30 of its last 32 games (3-1 last four HF). 76ers won four of their last five games (8-5 last 13 AU).
-- Minnesota is 5-4 in its last nine games (5-7 last 12 HF).
-- Toronto won its last two games, allowing 78-93 points (2-5 last seven AU).
-- Denver won 18 of its last 20 games (1-3 last four HF). Rockets won four in row, nine of last 12 games (7-2 last nine U).

Cold Teams
-- Brooklyn lost three of its last four games (3-6 last nine HF). Bobcats are 3-12 vs spread in last 15 games as a road dog.
-- Pistons lost 14 of their last 16 games (6-1 last seven AU).
-- Hawks lost three of last five games (0-5 vs spread; 7-4 last 11 AU). San Antonio lost three of last four games (3-9 vs spread in last 12).
-- Milwaukee lost seven of its last eight games (2-6 last eight F).

Totals
-- Six of last eight Indiana road games went over the total; four of last five Washington games stayed under.
-- 76ers' last five games all stayed under the total.
-- 10 of last 12 Brooklyn games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Atlanta games, 10 of last 13 Spur games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last ten Toronto games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in last twelve Houston games.

Back-to-backs
-- Pacers are 6-7 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- 76ers are 5-10 vs spread on road if they played night before. Miami is 0-3 vs spread at home if it played night before.
-- Charlotte is 4-9 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Minnesota is 3-2 vs spread at home if it played night before.
-- Atlanta is 6-4 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Raptors are 9-5 vs spread if they played night before. Milwaukee
-- Houston is 4-7 vs spread on road if it played night before.

[Udog]

NBA

Saturday, April 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. WASHINGTON
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games when playing at home against Indiana
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana

7:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. BROOKLYN
Charlotte is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Brooklyn's last 12 games

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home

8:00 PM
DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
Detroit is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Detroit is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
Minnesota is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Detroit

8:30 PM
TORONTO vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games

8:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. SAN ANTONIO
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
San Antonio is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

9:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 12 games
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games
Denver is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games


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[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 6

Hot pitchers
-- Niese is 3-1, 2.53 RA in his last five starts.
-- Vogelsong is 4-0, 1.09 in his last four starts. Miller allowed one hit in six scoreless IP in his only MLB start.
-- Kershaw is 4-3, 1.36 in his last nine starts.

-- Mendoza is 1-1, 2.77 in his last four starts. Lannan is 4-1, 4.13 in his last six starts.

-- Happ is 2-1, 3.47 in his last four starts.
-- FHernandez blanked Oakland on three hits for 7.2 innings Monday; he did not finish '12 well, but given his track record, we'll disregard that. Axelrod has a 1-0, 1.93 mark in his last couple starts (last one 8/29/12).
-- Scherzer is 1-0, 2.11 in his last four starts.
-- Tillman is 2-1, 2.16 in his last four starts.
-- Cobb is 4-1, 2.91 in his last seven starts.
-- Colon is 4-1, 2.10 in his last five starts (last one 8/18/12). Norris is 3-0, 0.95 in his last three outings.

Cold pitchers
-- Detwiler is 1-2, 8.78 in his last three starts. Leake is 1-2, 6.31 in his last five outings.
-- Nolasco is 0-2, 4.70 in his last four starts.
-- Villanueva is 0-3, 8.10 in his last five starts. Teheran is 1-1, 4.91 in his four major league starts.
-- Corbin is 1-2, 5.81 in his last five starts. Fiers is 0-3, 7.85 in his last four.
-- Ross is 0-3, 8.80 in his last three starts. Garland is 0-4, 4.76 in his last six.
-- Burnett is 1-6, 4.06 in his last seven starts.

-- Lackey is 2-4, 7.56 in his last nine starts (last one, 9/25/11).
-- Hughes is 1-2, 5.19 in his last five starts.
-- Hanson is 1-5, 6.21 in his last eight starts. Harrison is 1-2, 6.62 in his last three outings.
-- Worley is 0-3, 5.57 in his last four starts.
-- Bauer is 1-2, 7.16 in four major league starts.

Totals
-- Last three Cincinnati games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Nolasco's last eight starts.
-- Five of last seven Vogelsong starts stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Villanueva road starts went over total.
-- Five of last six Corbin starts went over the total.
-- Five of last six Garland starts stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Burnett starts stayed under the total.

-- Six of last eight Mendoza starts went over the total.

-- Six of Happ's last eight starts stayed under the total.
-- Last four Mariner games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Scherzer starts.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in Hanson's last five road starts.
-- Five of last seven Worley starts stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Cobb starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Norris starts.

Hot teams
-- Cincinnati won its last three games, scoring 25 runs. Nationals won three of their first four games.
-- Giants won last three games, allowing total of three runs.
-- Braves won three of their first four games.
-- Arizona won three of its first four games.
-- Colorado won its last three games, scoring 20 runs.

-- Royals won last two games, allowing five runs.

-- Red Sox won three of their first four games.
-- Rangers won last three games, allowing two runs.
-- Baltimore won three of its first four games.
-- Oakland won its last three games, scoring 22 runs.

Cold teams
-- Miami lost three of its first four games. Mets lost last two games, scoring total of six runs.
-- Cardinals lost three of their first four games.
-- Milwaukee lost last three games, allowing 18 runs.
-- Padres lost three of their last four games.
-- Pittsburgh lost three of its first four games.

-- Phillies lost three of first four games, allowing 29 runs.

-- Blue Jays lost three of their first four games.
-- White Sox lost last two games, allowing 11 runs.
-- Bronx Bombers lost three of first four games.
-- Angels lost their last three games, scoring ten runs.
-- Indians lost their last two games, allowing 14 runs.
-- Astros lost their last three games, scoring two runs.

Umpires
-- Wsh-Cin-- Three of last four McClelland games stayed under.
-- Mia-NY-- Nine of last eleven Joyce games went over total.
-- StL-SF-- Home side won five of last six Hernandez games.
-- Chi-Atl-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five TBarrett games.
-- Az-Mil-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Holbrook games.
-- SD-Colo-- Eight of last eleven Darling games stayed under.
-- Pitt-LA-- Favorites won seven of last nine Davis games.

-- KC-Phil-- Under is 17-3-1 in last 21 Kellogg games.

-- Bos-Tor-- Home side is 20-10 in Hirschbeck's last thirty games.
-- Sea-Chi-- Underdogs won six of last eight Nelson games.
-- NY-Det-- Five of last seven Layne games went over the total.
-- LA-Tex-- Five of last seven Bell games stayed under the total.
-- Min-Balt-- Visiting team won seven of last eight Hallion games.
-- Clev-TB-- Underdog won three of last four Scott games.
-- A's-Hst-- Favorites won 11 of TWelke's last 14 games.

[Udog]

MLB

Saturday, April 6

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Trend Report
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1:07 PM
BOSTON vs. TORONTO
Boston is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games at home
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston

1:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Chi White Sox are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games at home
Chi White Sox are 15-3 SU in their last 18 games when playing at home against Seattle

1:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CINCINNATI
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

1:10 PM
MIAMI vs. NY METS
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets are 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

4:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. TEXAS
LA Angels are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Angels's last 13 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Texas's last 13 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels

4:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
St. Louis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis

4:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. DETROIT
NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road
NY Yankees are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Detroit is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

7:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. PHILADELPHIA
Kansas City is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

7:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. BALTIMORE
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Baltimore is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Minnesota

7:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. TAMPA BAY
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Tampa Bay is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Cleveland

7:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home

7:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. MILWAUKEE
Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona

7:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. HOUSTON
Oakland is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Houston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

8:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. COLORADO
San Diego is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Colorado
San Diego is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Colorado's last 12 games at home
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. LA DODGERS
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games


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