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Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 3/21 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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  • Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 3/21 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, March 21

    Good Luck on day #80 of 2013!

    At this time, the sports menu in this thread consists of NBA and NCAAB until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Matchup Links

    NBA Matchups

    NBA Hot and Not

    NBA Injuries

    NBA Referees

    NCAAB Matchups

    NCAAB Hot and Not

    NCAAB Injuries

    NHL Matchups

    NHL Injuries

    NHL Hot and Not

    NASCAR Schedules

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    According to Forbes Magazine, the six most valuable college basketball programs:

    6) Indiana Hoosiers are worth $21.8M; LY’s profit, $14.4M.

    5) Ohio State Buckeyes are worth $23.1M; LY’s profit, $13.6M.

    4) Kentucky Wildcats are worth $32.1M; LY’s profit, $19.9M.

    3) North Carolina Tar Heels are worth $32.8M; LY’s profit, $19.9M.

    2) Kansas Jayhawks are worth $32.9M; LY’s profit, $19.9M.

    1) Louisville Cardinals are worth $38.5M; LY’s profit: $24.5M.


    *****

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Welcome to the best four days of the year.......

    13) Why do I get the idea that for the next four days, unless something really big happens, Joe Biden is running the country?

    12) So when Robert Morris beat Kentucky at home Tuesday, it set off one of the better court rushes of alltime; ESPN interviewed coach Andy Toole on the court about what the win means. Would’ve been awesome if he had just looked into the camera and said truthfully,

    “It means I’m getting a better job!!!”

    This is the unusual case of a team being better off in the NIT than the NCAA’s, they got lot of extra publicity out of beating Kentucky.

    11) Robert Morris’ win will set non-conference scheduling back, as the big boys will turn their nose up at true road games, even moreso than they do now. When was the last time Kentucky played a true road game in a gym that seats less than 5,000 people?

    10) Since 1993, Louisville is 3-11-1 vs spread in its first tournament game; this is just their second #1 seed- they beat Morehead State by 20 (-20.5) in first round, the other time they were a 1-seed.

    9) So couple years after the Carmelo Anthony trade, did one side get the better of it? Knicks are 39-26, but have oldest roster in league, they’ve lost four of last five games and are looking into signing Hawkeye Pierce to take care of their MASH unit full of injured players.

    Denver is 47-22, has won 13 games in a row and appears to be a legit threat in the West. I’m thinking Denver got the better of the deal.

    Feel bad for Mike Woodson though; he’s a very good coach saddled with an old team that ain’t getting healthier as the playoffs approach.

    8) There are 21 Division I basketball schools in Texas, none made the tournament, first time Lone Star State got blanked since 1977, when it was a 32-team tourney. Damn, I was in high school back then.

    7) Youngstown State made an astounding 18-35 behind arc in its 99-87 win over defenseless Oakland Tuesday. LMU made 21 treys vs Michigan in second round of the 1990 tournament, and from what I can tell, that is the most treys any team has made in a D-I college game.

    6) Hockey legend Bobby Orr, who was Wayne Gretzky before Gretzky, but as a defenseman, turned 65 this week. Orr was one of my first childhood heroes; boy could he skate!!!

    Knee injuries shortened his career. I met him in 1986; very nice man, but he could hardly walk, his knees were so bad. Orr turned the Bruins around almost single-handedly; he is still revered in Boston.

    5) An umpire broke his hand in a spring training game, so one of the other umps went in to put his chest protector on to take his place behind the plate. Veteran ump Tim McClelland, in order to keep the exhibition game moving, called balls/strikes from behind the pitcher for four batters, until the other ump was ready to go. That’s what they do in Little League!!!

    4) NFL might play the Pro Bowl by having captains choose up sides, like we did on the playgrounds as kids. Whatever, I’m still not watching. Choosing up sides would be intriguing for the NBA All-Star Game, though.

    3) Listening to Bill Walton working SF Austin-Stanford NIT game Tuesday, it occurred to me that I’d love to be as positive about everything as he is. Not everyone can be that way, but I enjoy his TV work very much.

    2) Stephen F Austin University is in Nacogdoches, TX; they lost Southland finals to Northwestern State, which is in Natchitoches, LA.

    Say that three times fast.

    1) The next four days are among my most favorite of the year; I plan on doing nothing but watching basketball, eating and talking to friends about basketball and eating. Enjoy the tournament!!!!

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Dunkel


      Akron vs. VCU
      The Rams look to build on their 11-1 ATS record in their last 12 NCAA tournament games. VCU is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Rams favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: VCU (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

      THURSDAY, MARCH 21

      Game 707-708: North Carolina A&T vs. Louisville (6:50 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina A&T 50.898; Louisville 78.019
      Dunkel Line: Louisville by 27; 119
      Vegas Line: Louisville by 25 1/2; 123 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-25 1/2); Under

      Game 709-710: Missouri vs. Colorado State (9:20 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 67.227; Colorado State 66.212
      Dunkel Line: Missouri by 1; 145
      Vegas Line: Missouri by 3; 142 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+3); Over

      Game 711-712: Davidson vs. Marquette (3:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 64.840; Marquette 66.761
      Dunkel Line: Marquette by 2; 128
      Vegas Line: Marquette by 3 1/2; 133
      Dunkel Pick: Davidson (+3 1/2); Under

      Game 713-714: Bucknell vs. Butler (12:40 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Bucknell 60.135; Butler 62.042
      Dunkel Line: Butler by 2; 127
      Vegas Line: Butler by 3 1/2; 122
      Dunkel Pick: Bucknell (+3 1/2); Over

      Game 715-716: Valparaiso vs. Michigan State (12:15 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 61.969; Michigan State 73.335
      Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 11 1/2; 129
      Vegas Line: Michigan State by 10 1/2; 126
      Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-10 1/2); Over

      Game 717-718: St. Mary's vs. Memphis (2:45 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's 69.277; Memphis 67.195
      Dunkel Line: St. Mary's by 2; 134
      Vegas Line: Memphis by 1; 138
      Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (+1); Under

      Game 719-720: Akron vs. VCU (9:45 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Akron 58.834; VCU 68.177
      Dunkel Line: VCU by 9 1/2; 130
      Vegas Line: VCU by 7 1/2; 134 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: VCU (-7 1/2); Under

      Game 721-722: South Dakota State vs. Michigan (7:15 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 59.139; Michigan 68.777
      Dunkel Line: Michigan by 9 1/2; 144
      Vegas Line: Michigan by 11 1/2; 139
      Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (+11 1/2); Over

      Game 723-724: Southern vs. Gonzaga (4:10 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Southern 52.744; Gonzaga 72.285
      Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 19 1/2; 121
      Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 22 1/2; 126 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Southern (+22 1/2); Under

      Game 725-726: Wichita State vs. Pittsburgh (1:40 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 65.119; Pittsburgh 67.699
      Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 122
      Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 4 1/2; 118 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (+4 1/2); Over

      Game 727-728: Harvard vs. New Mexico (9:50 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 56.144; New Mexico 66.199
      Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 10; 130
      Vegas Line: New Mexico by 11 1/2; 125
      Dunkel Pick: Harvard (+11 1/2); Over

      Game 729-730: Belmont vs. Arizona (7:20 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 62.630; Arizona 65.486
      Dunkel Line: Arizona by 3; 136
      Vegas Line: Arizona by 4 1/2; 140
      Dunkel Pick: Belmont (+4 1/2); Under

      Game 731-732: Oregon vs. Oklahoma State (4:40 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 65.241; Oklahoma State 66.443
      Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 1; 138
      Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 3 1/2; 134 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+3 1/2); Over

      Game 733-734: New Mexico State vs. St. Louis (2:10 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 61.954; St. Louis 72.249
      Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 10 1/2; 118
      Vegas Line: St. Louis by 8 1/2; 122
      Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-8 1/2); Under

      Game 735-736: California vs. UNLV (7:27 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: California 62.529; UNLV 67.049
      Dunkel Line: UNLV by 4 1/2
      Vegas Line: UNLV by 2 1/2; 131
      Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-2 1/2)

      Game 737-738: Montana vs. Syracuse (9:57 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Montana 56.818; Syracuse 68.500
      Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 11 1/2; 133
      Vegas Line: Syracuse by 13; 127 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Montana (+13); Over

      Game 739-740: Denver at Maryland (7:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Denver 64.696; Maryland 71.146
      Dunkel Line: Maryland by 6 1/2; 124
      Vegas Line: Maryland by 3 1/2; 128
      Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-3 1/2); Under

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Thursday, March 21


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        MISSOURI (23 - 10) vs. COLORADO ST (25 - 8) - 3/21/2013, 9:20 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MISSOURI is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
        COLORADO ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        COLORADO ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        DAVIDSON (26 - 7) vs. MARQUETTE (23 - 8) - 3/21/2013, 3:10 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MARQUETTE is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
        MARQUETTE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
        MARQUETTE is 187-144 ATS (+28.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
        MARQUETTE is 111-83 ATS (+19.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
        MARQUETTE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
        MARQUETTE is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
        DAVIDSON is 67-38 ATS (+25.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        BUCKNELL (28 - 5) vs. BUTLER (26 - 8) - 3/21/2013, 12:40 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BUTLER is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
        BUTLER is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
        BUTLER is 17-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
        BUTLER is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
        BUTLER is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
        BUTLER is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
        BUTLER is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
        BUTLER is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
        BUTLER is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
        BUTLER is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        VALPARAISO (26 - 7) vs. MICHIGAN ST (25 - 8) - 3/21/2013, 12:15 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MICHIGAN ST is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        VALPARAISO is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after a conference game this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        AKRON (26 - 6) vs. VA COMMONWEALTH (26 - 8) - 3/21/2013, 9:45 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games in first round tournament games since 1997.
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
        AKRON is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        AKRON is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        AKRON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
        AKRON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
        AKRON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
        AKRON is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
        AKRON is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        AKRON is 1-0 against the spread versus VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons
        VA COMMONWEALTH is 1-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        S DAKOTA ST (25 - 9) vs. MICHIGAN (26 - 7) - 3/21/2013, 7:15 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MICHIGAN is 54-38 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        MICHIGAN is 54-38 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        MICHIGAN is 45-30 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
        S DAKOTA ST is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        S DAKOTA ST is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        S DAKOTA ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
        S DAKOTA ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        S DAKOTA ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        SOUTHERN U (23 - 9) vs. GONZAGA (31 - 2) - 3/21/2013, 4:10 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        GONZAGA is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        GONZAGA is 1-0 straight up against SOUTHERN U over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        WICHITA ST (26 - 8) vs. PITTSBURGH (24 - 8) - 3/21/2013, 1:40 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        HARVARD (19 - 9) vs. NEW MEXICO (29 - 5) - 3/21/2013, 9:50 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        HARVARD is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) in March games since 1997.
        HARVARD is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 7 or more days rest since 1997.
        HARVARD is 85-117 ATS (-43.7 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
        NEW MEXICO is 43-20 ATS (+21.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW MEXICO is 43-20 ATS (+21.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW MEXICO is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
        NEW MEXICO is 38-15 ATS (+21.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW MEXICO is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
        NEW MEXICO is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW MEXICO is 26-8 ATS (+17.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW MEXICO is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        NEW MEXICO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
        NEW MEXICO is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW MEXICO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
        HARVARD is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        BELMONT (26 - 6) vs. ARIZONA (25 - 7) - 3/21/2013, 7:20 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BELMONT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
        BELMONT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
        BELMONT is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
        BELMONT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        ARIZONA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        OREGON (26 - 8) vs. OKLAHOMA ST (24 - 8) - 3/21/2013, 4:40 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OREGON is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
        OKLAHOMA ST is 160-125 ATS (+22.5 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
        OKLAHOMA ST is 92-61 ATS (+24.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
        OKLAHOMA ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
        OKLAHOMA ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        NEW MEXICO ST (24 - 10) vs. SAINT LOUIS (27 - 6) - 3/21/2013, 2:10 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SAINT LOUIS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games this season.
        SAINT LOUIS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
        SAINT LOUIS is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
        SAINT LOUIS is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
        SAINT LOUIS is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
        SAINT LOUIS is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
        SAINT LOUIS is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        SAINT LOUIS is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
        SAINT LOUIS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        NEW MEXICO ST is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in March games since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
        --------------------------------------------------------------------


        CALIFORNIA (20 - 11) vs. UNLV (25 - 9) - 3/21/2013, 7:25 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CALIFORNIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest this season.
        CALIFORNIA is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
        CALIFORNIA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
        UNLV is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        UNLV is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        UNLV is 22-33 ATS (-14.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        UNLV is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        UNLV is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        UNLV is 2-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
        UNLV is 2-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        MONTANA (25 - 6) vs. SYRACUSE (26 - 9) - 3/21/2013, 9:55 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MONTANA is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        MONTANA is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        MONTANA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in March games this season.
        MONTANA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        MONTANA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Friday, March 22

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        ALBANY (24 - 10) vs. DUKE (27 - 5) - 3/22/2013, 12:15 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        DUKE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
        DUKE is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
        DUKE is 44-69 ATS (-31.9 Units) in March games since 1997.
        DUKE is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        CINCINNATI (22 - 11) vs. CREIGHTON (27 - 7) - 3/22/2013, 2:45 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CINCINNATI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
        CINCINNATI is 92-124 ATS (-44.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
        CINCINNATI is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
        CREIGHTON is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons.
        CREIGHTON is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
        CINCINNATI is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
        CINCINNATI is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        FLA GULF COAST (24 - 10) vs. GEORGETOWN (25 - 6) - 3/22/2013, 6:50 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        GEORGETOWN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
        GEORGETOWN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
        GEORGETOWN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        GEORGETOWN is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
        FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
        FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        OKLAHOMA (20 - 11) vs. SAN DIEGO ST (22 - 10) - 3/22/2013, 9:20 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SAN DIEGO ST is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
        SAN DIEGO ST is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        TEMPLE (23 - 9) vs. NC STATE (24 - 10) - 3/22/2013, 1:40 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NC STATE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
        NC STATE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
        NC STATE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
        NC STATE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
        NC STATE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
        NC STATE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
        NC STATE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
        NC STATE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in first round tournament games since 1997.
        TEMPLE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        IONA (20 - 13) vs. OHIO ST (26 - 7) - 3/22/2013, 7:15 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OHIO ST is 38-26 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        OHIO ST is 38-26 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        OHIO ST is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
        OHIO ST is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        OHIO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
        OHIO ST is 202-155 ATS (+31.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
        OHIO ST is 131-95 ATS (+26.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        IOWA ST (22 - 11) vs. NOTRE DAME (25 - 9) - 3/22/2013, 9:45 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        IOWA ST is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        IOWA ST is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        IOWA ST is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        IOWA ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
        IOWA ST is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        W KENTUCKY (20 - 15) vs. KANSAS (29 - 5) - 3/22/2013, 9:50 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        W KENTUCKY is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        W KENTUCKY is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
        KANSAS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
        W KENTUCKY is 49-27 ATS (+19.3 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
        W KENTUCKY is 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) in March games since 1997.
        W KENTUCKY is 49-27 ATS (+19.3 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
        W KENTUCKY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        VILLANOVA (20 - 13) vs. N CAROLINA (24 - 10) - 3/22/2013, 7:20 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        VILLANOVA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
        N CAROLINA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
        N CAROLINA is 131-99 ATS (+22.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
        N CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
        VILLANOVA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
        VILLANOVA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        OLE MISS (26 - 8) vs. WISCONSIN (23 - 11) - 3/22/2013, 12:40 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WISCONSIN is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
        OLE MISS is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
        OLE MISS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        NORTHWESTERN ST (23 - 8) vs. FLORIDA (26 - 7) - 3/22/2013, 7:25 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        FLORIDA is 98-70 ATS (+21.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
        FLORIDA is 60-35 ATS (+21.5 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        MINNESOTA (20 - 12) vs. UCLA (25 - 9) - 3/22/2013, 9:55 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MINNESOTA is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
        MINNESOTA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        PACIFIC (22 - 12) vs. MIAMI (27 - 6) - 3/22/2013, 2:10 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MIAMI is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games this season.
        MIAMI is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
        MIAMI is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
        MIAMI is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
        MIAMI is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
        MIAMI is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
        MIAMI is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


        COLORADO (21 - 11) vs. ILLINOIS (22 - 12) - 3/22/2013, 4:40 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ILLINOIS is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
        COLORADO is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        ILLINOIS is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        ILLINOIS is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        ILLINOIS is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        ILLINOIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
        ILLINOIS is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Short Sheet

          Thursday, March 21


          NCAA Tournament Betting Trends

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          North Carolina A&T vs. Louisville, 6:50 ET TBS
          North Carolina A&T:
          Louisville:

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Missouri vs. Colorado State, 9:20 ET TBS
          Missouri: 17-6 ATS off an ATS loss
          Colorado State: 5-13 ATS off 5+ games committing 14 or less turnovers

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Davidson vs. Marquette, 3:10 ET TRUTV
          Davidson: 3-10 ATS off an ATS win
          Marquette: 9-0 ATS off a conference loss

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Bucknell vs. Butler, 12:40 ET TRUTV
          Bucknell: 2-10 ATS off 4+ games committing 14 or less turnovers
          Butler: 17-3 ATS playing on a neutral court

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Valparaiso vs. Michigan State, 12:15 ET CBS
          Valparaiso: 3-11 ATS off 4+ wins
          Michigan State: 22-8 ATS off a loss by 3 points or less

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          TBD vs. Memphis, 2:45 ET TRUTV
          TBD:
          Memphis:

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Akron vs. Virginia Commonwealth, 9:45 ET CBS
          Akron: 14-4 ATS in tournament games
          VA Commonwealth: 0-7 ATS away off a SU loss

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          South Dakota State vs. Michigan, 7:15 ET CBS
          South Dakota State: 20-10 ATS off BB conference games
          Michigan: 5-12 ATS off BB conference games

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Southern vs. Gonzaga, 4:10 ET TBS
          Southern: 1-6 ATS off BB games scoring 30 or less first-half points
          Gonzaga: 8-1 Under off a conference game

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Wichita State vs. Pittsburgh, 1:40 ET TBS
          Wichita State: 3-18 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less
          Pittsburgh: 10-2 ATS away off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Harvard vs. New Mexico, 9:50 ET TNT
          Harvard: 6-16 ATS playing with 7+ days rest
          New Mexico: 10-0 ATS off 3+ games allowing 60 points or less

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Belmont vs. Arizona, 7:20 ET TNT
          Belmont: 0-6 ATS in March
          Arizona: 6-0 Under vs. non-conference opponents

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Oregon vs. Oklahoma State, 4:40 ET TNT
          Oregon: 2-8 ATS off BB conference wins
          Oklahoma State: 8-2 ATS off an Under

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          New Mexico State vs. St. Louis, 2:10 ET TNT
          New Mexico State: 16-4 ATS away off BB Unders
          St. Louis: 5-16 ATS away off BB games with a combined score of 125 or less points

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          California vs. UNLV, 7:25 ET TRUTV
          California: 21-7 ATS away off BB conference losses
          UNLV: 0-8 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Montana vs. Syracuse, 9:55 ET TRUTV
          Montana: 9-2 ATS off an Under
          Syracuse: 8-19 ATS off 5+ games forcing 14 or less turnovers


          Friday, March 22, 2013


          NCAA Tournament Betting Trends

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Albany vs. Duke, 12:15 ET CBS
          Albany: 7-0 ATS away after winning 3 of their last 4 games
          Duke: 15-28 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Cincinnati vs. Creighton, 2:45 ET CBS
          Cincinnati: 5-14 ATS off a conference game
          Creighton: 8-1 ATS away off an ATS win

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Florida Gulf Coast vs. Georgetown, 6:50 ET TBS
          Florida GC: 6-0 ATS in March
          Georgetown: 7-1 Under after winning 2 of their last 3 games

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Oklahoma vs. San Diego State, 9:20 ET TBS
          Oklahoma: 1-11 ATS away off BB losses
          San Diego State: 8-2 Over as a favorite

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          TBD vs. Indiana, 4:10 ET TBS
          TBD:
          Indiana:

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Temple vs. NC State, 1:40 ET TBS
          Temple: 7-1 Over as an underdog
          NC State: 9-2 ATS after allowing 80+ points

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Iona vs. Ohio State, 7:15 ET CBS
          Iona: 9-21 ATS off a win by 3 points or less
          Ohio State: 20-9 ATS off an Under

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Iowa State vs. Notre Dame, 9:45 ET CBS
          Iowa State: 11-3 ATS off a conference loss
          Notre Dame: 7-17 ATS away after winning 2 of their last 3 games

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Western Kentucky vs. Kansas, 9:50 ET TNT
          Western Kentucky: 2-8 ATS away after having 9 or less assists
          Kansas: 13-6 ATS off BB conference games

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Villanova vs. North Carolina, 7:20 ET TNT
          Villanova: 7-19 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games
          North Carolina: 8-1 ATS off a conference loss

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Mississippi vs. Wisconsin, 12:40 ET TRUTV
          Mississippi: 12-3 Over with a total of 129.5 points or less
          Wisconsin: 15-6 ATS after scoring 55 points or less

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          TBD vs. Kansas State, 3:10 ET TRUTV
          TBD:
          Kansas State:

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Northwestern State vs. Florida, 7:25 ET TRUTV
          Northwestern State: 10-2 Over off BB conference games
          Florida: 2-8 ATS after making 45% or less of their free throw attempts

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Minnesota vs. UCLA, 9:55 ET TRUTV
          Minnesota: 9-21 ATS away off 3+ ATS losses
          UCLA: 6-0 Over after having 9 or less assists

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Pacific vs. Miami FL, 2:10 ET TNT
          Pacific: 3-11 ATS away off BB wins
          Miami FL: 15-6 ATS as a favorite

          NCAA Tournament, Second Round
          Colorado vs. Illinois, 4:40 ET TNT
          Colorado: 15-5 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
          Illinois: 0-6 ATS playing with 5 or 6 days rest

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Thursday, March 21


            Thursday's NCAA games

            Day games

            Valparaiso is most experienced team in country, with two juniors and six seniors in rotation; Crusaders won last six games and 16 of last 18, but lost by hoop at Nebraska, one of worst teams in Big Dozen. Michigan State is 3-4 in last seven games, with all four losses to teams in top 15; they beat Loyola by 12, in only game vs Horizon foe. Spartans played toughest schedule in country; since 2000, Izzo is 3-2 as double digit favorite in this round, but covered just one of last four first round games. Last six years, #3 seeds are 16-8 against spread in this round; first round favorites of between 10-20 points are 27-22 vs spread.

            Since 2001, Patriot League teams are 9-3 vs spread in this round, 2-1 if a single digit underdog; LY, Lehigh upset Duke in 2-15 game. Bucknell has a good resume, beating Purdue-New Mexico State-Kent State-LaSalle, losing by hoop at Missouri- this is highest seed for Patriot squad since Bucknell (+4) upset Arkansas 59-55 in an '09 8-9 game. Last four years, dogs are 11-5 vs spread in 6-11 games; since '09, first round underdogs of 5 or less points are 38-19 vs spread. Butler is 10-6 last 16 games after a 16-2 start; Stevens is master when given prep time- Butler was 3-1 as a favorite in two years they went to Finals (dog in six of ten wins).

            Over last six years, underdogs are 18-6 vs spread in 8-9 games; since '99, underdogs of 4+ points are 5-2 in 8-9 games. Since '89, dogs are 16-8 SU in the 8-9 game in West region. Pitt missed tourney LY, then played the #339 non-league schedule this year; Dixon is 7-1 in first round tilts (5-3 vs spread), but all seven wins were as 5-seed or higher, loss as 9-seed to Pacific in '05. Wichita split its last six games, losing to Creighton twice; they lost to VCU in 5-12 game LY, their first tourney under Marshall. This figures to be a physical, low-scoring game. First round underdogs of 5 or less points are 38-19 against the spread.

            Saint Louis played in Brooklyn last weekend, winning final on Sunday, now has early Thursday game in San Jose, not easiest travel schedule for veteran team that is fashionable pick as Final Foul sleeper. Billikens had rough 3-3 start, but are on 15-1 run now- they've got four juniors, three seniors in rotation, are in top 20 in country at getting to foul line, which could hurt if game isn't called tight. #4 seed in Midwest got upset four of last five years; other #4's are 9-6 vs spread (13-2 SU) during that time. New Mexico State has 7-5 freshman center; they've won 18 of 20 after a 6-8 start, are #3 team in country getting to line, but their best assist guy (Watson) has been injured. Aggies were in Vegas last week; less travel.

            Davidson is very well-coached; they made run to Elite 8 in ’08 with Steph Curry, but those are SoCon’s only tournament wins since ’97. Since ’02, Wildcats are 1-4 in first round, losing by 5-8-12-7 points (lost 69-62 (+7) to Louisville LY). Marquette is 4-1 in last five first round games, winning last two years by 11-20 points (won 88-68 (-6) as 3-seed LY). Wildcats won last 17 games; they went 6-6 vs #16 non-conference schedule; best teams they beat were #83 Richmond, #85 Vandy. Marquette won six of last eight games, but lost in first Big East tourney game. First-round underdogs of 5 or less points are 38-19 vs spread, but over last 14 years, #3’s are 53-3 SU in this round.

            Lot of pressure on Memphis coach Pastner, who went 19-0 in C-USA but has yet to win NCAA game, losing by 2-7 points last two years as replacement for Calipari, who was 12-3 in NCAAs three years prior to that. Tigers lost non-league game 64-62 at Xavier Feb 26, only loss since Dec 15 at home to Louisville. Memphis plays at #28 tempo; they'll try to wear down St Mary's with their better athletes. St Mary's played three starters 35+ minutes in methodical win Tuesday over an athletic Middle Tennessee team; Gaels are 24-4 in last 28 games, losing all three games with Gonzaga, by 5-17-14 points. Over last four years, underdogs are 11-5 vs spread in 6-11 games. St Mary's is 3-4 in NCAA games under Bennett, upsetting #2 Villanova on short prep time after beating #7 Richmond two days earlier, scenario similar to this one.

            This is first time in five years the SWAC rep hasn’t gone to play-in game; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six regular first-round games, losing last two by 43-41 points. Southern won 22 of last 26 games after its 1-6 start, losing to Iowa State by 23, Nebraska by 11, Wyoming by 7- they won at Texas A&M. Jaguars have #2 eFG% in country (41.6%) but no one in SWAC can shoot. From 2004-6, Gonzaga was #2-3-3 seed, won first round games by 27-10-4 points; this is its first #1 seed. Bulldogs are 11-0 vs teams ranked outside top 150, with 10 of 11 wins by 16+ points; they could be looking ahead to second round, vs Pitt/Wichita winner. Over last five years, #1’s are 13-7 vs spread in this round.

            Oregon was 17-2 when PG Artis hurt his foot; they went 5-4 while he was out, are 4-2 since he came back, but 14 minutes he played in Pac-12 title game, and totals of 7-24 from floor, 2-11 inside arc since he came back indicate he isn’t close to 100%. Oklahoma State is in NCAAs for first time in three years, third time in seven years since Eddie Sutton retired; they won 12 of last 15 games, have one of two best freshmen in country in Smart (4-19 from arc in their last three losses, 3.4 3’s/game (13-41) in their last 12 wins). Last five years, underdogs are 12-8 vs spread in 5-12 games; since 1994, dogs are 15-4 vs spread in 5-12 Midwest game. Ducks took advantage of Jordan Adams’ injury to beat UCLA Saturday; 12-seed says they might be in NIT had they lost that game.

            Night games
            Since 1993, Louisville is 3-11-1 vs spread in first round games, losing in first round two of last three years; only other time they were a #1 seed, Cardinals (-20.5) beat Morehead State by 20. North Carolina A&T used four starters 31+ minutes in 73-72 play-in win Tuesday; Aggies lost at Cincinnati 93-39 in its only game against a Big East team. A&T is in serious trouble vs Louisville; they turn it over 22.5% of time, bad news vs Cardinal club that forces turnovers 27.6% of time, #2 in US. #1 seeds are 13-7 vs spread in this round, over last five years. Louisville is 3-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200 this season, winning by 26-41-52 points; they had 44-10 run in second half vs Syracuse, after being down 15 early in second half. Question is, will they let down after winning conference tournament, and looking ahead to winner of Missouri-Colorado State?

            South Dakota State is solid offensive team that won at New Mexico, lost by 3 at Alabama, but also lost at Hofstra/Bakersfield. Jackrabbits make 39.4% behind arc, are #26 in eFG% (53.5%) but also lost by 24 at Minnesota, in their only game vs Big Dozen team. State doesn’t sub much, but is #43 experience team in country, while Michigan is #338. Wolverines (two juniors, no seniors in rotation) went 6-6 in last 12 games, after starting season 20-1; six of its seven losses came vs top 10 teams. Michigan is 2-1 in first round under Beilein, winning by 3-30, with dog covering all three games- they lost as 4-seed to Ohio LY. Last seven years, #4 seeds are 17-11 vs spread in this round. Summit League teams are 0-5 last five years, 2-3 vs spread, losing by 19-10-23-4-8 points, all as 13-14 seeds. Playing in Auburn Hills can’t hurt Michigan.

            Belmont is in NCAAs for 6th time since 2006; they’re 0-5 SU, 1-4 vs spread, losing by 34-25-1-14-15 points, with only cover 71-70 (+20) loss to Duke in 2-15 game five years ago- they lost by 14-15 points last two years. Bruins won at Stanford, but lost to VCU by 10, Kansas by 29. Belmont’s 56.8% eFG% is #2 in country; they make 37.6% behind arc, 57.1% inside arc (#1 in country). Since 1985, Arizona is 3-7 SU in first round of NCAAs when lower than a 4-seed; they’re 5-5 in last 10 games after a 20-2 start. First round underdogs of 5 or less points are 38-19 vs spread; over last four years, underdogs are 11-5 vs spread in 6-11 games. Game is in altitude in Salt Lake City; Belmont ranks #284 in bench minutes; will longer TV timeouts save them from getting worn down?

            UNLV (+1.5) won 76-75 at Cal Dec 9; Thomas put back airball for win at buzzer, in game Birch didn't play and Moser got hurt in, playing five minutes. Now Rebels go back to NoCal (San Jose) for semi-road game vs Bears, who lost last two games after winning previous seven. Solomon was 7-13 from floor in first game; doubt he'll do as well with defensive ace Birch in paint. Over last five years, dogs are 12-8 vs spread in 5-12 games; underdogs of 5 or less points are 38-19 vs spread. UNLV lost its last three first round games (favored in all three), so certain amount of pressure on Coach Rice, who doesn't have true PG on this roster. Cal lost three of its last four first round games, losing play-in game LY to South Florida. Bears hardly sub; they get 62% of points on 2-pointers (#5 in country), so Rebels' edge inside should be the difference.

            Missouri PG Pressey is loose cannon, not a dependable PG, turning ball over 25.5% of time; Tigers are 8-6 in last 14 games, with all six losses by 3 or less points, or in OT- one of losses was on this floor in OT Feb 23. Colorado State starts five seniors, but PG Green tweaked ankle at end of UNLV game Friday, is a ? here. Rams are #308 in bench minutes, so they need Green to be healthy, especially vs Missouri team that will be anxious to atone for upset loss in a 2-15 game LY. Colorado State is top rebounding team in country (#2 on offensive, #1 on defensive boards); Iverson-Oraihki matchup will be fun. Over last six years, underdogs are 18-6 vs spread in 8-9 games; over last 13 years, dogs are 11-2 vs spread in Midwest 8-9 game in. Winner of game gets Louisville Saturday, when Lexington locals will pull for them and against the Cardinals.

            Akron PG Abreu got arrested/suspended two weeks ago; Zips won the MAC tourney without him, thanks to double bye, but now face a VCU team that forces turnovers 28.7% of time, #1 in country. Important for VCU to make 3's (35.2% from arc) to negate 7-foot Marshall, defensive force for Zips- two teams Akron played without Abreu, Kent/Ohio, are not good shooting teams. Rams beat Akron 70-53 in '10 Bracket Buster game, then won by point in OT at Akron in return game LY. Since 2006, first round favorites of between 5-10 points are 28-23 vs spread. Dogs are 10-6 vs spread in 5-12 games last four years. VCU won 10 of last 13 games, with only losses to Saint Louis/Temple, teams with outstanding guards. Atlantic 16 is #8 conference this year, MAC is #15. Since 2004, MAC teams are 1-7 in first round games, covering four of last five.

            New Mexico is underrated as #3 seed, winning nine of last 10, beating UNLV on its home floor in MWC title game. Key here is to defend the 3-ball; Harvard is #8, making 40.8% behind arc. Crimson didn't exactly dominate Ivy League, losing three games; since 1999, Ivy League teams are 1-13 in first round games, 3-11 vs spread; Harvard (+6.5) lost 79-70 to Vandy in LY's tourney, but two guys from LY that were supposed to return didn't for off-court reasons, so they're #286 in experience, #343 in bench minutes, which will hurt in Salt Lake altitude. Crimson lost its last two road games; they're #2 in country at getting to foul line- Lobos are #8 team in country at not fouling- their two big fellas inside should enjoy playing vs Ivy League bigs after banging with more athletic Mountain West bigs all winter.

            Long road trip for Syracuse after playing four games in four days in New York last week; they've won last four first round games, by 15-23-17-7 points. Montana is 93-34 last four years, so they've got guys who are used to winning, but without 6-7 inside star Ward, would have to shoot high percentage of 3's (37.8% for year) against team thats more athletic across board. Over last six years, #4 seeds are 14-10 vs spread in this round; last time #4 seed in East got beat was 1991, though six other #4's have lost in last five years. Cal's fans will be there too; their coach was Montana's coach long time ago (he coached Griz coach Tinkle for year), so if this game stayed close, expect the crowd to turn on eastern favorite and pull for underdog Griz, but Big Sky teams are 1-13 in first round last 14 years, losing last six years (1-5 vs spread) by 28-24-18-5-18-24.

            Other tournaments
            Very difficult to prep for Princeton offense in a day, but Maryland beat Northwestern by 20 back in December, so they've worked on it before. Long travel for Denver (18-2 in last 20 games)- they were 15-29 at the foul line in four-point win over Ohio Tuesday.

            Friday's games

            Day games

            Duke has to be concerned after losing first ACC tourney game last week to Maryland, only second time in last 11 years they lost first ACC tourney game- they went 8-8 in ACC the other year (’07) and got upset by VCU 79-77 (-7) in a 6-11 first round game, but their concern would be with Saturday’s game, not this one- Albany finished 5th in America East, the #22 league this season. Great Danes lost by 22 at Ohio State, won at Washington, and otherwise played a dismal schedule (#315 non-league/#295 overall), getting lucky they had two home games in league tourney, where they upset top seed Stony Brook after losing to them by 16-5 during season. Blue Devils lost as 2-seed to Lehigh LY; they’re 4-6 vs spread in first round games last 10 years. Over last six years, #2 seeds are 13-11 vs spread in this round. Duke beat Binghamton of America East 86-62 (-22) in this round in ’09.

            Wisconsin won its last six first round games; since 2002, they’re 6-2-1 vs spread as a first round favorite. Badgers split pair of games with SEC teams this year, losing 74-56 at Florida Nov 14, then beating Arkansas 77-70 on neutral floor 10 days later- their March 3 home loss to Purdue was only one of their 11 losses that wasn’t to top 30 team. Ole Miss won last five games after a 4-6 skid had them headed to NIT; they came back from down double digits twice in SEC tourney behind two sturdy senior big men and fiery guard Henderson, who has big mouth and the game to back it up. Ole Miss is #7 in country at protecting ball- they played #333 non-league schedule, and have otherwise ordinary resume. Over last five years, underdogs are 10-6 vs spread in 5-12 games, but hard to buck tourney-tested Badgers with Ole Miss squad not used to being here. both teams played Sunday, so quick turnaround not an issue.

            Temple is 1-4 in last five first round games; they're 0-3 as underdog in tourney under Dunphy; Owls have senior guard Wyatt who will take a ton of shots- they go how he goes. NC State holds opponents to 29.9% from behind arc (#19 in country); since 1989, they're 7-1 in first round, winning last four by 12-6-9-14 points. Underdogs are 18-6 vs spread in 8-9 games last six years. Wolfpack was overrated in fall, then ripped as disappointment by media that overrated them; State is 20-2 this season vs teams ranked outside top 50. Temple won seven of last eight games overall- they lost to Duke by 23, in only game vs ACC foe. Owls take a lot of 3's; Wyatt/Randall combined to shoot 32% from arc on 403 tries, not very good. State beat UMass by 18, St Bonaventure by 19 in its two games vs A-16 teams this season.

            Pacific won Big West title as #2 seed last week, giving retiring Thomason going away present, as he retires after 25 years coaching his alma mater. Tigers are in NCAAs for first time since '06; they won last seven games overall, are 1-3 vs top 60 teams, losing by 20-18-28 points, with upset of St Mary's Nov 23. Big West teams are 0-7 in first round last seven years (2-5 vs spread), with five losses by 12+ points; Pacific was last Big West team to win in tourney, beating Providence in 8-9 game in '05. Miami won ACC title for first time last week, after going 2-3 in last five regular season games; they figure to have letdown here, looking ahead to facing Illinois-Colorado winner Sunday. Three of Miami's six losses are against teams ranked outside top 100; sometimes they play to level of opponent, then pull game out late. Both sides are top 10 in experience.

            Creighton makes 42.1% (#1) behind arc, 56.4% (#2) inside arc, one of best offensive teams in country; Bluejays' 58-57 first round win (+1.5) over Alabama LY was their first in tournament since '02. Creighton split six games vs top 50 teams; they started year 17-1, won last five games, but went 5-6 in ugly stretch in between. Over last four years, underdogs are 13-3 vs spread in 7-10 games. Cincinnati is 2-0 in first round games under Cronin; favorites are 4-1 vs spread in his tourney games. Bearcats started season 12-0, beating Oregon/Iowa State/Xavier on neutral floors, but stumbled to 4-7 finish- they scored 55 or less points in seven of last eight losses. Cincy is strong defensive team, with #9 eFG% in country; they hold teams to 30% from arc, block 16% of opponents' shots, so is fascinating to see whether Creighton can get McDermott going inside.

            LaSalle won first tourney game since 1990 Wednesday, making 11-21 on arc for an eFG% of 74.5%; they use four guards, spread court, expect its guards to make plays. Explorers are 2-2 vs top 50 teams; Villanova and VCU are best two they had beaten before Boise State win. Over last six years, #4 seeds are 14-10 vs spread in this round. Kansas State is 20-5 in its last 25 games, but they were 0-3 vs Kansas, 20-2 vs everyone else in that stretch; Weber took Frank Martin's players and ran with it- they won 65-62 at George Washington, their only game vs 1-16 foe. LaSalle scored 54-58 points in last two games, had to be thrilled just to get into play-in game, now they've got chance to duplicate VCU's run of couple years ago. Kansas City site has to favor K-State, which plays conference tourney here; Wildcats are 11-2 out of conference, with neutral court win over Florida, losses to Florida and Michigan.

            James Madison is ranked lower than every team in Big Dozen, Penn St. included; Indiana is 8-0 vs teams ranked outside top 170, with all eight wins by 31+ points. JMU got off to 1-5 start this year, losing to UCLA by 30, North Dakota State by 22, but they've now won five games in a row but played 26 games in a row vs teams ranked outside top 140. #3 Indiana split its last six games, losing to Wisconsin for 12th straight time in Big Dozen tourney- worst team Hoosiers lost to this season is #53 Butler, a local rival. Over last five years, #1 seeds are 13-7 vs spread in first round games. JMU scored lot in transition vs a lousy LIU defense, won't have that luxury against Hoosiers, whose 44.0 eFG% is #18 in country. Indiana was in tourney LY for first time in five years; they won last two first round games by 13 points each.

            Illinois got off to 12-0 start, with 94-64 win over USC its only game vs Pac-12 opponent; they lost 8 of 11 after that, then won five in row, but finished on 2-4 skid. Illini is 10-1 in last 11 first round games, under few coaches, with only loss as 5-seed vs Western Kentucky in '09. Over last four years, underdogs are 13-3 vs spread in 7-10 games. Young Colorado has only one senior in rotation (#311 in experience); they've won four of last six road/neutral games, are 7-4 vs top 50 teams. Buffaloes won first round game LY, upsetting UNLV; they hold teams to 32.3% behind arc, in top-third in country. Illini gets 33.6% of its points behind arc, only make 32.3% of 3's, which is why they've had droughts this year. Buffs played #55 non-league schedule, Illinois #139.

            Night games
            Second year in row Georgetown gets A-Sun champ in first round; A-Sun teams are 0-9 in tourney, 0-3 vs spread last three years; Florida Gulf Coast is in its sixth year of D-I ball; they went 6-5 against the #40 non-league schedule this year, with 63-51 win over Miami Nov 13, in game Durand Scott missed for 'canes. Eagles lost at Duke by 21, at VCU by 23, Iowa State by 11, but they've won 12 of last 14 games, are #48 in forcing turnovers (22.4% of time). Other than Miami, best team FGCU beat is #118 Mercer (2 of 3). Since 1990, Georgetown is 5-4 vs spread in first round, but they lost two of last three years, as 3/6 seeds. Hoyas have #6 eFG% defense in country (42.8%); other than Porter, it is a young team- when he got in foul trouble at USF, Hoyas got upset. Over last six years, #2 seeds are 13-11 vs spread in this round.

            Since 1985, MAAC teams are 3-30 in non-play-in tourney games, losing last four by 8-22-6-19 points; '09 Siena was last MAAC team to win a tourney game, beating Ohio State in double OT, now Buckeyes face an Iona team that has Arizona transfer Jones at guard (23 ppg). Gaels went 6-6 vs #51 non-league schedule, 2-2 vs top 100 teams, losing at LaSalle by 14, St Joe's by 5. Iona went 1-6 in one stretch, with all six losses by 3 or less points, or in OT. Ohio State won last eight games, taking title in Big Dozen tourney; they're 5-1 in first round under Matta, covering last two years in wins by 29-19 points. Buckeyes beat Loyola in first round LY, so this is third time in last five years they've played MAAC team in first round. Iona plays fast, is chaotic and dangerous. Over last six years, #2 seeds are 13-11 vs spread in this round.

            Villanova's #9 seed said they made tourney easily; I'm not sure why, but they do lead country in getting to foul line, getting 28.1% of points from charity stripe. Wildcats are young (#275 in experience), don't sub much (#236 in bench minutes); they're 4-6 vs top 50 teams, with all four wins at home. North Carolina won eight of last nine games, losing to Miami in ACC tourney finals; they've won last ten first round games, last losing in first round in '99 to Weber State, but this is first time since '04 they're lower than a 3-seed. Tar Heels are 1-7 vs top 30 teams, 23-3 vs all other teams; Villanova is #45. Over last six years, underdogs covered 18 of 24 8-9 games. UNC is #16 at not fouling so will be interesting to see if the young Wildcats can get points from line. Carolina scored 76+ points in seven of its last eight games.

            Northwestern State last made tourney in '06, when they upset Iowa by point in 3-14 game (+7.5), but this Florida team is better than that Iowa club was. Demons lost by 7 at LSU, 13 at Texas A&M, 4 at Oklahoma, 18 at Arkansas; they've won 13 of last 15 games, are deep (#6 in nation in bench minutes) and lead country in scoring. Southland teams are 0-6 in non-play-in games since then (2-4 vs spread) losing by 13-24-15-9-29-12 points. Florida won/covered four of last five first round games, with only loss as 10-seed in 2010. Florida is just 5-4 in last nine games; they beat SE Louisiana of Southland 82-43 in December. Gators score well in metrics, but are 0-6 in single digit games, which means all 26 of its wins are by 10+ points. #3 seeds are 6-2 vs spread last two years, have been upset only once in six years since Northwestern St beat the Hawkeyes.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAB

              Thursday, March 21


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Trend Report
              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              1:00 AM
              AIR FORCE vs. HAWAII
              No trends available
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hawaii's last 5 games
              Hawaii is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

              12:15 PM
              VALPARAISO vs. MICHIGAN STATE
              No trends available
              Michigan State is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 6 games

              12:40 PM
              BUCKNELL vs. BUTLER
              No trends available
              Butler is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Butler's last 6 games

              1:40 PM
              WICHITA STATE vs. PITTSBURGH
              No trends available
              Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

              2:10 PM
              NEW MEXICO STATE vs. SAINT LOUIS
              No trends available
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saint Louis's last 5 games
              Saint Louis is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games

              3:10 PM
              DAVIDSON vs. MARQUETTE
              No trends available
              Marquette is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marquette's last 5 games

              4:10 PM
              SOUTHERN vs. GONZAGA
              No trends available
              Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Gonzaga's last 9 games

              4:40 PM
              OREGON vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
              No trends available
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 5 games
              Oklahoma State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games

              7:15 PM
              SOUTH DAKOTA STATE vs. MICHIGAN
              No trends available
              Michigan is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
              Michigan is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

              7:20 PM
              BELMONT vs. ARIZONA
              No trends available
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games
              Arizona is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

              7:27 PM
              CALIFORNIA vs. UNLV
              No trends available
              UNLV is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
              UNLV is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games

              9:20 PM
              MISSOURI vs. COLORADO STATE
              No trends available
              Colorado State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado State's last 7 games

              9:45 PM
              AKRON vs. VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH
              No trends available
              Virginia Commonwealth is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
              Virginia Commonwealth is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

              9:50 PM
              HARVARD vs. NEW MEXICO
              No trends available
              New Mexico is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Mexico's last 11 games

              9:57 PM
              MONTANA vs. SYRACUSE
              No trends available
              Syracuse is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
              Syracuse is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games


              Friday, March 22

              12:15 PM
              ALBANY vs. DUKE
              No trends available
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 6 games
              Duke is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games

              12:40 PM
              MISSISSIPPI vs. WISCONSIN
              No trends available
              Wisconsin is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
              Wisconsin is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

              1:40 PM
              TEMPLE vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
              No trends available
              North Carolina State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of North Carolina State's last 8 games

              2:10 PM
              PACIFIC vs. MIAMI
              No trends available
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games
              Miami is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games

              2:45 PM
              CINCINNATI vs. CREIGHTON
              No trends available
              The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Creighton's last 12 games
              Creighton is 5-11-1 ATS in its last 17 games

              4:40 PM
              COLORADO vs. ILLINOIS
              No trends available
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Illinois's last 8 games
              Illinois is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

              6:50 PM
              FLORIDA GULF COAST vs. GEORGETOWN
              No trends available
              Georgetown is 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 games
              Georgetown is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games

              7:15 PM
              IONA vs. OHIO STATE
              No trends available
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ohio State's last 8 games
              Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

              7:20 PM
              VILLANOVA vs. NORTH CAROLINA
              No trends available
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of North Carolina's last 9 games
              North Carolina is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

              7:27 PM
              NORTHWESTERN STATE vs. FLORIDA
              No trends available
              Florida is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Florida's last 9 games

              9:20 PM
              OKLAHOMA vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
              No trends available
              San Diego State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 5 games

              9:45 PM
              IOWA STATE vs. NOTRE DAME
              No trends available
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Notre Dame's last 6 games
              Notre Dame is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

              9:50 PM
              WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. KANSAS
              No trends available
              Kansas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

              9:57 PM
              MINNESOTA vs. UCLA
              No trends available
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UCLA's last 6 games
              UCLA is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games


              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              Comment


              • #8
                NCAAB

                Wednesday, March 20


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Midwest Regional: Day 1 NCAAB betting preview
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                No. 3 Michigan State Spartans vs. No. 14 Valparaiso Crusaders (+10.5, 126)

                Playing in the Big Ten conference, Michigan State didn't have to look far to find stiff competition. When the Spartans make their 16th consecutive appearance in the NCAA Tournament, they won't have to travel too far to find their next opponent, either. Third-seeded Michigan State will make the trek to The Palace of Auburn Hills, where they'll face 14th-seeded Valparaiso on Thursday in the second round of the Midwest Region.

                The Spartans recorded 25 wins and advanced to the semifinals of the Big Ten tournament before being bounced by eventual champion Ohio State on Saturday. With the conference sending seven representatives to the Big Dance, one can easily see why coach Tom Izzo believes his team is battle-tested. "I'd play the (Los Angeles) Lakers tomorrow instead of some of the teams I've played recently," Izzo said moments after Michigan State dropped a 61-58 decision to the Buckeyes.

                TRENDS:

                * Crusaders are 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. Big Ten.
                * Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games.
                * Over is 9-2 in Spartans last 11 vs. Horizon League.

                No. 4 Saint Louis Billikens vs. No. 13 New Mexico State Aggies (+9, 122)

                Saint Louis will have its hands full with red-hot New Mexico State freshman Sim Bhullar when the teams meet Thursday in the second round of the Midwest Region at San Jose, Calif. The fourth-seeded Billikens learned their fate at a Best Buy store in Secaucus, N.J., mere hours after winning their first Atlantic 10 tournament title in Brooklyn. Saint Louis is 24-3 since coach Rick Majerus passed away in December. The veteran Billikens used a balanced offense and disciplined defense to run through the A-10 and earn the program's highest NCAA Tournament seed. Junior forward Dwayne Evans gives Saint Louis its own strong presence under the basket.

                New Mexico State is the No. 13 seed after winning the Western Athletic Conference tournament for the second straight year. The Aggies have won 18 of their past 20 games and have four players averaging in double figures. New Mexico State has been without senior forward Tyrone Watson, who missed four games with an injured ankle after returning from a 30-day suspension stemming from an arrest. Thursday's winner faces either No. 5 Oklahoma State or No. 12 Oregon.

                TRENDS:

                * Aggies are 5-2 ATS in their last seven neutral-site games.
                * Billikens are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
                * Under is 18-7-2 in Aggies' last 27 neutral site games.

                No. 6 Memphis Tigers vs. No. 11 St. Mary's Gaels (+1, 135)

                Memphis has lost only once in the last 25 games, but the talented Tigers are somewhat unproven with a 1-3 record against NCAA Tournament teams. Sixth-seeded Memphis gets a chance to start showing it belongs as a contender when it plays Saint Mary’s in the second round of the Midwest Regional on Thursday at Auburn Hills, Mich. The Tigers’ losses to NCAA entrants Virginia Commonwealth, Louisville and Minnesota were all before Dec. 16 and Memphis went unbeaten in Conference USA after that. Memphis is balanced offensively and averages almost 76 points.

                Saint Mary’s handled Middle Tennessee 67-54 in Tuesday's first round, getting 22 points and four assists from senior Matthew Dellavedova. The Australian guard is the program’s all-time leader in scoring and assists, opening up the floor for a team that has made 270 shots from behind the 3-point line.

                TRENDS:

                * Tigers are 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 non-conference games.
                * Under is 4-0 in Gaels last four NCAA Tournament games.
                * Over is 10-2 in Tigers last 12 NCAA Tournament games.

                No. 5 Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. No. 12 Oregon Ducks (+3, 134)

                Oregon won the Pac-12 tournament over the weekend but that effort only earned the Ducks a No. 12 seed in the Midwest Region, where they’ll take on fifth-seeded Oklahoma State on Thursday in San Jose, Calif. Oregon hasn’t played in the NCAA Tournament since 2008, when it lost its opener to Mississippi State. The Cowboys are returning to the tournament for the first time since 2010, when they lost their opener to Georgia Tech. Oklahoma State is looking for its first win since beating Tennessee in the opening round of the 2009 tournament.

                The Cowboys last played a Pac-12 team at the 2011 NIT Preseason Tournament in Madison Square Garden, losing to Stanford 82-67. Both teams faced Portland State two weeks apart in November. Oregon beat the Vikings 80-69 on Nov. 12 and the Cowboys knocked them off 81-58 on Nov. 25. The winner of this game will play either 13th-seeded New Mexico State or No. 4 Saint Louis in Saturday’s second round.

                TRENDS:

                * Ducks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. Big 12.
                * Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five non-conference games.
                * Under is 12-4 in Cowboys last 16 NCAA Tournament games.

                No. 1 Louisville Cardinals vs. No. 16 North Carolina A&T Aggies (+26, 123)

                Louisville comes into the NCAA Tournament as the consensus favorite after winning 10 straight games by an average of 15.6 points. The Cardinals begin their quest for a third national title against Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference champion North Carolina A&T in the second round of the Midwest Regional on Thursday at Lexington, Ky. Louisville reached the Final Four last season and came back with a deep, balanced group to win the Big East. The Cardinals lean of their defense, which has allowed an average of 58 points and 10.7 steals.

                North Carolina A&T defeated Liberty 73-72 in Tuesday's first round for its first win in 10 NCAA games. The Aggies also rely on their defense, which has limited opponents to 38.3 percent shooting. North Carolina A&T has played two other Big East opponents, losing to Cincinnati by 54 and Seton Hall by 11.

                TRENDS:

                * Aggies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.
                * Cardinals are 5-0 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games.
                * Under is 7-1 in Cardinals' last eight NCAA Tournament games.

                No. 8 Colorado State Rams vs. No. 9 Missouri Tigers (-3, 143)

                Two of the nation's top rebounding teams square off on Thursday when eighth-seeded Colorado State takes on ninth-seeded Missouri in the Midwest Region in Lexington, Ky. Overall No. 1 seed Louisville - and a rabid partisan crowd - likely awaits the winner. The Rams and Tigers are both strong in the post, as Missouri ranks second in the nation in rebounding (41.4) and Colorado State is fourth (40.4).

                It's the second consecutive trip to the NCAA Tournament for the Rams, who have won a school-record 25 games. Missouri is in the NCAA Tournament for the fifth consecutive year, tying a school record. The Tigers also made five straight appearances from 1986-90 and 1999-2003. The teams are meeting for only the third time - and the first since 1969. They have split the first two contests.

                TRENDS:

                * Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games.
                * Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. Southeastern.
                * Over is 25-10 in Tigers' last 35 overall.


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Comment


                • #9
                  NCAAB

                  Wednesday, March 20


                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  South Regional: Day 1 NCAAB betting preview
                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  No. 4 Michigan Wolverines vs. No. 13 South Dakota State Jackrabbits (+10.5, 126)

                  Michigan enjoyed tremendous success at home this season and begins its pursuit of a Final Four berth just miles from campus. The Wolverines will travel to nearby Auburn Hills to host Summit League champion South Dakota State in the second round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday. Coach John Beilein's team makes its fourth trip in six years to the Big Dance and matched its No. 4 seed from a season ago, when Michigan was upset by Ohio in the second round.

                  The Wolverines, who suffered their lone home loss in 18 games with a one-point setback to top-seeded Indiana, feature a prominent offensive attack. Big Ten Player of the Year Trey Burke leads the team in scoring (19.2) and assists (6.7). He will share top billing in the opening game with Jackrabbits senior star Nate Wolters, who won the honor in the Summit League after leading the conference in scoring and assists. Wolters had 19 points in South Dakota State's loss to Baylor in the second round of the 2011 NCAA Tournament in its first-ever entry. The winner of this one plays either Virginia Commonwealth or Akron in the third round Saturday.

                  TRENDS:

                  * Jackrabbits are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.
                  * Wolverines are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
                  * Over is 12-3 in Jackrabbits' last 15 non-conference games.

                  No. 5 VCU Rams vs. No. 12 Akron Zips (+8, 134.5)

                  Fifth-seeded Virginia Commonwealth will take on No. 12 Akron on Thursday in an NCAA Tournament second-round South Regional matchup in Auburn Hills, Mich. The Rams lost to St. Louis 62-56 in the Atlantic-10 tournament final Sunday, but will head to their third straight Big Dance. The teams had a memorable meeting Dec. 29, 2011, when Akron led by as many as 20 points and 12 in the second half before the Rams forced overtime. Darius Theus' layup with one second remaining gave VCU a 76-75 victory.

                  Akron avenged its MAC tournament championship game loss to Ohio last year with a 65-46 victory in this year’s final. The Zips reeled off 19 consecutive wins before starting point guard Alex Abreu (10.3 points, 6.0 assists) was suspended indefinitely March 6 following his arrest for suspected marijuana trafficking. Akron lost two of its last three regular-season games prior to the MAC tournament, but recovered to punch its ticket to its third NCAA Tournament in five years. The Zips have never won an NCAA game. Seven-foot senior Zeke Marshall paces Akron with 13 points, 7.1 rebounds and 3.7 blocks on 65.4 percent shooting.

                  TRENDS:

                  * Zips are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 neutral-site games.
                  * Rams are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 NCAA Tournament games.
                  * Under is 15-5-1 in Zips last 21 overall.


                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    NCAAB

                    Wednesday, March 20


                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    West Regional: Day 1 NCAAB betting preview
                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    No. 8 Pittsburgh Panthers vs. No. 9 Wichita State Shockers (+4.5, 118.5)

                    Wichita State earned its second consecutive NCAA Tournament berth despite losing its final two regular-season games and dropping the Missouri Valley Conference final, The ninth-seeded Shockers, who will face eighth-seeded Pittsburgh in the second round of the West Region on Thursday, will vie for their first tournament victory since 2006. The Panthers missed the Big Dance last season for the first time since 2001, but closed their Big East campaign with four straight wins before losing to Syracuse in the conference tournament quarterfinal.

                    Pittsburgh proved its worth with wins over ranked opponents Georgetown, Syracuse and Cincinnati, but also struggled by losing three of four to start conference play - and three of six leading into its four-game winning streak to end the season. Wichita State dropped a season-high three consecutive games from Jan. 29-Feb. 5 and was held to 62 points or fewer in each contest. Junior forward Cleanthony Early and senior forward Carl Hall drive the Shockers’ offense, averaging a combined 26.4 points.

                    TRENDS:

                    * Panthers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine NCAA Tournament games.
                    * Shockers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight vs. Big East.
                    * Over is 20-8 in Panthers last 28 non-conference games.

                    No. 1 Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. No. 16 Southern Jaguars (+21.5, 126.5)

                    Gonzaga celebrates its first 1 seed in program history with a second-round West Regional game against 16th-seeded Southern University on Thursday in Salt Lake City. The Zags have won a school-record 31 games and are bullish about making a Final Four run after landing the top seed in the West. Gonzaga is making its 15th straight appearance, fourth-best nationally. Southern is in the tourney for the eighth time, and the first since 2006.

                    Southern earned its spot in the tournament by winning the Southwestern Athletic Conference tournament. The Jaguars downed Prairie View A&M in the championship game for their seventh win in eight games. Gonzaga has only won two NCAA tournament games once over the past six seasons so there is a bit of pressure for the Bulldogs to live up to their top-seed billing. Gonzaga has won 14 consecutive games and defeated Saint Mary’s in the championship game of the West Coast Conference tournament.

                    TRENDS:

                    * Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven non-conference games.
                    * Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
                    * Over is 20-7 in Bulldogs last 27 NCAA Tournament games.

                    No. 6 Arizona Wildcats vs. No. 11 Belmont Bruins (+4.5, 140)

                    Arizona’s season has played like a country music song, so it’s fitting that the sixth-seeded Wildcats will meet No. 11 seed Belmont on Thursday in the second round of the NCAA Tournament’s South Regional in Salt Lake City. Belmont, a private school located in Nashville, earned its sixth NCAA Tournament berth in the last eight seasons with a dramatic 70-68 win over Murray State in the Ohio Valley Conference title game.

                    Arizona, which is facing Belmont for the first time in school history, fell to UCLA for the third time this season in the Pac-12 semifinals. The Wildcats opened the season with 14 straight wins and defeated Miami and Florida in non-conference play, but they won just five of their final 10 games. Belmont is 1-4 all-time against Pac-12 opponents, including a 70-62 win at Stanford on Nov. 18.

                    TRENDS:

                    * Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games.
                    * Wildcats are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 NCAA Tournament games.
                    * Over is 9-4 in Wildcats last 13 NCAA Tournament games.

                    No. 3 New Mexico Lobos vs. No. 14 Harvard Crimson (+11.5, 125)

                    New Mexico coach Steve Alford said 29 victories and a second consecutive Mountain West Conference tournament title - accomplished against the second-toughest schedule in the nation - warranted at least a No. 2 seed. The Lobos will settle for a No. 3 in the West Regional and will open their NCAA Tournament against No. 14 seed Harvard on Thursday in Salt Lake City. The Lobos roar into the NCAAs off a 63-56 victory at UNLV in the MWC title game Saturday. Junior guard Kendall Williams, the MWC Player of the Year, averages 13.5 points while leading the conference in minutes played and finishing second in assists.

                    Harvard has not played since beating Cornell on March 9 to clinch the Ivy League title and automatic berth. The Crimson will put New Mexico’s perimeter defense to the test. Harvard is tied for sixth in the nation in 3-point shooting (40.1 percent) and 12th in field-goal percentage (48.2). The Crimson are in the NCAA Tournament for the second consecutive season after pushing Vanderbilt hard in a 79-70 loss in last year’s second round. The Crimson lost by three at Massachusetts, by eight at Connecticut and by 10 at Memphis this season.

                    TRENDS:

                    * Crimson are 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games.
                    * Lobos are 42-18-2 ATS in their last 62 games overall.
                    * Under is 4-1 in Lobos last five NCAA Tournament games.


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                    Comment


                    • #11
                      NCAAB

                      Wednesday, March 20


                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      East Regional: Day 1 NCAAB betting preview
                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      No. 6 Butler Bulldogs vs. No. 11 Bucknell Bison (+4, 121.5)

                      Sixth-seeded Butler will meet No. 11 Bucknell in an East Regional second-round matchup on Thursday in Lexington, Ky. The mid-major battle features a pair of 6-11 centers in the paint. Mike Muscala leads the Bison with 19 points and 11.2 rebounds, ranking 28th and fourth in the nation, while the Bulldogs counter with Andrew Smith (11.1, 5.7). If Smith can hold the Patriot League’s Player of the Year in check, traditional giant-killer Butler will likely avoid an upset in their return to the Big Dance.

                      Led by Muscala, the program’s all-time leading scorer, Bucknell won 12 of its last 13 games to return to the NCAA Tournament for the second time in three seasons and fourth in nine. Muscala had 20 points and 11 rebounds as the Bison dispatched Lafayette 64-56 in the Patriot League final Wednesday. With no other player averaging at least 10 shots, Bucknell will only go as far as Muscala carries it.

                      TRENDS:

                      * Bison are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
                      * Bulldogs are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 NCAA Tournament games.
                      * Under is 8-3 in Bulldogs last 11 NCAA Tournament games.

                      No. 3 Marquette Golden Eagles vs. No. 14 Davidson Wildcats (+3, 133)

                      Marquette might be the No. 3 seed in the NCAA Tournament's East Region, but the Golden Eagles are in tough against an experienced No. 14-seeded Davidson squad in Friday's second-round meeting in Lexington, Ky. The Wildcats, the Southern Conference regular-season and tournament champions, are making their second straight appearance in the Big Dance and their fifth in the last eight seasons. Marquette is making its eighth straight appearance, including Sweet 16 runs the past two years.

                      The Eagles come in having won six of their last eight, though they were upset in the Big East tournament quarterfinals by Notre Dame. Davidson, meanwhile, has the nation's longest winning streak at 17 games and coach Bob McKillop will make sure his team plays with no fear. The Wildcats like to bomb away from beyond the 3-point arc, which should help against a Marquette team that ranked ninth in the Big East in 3-point field goal defense (.318).

                      TRENDS:

                      * Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games.
                      * Golden Eagles are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games.
                      * Under is 5-1 in Golden Eagles last six NCAA Tournament games.

                      No. 5 UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. No. 12 California Golden Bears (+2.5, 131)

                      UNLV looks to end a three-year NCAA Tournament drought as it faces California in a second-round East Regional showdown Thursday in San Jose. The fifth-seeded Rebels have failed to win a game in each of their last three trips to the Tournament, including a 68-64 loss to Colorado last year. UNLV, which won the national championship in 1990 under Jerry Tarkanian and lost to Duke in the Final Four in 1991, has advanced to the Sweet 16 just once since then.

                      California, which placed second in the Pac-12 Conference with a 12-6 record, will be making its second straight NCAA tournament appearance and 13th since 1990. The 12th-seeded Bears were upset by Utah 78-69 in overtime in the quarterfinals of the Pac-12 tournament on Thursday in Las Vegas but have won nine of their last 12 games - including victories over tourney teams Oregon, UCLA, Arizona and Colorado. UNLV defeated the Bears 76-75 on Dec. 9 in Berkeley when forward Quintrell Thomas grabbed an airball and scored with 1.2 seconds remaining.

                      TRENDS:

                      * Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings.
                      * Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
                      * Runnin' Rebels are 0-4 ATS in their last four NCAA Tournament games.

                      No. 4 Syracuse Orange vs. No. 13 Montana Grizzlies (+13, 127)

                      Syracuse, which received an at-large bid and the No. 4 seed in the East Region, will play No. 13 seed Montana on Thursday in San Jose, Calif. The Orange, who are 56-35 in 35 years at the Big Dance, were a No. 1 seed but lost to No. 2 seed Ohio State in the Elite Eight last season. Syracuse is coming off a 78-61 loss to Louisville in the Big East tournament championship game. The Grizzlies earned an automatic bid as the Big Sky tournament champion.

                      Montana, which is making its second straight NCAA Tournament appearance and 10th overall, was a popular upset pick in last season’s Big Dance but lost 74-49 to Wisconsin. The Grizzlies have a six-game win streak, including a 67-64 victory over Weber State in the Big Sky tournament championship game. Montana and Syracuse have never met and did not play any common opponents this season.

                      TRENDS:

                      * Grizzlies are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall.
                      * Orange are 1-4 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games.
                      * Over is 4-1 in Orange last five neutral site games.


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                      Comment


                      • #12
                        NBA
                        Dunkel


                        Portland at Chicago
                        The Blazers look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games versus Northwest Division opponents. Portland is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Blazers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Portland (+5). Here are all of today's picks.

                        THURSDAY, MARCH 21

                        Game 701-702: Portland at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)

                        Dunkel Ratings: Portland 119.453; Chicago 117.842
                        Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 1 1/2; 192
                        Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 5; 188
                        Dunkel Pick: Portland (+5); Over

                        Game 703-704: Philadelphia at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
                        Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 113.417; Denver 132.427
                        Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 19; 189
                        Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                        Dunkel Pick: N/A

                        Game 705-706: Minnesota at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
                        Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 111.882; Sacramento 123.860
                        Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 12; 208
                        Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 5 1/2; 212
                        Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-5 1/2); Under




                        NBA
                        Long Sheet

                        Thursday, March 21


                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        PORTLAND (31 - 36) at CHICAGO (36 - 30) - 3/21/2013, 8:05 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        PORTLAND is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
                        CHICAGO is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
                        CHICAGO is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games this season.
                        CHICAGO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
                        CHICAGO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        PORTLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                        PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                        3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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                        PHILADELPHIA (26 - 41) at DENVER (47 - 22) - 3/21/2013, 9:05 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
                        PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
                        2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        MINNESOTA (23 - 42) at SACRAMENTO (24 - 44) - 3/21/2013, 10:05 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        MINNESOTA is 17-27 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
                        MINNESOTA is 41-59 ATS (-23.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                        SACRAMENTO is 59-73 ATS (-21.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        SACRAMENTO is 5-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
                        MINNESOTA is 5-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
                        5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




                        NBA
                        Armadillo's Write-Up

                        Thursday, March 21


                        Hot Teams
                        -- Nuggets won their last thirteen games (6-0 last six HF).
                        -- Sacramento won six of last nine home games (3-1 last four HF).

                        Cold Teams
                        -- Chicago lost five of its last seven games (4-7 last 11 HF). Trailblazers lost four of last five road games (3-1-1 last five AU).
                        -- 76ers lost their last fourteen road games (4-9 last 13 AU).
                        -- Minnesota lost five of its last seven games (1-6 last seven AU).

                        Totals
                        -- Four of last five Portland games went over the total.
                        -- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Denver games.
                        -- Seven of last nine Minnesota games stayed under total; four of last five Sacramento games went over.

                        Back-to-backs
                        -- 76ers covered last four times they played the night before.




                        NBA

                        Thursday, March 21


                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                        Trend Report
                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        8:00 PM
                        PORTLAND vs. CHICAGO
                        Portland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Chicago
                        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Portland's last 12 games on the road
                        Chicago is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Portland
                        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Portland

                        9:00 PM
                        PHILADELPHIA vs. DENVER
                        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 14 games on the road
                        Philadelphia is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
                        Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
                        Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

                        10:00 PM
                        MINNESOTA vs. SACRAMENTO
                        Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
                        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
                        Sacramento is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
                        Sacramento is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota


                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          NHL
                          Dunkel


                          Calgary at Nashville
                          The Predators look to take advantage of a Calgary team that has a 5-13 record in its last 18 games versus teams with a losing record. Nashville is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Predators favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-140). Here are all of today's picks.

                          THURSDAY, MARCH 21

                          Game 51-52: Florida at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)

                          Dunkel Ratings: Florida 9.903; NY Rangers 12.146
                          Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 2; 5
                          Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                          Dunkel Pick: N/A

                          Game 53-54: Toronto at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.129; Buffalo 11.004
                          Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 6
                          Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                          Dunkel Pick: N/A

                          Game 55-56: New Jersey at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 10.909; Carolina 10.175
                          Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 5 1/2
                          Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-120); 5
                          Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+100); Over

                          Game 57-58: Montreal at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 12.170; NY Islanders 11.745
                          Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 5
                          Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-130); 5 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-130); Under

                          Game 59-60: Boston at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.483; Ottawa 11.955
                          Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 4
                          Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-145); 5
                          Dunkel Pick: Boston (-145); Under

                          Game 61-62: Washington at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.413; Winnipeg 11.072
                          Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 6 1/2
                          Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-145); 5 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick: Washington (+125); Over

                          Game 63-64: Vancouver at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 10.894; Phoenix 11.459
                          Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1/2; 5 1/2
                          Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-115); 5
                          Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-105); Over

                          Game 65-66: Calgary at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.544; Nashville 12.676
                          Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 2; 4 1/2
                          Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-140); 5
                          Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-140); Under

                          Game 67-68: Dallas at Los Angeles (10:30 p.m. EST)
                          Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 9.826; Los Angeles 12.118
                          Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2 1/2; 4
                          Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                          Dunkel Pick: N/A

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            NHL
                            Long Sheet

                            Thursday, March 21


                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            FLORIDA (8-16-0-6, 22 pts.) at NY RANGERS (15-12-0-2, 32 pts.) - 3/21/2013, 7:05 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            NY RANGERS is 5-3 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
                            NY RANGERS is 5-3-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
                            4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            TORONTO (16-12-0-2, 34 pts.) at BUFFALO (11-15-0-4, 26 pts.) - 3/21/2013, 7:05 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            TORONTO is 8-7 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
                            TORONTO is 8-7-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
                            7 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.4 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            NEW JERSEY (13-11-0-6, 32 pts.) at CAROLINA (15-12-0-2, 32 pts.) - 3/21/2013, 7:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            NEW JERSEY is 75-60 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                            NEW JERSEY is 82-62 ATS (+12.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                            NEW JERSEY is 29-18 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
                            NEW JERSEY is 33-24 ATS (+57.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
                            NEW JERSEY is 37-33 ATS (+75.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                            CAROLINA is 9-24 ATS (-18.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            NEW JERSEY is 6-4 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
                            NEW JERSEY is 6-4-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
                            5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.3 Units)

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            MONTREAL (19-5-0-5, 43 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (13-13-0-3, 29 pts.) - 3/21/2013, 7:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            MONTREAL is 10-4 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            NY ISLANDERS is 6-4 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
                            NY ISLANDERS is 6-4-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
                            7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.7 Units)

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            BOSTON (19-6-0-3, 41 pts.) at OTTAWA (16-8-0-6, 38 pts.) - 3/21/2013, 7:35 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            OTTAWA is 19-12 ATS (+33.6 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
                            OTTAWA is 25-15 ATS (+40.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
                            BOSTON is 25-7 ATS (+13.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                            BOSTON is 20-8 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                            BOSTON is 140-121 ATS (+265.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
                            OTTAWA is 75-77 ATS (-38.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            BOSTON is 12-2 (+8.6 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
                            BOSTON is 12-2-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
                            7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.3 Units)

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            WASHINGTON (12-16-0-1, 25 pts.) at WINNIPEG (16-12-0-2, 34 pts.) - 3/21/2013, 8:05 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            WINNIPEG is 9-5 (+6.6 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
                            WINNIPEG is 9-5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
                            8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            VANCOUVER (14-9-0-6, 34 pts.) at PHOENIX (13-13-0-4, 30 pts.) - 3/21/2013, 9:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            VANCOUVER is 299-267 ATS (-90.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
                            VANCOUVER is 140-135 ATS (-55.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
                            VANCOUVER is 194-172 ATS (+369.4 Units) in road games second half of the season since 1996.
                            VANCOUVER is 29-10 ATS (+15.7 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
                            VANCOUVER is 17-4 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
                            VANCOUVER is 67-44 ATS (+21.3 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            PHOENIX is 5-4 (+3.7 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
                            PHOENIX is 5-4-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
                            5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            CALGARY (11-12-0-4, 26 pts.) at NASHVILLE (11-13-0-6, 28 pts.) - 3/21/2013, 8:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            CALGARY is 9-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                            NASHVILLE is 151-122 ATS (+294.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            CALGARY is 6-3 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
                            CALGARY is 6-3-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
                            5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            DALLAS (13-13-0-3, 29 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (17-10-0-2, 36 pts.) - 3/21/2013, 10:35 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            DALLAS is 6-7 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
                            LOS ANGELES is 7-6-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                            6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              NHL
                              Armadillo's Write-Up

                              Thursday, March 21


                              Hot teams
                              -- Rangers won four of their last five home games.
                              -- Montreal won five of its last six games. Islanders are 5-3 in their last eight.
                              -- Ottawa won last three games, scoring 13 goals.
                              -- Winnipeg won six of its last eight games.
                              -- Kings won their last three games, allowing four goals.

                              Cold teams
                              -- Panthers lost six of their last seven games.
                              -- Toronto lost five of its last six games. Buffalo lost six of last eight.
                              -- Hurricanes lost last four games, outscored 13-5. New Jersey lost its last three games, scoring total of four goals.
                              -- Bruins lost last two games 3-1/2-1, but won four in row at home, outscoring foes 15-4.
                              -- Capitals lost five of their last seven games.
                              -- Canucks lost four of last five road games. Phoenix lost last four games, outscored 11-2.
                              -- Nashville lost its last four games, outscored 20-12. Flames lost last seven road games, outscored 27-11.
                              -- Dallas Stars lost five of their last six games.

                              Totals
                              -- 13 of last 16 Panther-Ranger games stayed under the total.
                              -- Over is 9-1-1 in last eleven Toronto games.
                              -- Last five Carolina games stayed under the total.
                              -- Six of last seven Montreal-Islander games went over the total.
                              -- Under is 6-0-1 in Boston's last seven games.
                              -- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Winnipeg games.
                              -- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Phoenix games.
                              -- Four of last five Calgary games went over the total.
                              -- Last three Dallas games went over the total.

                              Series records
                              -- Rangers won four of last five games with Florida.
                              -- Maple Leafs won eight of last 12 games with Buffalo.
                              -- Devils lost three of last four games with Carolina.
                              -- Islanders won six of last eight games with Montreal.
                              -- Bruins won eleven of last twelve games vs Ottawa.
                              -- Jets won seven of last ten games with Washington.
                              -- Coyotes won their last three games with Vancouver.
                              -- Home side won five of last six Calgary-Nashville games.
                              -- Dallas Stars won four of last five games with Los Angeles.

                              Comment

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