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**Udog** · 03-17-2013, 09:47 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six of the more interesting teams I'll be looking for when they announce the NCAA pairings tonight at 6:00.........

-- Middle Tennessee-- 28-5 with #39 non-conference schedule; helped by an Ole Miss run in SEC-- they beat the Rebels.

-- Albany-- Hey!! I was a Great Dane for six years, back in the D-3 days. Albany was 0-6 vs top 3 in America East until it counted, then they beat Stony Book/Vermont to get to NCAAs for third time in eight years.

-- Kentucky-- Zero road wins since Noel got hurt. Three sellouts at Rupp Arena will help the NIT's bottom line this year.

-- Boise State-- Were messed up with injuries/illness in January; had terrific win at Creighton, went 9-7 in one of nation's best leagues (MWC).

-- Saint Louis-- By time brackets are picked apart late Sunday, pundits will have Billikens sounding like the '72 UCLA Bruins. Saint Louis is good, but not Final Four good. They'll be a fashionable sleeper, though.

-- Gonzaga-- Have played in one regional final, in 1999. Now is their time; they're good enough to make a run to Atlanta.

*****

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday.........

13) Media types whining all weekend about the end of the Big East fail to realize the Big East isn't going away, Syracuse is. Pitt, Rutgers started in Atlantic 10, Notre Dame was an independent, Louisville came over from Conference USA, so Syracuse's bolting for the ACC's football money is the only deep-rooted change here. That, and UConn being left behind.

Louisville's 44-10 run after trailing by 16 makes them the favorite to win the NCAA tournament; takes pressure off the other #1 seeds.

12) Pretty cool scene in Big West tournament, as Pacific beat Cal-Irvine, in coach Bob Thomason's last season coaching his alma mater after 25 years. Pacific is moving to the WCC next year, giving that league ten teams.

11) Refs called a horrible charge on Shabazz Muhammad in first half of UCLA-Oregon game, and Ben Howland made like Al Oerter, tossing his suit jacket into the second row of the stands. He got a technical, and his Bruins got drilled 78-69 by the resurgent Oregon Ducks.

10) Anybody who had North Carolina lasting longer than Duke in the ACC tourney, raise your hand. Put your hand down, you're lying.

9) Montana beat Weber State in the Big Sky tournament for the fourth year in a row, 67-64. Weber was the better team this season, with Mathias Ward out for the Griz, but the game was played in Bozeman, and the stripes gave Montana the benefit of the whistle.

8) With Stephen F Austin/Texas-Arlington both losing Saturday, it means that no teams from Texas will be in the NCAA tournament- when was the last time that happened?

7) These flagrant fouls on accidental contact are getting ridiculous. Game is becoming too babified. These games have three refs making $1,500 apiece; time to stop video reviewing every little thing. Let the kids play; if the three refs didn't see it, then it didn't happen, the exception being clock issues.

6) Memphis finished 19-0 in Conference USA, beating Southern Miss in double OT, 91-79. Eagles were hurt by 15-28 foul shooting.

5) Northwestern finally canned Bill Carmody, who was 192-210 in 13 years with the Wildcats; academics are no excuse for losing in basketball, for example, Vanderbilt has a good team most every year. And Duke, too. For a team that close to Chicago to rarely have a winning record, its just not good.

4) Why coaches get fired if they lose: they're expensive. Colorado State's Larry Eustachy has a base salary of $750,000; if the Rams win 20+ games and stay off probation, he makes another $100,000. Make it to the NCAA's, Eustachy bags another $250,000. Make the Sweet 16, $100,000 more.

If Eustachy doesn't cash that $250,000 bonus too many years in a row, he'll be looking for a job, just like Coach Carmody. Its a cruel business, but if you win, its pretty damn lucrative, which is why recruiting is so cutthroat.

3) Odd Stat of the Day, NBA version: Washington Wizards are 15-2 vs the spread this season if they're on back end of a back-to-back.

2) Team USA lost in WBC, tickets for the semis/finals in San Francisco Sunday-Tuesday have been discounted to as little as $8. You go to a baseball game in the Bronx, you can't get a beer for $8.

1) For bubble teams, Sunday is the longest of days; for most of the teams, just getting in the NCAA tournament is a win-- how many can really win six (seven) games in a row and the national championship?

We'll be here tomorrow with our first impressions on the field of 68.

**Udog** · 03-17-2013, 09:48 AM

NASCAR betting: Food City 500 preview

The Sprint Cup Series moves to the fastest half mile in racing with the Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway Sunday.

The steep banking will be the latest test for the Gen 6 cars, which are getting mixed reviews to start the season. Bristol is known for bump-and-run racing and the new bumpers, which aren’t as flat as the Gen 5 car, could allow drivers to easily bully their way to the front.

Favorite: Jimmie Johnson +500

The No. 48 car is once again the betting favorite heading into the weekly Sprint Cup event. Jimmie Johnson, who leads the points chase after a sixth-place finish in Las Vegas last weekend, hasn’t been as sharp at Bristol during his career but has finished inside the Top 10 in four straight races there, including a runner-up showing in the August race last year. He won this race back in 2010, his lone win in 22 starts at Bristol.

Live dog: Jeff Gordon +1,200

Gordon is among the best at Bristol, boasting an average finish of 11.9 – third among active drivers. He’s finished third in two of his last three trips there and has five wins at the half-mile track. However, the most recent came in 2002 and the track underwent a facelift in 2007. Gordon has completed 95.63 percent of his laps at Bristol and survival may be the name of the game, depending on how easy passing is in the Gen 6 car.

Long shot: Ryan Newman +5,000

"The Rocket Man" runs fast at Bristol, which is good and bad. He’s taken the pole three times and has placed among the Top 10 in 12 of his 22 career races there. But Newman has also got into trouble at Bristol, like last year’s August race in which he raced just 189 laps. He hasn’t had a fair shake this season, falling to engine issues and accidents since a fifth-place showing at Daytona. If the No. 39 Chevy can avoid trouble, he could find himself up front Sunday.

Key stat: 21 – Chevrolet has won 21 of the 52 Food City 500 races, going back to 1961. Chevy has visited Victory Lane four times in the past eight years. Each manufacturer – Toyata, Ford, Chevrolet – has a win this season. Chevy leads the manufacturers standings with 21 points.

Notable quotable:

“There is some glass on the nose of these cars that we can fold up pretty easily and we might have to cut noses off the cars even from not being part of a crash, but just the stack up on the restart might cave in noses. We might have some modified looking vehicles out there running around. There will be a learning process. I don’t think the aero balance and implications there will come through, but we’ll be talking a lot more about less weight, the type of camber we’re allowed to run this year and things like that.” – Jimmie Johnson on the new Gen 6 car at Bristol.

Odds to win Food City 500 (Courtesy of JustBet)

Jimmie Johnson 5-1
Kyle Busch 7-1
Brad Keselowski 7-1
Denny Hamlin 7-1
Jeff Gordon 12-1
Greg Biffle 12-1
Tony Stewart 12-1
Matt Kenseth 12-1
Kasey Kahne 12-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 12-1
Carl Edwards 12-1
Kevin Harvick 15-1
Clint Bowyer 20-1
Martin Truex Jr. 25-1
Brian Vickers 30-1
Joey Lagano 40-1
Ryan Newman 50-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 60-1
Jamie McMurray 60-1
Juan Montoya 60-1
Paul Menard 75-1
Marcos Ambrose 75-1
Kurt Busch 75-1
Jeff Burton 100-1
Aric Almirola 100-1
A.J. Allmendinger 300-1
Danica Patrick 500-1
Field (Any Other Driver) 100-1

**Udog** · 03-17-2013, 09:50 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

North Carolina vs. Miami (FL)
The Hurricanes look to follow up yesterday's 81-71 win over NC State and build on their 17-6-1 ATS record in their last 24 games following a SU victory. Miami (FL) is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hurricans favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, MARCH 17

Game 887-888: North Carolina vs. Miami (FL) (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 67.889; Miami (FL) 72.835
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 5; 137
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 2 1/2; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-2 1/2); Under

Game 889-890: Mississippi vs. Florida (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 66.828; Florida 74.877
Dunkel Line: Florida by 8; 140
Vegas Line: Florida by 11 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+11 1/2); Over

Game 891-892: VCU vs. St. Louis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VCU 66.888; St. Louis 70.924
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 4; 133
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-1 1/2); Under

Game 893-894: Wisconsin vs. Ohio State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 73.608; Ohio State 72.598
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 1; 122
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 1 1/2; 117 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+1 1/2); Over

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 17

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N CAROLINA (24 - 9) vs. MIAMI (26 - 6) - 3/17/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIAMI is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MIAMI is 89-57 ATS (+26.3 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
MIAMI is 47-26 ATS (+18.4 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
MIAMI is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
MIAMI is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
N CAROLINA is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
N CAROLINA is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
N CAROLINA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
N CAROLINA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-3 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 4-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OLE MISS (25 - 8) vs. FLORIDA (26 - 6) - 3/17/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 60-34 ATS (+22.6 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
OLE MISS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 3-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 3-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VA COMMONWEALTH (26 - 7) vs. SAINT LOUIS (26 - 6) - 3/17/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAINT LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons
SAINT LOUIS is 1-0 straight up against VA COMMONWEALTH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WISCONSIN (23 - 10) vs. OHIO ST (25 - 7) - 3/17/2013, 3:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 180-140 ATS (+26.0 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
OHIO ST is 167-131 ATS (+22.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
OHIO ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 201-155 ATS (+30.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OHIO ST is 130-95 ATS (+25.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
WISCONSIN is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 3-3 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 3-3 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Sunday, March 17

ACC Tournament, Championship
North Carolina vs. (#9) Miami FL, 1:00 ET ESPN
North Carolina: 3-6 ATS in tournament championship games
Miami FL: 14-6 ATS as a favorite

SEC Tournament, Championship
Mississippi vs. (#13) Florida, 1:00 ET ABC
Mississippi: 13-2 ATS as an underdog of 10+ points
Florida: 14-4 Over as a neutral court favorite

(#25) Virginia Commonwealth vs. (#16) St. Louis, 1:00 ET CBS
VA Commonwealth: 8-3 Over vs. conference opponents
St. Louis: 14-4 ATS vs. conference opponents

Big Ten Tournament, Championship
(#22) Wisconsin vs. (#10) Ohio State, 3:30 ET CBS
Wisconsin: 20-8 Under in conference tournament games
Ohio State: 7-1 ATS playing with same-season revenge

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 17

SEC tournament (Nashville)
Florida hasn't won SEC tourney since '07, when they won national title; Gators are 7-6 in SEC tourney since- they shot 64% inside arc, routed Ole Miss 78-64 (-17.5) Feb 2- Henderson went 7-11 behind arc, rest of Rebels 0-6. Ole Miss is 6-1 in last seven games, has to be little nervous about NCAAs if they lose- loss was at #257 Miss State. Ole Miss used three starters 37+ minutes Saturday. Florida allowed 58 or less points in last eight wins, 61+ points in last four losses.

ACC tournament (Greensboro)
Miami is in ACC tournament finals for first time; they beat UNC twice this year, 68-59 in Deandome, 87-61 at home; 'canes were 24-52 on arc in two games, UNC 12-35- Heels took total of 14 FTs in the two games. North Carolina won eight of last nine games, with only loss to Duke in regular season finale. UNC played three starters 34+ minutes Saturday in 79-76 win over Maryland- they lost in ACC finals last two years, to Duke/FSU. Heels are 0-4 vs Duke/Miami, 14-2 vs rest of ACC.

Atlantic 16 tournament (Brooklyn)
Veteran-laden Saint Louis (top 6 guys juniors/seniors) won 23 of last 26 games, with last two losses in OT. SLU (-2) beat VCU 76-62 at home Feb 19, tunring ball over only 8 times, shooting 73% (19-26) inside arc. Rams are now 21-5 in last 26 conference tourney games; force turnovers 28.6% of time, most in country, but Billikens are in top 10% in country in ball security. VCU won 10 of their last 12 games overall; they played three subs double digit minutes Saturday. SLU forced 20 turnovers (+12) Saturday in beating Butler for third time this season.

Big Dozen tourney (Chicago)
Ohio State is 12-2 in this tourney last 4+ years, they've won last eight games overall, with seven of eight by 8+ points; home side won both its games with Wisconsin this season- Badgers won 71-49 at home Feb 17, after losing 58-49 in first meeting Jan 19. Wisky is in Big Dozen final for first time since '08; Ryan is 2-2 in finals, losing by 11-17 points-- they shot 58% inside arc as they beat Indiana for 12th time in row Saturday. Ryan played three starters 31+ minutes. Buckeyes had only five TO's in tense 61-58 win over Michigan State.

NCAAB

Sunday, March 17

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI vs. FLORIDA
No trends available
Florida is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi

1:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. MIAMI
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing North Carolina
Miami is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing North Carolina

1:00 PM
VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH vs. SAINT LOUIS
No trends available
Saint Louis is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saint Louis's last 6 games

3:30 PM
WISCONSIN vs. OHIO STATE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ohio State's last 7 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 03-17-2013, 09:50 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, March 17

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ACC tournament final: North Carolina vs. Miami
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North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanes (-2.5, 144)

North Carolina will attempt to add to its 17 ACC tournament titles and top-seeded Miami goes for its first when the teams meet in Sunday's championship game in Greensboro, N.C. The Hurricanes, who finished the regular season with two wins in their last five games, got back to the solid play that led them to a 13-0 league start by putting away North Carolina State 81-71 in the semifinals Saturday. Guards Durand Scott and Shane Larkin led the way as they have most of the season, combining for 55 points against the Wolfpack.

The Hurricanes have beaten North Carolina twice this season, including a 26-point thumping in Coral Gables, Fla. The third-seeded Tar Heels have been a much better team since then, winning eight of their last nine. North Carolina has gone with a smaller lineup down the stretch, playing better on both ends.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, ESPN, ACC Network.

ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (24-9): The Tar Heels almost blew a double-digit lead in their 79-76 victory over Maryland in the semifinals, but made enough plays to seal it. North Carolina had 14 turnovers combined in the first two rounds, only two by freshman point guard Marcus Paige. P.J. Hairston, who came back from a nasty cut on his left hand he suffered in the quarterfinals, also continued his strong play. Hairston has averaged 19 points over the last 10 games and Reggie Bullock has averaged 16.1 over the last seven. James Michael McAdoo is a consistent force inside for the Tar Heels, who average 77.2 points.

ABOUT MIAMI (26-6): Scott poured in a career-best 32 points in the semifinals, slicing through the Wolfpack defense and draining five 3-pointers. The senior leader, who was selected ACC Defensive Player of the Year, had averaged just under 10 points in the previous eight games. Larkin, a finalist for the Bob Cousy Award given to nation’s best point guard, has scored at least 20 points in four of the last six contests. Forward Kenny Kadji has four double-doubles in the last five outings. The Hurricanes need more from burly 6-10 center Reggie Johnson, who has only 17 points the last seven games.

TRENDS:

* Tar Heels are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.
* Under is 6-1 in Tar Heels’ last seven games following a S.U. win.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

TIP-INS

1. North Carolina coach Roy Williams goes for his 700th career victory. He is 699-178 in his 25th season.

2. Miami has won two more games than any other Hurricanes’ team in program history.

3. North Carolina has 90 ACC tournament wins, one shy of matching Duke for the most in league history.

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**Udog** · 03-17-2013, 09:50 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, March 17

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Big Ten final: Wisconsin vs. Ohio State
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Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (-1.5, 118)

Second-seeded Ohio State goes after its third Big Ten tournament title in four seasons when it meets fourth-seeded Wisconsin in Sunday’s contest in Chicago. The No. 9 Buckeyes won the 2010 and 2011 crowns and advanced by knocking off Michigan State in Saturday’s semifinals. Ohio State has won seven consecutive games dating back to being routed 71-49 by the Badgers on Feb. 17. No. 23 Wisconsin ousted top-seeded Indiana in the semifinals and has won six of its last eight games.

The Badgers held high-scoring Indiana to a season-low point total in a 68-56 victory. Wisconsin isn’t all that athletic compared to the Hoosiers and the Michigan squad it beat in the quarterfinals but figures out how to get the job done. “Just means we have a bunch of guys that want to play and play hard,” senior forward Mike Bruesewitz said. “Kind of how college basketball has gone this whole year.” The Buckeyes split two games with the Badgers in the regular season but are still smarting over the whipping they took in the second outing. “We’ve got to be ready from the tip-off against them because last game we weren’t ready,” Ohio State junior forward Deshaun Thomas said. “But now we’ve got to be ready and focused because we know Wisconsin is going to hold that ball and try to run the clock to the end.”

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS.

ABOUT OHIO STATE (25-7): Junior point guard Aaron Craft had an outstanding game against Michigan State with 20 points, a season-high nine assists and four steals. Craft doesn’t typically look to score – the 20-point outing is just the third of his career – but was 9-of-13 shooting against the Spartans. “I think we have a lot of plays that we can execute that either get me open shots or I can help create for somebody else,” Craft said. Craft has 17 assists in the first two games of the tourney as he has stepped up his typical high-level intensity even further. “He loves these types of games,” coach Thad Matta said. “There’s no question about it. He’s big for us.”

ABOUT WISCONSIN (22-10): Nobody averages even 12 points for the team-oriented Badgers and any one of six players can be the hero on any given night. Senior forward Ryan Evans earned that tag with 16 points, eight rebounds and four blocked shots against the Hoosiers but stellar team defense overshadowed his fine effort. Junior guard Ben Brust makes 3-pointers (75), senior center Jared Berggren blocks shots (68), sophomore guard Traevon Jackson runs the offense (93 assists) and Bruesewitz does a little bit of everything. Freshman forward Sam Dekker had seven of his 11 points in a key second-half sequence.

TRENDS:

* Buckeyes are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Under is 6-1 in Buckeyes’ last seven overall.
* Badgers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games following a S.U. win.

TIP-INS

1. Ohio State averaged 53.5 points in the two meetings against the Badgers, more than 16 points less below its season average of 69.8.

2. The Badgers are 17-3 when holding opponents under 60 points this season.

3. The Buckeyes committed five turnovers in the win over Michigan State.

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**Udog** · 03-17-2013, 09:51 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, March 17

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SEC tournament final: Ole Miss vs. Florida
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Ole Miss Rebels vs. Florida Gators (-11, 138.5)

Mississippi is one game away from taking its NCAA Tournament fate out of the hands of the selection committee. The third-seeded Rebels will face off against No. 1 seed Florida on Sunday in the SEC tournament championship game in Nashville, Tenn. Ole Miss entered the conference tournament as a bubble team and would like to ensure its spot in the NCAA Tournament by earning the automatic bid reserved for the SEC champion.

The Gators have had little trouble advancing to the championship game, blowing out Louisiana State in the quarterfinals on Friday and using a second-half surge to end Alabama’s tournament run on Saturday. Florida is playing for NCAA Tournament seeding, and is hoping a conference tournament triumph will put it into a No. 2 seed. To get there, the Gators will need to slow down Rebels star Marshall Henderson, who has averaged 25 points in the first two tournament games.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT MISSISSIPPI (25-8): The Rebels have won six of their last seven games to surge back onto the top of the bubble. Mississippi had fallen off with a stretch of five losses in seven games from Jan. 29 to Feb. 20, which included a 78-64 setback at Florida on Feb. 2. Henderson scored 20 of his 27 points in the second half and Derrick Millinghaus scored with 1.1 seconds left to give the Rebels a 64-62 win in the quarterfinals over Missouri on Friday. Henderson went for 23 and Ole Miss had an easier time on Saturday with a 64-52 triumph over Vanderbilt. The Rebels were without point guard Jarvis Summers, who was injured on Friday, against the Commodores, and the sophomore is questionable for Sunday’s finale. Henderson hit seven 3-pointers en route to 25 points but the rest of the Ole Miss players combined to shoot 32.5 percent in the loss at Florida last month.

ABOUT FLORIDA (26-6): The Gators shot 51.6 percent and had four players with at least 13 points in the win over Ole Miss and have used that same strong defense and balanced offense in the SEC tournament. Erik Murphy starred with a career-high 27 points in the opener against LSU and Kenny Boynton took over on Saturday, keying a 15-0 run in the second half and scoring all 16 of his points after the break in the 61-51 triumph over Alabama. Florida stumbled a bit with three losses in the final six games of the regular season but has turned things around after a series of tough practices earlier in the week. The Gators are trying to secure their first SEC tournament title since 2007.

TRENDS:

* Underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in Rebels’ last five overall.
* Gators are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a S.U. win.
* Under is 7-1 in Gators’ last eight overall.

TIP-INS

1. Mississippi has not won the SEC tournament since 1981 and has not made the championship game since falling to Kentucky in 2001.

2. Boynton snapped a 13-game streak of shooting under 50 percent when he went 6-for-12 on Saturday.

3. Henderson has hit at least three 3-pointers in eight straight games.

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**Udog** · 03-17-2013, 09:51 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, March 17

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Atlantic 10 final: VCU vs. Saint Louis
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VCU Rams vs. Saint Louis Billikens (-1.5, 136.5)

No. 22 Virginia Commonwealth will get a shot at revenge — and improving its seed for the NCAA Tournament — when the Rams take on No. 16 Saint Louis in the Atlantic 10 championship game Sunday in Brooklyn, N.Y. Saint Louis easily handled VCU in the regular season, winning 76-62 at home while withstanding the Rams' vaunted "Havoc" defense.

The top-seeded Billikens, who won the regular-season title outright, have advanced to their first conference championship game since joining the Atlantic 10 in 2005-06. The second-seeded Rams, however, are playing in their conference title tilt for the third straight year — the last two came in the Colonial Athletic Association.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network

ABOUT VCU (26-7, 12-4 Atlantic 10): The Rams can put up the points, thanks in part to the large number of turnovers they force and strong outside shooting. Senior guard Troy Daniels (12.5 points) led the barrage in a 71-62 win over Massachusetts in the semifinals, going 6-for-9 from 3-point range. If the Rams are going to knock off Saint Louis, they'll need leading scorer Treveon Graham (15.4 points, 5.8 rebounds) to bounce back after going 1-for-12 for three points Saturday. Forward Juvonte Reddic (14.4 points, 8.3 rebounds) is coming off a big game, though, with 18 points and 12 rebounds against the Minutemen.

ABOUT SAINT LOUIS (26-6, 13-3): The Billikens are one of the top defensive teams in the nation, but they also boast four double-digit scorers. Undersized power forward Dwayne Evans (13.6 points, 7.7 rebounds) has led the way all season, but he has taken over completely in the conference tournament. Evans is 15-of-19 from the floor and 18-of-20 from the foul line through his first two games in the tournament and has compiled 49 points and 20 rebounds. Reserve forward Cody Ellis (10.3 points) also had a solid game in Saturday's 67-56 win over Butler with 13 points off the bench.

TRENDS:

* Billikens are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
* Billikens are 8-0 ATS in their last eight Sunday games.
* Over is 4-0 in Rams’ last four games following an ATS win.

TIP-INS

1. The top two seeds have reached the Atlantic 10 final for the first time since 2005.

2. Evans has scored in double figures in 14 consecutive games.

3. Graham has failed to reach double digits in scoring only four times this season.

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**Udog** · 03-17-2013, 09:53 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Nashville at Edmonton
The Oilers look to take advantage of a Nashville team that is 1-8 in its last 9 road games. Edmonton is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Oilers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-125). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, MARCH 17

Game 51-52: Boston at Pittsburgh (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.483; Pittsburgh 12.120
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+120); Over

Game 53-54: Winnipeg at Ottawa (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 11.533; Ottawa 11.067
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+105); Under

Game 55-56: Buffalo at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 10.504; Washington 12.383
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-140); Under

Game 57-58: Nashville at Edmonton (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 10.882; Edmonton 12.301
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-125); Over

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 17

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BOSTON (19-4-0-3, 41 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (21-8-0-0, 42 pts.) - 3/17/2013, 12:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 21-8 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 21-8 ATS (+6.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
PITTSBURGH is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in March games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 22-7 ATS (+11.1 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 149-127 ATS (+281.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
BOSTON is 27-11 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
BOSTON is 20-6 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 23-7 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 6-3 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 6-3-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)

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WINNIPEG (15-11-0-2, 32 pts.) at OTTAWA (14-8-0-6, 34 pts.) - 3/17/2013, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 23-15 ATS (+41.4 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 74-77 ATS (-38.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 6-4 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 6-4-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

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BUFFALO (10-14-0-4, 24 pts.) at WASHINGTON (11-15-0-1, 23 pts.) - 3/17/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 124-165 ATS (-57.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
BUFFALO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BUFFALO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 5-15 ATS (-11.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 68-85 ATS (-55.8 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 9-16 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-4-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NASHVILLE (11-11-0-6, 28 pts.) at EDMONTON (10-11-0-6, 26 pts.) - 3/17/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 156-140 ATS (+302.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
EDMONTON is 66-124 ATS (-76.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 19-38 ATS (+59.4 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 18-35 ATS (+66.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 9-22 ATS (+34.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-4 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-4-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 17

Hot teams
-- Pittsburgh won its last eight games, allowing four goals in their last four. Bruins won five of their last six.
-- Winnipeg won five of its last six games.

Cold teams
-- Senators lost six of their last eight games.
-- Sabres lost five of their last six games. Washington lost four of last five.
-- Oilers, Predators both lost six of their last eight games.

Totals
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Boston games.
-- Seven of last nine Winnipeg games stayed under total.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Washington games.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Edmonton games.

Series records
-- Penguins won six of last seven games with Boston.
-- Visiting team won last five Winnipeg-Ottawa games.
-- Sabres lost six of last seven visits to Washington.
-- Oilers lost 14 of last 21 games against Nashville.

NHL

Sunday, March 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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12:30 PM
BOSTON vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Boston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston

5:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. OTTAWA
Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Ottawa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo

8:00 PM
NASHVILLE vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Nashville is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville

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NHL

Sunday, March 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Around the rink: Sunday's NHL betting notes
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston Bruins at Pittsburgh Penguins (-135, 5.5)

Probable starting goaltenders: Tuukka Rask (BOS), Tomas Vokoun (PIT)

The Pittsburgh Penguins are riding high on the strength of an eight-game winning streak. The Boston Bruins were in prime position to end Pittsburgh's impressive stretch on Tuesday before squandering a two-goal lead en route to a 3-2 setback. Boston, which boasts the league's best penalty kill, has thwarted 25 straight short-handed opportunities. The under is 4-0-1 in the Bruins’ last five overall.

Winnipeg Jets at Ottawa Senators (-122, 5)

Probable starting goaltenders: Ondrej Pavelec (WPG), Robin Lehner (OTT)

Winners of three in a row and a 5-0-1 mark in their last six contests, the Jets will look to keep their good fortune going on Sunday when they visit Canada's capital city. The Senators improved to 2-2-4 in their last eight outings with a win over Buffalo Saturday, and have been competitive despite nursing several injuries. Ottawa extended its string of games decided by one goal to 11, which is one shy of matching the NHL record set by the 1997-98 Chicago Blackhawks. The road team is 5-0 in the last five meetings.

Buffalo Sabres at Washington Capitals (-131, 5.5)

Probable starting goaltenders: Jhonas Enroth (BUF), Braden Holtby (WSH)

The Capitals edged the Southeast Division-leading Carolina Hurricanes on Thursday to snap a three-game losing streak before dropping a 4-1 decision to the Boston Bruins two days later. Buffalo has won only one of its last seven visits to Washington and the home team has won five of the last six games in the all-time series.

Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers (-117, 5)

Probable starting goaltenders: Pekka Rinne (NSH), Devan Dubnyk (EDM)

Edmonton will look to avenge a 6-0 defeat in Nashville on March 8. The Predators have won nine of their last 12 visits to Edmonton despite, but are just 1-7-1 in their last nine road games. The winning team has scored six goals in three of the last four matchups.

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**Udog** · 03-17-2013, 09:55 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 17

Hot Teams
-- Miami won its last 21 games (9-0 last nine AF).
-- Clippers won six of their last nine games (4-2 last six HF).
-- Rockets won five of last seven games (6-2 last eight HF).
-- Thunder won seven of their last eight games (1-4 last five AF). Dallas won five of last six games (3-4 HU).
-- Nets won four of their last five games (4-5-1 last ten HF).
-- Lakers won seven of last nine games (7-5 last 12 HF).

Cold Teams
-- Magic lost seven of last nine games (3-0 last three AU). Milwaukee lost its last three games, by 7-13-13 points (1-7 last eight HF).
-- Toronto lost seven of last ten games (8-5 HU).
-- Knicks lost four of their last five games (1-4 last five U).
-- Hornets lost seven of their last nine games (0-1 AF). Minnesota lost eight of last ten games (3-6-1 last 10 HU).
-- Golden State lost its last four road games (1-9 last ten AU).
-- Hawks lost their last five road games (0-3 last three AU).
-- Kings lost 11 of last 12 road games (6-9 last 15 AU).

Totals
-- Six of last eight Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Miami games.
-- Five of last seven Clipper home games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Brooklyn home games stayed under.
-- Eight of last ten Sacramento games went over the total.

Back-to-backs
-- None

**Udog** · 03-17-2013, 09:56 AM

NBA

Sunday, March 17

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Orlando's last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando
Milwaukee is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Orlando

1:00 PM
MIAMI vs. TORONTO
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games
Toronto is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games

3:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. LA CLIPPERS
New York is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
New York is 2-10 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing New York
LA Clippers are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games when playing New York

7:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New Orleans's last 14 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games when playing New Orleans

7:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games
Golden State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State
Houston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

7:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 12 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Oklahoma City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. BROOKLYN
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home
Brooklyn is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home

9:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games on the road
Sacramento is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 7 games at home
LA Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing at home against Sacramento

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**Udog** · 03-17-2013, 10:15 AM

NBA

Sunday, March 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fullcourt press: Sunday's NBA betting notes
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors (+7.5, 195.5)

The Heat will be trying to match the 2007-08 Houston Rockets for the second-longest winning streak in history at 22 straight games when they visit the Toronto Raptors. The Heat have won 10 straight in the series, including two meetings in 2012-13. Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games.

Orlando Magic at Milwaukee Bucks (-8.5, 207)

Four straight opponents and seven of the last eight have scored at least 100 points on the Bucks. During their current three-game slide, Milwaukee has allowed an average of 109.3 points. The Magic are losers of 35 of their last 41 games, but are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.

New York Knicks at Los Angeles Clippers (-11.5, 195.5)

The Knicks are hoping to have Carmelo Anthony and Tyson Chandler in the lineup when they attempt to snap a three-game slide. New York was having some trouble generating points even with its stars on the floor over the past few weeks, averaging 93.7 points over its last 15 games. The Clippers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against East foes.

Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets (-7.5, 216.5)

The Rockets put on a historic display the last time the Warriors visited, matching an NBA record with 23 3-pointers in a 140-109 drubbing on Feb. 5. Houston has taken five straight and eight of the last nine in the series. The Warriors are 1-8 ATS in the last nine meetings in Houston.

New Orleans Hornets at Minnesota Timberwolves (-2.5, 188.5)

This is the last of four meetings this season, and the Hornets are trying to salvage a split after taking two of three from the Timberwolves last season. The Hornets have lost two straight and 10 of 13 after a 96-87 defeat at Washington on Friday. The Timberwolves have lost two straight and 10 of 12, but one of their five wins over the past six weeks was a 115-86 home victory over New Orleans on Feb. 2. The Hornets are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks (+4.5, 209.5)

Dallas is playing solidly with five wins in its last six outings. But Oklahoma City is looking to finish off a four-game season sweep of the Mavericks. Two of this season’s three meetings have been decided in overtime; Oklahoma City won the other by 21 points. The Mavericks are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games against Western Conference opponents.

Atlanta Hawks at Brooklyn Nets (-4.5, 188)

The Hawks have won two straight following three consecutive losses. After missing Wednesday’s loss to the Los Angeles Lakers with a sprained left knee, Josh Smith had 17 points and 11 rebounds in a 107-94 win over Phoenix on Friday. Brooklyn has won nine of its last 14 to move within one game of third-place New York. After playing Atlanta, the Nets head out for an eight-game, 17-day road trip beginning Monday in Detroit. The under is 5-1 in the Hawks’ last six road games.

Sacramento Kings at Los Angeles Lakers (-12.5, 212.5)

The Los Angeles Lakers figure to be without Kobe Bryant when they host the Sacramento Kings on Sunday. Bryant left after one quarter in Friday’s victory over the Indiana Pacers, two days after suffering an ankle injury against the Atlanta Hawks. Los Angeles has won eight of its last nine home games against the Kings, who have played over in seven of their last eight road games.

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**Udog** · 03-17-2013, 10:50 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (18 - 48) at MILWAUKEE (32 - 32) - 3/17/2013, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 28-41 ATS (-17.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 111-76 ATS (+27.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
ORLANDO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 59-88 ATS (-37.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 7-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (50 - 14) at TORONTO (26 - 40) - 3/17/2013, 1:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (38 - 25) at LA CLIPPERS (45 - 21) - 3/17/2013, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (22 - 44) at MINNESOTA (22 - 41) - 3/17/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (37 - 30) at HOUSTON (36 - 30) - 3/17/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 8-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (49 - 17) at DALLAS (31 - 34) - 3/17/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 38-26 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 258-205 ATS (+32.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 79-50 ATS (+24.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 59-41 ATS (+13.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 12-7 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-7 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (36 - 29) at BROOKLYN (38 - 27) - 3/17/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-5 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (23 - 43) at LA LAKERS (35 - 32) - 3/17/2013, 9:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 5-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-17-2013, 11:44 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Oklahoma City at Dallas
The Thunder look to build on their 11-3-1 ATS record in their last 15 games in Dallas. Oklahoma City is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, MARCH 17

Game 871-872: Orlando at Milwaukee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 107.755; Milwaukee 122.016
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 14 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 8 1/2; 207
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-8 1/2); Under

Game 873-874: Miami at Toronto (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 127.027; Toronto 117.503
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 9 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 7 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-7 1/2); Over

Game 875-876: New York at LA Clippers (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 116.056; LA Clippers 127.061
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 11; 199
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 12 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: New York (+12 1/2); Over

Game 877-878: New Orleans at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 113.897; Minnesota 110.082
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 4; 181
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 1; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-1); Under

Game 879-880: Golden State at Houston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 113.458; Houston 125.042
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 11 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 7; 216 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-7); Under

Game 881-882: Oklahoma City at Dallas (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 127.450; Dallas 120.963
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6 1/2; 215
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4 1/2; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-4 1/2); Over

Game 883-884: Atlanta at Brooklyn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.320; Brooklyn 119.100
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4; 188
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+4); Over

Game 885-886: Sacramento at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 113.855; LA Lakers 125.984
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 12; 208
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 9; 212 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-9); Under

**Udog** · 03-17-2013, 12:43 PM

NBA

Sunday, March 17

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Bank shots: NBA betting news and notes
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For the week of March 10-16.

Hottest ATS

Denver Nuggets (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)

The Nuggets were last week’s best bet (4-0 ATS) and they haven’t disappointed their bettors since. Denver has strung together eight consecutive covers and is riding an 11-game winning streak into Chicago on Monday. The Nuggets follow up with another tough road tilt in Oklahoma City on Tuesday.

Coldest ATS

Phoenix Suns (0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS)

The Suns’ inability to play defense is making them a fade down the stretch. Phoenix has dropped four straight, failing to cover in all four contests as underdogs. The Suns have allowed opponents to score an average of 113 points during the skid. Opponents are scorching the Suns from long range, firing at a league-best 40 percent clip. Phoenix hosts Los Angeles (Lakers), Washington, Minnesota and Brooklyn this week.

Best over play

Indiana Pacers (1-3 SU, 4-0 over/under)

Bettors have been banking on the Pacers’ ability to go low all season, but the team dynamic has changed since Danny Granger returned from injury and oddsmakers have been setting the bar low for Indiana down the stretch. The Pacers have played over in five consecutive games, facing an average total of 187 during that span. Indiana hosts Cleveland Monday before hitting the road for Orlando and Milwaukee.

Best under play

Utah Jazz (2-1 SU, 0-3 over/under)

The surging Lakers have bucked Utah from the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference standings. Every game will be treated as a must-min for the Jazz down the stretch and that usually means closer, low-scoring contests. Utah has three tough games against Knicks, Rockets and Spurs this week.

Scouting the schedule:

-After a Sunday showdown with the Hawks, the Brooklyn Nets embark on a season-long eight-game road trip. The Nets have been a good under play (11-18-1 O/U) away from home.

-The Philadelphia 76ers are way out of contention for a playoff spot in the East and things could get ugly for them down the stretch. The Sixers play 12 of their final 17 games away from Wells Fargo Center and have a dismal 6-23 SU record on the road (12-17 ATS). Philadelphia also has a tendency to play under totals (8-18-3 O/U) away this season.

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Announcement

Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 3/17 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 3/17 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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