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**Udog** · 03-12-2013, 08:47 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Updated odds to win next year's Super Bowl........

New England Patriots +$600
San Francisco 49ers +$675
Denver Broncos +$775
Seattle Seahawks +$900
Green Bay Packers +$1050
Houston Texans $1300

*****

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but...........

13) Three weeks ago, if I had told you that Michigan, NC State and Butler would all miss out on byes in their leagues, you’d have called me nuts, but it happened. At one point, I thought Michigan was best team in the country, but now they’re the #5 seed in the Big Dozen. Go figure.

12) Good news: my alma mater Albany is playing on ESPN Saturday morning at Vermont in the America East title game.

Bad news: Vermont clocked them twice this season, 70-45 and 50-43. Great Danes’ coach Will Brown is a good guy and we wish him well.

11) Pet peeve: The term “student-athlete”. This annoying phrase is most always spoken by bureaucrats who makes hundreds and thousands of dollars off of kids, who are way more athletes than students, though many are both. Just call them “kids” or “athletes” or “players” or more accurately “athlete-students”.

10) UTSA-San Jose State are playing in first round of WAC tournament this week in Las Vegas; they were supposed to play last weekend in San Jose, but game got rained out because the roof in San Jose leaks and it was raining out-- since both teams are awful, they didn’t bother rescheduling it.

9) Over last two years, Western Kentucky is 17-19 in Sun Belt regular season games, 8-0 in conference tournament games- they beat Mississippi Valley State by a point in a First Four game in Dayton LY, then got beat by Kentucky by 15 in the next round. They could be going back to Dayton.

8) I was looking at a list of free agents for my fantasy baseball league (16-team keeper league, 25-man rosters) and one set of stats from last year stood out to me: Chipper Jones, but obviously he is retired.

Have to keep on my toes in case the Bronx Bombers try to weasel in and get him to unretire-- his initial response was no, and Bronx is apparently trying to sign Derrek Lee now.

7) So I’m watching the Dodger-Rockies game Sunday and Colorado brings in a pitcher named Parker Frazier, whose dad George happens to be Rockies’ TV analyst. Tough gig for George when his kid gives up two runs on his first three pitches. Thought he might make a joke, but he just said, “I’m not going to lie to you, its tough seeing your kid give up a home run.”

6) Score a victory for common sense; New York Supreme Court Judge Milton Tingling overturned the un-American ban on 20+-ounce sodas put in by New York City's billionaire Mayor Bloomberg. When you start to restrict the civil liberties of people that much, where do you draw the line?

5) Tough day for my Rams; Seahawks traded for Percy Harvin, 49ers got Anquan Boldin from Baltimore, and my Rams, who desperately need any WR who can get open and catch the ball? Nothing yet.

Rams have two first round draft picks, so they'll make their moves, but the competition in the NFC West got stronger Monday.

4) Weird story about Miami Hurricanes’ basketball star Shane Larkin, whose dad is baseball Hall of Famer Barry Larkin.

When was a little kid, Shane went to baseball practice and tried to bat like Tony Perez, another former Reds’ great. Whatever genius he had for a coach ripped young Larkin, saying whoever taught him to hit didn’t know what he was talking about. Um, OK.....

Shane went home in tears, and both elder and younger Larkin claim that to this day, Shane has never picked up a bat since then.

Miami hoop coach Jim Larranaga probably likes that story.

3) Not sure this is good news, but when David DeJesus won Cubs’ bunting tournament at spring training last week, guy named Nate Halm finished second. Don’t pick Halm up for your fantasy team; he’s an assistant in the Cubs’ video department who once played college ball at Miami, OH.

Maybe the Cubs should just play for big innings this year.

2) Bizarre graphic of the year: Oakland scored the first hoop in its game against Fort Wayne Sunday night; a small graphic appears on the bottom of the screen: “Oakland is 9-3 when it scores first.”

Now, kudos to a dedicated soul who researched that tidbit, but its basketball people, who cares?!?!?! When does scoring first matter in basketball? Not since the shot clock came in. Yikes.

1) My advice to any college basketball teams who aren’t in the top 25; don’t assume you have an NCAA bid locked up. Win as many games as you can. Take nothing for granted. Play with a sense of urgency.

Some of the longest days of your life are the days between losing in the conference tournament and waiting to see if you got an at-large bid. No one is going to be listening to the teams who are wailing Sunday night when they’re a top seed in the NIT instead of one of the 68 happy teams in the country. Its very simple: keep winning, and you’ll wind up grinning.

**Udog** · 03-12-2013, 08:47 AM

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities

Spot bets are a classic handicapping practice that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.

Lookahead spot

Oklahoma State is going dancing regardless of what happens in the Big 12 tournament. The Cowboys, who earned a No. 3 seed in the conference postseason, went 23-7 SU and 15-12-2 ATS with a big win over Kansas State to close the schedule. Those two Big 12 rivals, who split their meetings this season, are slotted for a rubber match in the semifinals of the conference tournament.

But before the Pokes start sizing up the Wildcats, they have to get past pesky Baylor in Kansas City Thursday. The Bears are still battling for their NCAA lives and scored a massive win over Kansas in the season finale. Baylor has given Oklahoma State problems all year. It defeated the Cowboys 64-54 as a 4.5-point home favorite on Jan. 21 and lost 69-67 to OSU in overtime as a 6.5-point road underdog on Feb. 6.

Letdown spot

The Dallas Mavericks are hanging on for dear life in the Western Conference. After sliding back to 10th in the standings, and out of the playoff picture, the Mavericks have dusted themselves off with three straight wins heading into a busy slate of games this week, highlighted by Thursday’s showdown in San Antonio.

A win over the conference-leading Spurs would be a major boost to Dallas’ postseason hopes heading into the home stretch of the schedule. The Mavericks follow that high-pressure situation in San Antonio with a home date against the Cleveland Cavaliers Friday – a game that has both letdown and lookahead potential. Dallas hosts the Oklahoma City Thunder Sunday.

Schedule spot

The Boston Bruins have a busy schedule this week, starting in Canada’s capital Monday night. The Bruins open a stretch of five games in seven days on the road versus the Ottawa Senators, then travel to the Steel City to play the Pittsburgh Penguins Tuesday.

Boston is back home for two more games, versus the Florida Panthers Thursday and Washington Capitals Saturday, before traveling back to Pittsburgh for another road contests versus Sidney Crosby and the Pens Sunday. Looking beyond that seven-day slate, the Bruins play six of their next eight away from Beantown, starting Monday.

**Udog** · 03-12-2013, 08:47 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

DePaul vs. Rutgers
The Blue Demons look to take advantage of a Rutgers team that is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games against teams with a losing record. DePaul is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Scarlet Knights favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+3). Here are all of today's games.

TUESDAY, MARCH 12

Game 567-568: Princeton at Pennsylvania (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 58.597; Pennsylvania 51.544
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 7; 120
Vegas Line: Princeton by 5; 124
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-5); Under

Game 569-570: Seton Hall vs. South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 57.393; South Florida 58.852
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 1 1/2; 120
Vegas Line: Pick; 115 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida; Over

Game 571-572: DePaul vs. Rutgers (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 54.821; Rutgers 56.094
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 1 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 3; 145
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+3); Under

Game 573-574: Nevada vs. Wyoming (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 53.466; Wyoming 55.101
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 1 1/2; 124
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 3 1/2; 119 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+3 1/2); Over

Game 575-576: Seattle vs. Texas State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 50.185; Texas State 47.180
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 3; 142
Vegas Line: Seattle by 4; 147
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+4); Under

Game 577-578: TX-San Antonio vs. San Jose State (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 45.626; San Jose State 44.078
Dunkel Line: TX-San Antonio by 1 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: TX-San Antonio by 4 1/2; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+4 1/2); Over

Game 579-580: North Dakota State vs. South Dakota State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 55.963; South Dakota State 60.603
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 4 1/2; 135
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 581-582: Wright State at Valparaiso (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 56.676; Valparaiso 66.780
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 10; 125
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 7 1/2; 121 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-7 1/2); Over

Game 591-592: Coppin State vs. Bethune-Cookman (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Coppin State 41.704; Bethune-Cookman 43.826
Dunkel Line: Bethune-Cookman by 2
Vegas Line: Bethune-Cookman by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Coppin State (+3 1/2)

Game 593-594: Florida A&M vs. North Carolina A&T (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida A&M 39.431; North Carolina A&T 47.548
Dunkel Line: North Carolina A&T by 8
Vegas Line: North Carolina A&T by 6
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina A&T (-6)

Game 595-596: Howard vs. Delaware State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Howard 38.839; Delaware State 42.990
Dunkel Line: Delaware State by 4
Vegas Line: Delaware State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Howard (+4 1/2)

Game 597-598: Mt. St. Mary's vs. LIU-Brooklyn (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mt. St. Mary's 51.871; LIU-Brooklyn 57.401
Dunkel Line: LIU-Brooklyn by 5 1/2; 152
Vegas Line: LIU-Brooklyn by 3 1/2; 155 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LIU-Brooklyn (-3 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 03-12-2013, 08:48 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 12

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PRINCETON (16 - 11) at PENNSYLVANIA (9 - 21) - 3/12/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PRINCETON is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
PRINCETON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) in all home games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home lined games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENNSYLVANIA is 3-2 against the spread versus PRINCETON over the last 3 seasons
PRINCETON is 4-1 straight up against PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S FLORIDA (12 - 18) vs. SETON HALL (14 - 17) - 3/12/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SETON HALL is 2-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
SETON HALL is 2-1 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DEPAUL (11 - 20) vs. RUTGERS (14 - 15) - 3/12/2013, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DEPAUL is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DEPAUL is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
DEPAUL is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
RUTGERS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DEPAUL is 2-0 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
DEPAUL is 2-1 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEVADA (12 - 18) vs. WYOMING (18 - 12) - 3/12/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
NEVADA is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
NEVADA is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
WYOMING is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
WYOMING is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after scoring 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 2-0 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 2-0 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (8 - 21) vs. TEXAS ST (10 - 21) - 3/12/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
TEXAS ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TEXAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS ST is 2-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons

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TX-SAN ANTONIO (8 - 21) vs. SAN JOSE ST (9 - 19) - 3/12/2013, 11:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
SAN JOSE ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
SAN JOSE ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
SAN JOSE ST is 52-75 ATS (-30.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TX-SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE ST is 2-1 straight up against TX-SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons

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WRIGHT ST (21 - 11) vs. VALPARAISO (25 - 7) - 3/12/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VALPARAISO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
VALPARAISO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
VALPARAISO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
WRIGHT ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WRIGHT ST is 3-2 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
VALPARAISO is 5-1 straight up against WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COPPIN ST (8 - 23) vs. BETHUNE-COOKMAN (12 - 19) - 3/12/2013, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COPPIN ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
COPPIN ST is 2-1 straight up against BETHUNE-COOKMAN over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA A&M (8 - 22) vs. N CAROLINA A&T (15 - 16) - 3/12/2013, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA A&T is 4-1 straight up against FLORIDA A&M over the last 3 seasons

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HOWARD (7 - 23) vs. DELAWARE ST (13 - 17) - 3/12/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOWARD is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games since 1997.
HOWARD is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
HOWARD is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DELAWARE ST is 3-2 straight up against HOWARD over the last 3 seasons

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MOUNT ST MARYS (18 - 13) at LONG ISLAND (19 - 13) - 3/12/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LONG ISLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LONG ISLAND is 5-1 straight up against MOUNT ST MARYS over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-12-2013, 08:48 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 12

-- Princeton lost last two games, at Yale/Brown to hand Harvard the Ivy title, so this game is meaningless; Tigers (-16) beat Penn 65-53 at home in Ivy opener Jan 12, making 11-22 behind arc. Princeton is 3-3 on road, winning by 18-25-19 points. Last three Princeton games, five of last six Penn games went over the total. Quakers won four of last seven games with a home win over Harvard, after a dismal 5-18 start.

-- Seton Hall (-5) beat South Florida 55-47 at home Jan 23; Pirates made 58% of shots inside arc, survived 17 (-11) turnovers, but they've lost 10 of 11 games since then are turning ball over 23.9% of time. USF is 2-1 in last three games, after losing previous 10; they've won Big East tourney games three years in row. Seton Hall won first tourney games three of last four years. 13 of last 19 USF games stayed under total.
-- DePaul (-1.5) beat Rutgers 75-69 at home Feb 16, outscoring Scarlet Knight 11-3 over last 2:42 for its only win in last 16 games- they're 1-5 in Big East tournament games, with only win in '09. Rutgers lost four of five in this event last six seasons, winning in OT in '11. Over is 9-3-1 in last 13 DePaul games; five of last seven Rutgers games stayed under the total. Scarlet Knights lost 11 of their last 13 games overall.

-- Wyoming was 12-0 when Martinez (42% on 3's) got tossed after fight off-campus; they're 4-12 in MWC, losing last five games, four by 11+ points, but they beat Nevada twice, 59-48 (+1.5) in Reno Jan 12, 68-48 (-6.5) at home Feb 13. Cowboys are 0-3 in this event last three seasons; this is Nevada's first MWC tourney. Wolf Pack lost its last seven games, six by 11+ points. Eight of last ten Nevada games went over.

-- Texas State beat Seattle twice this year, 86-83 (+7.5) on road Jan 26, 67-65 (-1) at home Feb 28, despite trailing both games at half. Bobcats are 6-7 in last 13 games after a 4-14 start. Seattle lost 16 of last 19 games after starting season 5-5; their last six losses were all by 6 or less points. Seven of last nine Seattle games stayed under the total. Seattle turns ball over over 25.4% of time, makes only 62.2% from foul line. Not good.
-- San Jose State lost its best player Kinney when they were 9-6; they're 0-13 without him, allowing 86.3 ppg in last three, losing last two games by 27-23 points. Spartans (+4) won 80-67 in San Antonio Dec 31- they made 59% inside arc, 9-18 outside it. Rematch was rained out due to San Jose's gym having leaky roof. Roadrunners are 3-2 in last five games, but started season 5-19; they lost last two games by 16-20 points.

-- Valparaiso/Wright State both won buzzer beaters last game; Crusaders swept Wright State this year, winning 69-63 (-9) at home Jan 19, 68-61 (-1) in Dayton Feb 12- they made 57/61% inside arc in the two games. Valpo lost this game at home LY to Detroit; they're most #1 team in US in experience, #5 in eFG%- they've won nine of last 10 games. Wright won last three games overall, three of last four true road games.

-- Home side won both North Dakota State-South Dakota State games this year; Bison (-7) won 65-62 at home, then lost rematch 69-53 (+2). All five Jackrabbit starters played 36+ minutes last night in game they trailed at half- their two subs played total of 12 minutes. Over is 10-2 in North Dakota State's last dozen games. Bison wore down shorthanded Western Illinois for its fourth win in row; three starters played 33:00+.

**Udog** · 03-12-2013, 08:48 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 12

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
SOUTH FLORIDA vs. SETON HALL
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seton Hall's last 5 games when playing South Florida
Seton Hall is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing South Florida

7:30 PM
PRINCETON vs. PENNSYLVANIA
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pennsylvania's last 6 games
Pennsylvania is 16-6-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Princeton

8:00 PM
NEVADA vs. WYOMING
No trends available
Wyoming is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Wyoming is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
WRIGHT STATE vs. VALPARAISO
Wright State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Wright State is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Valparaiso
Valparaiso is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Valparaiso's last 9 games

9:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. TEXAS STATE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas State's last 6 games
Texas State is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games

9:30 PM
DEPAUL vs. RUTGERS
No trends available
Rutgers is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games when playing DePaul
Rutgers is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games

11:30 PM
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO vs. SAN JOSE STATE
No trends available
San Jose State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
San Jose State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 03-12-2013, 08:49 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 12

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Four betting trends for NCAAB conference title games
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It’s championship week and with it the reward of a ticket to the Big Dance for all the teams cutting down the nets after their conference tournament championship game.

Before knee jerking and playing on teams in title games that on paper look to be the better squad, pay close attention to these four college conference championship moneymaking scenarios.

Note: All results are prior to this year’s tourneys and are since 1990.

Size matters

Having been there and done that goes a long way toward a team’s success in conference title games.

That’s confirmed by the fact that teams who won 27 or more games the previous season use that weight to their advantage, going 64-44-3 ATS in conference title games.

Put them up against a No. 4 or lower seed and they improve to 29-3 SU and 23-8-1 ATS, including 16-0 SU and 15-1 ATS if they defeated their lightweight opponent in their most recent meeting.

Ain’t no stopping us now

Momentum can carry a team a long way, especially when they arrive at the conference championship game.

No. 1 or 2 seeded favorites that enter off three wins in a row by an average win margin of 20 points per game or better are 17-1 SU and 15-3 ATS.

Put them up against an opponent that failed to cover the spread by more than six points in its last game and they zoom right to the head of the class, going 12-0 SU and 12-0 ATS.

Home teams in title games – Use them, don’t abuse them

Home is where the heart is. It’s also where the money is in championship games. That’s confirmed by the fact that host teams are 38-15 SU and 29-23-1 ATS.

If these home advantaged teams lost one or fewer games at home on the season, they improve to 23-1 SU and 15-8-1 ATS, including 15-1 SU and 12-3-1 ATS if they are hosting a No.1 or No. 2-seeded opponent.

Best of all, these one-loss or less wonders are 4-0 SU and ATS if the opponent did not cover the number in its semifinal contest.

Dogs with a higher win percentage have no bite

As rare as it may seem, teams with the better record are not always favored in championship games.

When the oddsmakers install the opponent with an inferior win percentage as the favorite, they know what they’re doing. That’s because underdogs with a better win percentage are just 17-26-2 ATS in these games.

And if the favorite owns a win percentage of .700 or more, the underdog dips to 7-18 ATS.

Better yet, underdogs with a better record who arrive to the title game off back-to-back SU and ATS wins against .700 or greater opponents are a lowly 1-9 ATS. Buyer beware.

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**Udog** · 03-12-2013, 08:49 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 12

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Big East tourney: DePaul vs. Rutgers, Seton Hall vs. South Florida
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DePaul vs. Rutgers (-3, 146)

Rutgers will likely have a little more on its mind than avenging a loss to DePaul last month when they meet in the opening round of the Big East tournament at Madison Square Garden on Tuesday. Despite a second-half scoring explosion from Myles Mack, the Scarlet Knights were unable to overcome the season-ending loss of leading scorer Eli Carter to a fractured right fibula in a 75-69 setback on Feb. 16 against the Blue Demons – one of DePaul’s two conference victories. The loss to the Blue Demons triggered a five-game losing streak, which ended in Friday’s 56-51 win at Seton Hall.

DePaul, which ranks last in the Big East in scoring and field-goal percentage defense, is in the midst of a six-game skid, losing by an average of 17.2 points. The Blue Demons are also searching for their first win in the Big East tournament since defeating Cincinnati in 2009, but have defeated Rutgers in each of their last two meetings. The winner of this contest will meet Notre Dame in the second round.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPNU

ABOUT DEPAUL (11-20): With two 3-pointers Saturday against Pittsburgh, junior Brandon Young (16.6 points, 4.6 assists) became the 17th player in school history to reach 100. As a result, he also became the first Blue Demon to record 1,200 points, 400 assists and 100 3-pointers for his career. Young and Connecticut’s Shabazz Napier were the only players in the conference to finish the regular season among the top eight in both points and assists. Cleveland Melvin did not start for the first time all season against Pittsburgh, but he posted his 100th career block - only the ninth player in school history to do so.

ABOUT RUTGERS (14-15): Mack has been one of the bright spots for the Scarlet Knights, who fell off after beginning the season 12-4, including a 3-2 start in the conference. The sophomore ranks first among the league’s guards in field goal percentage (48 percent), leads the Big East in 3-point field goal percentage (45.1) and is second in conference in free throw percentage (87.8). Mack followed up his 28-point outburst against DePaul with 24 against Villanova, but averaged only 11 points over the last four games. Jerome Seagears and Kadeem Jack initially increased their point production in Carter’s absence, but are averaging only 14.4 points combined over the last three contests.

TRENDS:

* Blue Demons are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.

TIP-INS:

1. Four of the last five meetings have been decided by six points or less, including the last three.

2. DePaul’s opponents are shooting 54.6 percent from the field and averaging 82 points during its losing streak.

3. Rutgers averaged 59.6 points during league play – a sharp drop from its 74.3-point average during its non-conference schedule.

Seton Hall vs. South Florida (Pick, 116)

South Florida will attempt to continue its late-season resurgence on Tuesday when it meets Seton Hall in the opening round of the Big East tournament at Madison Square Garden. The Bulls resided in the conference basement for most of the season, with a 55-47 home win over Georgetown on Jan. 23 serving as its only league win through 15 games. However, South Florida snapped a 10-game losing streak with consecutive victories over DePaul and Connecticut before falling in overtime at Cincinnati to close out the regular season.

The Pirates suffered their own misery during the conference schedule, enduring a nine-game slide following a win over South Florida in the teams’ only meeting on Jan. 23. Seton Hall ended its losing streak with a home victory over Villanova on Feb. 25, but closed out the regular season with consecutive losses to match the Bulls’ 3-15 conference record. The winner of this contest will meet Syracuse in the second round.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPNU

ABOUT SETON HALL (14-17): The Pirates have been ravaged by injuries as Fuquan Edwin (16.6 points, 5.8 rebounds, 2.5 steals) is one of only four players that have played in all 31 games. Despite a constantly-changing supporting cast, Edwin ranks seventh in the conference in scoring, 17th in rebounding and second in steals. The Pirates averaged 15.9 turnovers and 20.7 fouls during conference play – both league-high marks – somewhat offsetting their Big East-best 135 3-pointers. In the January meeting, Seton Hall survived a minus-11 turnover margin by shooting 52.5 percent from the field – its best effort in Big East play.

ABOUT SOUTH FLORIDA (12-18): Much like last year, Victor Rudd (12.3 points, 7.1 rebounds) is closing out the season with a flurry, averaging 17.4 points and 8.6 rebounds over his last seven games since returning from a groin injury. Over that same stretch, the junior forward has posted three of his team-leading seven double-doubles. In their victories over the Blue Demons and Huskies, the Bulls – who finished last in the conference in field goal percentage (39.4) and 10th in 3-point field goal percentage (32) – shot 50 percent from the floor and 46.8 percent beyond the arc.

TRENDS:

* Pirates are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Pirates are 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a losing record.

TIP-INS:

1. South Florida used 15 different starting lineups during the regular season while Seton Hall was forced to go with 14.

2. After scoring at least 70 points in 11 of its first 15 games, Seton Hall hasn’t reached that mark since.

3. The Bulls collected a season-high 11 steals in the first meeting.

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**Udog** · 03-12-2013, 08:50 AM

NBA
Dunkel

LA Lakers at Orlando
The Lakers look to build on their 7-3 ATS record in their last 10 games in Orlando. LA is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MARCH 12

Game 551-552: Boston at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 119.444; Charlotte 104.414
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 15; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 10 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-10 1/2); Under

Game 553-554: Washington at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 116.776; Cleveland 116.933
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 193
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 555-556: LA Lakers at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 119.166; Orlando 109.085
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 10; 200
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7 1/2; 206
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-7 1/2); Under

Game 557-558: Atlanta at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 115.833; Miami 130.381
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 14 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 9 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-9 1/2); Over

Game 559-560: New Orleans at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 113.897; Brooklyn 120.666
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 7; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 5 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (-5 1/2); Under

Game 561-562: Dallas at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 118.979; Milwaukee 121.346
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 2 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 563-564: San Antonio at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 124.925; Minnesota 113.082
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 12; 192
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 195
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-9); Under

Game 565-566: Memphis at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 122.404; Portland 118.599
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 4; 199
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

**Udog** · 03-12-2013, 08:50 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 12

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BOSTON (34 - 28) at CHARLOTTE (13 - 50) - 3/12/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 19-43 ATS (-28.3 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 18-38 ATS (-23.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
CHARLOTTE is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
CHARLOTTE is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHARLOTTE is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-4 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (20 - 41) at CLEVELAND (21 - 42) - 3/12/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (33 - 31) at ORLANDO (18 - 46) - 3/12/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 26-38 ATS (-15.8 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in road games this season.
LA LAKERS are 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
LA LAKERS are 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
LA LAKERS are 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 83-55 ATS (+22.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
ORLANDO is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games this season.
ORLANDO is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (34 - 28) at MIAMI (47 - 14) - 3/12/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 8-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (22 - 42) at BROOKLYN (37 - 27) - 3/12/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 56-70 ATS (-21.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 41-64 ATS (-29.4 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 2-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (29 - 33) at MILWAUKEE (32 - 29) - 3/12/2013, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (49 - 15) at MINNESOTA (21 - 39) - 3/12/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 36-26 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 71-42 ATS (+24.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 67-49 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 42-16 ATS (+24.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 122-84 ATS (+29.6 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
MINNESOTA is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 42-60 ATS (-24.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 153-200 ATS (-67.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (42 - 19) at PORTLAND (29 - 33) - 3/12/2013, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 6-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-12-2013, 08:51 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 12

Hot Teams
-- Celtics won five of their last six games (4-6 AF).
-- Lakers won eight of last ten games (7-8-1 AF).
-- Miami won its last 18 games (1-5 last six HF).
-- Brooklyn won three of last four games (3-5 last eight HF).
-- Mavs won four of last five games (10-3 vs spread last 13 on road). Milwaukee won six of last seven games (1-8 last nine HF).
-- Spurs won four of last five games (4-7 last 11 AF).
-- Memphis won five of last six road games (6-0 vs spread). Portland won three of its last four at home (6-1-1 vs spread last eight overall).

Cold Teams
-- Bobcats lost last ten games, last nine by 14+ points (2-8 last 10 HU).
-- Wizards lost four of last six games (7-4 AU). Cleveland lost four of last five games (4-5 HF).
-- Orlando lost five of last seven games (4-6 last ten HU).
-- Hawks lost five of their last six games (6-3 last nine AU).
-- Hornets lost five of last seven games (8-4 last 12 AU).
-- Minnesota lost eight of last nine games (4-8-1 HU).

Totals
-- Three of last four Charlotte games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Washington games.
-- Five of last seven Orlando games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten New Orleans games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Dallas games stayed under the total; four of Bucks' last five games went over.
-- Six of last eight Minnesota games stayed under total.
-- Last three Memphis road games went over the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Brooklyn is 7-9 vs spread if it played night before.
-- San Antonio is 6-4-2 vs spread if it played night before.

**Udog** · 03-12-2013, 08:51 AM

NBA

Tuesday, March 12

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. ORLANDO
LA Lakers are 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games
Orlando is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers

7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Washington is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games at home

7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Boston

7:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. MIAMI
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Atlanta

7:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. BROOKLYN
New Orleans is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games when playing at home against New Orleans

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. MINNESOTA
San Antonio is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing Minnesota
San Antonio is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. MILWAUKEE
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 10 games when playing at home against Dallas

10:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. PORTLAND
Memphis is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Memphis's last 16 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Portland's last 16 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Portland's last 16 games

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**Udog** · 03-12-2013, 08:52 AM

NHL
Dunkel

San Jose at St. Louis
The Blues look to build on their 5-1 record in their last 6 games against the Sharks. St. Louis is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Blues favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MARCH 12

Game 1-2: Vancouver at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.581; Columbus 11.056
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-150); Under

Game 3-4: NY Rangers at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.396; Buffalo 11.586
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-140); 5
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+120); Over

Game 5-6: Carolina at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.286; Washington 13.121
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-125); Under

Game 7-8: Boston at Pittsburgh (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.253; Pittsburgh 12.500
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+120); Over

Game 9-10: Tampa Bay at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.088; Florida 11.602
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+100); Over

Game 11-12: Toronto at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.088; Winnipeg 11.235
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-135); Under

Game 13-14: Anaheim at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.456; Minnesota 11.895
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-105); Over

Game 15-16: San Jose at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 10.440; St. Louis 11.849
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); Under

Game 17-18: Nashville at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.122; Dallas 10.688
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 19-20: Edmonton at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 9.815; Colorado 12.380
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 2 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 21-22: Los Angeles at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.172; Phoenix 12.218
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-115); Under

**Udog** · 03-12-2013, 08:52 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 12

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VANCOUVER (11-7-0-6, 28 pts.) at COLUMBUS (10-12-0-4, 24 pts.) - 3/12/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 23-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 16-21 ATS (-16.5 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 297-266 ATS (-90.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 138-134 ATS (-55.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 5-1 ATS (+6.5 Units) in March games this season.
COLUMBUS is 89-72 ATS (+168.4 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 16-4 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 193-172 ATS (+368.6 Units) in road games second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 7-2 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 7-2-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.1 Units)

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NY RANGERS (13-9-0-2, 28 pts.) at BUFFALO (9-14-0-3, 21 pts.) - 3/12/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 34-13 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 21-7 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 6-3 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 6-3-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.8 Units)

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CAROLINA (14-9-0-1, 29 pts.) at WASHINGTON (10-13-0-1, 21 pts.) - 3/12/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 0-8 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 68-84 ATS (-54.5 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 19-27 ATS (-16.4 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 25-39 ATS (-41.9 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 9-4 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 9-4-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.5 Units)

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BOSTON (17-3-0-3, 37 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (18-8-0-0, 36 pts.) - 3/12/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 34-14 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 20-5 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 23-6 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 149-126 ATS (+280.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 5-3 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 5-3-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (10-14-0-1, 21 pts.) at FLORIDA (7-13-0-6, 20 pts.) - 3/12/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 257-349 ATS (-116.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 113-175 ATS (-72.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 97-190 ATS (+349.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 37-23 ATS (+11.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 7-19 ATS (-18.7 Units) in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 136-162 ATS (+318.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
FLORIDA is 2-10 ATS (+14.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
FLORIDA is 16-25 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 7-19 ATS (+27.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
FLORIDA is 11-27 ATS (+41.6 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 8-6-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.5 Units)

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TORONTO (15-10-0-1, 31 pts.) at WINNIPEG (12-11-0-2, 26 pts.) - 3/12/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 10-2 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 10-2 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 137-136 ATS (+295.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
TORONTO is 9-5 ATS (+15.6 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-4 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-4-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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ANAHEIM (18-3-0-3, 39 pts.) at MINNESOTA (13-9-0-2, 28 pts.) - 3/12/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 4-17 ATS (+24.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 18-6 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games this season.
ANAHEIM is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ANAHEIM is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
ANAHEIM is 18-6 ATS (+11.0 Units) second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-5 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-5-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

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SAN JOSE (11-7-0-6, 28 pts.) at ST LOUIS (13-10-0-2, 28 pts.) - 3/12/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 55-56 ATS (-25.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 6-15 ATS (-11.2 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 23-28 ATS (-15.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 9-19 ATS (-12.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 36-41 ATS (-20.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 37-60 ATS (-28.4 Units) in road games in March games since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 164-176 ATS (+377.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 151-115 ATS (+26.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 0-4 ATS (-6.5 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
ST LOUIS is 0-5 ATS (-8.3 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 10-5 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 10-5-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

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NASHVILLE (10-9-0-6, 26 pts.) at DALLAS (12-10-0-2, 26 pts.) - 3/12/2013, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 5-4 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 5-4-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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EDMONTON (9-11-0-5, 23 pts.) at COLORADO (10-10-0-4, 24 pts.) - 3/12/2013, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 8-7 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 8-7-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.7 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (14-8-0-2, 30 pts.) at PHOENIX (12-10-0-3, 27 pts.) - 3/12/2013, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 39-32 ATS (+71.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 137-131 ATS (+315.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
PHOENIX is 17-7 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 14-5 ATS (+7.8 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 11-7 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 11-7-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.3 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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Announcement

Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 3/12 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 3/12 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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