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**Udog** · 03-03-2013, 08:22 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

With smaller conference tournaments on the horizon, here are some trends with regards to how teams perform in these end-of-season events.......

-- Either #1 or #2 seed has won CAA tourney ten years in a row; UNCW was last non-Virginia winner, back in 2006.

-- Same thing in MAAC; nine of last ten winners were either #1/#2 seed; '11 St Peter's (11-7, #4 seed) being the exception.

-- Wichita State hasn't won MVC tourney since 1987; over last six years, they are only 5-6 in Arch Madness games. This could be their year.

-- Montana has severe injury issues, so Weber State will be favored to win the Big Sky, but Wildcats have won it only once in last seven years-- they blew a 20-point halftime lead in the '10 final, haven't won it since. Top seed has won Big Sky last two years, after winning it only once in previous six tournaments.

-- Last four times top seed won OVC tourney, that team won by 2+ games in regular season; this year's #1 seed? 12-4 Belmont, two games better than Eastern Kentucky, which lost at Tennessee State last night.

-- Davidson won SoCon tourney four of last seven years, but lost in first tournament game two of other three years.

*****

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday........

13) Ryan Kelly was stellar with 36 points as Duke held off Miami 79-76, but if Kelly is just coming back from a foot injury, how smart was it to play him 32 stressful minutes in what was basically a meaninglesss game?

I'll chart his minutes played the rest of the way and keep you posted.

12) As much as Dick Vitale gushes over Duke, my lasting impression of this interesting, high-level game was this:

Sometimes the better team doesn't win. Miami is better than Duke.

11) VCU 84, Butler 52-- Bulldogs' first conference loss by 30+ points since 1986, against Oral Roberts. Lot of water under the bridge since then.

10) Angels renewed Mike Trout's contract at $510,000 for this season, $20,000 over the major league minimum, which annoyed agent Craig Landis, as it should have. Don't the Angels want to keep Trout long-term, or does it not matter in the long run? Trout will clean up later on no matter what.

As for Landis, will be interesting to see if Trout fires him. Scott Boras goes to most of the Angel home games, sits right behind the plate.

9) Creighton coach Greg McDermott said he has no voice in whether his Bluejays bolt the Missouri Valley Conference for the Big East; its going to be a basketball-driven league and you don't ask the coach, whose star player is also his son? Just seems odd.

In an unrelated rant, does the Big East need a team in Nebraska?

8) Oklahoma 86, Iowa State 69-- Sooners went 34-34 from foul line, tying all-time record for most FTs without a miss, a mark also held by Cal-Irvine ('81) and Samford ('90).

7) Virginia Cavaliers are doing well at 20-8, 10-5 in ACC, but they're 0-3 vs CAA teams, including a loss to a dreadful Old Dominion squad that fired its coach already. Trap game for Cavaliers against Boston College Sunday.

6) They have pitch counts in the World Baseball Classic, just like Little League; if you throw 50+ pitches, think you have to sit the next three days, but you do get a free freeze pop at the concession stand.

5) Not only do the Miami Marlins have a rookie manager, they've got 73 players in camp; seeing as only 25 make a big league roster, they've got their major league team, AAA team and AA team in major league camp. Sometimes you wonder if they know what they're doing.

A local kid named Mahoney from over the river in Troy homered twice for the Marlins Saturday; he's a first baseman who is a .274 career hitter in his 619 minor league games-- he had four ABs with Baltimore LY.

4) Watching Arizona-UCLA Saturday night, and one thing was very clear; Wildcats' coach Sean Miller has very little faith in his guards. He called one timeout when his point guard had ball in transition going full-tilt towards the basket. Arizona is 3-4 in its last seven games after a 20-2 start.

3) Three years ago, Erick Green scored 2.6 ppg in 12.6 mpg as a freshman at Virginia Tech; this year, Green is leading the country in scoring at 24.9 ppg. The lesson: Work on your game, improve your skills, and it'll pay off.

I'm convinced kids play too many games in the summer and do not work as much as they should on improving their skills. I sound old, I know.....

2) Saturday was the 51st anniversary of Wilt Chamberlain scoring 100 points in an NBA game, which for some reason, was played in Hershey, PA. How much money would the Big Dipper be getting paid in today's game?

1) Gonzaga has a certain amount of pressure on them this month; over last 11 years, Zags are just 2-6 in NCAA second round games, with one of those wins against a #12 seed that had posted a big first round upset. If you like to invest in basketball, know that Gonzaga covered only twice in its last nine games as an NCAA tournament favorite.

Sometimes its easier to be the hunter rather than the hunted; Gonzaga will be the hunted later this month, thats for sure.

**Udog** · 03-03-2013, 08:22 AM

NASCAR betting: Subway Fresh 500 preview

The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series heads to the desert for the second race of the new season, the Subway Fresh Fit 500 at Phoenix International Raceway. The 1-mile oval track is a far cry from the restrictor-plate racing at Daytona, so drivers with success in the season opener may not carry that over at Avondale.

Odds on favorite: Jimmie Johnson (+600)

Johnson is coming off a victory at Daytona last weekend and is no stranger to Phoenix International Raceway. The No. 48 car owns an average finish of 6.68 – tops among active drivers – and has visited Victory Lane four times in 19 career starts at Phoenix. Johnson has placed among the Top 5 in 11 of his last 13 races there but finished a disappointing 32nd in the AdvoCare 500 last November.

Live dog: Kevin Harvick (+1,500)

Harvick is the most recent winner at Avondale, taking the checkered flag at the AdvoCare 500 last November. He boasts an average finish of 12.9 at Phoenix, with three wins and 10 Top-10 showings in 20 career starts. During Speedweek at Daytona, Harvick won both the Sprint Unlimited and Budweiser Duel 1 but finished 42nd in the Daytona 500 after getting into a wreck.

Long shot: Kurt Busch (+6,000)

Busch is no stranger to the desert heat, growing up in Las Vegas and cutting his teeth in the Southwest racing circuits. He’s one of the most consistent drivers at Phoenix, completing 99.7 percent of laps (6299 of 6317) in his 20 Sprint Cup races at PIR. The elder Busch brother also has a win (2005 Subway Fresh 500) at Phoenix and ranks third among active drivers in most laps led with 750. Chevrolet has dominated this race over the past few seasons, winning six of the last eight Subway Fresh Fit 500 events.

Key Stat:

Between 2003 and 2009, three drivers – Jimmie Johnson, Dale Earnhardt Jr. and Kevin Harvick – won eight of 12 Phoenix races. Eight different drivers have graced Victory Lane since the opening race of the 2009 season.

Notable quotable:

"This weekend will be one of the most difficult and challenging ever. Our new Chevy SS has significantly more downforce than last year's car. With the new Gen-6 car, the new rules, a new tire compound and new inspection process, we don't really have anything that we can base this weekend off of.” - Alan Gustafson, crew chief for Jeff Gordon.

Odds to win Subway Fresh Fit 500 (Courtesy of JustBet)

Jimmie Johnson 6-1
Kyle Busch 8-1
Denny Hamlin 8-1
Brad Keselowski 8-1
Kasey Kahne 10-1
Matt Kenseth 10-1
Jeff Gordon 12-1
Tony Stewart 12-1
Kevin Harvick 15-1
Carl Edwards 15-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 15-1
Clint Bowyer 15-1
Greg Biffle 15-1
Martin Truex Jr. 20-1
Mark Martin 20-1
Ryan Newman 30-1
Joey Lagano 30-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 50-1
Kurt Busch 60-1
Jamie McMurray 100-1
Paul Menard 100-1
Aric Almirola 100-1
Juan Montoya 100-1
Jeff Burton 100-1
Marcos Ambrose 100-1
Bobby Labonte 300-1
Danica Patrick 300-1
Field (Any Other Driver ) 50-1

**Udog** · 03-03-2013, 08:23 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 3

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MICHIGAN ST (22 - 6) at MICHIGAN (23 - 5) - 3/3/2013, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 3-2 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-2 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VILLANOVA (18 - 11) at PITTSBURGH (22 - 7) - 3/3/2013, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
VILLANOVA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-0 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-0 straight up against VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA ST (15 - 13) at N CAROLINA (20 - 8) - 3/3/2013, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) after a conference game this season.
FLORIDA ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
N CAROLINA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
N CAROLINA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 65-41 ATS (+19.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 3-2 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DEPAUL (11 - 17) at S FLORIDA (10 - 17) - 3/3/2013, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DEPAUL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games this season.
S FLORIDA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
S FLORIDA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
S FLORIDA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
S FLORIDA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 3-0 against the spread versus DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 3-0 straight up against DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON ST (11 - 17) at WASHINGTON (15 - 13) - 3/3/2013, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-2 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA (20 - 8) at BOSTON COLLEGE (12 - 16) - 3/3/2013, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 59-83 ATS (-32.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 52-79 ATS (-34.9 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 124-93 ATS (+21.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 76-52 ATS (+18.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
VIRGINIA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
VIRGINIA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-2 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-2 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (11 - 16) at STANFORD (16 - 13) - 3/3/2013, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTAH is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-1 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NC STATE (20 - 8) at GEORGIA TECH (15 - 12) - 3/3/2013, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 2-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 3-1 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MANHATTAN (12 - 16) at LOYOLA-MD (20 - 10) - 3/3/2013, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MD is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
MANHATTAN is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MANHATTAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
LOYOLA-MD is 51-81 ATS (-38.1 Units) in all home games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 51-81 ATS (-38.1 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 44-71 ATS (-34.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOYOLA-MD is 3-2 against the spread versus MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
LOYOLA-MD is 5-0 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FAIRFIELD (17 - 13) at MARIST (9 - 20) - 3/3/2013, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARIST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
FAIRFIELD is 5-1 against the spread versus MARIST over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD is 6-0 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SIENA (7 - 22) at IONA (16 - 13) - 3/3/2013, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SIENA is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SIENA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SIENA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
IONA is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
IONA is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
IONA is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SIENA is 4-2 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 4-2 straight up against SIENA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PURDUE (13 - 15) at WISCONSIN (20 - 8) - 3/3/2013, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
PURDUE is 63-90 ATS (-36.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
PURDUE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PURDUE is 49-77 ATS (-35.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
WISCONSIN is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 2-1 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-1 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-03-2013, 08:24 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 3

-- Home side won four of last five Purdue-Wisconsin games; Boilers lost last two visits here, by 7-7 points. Purdue lost seven of last nine games; they've lost last three on road, by 20-28-10 points-favorites covered all eight of their Big Dozen road games (0-6 as road dog). Big Dozen double digit home favorites are 13-11 vs spread. Wisconsin won seven of last eight games, covering last five; they're 3-4 as a home favorite.
-- Michigan State (+1.5) shot 55% inside arc, forced 16 turnovers (+8) in 75-52 thrashing of Michigan Feb 12, its 12th win in last 17 series games, but Spartans did lose last two visits here, by 1-7 points. State lost last two games; they're 5-3 on Big Dozen road, with losses by 13-5-8 points. Michigan is 3-4 in last seven games after bad loss at Penn State- they are 3-4 as home faves. Big Dozen home favorites of 6 or less are 14-7.
-- Pitt (-4.5) held Villanova to 32% from floor, forced 18 turnovers (+3) in 58-43 win in Philly Jan 16, Panthers' fifth straight series win, by 5-3-10-9-15 points. Pitt is a bully team; their last six wins were all by 10+ points- Panthers are 2-5 in league games decided by less than 10 points. Big East home favorites of 9+ points are 11-17 vs spread. Villanova won five of last seven games; they're 4-2 vs spread as a road underdog.
-- North Carolina (+3) won 77-72 at Florida State Jan 12, shooting 53% inside arc, 8-20 outside it; Tar Heels won 13 of last 16 series games, are 5-1 in last six played here, with four wins by 13+. UNC won four in a row, all by 9+ points since losing at Duke; they're 5-2 as home favorites. ACC double digit home favorites are 14-5 vs spread. Seminoles are 2-5 in last seven games, losing last three on road by 25-18-10 points.

-- South Florida won its last seven games with DePaul, winning last two here by 9-11 points, but Bulls lost last nine games (1-8 vs spread) since upsetting Georgetown Jan 19, its only Big East win this season. USF is 0-1 as a league favorite. DePaul lost 11 of last 12 games, but is 4-3 as a road underdog, with four road losses by 11+ points, other two in OT. Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-18 vs spread.
-- Washington (+4.5) won 68-63 in Pullman Jan 5, racing to 23-6 lead, blowing it, then rallying late for 8th win in last 10 series games. Cougars lost three of last four visits here, losing by 7-28-10 points. Pac-12 home favorites of 7 or less points are 18-29 vs spread. State is 2-5-1 as a road dog, with five of seven road losses by 11+ points. Huskies lost eight of last 11 games; they're 3-2 as home favorite, winning by 10-4-10 points.
-- Trap game for Virginia after it beat Duke last game; Cavaliers (-9) beat Boston College 65-51 at home Jan 26, shooting 64% inside arc but Cavs lost three of last four visits to BC, losing by 5-13-3 points. Eagles lost 10 of last 13 games but won three of last four at home, beating Wake and Maryland in last two at home. Five of BC's last seven games went under the total. ACC home underdogs are 21-9 against the spread.
-- Stanford (-3) made 9-15 from arc in 87-56 waxing of Utah Jan 27, kind of game losing side doesn't easily forget, especially when Cardinal lost five of last seven games, including last three at home. Utes lost three in a row, by 4-10-18 points, scoring 53.3 ppg; they're 5-3 as Pac-12 dogs on road. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 5-9 vs spread. Stanford lost four of last five games, failed to cover last four home games.

-- NC State (-9) beat Georgia Tech 83-70 at home Jan 9, shooting 54% inside arc in game they trailed by 4 with 10:17 left. Wolfpack won two of last three visits here, four of last five overall; they're 2-5 on road, 0-3 as road favorites, with only wins by 5 at BC, 1 at Clemson. ACC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 13-7 vs spread. Tech is 5-8 in its last 13 games, losing three of last four at home (1-2 as ACC home dog).
-- Manhattan (+2.5) shot 31.1% from floor, 8-19 from foul line in 51-41 home loss to Loyola Jan 25, its fifth straight series loss, by 15-12-1-2-10 points. Jaspers won six of last seven games, are 6-0 as MAAC road dogs-- underdogs covered all eight of their road games. Loyola won five of last seven games; they're 3-5 vs spread as a home favorite. MAAC home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-17 against the spread.
-- Fairfield (-13) were up 20 at half, crushed Marist 71-37 Jan 24, its 7th win in last eight series games, but how do Stags bounce back from awful 34-31 loss at Manhattan Friday night? MAAC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 8-5 vs spread. Fairfield won two of last three visits here; they lost four of last six on road. Marist won three of last four games, with three of those four wins by five or less points (4-2 as home dog).
-- Iona (-11) won 66-62 at Siena Jan 4, after being down 10 with 10:10 to play; Gaels lost their last six visits here, with last two by 6-3 points. Iona lost six of last eight games overall, with one of those eight decided by more than four points. Gaels are 4-4 as home faves (0-3 in last three). MAAC double digit home favorites are 8-6 vs spread. Siena lost six of last seven games; they're 3-5 as MAAC road underdogs.

**Udog** · 03-03-2013, 08:24 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, March 3

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Trend Report
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12:00 PM
VILLANOVA vs. PITTSBURGH
Villanova is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Villanova's last 8 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Villanova
Pittsburgh is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home

12:00 PM
MANHATTAN vs. LOYOLA
Manhattan is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Manhattan's last 6 games on the road
Loyola is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Manhattan
Loyola is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

1:00 PM
PURDUE vs. WISCONSIN
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Purdue's last 6 games on the road
Purdue is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 7 games

2:00 PM
DEPAUL vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of DePaul's last 5 games on the road
DePaul is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida's last 6 games
South Florida is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

2:00 PM
SIENA vs. IONA
Siena is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Siena's last 7 games when playing on the road against Iona
Iona is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Iona is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Siena

2:00 PM
FAIRFIELD vs. MARIST
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fairfield's last 6 games when playing on the road against Marist
Fairfield is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Marist's last 7 games when playing Fairfield
Marist is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Fairfield

2:00 PM
FLORIDA STATE vs. NORTH CAROLINA
Florida State is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against North Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 6 games when playing on the road against North Carolina
North Carolina is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Florida State
North Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida State

3:30 PM
WASHINGTON STATE vs. WASHINGTON
Washington State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games when playing Washington State

4:00 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. MICHIGAN
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 7 games when playing on the road against Michigan
Michigan State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Michigan
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan's last 7 games when playing at home against Michigan State

4:00 PM
VIRGINIA vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia's last 5 games on the road
Virginia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Boston College is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 6 games at home

5:00 PM
UTAH vs. STANFORD
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games on the road
Utah is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Stanford is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Stanford's last 7 games at home

6:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. GEORGIA TECH
North Carolina State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Georgia Tech
North Carolina State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia Tech's last 9 games when playing North Carolina State
Georgia Tech is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing North Carolina State

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**Udog** · 03-03-2013, 08:24 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, March 3

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Michigan State at Michigan: What bettors need to know
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Michigan State Spartans at Michigan Wolverines (-4, 132.5)

Michigan’s Big Ten title hopes probably ended after blowing a 15-point lead in the second half and losing at last-place Penn State on Wednesday. The fourth-ranked Wolverines should be an angry, focused group when they return home to face rival Michigan State on Sunday afternoon. Michigan can still be a major factor in the conference and NCAA tournaments, but must find answers after losing four of its last seven. The Wolverines are certainly comfortable at home where they are 16-0 overall and 7-0 in the Big Ten. However, they were hammered at Michigan State 75-52 on Feb. 12.

The 10th-ranked Spartans also need to restart, coming off consecutive losses to Indiana and Ohio State. Michigan State, which outrebounded Michigan 39-27 in the first meeting, is 5-3 on the road in conference play and stands one game behind Indiana in the Big Ten going into the weekend.

TV: 4 p.m. ET, CBS.

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (22-6, 11-4 Big Ten): One of the reasons the Spartans could not get over the hump in close games against the Buckeyes and Hoosiers was leading scorer Keith Appling’s sudden shooting slump. The junior guard was 2-of-14 from the field and 0-of-6 from 3-point range the last two contests, dropping his scoring average to 13.4 -- slightly ahead of freshman guard Gary Harris (13.2). Adreian Payne and Derrick Nix have done a solid job inside, both averaging more than 12 points the last five games. Payne, Nix and Branden Dawson (10.4 points) all shoot over 50 percent from the field.

ABOUT MICHIGAN (23-5, 10-5): The Wolverines might have needed the slap in the face from Penn State to get back to basics and finish strong. After facing the Spartans, Michigan plays at Purdue and hosts Indiana to end the regular season. Player of the year candidate Trey Burke hasn’t slowed down, shooting 49.6 percent from the field. Burke is second in the Big Ten in scoring (18.8) and first in assists (6.9). Tim Hardaway Jr., averaging 15.2 points, will have to be better than the 1-of-11 shooting performance at Michigan State. The Wolverines can also play better defense. They stand ninth in field-goal percentage defense in Big Ten games.

TRENDS:

* Wolverines are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.
* Under is 7-1 in Wolverines’ last eight vs. a team with a winning record.

TIP-INS:

1. The Spartans are third in the Big Ten in scoring defense and Michigan is second in offense.

2. Michigan F/C Jordan Morgan scored 11 points against Penn State, his first time in double figures since Jan. 3.

3. The Wolverines lead the all-time series 94-76, but Michigan State has won 20 of the last 26 meetings.

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**Udog** · 03-03-2013, 08:26 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 3

Early Game

Hot Teams
-- Miami won its last 13 games (covered last five on road). Knicks won last three games, by 6-4-8 points (2-0 HU).

Cold Teams
--

Totals
-- Nine of last eleven Miami games went over the total.
--
--
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Back-to-backs
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**Udog** · 03-03-2013, 08:26 AM

NBA

Sunday, March 3

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
MIAMI vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 12 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

3:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. LA CLIPPERS
Oklahoma City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the LA Clippers last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City

6:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. SACRAMENTO
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Charlotte is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Sacramento's last 15 games at home
Sacramento is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Charlotte

6:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games on the road
Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

6:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Orlando's last 9 games when playing Memphis
Orlando is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home

7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. SAN ANTONIO
Detroit is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games
San Antonio is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Detroit
San Antonio is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Chicago
Indiana is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing Chicago

9:30 PM
ATLANTA vs. LA LAKERS
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 6 games
LA Lakers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games

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**Udog** · 03-03-2013, 08:27 AM

NBA

Sunday, March 3

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Heat at Knicks: What bettors need to know
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Miami Heat at New York Knicks (+4.5, 198)

When the Miami Heat last tasted defeat, they were clinging to a half-game lead over the New York Knicks for the top spot in the Eastern Conference. Things have taken a dramatic turn since. The Heat will enter Sunday's matinee showdown at Madison Square Garden riding a 13-game winning streak and holding a comfortable 6 1/2-game edge over the Knicks. Miami still has some unfinished business with New York, which has won both meetings between the teams this season - each by a 20-point margin.

The Heat overcame a sub-par outing by LeBron James to keep the win streak intact with a gritty 98-91 victory over the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday night. Miami has won five in a row away from home, all coming by double digits. The Knicks used a strong fourth quarter to knock off the Washington Wizards on Friday night. It was the third consecutive victory following a four-game skid for New York, which is tied with the Indiana Pacers for the second seed in the East.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT THE HEAT (42-14): While James earned his fourth consecutive Eastern Conference Player of the Month Friday, teammate Dwyane Wade is quietly putting together his own stellar stretch. Wade scored a team-high 22 points against the Grizzlies and is averaging 29.5 points in his last four games. Wade is shooting a blistering 63.1 percent and has added eight steals and five blocked shots during that span. He is averaging 27.3 points in his career vs. the Knicks despite scoring a combined 28 points in the two meetings this season.

ABOUT THE KNICKS (35-20): New York routed the Heat in Miami on Dec. 6 without leading scorer Carmelo Anthony, who is on a scoring spree of his own. Anthony put up 30 points against the Wizards and is averaging 31.5 points in the last four games. But he continues to struggle from 3-point range, connecting on just 20 percent of his attempts (8 of 40) over the past six games.

TRENDS:

* Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.
* Knicks are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.
* Over is 4-0 in Heat’s last four overall.
* Over is 4-1 in Knicks’ last five overall.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. A victory Sunday will allow Miami to match the longest winning streak in franchise history, set during the 2004-05 season.

2. The Knicks have buried 37 3-pointers in the two wins over the Heat.

3. Miami ousted New York in five games in last season's playoffs, not allowing more than 94 points.

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**Udog** · 03-03-2013, 08:28 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 3

Early Game

Hot teams
-- Blackhawks won last eight games, allowing 12 goals; they still haven't lost a game in regulation time this season. Detroit won three of its last four games.

Cold teams
--

Totals
-- Under is 12-2 in last fourteen Chicago-Detroit games.
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--
--
--
-- This is ***************.com. Listen to sportsxradio.com. 10-12 ET, Mon-Fri. .
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Series records
-- Blackhawks won four in row, 10 of last 13 games with Detroit.
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**Udog** · 03-03-2013, 08:29 AM

NHL

Sunday, March 3

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Trend Report
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12:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Chicago

3:00 PM
COLORADO vs. COLUMBUS
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games on the road
Columbus is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Columbus is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Colorado

3:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. NY ISLANDERS
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Islanders last 6 games at home
NY Islanders are 7-15-3 SU in their last 25 games ,when playing at home against Ottawa

3:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. DALLAS
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis

6:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. FLORIDA
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games
Florida is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games

7:30 PM
BUFFALO vs. NY RANGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Rangers last 9 games at home
NY Rangers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo

7:30 PM
MONTREAL vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games
Montreal is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing at home against Montreal
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal

8:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. MINNESOTA
Edmonton is 1-18 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Edmonton's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing at home against Edmonton

8:00 PM
VANCOUVER vs. CALGARY
Vancouver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Vancouver is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing Calgary
Calgary is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Calgary is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing Vancouver

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**Udog** · 03-03-2013, 08:31 AM

NHL

Sunday, March 3

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NHL Top 5: Best puckline bets to date
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Profitable puckline bettors know teams with the best straight up records aren’t necessarily the best teams ATS. In fact, the exact opposite is often the case.

The Montreal Canadiens and Edmonton Oilers were both sub-.500 teams last season, but were great bets with identical 47-35 ATS records.

Here are the five best NHL puckline bets heading into action Sunday:

Columbus Blue Jackets (15-6 ATS)

The Blue Jackets were a great puckline bet last season (44-38 ATS) and they’re on track to be very profitable once again this year. Columbus is once again struggling to pick up wins, but is keeping games close. The Blue Jackets have only been favorites once this season and 13 of their 21 games have been decided by one goal.

Edmonton Oilers (13-7 ATS)

Edmonton has skated to a respectable 8-8-3-1 SU start and is in the midst of a daunting nine-game road swing. The young Oilers have been playing plenty of extra time, as eight of their contests to date have been decided in overtime or the shootout.

Anaheim Ducks (13-7 ATS)

Oddsmakers weren’t counting on goaltender Viktor Fasth to be unbeatable after Jonas Hiller fell to injury. They also weren’t expecting Anaheim to open the season with 15 wins in its first 20 contests.

Ottawa Senators (14-8 ATS)

The Sens stopped getting respect from oddsmakers when Jason Spezza and Erik Karlsson succumbed to long-term injuries. But Ottawa has persevered, picking up points in nine of its last 13 games.

Toronto Maple Leafs (13-9 ATS)

The Maple Leafs have identical straight up and ATS records heading into action Monday against the Devils. James van Riemsdyk is clicking with Phil Kessel and Toronto’s young goaltending duo of Ben Scrivens and James Reimer are getting the job done so far.

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**Udog** · 03-03-2013, 08:35 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Michigan State at Michigan
The Spartans look to take advantage of a Michigan team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against Big Ten opponents. Michigan State is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spartans favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, MARCH 3

Game 819-820: Michigan State at Michigan (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 74.625; Michigan 72.077
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 2 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Michigan by 4 1/2; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+4 1/2); Under

Game 821-822: Villanova at Pittsburgh (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 64.006; Pittsburgh 74.377
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-9)

Game 823-824: Florida State at North Carolina (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 55.689; North Carolina 74.209
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 18 1/2; 152
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 13; 147
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-13); Over

Game 825-826: DePaul at South Florida (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 54.781; South Florida 59.216
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: South Florida by 3
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-3)

Game 827-828: Washington State at Washington (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 58.258; Washington 63.052
Dunkel Line: Washington by 5; 126
Vegas Line: Washington by 7; 131
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+7); Under

Game 829-830: Virginia at Boston College (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 71.331; Boston College 63.410
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 8
Vegas Line: Virginia by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-4 1/2)

Game 831-832: Utah at Stanford (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 56.008; Stanford 68.506
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Stanford by 10
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-10)

Game 833-834: NC State at Georgia Tech (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 67.465; Georgia Tech 62.314
Dunkel Line: NC State by 5; 142
Vegas Line: NC State by 4; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC State (-4); Over

Game 835-836: Manhattan at Loyola-MD (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 50.800; Loyola-MD 59.394
Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 7
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (-7)

Game 837-838: Fairfield at Marist (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 51.946; Marist 55.051
Dunkel Line: Marist by 3
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+4 1/2)

Game 839-840: Siena at Iona (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 41.204; Iona 60.110
Dunkel Line: Iona by 19
Vegas Line: Iona by 17
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-17)

Game 841-842; Purdue at Wisconsin (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 58.062; Wisconsin 80.665
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 22 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 14; 118
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-14); Over

**Udog** · 03-03-2013, 08:38 AM

Never mind.... I hit the wrong button again

Announcement

Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 3/3 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 3/3 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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