The Bum's National Basketball Association Best Bets !!

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Tuesday, March 5

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Boston - 7:00 PM ET Boston -2.5 500
Philadelphia - Under 184.5 500

L.A. Lakers - 9:30 PM ET Oklahoma City -8.5 500
Oklahoma City - Over 213.5 500

Denver - 10:00 PM ET Sacramento +5 500 POD
Sacramento - Over 223 500

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Hoop Trends - Wednesday

March 6, 2013

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Bobcats are 0-10 ATS (-9.1 ppg) since December 14, 2004 when they are at home after at least four road losses.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Knicks are 0-11 OU (-9.7 ppg) since December 15, 2008 on the road with at least one day of rest after a road win in which they scored more than 30% of their points from the three-point line.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Spurs are 12-0 ATS (13.6 ppg) since January 05, 2012 at home after a win at home in which Tim Duncan had a double double.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Bucks are 0-11-1 ATS (-7.0 ppg) since February 07, 2012 when seeking revenge for a loss in which they had no rest.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Hornets are 0-7 ATS (-11.1 ppg) since January 07, 2012 after a loss in which Greivis Vasquez was the Hornets’ high scorer.

-- The Bulls are 0-8 OU (-13.4 ppg) since February 16, 2012 after losing the previous matchup in which Luol Deng shot worse than 33% from the field.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday Tips

March 5, 2013

Wednesday night is one of the busiest cards in the NBA all season long with 14 contests. Four games highlight the slate, including the Bulls heading to San Antonio, while the Bucks try to stay red-hot in a revenge situation against the Clippers. We'll begin in the Hoosier State with two Eastern Conference rivals looking to keep up their momentum moving towards the playoffs.

Celtics at Pacers - 7:05 PM EST

Boston is playing in its eighth different city in the last eight games, as the Celtics travel to Indianapolis with no rest on Wednesday night. The Pacers are rolling at the moment with seven wins in their past eight trips to the court, while slowly opening up the advantage over the Bulls inside the Central Division race.

Indiana held off Chicago on Sunday night, 97-92, but failed to cover as 7 ½-point home favorites. The Pacers own the tiebreaker advantage over the Bulls with three head-to-head victories, which will help Indiana potentially be in line for the second overall seed in the Eastern Conference playoff race behind Miami. However, the Pacers are playing with revenge after losing at Boston, 94-75 as three-point underdogs in early January, while Indiana was limited to just 31% shooting from the floor.

The Celtics head to Indiana with no rest following Tuesday's contest at Philadelphia, as Boston owns a 7-8 SU and 6-8-1 ATS record on the second of a back-to-back. On the road in this situation has turned into a profitable 'fade' spot, as Doc Rivers' club is just 2-7 SU and 2-6-1 ATS when Boston hits the highway with no rest. Boston has put together a 5-3 ATS mark in the last eight road underdog opportunities, including outright victories at Utah, New York, and Atlanta.

Blazers at Grizzlies - 8:05 PM EST

Memphis is ascending through the Western Conference with a sparkling 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS record the previous 10 contests, as the Grizzlies look to solidify a top-four seed in the West. The Grizzlies shoot for their sixth consecutive home win on Wednesday as the Blazers invade FedEx Forum, coming off a 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS homestand.

Portland drilled offensive stalwarts Minnesota and Charlotte by double-digits to win consecutive games for the first time since early February. The Blazers were one of the coldest ATS teams heading into the All-Star break (0-5), but Terry Stotts' squad has cashed in five straight games, including as a 9 ½-point 'dog at the Lakers on February 22. Portland has actually beaten Memphis once already this season, shocking the Grizzlies, 86-84 as eight-point 'dogs on January 4, as Zach Randolph didn't face his former team due to injury.

The same story is written again on Wednesday as Randolph will miss his second straight game with a sprained ankle. Memphis' defense is back on track by allowing 84 points or fewer in five of the last six games, resulting in a 4-2 mark to the 'under.' In spite of the Grizzlies winning each of their past five home contests, Memphis has failed to cover in each of the last three opportunities as favorites of 7 ½ or more against Dallas, Orlando, and Sacramento.

Bulls at Spurs - 9:05 PM EST

San Antonio owns the most victories in the NBA (47), while winning 19 of its last 22 games overall. The Spurs go for the season sweep of the Bulls after picking up a 103-89 triumph in mid-February as part of the Rodeo road trip, cashing outright as 3 ½-point 'dogs. Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker both sat out that contest due to injury, but San Antonio shot a blistering 52% from the floor, including 8-of-16 from three-point range.

Parker remains out for the Spurs with a sprained ankle, as San Antonio managed a 114-75 blowout of Detroit without the All-Star point guard on Sunday. The Spurs easily covered as 13-point favorites to avenge a loss last month at the Palace of Auburn Hills, while allowing the second-lowest amount of points in a game this season (73 vs. Nets on 12/31). Gregg Popovich's team has put together a 3-6-1 ATS record the last 10 games as a single-digit favorite, but only two of those contests came at the AT&T Center.

The Bulls have been very ordinary lately by splitting the last eight games to fall further back of the Pacers in the Central (four games). Chicago is coming off three consecutive covers, while cashing in nine of the previous 12 road contests in the underdog role. Tom Thibodeau's club has failed to eclipse the 100-point mark in 11 of the last 12 games, while hitting the 'under' just six times in this span.

Bucks at Clippers - 10:35 PM EST

Milwaukee is slowly coming back to life after several struggles to close the first half as the Bucks put their four-game winning streak on the line at Los Angeles. The Bucks staved off the Raptors and Jazz in overtime at home the last two games, while failing to cash as 4 ½-point 'chalk' in Monday's 109-108 squeaker over Utah.

The Clippers lost for the third time this season to the Thunder on Sunday, falling in a seesaw affair, 108-104 as short home favorites. L.A. is riding a five-game hot streak against Eastern Conference opponents, while winning seven of nine home contests in interconference action. The Clips seek a sweep of the Bucks after routing Milwaukee at the BMO Harris Bradley Center in December, 111-85 to easily cash as five-point road favorites.

Milwaukee began the season owning a 5-12 ATS record against Western Conference foes, but the Bucks covered in two of the last three, including outright underdog triumphs at Dallas and Houston. The Bucks begin a three-game road swing through the state of California, which extends to Golden State (Saturday) and Sacramento (Sunday).

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 6

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BOSTON (32 - 27) at INDIANA (38 - 22) - 3/6/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
INDIANA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (34 - 26) at CHARLOTTE (13 - 47) - 3/6/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 53-69 ATS (-22.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 19-40 ATS (-25.0 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 15-34 ATS (-22.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
CHARLOTTE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
CHARLOTTE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
CHARLOTTE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
CHARLOTTE is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHARLOTTE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 5-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 6-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (32 - 28) at CLEVELAND (20 - 40) - 3/6/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (36 - 21) at DETROIT (23 - 39) - 3/6/2013, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 8-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 8-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (23 - 36) at ATLANTA (33 - 26) - 3/6/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (17 - 44) at MIAMI (44 - 14) - 3/6/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 98-120 ATS (-34.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
ORLANDO is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
ORLANDO is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (19 - 39) at MINNESOTA (20 - 37) - 3/6/2013, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (28 - 31) at MEMPHIS (39 - 19) - 3/6/2013, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (30 - 31) at NEW ORLEANS (21 - 40) - 3/6/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in road games this season.
LA LAKERS are 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 58-44 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 131-175 ATS (-61.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 8-7 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 13-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (33 - 28) at DALLAS (26 - 33) - 3/6/2013, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DALLAS is 127-101 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 131-97 ATS (+24.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
DALLAS is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 76-50 ATS (+21.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 8-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 9-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (23 - 38) at PHOENIX (21 - 39) - 3/6/2013, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 105-138 ATS (-46.8 Units) in March games since 1996.
TORONTO is 176-222 ATS (-68.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
TORONTO is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
PHOENIX is 24-34 ATS (-13.4 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in home games this season.
PHOENIX is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (34 - 26) at SAN ANTONIO (47 - 14) - 3/6/2013, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 34-25 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 69-41 ATS (+23.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 119-86 ATS (+24.4 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 43-20 ATS (+21.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 40-15 ATS (+23.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 130-98 ATS (+22.2 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 265-204 ATS (+40.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 133-99 ATS (+24.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 59-40 ATS (+15.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (30 - 28) at LA CLIPPERS (43 - 19) - 3/6/2013, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 25-38 ATS (-16.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 46-76 ATS (-37.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 120-155 ATS (-50.5 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 180-246 ATS (-90.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 142-194 ATS (-71.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (21 - 41) at GOLDEN STATE (34 - 27) - 3/6/2013, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 55-71 ATS (-23.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 42-56 ATS (-19.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-5 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 6

Hot Teams
-- Indiana won seven of its last eight games (7-4 last 11 HF). Celtics won four of last five games (5-3 last eight AU).
-- Knicks won four of their last five games (5-3-1 last nine AF).
-- Miami won its last fifteen games (5-7 last 12 HF).
-- Wizards won four of their last six games (9-4 last 13 AU).
-- Grizzlies won nine of last ten games (7-10 last 17 HF). Portland won three of its last four games (2-6 last eight AU).
-- Lakers won five of their last seven games (6-8-1 AF).
-- Rockets won four of their last six games (5-1 last six AU).
-- Suns won their last three games (3-6 last nine HU).
-- Spurs won 19 of their last 22 games (11-6-1 last 18 HF).
-- Milwaukee won its last four games, last two in OT (3-0 last three as AU). Clippers won eight of their last ten games (3-6 last nine HF).

Cold Teams
-- Charlotte lost its last seven games (2-6 last eight HU). Nets lost four of their last five games (2-2 AF).
-- Jazz lost four of their last five games (4-3 AF). Cleveland lost five of its last seven home games (8-12 HU).
-- Pistons lost five of last six games (5-8 last 13 HU).
-- Philly lost nine of its last ten games (3-6 last nine AU). Hawks lost their last three games (4-3-1 last eight HF).
-- Magic lost eight of their last ten games (3-6 last nine AU).
-- Minnesota lost its last six games (3-5 last eight HF).
-- New Orleans lost six of its last eight games (3-11-1 last 15 HU).
-- Mavericks lost four of last five games (10-5 last 15 HF).
-- Raptors lost their last five games (0-1 as AF).
-- Bulls lost five of last eight road games (9-3 last 12 AU).
-- Sacramento lost 16 of last 21 games (5-10 last 15 AU). Warriors lost four of their last five games (11-6 HF).

Totals
-- Four of last five Boston road games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Charlotte games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Utah games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Detroit games.
-- Last four Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Orlando games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Washington games.
-- Eight of last ten Portland games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Laker games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Phoenix games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Chicago games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Clipper games stayed under total.
-- Over is 10-1-1 in last twelve Sacramento games.

Back-to-backs
-- Celtics are 3-7-2 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Philadelphia is 4-8 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Lakers are 4-6-2 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Sacramento is 4-7 vs spread if it played the night before.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Wednesday, March 6

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
UTAH vs. CLEVELAND
Utah is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah

7:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. CHARLOTTE
Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Boston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 10 games on the road
New York is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing Philadelphia

7:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. MIAMI
Orlando is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Orlando is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Orlando
Miami is 8-16-1 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Orlando

8:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games on the road
LA Lakers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games
New Orleans is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MINNESOTA
Washington is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Washington is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Washington
Minnesota is 8-16-1 ATS in its last 25 games

8:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. MEMPHIS
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Portland is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Memphis's last 12 games
Memphis is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

8:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 12 games
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

9:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. SAN ANTONIO
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Chicago is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games
San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago

9:00 PM
TORONTO vs. PHOENIX
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games
Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

10:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. LA CLIPPERS
Milwaukee is 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games when playing LA Clippers
Milwaukee is 4-11 SU in their last 15 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the LA Clippers last 8 games when playing Milwaukee

10:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games
Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing at home against Sacramento

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Wednesday, March 6

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Bulls at Spurs: What bettors need to know
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Chicago Bulls at San Antonio Spurs (-7.5, 190.5)

The San Antonio Spurs seek their ninth victory in 11 games when they host the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday. San Antonio has the top record in the NBA and will be playing its second game since losing standout point guard Tony Parker for approximately a month with an ankle injury. Chicago also has ailing players and will be without forward Taj Gibson (knee) and guard Richard Hamilton (back) while point guard Kirk Hinrich (foot) is doubtful.

The Bulls lost at Indiana on Sunday to begin a stretch in which they play five of six games on the road. Chicago has been without star point guard Derrick Rose (knee) all season and the recent injuries have further depleted the team’s depth. Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau said he doesn’t want the injuries to be used as an excuse. “It’s the NBA,” Thibodeau said after the loss to the Pacers. “We’ve got plenty in that locker room. We’ve got to get the job done.” San Antonio is 24-3 at home and has won 20 of its last 21 home games as it plays the fourth contest of a six-game homestand.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN, Comcast SportsNet Chicago, Fox Sports Southwest (San Antonio)

ABOUT THE BULLS (34-26, 27-33-0 ATS): Center Joakim Noah has recorded three straight double-doubles and has 30 on the season. Noah is averaging 19.3 points, 13.7 rebounds and 5.3 blocks during the stretch. He had 15 rebounds when Chicago lost to San Antonio last month but tallied just seven points. Guard Marco Belinelli scored 20 points against Indiana after a dismal three-game stretch in which he averaged seven points and shot 29.6 percent from the field. Forward Jimmy Butler also fared well against the Pacers with a season-best 20 points.

ABOUT THE SPURS (47-14, 34-25-2 ATS): Second-year guard Cory Joseph drew the start in place of Parker against the Pistons and had eight points, four assists and one turnover in 18 minutes. Joseph was recently recalled from the Austin Toros of the D-League and impressed San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich with this showing against Detroit. “I thought he did a fine job,” Popovich said afterward. “He played a good floor game. I like his defense. I like his aggressive attitude, as far as loose balls and sticking his nose in. He’s a really committed, physical player and runs the show well.” Gary Neal will see more time at the point as his leg injury improves. Neal played 8 1/2 minutes off the bench against the Pistons after sitting out the previous three games.

TRENDS:

* Bulls are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 vs. Western Conference.
* Spurs are 38-16-3 ATS in their last 57 home games.
* Under is 6-0 in the last six meetings in San Antonio.
* Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The teams have split the last 12 meetings but San Antonio has won eight of its last 11 home games against the Bulls.

2. Spurs F Kawhi Leonard scored a career-best 26 points in a 104-94 victory in Chicago on Feb. 11.

3. Chicago F Luol Deng is shooting just 35.1 percent from the field over the last three games.


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NBA

Wednesday, March 6

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Bulls could struggle with West-heavy schedule
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The Chicago Bulls are one of the best road bets in the NBA this season, posting a 17-12 SU and 18-11 ATS mark as visitors heading into Wednesday’s road trip to San Antonio. The one hitch in that profitable record has been Chicago’s lack of success versus Western Conference opponents away from the Windy City.

The Bulls are just 3-6 SU and ATS when visiting Western foes, adding to an 8-13 SU and 6-15 ATS count in non-conference games on the year. Going back to last season, they’re 7-19 ATS in their last 26 versus teams from the West.

Chicago kicks off a stretch of seven straight games versus Western Conference competition in San Antonio Wednesday – four of those coming on the road.

Oddsmakers have sent out a suggested spread of Bulls +7.5 versus the Spurs. Chicago is expected to be without guards Kirk Hinrich and Richard Hamilton but forward Carlos Boozer, who is away from the team dealing with a personal matter, will play Wednesday.

Following the game in San Antonio, the Bulls return to Chicago for a home game versus the Utah Jazz before road games against the Los Angeles Lakers, Sacramento Kings, and Golden State Warriors. Chicago is back in the United Center to take on the Denver Nuggets on March 18 and the Portland Trail Blazers on March 21.

The Bulls boast the third-best defense in the NBA, allowing just over 91 points per game, but it is their offense which takes a step back versus Western Conference teams. Chicago averages 94 points per game in conference clashes and only 90.1 versus Western opposition.

The last time the Bulls played San Antonio, they were limited to 89 points on 47 percent shooting, including going just 2 for 12 from 3-point range. The Spurs won and covered, 103-89, as 3.5-point road underdogs in Chicago. It was just the second time the Bulls and Spurs played over the total in their last 10 meetings.

Wednesday’s total was sent out at a suggested 189 points..

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Wednesday, March 6

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Fullcourt press: Wednesday's NBA betting notes
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Brooklyn Nets at Charlotte Bobcats (+8.5, 190.5)

The Brooklyn Nets are in the early stages of a stretch that has them playing 12 of 15 games away from home, so they will be looking to exploit a matchup with the league's worst team when they visit the Charlotte Bobcats on Wednesday. Brooklyn has dropped two straight and four of five to fall 3 1/2 games behind the front-running New York Knicks in the Atlantic Division and into a logjam with Chicago and Atlanta in a battle for fourth place in the Eastern Conference. The Nets have won the last five meetings.

Utah Jazz at Cleveland Cavaliers (-2, 200.5)

The Utah Jazz are in the midst of a slump and hope to halt it when they visit the host Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday. The Jazz have lost four of five games and have slipped to eighth in the Western Conference. Utah fell to the Milwaukee Bucks in Monday’s opener of a four-game road trip. Cleveland has lost back-to-back games and is 1-2 during a five-game homestand. The Cavaliers have lost six consecutive games against Utah.

Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers (-9, 184.5)

If the season ended today, the Boston Celtics would visit the Indiana Pacers in the first round of the Eastern Conference playoffs. An early preview of that will take place on Wednesday, when the Pacers host the Celtics. Boston has won three straight games and will be playing the second night of a back-to-back after outlasting Philadelphia on Tuesday. Indiana is playing as well as any team in the NBA not named the Miami Heat.

New York Knicks at Detroit Pistons (+4, 196.5)

The city that never sleeps was staring at its worst nightmare when New York Knicks star forward Carmelo Anthony crashed to the floor without being touched in Monday's comeback victory over the Cleveland Cavaliers. Anthony escaped serious injury and was diagnosed with a stiff and sore right knee, putting his availability in question for New York's game at the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday. The league's second-leading scorer said the knee has been bothering him for a while and he recently underwent an MRI exam.

Philadelphia 76ers at Atlanta Hawks (-8, 189.5)

The Atlanta Hawks will try to stop a three-game slide that has seen them slip to sixth in the Eastern Conference standings when they return home to face the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday. Philadelphia lost for the ninth time in 10 games with a 109-101 home loss to Boston on Tuesday and is trying to avoid being swept in a back-to-back set for the seventh time this season.

Orlando Magic at Miami Heat (-15, 204)

The Miami Heat look to extend their 15-game winning streak on Wednesday when they visit the Orlando Magic, who face an uphill battle against their in-state rivals. Ten of Miami’s 15 victories during their franchise-record winning streak have come by double digits, including Monday’s 97-81 win at Minnesota. Orlando is 7-29 against Eastern Conference opponents, but they’re coming off an encouraging 105-102 win over the New Orleans Hornets on Monday.

Washington Wizards at Minnesota Timberwolves (-3, 188.5)

The banged-up Minnesota Timberwolves will try to avoid a season-worst seventh consecutive loss and a season sweep at the hands of the visiting Washington Wizards on Wednesday. The short-handed Timberwolves have dropped six straight after a 97-81 home loss to Miami on Monday. The Wizards have played much better over the past month, as they've won eight of their last 12 games and are coming off a 90-87 home win over Philadelphia in which they rallied late.

Portland Trail Blazers at Memphis Grizzlies (-8, 185.5)

The Portland Trail Blazers are desperately trying to get back into the playoff race in the Western Conference and have won three of their last four games. Things get a lot tougher this week with a three-game road trip, beginning Wednesday at the Memphis Grizzlies. The Blazers are 3 1/2 games behind the eighth-place Utah Jazz but own an 8-21 record on the road, where they will play 12 of their last 23 games.

Los Angeles Lakers at New Orleans Hornets (+1, 205.5)

After working hard to get back to the .500 mark for the first time since late December, the Los Angeles Lakers fell right back below the break-even point by losing to the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Los Angeles takes a stab at evening its record again when it visits the New Orleans Hornets on Wednesday. New Orleans suffered a humiliating home loss to the Orlando Magic on Monday and is just 11-19 at home.

Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks (-2.5, 222)

The Houston Rockets snapped a nine-game losing streak at the hands of the Dallas Mavericks with a vengeance, rolling to a 33-point victory on Sunday. The Mavericks will have a chance to avenge that rout and extend their home domination of their in-state rival when they host Houston on Wednesday. Dallas has won the last five matchups against the Rockets at American Airlines Center and cannot afford to give up much more ground in the Western Conference, trailing eighth-place Utah by 5 1/2 games.

Toronto Raptors at Phoenix Suns (+2, 193)

The streaky Toronto Raptors head into Wednesday’s contest against the Phoenix Suns looking to snap a five-game skid and keep their dim postseason hopes alive. The Raptors appeared ready to make a serious push after winning five straight in early February, but they’ve since fallen 8 1/2 games behind Milwaukee for the eighth and final Eastern Conference playoff spot. Phoenix abandoned its playoff dreams long ago, but the Suns have strung together their first three-game winning streak since mid-December.

Chicago Bulls at San Antonio Spurs (-8, 191.5)

The San Antonio Spurs seek their ninth victory in 11 games when they host the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday. San Antonio has the top record in the NBA and will be playing its second game since losing standout point guard Tony Parker for approximately a month with an ankle injury. Chicago also has ailing players and will be without forward Taj Gibson (knee) and guard Richard Hamilton (back) while point guard Kirk Hinrich (foot) is doubtful.

Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors (-11.5, 222.5)

The Golden State Warriors are enjoying their longest homestand of the season and will be playing 15 of their remaining 21 games in their own arena. That continues when they host the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday. The Warriors dropped the final four games of a five-game road trip but returned home on Monday and earned a win over the Toronto Raptors. The Kings are hitting the road after falling at home to Denver on Tuesday.

Milwaukee Bucks at Los Angeles Clippers (-9.5, 203.5)

The Milwaukee Bucks look to extend their four-game winning streak on Wednesday when they visit the Los Angeles Clippers, who have won eight of their last 10. The Bucks have solidified their standing as the eighth and final playoff team in the Eastern Conference, and are in position to move up a few spots with five of their next eight games against teams with losing records.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Houston at Dallas
The Rockets look to follow up their win over on and build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games after scoring 125 points or more in the previous game. Houston is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockets favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Houston (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 6

Game 701-702: Boston at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 116.945; Indiana 130.739
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 14; 180
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 9; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-9); Under

Game 703-704: Brooklyn at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 115.291; Charlotte 110.915
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 9; 191
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+9); Over

Game 705-706: Utah at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 120.830; Cleveland 117.970
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 3; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 1; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-1); Under

Game 707-708: New York at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 118.924; Detroit 114.261
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 4 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 2 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-2 1/2); Over

Game 709-710: Philadelphia at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.688; Atlanta 117.172
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 6 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 8 1/2; 189
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+8 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: Orlando at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 107.281; Miami 131.338
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 24; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 15; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-15); Under

Game 713-714: Washington at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 120.234; Minnesota 114.549
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 5 1/2; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 2; 188
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-2); Under

Game 715-716: Portland at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 114.995; Memphis 123.481
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 8 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 6 1/2; 185
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-6 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: LA Lakers at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 118.862; New Orleans 116.067
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3; 196
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1; 202
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-1); Under

Game 719-720: Houston at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 121.596; Dallas 120.130
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 1 1/2; 228
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 2 1/2; 222
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+2 1/2); Over

Game 721-722: Toronto at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 118.475; Phoenix 112.299
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 6; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-1 1/2); Under

Game 723-724: Chicago at San Antonio (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 117.947; San Antonio 129.718
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 12; 196
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 8; 191
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-8); Over

Game 725-726: Milwaukee at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 114.578; LA Clippers 129.141
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 14 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 9 1/2; 204
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-9 1/2); Over

Game 727-728: Sacramento at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 109.719; Golden State 121.984
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 12 1/2; 219
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 11; 223
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-11); Under

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday, March 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Brooklyn - 7:00 PM ET Brooklyn -9 500 POD
Charlotte - Under 191.5 500

Utah - 7:00 PM ET Cleveland +1 500
Cleveland - Under 201.5 500

Boston - 7:00 PM ET Boston +9 500
Indiana - Over 184.5 500

Philadelphia - 7:30 PM ET Atlanta -8.5 500
Atlanta - Over 190 500

Orlando - 7:30 PM ET Miami -15.5 500
Miami - Under 203.5 500

New York - 7:30 PM ET New York -4 500
Detroit - Under 194.5 500

Portland - 8:00 PM ET Memphis -7.5 500
Memphis - Under 185 500

L.A. Lakers - 8:00 PM ET New Orleans +2 500
New Orleans - Over 201.5 500

Washington - 8:00 PM ET Washington -2 500
Minnesota - Over 188 500

Houston - 8:30 PM ET Houston +1.5 500
Dallas - Over 221 500

Chicago - 9:00 PM ET Chicago +8 500 POD
San Antonio - Under 190.5 500

Toronto - 9:00 PM ET Phoenix +1.5 500
Phoenix - Over 192.5 500

Milwaukee - 10:30 PM ET L.A. Clippers -9.5 500
L.A. Clippers - Under 205.5 500

Sacramento - 10:30 PM ET Sacramento +11 500
Golden State - Under 223 500

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday TNT Tips

March 6, 2013

A big night in the NBA on Thursday in spite of the small card as TNT broadcasts a pair of games involving four teams that are headed to the postseason. The late contest showcases two Western Conference squads that look to make the next step in the playoffs this season when the Nuggets host the Clippers. The night begins in the Big Apple with a tired New York club that returns home to host the defending Western Conference champions.

Thunder at Knicks - 8:05 PM EST

Oklahoma City heads to Madison Square Garden for the start of a mini two-game East Coast swing that concludes in Charlotte on Friday night. The Thunder has won five of their last six following a three-game skid in mid-February, as the lone loss came at Denver last Friday by two points. OKC takes on New York for the first time this season, while making its first visit to Manhattan since a 112-98 defeat at the Garden in December 2010.

The Knicks won without Carmelo Anthony in last night's 87-77 barnburner at Detroit. New York outscored Detroit, 22-12 in the final quarter, as Anthony sat out the victory with a knee injury suffered in Monday's win at Cleveland. Raymond Felton led the Knicks with 26 points, while Amar'e Stoudemire came off the bench to chip in 22 points in New York's fifth victory in the last six contests.

The Thunder ran away from the Lakers in Tuesday's 122-105 home triumph to cash as 9 ½-point favorites. The game finished 'over' the total of 215, as the two teams combined to convert 53 free throws and 20 three-pointers. Russell Westbrook put together one of his best offensive games of the season by shooting 15-of-29 from the floor for a game-high 37 points. OKC has hit the 'over' in six of the last nine contests, including three of the previous four road games.

New York has failed to cover five straight home contests, but Mike Woodson's team has picked up victories in seven of the last 10 at the Garden. The Knicks are in the midst of four straight 'unders,' while limiting four straight opponents to fewer than 100 points. Anthony is likely a game-time decision on Thursday night, but expect the All-Star forward to suit up in this nationally televised affair.

Clippers at Nuggets - 10:35 PM EST

Two of the top four teams in the Western Conference meet at the Pepsi Center as Denver enters Thursday's action with six consecutive wins. The Nuggets own the best home mark in the West at 26-3, including 11 straight victories in the Rockies as the Clippers come to town for the second time this season.

Denver lost the first meeting at Staples Center on Christmas night, 112-100 as 6 ½-point 'dogs, while allowing the Clippers to put up a 42-spot in the second quarter. The Nuggets shot 50% from the floor, but L.A. received strong bench efforts from Jamal Crawford (22) and Matt Barnes (20) for the home triumph.

The Clippers couldn't pull off another win less than a week later on New Year's night as the Nuggets held off Los Angeles, 92-78 as one-point home favorites. L.A. scored just 35 second-half points this time around, while six Nuggets put together double-digit outputs as Ty Lawson missed the game due to injury.

There's very little reason to fade the Nuggets at home, as George Karl's team has cashed in nine of the last 11 games at the Pepsi Center. Following an 11-1 mark to the 'over' at home from early January through the end of February, Denver has cashed the 'under' in the last two home contests against Atlanta and Oklahoma City (both with totals of 212 and above).

Los Angeles heads to Denver with no rest following Wednesday's home contest with Milwaukee, as the Clips have compiled a 10-5 SU and 8-7 ATS record on the second of a back-to-back. The Clips have excelled in this situation on the highway, winning seven of nine games with no rest away from Staples Center this season.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

LA Clippers at Denver
The Nuggets look to build on their 10-1 ATS record in their last 11 home games against teams with a winning road record. Denver is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Denver (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, MARCH 7

Game 501-502: Oklahoma City at New York (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 128.281; New York 123.082
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5; 213
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 503-504: LA Clippers at Denver (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 121.405; Denver 127.238
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 6; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 3 1/2; 213 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-3 1/2); Under




NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 7

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OKLAHOMA CITY (44 - 16) at NEW YORK (37 - 21) - 3/7/2013, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 2-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (44 - 19) at DENVER (40 - 22) - 3/7/2013, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 402-467 ATS (-111.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 156-197 ATS (-60.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 143-194 ATS (-70.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 93-128 ATS (-47.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
DENVER is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
DENVER is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
DENVER is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home games this season.
DENVER is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
DENVER is 58-41 ATS (+12.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 111-82 ATS (+20.8 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
DENVER is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 36-27 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 7-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 7

Hot Teams
-- New York won five of last six games (2-1 as HU). Thunder won five of last six games (2-7 last nine AF).
-- Nuggets won their last six games (6-1 last seven HF). Clippers won seven of last ten games (7-3 AU).

Cold Teams
-- None.

Totals
-- Last four New York games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Denver games went over the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Thunder is 3-4 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Clippers are 5-6 vs spread on road if they played night before.




NBA

Thursday, March 7

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. NEW YORK
Oklahoma City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing New York
New York is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games

10:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. DENVER
LA Clippers are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing Denver
LA Clippers are 8-15 SU in their last 23 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Denver's last 13 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Denver's last 24 games


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NBA

Thursday, March 7

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NBA doubleheader: Thunder at Knicks, Clippers at Nuggets
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Oklahoma City Thunder at New York Knicks (+3.5, 206.5)

The New York Knicks passed their first taste with an ailing Carmelo Anthony sidelined, but the degree of difficulty will scrape the Madison Square Garden rafters if the star forward can't go in Thursday's matchup against the visiting Oklahoma City Thunder. Anthony remained mum on the condition of his knee, but coach Mike Woodson said the stiffness and soreness that the team's leading scorer has been feeling was being caused by fluid in the joint. Noting that rest is the best cure, Woodson labeled Anthony as a game-time decision for Oklahoma City.

The Thunder seem to be back on track following their three-game swoon last month, winning five of their last six and coming off victories over both Los Angeles squads - at the Clippers on Sunday and at home against the Lakers on Tuesday. Guard Russell Westbrook has led the resurgence by averaging 32.2 points during the six-game run, putting up at least 37 points on three occasions. Oklahoma City, which has won five of the last six matchups with New York, is three games back of the San Antonio Spurs in the race for the top seed in the Western Conference.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE THUNDER (44-16, 36-22-2 ATS): Kevin Durant is in position to capture his fourth consecutive scoring title, leading Anthony by a slight margin (28.6 to 28.2). But Durant has been showing off other facets of his expanding game of late, registering a pair of triple-doubles and averaging 10.2 rebounds over his last seven games. He has three triple-doubles this season after failing to record one in his first five seasons. Oklahoma City ranks among the league's leaders with 15 turnovers per game, but it tied a league record by committing only two in the win over the Lakers.

ABOUT THE KNICKS (37-21, 28-28-2 ATS): Turnovers were also an issue for New York in Wednesday's 87-77 victory in Detroit. The Knicks entered the game committing a league-low 11.5, but they had 11 in the first quarter and 21 in the game - one short of the team's season high. Forward Amar'e Stoudemire again helped filled the offensive void left by Anthony's absence, tying his season high with 22 points off the bench. Stoudemire, who played a season-high 32 minutes, has scored in double figures in six consecutive games and is shooting 71.9 percent in that span.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in New York.
* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Thunder are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in New York.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Anthony has averaged 27.2 points in 25 career games against Oklahoma City.

2. The Thunder have lost two of their last three games in New York, with the win coming in overtime.

3. Oklahoma City leads the league in block shots (7.6) while the Knicks are tied for last at 3.8.



Los Angeles Clippers at Denver Nuggets (-4, 213.5)

The Denver Nuggets look to extend their six-game winning streak on Thursday when they host the Los Angeles Clippers, who bounced back from a disappointing loss to Oklahoma City with a convincing win over Milwaukee on Wednesday. The Nuggets have won 11 consecutive games at home and are 26-3 at the Pepsi Center, and they’re facing a Clippers team that arrived in Denver early Thursday morning after beating the Bucks.

The teams have split their first two games this season, with each squad winning at home. The Clippers hold the third spot in the Western Conference playoff race, while Denver has moved 1 1/2 games behind fourth-place Memphis. Los Angeles forward Blake Griffin enters the contest on a high note after recording his third career triple-double with 23 points, 11 rebounds and a career-high 11 assists against Milwaukee.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT, Prime Ticket (Los Angeles)

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (44-19, 36-27-0 ATS): Griffin is averaging 19.8 points over his last six games, but he’s been held to an average of 12.5 points and 7.5 rebounds in two games against the Nuggets this season. Guard Jamal Crawford scored a game-high 22 points in a 112-100 win over Denver on Dec. 25, and he had 25 points on Wednesday against the Bucks. While Crawford is making a strong case for the NBA Sixth Man of the Year award, guard Matt Barnes has also been a key reserve. Barnes hit six 3-pointers against Milwaukee, and he’s averaging a career-high 10.3 points. After facing Denver, the Clippers begin a three-game homestand against Detroit on Sunday.

ABOUT THE NUGGETS (40-22, 37-24-1 ATS): Denver has won 15 of its last 19 games with Ty Lawson leading the way. The fourth-year point guard is enjoying the best stretch of his career while averaging 20.8 points, 7.5 assists and 1.67 steals over the last 24 games. Forward Danilo Gallinari, averaging 16.7 points and 5.3 boards, had 23 points and made five 3-pointers in a 120-113 win over Sacramento on Tuesday. Forward Kenneth Faried had 19 points and 12 rebounds in the victory, giving him two straight double-doubles. The Nuggets rank second in the NBA in points off turnovers and first in fast-break points, and they’ll look to wear down a tired Clippers team in the second half.

TRENDS:

* Clippers are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings in Denver.
* Clippers are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
* Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
* Underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Nuggets have won 15 of the last 24 games against the Clippers since 2006-07.

2. The Clippers are 33-2 when leading after the first quarter.

3. Denver is 44-8 since the start of the 2009-10 season when facing an opponent in the second game of a back-to-back at home.

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NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, March 7

Oklahoma City at New York, 8:05 ET TNT
Oklahoma City: 8-2 ATS off BB games allowing 100+ points
New York: 4-8 ATS off BB road games

LA Clippers at Denver, 10:35 ET TNT
LA Clippers: 8-21 ATS away off a combined score of 205+ points
Denver: 8-0 ATS at home with a total of 210+ points

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Thursday, March 7

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Oklahoma City - 8:00 PM ET Oklahoma City -7.5 500
New York - Over 206.5 500

L.A. Clippers - 10:30 PM ET Denver -4 500
Denver - Under 215 500

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NBA
Dunkel

Atlanta at Boston
The Hawks look to build on their 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 games in Boston. Atlanta is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+4). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, MARCH 8

Game 801-802: Indiana at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 123.492; Orlando 111.281
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 12; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 9; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-9); Under

Game 803-804: Oklahoma City at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 123.461; Charlotte 112.080
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 11 1/2; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 14 1/2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+14 1/2); Over

Game 805-806: Atlanta at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 120.106; Boston 120.945
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 4; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+4); Under

Game 807-808: Washington at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 114.934; Brooklyn 119.100
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 5 1/2; 182 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+5 1/2); Over

Game 809-810: Memphis at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 121.297; Cleveland 122.256
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 1; 192
Vegas Line & Total:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 811-812: Dallas at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 117.392; Detroit 114.104
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 3 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 813-814: Utah at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 117.544; Chicago 122.009
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 4 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 815-816: Philadelphia at Miami (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 111.176; Miami 122.096
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 11; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 13; 194
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+13); Under

Game 817-818: Portland at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 115.035; San Antonio 125.215
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 10; 206
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 12; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+12); Over

Game 819-820: Phoenix at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 114.557; Sacramento 117.624
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 3; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 7; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+7); Under