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**Udog** · 03-01-2013, 08:36 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

-- Joakim Noah had 23 points, 21 rebounds, 11 blocks at the Bulls beat up on Philly; triple-doubles like that include blocks are very rare.

-- Virginia 73, Duke 68-- Blue Devils are 0-4 in true road games against top 100 teams this season.

-- Gonzaga 70, BYU 65-- Zags are looking like a #1 seed in NCAAs.

-- Tenn-Martin 69, Murray 68-- Skyhawks were a 20-point underdog!!!

-- Louisiana Tech 84, Utah State 61-- Bulldogs are 15-0 in the WAC, might still have to win conference tourney to make NCAAs.

-- Oregon 85, Oregon State 75-- Ducks were down seven at half.

*****

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Things I'm looking for in March........

March is one of the best months of the year; tons of college basketball, spring training, the weather around here usually gets better, lot of good stuff going on. We’re approaching this March with as sense of optimism….here are some things I’m looking for this month.

13) Just the sound of ball meeting bat means winter is almost over; so what if #98 is pitching to #87, in a matchup of two prospects destined to spend the summer in the California Penal League? Its baseball, and its always good when spring training starts up.

12) College basketball is our favorite sport, which makes March one of our favorite months; Championship Week is almost as much fun as the NCAA tournament itself, since for some teams, just getting in is the main thing. Love to see teams celebrate when they win their conference tournaments.

11) Teams that will be very, very nervous until they win their conference tournament: Northeastern-Louisiana Tech-Belmont-Long Beach.

These teams won their regular season in their leagues, but won’t be going to the NCAAs unless they win the league tournament, too. Tech is unbeaten in the WAC; would be a shame if they got upset out west.

10) VCU’s old league, the CAA, will only have seven teams in its conference tournament, as four of its 11 schools are ineligible for the tourney this year. Northeastern gets the #1 seed and a bye, so they’ll have to win two pressure-packed games to make the NCAAs.

9) With the NCAA field expanded to 68 teams, no one who is excluded has that much of a gripe, but whomever #69/#70 are will whimper for a while, then limp off to the NIT. Question is, can any of the First Four teams make a run through the brackets, the way VCU did two years ago? VCU’s run was a God-send for the NCAA, silencing any complaints about those first four games in Dayton. Can it happen again?

8) No #1 seed has ever lost to a #16 seed; is this the year? Who will those four #1 seeds be? This season, #1 teams have been getting bounced left and right, so it figures that this could be a year where a #16 seed pulls a shocker, but the talent different between those teams is so big, a lot of things will have to fall into place for the big upset to happen.

7) This time of year, I don’t want to see the name of any the guys on my fantasy baseball team in the news; its almost always bad news. No injuries this year, please? I'm looking at you, Carl Crawford.

6) They’re selling hats from World Baseball Classic teams for $35 a pop; not good. Do people watch the WBC? I’m not sure if I’ll watch it or not, I guess I will if its on when basketball isn’t. Just hope Jose Reyes doesn’t pop a hammy running out a grounder.

5) Speaking of which, Dodgers can’t be real happy that Hanley Ramirez is playing 3B at the WBC so Reyes can play short; LA needs Ramirez to gets used to playing a solid shortstop. Tom Gordon killed them with sloppy defense at short LY.

4) Pac-12 tourney is in Las Vegas for first time, at MGM Arena; with Bill Walton calling games on ESPN, this could replace Big East as the premiere conference tournament on TV.

Walton is capable of saying anything at any time; he really is fun to listen to, especially if it’s a good game- conference tournaments produce good games.

3) First major league baseball game that counts is March 31, Astros-Rangers, Houston’s first game as an AL team.

Opening Day is the next day. Interleague play will be every day now, with 15 teams in each league for the first time.

2) For every winner there is a loser, and in big-time college sports, losers get fired. The coaching carousel will start spinning faster in March; right now USC is the #1 job that could be open, but Old Dominion has a strong history too and that job is already open. By the time the Final Four rolls around, a lot more jobs will be open.

1) Common wisdom I’ve heard on TV is that around 20 teams have a legit chance to make the Final Four; that’s a lot. People’s brackets are going to have some diversity to them this year. Enjoy your March and good luck with your brackets!!!

**Udog** · 03-01-2013, 08:40 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Yale at Columbia
The Bulldogs look to build on their 8-0 ATS record in their last 8 games against Columbia. Yale is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulldogs favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Yale (+4). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, MARCH 1

Game 825-826: Dartmouth at Pennsylvania (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 43.157; Pennsylvania 55.827
Dunkel Line: Pennsylvania by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Pennsylvania by 7
Dunkel Pick: Pennsylvania (-7)

Game 827-828: Brown at Cornell (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 45.750; Cornell 56.575
Dunkel Line: Cornell by 11
Vegas Line: Cornell by 5
Dunkel Pick: Cornell (-5)

Game 829-830: Yale at Columbia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 53.613; Columbia 50.048
Dunkel Line: Yale by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Columbia by 4
Dunkel Pick: Yale (+4)

Game 831-832: Harvard at Princeton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 58.695; Princeton 59.899
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 1 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: Princeton by 6; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Harvard (+6); Over

Game 833-834: Marist at Siena (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 47.566; Siena 47.472
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Marist by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Siena (+2 1/2)

Game 835-836: Fairfield at Manhattan (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 53.836; Manhattan 60.470
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 6 1/2; 110
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 1; 114
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (+1); Under

Game 837-838: Loyola-MD at Iona (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 53.860; Iona 60.627
Dunkel Line: Iona by 7
Vegas Line: Iona by 5
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-5)

**Udog** · 03-01-2013, 08:41 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, March 1

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DARTMOUTH (6 - 18) at PENNSYLVANIA (7 - 19) - 3/1/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENNSYLVANIA is 72-102 ATS (-40.2 Units) in all home games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 72-102 ATS (-40.2 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 30-52 ATS (-27.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENNSYLVANIA is 3-2 against the spread versus DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
PENNSYLVANIA is 5-0 straight up against DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROWN (10 - 14) at CORNELL (13 - 14) - 3/1/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CORNELL is 61-31 ATS (+26.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CORNELL is 4-1 against the spread versus BROWN over the last 3 seasons
CORNELL is 5-0 straight up against BROWN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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YALE (11 - 16) at COLUMBIA (11 - 13) - 3/1/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YALE is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1997.
YALE is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
YALE is 5-0 against the spread versus COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
YALE is 5-0 straight up against COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HARVARD (17 - 7) at PRINCETON (14 - 9) - 3/1/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HARVARD is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in March games since 1997.
HARVARD is 84-114 ATS (-41.4 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
PRINCETON is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PRINCETON is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PRINCETON is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PRINCETON is 91-63 ATS (+21.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PRINCETON is 4-2 against the spread versus HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
PRINCETON is 3-3 straight up against HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARIST (8 - 20) at SIENA (7 - 21) - 3/1/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARIST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MARIST is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
SIENA is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 3-2 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 4-1 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FAIRFIELD (17 - 12) at MANHATTAN (11 - 16) - 3/1/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MANHATTAN is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MANHATTAN is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 4-2 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD is 4-2 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOYOLA-MD (20 - 9) at IONA (15 - 13) - 3/1/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MD is 24-5 ATS (+18.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 104-55 ATS (+43.5 Units) in road games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 104-55 ATS (+43.5 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 88-43 ATS (+40.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
IONA is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
IONA is 3-2 against the spread versus LOYOLA-MD over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 3-2 straight up against LOYOLA-MD over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-01-2013, 08:41 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 1

-- Dartmouth lost its last five games, all by 9+ points; they lost 67-57 at home to Penn Feb 16, after leading by 12 at half. Big Green shot 35.6% for game; Quakers shot 64% inside arc. Ivy league home favorites of 7+ points are 7-8 vs spread. Penn split its four Ivy home games, winning by 4-23 points; they're 3-2 in last five games overall. Dartmouth is 1-4 on Ivy road, losing by 5-23-9-11 points.
-- Brown lost five of last seven games, losing last three road games, by 7-17-23 points; they turned ball over 16 times (-7) in 69-66 home loss to Cornell Jan 16, when both sides were 8-20 from arc. Bruins are 1-4 on Ivy road, losing by 12-7-17-23 points, with two of those losses in OT. Ivy League home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-5 vs spread. Cornell is 1-4 at home in Ivy, with only win by 23 over Dartmouth.
-- Yale won four of last six games, winning at Princeton/Penn in last two on road; Bulldogs shot 70% (28-40) inside arc in 75-56 home win over Columbia Jan 16, game Yale led 43-21 at half. Ivy League home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-5 vs spread. Lions lost seven of last nine games, but they upset first-place Harvard here; five of Columbia's seven losses in conference play are by six or less points.
-- Harvard won eight of last nine games; they lead Princeton by game in Ivy standings; since there is no tournament in Ivy, Harvard win here will pretty much put them in NCAAs. Crimson beat Princeton 69-57 Jan 16 at home, game they led by 4 at half. Ivy League home favorites of 7 or less points are 5-7 vs spread. Harvard's only Ivy loss was at Columbia by 15. Princeton is 4-1 at home in Ivy, with only loss to Yale.

-- Siena won 79-75 at Marist Jan 27, after trailing by 13 in first 9:00 of game; Saints lost five of last six games, with five losses by 10+ points. Six of seven Siena wins this season were by 4 or less points, or in OT. Seven of last eight Marist games were decided by 6 or less points; they are 1-7 on MAAC road, with only win in double OT at Iona. MAAC home underdogs of 3 or less points are 5-3 against the spread.
-- Fairfield won seven of its last nine games, winning last two on road, by 7-10 points, but one of losses was awful 62-40 loss to Manhattan at home, when Stags shot 25.4% from floor, 7-18 from foul line. MAAC home teams are 9-6 if spread is 3 or less points. Jaspers won five of last six games after starting season 6-15; they've won three of last four home games, with only loss in that span to Niagara by four.
-- Loyola won five of last six games, with three of five wins by 4 or less points; Greyhounds were outscored 20-8 on line in 79-71 home loss to Iona Jan 27, when Gaels shot 58% inside arc. Snakebit Iona lost six of its last seven games, with three losses in OT, and other three all by 3 or less points, including one loss where team hit 65-footer at buzzer to force an OT. MAAC home favorites of 6 or less points are 8-15 vs spread.

**Udog** · 03-01-2013, 08:42 AM

NCAAB

Friday, March 1

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MARIST vs. SIENA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Marist's last 7 games on the road
Marist is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Siena is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Marist
Siena is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Marist

7:00 PM
YALE vs. COLUMBIA
Yale is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Yale is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbia's last 5 games when playing Yale
Columbia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Yale

7:00 PM
DARTMOUTH vs. PENNSYLVANIA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dartmouth's last 8 games when playing on the road against Pennsylvania
Dartmouth is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Pennsylvania's last 17 games when playing Dartmouth

7:00 PM
LOYOLA vs. IONA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Loyola's last 5 games on the road
Loyola is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iona's last 5 games when playing at home against Loyola
Iona is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Loyola

7:00 PM
BROWN vs. CORNELL
Brown is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cornell
Brown is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cornell's last 9 games
Cornell is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brown

7:00 PM
HARVARD vs. PRINCETON
Harvard is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Harvard is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Princeton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Harvard
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Princeton's last 6 games when playing at home against Harvard

9:00 PM
FAIRFIELD vs. MANHATTAN
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Fairfield's last 7 games when playing on the road against Manhattan
Fairfield is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Manhattan
Manhattan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Manhattan is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Fairfield

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**Udog** · 03-01-2013, 08:42 AM

NCAAB

Friday, March 1

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Are dog-dominated conferences primed for postseason upsets?
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Heading into Thursday’s college basketball schedule, underdogs have gone 1573-1533-55 against the spread (50.64 percent) this season, which sits par for the course as far as oddsmakers are concerned.

Some conferences have followed suit, like the Mountain West, which enters Thursday’s slate with a 28-28-2 ATS record for underdogs in conference play. But other leagues, like the Pac-12, have – for lack of a better term – gone to the dogs.

As of Thursday, Pac-12 underdogs have produced a 54-31-2 ATS record – covering the spread at a profitable 63 percent.

While pups have posted just a 32-55 SU mark in those games, the ATS numbers show just how volatile the Pac-12 can be. Southern California’s 89-78 win over No. 11 Arizona as a 7.5-point home underdog Wednesday is a prime example.

Knowing which conferences have been bountiful to underdog bettors is not only useful in the final weeks of the schedule but shines light on which leagues have the most upset potential come conference tournament time.

Here are the best conferences for underdog bettors and how their tournaments are shaping up:

Pac-12 – 63 percent (Underdogs are 54-31-2 ATS, 32-55 SU)

Four teams are fighting it out for the top seed in the Pac-12 tournament – Oregon, UCLA, Arizona, Cal – but as Wednesday’s schedule proved (all three underdogs covered, two won SU), no team is safe no matter where they sit in the standings. Betting the Pac-12 postseason could be as easy as blindly siding with the underdogs each game.

Southern Conference – 59 percent (Underdogs are 57-39-2 ATS, 31-67 SU)

Davidson is the class of the Southern once again at 16-1 SU in conference play. However, the Wildcats are just 8-9 ATS and have been favorites in each of those conference clashes. Finding value in the Southern tournament will come from those teams below Davidson, like Samford, which is 9-7 SU but 13-3 ATS in conference play - nine of those paydays coming as an underdog.

Missouri Valley Conference – 58 percent (Underdogs are 47-33-3 ATS, 30-53 SU)

The MVC is one of the best little conferences in the land and the postseason race is hot and heavy with Wichita State and Creighton tied atop the standings heading into a showdown this Saturday. Both of those programs are in the conversation for an at-large NCAA bid but have also fallen at the hands of lesser MVC foes. Evansville could be the wildcard in the bunch, with two wins over WSU and six of their nine ATS conference wins coming as an underdog.

Colonial Athletic Association – 57 percent (Underdogs are 52-39-0 ATs, 37-54 SU)

Northeastern has already clinched the CAA regular season title, with one game remaining on the schedule, and there is a nice battle for second in the conference between Delaware and Towson. George Mason, Georgia State and James Madison all finished with double-digit conference wins. The Panthers took one win over Northeastern this season and nearly knocked off the Huskies in overtime Wednesday. The CAA tournament could very well pop a NCAA bubble for one of the major-conference program if there's an upset winner.

Summit League – 55 percent (Underdogs are 36-29-0 ATS, 21-44 SU)

Heading into the final string of schedule, just two games separate No. 1 South Dakota State and No. 4 Oakland in the Summit standings. The Jackrabbits have the makings of a Cinderella team come March Madness but the league tournament could snuff out that shocker before Selection Sunday, especially if star Nate Wolters is slowed by a back injury. The fourth-place Golden Grizzlies have wins over South Dakota State and Western Illinois this year and could be a dog to watch in the postseason.

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**Udog** · 03-01-2013, 08:55 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Minnesota at Anaheim
The Ducks look to follow up their 5-1 win over Nashville on Wednesday and build on their 8-1 record in their last 9 games after scoring 5 or more goals in the previous game. Anaheim is the pick (-165) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-165). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, MARCH 1

Game 51-52: Edmonton at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.115; St. Louis 11.734
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-175); 5
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-175); Over

Game 53-54: Columbus at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.730; Chicago 11.553
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-300); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+250); Under

Game 55-56: Minnesota at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.417; Anaheim 12.218
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-165); 5
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-165); Over

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 1

Hot teams
-- Blackhawks won their last seven games.
-- Anaheim won seven of its last eight games. Minnesota won four of last five.

Cold teams
-- Oilers lost nine of last thirteen games. St Louis lost three of last four.
-- Blue Jackets lost nine of their last eleven games.

Totals
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Edmonton games.
-- Last four Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- This is ***************.com. Listen to sportsxradio.com. 10-12 ET, Mon-Fri. .
-- Last three Anaheim games went over total. Under is 6-2-1 in Minnesota's last nine.

Series records
-- Blues won nine of last eleven games with Edmonton.
-- Blackhawks won last nine games against Columbus.
-- Road team won five of last six Minnesota-Anaheim games.

NHL

Friday, March 1

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. ST. LOUIS
Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games

8:30 PM
COLUMBUS vs. CHICAGO
Columbus is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Columbus's last 11 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 12 games at home
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. ANAHEIM
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Anaheim is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Anaheim is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

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**Udog** · 03-01-2013, 08:57 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 1

Hot Teams
-- Wizards won three of last four games (13-6-2 HU).
-- Pacers won five of their last six games (9-2 AF).
-- Clippers won seven of last eight games (3-8 last 11 AF). Cleveland won four of last five games, covered last six (5-2 last seven HU).
-- Heat won their last twelve games (11-7 last 18 HF). Grizzlies won last eight games (4-5 AU).
-- Nets won five of last seven games (6-11-1 last 18 HF).
-- Spurs won six of last eight games (1-3-1 last five HF).
-- Hawks won six of last seven games (7-4 last 11 AF). Suns won last two games, both in OT, after losing seven of previous eight (2-6 last eight HU).
-- Denver won four of its last five games (5-1 last six HF). Thunder won last three games, by 16-30-45 points (2-6 last eight AF).

Cold Teams
-- Knicks lost four of last five road games (0-3-1 last four AF).
-- Raptors lost three of last four games (9-6 HU).
-- Houston lost last two games by total of five points (2-6 AF). Magic lost six of last seven games (1-4 last five HU).
-- Warriors lost seven of last ten games (1-8 last nine AU). Celtics lost four of last seven games (4-1 last five HF).
-- Mavericks lost last three games, by 4-5-6 points (8-2 last 10 AU).
-- New Orleans lost five of last six games (5-3-1 last nine HF). Pistons lost four of last six games (3-5 last eight AU).
-- Kings lost six of last seven games (5-9 last 14 AU).
-- Bobcats lost their last four games (2-4 last six AU). Utah lost its last three games, by 11-3-13 points (3-6 last nine HF).

Totals
-- Last four New York games went over the total. Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Washington games.
-- Five of last six Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Houston games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Golden State games went over total.
-- Eight of last ten Miami games went over the total.
-- Last three Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Detroit games.
-- Over is 8-0-1 in last nine Sacramento games.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in Atlanta's last ten games.
-- 11 of last 14 Charlotte games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Denver games went over the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Pacers are 8-6 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Clippers are 4-6 vs spread on road if they played night before.

**Udog** · 03-01-2013, 08:57 AM

NBA

Friday, March 1

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. TORONTO
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games on the road
Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Indiana
Toronto is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. WASHINGTON
New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
New York is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing New York

7:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Orlando
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Houston
Orlando is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Houston

7:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. BOSTON
Golden State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Golden State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 15 games at home

7:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. CLEVELAND
LA Clippers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road
LA Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. MIAMI
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
DETROIT vs. NEW ORLEANS
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. BROOKLYN
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Dallas
Brooklyn is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home

8:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
Sacramento is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games
San Antonio is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing Sacramento

9:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. UTAH
Charlotte is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing at home against Charlotte

9:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games
Atlanta is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta

10:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
Oklahoma City is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games
Denver is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

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**Udog** · 03-01-2013, 08:58 AM

NBA

Friday, March 1

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Grizzlies at Heat: What bettors need to know
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Memphis Grizzlies at Miami Heat (-8, 187.5)

The Memphis Grizzlies and the Miami Heat have combined to win 20 straight games. One of the two longest current winning streaks in the NBA will come to an end on Friday when the Heat host the Grizzlies. Miami has taken 12 straight and is beginning to run away with the Eastern Conference as its defense catches up to LeBron James and the offense. Memphis and its league-best scoring defense is victorious in eight straight.

James added to his MVP resume with 40 points and 16 assists in a 141-129 double-overtime win over Sacramento on Tuesday, improving the Heat’s league-best home record to 25-3. Miami has looked far from invincible in its last two games, however, needing a late surge to topple Cleveland on Sunday before the scare against lowly Sacramento. The Grizzlies are allowing 89.5 points on the season and held the Dallas Mavericks to five in the third quarter of Wednesday’s 90-84 triumph. The 84 points marked the most the team has surrendered in its last four contests.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, SPSO (Memphis), SUN (Miami), ESPN

ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES (38-18): Memphis went through a transitional period in the wake of the trade that sent Rudy Gay to Toronto at the end of January, but has found itself again as a defensive force. The Grizzlies are surrendering 86.6 points during their winning streak while receiving just enough offense from the likes of Zach Randolph, Marc Gasol and Mike Conley to earn victories. Only one of the last eight triumphs has come by more than seven points. Without Gay around to dominate the ball, Memphis is playing more to its strengths on the interior. Randolph has recorded five straight double-doubles and Gasol has picked up his pace with 18 points and 10.7 rebounds over his last three contests. Gasol was held to two points and 10 boards in the first meeting with Miami but Randolph went for 18 and 12 and the defense held the Heat to 38 percent shooting in a 104-86 home win on Nov. 11.

ABOUT THE HEAT (41-14): James scored 20 points on 10-of-19 shooting in the Nov. 11 meeting but Dwyane Wade was held to eight points on 3-of-15 from the floor. Wade has been much stronger during the Heat’s recent surge and went for 39 points in Tuesday’s win over the Kings. The All-Star guard has complimented James with an average of 24.5 points on over 50 percent shooting during the winning streak. James is averaging 29.8 points on 65 percent shooting, 8.3 assists and 7.6 rebounds over the last 12 games. The reigning MVP has become even more of an Internet sensation due to his pregame dunking routine, which he uses to help get his team get pumped up in the final minutes of warmups. Miami had allowed an average of 92.4 points in the first 10 games of its streak before letting up a bit at home over the last two.

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-0 in Heat’s last six home games.
* Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. Western Conference foes.
* Grizzlies are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss.
* Over is 8-2 in Heat’s last 10 overall.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Memphis has won two of its last three trips to Miami, including a 97-82 triumph on Apr. 6 last season.

2. Heat F Shane Battier (hamstring) and G Mike Miller (sinus infection) are both questionable for Friday.

3. Miami has not won 13 in a row since a franchise-best 14-game streak in 2004-05.

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**Udog** · 03-01-2013, 08:58 AM

NBA

Friday, March 1

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NBA betting: Nuggets continue to soar over totals
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No team has taken advantage of the All-Star break more than the Denver Nuggets.

The Nuggets have used the extra rest to fuel their offense and play over the total in four of five (4-1 SU) since the break, picking up right where they left off as an awesome over play for bettors. Oddsmakers continue to set the bar higher and higher for this team as the season progresses, but the Nugs seem to continually rise to the occasion.

Denver boasts a 37-22 O/U mark heading into action Friday against Oklahoma City and is 20-4 O/U in its last 24 contests. The Nuggets are averaging 105.5 points per game (3rd) and allowing 101.8 points (26th) – the perfect storm for an over play.

Denver has pumped up its offensive output even more over its last five games, putting up an average of 110.6 points. Oddsmakers have failed in their attempts to counter the scoring frenzy, despite setting an average total of 209.5 for those contests.

Danilo Gallinari, who has missed the last two games with a thigh injury, leads a well-balanced Nuggets attack that features six players that average double digits in scoring on a nightly basis.

Denver has also been pounding the glass, hauling in an average of 45 rebounds per night (2nd) and a league-best 13.5 offensive boards. The second-chance opportunities are a major reason why the Nuggets continue to soar over 100 points with ease.

Denver plays four of its next five games at Pepsi Center against over-friendly opposition. Those opponents (Thunder, Hawks, Kings, Clippers, T-Wolves) have a combined 151-129-5 O/U mark.

Oddsmakers have sent out a suggested total of 220 for Friday's contest, which would be the highest number both teams have seen this season.

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**Udog** · 03-01-2013, 08:59 AM

NBA

Friday, March 1

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NBA Top 4: Best double-digit underdog bets
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NBA bettors are going to see pointspreads get bigger and bigger as the playoffs draw near. Teams in the postseason hunt will clash with clubs with no playoff prayer in the next two months, leaving oddsmakers no choice but to pile on the chalk.

The struggling Minnesota Timberwolves are a perfect example of that, getting 10.5 points from books for Thursday's road game versus the postseason-pushing Los Angeles Lakers.

Double-digit underdogs have only shown up 99 times this season heading into Thursday, going 47-50-2 against the spread (10-89 SU). But there are some teams who have made the most of those points, coming up big for backers when tagged as double-digit dogs.

Washington Wizards (3-8 SU, 8-3 ATS as double-digit underdogs)

The Wizards are the biggest betting surprise of the season, posting a 34-20-2 ATS record. Washington has thrived as a double-digit dog, going 8-3 ATS. Most of those came on the road, where the Wiz are a stellar 17-9-1 ATS.

Orlando Magic (2-6 SU, 7-1 ATS as double-digit underdogs)

One of the reasons why Washington is third in the Southeast Division is the poor play of Orlando this year. The Magic have only four wins in their last 33 games but have covered as double-digit dogs in five of their six contests when getting 10 or more points.

Cleveland Cavaliers (2-6 SU, 7-1 ATS as double-digit underdogs)

Cleveland recently covered as 12.5-point pups at Miami, giving the champion Heat a scare in a 109-105 loss on Feb. 24. The Cavaliers have been the hot bet – no matter what the spread – in recent weeks (6-0 ATS in their last six), and will likely see double-digit spreads in upcoming games with the Clippers, Grizzlies, and Spurs.

Dallas Mavericks (0-5 SU, 4-1 ATS as double-digit underdogs)

At first glance, we thought these numbers were off. But, the Mavs have been big pups in five games this season – at Clippers, at Miami, at OKC, at San Antonio, at Memphis – and while they lost all five of those outings, they managed to cover in all but one. Don’t hold your breath waiting for the next opportunity to back Dirk & Co. as a Triple-D but they could get 10 or more points in San Antonio on March 14.

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**Udog** · 03-01-2013, 09:19 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, March 1

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EDMONTON (8-7-0-4, 20 pts.) at ST LOUIS (10-7-0-2, 22 pts.) - 3/1/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 42-34 ATS (+85.5 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 6-2 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 6-2-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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COLUMBUS (5-12-0-3, 13 pts.) at CHICAGO (17-0-0-3, 37 pts.) - 3/1/2013, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 17-3 ATS (+22.1 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 17-3 ATS (+12.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
CHICAGO is 22-8 ATS (+11.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 254-278 ATS (-82.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 133-145 ATS (-63.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 12-2 (+8.1 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 12-2-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.5 Units)

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MINNESOTA (10-7-0-2, 22 pts.) at ANAHEIM (14-3-0-1, 29 pts.) - 3/1/2013, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 14-4 ATS (+18.7 Units) in all games this season.
ANAHEIM is 14-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-4 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-4-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

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**Udog** · 03-01-2013, 10:08 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, March 1

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NEW YORK (34 - 20) at WASHINGTON (18 - 38) - 3/1/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 7-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (36 - 21) at TORONTO (23 - 35) - 3/1/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
INDIANA is 175-123 ATS (+39.7 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
INDIANA is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (31 - 28) at ORLANDO (16 - 42) - 3/1/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 3-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (41 - 18) at CLEVELAND (20 - 38) - 3/1/2013, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-0 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 3-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (33 - 25) at BOSTON (30 - 27) - 3/1/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
BOSTON is 41-67 ATS (-32.7 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
BOSTON is 71-107 ATS (-46.7 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (38 - 18) at MIAMI (41 - 14) - 3/1/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
MEMPHIS is 32-22 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MEMPHIS is 71-52 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 58-29 ATS (+26.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (25 - 32) at BROOKLYN (34 - 24) - 3/1/2013, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 2-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 2-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (23 - 37) at NEW ORLEANS (20 - 39) - 3/1/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (20 - 39) at SAN ANTONIO (45 - 14) - 3/1/2013, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 54-69 ATS (-21.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 82-52 ATS (+24.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 67-41 ATS (+21.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 41-20 ATS (+19.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 38-15 ATS (+21.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 145-106 ATS (+28.4 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 159-116 ATS (+31.4 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (33 - 23) at PHOENIX (20 - 39) - 3/1/2013, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 57-85 ATS (-36.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
ATLANTA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 23-34 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games this season.
PHOENIX is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) on Friday nights this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (13 - 44) at UTAH (31 - 27) - 3/1/2013, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (42 - 15) at DENVER (37 - 22) - 3/1/2013, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-6 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Friday's Trends and Indexes - 3/1 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Friday's Trends and Indexes - 3/1 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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