Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 2/24 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Kaptain]

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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 24

-- Pitt won seven of last eight games vs St John's, losing by 1 here two years ago; they beat Red Storm twice LY, by 14-20 points. Panthers lost last two games, scoring 55.5 ppg, after winning seven of previous eight- they're 4-3 on Big East road, with three wins by 10+ points. Five of six St John's losses in Big East have been by 12+ points- they won last five at home. Big East home underdogs of 6 or less points are 7-15 vs spread.
-- Michigan State (-2) beat Ohio State 59-56 Jan 16, jumping out to 13-2 lead, then surviving 15-0 Buckeye run right after that; OSU hit 10-25 on arc, only 9-22 inside. Spartans won 11 of last 13 games (losses by 5-4), winning five of last six on road (lost at Indiana). Ohio State is 2-3 in last five games but is 5-1 at home in conference, losing to Indiana by 13. Big Dozen home favorites of 6 or less points are 12-6 vs spread.
-- Duke (-11) beat Boston College 62-61 two weeks ago, as they flew up and back same day because of snow issues; game was 27-27 at half. BC shot 53% inside arc, but couldn't finish game at end. Blue Devils are 6-0 at home in ACC, with all six wins by 13+ points. Eagles lost last five road games, with three losses by five or less points. ACC double digit home favorites are 11-5 against the spread.
-- Notre Dame won four of last five games with Cincinnati, winning first meeting this year 66-60 (+4.5) Jan 7, making 9-16 from arc, while UC was just 5-11 on foul line. Bearcats lost four of last five games, losing last two on road, by 4-7 points. Irish won six of last eight games, taking last three at home, last two in OT. Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-17 against the spread.

-- LaSalle won six of last eight games, losing at Temple Thursday, first loss in last four road games; Explorers beat Rhode Island last two years, by 1-14 points, after losing previous five games to Rams. URI lost seven of last nine games; they're 1-5 at home in league, losing by 8-1-6-6-13; its one was by 3 over Dayton. A-16 home underdogs of 7 or less points are 6-12 vs spread. LaSalle is 12-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
-- Georgia Tech (+2.5) beat Virginia 66-60 Feb 3, its first win in last six series games; Cavaliers were up 57-48 with 8:12 left- Jackets shot 58.1% inside arc. Tech lost last two visits here, by 7-8 points. Virginia lost last two games, but is 6-0 at home in league, with wins by 9+ points. Tech is 2-3 since upsetting Virginia but won both road games, at Va Tech/Wake. ACC double digit home favorites are 11-5 vs spread.
-- USC (+10) upset UCLA 75-71 in OT at Pauley Jan 30, shooting 55%, which offset -10 turnover ratio (17-7); it was first win in last five series games for Trojans, who won four of last five games overall- they're won last three home games, by 1-4-11 points. Pac-12 underdogs are 28-12 in games where spread is 5 or less points. UCLA is 7-0 in league when it allows less than 75+ points, 2-4 when it allows 75+.
-- Temple won last two road games by point each; five of their last six games were decided by a point. Owls. (-9) beat Charlotte 89-88 at home Feb 6, 6th series win in last seven tries for Owls, who won last three by 9-1-22 points. Home teams won seven of last eight series games; Temple lost three of last four visits here, winning by 14 in last visit LY. A-16 home teams are 3-11 in games where spread is 2 or less points.
-- Northwestern (-2) beat Purdue 75-60 at home Feb 2, shooting 65.2% inside arc in game it never trailed (led 23-8 after 10:00), first series win in last five tries for Wildcats, who lost four of last five visits here. Purdue lost five of last six games, with only win vs Penn State; Boilers are 9-3 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Big Dozen home favorites of 7 or less points are 13-7 vs spread. Wildcats lost last four games, all by 10+.

-- Streaky Illinois won last five games after 3-8 skid (after 12-0 start to season); Illini (+5.5) lost 74-60 at home to Michigan Jan 27, fourth loss in row to Wolverines, who shot 59% inside arc. Big Dozen double digit home favorites are 10-9 vs spread. Illini is 3-3 on road, winning last two on foreing soil; its road losses are by 7-23-5 points. Michigan lost three of last five games, but is 6-0 at home, with four wins by 15+ points.
-- Florida State lost four of last five road games, with all four losses by 18+ points, only win by hoop at Ga Tech; Seminoles are 5-2 in their last seven games vs Virginia Tech, sweeping Hokies LY in games decided by 1-4 points. ACC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 9-3 vs spread. Hokies lost last nine games, losing by 32 at home to Duke in last game; three of their last four losses were by 10+ points.
-- Old Dominion is 4-23 this season, 2-3 since changing coaches; they're 1-6 on CAA road, with only win at Drexel- they're won last six games vs Hofstra, but lost three of last four visits here, winning by 11 in last visit two years ago. Hofstra lost 11 of last 12 games, scoring 49.3 ppg during 4-game losing streak; they've lost last five home games. CAA home underdogs of 4 or less points are 4-8 vs spread.
-- MAAC is #14 conference, Big South #29, so class edge to Siena team that is awful, scoring 55.2 ppg while losing last five games. Saints have one win this season by more than five points. Radford lost four of last five games, losing four of last five on road; three of their last four wins were by 3 or less points. Siena split its last six home games, but almost impossible to endorse either side in this battle of lightweights.
-- Montana State lost last four games, allowing 80.8 ppg; its 55.7 eFG% is 4th-worst in country, but Bobcats won five of last seven home games vs D-I opponents. South Dakota lost its last six games, with four of last five losses by 13+ points; Coyotes lost last three road games, by 13-19-15 points. South Dakota makes 37.4% behind arc, so they should get some good shots vs Bobcats' porous defense.

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 24

Early Game

Hot Teams
-- Lakers won seven of last ten games (3-7 AU). Dallas won five of its last six games (10-3 last 13 HF).

Cold Teams
--

Totals
-- Four of last five Laker games went over the total.
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Back-to-backs
-- Cleveland Miami

[Udog]

thanks U Dog

Good morning! Armadillo must have been partying last night!

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 24

Hot Teams
-- Lakers won seven of last ten games (3-7 AU). Dallas won five of its last six games (10-3 last 13 HF).
-- Grizzlies won their last six games (7-2 last nine AF). Nets won four of last five games (1-4 last five HU).
-- Cavaliers are 5-3 in their last eight games (7-5 last 12 AU). Miami won its last ten games, winning three since All-Star break by 13-19-24 points (5-2 last seven HF).
-- Last game of 9-game rodeo road trip for Spurs, who won five of last six games (3-7 last ten AF).

Cold Teams
-- Minnesota lost six of its last eight games (2-6-1 HU). Warriors lost last five road games, four by 14+ points (4-2-1 AF).
-- New Orleans is 0-3 vs All-Star break, losing by 4-5-9 points (5-4-1 as HF). Sacramento lost eight of last ten games (3-8 last 11 AU).
-- 76ers lost five of last six games (2-7 last nine AU). Knicks lost four in a row, scoring 88 points in losing last two home games (6-11 L17 HF).
-- Suns lost six of last seven games (2-5 last seven HU).
-- Celtics lost three of last five games (6-8-2 AU). Portland lost its last seven games (1-6 last seven HF).
-- Oklahoma City lost three of last four games (8-2 last ten HF). Bulls lost five of last eight games (8-2 last ten AU).

Totals
-- Four of last five Laker games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Memphis games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Golden State games went over total.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Sacramento games.
-- Six of last eight Miami games went over the total.
-- This is ***************.com. Enjoy your weekend.......
-- Seven of last nine Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Phoenix games went over the total.
-- Eight of last nine Portland games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Thunder games went over the total.

Back-to-backs
-- Cleveland is 6-4 vs spread if it played night before. Miami is 4-4, 1-2 at home, if it played night before.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Sunday, February 24

Pittsburgh at St. John's, 12:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 13-4 UNDER off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite
St. John's: 1-9 ATS after allowing 60 points or less

(TC) Michigan State at Ohio State, 4:00 ET CBS
Michigan State: 15-29 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick
Ohio State: 9-2 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more

Boston College at Duke, 2:00 ET
Boston College: 10-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or less
Duke: 3-11 ATS after a cover as a double digit favorite

Cincinnati at Notre Dame, 2:00 ET CBS
Cincinnati: 11-2 ATS in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days
Notre Dame: 19-7 OVER in home games after a combined score of 125 points or less

(TC) Illinois at Michigan, 1:00 ET ESPN
Illinois: 1-8 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals
Michigan: 22-8 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days

(TC) = Time Change

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, February 24

LA Lakers at Dallas, 1:00 ET ABC
LA Lakers: 3-11 ATS as a road underdog
Dallas: 16-4 ATS in home games after a division game

(TC) Memphis at Brooklyn, 7:05 ET ESPN
Memphis: 15-7 ATS in non-conference games
Brooklyn: 3-11 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent

Golden State at Minnesota, 3:35 ET
Golden State: 36-19 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders
Minnesota: 2-12 ATS in home games against Pacific division opponents

Sacramento at New Orleans, 6:05 ET
Sacramento: 7-15 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread
New Orleans: 7-0 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread

Cleveland at Miami, 6:05 ET
Cleveland: 61-87 ATS in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread
Miami: 17-7 ATS in February games

Philadelphia at New York, 7:05 ET
Philadelphia: 52-30 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points
New York: 1-9 ATS when playing 5 or less games in 14 days

San Antonio at Phoenix, 8:05 ET
San Antonio: 19-6 ATS in road games against Pacific division opponents
Phoenix: 5-14 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent

Boston at Portland, 9:05 ET
Boston: 17-6 ATS on Sunday
Portland: 2-10 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs

Chicago at Oklahoma City, 9:05 ET ESPN
Chicago: 6-14 ATS in non-conference games
Oklahoma City: 18-9 ATS after playing a home game


(TC) = Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 24

Hot teams
-- Bruins won five of their last seven games.
-- Canucks won seven of their last ten games.
-- Chicago won four in row, eight of last nine games.
-- Islanders won four of their last six games.
-- Penguins won four of their last five games; Tampa Bay won three of four.
-- Anaheim won last five games, four by goal, three in SO.
-- Coyotes won six of their last nine games.

Cold teams
-- Florida lost six of its last seven games.
-- Jets lost four of their last six games. New Jersey lost three of four.
-- Red Wings lost five of their last six games.
-- Blue Jackets lost seven of last nine games.
-- Carolina lost last three games, outscored 12-5.
-- Avalanche lost five of their last eight games.
-- Calgary lost three of last five home games.

Totals
-- Under is 10-3-2 in last fifteen Boston-Florida games.
-- Seven of last nine Winnipeg games stayed under total. Over is 4-1-1 in New Jersey's las six games.
-- Nine of last 13 Vancouver-Detroit games went over total.
-- Eight of last ten Chicago-Columbus games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Carolina games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Penguin-Lightning games went over total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Anaheim games.
-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Calgary-Phoenix games.

Series records
-- Bruins won eight of last eleven games against Florida.
-- Devils won nine of last eleven games with Winnipeg.
-- Canucks won four of last five games with Detroit.
-- Blackhawks won their last eight games against Columbus.
-- Islanders won four of last five games against Carolina.
-- Penguins won three of last four games against Tampa Bay; last one was 8-1.
-- Ducks won seven of last ten games with Colorado.
-- Coyotes won seven of last nine games with Calgary.

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Sunday, February 24

Boston at Florida, 3:05 ET NHL
Boston: 24-11 ATS in road games after a win by 2 goals or more
Florida: 40-74 ATS second half of the season

Winnipeg at New Jersey, 5:05 ET
Winnipeg: 1-11 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days
New Jersey: 13-5 ATS when playing on back-to-back days

Vancouver at Detroit, 5:05 ET
Vancouver: 22-9 ATS in road games after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game
Detroit: 2-7 ATS after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread

Columbus at Chicago, 7:05 ET
Columbus: 1-13 ATS in road games after a division game
Chicago: 11-2 ATS after a game where they covered the spread

Carolina at NY Islanders, 7:05 ET
Carolina: 30-16 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses
NY Islanders: 0-6 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3

Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh, 7:35 ET NBCSN
Tampa Bay: 1-10 ATS in road games after a blowout win by 3 goals or more
Pittsburgh: 18-5 ATS after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game

Colorado at Anaheim, 8:05 ET
Colorado: 31-25 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 5 days
Anaheim: 12-25 ATS after scoring 3 goals or more in 5 straight games

Phoenix at Calgary, 8:05 ET
Phoenix: 17-5 ATS in February
Calgary: 5-14 ATS after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game

[Udog]

NBA

Sunday, February 24

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Bank shots: NBA betting news and notes
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Last week’s edition was put on hold because of the NBA All-Star Weekend, so we’ve expanded this week’s article to include games from Feb. 11-23.

Hottest ATS

Miami Heat (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS)

The Heat are on an absolute tear, picking up wins in 10 straight games. LeBron and Co. have also ripped off seven consecutive covers heading into Sunday’s clash with the Cavaliers. Sacramento and Memphis visit South Beach later this week.


Coldest ATS

Milwaukee Bucks (1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS)

The Bucks have been fade material for the entire month of February, posting a 1-9 ATS mark. However, Milwaukee has been a great bet on the road (15-11 ATS). The Bucks have a tough back-to-back in Dallas and Houston on Tuesday and Wednesday before returning home for a pair of games.


Best over play

Oklahoma City Thunder (1-3 SU, 4-0 over/under)

The Thunder halted a season-high three-game losing streak with a 127-111 win over the lowly T-Wolves Friday. Oklahoma City has played over the number in four straight and six of its last seven contests thanks to its potent offense, which averages 106.7 points per game. Chicago visits Sunday before OKC hosts the Hornets Wednesday.


Best under play

Washington Wizards (3-2 SU, 1-4 over/under)

It’s no secret the Wizards are a great bet with a 33-19-2 ATS mark, but Washington is also satisfying under bettors with its 21-31-2 O/U record. The Wiz shipped Jordan Crawford to the Celtics at the trade deadline, putting even more pressure on John Wall and Bradley Beal to carry the offense moving forward. Washington is at red-hot Toronto Monday before returning home for three games.

Scouting the schedule:

-The Atlanta Hawks edged the Bucks 103-102 Saturday in the first contest of their current six-game road trip. The Hawks are in Detroit Monday before heading west for four tough games in Utah, Phoenix, L.A. (Lakers) and Denver. Atlanta has been a better bet on the road (14-12 ATS) than it has at home (10-16-2 ATS) this season.

-The Portland Trail Blazers are mired in a seven-game losing skid and will try to stop the bleeding when Boston visits Sunday. The Blazers are a much better team at home, posting a 17-9 SU record at the Rose Garden. Denver, Minnesota and Charlotte will also visit the Rose Garden over the next eight days.


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[Udog]

NHL

Sunday, February 24

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Pucking the trends: This week's best NHL bets
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For the week of Feb. 17-23.

Hot team

Chicago Blackhawks (3-0 SU)

Chicago improved to 14-0-3 after posting a 2-1 victory over the San Jose Sharks on Friday, setting the record for most games without a regulation loss to start a season. The lowly Blue Jackets visit the United Center Sunday, and then Edmonton rolls into the Windy City on Monday.


Cold team

Buffalo Sabres (0-4 SU)

Not even a coaching change could spark this team. The axe dropped on long-time coach Lindy Ruff because of the Sabres’ poor start and now interim head coach Ron Rolston has the daunting task of cleaning up the mess. Buffalo travels to the Sunshine State this week for clashes with the Lightning and Panthers.


Best over play

Philadelphia Flyers (4-0 over/under)

The Flyers are back on track after a slow start, posting wins in three of their last four games. Philadelphia has found the back of the net 20 times during that stretch and Scott Hartnell has returned from injury to provide an added offensive punch. The Flyers continue their five-game homestand Monday when the Maple Leafs visit Wells Fargo Center.


Best under play

San Jose Sharks (0-3 over/under)

After opening the season with seven straight wins, the Sharks have dropped nine of their last 10 games. San Jose has scored an average of 1.2 goals per game during the losing skid, resulting in its stellar 4-12-1 O/U mark. San Jose returns to the Shark Tank for three contests with the Avalanche, Red Wings and Predators this week.

Surveying the schedule:

-The Edmonton Oilers begin a daunting nine-game road trip Monday in Chicago. The Oilers will play those nine contests over 17 days and have been an excellent under play away from Rexall Place (1-6 O/U).

-The New York Islanders begin a seven-game homestand Sunday when they host the Hurricanes, but that isn't necessarily a good thing for New York. The Isles have a horrendous 2-6 SU record at Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum.


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