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**Udog** · 02-18-2013, 08:34 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Quick thoughts on college basketball's top six-rated conferences........

6) Big X Conference-- Kansas/K-State/Oklahoma State are all tied for first; Oklahoma is on the bubble for an NCAA bid. Why is TCU in this league? I know its for football, but their hoops team is up against it.

5) Pac-12-- Oregon still leads by game, despite G Artis' continued absence (foot); underdogs are 53-23 vs spread in conference games.

4) Mountain West-- Home teams are 29-13 vs spread in conference play; if UNLV had a point guard, they'd be legit threat for the Final Four.

3) ACC-- Miami is 12-0 in league games; #1 thing in their favor is national media doesn't respect them, because their uniforms don't say "DUKE".

2) Big East-- Bottom four teams are 9-42 in league play; why is DePaul in this league? They're the league's pinata. Looks like seven teams in NCAAs.

1) Big Dozen-- Top 5 are excellent, Minnesota/Illinois are on bubble, Iowa is tough at home, rest of league stinks. Those top five are really good.

*****

Armadillo: Monday's Den: Over/under win totals for 2013 baseball.......

AL NL
Detroit Tigers, 90 Los Angeles Dodgers, 90
Los Angeles Angels, 89.5 Washington Nationals, 90
Texas Rangers, 87 Cincinnati Reds, 88.5
Toronto Blue Jays, 86.5 Atlanta Braves, 86
Bronx 86.5 San Francisco Giants, 86
Tampa Bay Rays, 86 St Louis Cardinals, 85.5
Oakland A's, 83 Arizona Diamondbacks, 81.5
Chicago White Sox, 80.5 Philadelphia Phillies, 81.5
Boston Red Sox, 79.5 Milwaukee Brewers, 79.5
Kansas City Royals, 79 Pittsburgh Pirates, 79
Cleveland Indians, 77.5 San Diego Padres, 74.5
Baltimore Orioles, 76.5 New York Mets, 74
Seattle Mariners, 76.5 Chicago Cubs, 72
Minnesota Twins, 64.5 Colorado Rockies, 71.5
Houston Astros, 59.5 Miani Marlins, 64.5

**Udog** · 02-18-2013, 08:35 AM

Danica Patrick a long shot at Daytona 500

Danica Patrick became the first woman to win the Daytona Pole this past weekend, but she still's a long shot to take home the checkered flag at Daytona International Speedway next Sunday.

Here are the latest odds for the Daytona 500 courtesy of UWIN:

Kyle Busch +1,000
Dale Earnhardt Jr. +1,000
Denny Hamlin +1,200
Brad Keselowski +1,200
Matt Kenseth +1,200
Kevin Harvick +1,200
Kasey Kahne +1,500
Tony Stewart +1,500
Carl Edwards +1,500
Greg Biffle +1,500
Jimmie Johnson +1,500
Jeff Gordon +1,500
Danica Patrick +10,000

**Udog** · 02-18-2013, 08:36 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Toronto at Florida
The Maple Leafs look to take advantage of a Florida team that is 0-6 in its last 6 games against teams with a winning record. Toronto is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Maple Leafs favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 18

Game 1-2: Ottawa at New Jersey (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.703; New Jersey 10.348
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-185); 5
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+165); Over

Game 3-4: Philadelphia at NY Islanders (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.450; NY Islanders 11.955
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (-115); Under

Game 5-6: Nashville at Colorado (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.211; Colorado 11.655
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+105); Over

Game 7-8: Toronto at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 12.268; Florida 9.875
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 2 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-120); Under

Game 9-10: Carolina at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 12.616; Montreal 11.203
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 11-12: Calgary at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.883; Phoenix 11.434
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-170); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-170); Under

Game 13-14: Columbus at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.979; Anaheim 11.715
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+175); Over

**Udog** · 02-18-2013, 08:36 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 18

Hot teams
-- New Jersey won six of its last eight games.
-- Islanders won last two games, scoring nine goals.
-- Predators won three of their last four road games.
-- Maple Leafs won five of their last six games.
-- Montreal won its last three games, allowing four goals. Carolina won five of its last six games.
-- Phoenix won five of last seven games. Flames won three of their last four road games.
-- Anaheim won four in row, eight of last nine games, with three of last four in SO.

Cold teams
-- Senators lost four of their last five games.
-- Flyers lost three of their last four games.
-- Florida lost its last four games, the last three in OT.
-- Avalanche lost four of their last five games.
-- Blue Jackets lost seven of their last nine games.

Totals
-- 10 of last 13 Senator-Devil games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Philly-Islander games stayed under total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Colorado-Nashville games.
-- Five of last six Florida-Toronto games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Carolina games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Calgary games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Columbus games went over the total.

Series records
-- Devils won 13 of last 18 games against Ottawa.
-- Flyers won 29 of last 34 games against the Islanders.
-- Avalanche lost its last nine games against Nashville.
-- Panthers won 13 of last 16 games against Toronto.
-- Hurricanes lost three of last four visits to Montreal.
-- Flames lost eight of last eleven games against Phoenix.
-- Blue Jackets won five of last seven visits to Anaheim.

**Udog** · 02-18-2013, 08:36 AM

NHL

Monday, February 18

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
OTTAWA vs. NEW JERSEY
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
New Jersey is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY ISLANDERS
Philadelphia is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
NY Islanders are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Islanders last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

3:00 PM
NASHVILLE vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Nashville's last 9 games on the road
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 9 games when playing Nashville

7:30 PM
CAROLINA vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Montreal
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Montreal is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
Montreal is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Carolina

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Florida
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
CALGARY vs. PHOENIX
Calgary is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Calgary is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games
Phoenix is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games

10:00 PM
COLUMBUS vs. ANAHEIM
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 7 games
Columbus is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Anaheim is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Anaheim's last 7 games at home

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**Udog** · 02-18-2013, 08:37 AM

NHL

Monday, February 18

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Pucking the trends: This week's best NHL bets
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Every week, we update you on who's hot, who's not and situational betting spots in the National Hockey League.

For the week of Feb.10-17. All stats prior to action Monday.

Hot team

Anaheim Ducks (3-0 SU)

The Ducks continue to roll, completing a 5-1 road trip with a 3-2 shootout win over the Predators on Saturday. Anaheim has won four straight and boasts an impressive 11-3 record on the puckline. The groin injury suffered by G Jonas Hiller hasn’t hurt the Ducks’ cause because of the impressive play of 30-year-old rookie Viktor Fasth, who is a perfect 8-0 with a 1.78 GAA. Anaheim has a breezy schedule this coming week, as it plays two home games against the Blue Jackets and Avalanche.

Cold team

Florida Panthers (0-0-3 SU)

The Panthers have suffered three consecutive overtime defeats at home to the Capitals, Canadiens and Lightning. Florida is winless in its last four games and has allowed 16 goals in the process. The Panthers are hoping RW Kris Versteeg (back) is healthy enough to suit up when they host the Maple Leafs Monday before hitting the road for two tough tilts with the Penguins and Flyers.

Best over play

New York Rangers (3-1 SU, 3-1 over/under)

The Rangers entered last week as a good under play (3-7 O/U) but have now played over the total in three of their last four games. After scoring just eight goals in its previous four games prior to the over streak, New York has found the back of the net 14 times in its past four contests. The Rangers host the Canadiens at MSG on Tuesday.

Best under play

Nashville Predators (2-2 SU, 0-3-1 over/under)

The Predators are without a doubt the best under play in the league (2-12-1 O/U). Nashville has gone low in 11 of its last 13 contests, thanks to its commitment to a defensive system under Barry Trotz. The Predators have the worst offensive production (1.9 goals per game) but boast the best team defense (1.7 goals per game) in the league. Nashville is in Colorado Monday before hosting Detroit and Vancouver later in the week.

Surveying the schedule:

-The Chicago Blackhawks, who enter Tuesday's clash with the Canucks as the only undefeated team in regulation time, continue their season-long seven-game homestand this week. The Blackhawks are already 2-1 on the homestand and are 7-0-1 O/U in their past eight home games.

-The Columbus Blue Jackets are in the midst of a brutal six-game road trip. The Blue Jackets have already dropped consecutive games to the Kings and Coyotes on the trip and now face four very tough opponents. Columbus visits Anaheim, Detroit, St. Louis and Chicago to close out the trip this week

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**Udog** · 02-18-2013, 08:37 AM

NHL

Monday, February 18

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Hurricanes at Canadiens: What bettors need to know
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Carolina Hurricanes at Montreal Canadiens (-140, 5.5)

The Montreal Canadiens and Carolina Hurricanes will both be trying for their fourth straight victory when they meet in Montreal on Monday. The Hurricanes have won each of their last three games by a two-goal margin, while the Canadiens defeated Tampa Bay 4-3 in a shootout and Florida 1-0 in overtime before posting a 4-1 home win over Philadelphia on Saturday. Backup goaltender Peter Budaj made 18 saves in that game for his first victory of the season. Montreal forward Rene Bourque has goals in his last two games, scoring the overtime winner against Florida and adding a late goal on Saturday.

Hurricanes forward Jiri Tlusty has four goals in the last three games, while captain Eric Staal is riding a 10-game point streak during which he has all of his team-leading 17 points this season. Staal has a goal and four assists in the winning streak. Starting goaltender Cam Ward is 4-0-1 in his last five starts with a .927 save percentage after starting the season 1-3-1. Carolina defenseman Joe Corvo has responded to being a healthy scratch for three games with two goals and four assists in his last five games. Corvo had a goal and an assist in a 3-1 win over Toronto on Thursday.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, NHL Network (U.S.), Fox Sports Carolinas (Carolina), TSN Habs (Montreal)

ABOUT THE HURRICANES (8-4-1): Jeff Skinner leads the team with five power-play points and 57 shots. Skinner is second behind Staal with 14 points thus far. Carolina was 4-1-1 on a recent six-game road trip to improve its away record to 5-2-1 this season. Jordan Staal leads the team with 10 assists and is tied with defenseman Tim Gleason for the team lead with 24 hits. Carolina is 3-for-8 with the man advantage in its last two games.

ABOUT THE CANADIENS (9-4-1): Carey Price is 8-3-0 on the season and made 26 saves against Florida for his first shutout of the season. Tomas Plekanec leads the team with 12 points. Rookie Alex Galchenyuk has eight points, but only one assist in his last seven games. Montreal is 1-for-18 on the power play in its last four games after starting the season with at least one man-advantage goal in each of its first seven games.

TRENDS:

* Hurricanes are 7-1 in their last eight Monday games.
* Canadiens are 5-0 in their last five vs. Southeast foes.
* Under is 4-0 in Hurricanes’ last four vs. Northeast opposition.
* Under is 4-0 in Canadiens’ last four games following a win.

OVERTIME:

1. Montreal has one win in its last three home games. The Canadiens lost 2-1 to Boston and 6-0 to Toronto before defeating Philadelphia at Bell Centre.

2. The Hurricanes won their last game in Montreal 5-3 on Feb. 13, 2012.

3. Eric Staal has 34 points in 30 career games against the Canadiens. Plekanec has 30 points in 27 career games against the Hurricanes.

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**Udog** · 02-18-2013, 08:39 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Norfolk State at Hampton
The Spartans look to build on their 9-3 ATS record in their last 12 games versus MEAC opponents. Norfolk State is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Spartans favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Norfolk State (-1). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, FEBRUARY 18

Game 701-702: Hofstra at Drexel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 45.368; Drexel 59.403
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 14; 122
Vegas Line: Drexel by 12 1/2; 117 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (-12 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Notre Dame at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 61.435; Pittsburgh 74.705
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 13 1/2; 117
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 10; 123 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-10); Under

Game 705-706: Georgia State at William & Mary (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 56.948; William & Mary 52.726
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 4
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (-1)

Game 707-708: Rutgers at Villanova (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 58.660; Villanova 64.415
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 6; 126
Vegas Line: Villanova by 10; 130 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+10); Under

Game 709-710: West Virginia at Kansas State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 61.982; Kansas State 69.567
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 7 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 11; 127
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+11); Over

Game 711-712: Iona at Fairfield (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 55.627; Fairfield 55.799
Dunkel Line: Even; 138
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 2; 143
Dunkel Pick: Iona (+2); Under

Game 713-714: Eastern Washington at Portland State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 44.945; Portland State 48.091
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 3
Vegas Line: Portland State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+4 1/2)

Game 721-722: Norfolk State at Hampton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Norfolk State 52.967; Hampton 50.018
Dunkel Line: Norfolk State by 3; 136
Vegas Line: Norfolk State by 1; 132
Dunkel Pick: Norfolk State (-1); Over

Game 723-724: Bucknell at Lehigh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bucknell 58.464; Lehigh 58.331
Dunkel Line: Even; 126
Vegas Line: Lehigh by 2 1/2; 131
Dunkel Pick: Bucknell (+2 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 02-18-2013, 08:39 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, February 18

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HOFSTRA (6 - 20) at DREXEL (10 - 15) - 2/18/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DREXEL is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games this season.
DREXEL is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
DREXEL is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOFSTRA is 3-2 against the spread versus DREXEL over the last 3 seasons
DREXEL is 4-1 straight up against HOFSTRA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NOTRE DAME (20 - 6) at PITTSBURGH (20 - 6) - 2/18/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 2-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA ST (14 - 14) at WM & MARY (11 - 14) - 2/18/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WM & MARY is 110-150 ATS (-55.0 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WM & MARY is 2-2 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA ST is 3-1 straight up against WM & MARY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RUTGERS (13 - 11) at VILLANOVA (16 - 10) - 2/18/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RUTGERS is 18-29 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
RUTGERS is 18-29 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
RUTGERS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
RUTGERS is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
VILLANOVA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
VILLANOVA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
VILLANOVA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VILLANOVA is 3-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
VILLANOVA is 3-1 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W VIRGINIA (13 - 12) at KANSAS ST (20 - 5) - 2/18/2013, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IONA (15 - 11) at FAIRFIELD (16 - 11) - 2/18/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.
IONA is 34-63 ATS (-35.3 Units) in February games since 1997.
IONA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
FAIRFIELD is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
FAIRFIELD is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
FAIRFIELD is 4-2 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 4-2 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E WASHINGTON (8 - 17) at PORTLAND ST (6 - 16) - 2/18/2013, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E WASHINGTON is 7-23 ATS (-18.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND ST is 3-2 against the spread versus E WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND ST is 3-2 straight up against E WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NORFOLK ST (16 - 10) at HAMPTON (10 - 13) - 2/18/2013, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMPTON is 1-0 against the spread versus NORFOLK ST over the last 3 seasons
HAMPTON is 3-3 straight up against NORFOLK ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUCKNELL (21 - 5) at LEHIGH (18 - 6) - 2/18/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LEHIGH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LEHIGH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LEHIGH is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
LEHIGH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LEHIGH is 3-0 against the spread versus BUCKNELL over the last 3 seasons
BUCKNELL is 4-3 straight up against LEHIGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-18-2013, 08:40 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 18

-- Drexel (-7) won 55-52 at Hofstra Jan 23, game they trailed 44-36 with 8:42 left to play, Dragons' 4th straight series win. Hofstra lost three of last four visits here, losing by 18-13-11 points. CAA double digit home favorites are 3-4 vs spread. Drexel is disappointing 6-7 in CAA, losing three of last four home games, but four of their six CAA wins are by 11+ points. Hofstra is 3-3-1 as CAA road dog, with five losses by 11+.
-- Notre Dame won last four games vs Pitt, allowing 52 ppg; Irish lost four of last five visits here, losing by 3-2-3-13 points. Three of ND's last five games went to OT; they lost last two road games by 16-17 points. Pitt is 4-3 SU at home in Big East, 2-4 as home favorite, winning home games by 8-38-10-10 points. Four of Panthers' last five games stayed under total. Big East double digit home favorites are 6-10 vs spread.

-- Georgia State is 8-3 in last 11 games, beating Wm&Mary 74-58 (-5) Jan 16, Panthers' third straight series win, by 32-4-16 points. Dogs are 6-1 vs spread in State's CAA road games; Panthers are 4-3 SU on road in CAA after hammering George Mason Saturday. Tribe is 4-3 in its last seven games after starting 1-6 in conference games. CAA home teams are 12-17 when the pointspread is 4 or less points.
-- Villanova won five of last six games vs Rutgers, winning last three at home, by 23-10-16 points; Wildcats won three of its last four games, are 4-2 SU at home in Big East, 2-1 as home faves, winning home games by 12-9-4-28 points. Rutgers lost seven of last eight games; they're 3-3 as a Big East road dog, losing away games by 25-3-12-8-6 points. Big East single digit home favorites are 16-29 against the spread.
-- Kansas State shot 59% inside arc, nipped West Virginia 65-64 (-1) Jan 12 in Morgantown; WV was just 12-22 on foul line. Favorites covered last four WV road games; Mountaineers are 3-3 on Big X road, losing on road by 2-14-20 points. K-State is 4-0 as Big X home favorite, winning in Little Apple by 9-26-9-20 points, losing only to Kansas. Big X home favorites of 10+ points are 10-4 against the spread.

-- Iona lost four of last five games, with three OT losses and fourth loss by 3 points; Gaels (-5.5) beat Fairfield 84-73 Jan 18, making 21-31 free throws (Stags were 9-13). Gaels won four of last five series games; they lost five of last six visits here, losing by 3-9-2-17-4 points. Stags are 4-1 vs spread in last five games as a home favorite. MAAC home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-14 against the spread.
-- Eastern Washington (-2.5) shot 56% inside arc, beat Portland State by 11 at home Jan 28, just second EW win in last ten series games- they've lost last six visits here, by 19-22-2-23-16-5 points. Nine of last 11 PSU games went over total. Eastern snapped its 8-game losing skid Saturday; they're 0-8 on Big Sky road. Big Sky home favorites of 6 or less points are 22-11 vs spread. Vikings are 3-2 vs spread as Big Sky favorite.

**Udog** · 02-18-2013, 08:40 AM

NCAAB

Monday, February 18

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
IONA vs. FAIRFIELD
Iona is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Iona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Fairfield
Fairfield is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Fairfield is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Iona

7:00 PM
NOTRE DAME vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 6 games on the road
Notre Dame is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Notre Dame

7:00 PM
GEORGIA STATE vs. WILLIAM & MARY
Georgia State is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Georgia State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
William & Mary is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
William & Mary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
HOFSTRA vs. DREXEL
Hofstra is 1-18 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Hofstra's last 8 games on the road
Drexel is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Hofstra
Drexel is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hofstra

9:00 PM
RUTGERS vs. VILLANOVA
Rutgers is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Villanova
Rutgers is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Villanova
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Villanova's last 11 games when playing Rutgers
Villanova is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games

9:00 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. KANSAS STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of West Virginia's last 5 games on the road
West Virginia is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas State's last 7 games
Kansas State is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games at home

10:35 PM
EASTERN WASHINGTON vs. PORTLAND STATE
Eastern Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Washington's last 6 games on the road
Portland State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
Portland State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Eastern Washington

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**Udog** · 02-18-2013, 08:40 AM

NCAAB

Monday, February 18

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Notre Dame at Pitt: What bettors need to know
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Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Pittsburgh Panthers (-10.5, 125)

Barring a major collapse, Notre Dame and Pittsburgh can expect to be two of the 68 teams to have their names announced during the NCAA Tournament Selection Show on March 17. Monday's meeting in Pittsburgh, though, could prove crucial as the winner would likely have the inside track to a better seed. But first, the Fighting Irish and Panthers are tied for fifth at 8-5 in the congested and competitive Big East, where a top-10 finish earns a first-round conference tournament bye and winding up in the top four comes with a double bye.

Both teams lost Saturday, with weary Notre Dame losing 71-54 at Providence and Pittsburgh falling at Marquette 79-69. The Fighting Irish have played three overtime games in their last five contests, including their epic five-OT victory over Louisville on Feb. 9, so Monday's quick turnaround - their third game in six days - is sure to test their fitness. The Panthers, who have won four straight Big East games at home, prevailed 62-52 at Cincinnati on Feb. 9 in their previous game prior to Saturday.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT NOTRE DAME (20-6, 8-5 Big East): Coach Mike Bray summed up Saturday's loss in which his team trailed by as many as 24 points: “That was the varsity versus the JV a little bit today.” Notre Dame lost its previous road game 63-47 at Syracuse on Feb. 4 after winning two straight away from home against DePaul and South Florida, who are a combined 3-22 in Big East games. Conference player of the year candidate Jack Cooley, a 6-9 senior forward, leads the team in scoring (14.6) and rebounding (11.2), and has recorded six consecutive double-doubles. Notre Dame, which has won four straight over Pittsburgh, has also received strong guard play from Jerian Grant (13 points, 5.8 assists) and Eric Atkins (11.7, 5.9).

ABOUT PITTSBURGH (20-6, 8-5): The Panthers can be excused somewhat for Saturday's loss, as Marquette has won 23 straight at home, and Pittsburgh certainly understands what it's like to dominate at home. The Panthers are 178-21 at their Petersen Events Center since it opened in 2002, including 10-2 this season. Pittsburgh averages 71 points, but hasn't scored more than 69 in its last five games. On Monday, the Panthers wrap up a stretch where they will have played five ranked opponents in their last six contests. Pittsburgh, though, sports the No. 1 scoring defense in the Big East at 55.4 points. Guard Tray Woodall (10.9 points), and forwards Lamar Patterson (10.5) and Talib Zanna (10.3) lead a balanced scoring attack.

TRENDS:

* Fighting Irish are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Panthers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss.
* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

TIP-INS:

1. Ten of the 15 teams in the Big East are 7-6 or better in conference games.

2. Notre Dame is second in the country in assists at 17.9 per game, while Pittsburgh is tied for seventh at 17, led by Woodall's 5.5.

3. Pittsburgh and Notre Dame are 1-2 in the Big East in field goal percentage at 48.02 to 47.96.

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**Udog** · 02-18-2013, 10:03 AM

NHL

Monday, February 18

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NHL afternoon action: President's Day betting previews
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Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils (-190, 5)

After struggling mightily in their first game without Erik Karlsson, the Ottawa Senators will look for a better performance on Monday afternoon when they visit the New Jersey Devils. Ottawa suffered its second straight loss and sixth in eight outings following a 3-0 setback to provincial rival Toronto on Saturday. Craig Anderson turned aside 28 shots as the Senators dealt with the absence of the reigning Norris Trophy winner, who is lost for the season after severing his left Achilles tendon versus Pittsburgh on Wednesday.

New Jersey suffered its second defeat in three games as John Tavares recorded his fourth career hat trick to propel the New York Islanders to a convincing 5-1 decision on Saturday. Ilya Kovalchuk extended his point streak to six games with an assist - which was his 800th career point. The Devils won three of the four meetings last season, with Kovalchuk netting a pair of goals in the finale on April 7.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, RSNE (Ottawa), MSG (New Jersey)

KEY BETTING TRENDS:
Senators are 11-3 in their last 14 games following a loss of 3 or more goals
Senators are 0-5 in their last 5 road games.
Senators are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. Atlantic.
Senators are 1-8 in the last 9 meetings in New Jersey
Devils are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss of 3 or more goals
Devils are 1-7 in their last 8 Monday games
Devils are 6-1 in their last 7 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation
Under is 8-1-3 in Devils last 12 following a loss of 3 or more goals

ABOUT THE SENATORS (7-6-2): Coach Paul McLean's club has been sizzling in Canada's capital - and has struggled everywhere else. Ottawa is just 2-5-0 on the road this season and faces a team which has collected 13 of a possible 16 points at home (6-1-1). MacLean noted that Ben Bishop will get the start in goal on Monday. Despite the Senators' woes, captain Daniel Alfredsson kept a positive outlook. "We played a pretty solid road game," Alfredsson said after the team's loss to Toronto. "They get their bounces on their two bounces and we can't find ours. Overall, the new guys came in and the whole team played a solid road game and gave us a chance to win."

ABOUT THE DEVILS (9-3-3): Johan Hedberg gave Martin Brodeur a day off on Saturday, but the latter is expected to be back in net against the Senators. Brodeur split a pair of decisions versus Ottawa last season. Patrik Elias has collected two goals and nine assists in his last seven contests. Elias leads the club with 15 helpers while David Clarkson has a team-best 10 goals. Clarkson, however, has tallied twice in 17 career contests against the Senators.

OVERTIME

1. Devils D Marek Zidlicky had the lone goal on Saturday for the Devils. It was his first since a 4-2 triumph over Philadelphia in Game 4 of the second round of the playoffs.

2. After leaving the Garden State, Ottawa will open a four-game homestand versus the Islanders.

3. Kovalchuk has three goals and seven assists on his point streak.

Philadelphia Flyers at New York Islanders (-105, 5.5)

John Tavares is fast becoming one of the NHL’s elite offensive players as he attempts to lift the New York Islanders into the playoffs for the first time since the 2006-07 season. Tavares takes a five-game, goal-scoring streak into a matinee against the visiting Philadelphia Flyers on Monday. The fourth-year center has 11 goals in the last 10 games, highlighted by his fourth career hat trick in the 5-1 victory over the New Jersey Devils on Saturday. Tavares and linemate Matt Moulson have combined for 18 of the 44 goals for New York, which has won two straight after a five-game skid.

The Flyers appeared to be turning things around earlier this month, but have dropped three of their last four games - including a listless 4-1 loss at Montreal on Saturday. Philadelphia will need to find some consistency on offense and get its power play going to climb in the standings.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CSN (Philadelphia), MSG-Plus (New York).

KEY BETTING TRENDS:
Flyers are 3-7 in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest
Flyers are 1-6 in their last 7 road games.
Flyers are 1-8 in their last 9 vs. Atlantic.
Islanders are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game
Under is 4-0 in Flyers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record
Under is 5-1 in Flyers last 6 vs. Atlantic
Over is 11-1-1 in Islanders last 13 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game
Over is 8-3 in Islanders last 11 vs. a team with a winning % below .400
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York
Road team is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings

ABOUT THE FLYERS (6-9-1): Philadelphia generated only 19 shots on goal against the Canadiens and is averaging 23.3 the last three games. Captain Claude Giroux and defenseman Kimmo Timonen both told reporters that the team was “going through the motions,” and needed to compete at a higher level after Saturday’s game. It doesn’t help that the Flyers are 2-for-21 on the power play in the last seven games. Giroux has only three goals and is a minus-6 through one-third of the season. Jakub Voracek and Brayden Schenn share the team lead in scoring with 11 points. On the bright side, the Flyers have killed 33 of 35 power plays in February.

ABOUT THE ISLANDERS (6-7-1): The Islanders have suddenly caught fire on the power play. They have converted seven of their last 12 opportunities with the man advantage. Tavares has five goals and half of his 20 points on the power play and Moulson has four of his seven goals when the Islanders have the extra man. New York would like to get more from forwards Frans Nielsen and Kyle Okposo, who have each recorded only one goal. Goalie Evgeni Nabokov (6-5-1) has stopped 66 of 70 shots the last two games to raise his save percentage to .906.

OVERTIME

1. The Islanders were sixth in the NHL in scoring (3.14) through Saturday, while the Flyers stood 24th (2.38).

2. Philadelphia G Ilya Bryzgalov is expected to play his 400th NHL game.

3. D Lubomir Visnovsky has four assists and is a plus-2 since joining the Islanders.

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**Udog** · 02-18-2013, 10:06 AM

NHL

Monday, February 18

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Four NHL goalies making under bettors happy
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Here’s a look at four goalies bettors didn’t expect to be good under plays early in the season:

Roberto Luongo (0-5-1 O/U)

Roberto Luongo has silenced his critics with a hot start and is forcing head coach Alain Vigneault to reconsider him as the team’s main option in goal. Luongo is off to a 4-0-2 start and has an impressive 1.45 GAA and a sparkling .943 save percentage.

Craig Anderson (3-10 O/U)

Anderson has been outstanding for the Senators, posting a 7-4 record and a league-best .948 save percentage. Ottawa has struggled to score since losing Jason Spezza (back) and Erik Karlsson (Achilles) to long-term injuries and should continue to be a good under play even if Anderson comes back to reality in the weeks to come.

Viktor Fasth (2-6-1 O/U)

Fasth has been a savior early in the season for the Ducks, stepping up huge in the absence of Jonas Hiller (groin). The 30-year-old rookie has a perfect 8-0 record with a 1.78 GAA and .933 save percentage in nine appearances. With Hiller on the mend, a goalie controversy is brewing in Anaheim.

Corey Crawford (2-8 O/U)

Crawford is off to a blistering 7-0-3 start with a 1.65 GAA and .935 save percentage in 10 games. The 28-year-old has been out for Chicago’s past two games with an upper-body injury, but he should be back in between the pipes soon and is considered day-to-day.

All stats prior to action Sunday, February 17.

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Announcement

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 2/18 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 2/18 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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