Saturday's Trends and Indexes - 2/16 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, February 16

Hot teams
-- Montreal won five of its last seven home games.
-- Devils won five of their last six games.
-- Toronto won four of its last five games.
-- Coyotes won four of their last six games.
-- Anaheim won seven of last eight games. Predators won six of their last eight.

Cold teams
-- Flyers lost five of last six road games.
-- Islanders lost five of their last six games.
-- Senators lost five of their last seven games.
-- Lightning lost last seven games, outscored 22-12. Florida lost its last three games, outscored 12-5.
-- Blue Jackets lost six of their last eight games.
-- Edmonton lost six of last seven games. Avalanche lost six of its last nine.

Totals
-- Three of last four Montreal games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in last dozen Devil-Islander games.
-- Four of last five Ottawa-Toronto games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Tampa Bay games went over total.
-- Seven of last ten Columbus-Phoenix games went over total.
-- Nine of last ten Nashville games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Colorado-Edmonton games stayed under.

Series records
-- Flyers won 12 of last 16 games against Montreal.
-- Islanders lost four of last five games against New Jersey.
-- Senators won four of last five visits to Toronto.
-- Lightning won its last five games against Florida.
-- Coyotes won last two games vs Columbus, allowing one goal.
-- Ducks lost six of last seven games with Nashville.
-- Avalanche won three of last four games with Edmonton.

[Udog]

I hit the wrong button...

[Udog]

NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Saturday, February 16

First Post

Notre Dame at Providence, 12:00 ET
Notre Dame: 12-3 ATS off a combined score of 155+ points
Providence: 21-42 ATS off 3+ wins

Pittsburgh at Marquette, 1:00 ET CBS
Pittsburgh: 6-0 Under away off 3+ conference wins
Marquette: 7-0 ATS off a conference loss

Kentucky at Tennessee, 1:00 ET CBS
Kentucky: 7-16 ATS off BB ATS losses
Tennessee: 24-11 ATS at home with a line of +3 to -3

Florida at Auburn, 1:45 ET
Florida: 12-4 ATS off a win by 15+ points
Auburn: 14-5 Under off an ATS loss

Oklahoma at Oklahoma State, 1:45 ET
Oklahoma: 7-21 ATS after making 88%+ of their free throws
Oklahoma State: 12-4 ATS off a road game

Purdue at Indiana, 2:00 ET ESPN
Purdue: 2-10 ATS playing with revenge
Indiana: 11-2 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5+ points

Butler at Fordham, 4:00 ET CBSS
Butler: 15-5 ATS away on Saturdays
Fordham: 0-6 ATS at home off a SU loss / ATS win

Colorado State at Air Force, 4:00 ET
Colorado State: 8-2 ATS after allowing 60 points or less
Air Force: 1-7 ATS revenging a loss by 30+ points

Gonzaga at San Francisco, 4:30 ET
Gonzaga: 4-13 ATS away off BB wins by 10+ points
San Francisco: 13-3 ATS playing with revenge

Duke at Maryland, 6:00 ET ESPN
Duke: 8-2 ATS off an ATS loss
Maryland: 1-10 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games

[Udog]

NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Saturday, February 16

Update

Baylor at Kansas State, 7:00 ET ESPNU
Baylor: 4-15 ATS after playing BB games as a favorite
Kansas State: 6-1 Under off a loss by 10+ points

Oregon at Washington State, 7:00 ET
Oregon: 1-7 ATS off an Under
Washington State: 16-7 ATS off a home game

Syracuse at Seton Hall, 8:00 ET
Syracuse: 26-11 ATS away off BB games with 10+ steals
Seton Hall: 19-34 ATS at home off an Under

Memphis at Marshall, 8:00 ET CBSS
Memphis: 11-3 ATS after winning 15+ of their last 20 games
Marshall: 1-9 ATS as an underdog

Michigan State at Nebraska, 8:00 ET BTN
Michigan State: 2-8 ATS off BB games allowing 65 points or less
Nebraska: 7-1 ATS off a conference loss

Boise State at New Mexico, 9:00 ET
Boise State: 9-20 ATS off 3+ conference games
New Mexico: 15-4 ATS off a conference win

Texas at Kansas, 9:00 ET ESPN
Texas: 0-7 ATS after allowing 85+ points
Kansas: 11-2 ATS at home after playing as a home favorite

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Saturday, February 16

Philadelpia at Montreal, 7:05 ET NHL
Philadelphia: 25-12 SU after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Montreal: 7-17 SU at home off BB road wins

New Jersey at NY Islanders, 7:05 ET
New Jersey: 18-7 SU off BB Overs
NY Islanders: 5-18 SU at home playing with revenge

Ottawa at Toronto, 7:05 ET CBC
Ottawa: 12-5 SU after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7 games
Toronto: 1-8 SU at home after winning 4 of their last 5 games

(TC) Tampa Bay at Florida, 3:05 ET
Tampa Bay: 8-1 SU off a home division loss
Florida: 4-15 SU off a combined score of 3 goals or less

Columbus at Phoenix, 8:05 ET
Columbus: 15-5 Over revenging a road loss by 4+ goals
Phoenix: 15-4 SU in February

Anaheim at Nashville, 8:05 ET
Anaheim: 3-14 SU away with a total of 5 goals or less
Nashville: 17-6 SU revenging a road loss

Colorado at Edmonton, 10:05 ET CBC
Colorado: 7-24 SU off 4+ games allowing 3+ goals
Edmonton: 6-1 SU off a home loss by 3+ goals


(TC) = Time Change

[Udog]

NBA All-Star Saturday odds and action report

Saturday is perhaps the most anticipated day of NBA All-Star weekend because of the various skills competitions.

We chat with Aron Black of Bet365 about the action on tonight’s events:

Shooting Stars Challenge

Team Harden +200
Team Westbrook +200
Team Bosh +325
Team Lopez +325

According to Black, Team Harden and Team Westbrook are the only teams seeing any real action.

Skills Challenge

Tony Parker +300
Damien Lillard +350
Jrue Holiday +400
Jeremy Lin +400
Jeff Teague +550
Brandon Knight +550

Tony Parker is getting the most action by far for this event, then Lillard followed by Holiday and Lin.

Three-Point Contest

Stephen Curry +220
Steve Novak +240
Ryan Anderson +500
Kyrie Irving +550
Matt Bonner +550
Paul George +800

Novak is the most popular bet, followed by Curry. Anderson and Irving are both seeing some limited action.

Slam Dunk Contest

James White +130
Terrence Ross +400
Gerald Green +450
Eric Bledsoe +700
Jeremy Evans +700
Kenneth Faried +700

By far the most popular bet for all of tonight’s competitions is James ‘Flight‘ White, followed by Ross and Green.

[Udog]

NBA toughest and easiest schedules out of the break

Let’s have a look at three NBA teams with generous schedules and three squads dreading their stretch run after the All-Star break:

Teams that should finish strong

Denver Nuggets (33-21 SU, 32-22 ATS, 33-21 O/U)

The Nuggets have been a good bet to this point and there’s no reason to think that will change after the break. Denver has a 22-3 (17-8 ATS) record at home and is one of the best over plays in the Association. The Nuggets will play 16 of their final 28 games at Pepsi Center, where they average 109.2 points per contest. Denver has already played the bulk of its road games and won’t be away from home for more than a two-game stretch at a time for the remainder of the season.

Golden State Warriors (30-22 SU, 27-24-1 ATS, 33-18-1 O/U)

Much like the Nuggets, the Warriors have played a ton of road games early on. Golden State has posted an impressive 16-7 home record (13-10 ATS) and also held its own on the road early on with a 14-15 (14-14-1 ATS) mark. But what bettors really love about the Warriors is their tendency to play over totals. Golden State will be in a perfect position to close out the season strong, as only six of its final 22 games will be played away from Oracle Arena.

San Antonio Spurs (42-12 SU, 30-22-2 ATS, 25-28-1 O/U)

The Spurs limped into the break as Tony Parker, Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili are dealing with various injuries. The All-Star festivities break up a grueling nine-game road trip for San Antonio, which picks back up in Sacramento on Tuesday. It’s clear sailing for the Spurs after that, with 17 of their final 24 contests to be played at the friendly confines of the AT&T Center. Perhaps no team will benefit more from the comforts of home during the final stretch than the aging Spurs.


Teams that are dreading the stretch run

Boston Celtics (28-24 SU, 21-28-3 ATS, 25-26-1 O/U)

Sure, the Celtics went on a seven-game ATS tear after Rajon Rondo went down with a season-ending ACL injury, but reality should settle in for Boston after the break. The Celtics failed to cover in their final two games before All-Star Weekend and now Paul Pierce is dealing with a pinched nerve in his neck. Boston has only played 23 road games to this point, and will playing a ton of games away from Beantown. The Celtics have been a fade on the road, posting a 7-15-1 ATS record.

Philadelphia 76ers (22-29 SU, 24-27 ATS, 24-25-2 O/U)

NBA schedule-makers were not kind to the Sixers this year. Philadelphia was bombarded with road games to start the campaign and just wrapped up a stretch where it played 12 of 14 games at Wells Fargo Center. The Sixers will once again be banished to the road to close out the season. Philly finishes with a daunting stretch that sees it play 12 of its final 16 games away from the City of Brotherly Love, but that doesn’t mean bettors should shy away from the Sixers, who have been a good under bet (6-14-2 O/U) on the road to date.

Memphis Grizzlies (33-18 SU, 29-21-1 ATS, 21-29-1 O/U)

The team dynamic of the Grizzlies has changed since the departure of Rudy Gay. Bettors were turning a huge profit on defense-happy Memphis prior to the deal, but now the Grizzlies are having trouble stopping opponents from scoring. Memphis is allowing opponents to score 94.7 points in seven games since the deal –roughly five points more than its season average. The usual under-lock Grizzlies have played over the number in six of those seven contests. Memphis has played a league-low 22 road affairs to this point and doesn’t play more than two consecutive home games down the stretch.