The Bum's February's NCAA Best Bets !!

[Kaptain]

gl today Star Dust

[StarDust Bum]

Am short on time so am combining all sports...have a dr. appt.

Monday, February 4

Game Score Status Pick Amount

George Mason - 7:00 PM ET George Mason -5.5 500
Old Dominion - Under 130 500

NC-Wilmington - 7:00 PM ET NC-Wilmington +7.5 500
Towson -

Notre Dame - 7:00 PM ET Syracuse -8.5 500
Syracuse - Over 132 500

Oklahoma - 7:00 PM ET Iowa St. -5.5 500 POD
Iowa St. - Over 143 500

Fairfield - 7:00 PM ET Siena +8.5 500
Siena -

Loyola-Chicago - 7:00 PM ET Wright St. -4.5 500
Wright St. -

Texas - 9:00 PM ET Texas +6 500
West Virginia - Over 126.5 500

Seton Hall - 9:00 PM ET Pittsburgh -15.5 500
Pittsburgh - Under 125.5 500

San Diego - 10:00 PM ET Loyola Marymount -2 500
Loyola Marymount -

Northern Arizona - 10:05 PM ET Sacramento State -6 500
Sacramento State -

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Monday, February 4

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Orlando - 7:00 PM ET Orlando +9.5 500
Philadelphia - Over 189 500

L.A. Clippers - 7:00 PM ET L.A. Clippers -3 500
Washington - Under 187.5 500

Chicago - 7:00 PM ET Chicago +5.5 500
Indiana - Under 176.5 500

Detroit - 7:30 PM ET New York -10.5 500 POD
New York - Under 199.5 500

Charlotte - 7:30 PM ET Charlotte +14 500
Miami - Over 198 500

Dallas - 8:00 PM ET Dallas +8 500
Oklahoma City - Over 210 500

Portland - 8:00 PM ET Minnesota -4 500
Minnesota - Under 193 500

Sacramento - 9:00 PM ET Sacramento +8.5 500
Utah - Under 200 500

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Monday, February 4

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Carolina - 7:00 PM ET Toronto -108 500
Toronto - Under 5.5 500

Dallas - 9:00 PM ET Dallas +124 500 POD
Colorado - Under 5 500

Minnesota - 9:00 PM ET Phoenix -128 500
Phoenix - Under 5 500

Vancouver - 9:30 PM ET Vancouver -128 500
Edmonton - Over 5.5 500

San Jose - 10:00 PM ET San Jose -107 500
Anaheim - Under 5.5 500

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday, February 5

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Boston College - 7:00 PM ET Boston College +14 500
Miami-Florida -

Purdue - 7:00 PM ET Purdue -2.5 500
Penn St. - Under 125 500

Florida - 7:00 PM ET Florida -12 500
Arkansas - Under 141 500

Villanova - 7:00 PM ET Villanova -3 500
DePaul - Over 145.5 500

Youngstown St. - 7:00 PM ET Youngstown St. -2.5 500
Cleveland St. -

Wake Forest - 7:00 PM ET North Carolina -13.5 500
North Carolina - Under 147.5 500

Central Michigan - 7:00 PM ET Akron -18.5 500
Akron -

Evansville - 8:00 PM ET Bradley -1.5 500
Bradley -

Missouri St. - 8:00 PM ET Northern Iowa -11.5 500
Northern Iowa -

Kansas St. - 8:00 PM ET Kansas St. -11.5 500
Texas Tech -

Wichita St. - 8:05 PM ET Southern Illinois +10.5 500
Southern Illinois -

Illinois-Chicago - 8:05 PM ET Valparaiso -12 500
Valparaiso -

Florida St. - 9:00 PM ET Georgia Tech -2.5 500
Georgia Tech -

Ohio St. - 9:00 PM ET Michigan -7 500 POD
Michigan - Under 131.5 500

South Carolina - 9:00 PM ET Kentucky -17 500
Kentucky - Under 138.5 500

[StarDust Bum]

Fading Home 'Dogs

February 4, 2013

RUSTY HOME 'DOGS

Generally speaking, the first rule most good handicappers look to apply is ferreting out live underdogs that have a realistic shot at winning the game. That’s because three things can happen when you bet on an underdog – and two of them are good (my pet handicapping philosophy).

There are, however, certain 'dogs that can bite the hand that feeds them if they are not conditioned to win. For the most part they are either bad teams with faulty defenses or fatigued to the point where their stats simply don’t matter.

On the opposite end of fatigue are teams who become a bit too rusty due to an excessive amount of time off. This rule especially holds true to teams in College Basketball.

We call them the Rust Brigade. That’s because…

College Hoops Home 'Dogs with 7 Or More Days Of Rest Turn to Rust

Too much rest tends to make teams lethargic.

That’s confirmed by the fact that Division-1 College Basketball teams playing at home as conference dogs with 7 or more days of rest during the regular season are 66-99-3 ATS since 1990.

That’s a dismal 40.7% ATS, making these teams prime ‘Play Against’ material.

Worse…

Rusty Home 'Dogs Off back-To-Back Losses Simply Don’t Care

Lethargic home 'dogs playing poorly continue to play badly.

Once again, the numbers do not lie. College Basketball teams playing off back-to-back losses at conference home as dogs with 7 or more days of rest during the regular season are 22-43 ATS since 1990.

Put them up against non-fatigued opponents (ones that have at least 3 days of rest) and they dip to 11-34 ATS in this role.

Even worse…

Poor Rusty Home 'Dogs Off Back-To-back Losses Really Disappear

There is nothing worse than a team that knows it’s beat before they take the court.

That is born out by the fact that these rusty home 'dogs with a losing record, playing off back-to-back losses against well-rested (three or more days of rest) conference opponents are just 7-31 ATS since 1990.

Worse, these pacified puppies are a paltry 1-16 ATS in this role from Game Eighteen out!

There you have it. Another solid betting strategy to follow from now until the College Conference Tourneys begin later this month.

Enjoy the games and remember to let sleeping dogs lie.

[StarDust Bum]

Overrated & Underrated

February 4, 2013

The AP Top 25 Rankings feature great shifts each week, with voters often reacting to short term results. Each week several teams climb up a bit too high based on a soft stretch in the schedule or losses by teams ahead of them in the polls. Other teams can take falls despite losses that are justified through tough scheduling spots and opposition. There are teams that are overrated and underrated each week in the polls; here are three teams in each column this week.

Overrated

Gonzaga (AP #6): Based on many of the top 10 teams picking up losses in recent weeks through grueling major conference schedules, Gonzaga continues to rise in the rankings. The Bulldogs are up to #6 in this week's AP poll with a 21-2 record but the West Coast Conference does not look that strong this season. Gonzaga is 8-0 in league play but road games against the best competition, St. Mary's and BYU, are yet to come. With five wins over Big XII teams there is some weight behind the overall record. The two losses for Gonzaga are a bit surprising however, losing by one at Butler despite Rotnei Clarke not playing and losing early in the year at home against an Illinois team that has since fallen completely off the map. None of the non-conference wins elevate the Bulldogs to being a top 10 caliber squad and winning on the road has not come easily for this team with three road wins against far lesser foes coming by two points or less. This is a team that has not had great recent NCAA Tournament success, losing in the round of 32 each of the last three seasons and lining up a great seed in the tournament has not been a predictor of success for this program with several notable early exits. In 2009 as a #4 seed Gonzaga did make it to the sweet 16 but this program has not defeated a team better than a #6 seed in the NCAA Tournament since 2001. No other team from the West Coast Conference would likely make the NCAA Tournament as an at-large team and running into a quality major conference foe in the postseason after two-plus months of lesser match-ups could once again be a problem for this team.

Arizona (AP #7): After a couple of truly awful seasons for the Pac-12 the league looks a bit stronger with some separation at the top this season led by Arizona, Oregon, and UCLA. While the conference looks worthy of at least three NCAA Tournament bids this season and perhaps one or two more depending on how things shake out, the league may not be as substantially improved as it looks. Arizona opened the year 14-0 and wins over Florida and Miami certainly carry serious weight at this point in the season. Both of those wins, as well as other solid wins over Southern Miss and San Diego State came at home however. Arizona seems to be holding its own in conference play but the 7-2 mark is misleading. They lost to both Oregon and UCLA and they have not yet played Stanford or California as the schedule will get more difficult. Narrow wins over Colorado (a game Arizona won on a botched call) and Washington, are not enough to build great credibility. Arizona could end up winning the Pac-12 regular season title but it will be without many impressive wins and the Wildcats will likely enter the Pac-12 Tournament and the NCAA Tournament with an inflated record. Arizona has just four wins against the top 50 teams in the country according to the Sagarin ratings and the one-point win over Florida at home in a game they trailed most of the way is boosting the numbers for the Wildcats too significantly.

Kansas State (AP #13): Under Bruce Weber the Wildcats have moved to 17-4 on the season and this is another team getting too much benefit from beating Florida in the non-conference season. Right before Christmas the Wildcats stunned the Gators in Kansas City, getting a big edge at the foul line and holding on after a great start to the game while catching the Gators in a tough travel spot. Take away that win and there is nothing left holding up the resume for Kansas State. They played Gonzaga and Michigan in non-conference play but lost badly in both games and nothing so far in the Big XII season has suggested this is an elite team. Kansas State played a solid game against Kansas at home but still lost and there are question marks with the resume for the Jayhawks as well despite the great record for Kansas leading Big XII. Sweeping Oklahoma keeps Kansas State towards the top of the league but the Wildcats have to play Baylor twice as well as facing Kansas again and second meetings with Oklahoma State and Iowa State. The closing schedule is tough for Kansas State and while the big win over Florida likely locks Kansas State into the NCAA Tournament, this is a team that could be out of the top 25 by mid-February and could fall closer to the bubble by season's end. Kansas State is just 4-4 against the top 50 and 2-3 vs. the top 25 and the Wildcats will have a hard time staying near top of the Big XII standings with the schedule ahead.

Underrated

Louisville (AP #11): Every team goes through some ups and downs over the course of the season and Louisville got caught with three straight losses, going from being the #1 team in polls to outside of the top 10. With wins over Pittsburgh and Marquette the Cardinals appear to be back on track and that difficult stretch may provide the challenge that this team needs to make a run back to the Final Four. Louisville did not get a lot done in non-conference play, losing narrowly in the big game with Duke and having wins over Missouri, Memphis, and Kentucky lose some luster as those teams have faded from the national conversation. Big East play has taken its toll but the schedule the rest of the way is very favorable and the Cardinals still look like a championship contender. Louisville will get a chance to face Syracuse again and they do play Notre Dame twice, but remaining difficult games with St. John's and Cincinnati will be at home. Statistically Louisville has some of the best efficiency numbers in the nation and this is a veteran team that is tournament tested. This team should be back in the top 10 in the coming weeks and this is a team that could still get back in the picture for a #1 seed in the Big Dance. The remaining schedule is favorable and there may be some short term value on Louisville as they are not getting the respect they had a few weeks ago.

Minnesota (AP #18): The Gophers went through a difficult four-game losing streak in mid-January but this is a formidable team that can make noise in March. The Big Ten is obviously very tough this season and with four conference losses the Gophers are likely out of the running for a conference championship but this team has been penalized too severely in the polls for the losing streak. The losses came having to play Indiana and Michigan in back-to-back big games, setting up the letdown spot at Northwestern, and then losing in a one-point game at Wisconsin. Minnesota has rebounded with home wins over Nebraska and Iowa and while there are challenging games ahead, this is a team capable of getting on a great late season run. Minnesota still has to play at Michigan State and at Ohio State but they will draw a favorable closing schedule in the final two weeks. With the schedule ahead it will not be easy for Minnesota to climb significantly higher in the polls but this Gophers team will have battled through one of the toughest schedules in the nation by season's end. Minnesota has picked up impressive wins away from home this season and the opportunity for more marquee wins will be available in the Big Ten schedule with home games against Illinois, Wisconsin, and Indiana in February. Minnesota is also capable of winning on the road and they will have big opportunities against Michigan State and Ohio State coming up, two teams that might be sitting a little too high in the standings with back-loaded conference schedules.

Pittsburgh (AP #23): The Panthers are starting to get a little attention after beating Syracuse last weekend but this is a team with a misleading 6-4 Big East mark. The lone loss in non-conference play came by five points against Michigan in New York and four conference losses have come by a combined total of 23 points, with one of those losses in overtime. Games with Louisville, Syracuse, and Georgetown are out of the way as the closing schedule for the Panthers in the Big East is very favorable and this is a team that has shown improvement as the season has gone on. By the Sagarin or the Pomeroy rankings, Pittsburgh is a top 10 team despite just barely cracking the AP poll this week and while the NCAA Tournament has not often treated the Panthers well, this is a team to keep an eye on. Pittsburgh did not pick up any notable wins in the non-conference schedule so the Panthers have some work to do to jump off the bubble but among the group of teams in the middle-of-the-pack in the Big East, counting teams like Marquette, Notre Dame, Cincinnati, Georgetown, and St. John's, Pittsburgh may have the highest ceiling. After missing the NCAA Tournament last season this Panthers team is coming together at the right time and this will be a team no one will want to draw in the Big East tournament or in a 7-10 or 8-9 match-up in the Big Dance.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Memphis at SMU
The Mustangs look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games against the Tigers at SMU. SMU is the pick (+8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by only 6. Dunkel Pick: SMU (+8 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 6

Game 727-728: Creighton at Indiana State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 70.087; Indiana State 63.568
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Creighton by 5
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-5)

Game 729-730: Ohio at Ball State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 59.307; Ball State 53.134
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 6
Vegas Line: Ohio by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+10 1/2)

Game 731-732: Miami (OH) at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 47.112; Toledo 52.781
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Toledo by 8
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+8)

Game 733-734: Kent State at Western Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 53.103; Western Michigan 62.794
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 6
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (-6)

Game 735-736: Buffalo at Eastern Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 52.706; Eastern Michigan 49.311
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 1
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-1)

Game 737-738: Georgia State at NC-Wilmington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 53.599; NC-Wilmington 52.172
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 4
Dunkel Pick: NC-Wilmington (+4)

Game 739-740: George Washington at Duquesne (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 58.437; Duquesne 55.251
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 3
Vegas Line: George Washington by 4
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (+4)

Game 741-742: St. Joseph's at Dayton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 60.613; Dayton 61.243
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 1
Vegas Line: Dayton by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (+4 1/2)

Game 743-744: Rhode Island at Massachusetts (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 54.166; Massachusetts 64.389
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 10
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 8
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-8)

Game 745-746: Northeastern at Hofstra (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 56.751; Hofstra 50.523
Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 6
Vegas Line: Northeastern by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (+8 1/2)

Game 747-748: St. Bonaventure at Butler (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 58.755; Butler 70.536
Dunkel Line: Butler by 12
Vegas Line: Butler by 11
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-11)

Game 749-750: Minnesota at Michigan State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 71.076; Michigan State 73.726
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 2 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 4; 131
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+4); Under

Game 751-752: Baylor at Oklahoma State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 69.736; Oklahoma State 71.259
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 1 1/2; 140
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 7; 137
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+7); Over

Game 753-754: Connecticut at St. John's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 66.879; St. John's 61.969
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 5; 135
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 1; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-1); Over

Game 755-756: Southern Mississippi at Central Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 66.872; Central Florida 62.504
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-2)

Game 757-758: Cincinnati at Providence (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 68.708; Providence 63.238
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 4
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-4)

Game 759-760: Charlotte at Temple (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 55.795; Temple 64.919
Dunkel Line: Temple by 9
Vegas Line: Temple by 10
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+10)

Game 761-762: Delaware at Towson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 53.746; Towson 51.404
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Delaware by 1
Dunkel Pick: Delaware (-1)

Game 763-764: Marquette at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 65.423; South Florida 63.274
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 2; 118
Vegas Line: Marquette by 4; 121
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+4); Under

Game 765-766: William & Mary at James Madison (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 49.035; James Madison 52.049
Dunkel Line: James Madison by 3
Vegas Line: James Madison by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (+6 1/2)

Game 767-768: Louisville at Rutgers (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 74.110; Rutgers 62.424
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+10 1/2)

Game 769-770: St. Louis at Fordham (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 68.319; Fordham 53.301
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 15; 128
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 13 1/2; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-13 1/2); Under

Game 771-772: UAB at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 54.683; Tulsa 55.400
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 1
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (+3 1/2)

Game 773-774: Memphis at SMU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 65.741; SMU 59.508
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 6
Vegas Line: Memphis by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+8 1/2)

Game 775-776: Marshall at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 53.758; Tulane 58.300
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Tulane by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+5 1/2)

Game 777-778: Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 51.525; Northern Illinois 48.570
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 3
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-2 1/2)

Game 779-780: Vanderbilt at LSU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 56.399; LSU 63.860
Dunkel Line: LSU by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LSU by 6
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-6)

Game 781-782: Alabama at Auburn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 62.920; Auburn 61.786
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 1
Vegas Line: Alabama by 3
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+3)

Game 783-784: Georgia at Tennessee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 59.920; Tennessee 64.003
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 4
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (+6 1/2)

Game 785-786: Illinois State at Drake (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 59.355; Drake 61.502
Dunkel Line: Drake by 2
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drake (+2 1/2)

Game 787-788: UNLV at Fresno State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 68.033; Fresno State 58.228
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 10
Vegas Line: UNLV by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-7 1/2)

Game 789-790: Air Force at New Mexico (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 59.664; New Mexico 71.248
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 10
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-10)

Game 791-792: Mississippi State at Mississippi (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 50.699; Mississippi 66.623
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 16
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+17 1/2)

Game 793-794: Rice at UTEP (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 46.228; UTEP 64.010
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 18
Vegas Line: UTEP by 16
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (-16)

Game 795-796: Kansas at TCU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 70.993; TCU 54.069
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 17; 112
Vegas Line: Kansas by 18 1/2; 115 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+18 1/2); Under

Game 797-798: Iowa at Wisconsin (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 65.851; Wisconsin 75.576
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 9 1/2; 120
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 8; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-8); Under

Game 799-800: Utah at Oregon State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 54.346; Oregon State 62.613
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 6
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-6)

Game 801-802: Colorado State at Nevada (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 70.540; Nevada 61.234
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 9 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 7 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (-7 1/2); Under

Game 803-804: Boise State at San Diego State (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 59.363; San Diego State 70.811
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 9
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-9)

Game 805-806: Stanford at Arizona (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 63.206; Arizona 75.416
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 12; 133
Vegas Line: Arizona by 10; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-10); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 6

-- Creighton made 11-22 from arc, beat Indiana State 79-66 (-14) Jan 5, game that was tied with 10:00 left; Bluejays won last four series games, with three wins by 13+ points- they've won last three games overall, by 30-14-17 points, are 3-2 on MVC road, winning by 7-22-30. Sycamores are 5-0 at home in Valley; three of their last four games were decided by 3 or less points. MVC home underdogs are 14-6 vs spread.
-- Butler split last four games after 13-game win streak ended; they are 3-0 at home in A-16, winning by 15-12-7 points; four of their last seven wins are by 7 or less points. A-16 double digit home favorites are 3-9 vs spread. St Bonaventure won its last two road games, at Temple/St Joe's; they've won three of last four games, but are 2-8 vs teams in top 100. Only one of Bonnies' four A-16 losses was by more than 10 points.
-- Minnesota made 60% inside arc, outscored Michigan State 13-2 from foul line in 76-63 home win over Spartans Dec 31, second Minnesota win in last 14 series games. Gophers lost last eight visits here, by 1-14-14-5-12-1-5-5 points. State is 4-0 at home in league, winning by 23-10-5-3 points- their last four games were all decided by 5 or less points. Big Dozen home favorites of 6 or less points are 8-5 vs spread.
-- Home side is 13-1 in last 14 Baylor-Oklahoma State games; Bears lost eight of last nine visits here, losing by 33-29-3-4-10-10-11 points, but in LY's visit, they won 64-60, are now 3-0 in last three series games. Big X home favorites are 15-11 vs spread. State won last three games, by 14-2-5 points, scoring 81 ppg- they're 4-0 at home in Big X, with three wins by 14+ points. Baylor lost last two games, allowing 74-79 points.

-- St John's won five of last six games, winning last three at home by 4-4-5 points; #99 Red Storm is 3-4 vs top 100 teams. UConn is 14-0 vs teams ranked lower than #40; they won last three games, last two in OT. Huskies are 8-2 in last 10 games vs St John's, losing last two series tilts here, by 22-17 points. Big East home teams are 2-18 vs spread if number is 5 or less points. UConn split its four Big East road games.
-- Southern Miss better not look ahead to Memphis game this weekend; Eagles won last eight games, are 4-0 on C-USA road, winning by 23-4-3-4 points. Home team won seven of last nine series games; USM's 78-65 win here LY was its first in last four visits to Orlando- they're 5-1 in last six series games, with four wins by 10+ points. C-USA home underdogs are 12-6 vs spread if number is 5 or less points.
-- Cincinnati won five of last six games; seven of its last eight were won by 8 or less points. Bearcats are 4-1 on Big East road, with only loss by a hoop at Syracuse; they won last three games vs Providence by 12-4-15 points. Friars are 1-4 at home in league, losing by 10-6-4-3 points; they are 3-9 in last 12 games overall, with four of last five decided by four or less points. Big East home underdogs of 6 or less points are 2-8.
-- Alabama won six of its last seven games, with last four wins by 4 or less points; Tide won its last five games vs Auburn, winning by 10-18 in last two visits here. Bama allowed 51.8 ppg in last six games; they're 2-2 on SEC road, losing at Tennessee/Mizzou. SEC home underdogs of 7 or less points are 7-3 vs spread. Auburn lost last six games, last five by 8+ points; they've lost two of three SEC home tilts (beat LSU).
-- Air Force is 5-2 in MWC, winning last five games; they've lost 12 in a row to New Mexico, losing their last five visits to Pit by 15-25-3-5-30 points. Lobos won six of last seven games, won all four MWC games at home, winning by 5-22-5-13 points. MWC home favorites of 7+ points are 6-3 vs spread. Falcons are 1-2 on road, losing by 5-39 points, with a win at Wyoming. Lobos better not look ahead to UNLV game Saturday.

-- Iowa raced out to 32-12 lead, held on for 70-66 win over Wisconsin at home Jan 19, outscoring Badgers 24-8 from charity stripe. Iowa won its last three series games, but win in Madison LY ended 6-game skid here, with losses by 3-14-12-13-17-27 points. Big Dozen home favorites of 7+ points are 8-11 vs spread. Badgers are 2-3 in last five games but are 3-1 at home in Big Dozen play, winning by 9-1-23 points.
-- Colorado State won its last three games, by 11-20-19 points; they are 1-2 on MWC road, winning by 11 in Fresno. Nevada lost six of its last eight games; they're 1-2 at home in MWC, losing by 11-21 points, with win over Boise. Five of State's last six games stayed under total. Eight of last nine Nevada games were decided by 10+ points. MWC home dogs are 5-3 against the spread so far this season.
-- UNLV lost three of four MWC road games, with only win at Viejas by 7; four of its seven league games were decided by exactly five points. Rebels have revenge at home with New Mexico Saturday. Fresno State is 2-10 in last dozen games; they're 1-3 at home in MWC, losing by 3-7-11 points. Three of last four Fresno State games went over the total. MWC home underdogs are 5-3 against the spread.
-- Stanford won its last three games, scoring 81.3 ppg, but they're 0-6 in last six games vs Arizona, losing by 14-8-10 points in last three visits to Tucson. Cardinal is 1-3 on Pac-12 road, losing by 2-8-21 points. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 1-5 vs spread. Arizona won its last three games, by 24-4-14 points; four of its last five wins are by 10+ points. Wildcats are 3-1 at home in conference, with wins by 9-3-24.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Wednesday, February 6

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
GEORGE WASHINGTON vs. DUQUESNE
George Washington is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games on the road
George Washington is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Duquesne
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duquesne's last 6 games
Duquesne is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing George Washington

7:00 PM
GEORGIA STATE vs. UNC WILMINGTON
Georgia State is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia State's last 5 games when playing on the road against UNC Wilmington
UNC Wilmington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgia State
UNC Wilmington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Georgia State

7:00 PM
KENT STATE vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games when playing at home against Kent State
Western Michigan is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

7:00 PM
RHODE ISLAND vs. MASSACHUSETTS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Rhode Island's last 6 games when playing on the road against Massachusetts
Rhode Island is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Massachusetts
Massachusetts is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
Massachusetts is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rhode Island

7:00 PM
SOUTHERN MISS vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
Southern Miss is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Central Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Miss's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Florida's last 6 games when playing at home against Southern Miss
Central Florida is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Southern Miss

7:00 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. TOLEDO
Miami (Ohio) is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Toledo
Miami (Ohio) is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Toledo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami (Ohio)
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toledo's last 5 games when playing Miami (Ohio)

7:00 PM
OHIO vs. BALL STATE
Ohio is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Ball State
Ohio is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Ball State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Ohio
Ball State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. ST. JOHN'S
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. John's
Connecticut is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against St. John's
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. John's last 10 games when playing Connecticut
St. John's is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home

7:00 PM
SAINT JOSEPH'S vs. DAYTON
Saint Joseph's is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dayton
Saint Joseph's is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dayton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dayton's last 5 games when playing Saint Joseph's
Dayton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Saint Joseph's

7:00 PM
NORTHEASTERN vs. HOFSTRA
Northeastern is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Hofstra
Northeastern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Hofstra's last 10 games
Hofstra is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Northeastern

7:00 PM
WILLIAM & MARY vs. JAMES MADISON
William & Mary is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
William & Mary is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of James Madison's last 6 games when playing William & Mary
James Madison is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
BAYLOR vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
Baylor is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State
Baylor is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baylor

7:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Eastern Michigan
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Eastern Michigan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Eastern Michigan's last 9 games

7:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. PROVIDENCE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Providence is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Providence is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home

7:00 PM
DELAWARE vs. TOWSON
Delaware is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Towson
Delaware is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Towson
Towson is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Towson's last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. MICHIGAN STATE
Minnesota is 11-1-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing on the road against Michigan State
Michigan State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State's last 6 games

7:00 PM
ST. BONAVENTURE vs. BUTLER
St. Bonaventure is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
St. Bonaventure is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Butler is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games
Butler is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
MARQUETTE vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
Marquette is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Marquette is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against South Florida
South Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Marquette
South Florida is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. TEMPLE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Temple
Charlotte is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Temple is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
Temple is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

7:05 PM
CREIGHTON vs. INDIANA STATE
Creighton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana State
Creighton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana State's last 5 games
Indiana State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Creighton

7:30 PM
LOUISVILLE vs. RUTGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Louisville's last 13 games on the road
Louisville is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Rutgers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Rutgers's last 7 games

8:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Bowling Green is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Bowling Green is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Bowling Green
Northern Illinois is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Bowling Green

8:00 PM
SAINT LOUIS vs. FORDHAM
Saint Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fordham's last 6 games
Fordham is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saint Louis

8:00 PM
VANDERBILT vs. LSU
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games when playing on the road against LSU
Vanderbilt is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
LSU is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Vanderbilt
LSU is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt

8:00 PM
ALABAMA vs. AUBURN
Alabama is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Auburn
Alabama is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Auburn
Auburn is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Alabama
Auburn is 13-3-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing at home against Alabama

8:00 PM
GEORGIA vs. TENNESSEE
Georgia is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Georgia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tennessee is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Georgia

8:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Methodis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Memphis's last 9 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Southern Methodist is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home

8:00 PM
MARSHALL vs. TULANE
Marshall is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Marshall is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Tulane is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Marshall
Tulane is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

8:05 PM
ILLINOIS STATE vs. DRAKE
Illinois State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Drake
Drake is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Illinois State
Drake is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

8:05 PM
UAB vs. TULSA
UAB is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
UAB is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 5 games at home
Tulsa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against UAB

9:00 PM
UNLV vs. FRESNO STATE
UNLV is 2-13 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
UNLV is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Fresno State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Fresno State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

9:00 PM
AIR FORCE vs. NEW MEXICO
Air Force is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Air Force's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Mexico
New Mexico is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico's last 6 games when playing at home against Air Force

9:00 PM
MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. MISSISSIPPI
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 7 games when playing on the road against Mississippi
Mississippi State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Mississippi is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mississippi's last 7 games when playing at home against Mississippi State

9:00 PM
KANSAS vs. TCU
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas's last 6 games on the road
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
TCU is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
TCU is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
RICE vs. TEXAS EL PASO
Rice is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Texas El Paso
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rice's last 6 games on the road
Texas El Paso is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Rice
Texas El Paso is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

9:00 PM
STANFORD vs. ARIZONA
Stanford is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Stanford's last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Arizona is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Stanford

9:00 PM
IOWA vs. WISCONSIN
Iowa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa's last 5 games on the road
Wisconsin is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Iowa
Wisconsin is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Iowa

10:00 PM
WYOMING vs. CS BAKERSFIELD
Wyoming is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
No trends available

10:00 PM
UTAH vs. OREGON STATE
Utah is 2-20 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon State's last 6 games
Oregon State is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home

10:00 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. NEVADA
Colorado State is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Colorado State is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Nevada is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
Nevada is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

11:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
Boise State is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Boise State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
San Diego State is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Wednesday, February 6

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Study group: Wednesday’s Top 25 NCB betting notes
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(18) Minnesota at (8) Michigan State (-2.5)

Minnesota started Michigan State’s Big Ten schedule with a loss on New Year’s Eve, but the Spartans have not let that defeat derail their hopes of winning the nation’s toughest conference. Minnesota shot 56.6 percent in beating Michigan State 76-63 in Minneapolis on Dec. 31, posting its first regular-season triumph over the Spartans since 2006. Michigan State has won 13 of the past 16 matchups and has won seven of eight overall since that defeat, but Minnesota is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 road games.

Baylor at (24) Oklahoma State (5.5)

The Bears beat the Cowboys 64-54 when the teams last met Jan. 21 in Waco and they have won eight of the last 12 meetings. Oklahoma State has won three consecutive games since losing to Baylor and is coming off an 85-80 victory at then-No. 1 (now No. 5) Kansas on Saturday. Baylor has a two-game losing streak and is coming off a 79-71 setback at Iowa State on Saturday. The Bears are second in the Big 12 in scoring offense (75.8) and rebounding (39.2), and seventh in scoring defense (63.8). The Cowboys, who lead the Big 12 in free-throw percentage (.751), are fourth in both scoring offense (71.8) and scoring defense (60.2). The Bears are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings in Oklahoma State.

(17) Cincinnati at Providence (+3.5)

Two of the top scorers in the Big East will go head-to-head, when Sean Kilpatrick and Cincinnati visit Bryce Cotton and Providence. Kilpatrick is not quite at Cotton’s level, but he has had more support from his teammates as the Bearcats have taken two straight and five of their last six. The Friars snapped a three-game slide with a win at Villanova on Saturday and have fallen just short in several other Big East contests. The Friars are 1-4 at home against conference teams and will face three ranked opponents in the next four games as they try to keep from falling below .500. The Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win.

St. Bonaventure at (14) Butler (-11.5)

Butler has been a factor in its inaugural season in the Atlantic 10 Conference and will move into a first-place tie with a victory over visiting St. Bonaventure. The Bonnies have won three of their last four games, including impressive victories at Temple and Saint Joseph's. St. Bonaventure figures to have a tougher time at historic Hinkle Fieldhouse, though, where the Bulldogs are 11-0 this season. The Bonnies will also have to deal with senior guard Rotnei Clarke, who has led Butler in scoring in three consecutive games since missing three contests because of a neck injury. St. Bonaventure is 9-57 all-time against ranked teams and 0-28 on the road. The Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss.

(13) Creighton at Indiana State (+5.5)

Creighton has won three straight games by at least 14 points against opponents with losing conference records since dropping two in a row on the road. The Sycamores, one of the four Missouri Valley teams with a winning conference record, own three victories against opponents ranked in this week’s coaches’ poll despite last month’s loss at Creighton. Indiana State is coming off a 74-71 overtime loss at Drake – the same team that handed Creighton its last loss – but is 8-1 at home. While the Bluejays have won four straight overall in this series, they are 1-2 over their last three in Terre Haute, Ind. – games that have been decided by a total of nine points. The Sycamores are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.

(12) Louisville at Rutgers (+10.5)

Three weeks ago, Louisville dominated its first four conference games and was the nation's top-ranked team. A three-game losing streak sent them tumbling out of the top 10 but on Sunday, the Cardinals seemed to regain their dominance in a 71-50 victory over Marquette and they will be aiming for their third straight win when they visit Rutgers. After winning three of its first five conference games, Rutgers has dropped four straight and has been outscored by a 122-80 margin after halftime in its last three games, including 40-24 in last Wednesday's 62-54 loss at Cincinnati. The Cardinals 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.

(5) Kansas at TCU (+19.5)

Kansas finds itself in rebound mode for the first time since mid-November after having its NCAA-best 18-game winning streak snapped at home by Oklahoma State, 85-80, on Saturday. The Jayhawks are 4-0 on the road in Big 12 play but only one - a 60-46 win at Texas Tech - has been by double digits. The other three -- at Texas (64-59), at Kansas State (59-55) and at West Virginia (61-56) -- have been by five points or less. TCU is 0-5 ATS in its last five games overall.

Mississippi State at (23) Mississippi (-20)

Mississippi looks to get back on track and snap a two-game losing streak when it hosts in-state rival Mississippi State. The Rebels had won nine straight before dropping consecutive games to Kentucky and Florida over the last week, dropping Ole Miss into a second-place tie in the SEC. The Bulldogs have dropped six straight after starting 2-0 in league play, showing the team's youth and inexperience. Mississippi is scoring 73 points a game in SEC games, which is bad news for Mississippi State, which is allowing 74.8 points a game during its current losing skid. The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.

Stanford at (7) Arizona (-10)

Arizona looks to extend its three-game winning streak against surging Stanford. Arizona is coming off a sweep of the Washington schools last week, and its defense has limited the opposition to 25.4 percent from 3-point range over the last four games. Arizona has won 12 of the last 16 games against Stanford, and the Wildcats are 28-8 in Tucson. The Cardinal have won five of their last seven after starting league play 0-2. Stanford still trails the Pac-12 in field goal shooting at 41.1 percent, but the Cardinal have shot 57.4 percent from beyond the arc in their last three games. Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games.

Air Force at (16) New Mexico (-11.5)

New Mexico will try to hold onto sole possession of first-place in the Mountain West Conference when it hosts Air Force. The Falcons have won five straight following their 70-67 upset Saturday against then-No. 20 San Diego State. Don’t anticipate the Lobos will take Air Force lightly. New Mexico lost by 21 points to San Diego State on Jan. 26 - the same team the Falcons toppled last weekend. Air Force is 4-0 ATS in its last four games overall.

Boise State at (25) San Diego State (-9)

San Diego State was supposed to be head of the class in the Mountain West Conference. Instead, the Aztecs need a victory over Boise State to avoid being at .500 at the midway point of the conference slate. The Broncos have upset two ranked teams on the road this season, beating Creighton in November and winning at Wyoming last month. Boise State has already matched last season’s conference victory total, but the Broncos have lost their last three Mountain West road games by an average of 15.7 points. San Diego State has won 58 of its last 63 home games and has a 9-1 mark this season. The Aztecs allow only 59.3 points per game.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday, February 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

St. Joseph's - 7:00 PM ET St. Joseph's +5 500
Dayton -

Charlotte - 7:00 PM ET Charlotte +9.5 500
Temple -

Minnesota - 7:00 PM ET Minnesota +4.5 500
Michigan St - Over 131 500

Kent St. - 7:00 PM ET Western Michigan -5.5 500
Western Michigan -

Baylor - 7:00 PM ET Baylor +7.5 500
Oklahoma St. - Over 138.5 500

Southern Miss - 7:00 PM ET Central Florida +2 500
Central Florida -

Marquette - 7:00 PM ET South Florida +3.5 500
South Florida - Under 122 500

William & Mary - 7:00 PM ET William & Mary +6.5 500
James Madison -

Georgia St - 7:00 PM ET Georgia St -4.5 500
NC-Wilmington -

Cincinnati - 7:00 PM ET Cincinnati -4.5 500
Providence -

Delaware - 7:00 PM ET Towson +1 500
Towson -

St. Bonaventure - 7:00 PM ET St. Bonaventure +11.5 500
Butler -

Buffalo - 7:00 PM ET Eastern Michigan +2.5 500
Eastern Michigan -

Miami (OH) - 7:00 PM ET Toledo -6.5 500
Toledo -

Rhode Island - 7:00 PM ET Massachusetts -8.5 500
Massachusetts -

Ohio - 7:00 PM ET Ohio -10.5 500
Ball St. -

George Washington - 7:00 PM ET George Washington -3.5 500
Duquesne -

Connecticut - 7:00 PM ET St. John's +2 500
St. John's - Over 133 500

Northeastern - 7:00 PM ET Hofstra +7.5 500
Hofstra -

Creighton - 7:05 PM ET Creighton -5 500
Indiana St. -

Louisville - 7:30 PM ET Louisville -10.5 500 POD
Rutgers -

Alabama - 8:00 PM ET Auburn +3 500
Auburn -

Georgia - 8:00 PM ET Georgia +6 500
Tennessee -

Marshall - 8:00 PM ET Tulane -5 500
Tulane -

Bowling Green - 8:00 PM ET Bowling Green -2.5 500
Northern Illinois -

Memphis - 8:00 PM ET Memphis -8.5 500
Southern Methodist -

Saint Louis - 8:00 PM ET Saint Louis -13.5 500
Fordham - Over 133.5 500

Vanderbilt - 8:00 PM ET Vanderbilt +5.5 500
Louisiana State -

Illinois St. - 8:05 PM ET Drake +3 500
Drake -

UAB - 8:05 PM ET Tulsa -3 500
Tulsa -

Stanford - 9:00 PM ET Arizona -10 500
Arizona - Over 138 500

Air Force - 9:00 PM ET Air Force +10 500 POD
New Mexico -

UNLV - 9:00 PM ET Fresno St. +8 500
Fresno St. -

Kansas - 9:00 PM ET Texas Christian +19 500
Texas Christian - Under 117 500

Mississippi St. - 9:00 PM ET Mississippi -17.5 500
Mississippi -

Iowa - 9:00 PM ET Wisconsin -8 500
Wisconsin - Under 124.5 500

Rice - 9:00 PM ET Rice +16 500
Texas-El Paso -

Colorado St. - 10:00 PM ET Colorado St. -6.5 500 POD
Nevada - Over 135.5 500

Utah - 10:00 PM ET Oregon St. -7 500
Oregon St. -

Boise St. - 11:00 PM ET San Diego St. -8.5 500
San Diego St. -

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday's Tips

February 7, 2013


**North Carolina State at Duke**

--Most books opened Duke (19-2 straight up, 12-9 against the spread) as a 10.5-point favorite. As of early this afternoon, most spots had the Blue Devils favored by 11 with a total of 150.5 or 151. Bettors can take the Wolfpack on the money line for a plus-500 payout (risk $100 to win $500).

--Mike Krzyzewski’s team has posted a 6-6 spread record in 12 previous games as a double-digit favorite. The Blue Devils are unbeaten in 11 home games, compiling a 5-6 spread record at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

--Duke is second in the ACC standings, 2.5 games behind the league-leading Miami Hurricanes. The Blue Devils have won three straight games since getting blasted by a 90-63 count at Miami on Jan. 23. They have collected wins vs. Maryland (84-64), at Wake Forest (75-70) and at FSU (79-60).

--North Carolina St. (16-6 SU, 11-9 ATS) is tied with FSU for fifth in the ACC standings with a 5-4 record. The Wolfpack has lost four of its last six games by seven combined points. Mark Gottfried’s team dropped a 79-78 decision at home to Miami in Saturday’s pick ‘em affair. The Hurricanes finished the game on an 8-2 run capped by Reggie Johnson’s tip-in of a Shane Larkin miss with less than one second to play. C.J. Leslie had 18 points and 12 rebounds in the losing effort.

--North Carolina St. junior guard Lorenzo Brown is ‘doubtful’ at Duke due to an ankle injury that caused him to miss Saturday’s loss to Miami. Brown averages 12.7 points, 6.9 assists and 4.3 rebounds per game.

--Duke senior forward Ryan Kelly remains ‘out’ with a foot injury. Kelly averages 13.4 points and 5.4 rebounds per game.

--N.C. St. owns a 3-1 spread record in four games as an underdog this year.

--The ‘over’ is 10-7 overall for the Wolfpack, 3-2 in five true road assignments.

--The ‘over’ is 11-9 overall for Duke, but the ‘under’ is 6-4 in its home games with a total.

--The ‘over’ is 8-2 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these ACC adversaries.

--This game is a part of ESPN's Full-Court Package (722 on DirecTV) and will tip at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

**Colorado at Oregon**

--Most books opened Oregon (18-4 SU, 9-11 ATS) as a six-point favorite with a total of 136. As of early this afternoon, the Ducks were 6.5-point 'chalk' with the total slightly increased to 136.5. Gamblers can take the Buffaloes to win outright for a plus-250 return.

--Colorado (14-7 SU, 11-8 ATS) had won three in a row both SU and ATS until suffering a 58-55 loss Saturday at Utah as a five-point road favorite. Spencer Dinwiddie scored a game-high 18 points for the Buffs, while Andre Roberson produced 10 points, 12 rebounds, four steals and two blocked shots.

--Dana Altman’s squad is unbeaten in 14 home games with a 6-6 spread record. Oregon has lost back-to-back games since winning nine straight. The Ducks are mired in a 1-6 ATS slide. They lost 58-54 at Cal as 1 ½-point underdogs. Tony Woods had 14 points and eight rebounds in defeat.

--Colorado has been an underdog six times, going 3-3 ATS with wins over Baylor on a neutral court and at Washington St.

--Oregon freshman guard Dominic Artis (10.2 PPG) remains 'out' with a foot injury.

--Oregon is 2-4 ATS as a single-digit favorite.

--The 'under' is 10-4 overall for Oregon, 5-1 in its home games and 8-2 in its last 10 outings (regardless of venue).

--The ‘under’ is 7-5 overall for the Buffs, 6-2 in their last eight games.

--Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPNU.

**B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets**

--TCU pulled one of the biggest upsets we’ve seen all season Wednesday night, stunning Kansas 62-55 as a 17-point home underdog. Vegas books didn’t even bother to post a money line and only a few offshore books did so. 5Dimes had the Horned Frogs with 25/1 odds to win outright.

--Yes, the SEC is horrible this year but that can be a good thing for sharp bettors. Without many elite scorers, especially among the bottom rung of the conference, 'unders' galore have been cashing. Three teams in particular are among the nation's best 'under' squads: Alabama (13-3), Texas A&M (11-3) and Vanderbilt (13-4).

--If Iowa comes up short in its bid to get to the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2006, it will look back on this week as its demise. The Hawkeyes had great chances to win in back-to-back losses at Minnesota and at Wisconsin. The Badgers slipped past the Hawks last night in double overtime.

--Florida power forward Will Yeguete tweeted late last night: “I can’t believe this is happening. This must be a nightmare.” Yeguete had an MRI on his injured knee Wednesday. If Yeguete is indeed out for a significant period of time, this will be a crushing blow to Florida’s national-title hopes.

--Keith Appling suffered an injured shoulder for Michigan St. in its home win over Minnesota last night.

--Speaking of the Gophers, they are sliding fast. Tubby Smith’s squad has lost five of its last seven games.

--Indiana St. captured a monster win for its at-large hopes last night, blasting Creighton 76-57 as a five-point home underdog. The Sycamores now have neutral-court wins over Miami and Ole Miss, in addition to a win at Wichita St. (by double digits!) and last night’s triumph over the Bluejays. They also took New Mexico to overtime.

--Georgia has won five of its last six games with the only loss coming against Florida. The Bulldogs won at Tennessee last night as seven-point underdogs, hooking up money-line backers with a plus-260 return (risk $100 to win $260). Mark Fox clearly doesn’t want to lose his job in Athens.

--Coach of the Year Candidates:
1-Jim Larranaga (Miami)
2-Brad Stevens (Butler)
3-Dana Altman (Oregon)
4-Shaka Smart (VCU)
5-Greg Lansing (Indiana St.)

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

NC State at Duke
The Blue Devils look to take advantage of an NC State team that is coming off a 79-78 loss to Miami and is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games following a SU defeat. Duke is the pick (-10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Devils favored by 12 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Duke (-10 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 7

Game 505-506: Clemson at Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 60.987; Virginia 71.568
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 10 1/2; 115
Vegas Line: Virginia by 7 1/2; 111 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-7 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Florida Atlantic at Florida International (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 48.379; Florida International 56.822
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida International by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (-5 1/2)

Game 509-510: Indiana at Illinois (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 73.942; Illinois 67.853
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 6; 144
Vegas Line: Indiana by 7 1/2; 149
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+7 1/2); Under

Game 511-512: Old Dominion at Drexel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 46.618; Drexel 57.801
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 11; 120
Vegas Line: Drexel by 13; 123
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+13); Under

Game 513-514: Loyola-Chicago at Youngstown State (7:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 52.926; Youngstown State 59.796
Dunkel Line: Youngstown State by 7
Vegas Line: Youngstown State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (-4 1/2)

Game 515-516: Arkansas State at Middle Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 56.572 Middle Tennessee State 68.764
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 12
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-11 1/2)

Game 517-518: Detroit at WI-Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 62.794; WI-Milwaukee 46.877
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 16
Vegas Line: Detroit by 13
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-13)

Game 519-520: Wright State at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 53.821; WI-Green Bay 57.732
Dunkel Line: WI-Green Bay by 4
Vegas Line: WI-Green Bay by 7
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (+7)

Game 521-522: Troy at South Alabama (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 47.981; South Alabama 57.364
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (-6 1/2)

Game 523-524: Western Kentucky at North Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 51.055; North Texas 49.725
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: North Texas by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+2 1/2)

Game 525-526: Texas State at TX-Arlington (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 48.807; TX-Arlington 58.399
Dunkel Line: TX-Arlington by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: TX-Arlington by 9
Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (-9)

Game 527-528: TX-San Antonio at Louisiana Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 47.999; Louisiana Tech 64.698
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 16 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-13 1/2)

Game 529-530: AR-Little Rock at UL-Monroe (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Little Rock 53.375; UL-Monroe 47.786
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (-4 1/2)

Game 531-532: Washington at UCLA (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 61.739; UCLA 67.663
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 6; 145
Vegas Line: UCLA by 9; 149
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+9); Under

Game 533-534: Maryland at Virginia Tech (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 65.095; Virginia Tech 60.090
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 5
Vegas Line: Maryland by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-4 1/2)

Game 535-536: Missouri at Texas A&M (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 66.832; Texas A&M 62.395
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 4 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Missouri by 2 1/2; 128
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-2 1/2); Over

Game 537-538: NC State at Duke (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 66.765; Duke 79.238
Dunkel Line: Duke by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Duke by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-10 1/2)

Game 539-540: Idaho at New Mexico State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 50.931; New Mexico State 65.603
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 9
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (-9)

Game 541-542: Seattle at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 50.524; Denver 66.316
Dunkel Line: Denver by 16
Vegas Line: Denver by 17
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+17)

Game 543-544: California at Arizona State (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 60.716; Arizona State 67.874
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 7
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-3 1/2)

Game 545-546: UC-Davis at UC-Santa Barbara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 50.259; UC-Santa Barbara 53.361
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 3
Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (+5 1/2)

Game 547-548: Loyola Marymount at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 47.462; Portland 47.388
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Portland by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola Marymount (+2 1/2)

Game 549-550: BYU at San Diego (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 65.176; San Diego 58.490
Dunkel Line: BYU by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: BYU by 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+8)

Game 551-552: Colorado at Oregon (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 63.619; Oregon 67.267
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 3 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Oregon by 6 1/2; 136
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+6 1/2); Under

Game 553-554: Pacific at Cal Poly (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 56.628; Cal Poly 58.299
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Cal Poly by 1
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (-1)

Game 555-556: UC-Irvine at CS-Northridge (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 54.679; CS-Northridge 52.884
Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 2
Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 1
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (+1)

Game 557-558: St. Mary's at Santa Clara (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's 66.704; Santa Clara 67.721
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 1; 143
Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 2 1/2; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+2 1/2); Under

Game 559-560: Pepperdine at Gonzaga (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 51.579; Gonzaga 75.635
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 24
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 22 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-22 1/2)

Game 561-562: Washington State at USC (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 59.199; USC 62.901
Dunkel Line: USC by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: USC by 5
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+5)

Game 563-564: Long Beach State at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 57.464; Hawaii 53.756
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (+2 1/2)

Game 565-566: Elon at Wofford (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 53.667; Wofford 48.467
Dunkel Line: Elon by 5
Vegas Line: Elon by 3
Dunkel Pick: Elon (-3)

Game 567-568: Canisius at Manhattan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 57.761; Manhattan 56.032
Dunkel Line: Canisius by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Canisius by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (+2 1/2)

Game 569-570: St. Peter's at Fairfield (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 44.122; Fairfield 55.469
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 14
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+14)

Game 571-572: Marist at Iona (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 43.026; Iona 62.383
Dunkel Line: Iona by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Iona by 16
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-16)

Game 573-574: The Citadel at Chattanooga (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 41.677; Chattanooga 48.485
Dunkel Line: Chattanooga by 7
Vegas Line: Chattanooga by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (-6 1/2)

Game 575-576: Western Carolina at Davidson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 45.041; Davidson 63.205
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 18
Vegas Line: Davidson by 16 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-16 1/2)

Game 577-578: North Dakota State at Oakland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 61.654; Oakland 54.959
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-4 1/2)

Game 579-580: South Dakota State at IPFW (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 60.398; IPFW 53.375
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 7
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 9
Dunkel Pick: IPFW (+9)

Game 581-582: Appalachian State at Georgia Southern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 47.349; Georgia Southern 49.179
Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 2
Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 3
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (+3)

Game 583-584: NC-Greensboro at Furman (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 44.818; Furman 44.489
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Furman by 1
Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (+1)

Game 585-586: Niagara at Rider (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 56.967; Rider 52.939
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 4
Vegas Line: Niagara by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (-2 1/2)

Game 587-588: Belmont at Murray State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Belmont 63.593; Murray State 60.421
Dunkel Line: Belmont by 3
Vegas Line: Belmont by 4
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (+4)

Game 589-590: Eastern Illinois at Tennessee-Martin (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 43.400; Tennessee-Martin 41.945
Dunkel Line: Eastern Illinois by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee-Martin by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+1 1/2)

Game 591-592: Tennessee State at Austin Peay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 53.149; Austin Peay 43.007
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 10
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 6
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (-6)

Game 593-594: NE-Omaha at Western Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NE-Omaha 44.273; Western Illinois 59.008
Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Illinois by 16
Dunkel Pick: NE-Omaha (+16)

Game 595-596: College of Charleston at Samford (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 54.040; Samford 48.922
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 5
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 7
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+7)

Game 597-598: SIU-Edwardsville at SE Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 41.567; SE Missouri State 49.395
Dunkel Line: SE Missouri State by 8
Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 6
Dunkel Pick: SE Missouri State (-6)

Game 599-600: Portland State at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 40.481; Northern Arizona 47.548
Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 7; 147
Vegas Line: Northern Arizona by 4; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (-4); Over

Game 601-602: Northern Colorado at Montana (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 44.707; Montana 55.475
Dunkel Line: Montana by 11
Vegas Line: Montana by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+12 1/2)

Game 603-604: North Dakota at Montana State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 46.401; Montana State 49.464
Dunkel Line: Montana State by 3
Vegas Line: Montana State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (+4 1/2)

Game 605-606: Southern Utah at Idaho State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 46.172; Idaho State 46.310
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Southern Utah by 2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+2)

Game 607-608: Eastern Washington at Sacramento State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 40.146; Sacramento State 48.967
Dunkel Line: Sacramento State by 9
Vegas Line: Sacramento State by 7
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento State (-7)

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Thursday, February 7

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Study group: Thursday’s Top 25 NCB betting notes
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(1) Indiana at Illinois (+7.5)

Indiana is back atop the national rankings and seeks its sixth straight victory when it visits floundering Illinois. Illinois has lost three straight games and six of seven and is a disappointing 10th in the 12-team league. The Fighting Illini have allowed an average of 76 points during the three-game skid. In Big Ten games, Illinois ranks last in the conference in both scoring defense (69.8) and field-goal percentage (45.3). The Hoosiers average a conference-best 75.8 in Big Ten play and rank second by making 47 percent of their shots. Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last five Thursday games.

(20) Missouri at Texas A&M (+3.5)

Missouri will try to solve its road woes when the 20th-ranked Tigers visit Texas A&M for the former Big 12 rivals' first meeting as SEC opponents. The Tigers have been outstanding at home, but they are 0-4 on the road and have lost their first three conference road games. The Aggies are trying to avoid a fourth consecutive home loss after a 72-68 overtime defeat to Kentucky on Saturday. Texas A&M has scored 55 points or less in five of its past six games and is 0-4 ATS in its last four Thursday contests.

NC State at (4) Duke (-10.5)

North Carolina State suffered back-to-back losses last week and has lost four of six since knocking off then-No. 1 Duke at home on Jan. 12. NC State has suffered its last four losses by a total of seven points but has the type of inside strength to counter Mason Plumlee and Duke. The Blue Devils are connecting at a 41.1 percent clip from beyond the arc and went 11-of-18 from 3-point range in Saturday’s 79-60 win at Florida State. NC State’s defense holds opponents to 28.7 percent from beyond the arc - best in the ACC. Three-point shooting was a big part of the first meeting, when the Blue Devils struggled to 6-of-20 from beyond the arc. Duke is 0-5 ATS in its last five games following an ATS win.

Colorado at (19) Oregon (-5.5)

The Ducks look to get back on the winning track when they host Colorado at the Knight Arena, where they've won 20 straight games. Overall, Colorado hasn't won at Oregon, regardless of the arena, in 58 years. The Ducks have lost two of three since point guard Dominic Artis went down with a foot injury. Coach Dana Altman feels Artis will return soon but he is questionable for this week's action. Oregon is 0-4 ATS in its last four games overall.

Pepperdine at (6) Gonzaga (-22.5)

Gonzaga looks to extend its winning streak to five when the Bulldogs host a Pepperdine team that’s fallen out of the conference race with three straight losses. Gonzaga has won 38 of the last 43 games against the Waves, including 23 in a row. The Bulldogs will again be heavy favorites against Pepperdine, which has lost 14 straight in Spokane. Eight of the 11 Pepperdine players who will dress against Gonzaga are freshmen or sophomores. The Waves are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Thursday, February 7

Indiana at Illinois, 7:00 ET ESPN
Indiana: 7-1 ATS off an Over
Illinois: 1-9 ATS at home after playing 3+ games as an underdog

Missouri at Texas A&M, 9:00 ET ESPN2
Missouri: 17-7 ATS after playing BB games as a favorite
Texas A&M: 15-4 Under off a home game

NC State at Duke, 9:00 ET
NC State: 12-3 ATS away off BB conference games
Duke: 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points

Colorado at Oregon, 10:00 ET ESPNU
Colorado: 8-19 ATS after playing as a road favorite
Oregon: 8-1 ATS after playing BB games as a road underdog

Pepperdine at Gonzaga, 11:00 ET
Pepperdine: 11-3 ATS after allowing 80+ points
Gonzaga: 27-8 Under off an ATS loss

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday, February 7

Game Score Status Pick Amount

NC-Greensboro - 7:00 PM ET Furman +1 500
Furman -

Canisius - 7:00 PM ET Canisius +0 500
Manhattan -

Clemson - 7:00 PM ET Virginia -8 500
Virginia - Under 113 500

North Dakota State - 7:00 PM ET North Dakota State -4 500
Oakland -

Old Dominion - 7:00 PM ET Drexel -12 500
Drexel - Under 122 500

Citadel - 7:00 PM ET Citadel +7.5 500
Chattanooga -

South Dakota State - 7:00 PM ET South Dakota State -7.5 500
IUPU - Ft. Wayne -

Florida Atlantic - 7:00 PM ET Florida International -6.5 500
Florida International -

Marist - 7:00 PM ET Iona -14.5 500 POD
Iona -

Western Carolina - 7:00 PM ET Davidson -16.5 500
Davidson -

St. Peter's - 7:00 PM ET Fairfield -13 500
Fairfield -

Appalachian St. - 7:00 PM ET Georgia Southern -4 500
Georgia Southern -

Indiana - 7:00 PM ET Indiana -7 500 POD
Illinois - Over 147.5 500

Elon University - 7:00 PM ET Elon University -2 500
Wofford -

Niagara - 7:30 PM ET Rider +2.5 500
Rider -

Loyola-Chicago - 7:45 PM ET Loyola-Chicago +4 500
Youngstown St. -

Western Kentucky - 8:00 PM ET Western Kentucky +2 500
North Texas -

Detroit - 8:00 PM ET Detroit -13 500
Wis.-Milwaukee -

Texas-San Antonio - 8:00 PM ET Texas-San Antonio +14 50
Louisiana Tech -

Wright St. - 8:00 PM ET Green Bay -6 500
Green Bay -

Tennessee St. - 8:00 PM ET Tennessee St. -6 500
Austin Peay -

Charleston - 8:00 PM ET Charleston -8 500
Samford -

SIU - Edwardsville - 8:00 PM ET SE Missouri St. -7 500
SE Missouri St. -

Eastern Illinois - 8:00 PM ET Tenn-Martin +0 500
Tenn-Martin -

Arkansas St. - 8:00 PM ET Middle Tennessee St. -10.5 500
Middle Tennessee St. -

Nebraska Omaha - 8:00 PM ET Western Illinois -14.5 500
Western Illinois -

Texas State - 8:00 PM ET Texas-Arlington -10.5 500
Texas-Arlington -

Belmont - 8:00 PM ET Murray St. +4 500
Murray St. - Over 139 500

Troy - 8:05 PM ET South Alabama -6.5 500
South Alabama -

Arkansas-Little Rock - 8:30 PM ET Arkansas-Little Rock -5 500
Louisiana-Monroe -

Portland St. - 8:35 PM ET Portland St. +6 500
Northern Arizona - Over 142.5 500

Missouri - 9:00 PM ET Texas A&M +2.5 500
Texas A&M - Under 130 500

Northern Colorado - 9:00 PM ET Montana -12 500 POD
Montana -

Idaho - 9:00 PM ET New Mexico St. -11 500
New Mexico St. -

Seattle - 9:00 PM ET Seattle +16.5 500
Denver -

Washington - 9:00 PM ET UCLA -7.5 500
UCLA - Over 148.5 500

Maryland - 9:00 PM ET Virginia Tech +5 500
Virginia Tech -

N.C. State - 9:00 PM ET Duke -11 500
Duke -

North Dakota - 9:05 PM ET North Dakota +4.5 500
Montana St. -

Southern Utah - 9:05 PM ET Idaho State +1 500
Idaho State -

California - 9:30 PM ET California +4 500
Arizona St. -

Brigham Young - 10:00 PM ET Brigham Young -7.5 500
San Diego -

Loyola Marymount - 10:00 PM ET Loyola Marymount +2 500
Portland -

UC Davis - 10:00 PM ET UC Davis +5.5 500
UC Santa Barbara -

Pacific - 10:00 PM ET Pacific +1 500
Cal Poly SLO -

UC Irvine - 10:00 PM ET CSU Northridge -1 500
CSU Northridge -

Colorado - 10:00 PM ET Colorado +7 500
Oregon - Over 136.5 500

Eastern Washington - 10:05 PM ET Sacramento State -7.5 500
Sacramento State -

Pepperdine - 11:00 PM ET Gonzaga -21.5 500 POD
Gonzaga -

St. Mary's - 11:00 PM ET Santa Clara +1.5 500
Santa Clara - Over 146 500

Washington St. - 11:30 PM ET Washington St. +4 500
Southern California -

Long Beach St. - 11:59 PM ET Hawaii -2.5 500
Hawaii -