The Bum's February's NCAA Best Bets !!

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday, February 20

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Austin Peay - 7:00 PM ET Austin Peay +12 500
Eastern Kentucky -

DePaul - 7:00 PM ET DePaul +14 500
Georgetown -

Marshall - 7:00 PM ET Marshall +7.5 500
Central Florida -

Xavier - 7:00 PM ET Rhode Island +2 500
Rhode Island -

Massachusetts - 7:00 PM ET St. Bonaventure -3 500
St. Bonaventure -

Oklahoma - 7:00 PM ET Texas Tech +10 500
Texas Tech -

NC-Wilmington - 7:00 PM ET NC-Wilmington +6.5 500
Old Dominion -

Mississippi - 7:00 PM ET Mississippi -6 500
South Carolina -

Fordham - 7:00 PM ET Fordham +11 500
George Washington -

George Mason - 7:00 PM ET George Mason -6.5 500
Hofstra -

Charleston - 7:00 PM ET Charleston -2.5 500
Western Carolina -

Murray St. - 7:00 PM ET Murray St. -1.5 500
Morehead St. -

James Madison - 7:00 PM ET Northeastern -5 500
Northeastern -

Furman - 7:00 PM ET Furman +22 500
Davidson -

Providence - 7:00 PM ET Providence +12.5 500
Syracuse -

Minnesota - 7:00 PM ET Ohio St. -5 500
Ohio St. -

Wright St. - 7:00 PM ET Cleveland St. +1.5 500
Cleveland St. -

South Florida - 7:00 PM ET St. John's -7.5 500
St. John's -

Oakland - 7:00 PM ET IUPU - Ft. Wayne +2 500
IUPU - Ft. Wayne -

Eastern Michigan - 7:00 PM ET Ohio -15 500
Ohio -

Illinois-Chicago - 8:00 PM ET Illinois-Chicago -3 500
Wis.-Milwaukee -

Texas A&M - 8:00 PM ET Texas A&M +1 500
Auburn -

Tennessee St. - 8:00 PM ET SIU - Edwardsville +7 500
SIU - Edwardsville -

Citadel - 8:00 PM ET Citadel +10.5 500
Appalachian St. -

Texas-El Paso - 8:00 PM ET Texas-El Paso +7.5 500 POD
Southern Miss -

Vanderbilt - 8:00 PM ET Kentucky -10.5 500
Kentucky -

Mississippi St. - 8:00 PM ET Alabama -15 500
Alabama -

Air Force - 8:00 PM ET Air Force +6.5 500
Boise St. -

SE Missouri St. - 8:00 PM ET Jacksonville St. -5 500
Jacksonville St. -

Belmont - 8:00 PM ET Eastern Illinois +12.5 500
Eastern Illinois

Bradley - 8:05 PM ET Bradley +4 500
Drake -

Illinois St. - 8:05 PM ET Evansville +1 500
Evansville -

East Carolina - 8:05 PM ET East Carolina +2.5 500 POD
Tulsa -

Iowa St. - 9:00 PM ET Baylor -4.5 500
Baylor -

Wisconsin - 9:00 PM ET Wisconsin -7.5 500
Northwestern -

Kansas - 9:00 PM ET Kansas +1 500 POD
Oklahoma St. -

Houston - 9:00 PM ET Memphis -18.5 500
Memphis -

North Dakota - 9:05 PM ET North Dakota +6.5 500
Northern Colorado -

UC Santa Barbara - 10:00 PM ET UC Santa Barbara -2.5 500
UC Riverside -

Pacific - 10:00 PM ET UC Irvine -2.5 500
UC Irvine -

Washington St. - 10:00 PM ET Arizona St. -6.5 500
Arizona St. -

UC Davis - 10:05 PM ET Long Beach St. -7.5 500
Long Beach St. -

Cal Poly SLO - 10:05 PM ET Cal Poly SLO +1.5 500
Cal St. Fullerton -

Colorado St. - 10:15 PM ET UNLV -3 500 POD
UNLV -

Washington - 11:00 PM ET Arizona -12 500
Arizona -

Santa Clara - 11:00 PM ET Gonzaga -13.5 500
Gonzaga -

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday, February 21

Game Score Status Pick Amount

La Salle - 7:00 PM ET La Salle +0 500
Temple -

Drexel - 7:00 PM ET Delaware -2 500
Delaware -

NC-Greensboro - 7:00 PM ET Chattanooga -3 500
Chattanooga -

Cincinnati - 7:00 PM ET Cincinnati -1 500
Connecticut -

Wofford - 7:00 PM ET Georgia Southern -1.5 500
Georgia Southern -

Georgia - 7:00 PM ET Georgia +10 500
Arkansas -

Arkansas-Little Rock - 7:30 PM ET Arkansas-Little Rock +4.5 500
Florida International -

Louisiana-Monroe - 8:00 PM ET Western Kentucky -11.5 500
Western Kentucky -

Elon University - 8:00 PM ET Samford +3 500
Samford -

Troy - 8:00 PM ET Louisiana-Lafayette -5 500
Louisiana-Lafayette -

Tenn-Martin - 8:00 PM ET Tennessee Tech -8 500 POD
Tennessee Tech -

South Alabama - 8:00 PM ET Middle Tennessee St. -15.5 500Middle Tennessee St. -

Florida Atlantic - 8:00 PM ET North Texas -4.5 500
North Texas -

Penn St. - 8:15 PM ET Illinois -16.5 500
Illinois -

Duke - 9:00 PM ET Duke -13.5 500
Virginia Tech -

California - 9:00 PM ET California +5 500
Oregon -

San Francisco - 10:00 PM ET San Francisco -1.5 500
Loyola Marymount -

San Diego - 10:00 PM ET San Diego -2 500
Portland -

Utah - 10:00 PM ET Colorado -13 500 POD # 2
Colorado -

Stanford - 11:00 PM ET Stanford -1.5 500
Oregon St. -

Brigham Young - 11:00 PM ET Brigham Young +8 500 POD # 3
St. Mary's -

[StarDust Bum]

Thursday's Tips

February 20, 2013


**Cincinnati at Connecticut**

--Connecticut (17-7 straight up, 10-10 against the spread) is No. 31 in the RPI Rankings but is banned from going to both the Big East and NCAA Tournament during Kevin Ollie’s first year as head coach following the retirement of Jim Calhoun, who won three national championships in Storrs.

--UConn has won 12 of 14 home games while posting a 4-6 spread record. The Huskies had won five of their last six games, including a huge home win over Syracuse last week, before they dropped a 70-61 decision to Villanova on Saturday as 4.5-point home ‘chalk.’

--In the win over the ‘Cuse, UConn’s guard combination of Shabazz Napier and Ryan Boatright combined to score 27 points on 9-of-16 shooting from the field with 11 assists and five steals. However, in the loss to ‘Nova, Napier and Boatright combined to score just six points, missed all seven of their shots from 3-point range, made just 3-of-15 from the field and committed 10 turnovers. Alas, we can conclude that UConn goes as its backcourt combination goes.

--Napier averages a team-high 16.1 points per game and has a 112/49 assists-to-turnovers ratio. The junior from Roxbury, MA., has a team-high 49 steals. Boatright scores at a 15.4 PPG clip with a 101/70 assists-to-turnovers ratio and 38 steals.

--Cincinnati (19-7 SU, 10-12 ATS) has lost three of its last four games both SU and ATS, including last Friday night’s 62-55 loss to Georgetown as a four-point home favorite. Senior guard JaQuon Parker had a team-high 15 points and six rebounds in the losing effort. The Bearcats won the rebounding battle 36-27 and held their opponent to a reasonable 62-point output. However, a lack of offense continued to kill this team, as it made only 31.5 percent of its shots from the field, 4-of-24 from 3-point land (16.7%) and 17-of-30 from the free-throw line (56.7%).

--Junior guard/forward Sean Kilpatrick leads the Bearcats in scoring, averaging 18.0 points and 5.4 rebounds per contest. But Kilpatrick has been held under his scoring average in three of the last four games, while dishing out only eight assists compared to 11 turnovers.

--UConn is 3-5 against the RPI Top 50, 8-7 versus the RPI Top 100.

--Mick Cronin’s squad has won four of its six road games both SU and ATS. The Bearcats are 40th in the RPI Rankings, going 4-5 against the RPI Top 50 and 9-7 against Top 100 foes.

--Cincy has been an underdog only twice this year, compiling a 2-0 spread record with an outright win at Pittsburgh (70-61) and a narrow loss at Syracuse (57-55).

--When these teams met in Storrs on Jan. 12 of last season, Cincy collected a 70-67 upset win as a 6.5-point road underdog. The 137 combined points slipped ‘over’ the 130-point total. Napier had a game-high 27 points and seven assists for the Huskies in defeat, while Kilpatrick had a team-high 16 points for the winners thanks to four treys on nine attempts from beyond the arc.

--The ‘under’ has cashed at an NCAA-best 16-3 overall clip for the Bearcats, going 5-1 in their six true road assignments.

--Totals have been an overall wash (9-9) for UConn this season, but the ‘under’ is on a 4-2 run in its last six outings.

--Tip-off on ESPN is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

**Brigham Young at Saint Mary’s**

--This is a huge revenge game for BYU, which let a late second-half lead get away and lost a 70-69 decision to Saint Mary’s on Jan. 16 as a five-point home favorite. Gaels’ All-WCC point guard Matthew Dellavedova buried a leaning, double-pump 32-footer at the buzzer to propel his team into the win column. Dellavedova finished with 18 points and eight assists compared to only one turnover. Stephen Holt scored a team-high 22 points for Randy Bennett’s team. Tyler Haws had a game-high 23 points for the Cougars.

--BYU (20-8 SU, 12-15 ATS) is No. 62 in the RPI Rankings and its resume could certainly use a boost with a big road win in this spot. The Cougars have lost six of nine games to RPI Top 100 teams and are winless in three games against RPI Top 50 foes (at Iowa St., at Gonzaga and vs. Notre Dame on a neutral court) with each defeat coming by double-digit margins. With that said, Dave Rose’s team hosts Gonzaga (RPI: 12) next Thursday and could get a shot at the Bulldogs and/or Gaels again at the WCC Tournament.

--BYU is mired in a 0-4 ATS slump. The Cougars suffered a pair of costly outright losses at San Diego and vs. San Francisco on Feb. 7 and Feb. 9. Since then, they have won back-to-back contests, including Tuesday’s 70-68 home win over Utah St. as 12-point home favorites. Haws scored a game-high 27 points.

--Saint Mary’s (22-5 SU, 12-11-1 ATS) has won 13 of its 14 home games but has gone just 5-7 ATS. The lone home loss came to Gonzaga last Thursday by a 77-60 count.

--Bennett’s bunch bounced back from the defeat to Mark Few’s squad by winning 61-50 Saturday at Loyola-Marymount. However, the Gaels failed to cover the number as 13.5-point road ‘chalk.’ Holt had 16 points on 6-of-8 shooting from the field.

--Saint Mary’s is No. 51 in the RPI Rankings, posting a 3-3 record against the RPI Top 100 with wins at BYU, at Santa Clara and vs. Harvard. The Gaels have lost all three games to RPI Top 50 opponents (at Gonzaga, vs. Gonzaga and at No. Iowa).

--Dellavedova averages a team-high 15.8 PPG and had dished out 174 assists compared to only 71 turnovers.

--BYU is led by Haws, a sophomore who spent the last two seasons on a Mormon mission. (How good would BYU have been during Jimmer Fredette’s senior campaign if Brandon Davies hadn’t been suspended and Haws hadn’t been away on a mission?!) Haws is averaging 21.2 points and 4.6 rebounds per game, while Davies averages 17.7 points and 7.6 boards per contest.

--In BYU’s first year in the WCC last season, Saint Mary’s swept a pair of regular-season meetings. Going back further to 2005, the Gaels have won four of five meetings and taken the cash in each of those encounters. The ‘under’ is also 4-1 in the last five meetings.

--The ‘under’ is 11-8 overall for BYU although the ‘over’ has hit in four of its last five games. The ‘under’ is 4-3 for the Cougars in their seven true road assignments.

--The ‘under’ is 10-8 overall for Saint Mary’s, 7-3 in its last 10 outings. The ‘under’ is 5-4 for the Gaels in their home games with a total.

--ESPN2 will have the telecast at 11:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Indiana captured its first win at Breslin Center since 1991 by beating Michigan St. 72-68 Tuesday as a one-point underdog in front of a raucous crowd in East Lansing. Playing at less than 100 percent with a foot injury, IU senior slasher Victor Oladipo made all the plays at crunch time, including six points in the final 47 seconds. Oladipo’s tip-in gave the Hoosiers the lead for good when Spartans’ forward Denzel Washington fell asleep and failed to box out. Next, Oladipo dunked on a run-out and buried a pair of free throws to put the game on ice. Christian Watford finished with 12 points and his three-point play the hard way was pivotal when IU trailed by four with less than 90 seconds remaining.

--Missouri remained unbeaten at home with Tuesday’s 63-60 come-from-behind win over Florida as a five-point underdog. The Tigers hooked up money-line supporters with a plus-180 payout and improved to 82-4 at home since 2008. Laurence Bowers, who was injured when UF stroked the Tigers by 31 points at The O-Dome in January, scored 17 points and pulled down 10 rebounds.

--For UF, the loss was eerily reminiscent of a loss at Arizona before Christmas and even more similar to Elite Eight setbacks against Butler and Louisville that ended the Gators’ seasons just shy of the Final Four the last two years. Like the losses to Butler and U of L, Billy Donovan’s team led nearly the entire game and had comfortable cushions with eight minutes remaining. But at crunch time UF settled for jumpers and they didn’t fall. The Gators took 33 shots from 3-point land at Mizzou compared to only 21 attempts from inside the line.

--Indiana State’s at-large hopes are vanishing fast. The Sycamores lost their third straight game Tuesday when they fell at home to Wichita St. by a 66-62 score. Even worse, they cost their backers like me as 3.5-point underdogs.

--Saint Louis improved to 20-5 overall and took sole possession of first place in the Atlantic 10 thanks to Tuesday’s 76-62 win over VCU as a two-point home favorite. The Billikens led by 17 at intermission and never let the Rams cut the deficit to single digits in the second half. VCU backers as a three-point favorite for halftime wagers got a miracle push thanks to several meaningless baskets by the Rams in the final two minutes.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 21

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LASALLE (18 - 6) at TEMPLE (17 - 8) - 2/21/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 160-123 ATS (+24.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
TEMPLE is 75-48 ATS (+22.2 Units) in February games since 1997.
TEMPLE is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
TEMPLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all home games this season.
TEMPLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LASALLE is 3-2 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 5-0 straight up against LASALLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (19 - 7) at CONNECTICUT (17 - 7) - 2/21/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 2-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 2-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA (12 - 13) at ARKANSAS (16 - 9) - 2/21/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DREXEL (11 - 15) at DELAWARE (14 - 13) - 2/21/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DREXEL is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games this season.
DREXEL is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
DREXEL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
DREXEL is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DREXEL is 3-2 against the spread versus DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
DREXEL is 3-2 straight up against DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARK-LITTLE ROCK (15 - 12) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (14 - 12) - 2/21/2013, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 63-90 ATS (-36.0 Units) in all home games since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 63-90 ATS (-36.0 Units) in home lined games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 3-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 3-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLA ATLANTIC (12 - 16) at N TEXAS (10 - 18) - 2/21/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N TEXAS is 3-1 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
N TEXAS is 2-2 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TROY (11 - 16) at LA-LAFAYETTE (10 - 17) - 2/21/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
TROY is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
TROY is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
LA-LAFAYETTE is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 2-1 against the spread versus LA-LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
LA-LAFAYETTE is 2-1 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA-MONROE (4 - 18) at W KENTUCKY (13 - 14) - 2/21/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA-MONROE is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
W KENTUCKY is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 4-0 against the spread versus LA-MONROE over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 4-0 straight up against LA-MONROE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S ALABAMA (15 - 9) at MIDDLE TENN ST (23 - 4) - 2/21/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points this season.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all home games this season.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 3-2 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 4-1 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PENN ST (8 - 17) at ILLINOIS (19 - 8) - 2/21/2013, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 2-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DUKE (22 - 3) at VIRGINIA TECH (11 - 14) - 2/21/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
DUKE is 162-119 ATS (+31.1 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
VIRGINIA TECH is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 3-2 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 4-1 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CALIFORNIA (16 - 9) at OREGON (21 - 5) - 2/21/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
CALIFORNIA is 93-67 ATS (+19.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
CALIFORNIA is 93-67 ATS (+19.3 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
OREGON is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) after a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 3-2 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 5-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (11 - 14) at COLORADO (17 - 8) - 2/21/2013, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
UTAH is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTAH is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
UTAH is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 3-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (11 - 15) at LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT (8 - 18) - 2/21/2013, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) in February games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 58-33 ATS (+21.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 184-228 ATS (-66.8 Units) in all games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 184-228 ATS (-66.8 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-2 against the spread versus LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-2 straight up against LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN DIEGO (13 - 14) at PORTLAND (10 - 18) - 2/21/2013, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
PORTLAND is 103-137 ATS (-47.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
PORTLAND is 41-73 ATS (-39.3 Units) in February games since 1997.
PORTLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.
PORTLAND is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
PORTLAND is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 4-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 3-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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STANFORD (15 - 11) at OREGON ST (13 - 13) - 2/21/2013, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
STANFORD is 41-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 3-3 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 4-2 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BYU (20 - 8) at ST MARYS-CA (22 - 5) - 2/21/2013, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BYU is 62-101 ATS (-49.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ST MARYS-CA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST MARYS-CA is 4-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
ST MARYS-CA is 3-1 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WOFFORD (11 - 17) at GA SOUTHERN (11 - 16) - 2/21/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WOFFORD is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WOFFORD is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GA SOUTHERN is 3-2 against the spread versus WOFFORD over the last 3 seasons
WOFFORD is 4-1 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UNC-GREENSBORO (7 - 18) at UT-CHATTANOOGA (11 - 16) - 2/21/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all games this season.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UNC-GREENSBORO is 4-1 against the spread versus UT-CHATTANOOGA over the last 3 seasons
UNC-GREENSBORO is 3-2 straight up against UT-CHATTANOOGA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENN-MARTIN (7 - 18) at TENNESSEE TECH (9 - 16) - 2/21/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENN-MARTIN is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TENN-MARTIN is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TENN-MARTIN is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TENN-MARTIN is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TENN-MARTIN is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
TENN-MARTIN is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
TENNESSEE TECH is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE TECH is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE TECH is 3-1 against the spread versus TENN-MARTIN over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE TECH is 4-0 straight up against TENN-MARTIN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ELON (18 - 8) at SAMFORD (10 - 17) - 2/21/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ELON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons.
ELON is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAMFORD is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
SAMFORD is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAMFORD is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAMFORD is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a conference game this season.
SAMFORD is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAMFORD is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAMFORD is 4-1 against the spread versus ELON over the last 3 seasons
SAMFORD is 3-2 straight up against ELON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 21

-- Temple's last five games (3-2) were all decided by one point, first time that happened in at least 15 years; Owls won last seven games against LaSalle, winning last three played here, by 12-8-6 points. Explorers are 8-2 in last ten games, winning last four, three by 9+ points- they've won last three road games. Temple is 3-2 in conference home games. A-16 home teams are 3-10 when spread is 2 or less points.
-- UConn won six of last nine games vs Cincinnati, but Bearcats won last two visits here, by 12-3 points; road teams won four of last five series games. Huskies won five of last seven games, are 4-2 at home in Big East games, with three wins by 8+ points. Cincy lost three of last four games, but they're 4-2 on Big East road, with losses by 2-4 points. Big East home teams are 9-26 if spread is 5 or less points.
-- Georgia won its last three games vs Arkansas by 13-1-22 points; they turn ball over 23.4% oftime, bad news vs Arkansas team forces foes to turn ball over 25.1% of time. SEC double digit home favorites are 10-14 vs spread. Hogs won four of last five games, beating Florida/Mizzou in last two home games; they're 6-0 in SEC home games, with four wins by 11+ points. Dawgs are 3-3 on SEC road, losing by 33-17-10 points.
-- Delaware (+5.5) won 66-64 at Drexel Jan 28, making 53% inside arc, just second win in last six series games for Hens; Drexel lost three of its last four visits here, losing by 3-4-11 points. CAA home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-15 vs spread. Last three Delaware games were won by total of five points. First road game for Drexel in 19 days; they're 3-4 in last seven games, with three losses by 7 or less points.

-- Ark-Little Rock (-5) beat FIU 88-76 at home Jan 12, third series win in row for Trojans, by 8-14-14 points. UALR is 3-2 in last five visits to FIU. Panthers won their last three home games by 3-19-5 points; eight of their last nine wins are by 6 or less points. Sun Belt home favorites of 6 or less points are 14-12 vs spread. UALR lost three of last four games; five of their last seven were decided by 5 or less points.
-- Middle Tennessee (-7.5) won 60-56 at South Alabama Jan 5, in game they led by 15 with 9:00 left; Raiders are 9-2 in last 11 games vs USA, winning last four by 23-16-21-4 points. Jaguars lost last three visits to MTSU by 27-23-16 points; they're 7-1 in last eight games overall, with three of last four wins by 4 or less points. MTSU is 8-0 at home in Sun Belt games, with seven wins by 13+points. Sun Belt double digit home favorites are 11-4 vs spread.
-- Duke didn't play true road game in pre-conference; they're 3-3 in ACC road games, winning by 5-19-1 points (won by 19 at FSU). ACC home underdogs are 16-5 vs spread; double digit favorites are 10-5, but 0-2 on road. Virginia Tech lost last eight games, losing last four at home by 16-9-5-10 points. Duke won last four series games, beating Hokies twice in LY's games, by 4-5 points- they won four of last five visits here, with wins by 13-17-7-15 points.
-- Cal (-1.5) beat Oregon 58-54 at home Feb 2, despite Ducks shooting 60% inside arc; they've beaten Oregon 10 times in row, with last four wins here all by 10+ points. Ducks are 5-1 in Pac-12 home games, with loss to Colorado. Bears won last three games, by 8-13-8 points, scoring 76+ points in all three; they've won five of last six games but are 3-4 on Pac-12 road. Pac-12 home faves of 6 or less points are 11-23 vs spread.
-- Colorado (-5) lost 58-55 at Utah Feb 2, game Utes led by 22 in second half; Buffs won six of last eight games, with four of last five decided by 4 or less points. Utah is 1-5 on Pac-12 road, losing by 1-13-10-18-9; three of their last five games were decided by 5 or less points. Last three Colorado home wins were all by 10+ points, but four of their last five games overall were decided by 4 or less points. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 3-8 vs spread.

-- San Francisco (-7) beat LMU 62-53 at home Jan 19, holdng Lions to 28.3% from floor; it was 6th win in last nine series games for Dons, who lost four of last six games overall, but won three of last four road games. Lions lost last ten games; they're 1-5 at home in WCC, with three of last five losses by 4 or less points. WCC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 0-6 vs spread. USF is 5-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
-- Stanford made 14-25 from arc, turned ball over only four times in its 81-73 (-9.5) win over Oregon State Feb 3, its third straight series win, by 2-5-8 points- they won here LY 103-101 in four OTs. Beavers lost five of last seven games, are 2-5 at home in Pac-12, beating Wash/Utah. Stanford won five of last seven visits to Corvallis. Underdogs are 16-6 in Pac-12 games if spread is 3 or less points.
-- Dellavedova hit running 3-pointer at buzzer to give St Mary's a 70-69 (+5) win Jan 16 in Provo, its third straight series win. BYU lost 98-82 in its visit here LY. Gaels were 10-25 from arc in Provo; they've won 10 of last 11 games, are 5-1 at home in WCC, with four wins by 12+ points- their last four wins are by 10+. WCC single digit home favorites are 6-9 vs spread. BYU is 0-5 vs teams ranked in the top 60.
-- Elon (-12) beat Samford 77-66 at home Feb 2, despite Bulldogs hitting 11-18 inside arc, 11-32 inside it; Phoenix won 10 of last 11 games, with last three wins by 4 or less points, or in OT- they're 5-2 on road in their league games. Samford won three of last four games; they're 5-2 at home in league, but tun ball over 21.2% of time. Samford is 1-12 vs teams in top 225; Elon is #201. SoCon home underdogs are 15-9 vs spread.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Thursday, February 21

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
LA SALLE vs. TEMPLE
La Salle is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Temple
La Salle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Temple is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Temple's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
WOFFORD vs. GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Wofford is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Georgia Southern
Wofford is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Georgia Southern is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
Georgia Southern is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CONNECTICUT
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games at home
Connecticut is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

7:00 PM
DREXEL vs. DELAWARE
Drexel is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Drexel is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Delaware
Delaware is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Delaware's last 14 games when playing Drexel

7:00 PM
GEORGIA vs. ARKANSAS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arkansas
Georgia is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Arkansas is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Georgia
Arkansas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Georgia

7:00 PM
UNC GREENSBORO vs. CHATTANOOGA
UNC Greensboro is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
UNC Greensboro is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chattanooga
Chattanooga is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Chattanooga is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. BOWLING GREEN
No trends available
Bowling Green is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Bowling Green's last 10 games

7:30 PM
ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Arkansas-Little Rock is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Arkansas-Little Rock is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Florida International is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Arkansas-Little Rock
Florida International is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arkansas-Little Rock

8:00 PM
TROY vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Troy's last 7 games when playing on the road against Louisiana-Lafayet
Troy is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Louisiana-Lafayet
Louisiana-Lafayette is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Troy

8:00 PM
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
Louisiana-Monroe is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games at home
Western Kentucky is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home

8:00 PM
FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. NORTH TEXAS
Florida Atlantic is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against North Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida Atlantic's last 7 games on the road
North Texas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
North Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Florida Atlantic

8:00 PM
ELON vs. SAMFORD
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Elon's last 5 games on the road
Elon is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Samford is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Elon
Samford is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
TENNESSEE-MARTIN vs. TENNESSEE TECH
Tennessee-Martin is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Tennessee-Martin is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Tennessee Tech
Tennessee Tech is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Tennessee-Martin
Tennessee Tech is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tennessee-Martin

8:00 PM
SOUTH ALABAMA vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
South Alabama is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Middle Tennessee
South Alabama is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Middle Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:15 PM
PENN STATE vs. ILLINOIS
Penn State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Penn State is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Illinois's last 10 games
Illinois is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Penn State

9:00 PM
DUKE vs. VIRGINIA TECH
Duke is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Duke is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 1-5-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Virginia Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
CALIFORNIA vs. OREGON
California is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
California is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oregon
Oregon is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against California
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon's last 5 games when playing at home against California

10:00 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games on the road
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games

10:00 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Loyola Marymount
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
Loyola Marymount is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Loyola Marymount's last 12 games when playing San Francisco

10:00 PM
UTAH vs. COLORADO
Utah is 2-22 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

11:00 PM
STANFORD vs. OREGON STATE
Stanford is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Stanford is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
Oregon State is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
Oregon State is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Stanford

11:00 PM
BYU vs. ST. MARY'S
BYU is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
BYU is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Mary's last 5 games when playing BYU
St. Mary's is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing BYU

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Thursday, February 21

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Study group: Thursday’s Top 25 NCB betting notes
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Duke Blue Devils at Virginia Tech Hokies (+13, 151)

Duke looks to rebound from a loss to Maryland when it visits Virginia Tech on Thursday. The No. 6 Blue Devils have lost three of their last 10 games and are a distant second in the Atlantic Coast Conference behind runaway leader Miami. The Blue Devils are playing back-to-back road games for just the second time all season. Virginia Tech has lost eight consecutive contests since defeating Wake Forest on Jan. 19.

The Hokies are experiencing a dismal season in James Johnson’s first season as coach. Virginia Tech is in last place in the 12-team conference. Duke’s loss to Maryland came in its fourth contest in 10 days and coach Mike Krzyzewski said afterwards that his squad was tired. “We’re playing on fumes and I think you could tell that,” Krzyzewski said. The Blue Devils had enough energy to force 26 turnovers but were dominated by a 40-20 margin on the boards. Coach K is tied with legendary Kentucky coach Adolph Rupp for the third-most wins (876) at one school.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT DUKE (22-3 SU, 9-3 ACC, 13-12-0 ATS): Senior forward Mason Plumlee struggled against Maryland with a season-low four points and only three rebounds. It was the worst all-around game of the season for a player averaging 17.6 points and 10.4 rebounds. “There is so much pressure for Mason to play outstanding,” Krzyzewski said afterwards. “That wears on you as the season goes on.” Plumlee has 14 double-doubles this season and is 13 rebounds away from becoming the ninth player in Duke history to reach 1,000 career points and rebounds. Senior guard Seth Curry averages 16.9 points and has made a team-best 62 3-pointers. Sophomore guard Quinn Cook has four steals in each of the past two games and has a team-leading 44 to go with a 12.3 scoring average.

ABOUT VIRGINIA TECH (11-14 SU, 2-10 ACC, 10-10-2 ATS): Freshman forward Marshall Wood had 14 points and 16 rebounds against North Carolina State for his first career double-double. Wood’s big outing raised his season averages to 4.7 points and 4.3 rebounds and repeating his stellar game against Duke would rate as a huge accomplishment. Senior guard Erick Green leads the nation with a 25.3 average and had 29 points and eight assists against the Wolfpack. Green is adept at getting to the free-throw line and is making 6.9 free throws per game. Junior forward Jarell Eddie averages 13 points.

TRENDS:

* Under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.
* Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Virginia Tech.
* Road team is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

TIP-INS:

1. Duke is 40-8 against Virginia Tech and is 11-3 against the Hokies during Krzyzewski’s tenure.

2. Curry has 12 20-point outings this season, including four of the past six games.

3. Green has scored 20 or more points in 23 of Virginia Tech’s 25 games.


California Golden Bears at Oregon Ducks (-6, 132)

Oregon looks to end a 10-game losing streak to California on Thursday when the 23rd-ranked Ducks host the Bears in a key Pac-12 matchup. Oregon leads the conference by one game over Arizona and UCLA and holds a two-game lead over Arizona State and surging California. The Bears have won five of their last six games behind the play of junior guard Allen Crabbe, who was named Pac-12 player of week for the second time in a row.

After losing three straight, the Ducks have bounced back with three consecutive wins, including a 79-77 overtime victory over Washington State on Saturday. Center Tony Woods was ejected in the first half for throwing a deliberate elbow to the back of Brock Motum’s head, but he will be available against the Bears. The 6-11 senior had 14 points and eight rebounds in the Ducks’ 58-54 loss to California on Feb. 2.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPNU.

ABOUT CALIFORNIA (16-9, 8-5 Pac-12, 9-13-1 ATS): Crabbe averaged 19.5 points and 7.5 rebounds in wins over UCLA and USC, but most everyone is talking about his altercation with coach Mike Montgomery during the Bears’ 76-68 win over the Trojans. Crabbe briefly left the game in the second half after being shoved by Montgomery, but the 66-year-old coach has apparently avoided a suspension. The incident has overshadowed the Bears’ recent surge, which includes wins over Oregon and Arizona. Junior forward Richard Solomon has scored 31 points over his last two games, and guard Justin Cobbs is averaging 14.8 points while shooting 85.5 percent from the foul line.

ABOUT NO. 23 OREGON (21-5, 10-3, 10-14 ATS): The Ducks have gradually adjusted to life without point guard Dominic Artis, who remains out indefinitely with a foot injury. Junior Johnathan Loyd has struggled to replace the talented freshman, but he had seven assists against Washington State. Senior forward E.J. Singler scored a season-high 24 points in the win, and he’s scored 20-plus points in two of his last three games. Forward Carlos Emory has averaged 15 points in the last two games, while Arsalan Kazemi ranks third in the Pac-12 with 9.6 rebounds per game. The Ducks lead the conference in rebounding margin at plus-7.8.

TRENDS:

* Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in Oregon.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Oregon.
* Golden Bears are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.
* Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

TIP-INS:

1. Oregon, which is 15-1 at Matthew Knight Arena this season, had its 20-game home win streak snapped by Colorado on Feb. 7.

2. Solomon had 13 points and 12 rebounds in 27 minutes in the Bears’ win over Oregon earlier this month.

3. Singler became the winningest men’s basketball player in school history on Saturday with 82 career victories.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Duke at Virginia Tech
The Blue Devils look to take advantage of a Virginia Tech team that is 1-5-2 ATS in its last 8 home games. Duke is the pick (-13) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Devils favored by 16 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Duke (-13). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 21

Game 505-506: LaSalle at Temple (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 62.656; Temple 65.165
Dunkel Line: Temple by 2 1/2; 145
Vegas Line: Temple by 1; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-1); Over

Game 507-508: Cincinnati at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 66.035; Connecticut 71.403
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 5 1/2; 123
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1; 126 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+1); Under

Game 509-510: Georgia at Arkansas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 57.418; Arkansas 69.617
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 12; 126
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 10; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-10); Under

Game 511-512: Drexel at Delaware (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 51.913; Delaware 57.354
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 5 1/2; 136
Vegas Line: Delaware by 2; 130
Dunkel Pick: Delaware (-2); Over

Game 513-514: AR-Little Rock at Florida International (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Little Rock 49.762; Florida International 55.984
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 6; 153
Vegas Line: Florida International by 4 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (-4 1/2); Over

Game 515-516: Florida Atlantic at North Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 48.700; North Texas 50.409
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 1 1/2; 130
Vegas Line: North Texas by 4 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+4 1/2); Under

Game 517-518: Troy at UL-Lafayette (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 47.443; UL-Lafayette 55.535
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 8; 137
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 5; 134
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (-5); Over

Game 519-520: UL-Monroe at Western Kentucky (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 41.390; Western Kentucky 55.162
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 14; 131
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 11 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-11 1/2); Under

Game 521-522: South Alabama at Middle Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 55.082; Middle Tennessee State 68.508
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 13 1/2; 126
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 15 1/2; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+15 1/2); Under

Game 523-524: Penn State at Illinois (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 55.144; Illinois 74.053
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 19; 135
Vegas Line: Illinois by 16; 130 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-16); Over

Game 525-526: Iowa at Nebraska (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 527-528: Duke at Virginia Tech (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 71.809; Virginia Tech 55.510
Dunkel Line: Duke by 16 1/2; 151
Vegas Line: Duke by 13; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-13); Over

Game 529-530: California at Oregon (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 63.101; Oregon 69.410
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 6 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Oregon by 5; 138
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-5); Over

Game 531-532: Utah at Colorado (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 57.136; Colorado 67.998
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 11; 120
Vegas Line: Colorado by 13; 123
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+13); Under

Game 533-534: San Francisco at Loyola Marymount (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 52.376; Loyola Marymount 52.110
Dunkel Line: Even; 129
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola Marymount (+2); Under

Game 535-536: San Diego at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 56.877; Portland 51.728
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 5; 128
Vegas Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 122
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-1 1/2); Over

Game 537-538: Stanford at Oregon State (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 63.986; Oregon State 64.133
Dunkel Line: Even; 141
Vegas Line: Stanford by 2; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+2); Under

Game 539-540: BYU at St. Mary's (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 59.781; St. Mary's 73.725
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's by 14; 155
Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 8; 150
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (-8); Over

Game 541-542: Wofford at Georgia Southern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 49.925; Georgia Southern 49.860
Dunkel Line: Even; 117
Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 1 1/2; 112 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wofford (+1 1/2); Over

Game 543-544: NC-Greensboro at Chattanooga (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 45.112; Chattanooga 45.837
Dunkel Line: Chattanooga by 1; 144
Vegas Line: Chattanooga by 3; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (+3); Under

Game 545-546: Tennessee-Martin at Tennessee Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 38.742; Tennessee Tech 49.675
Dunkel Line: Tennessee Tech by 11; 140
Vegas Line: Tennessee Tech by 8; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (-8); Over

Game 547-548: Belmont at Eastern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line:
Vegas Line:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 549-550: Elon at Samford (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 50.656; Samford 51.575
Dunkel Line: Samford by 1; 118
Vegas Line: Elon by 3; 121 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+3); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Thursday, February 21

Duke at Virginia Tech, 9:00 ET ESPN
Duke: 25-11 ATS after forcing 25+ turnovers
Virginia Tech: 0-12 ATS at home off a conference game

California at Oregon, 9:00 ET ESPN2
California: 15-3 Over as a road underdog
Oregon: 2-9 ATS off BB conference games

[StarDust Bum]

Friday, February 22

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Saint Louis - 7:00 PM ET Saint Louis +2.5 500 POD
Butler - Under 123.5 500

Dartmouth - 7:00 PM ET Yale -11 500
Yale -

Harvard - 7:00 PM ET Harvard -5 500
Brown -

Pennsylvania - 7:00 PM ET Pennsylvania +6 500
Cornell -

Princeton - 7:00 PM ET Columbia +2 500
Columbia -

North Dakota State - 7:00 PM ET North Dakota State +7 500
Akron - Over 124 500

Stephen F. Austin - 9:00 PM ET Long Beach St. -1 500
Long Beach St. - Over 122 500

[StarDust Bum]

Saturday, February 23

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Clemson - 12:00 PM ET Maryland -5.5 500
Maryland - Over 126 500

Drexel - 12:00 PM ET Drexel +3 500
Towson -

Seton Hall - 12:00 PM ET Seton Hall +19 500
Louisville -

Missouri St. - 12:00 PM ET Eastern Michigan -3 500
Eastern Michigan -

Miami-Florida - 1:00 PM ET Wake Forest +7.5 500 POD # 1
Wake Forest -

Southern Miss - 1:00 PM ET Southern Miss +6.5 500
Memphis - Over 134 500

Richmond - 1:00 PM ET Richmond -5.5 500
Fordham -

Dayton - 1:00 PM ET Dayton +3.5 500
Massachusetts -

Longwood - 1:00 PM ET Longwood +5 500
Tenn-Martin -

Albany - 1:00 PM ET Albany +8 500
Fairfield -

Canisius - 1:00 PM ET Vermont -3 500
Vermont -

Pacific - 1:00 PM ET Western Michigan -5.5 500
Western Michigan -

Eastern Kentucky - 1:00 PM ET Eastern Kentucky +6.5 500 POD # 2
Valparaiso - Over 142.5 500

Vanderbilt - 1:30 PM ET Mississippi St. +3.5 500
Mississippi St. -

Alabama - 1:30 PM ET Alabama +2.5 500
Louisiana State -

Texas Tech - 1:45 PM ET Iowa St. -19.5 500
Iowa St. -

VCU - 2:00 PM ET Xavier +4.5 500
Xavier - Under 134 500

South Carolina - 2:00 PM ET South Carolina +7.5 500
Georgia - Under 120 500

Oklahoma St. - 2:00 PM ET Oklahoma St. -3 500
West Virginia - Over 133 500

North Dakota - 2:00 PM ET Nebraska Omaha +2 500
Nebraska Omaha -

Coastal Carolina - 2:00 PM ET Coastal Carolina +3.5 500
Western Carolina -

St. Peter's - 2:00 PM ET Hampton -3.5 500
Hampton -

McNeese St. - 2:00 PM ET Toledo -10 500 POD # 3
Toledo -

Cal St. Fullerton - 2:00 PM ET Texas A&M CC +7 500
Texas A&M CC -

Evansville - 2:00 PM ET Evansville +0 500
Wright St. -

Manhattan - 2:00 PM ET Buffalo -4.5 500
Buffalo -

Iowa - 2:00 PM ET Iowa -6 500
Nebraska -

East Carolina - 3:00 PM ET East Carolina +4 500
Southern Methodist -

Washington St. - 3:00 PM ET Arizona -15 500
Arizona - Under 133.5 500

Wis.-Milwaukee - 3:00 PM ET Wis.-Milwaukee +0 500
Indiana - Purdue -

Northwestern St. - 3:00 PM ET Northwestern St. +4 500
Niagara -

Montana - 3:00 PM ET Davidson -13 500 POD # 4
Davidson - Over 135.5 500

Nicholls State - 3:00 PM ET Texas-San Antonio -4.5 500
Texas-San Antonio -

Kent St. - 3:00 PM ET Kent St. +0 500 POD # 5
Loyola-Chicago -

Miami (OH) - 3:05 PM ET Southern Illinois -9 500
Southern Illinois -

N.C. State - 4:00 PM ET North Carolina -5.5 500
North Carolina - Under 159.5 500

George Washington - 4:00 PM ET George Washington +5.5 500
St. Joseph's -

Texas Christian - 4:00 PM ET Texas Christian +23.5 500
Kansas -

Tulsa - 4:00 PM ET Central Florida -7 500
Central Florida -

William & Mary - 4:00 PM ET William & Mary +9.5 500
George Mason -

Georgia St - 4:00 PM ET James Madison -2.5 500
James Madison -

New Mexico - 4:00 PM ET New Mexico +6 500
Colorado St. - Under 129 500

Georgetown - 4:00 PM ET Georgetown +7 500
Syracuse - Over 124 500

Tennessee - 4:00 PM ET Tennessee +2 500
Texas A&M -

Detroit - 4:00 PM ET Wichita St. -7 500
Wichita St. - Over 148.5 500

Savannah State - 4:00 PM ET Savannah State -2.5 500
Campbell -

Bradley - 4:00 PM ET Bradley -1 500
Illinois-Chicago -

Idaho - 4:00 PM ET Idaho State +4 500
Idaho State -

Gardner-Webb - 4:00 PM ET Gardner-Webb +7.5 500
Charleston -

Eastern Illinois - 4:00 PM ET Eastern Illinois +2 500
Northern Illinois -

Southeastern Louisiana - 4:00 PM ET Winthrop -2.5 500
Winthrop -

Austin Peay - 4:00 PM ET Liberty -5 500
Liberty -

UC Riverside - 4:05 PM ET Portland St. -5 500
Portland St. -

Sam Houston St. - 4:05 PM ET Eastern Washington -1.5 500
Eastern Washington -

Northern Colorado - 4:30 PM ET UC Davis -7 500
UC Davis -

Jacksonville St. - 4:30 PM ET N.C. Asheville -3.5 500
N.C. Asheville -

Santa Clara - 5:00 PM ET Santa Clara -7.5 500
Portland -

Auburn - 5:00 PM ET Auburn +12.5 500
Mississippi - Over 144 500

Baylor - 5:00 PM ET Baylor +4 500
Oklahoma - Over 142.5 500

Charleston Southern - 5:00 PM ET Charleston Southern +3.5 500 POD # 6
Rider -

Morehead St. - 5:00 PM ET Morehead St. +7.5 500
Oakland -

SIU - Edwardsville - 5:30 PM ET Central Arkansas -2.5 500
Central Arkansas -

California - 6:00 PM ET California -1 500
Oregon St. -

Marquette - 6:00 PM ET Marquette +1.5 500
Villanova - Over 133 500

Nevada - 6:00 PM ET Nevada +13.5 500
San Diego St. - Over 134 500

Creighton - 6:00 PM ET Creighton +4.5 500
St. Mary's - Over 143 500

UC Irvine - 6:00 PM ET UC Irvine +3.5 500
Texas-Arlington -

Louisiana-Monroe - 6:30 PM ET Middle Tennessee St. -24 500POD # 7
Middle Tennessee St. -

Ball St. - 6:30 PM ET SE Missouri St. -6 500
SE Missouri St. -

[StarDust Bum]

Saturday's Slate

February 22, 2013


**Creighton at Saint Mary’s**

--As of early Friday night, Saint Mary’s (23-5 straight up, 12-12-1 against the spread) was installed as a 4.5-point favorite at most spots.

--Saint Mary's captured a key win Thursday night over BYU in a nail-biter. The Gaels pulled away with free throws in the final minute of a 64-57 victory as 8.5-point home favorites. Matthew Dellavedova scored a game-high 20 points, while Beau Levesque had 17 points and eight rebounds while burying all seven attempts from the charity stripe.

--With the win over BYU, Randy Bennett’s team improved to 14-1 SU and 5-8 ATS at home. The Gaels are led by Dellavedova, who leads the team in scoring (16.0 points per game), assists (6.4 APG) and steals (1.2 SPG).

--Since losing three in a row, Creighton (22-6 SU, 13-12-1 ATS) has won back-to-back games at Evansville (71-68) and vs. So. Illinois (59-45), failing to take the cash as a 4.5 and 14.5-point favorite in those spots, respectively.

--Creighton is mired in an atrocious 1-9-1 ATS slump in its last 11 games.

--Creighton is led by the head coach’s son, Doug McDermott, who averages 22.5 points and 7.6 rebounds per game. He is a legitimate first-team All-American candidate who plays incredibly efficient. McDermott shoots 55 percent from the field, 47.8 percent from 3-point land and makes 86.1 percent of his free throws.

--Both teams are in dire need of a victory to improve their at-large aspirations, but there’s no doubt that Saint Mary’s needs the win more. The Gaels are 4-3 against the RPI Top 100, but they are winless in a pair of contests against the RPI Top 50 with both defeats coming against Gonzaga.

--Saint Mary’s is 50th in the RPI Rankings, while Creighton is 47th in the RPI. However, the Bluejays have solid non-conference wins over Wisconsin, California, Arizona St. and Akron. The fact that the win over the Zips was the only game of those four at home is also worth noting. They are 8-4 against RPI Top 100 opponents.

--This is a quick turnaround for Saint Mary’s after playing late Thursday night. On the other hand, Creighton has had two extra days to prepare since Tuesday’s win over So. Illinois.

--The ‘under’ is 12-6 overall for the Bluejays, going 8-0 in their road assignments. The ‘under’ has connected in six straight Creighton games and nine of its last 10.

--The ‘under’ is 11-8 overall for the Gaels,

--ESPN will have the telecast at 6:00 p.m. Eastern.

**Missouri at Kentucky**

--As of early Friday night, most books had Kentucky (18-8 straight up, 8-15 against the spread) listed as a 1.5-point favorite.

--Kentucky has lost four in a row ATS and owns an abysmal 3-10 spread record in its last 13 games. The Wildcats have only covered the spread in one of their six SEC home outings at Rupp Arena.

--John Calipari’s team is going into its third game without freshman sensation Nerlens Noel, who went down for the season after suffering a torn ACL in a loss at Florida. Noel was leading the ‘Cats in rebounding (9.4 per game), field-goal percentage (59.0%), steals (2.1 SPG) and blocked shots (4.4 BPG).

--In Kentucky’s first game without Noel, it took the worst beating of Cal’s tenure in an 88-58 loss at Tennessee. Calipari had not tasted defeat so decisively since his first season as a head coach in 1989.

--UK staved off Vanderbilt’s upset bid at Rupp on Tuesday, capturing a 74-70 win as an 11-point home favorite. The Commodores sliced what was once a 13-point deficit to 61-59 with 3:57 remaining. But Kentucky avoided more embarrassment thanks to the play of Willie Cauley-Stein, who finished with a career-high 20 points, seven rebounds and three blocked shots. Archie Goodwin added 16 points and six boards.

--Missouri (19-7 SU, 11-11 ATS) is coming off its best effort of the season, rallying from a 13-point second-half deficit to win a 63-60 decision over Florida as a five-point home underdog. The Tigers hooked up money-line supporters with a payout in the plus-185 range (risk $100 to win $185). Laurence Bowers, who missed the first meeting against the Gators, a blowout loss in Gainesville, came up big at crunch time en route to a 17-point, 10-rebound effort. Phil Pressey finished with seven points, 10 assists, six rebounds and three steals, while Jabari Brown had 12 points and drained three long jumpers from deep.

--As of early Friday morning, ESPN’s Joe Lunardi had Kentucky among his ‘first four teams out’ of the NCAA Tournament field. UK has an RPI of 48 and has zero wins over the RPI Top 50. The Wildcats’ best win is at Ole Miss (RPI: 57).

--UK has won 13 of its 15 home games, posting a mediocre 5-7 spread record.

--Missouri is 1-2 ATS in three true road games as an underdog and we should mention that Bowers was absent in both non-covers at Ole Miss and at Florida.

--Frank Haith’s squad is 3-3 against the RPI Top 50 with wins over Florida, Illinois and VCU. The Tigers, who are 33rd in the RPI, are 8-6 against the RPI Top 100.

--Although Missouri has seen the ‘under’ cash in three straight games, the ‘over’ is still 11-7 overall. The ‘under’ is 4-3 in the Tigers’ seven true road assignments.

--The ‘over’ is 12-10 overall for UK, 6-5 in its 11 home games with a total.

--Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Two of the nation’s best players will be on display in Saturday’s BracketBuster matchup between Murray St. and South Dakota St. The Jackrabbits have a star in senior guard Nate Wolters, who averages 23.1 points, 5.8 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game. Wolters is shooting 49.4 percent from the floor and making 41.4 percent of his attempt from deep. The Racers are led by senior guard Isaiah Canaan, who averages 21.2 points and 4.2 assists per contest. This game will be played in Murray, KY., on ESPN2 at 8:00 p.m. Eastern. Most spots opened Murray St. as a three-point 'chalk.'

--D.J. Cooper will lead Ohio into Nashville to face Belmont in another intriguing BracketBuster showdown. Tip-off is slated for 10:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2. The Bruins are 29th in the RPI Rankings with a 6-3 record against RPI Top 100 foes. The Bobcats, who advanced to the Sweet 16 last season before losing to North Carolina in overtime, have an RPI of 75 with only one Top 100 win over Richmond.

--Most books opened Syracuse as a seven-point home favorite vs. Georgetown. I like the Hoyas, who have won eight in a row and 10 of their last 11 both SU and ATS.

--Florida will host Arkansas in a revenge game Saturday at 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPNU. The Razorbacks thumped the Gators at Bud Walton Arena a few weeks ago. UF will be in bounce-back mode after letting a double-digit second-half lead slip away Tuesday night at Missouri.

--Florida reserve forward Casey Prather has knocked down 17-of-23 shots (73.9%) from the field in the team’s last four games.

--Mark Fox’s Georgia squad can’t buy a break. The Bulldogs lost a heartbreaker in overtime at Ole Miss last Saturday when they didn’t get a call at the end of regulation. Then Thursday night in Fayetteville, UGA dropped a 62-60 decision at Arkansas when B.J. Young scored the go-ahead basket with six seconds remaining. The Bulldogs missed a good look at a potential tying bucket at the buzzer. Replays showed that Young’s foot appeared to hit the ground before he launched his winning shot. Alas, a travel was not called and UGA lost a third straight game. However, you won’t find UGA gambling supporters complaining, as it easily took the cash as an 11-point underdog. Georgia is now 7-1 ATS in its last eight games. The Dawgs play South Carolina on Saturday at home in Athens.

--With last night’s loss at Saint Mary’s, it’s clear that BYU will have to win the WCC Tournament to get to the Big Dance.

[StarDust Bum]

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Looking at college basketball numbers.....

Looking at which teams excel in different statistical categories.......

13) Tempo: Northwestern (LA) State of Southland plays fastest games in country; other teams who play a fast pace: North Carolina (5th), Cal-State Fullerton (7th), UMass (9th), BYU (11th) and Iona (21st).

Some pretty good teams are amongst those that play slowest pace: Western Illinois (#347), Denver (346), North Dakota State (343), Virginia (339) and Pitt (334). All those teams are near the top of their league's standings.

12) FG% defense: This is best measured by eFG%, which counts a made 3 as 1.5 baskets made: SF Austin (40.5%) leads country and they lead their league in wins: other strong teams in this important category: Kansas (3rd), Florida (5th), Georgetown (7th), Syracuse (8th), Cincinnati (9th).

11) FG% offense: also measured by eFG%: Creighton (59.3%) leads the nation, followed by Florida (2nd), Indiana (3rd), Belmont (4th), Denver (6th), Air Force (7th), Michigan (8th), Gonzaga (9th). All really good teams, and yes, Air Force has a good team this season.

10) Free-throw shooting: Davidson (81.5%) leads country, followed by Fullerton (2nd), Northern Iowa (4th), Iona (7th), Montana (10th), You have a lead late in games, it obviously helps to make foul shots.

Among the worst foul shooting teams: Marshall (57.2%) is worst team in country on foul line. Also struggling are TCU (344), St Peter's (341), Vandy (337), SF Austin (335), Wisconsin (331), Arizona State (329). Vanderbilt hit on 69.9% from line last year; 60.8% so far this year.

9) 3-point shooting: Indiana (42.8%) leads country, followed by Creighton (2nd), Duke (3rd), Harvard (4th), Virginia (6th), NC State (7th), Austin Peay is #12 in country behind arc, but is still an awful team (7-21)-- not good.

8) Blocked shots: Syracuse blocks 19.7% of opponents' shots, followed by St John's (2nd), Kansas (3rd), Memphis (4th), Cincinnati (6th), Kentucky (7th, but they'll fall without Noel in lineup), Arizona State (9th). Having a defensive presence inside makes opponents beat you from outside, and not everyone has great shooters.

7) Schedule: Top four teams in strength of schedule all play in Big Dozen: Minnesota-Michigan State-Wisconsin-Illinois. Other teams who played hard schedules: Duke (6, but very few road games, none out of ACC), USC (7), Miami (9), Marquette (11), Colorado (12), Louisville (15).

Long Beach State played the hardest pre-conference schedule, UCSB (2nd), Oakland (3), Pacific (8), Davidson (14), Montana (16). Some of the better teams in lower-ranked leagues load up in pre-conference to help their seed in case they make the NCAA tournament. Others do it for guarantee checks from the big-money teams.

6) Easiest schedules: Houston/Texas Tech played two softest pre-conference schedules; how does Maryland justify playing the 3rd-easiest? Also on the easy non-conference schedule list are Arizona State (341), Iowa (339), Pitt (334), my alma mater Albany (333), Oregon (330), Clemson (329).

Some teams use soft pre-conference schedules to build confidence by learning how to win: Ole Miss (326), Oregon (330), Arizona State (341), LSU (325).

Some coaches create an easy schedule to save their jobs.......lolol

5) Size matters, not as much as quickness, but size is measureable: New Mexico State/Maryland/Kentucky are three tallest teams in country; USC, UCLA, Arizona State and Miami are also in the top ten. Gonzaga is 13th.

Southern Illinois, Fullerton are two shortest teams in country; Southern Miss is very good, yet they're 11th-shortest team in country. Denver is #328, but they run Princeton offense, so size matters little less than most teams.

4) Who uses their bench the most? Not lot of strong teams on top of this list; Northern Illinois-Sam Houston State-Yale play their bench most minutes in country. Middle Tennessee is probbably best team in top 20 on that list.

Teams that sub the least: Larry Brown's SMU team subs the least; subs on Arizona State (345), Oakland (344), Cal (338), Kansas (329), Michigan (326) play least minutes in country.

3) Who forces the most turnovers? VCU/Louisville force most turnovers in country with their pressure; Rams (force turnovers on 29% of possessions, Cardinals 27.4%. Denver forces 3rd-most with a less-aggressive approach; their games are 2nd-slowest pace in country.

Ohio/Southern Miss also force a lot of turnovers- they're also really good .

2) Teams that excel on offensive boards have superior athleticism and size: leading the country in this area are Minnesota, Colorado State, Pitt, Syracuse, Southern Miss, Indiana and Cincinnati.

You haven't stopped these teams on offense until you get the rebound on their missed shots and that ain't easy.

1) Experienced teams have an edge: Valparaiso-Middle Tennessee- Colorado State are three most experienced teams in country; Ohio, Miami and Western Illinois are also in top 10. All those teams are having solid seasons.

Disappointing Temple is 11th in experience; team with as much experience as the Owls should be doing better than they are.

Texas is least-experienced team and it shows; St John's (342), BC (341), Michigan (340) and Kentucky (337) are also very young.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Saturday, February 23

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Study group: Saturday’s Top 25 NCB betting notes
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Seton Hall at (10) Louisville (-19.5)

Louisville hosts Seton Hall in search of its sixth win in seven games. Notwithstanding the Cardinals' 104-101 five-overtime loss to Notre Dame, they’ve earned four of those five victories by at least 14 points. Seton Hall is looking to snap an eight-game losing streak and fell 73-58 in the last meeting with Louisville on Jan. 9. The Pirates are 0-4 ATS in the last four clashes between the schools.

(2) Miami-Florida at Wake Forest (+8.5)

Miami, in first place in the ACC, looks to extend its win streak to 15 games when the Hurricanes visit Wake Forest. Miami is 10-1 on the road, including 7-0 in the ACC, while Wake Forest, which is 9-4 at home, has lost eight of its last 10 games. The Demon Deacons are coming off a 57-56 home loss to Georgia Tech last Saturday. The Hurricanes are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 Saturday games.

Southern Miss at (19) Memphis (-7)

The Golden Eagles have lost 10 straight to ranked teams while the Tigers have won 17 consecutive games. Southern Miss has won three in a row since losing 89-76 to Memphis two weeks ago and is 0-4-1 ATS in its last five road games.

(24) VCU at Xavier (+3.5)

Xavier needs to finish strong to extend its streak of seven consecutive NCAA tournament appearances. Both teams have a shot at securing a top-four finish in the Atlantic 10, which carries with it a bye past the opening round of the league tournament. The Rams have tallied 70-plus points in nine of their conference games, but are 0-4 ATS in their last four road contests.

(14) Oklahoma State at West Virginia (+4.5)

Oklahoma State dropped a full game behind Kansas and Kansas State with five games to play in the regular season after losing 68-67 in double-overtime to the Jayhawks on Wednesday. West Virginia is 0-7 against the six teams ranked above it in the Big 12 standings, which doesn’t bode well for the Mountaineers’ chances in the conference tournament. West Virginia is coming off a 10-point loss to Kansas State in a game that wasn't that close, and the Mountaineers lost 80-66 to Oklahoma State on Jan. 26 in Stillwater. The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.

Washington State at (12) Arizona (-15)

Arizona is in a first-place tie in the Pac-12 with four regular-season games remaining and knows it can’t afford a stumble against last-place Washington State. The Wildcats notched a 79-65 road win over the Cougars, who have lost seven straight games and are just 1-7 on the road, on Feb. 2. Washington State is 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings.

TCU at (9) Kansas (-24.5)

The Horned Frogs have won once in conference play, taking down the Jayhawks 62-55 on Feb. 6. That defeated prompted Kansas coach Bill Self to say it was the worst team the school has put on the floor "since Dr. Naismith was there." TCU's stunning upset of the Jayhawks was its first-ever win in the Big 12, but the Horned Frogs have reverted to their losing ways since that landmark victory by dropping their last four games. TCU has won only once away from home -- at Rice on Dec. 22 -- and has been overwhelmed in six conference road games, losing by an average of 21.3 points. The Horned Frogs have lost 12 of 13 overall.

(16) New Mexico at (21) Colorado State (-6)

New Mexico has a chance to expand its lead in the Mountain West, while host Colorado State is looking to move into a tie for first when the two squads meet Saturday. The Lobos have a one-game lead over the Rams and can move closer to the conference regular-season crown if it can end Colorado State’s 27-game homecourt winning streak. The Rams are 14-0 at home this season. The Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last five trips to Colorado St.

(11) Georgetown at (8) Syracuse (-7)

A share of first place is on the line with these teams in a three-way tie with Marquette atop the Big East, and a record crowd of 35,012 is expected to pack the Carrier Dome. Georgetown has won eight straight games since its surprising loss to South Florida, while Syracuse has won four of its last five. The Hoyas have dropped their last two games against Syracuse, which hasn’t lost at the Carrier Dome this season. Georgetown is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games overall.

(20) Marquette at Villanova (-1)

The Golden Eagles have been stuck in a two-win, one-loss pattern since Jan. 12, but a victory against the Wildcats would be their third straight. Marquette’s bench has been outstanding, outscoring opposing reserves 736-351 this season. Villanova has won four of its last five following Monday’s 71-63 victory over Rutgers. The Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last seven Saturday games.

Arkansas at (4) Florida (-17.5)

The Razorbacks, who have won three straight, beat Florida 80-69 on Feb. 5. That's the most points allowed by a Gator defense ranked third in the country in scoring defense (53 points). The Gators are 12-0 at home while Arkansas is 1-5 in road SEC games. The Razorbacks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning record.

San Diego at (3) Gonzaga (-21)

Gonzaga will try to keep its perfect West Coast Conference record intact - and its hopes for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament alive - when it hosts San Diego. The Bulldogs have won their 13 WCC games by an average of nearly 19 points, but their closest margin of victory came in their ninth straight win over the Toreros, 65-63, on Feb. 2. Gonzaga is 0-5 ATS in its last five Saturday games.

(13) Kansas State at Texas (+2.5)

After Monday's 71-61 win over West Virginia, K-State kept pace in the Big 12 standings, as the Wildcats remain in a tie for first place with No. 9/9 Kansas with 10-3 league records. Texas enters Saturday's contest with wins in two of its last three games since the return of sophomore guard Myck Kabongo, who returned on a Feb. 13 after a 23-game NCAA?suspension. The Longhorns are averaging 63.9 points on 40.9 percent shooting, including 27.9 percent from 3-point range, while holding opponents to 63.5 points on 36.8 percent shooting, including an NCAA-best 26.8 percent from beyond the arc. The Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.

Stanford at (23) Oregon (-3)

Oregon is deadlocked for first place in the Pac-12 standings heading into Saturday’s game against visiting Stanford. The Ducks lost their grip on sole possession by losing for the fourth time in seven games Thursday, giving up a buzzer beater to California in the 48-46 loss. In each of the recent setbacks, Oregon has been held to 54 points or fewer. Stanford began the skid for the Ducks, beating them 76-52 on Jan. 30. The Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, February 23

-- Memphis (+1.5) won 89-76 at Southern Miss Feb 9, making 60% of shots inside arc, 9-19 from arc; Tigers won 18 of last 19 series games, are 9-0 in last nine here, with five wins by 14+ points. USM is 21-6 despite turning ball over 23.7% of time (327th in country). Memphis won last 17 games; they're 6-0 at home in C-USA, with four wins by 11+ points. C-USA home favorites of 7 or less points are 16-10 vs spread.
-- Sellout crowd of 36,000+ for Georgetown's last visit to Carrier Dome, where Hoyas lost six of last seven visits, by 5-14-7-4-17-3 points, with three losses in OT. Orange won six of last seven series games overall. Big East home favorites of 7 or less points are 6-22 vs spread. Georgetown won its last eight games, winning at Cincinnati, Notre Dame. Syracuse is 6-0 at home in Big East, with five wins by 11+ points.
-- NC State (-4) beat North Carolina 91-83 Jan 26, leading by 28 with 13:22 left, then hanging on for only their second win in last 20 games vs rival Tar Heels; Wolfpack lost last nine visits here, with seven of last eight by 13+ points. State lost four of last five road games, with win by point at Clemson. UNC won its last five home games, all by 10+ points. ACC home favorites of 6 or less points are 6-15 vs spread.
-- Home side won last five New Mexico-Colorado State games, as Lobos lost last two visits here, by 6-8 points. New Mexico (-5) hung on to beat Rams 66-61 Jan 23, after leading by 22 with 11:59 left; they've won four of last five games- they scored 34-55 points in only two MWC losses, in San Diego/Vegas. State won six of last seven games, are 5-0 at home in MWC. MWC home favorites of 7 or less points are 12-6 vs spread.

-- Oklahoma won three of last four games; they're 5-1 at home in Big X, with only loss by hoop to K-State; Sooners (+6.5) won 74-71 at Baylor Jan 30, shooting 58.5% inside arc while Bears were 6-27 outside. Baylor lost five of last seven games, losing its last three road games by 8-2-20 points. Big X home favorites of 7 or less points are 7-10 vs spread. Last five Oklahoma games, six of last eight Baylor games went over total.
-- Marquette won three of last four games vs Villanova; last six games in series were decided by 5 or less points. Eagles are 2-3 in last five visits here, losing by 5-18-5 points. Marquette won four of last five games, is 2-3 in last five road games. Villanova won four of its last five home tilts. Five of last seven Villanova games stayed under total. Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-17 against the spread.
-- UNLV lost its last four road games, including losses at Fresno and Air Force; they beat Wyoming 62-50 (-9) at home Jan 24, 18th series win in last 21 games for Rebels. Wyoming is 3-3 at home in MWC, losing by 2-9-4 points, but Washington didn't play last game; if he is out here, will be tough to match Rebels' size inside. UNLV won last two games, both by hoop at home. MWC home underdogs are 10-3 vs spread.
-- Kentucky's defensive eFG% in last three games: 54.7/63.0/54.9, after it had been over 46% in only one of previous seven games, when Noel was healthy. Wildcats won last five home games, holding on to win by 4 over Vandy last game. Missouri lost three of last four road games, with only win at lowly Miss State. SEC home favorites of 6 or less points are 8-11 vs spread. Last three Missouri games stayed under the total.

-- Rare trip east of Rockies for Montana, which is 15-1 in last 16 games, splitting pair with Weber State, only other Big Sky team ranked in top 250 in country; Griz is 1-3 vs top 100 teams, losing to Colorado State by 7, BYU by 25. Davidson went 5-6 vs #15 non-conference schedule; they've won 11 games in row since, but Charleston is only team in that stretch ranked in top 225. Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Davidson games.
-- Quick turnaround for St Mary's team that won 11 of its last 12 games, beating WCC rival BYU late Thursday night; Gaels lost Bracket Buster games last two years- they're 3-4 vs top 100 teams, losing at Northern Iowa of MVC by 7 in December, and losing twice to Gonzaga. Last six Creighton games stayed under total. Bluejays lost four of last six games on road; they haven't played since Tuesday, so more time to prepare.
-- South Dakota State lost in double OT at Bakersfield Wednesday; they are 6-8 in true road games, losing by 27 at Belmont in December in road trip similar to this one. Jackrabbits won 10 of last 12 games overall, but lost last two on road. Murray State won in double OT at Morehead last game, after losing two games before that, all on road- they've won five in row at home. Over is 5-2 in Murray State's last seven games.
-- Northern Iowa won last six games, allowing 55.8 ppg; Panthers won six in row at home, are 3-7 vs top 50 teams- they've played #38 schedule in nation to this point. Denver runs Princeton offense, hard to prep for, but UNI hasn't played since Tuesday. Pioneers are 13-1 in last 14 games after a 4-7 start; they're 0-6 vs teams ranked in top 80; #100 Utah State is best team they've beaten this season.
-- Ohio forces turnovers on 26.3% of possessions, #4 in country; they're 12-1 in last 13 games, with only loss at #43 Akron. Bobcats are 1-4 vs top 100 teams, with only win over #93 Richmond in November. This is rare national TV exposure for both Ohio/Belmont, which is playing first home game in three weeks. Bruins shoot 56.1% inside arc, 38.8% outside arc- they're #4 in country in eFG%. Can they handle Ohio's pressure?