Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 1/14 (NBA, NCAAB, Misc.)

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Monday's Trends and Indexes - 1/14 (NBA, NCAAB, Misc.)

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, January 14

    Good Luck on day #14 of 2013!

    At this time, the sports menu in this thread consists of NBA and NCAAB until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Matchup Links

    NBA Matchups

    NBA Hot and Not

    NBA Injuries

    NBA Referees

    NCAAB Matchups

    NCAAB Hot and Not

    NCAAB Injuries

    NASCAR Schedules


    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    College basketball referee Doug Shows is a busy man; here is his schedule for the last six days. This is a pretty good week at the bank.........

    -- Tuesday: Alabama @ Missouri (W84-68)
    -- Wednesday: South Carolina @ Mississippi State (W56-54)
    -- Thursday: Temple @ Xavier (W57-52)
    -- Friday: Lipscomb @ Northern Kentucky (W67-53)
    -- Saturday: Texas A&M (W83-71) @ Kentucky
    -- Sunday: Providence (W67-55) @ Seton Hall

    Shows must be considered an excellent official; he's worked these rivalry games so far this season........Louisville-Kentucky, Florida-Florida State, Clemson-South Carolina, Butler-Xavier.


    *****

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend.......

    13) Opening lines for the conference title games next Sunday:
    49ers opened at -3 at Atlanta, Patriots opened -9.5 over the Ravens.

    12) Since 2001, there've been three home dogs in conference title games:
    2004 Steelers (-3) lost 41-27 to New England.
    2008 Cardinals (+3.5) won 32-25 against the Eagles.
    2010 Bears (+3.5) lost 21-14 to Green Bay.

    11) Home teams won the last six AFC championship games, covering four of the six. Underdogs covered four of last five NFC games, with road team winning three of five SU, but #1 NFC seeds who advanced this far won four of last five games. Over last five years, dogs are 6-4 vs spread in this round.

    10) NC State is 3-0 in ACC basketball for first time since 1989; ACC is a little down this year, but the Wolfpack isn't. State-Duke are by far two best teams in the ACC.

    9) If you care about such things, Davidson is making 80.9% of its foul shots, #1 in country. Cal-Riverside is making 54.7%; they are last.

    Detroit Titans made 13 of 32 foul shots in a loss at Cleveland State Saturday; how can kids on a basketball scholarship make less than half their foul shots?

    8) The instant replay rule in tennis is tremendous; just thought I'd let you know. Australian Open started last night, its the only tennis tournament I watch all year, since its on in the middle of the night when I'm writing this outstanding website.

    7) Was Ravens' tying TD Saturday (a 70-yard TD pass with 0:30 left) the worst defensive play in NFL playoff history? I'm thinking it was.

    6) Two years ago, when the Hornets' Anthony Davis was a senior in high school, his basketball team's record was 6-26. How does a team with a kid going to Kentucky go 6-26? Davis went to a charter school where, according to him, none of the other kids cared about basketball. Go figure.

    5) Knicks-Pistons are playing in London Thursday; game starts at 3:00 ET. Pretty sure I heard its a Detroit home game. Thats London, England, not London, Ontario.

    4) Michigan got down 29-8 early, rallied to tie Ohio State, but Buckeyes pulled out a 56-53 win in Columbus; Wolverines were last unbeaten team in country, so now there are no unbeatens left, tying 2007 for the earliest there have been no unbeaten college basketball teams.

    3) Clemson was last unbeaten in '07; they're only team since 1977 to be the last unbeaten team that season, and not make the NCAA tournament.

    2) Since '77, four national champs were last unbeaten that year; Florida in 2006, UConn in '99, Duke in '92 and Kentucky in '77.

    1) #4-seeds are the divisional winner with the worst record; over the last 20 years, seven #4-seeds played in a conference title game. Six of them won, and of the seven, only the '08 Cardinals were at home.

    Ravens-Patriots game pits a 4-seed against a 2-seed; since 1990, 4-seeds are 4-0 when facing a #2-seed in a conference championship game, all on road.

    Comment


    • #3
      Patriots open as big faves in AFC Champ. Game

      The New England Patriots opened as 9.5-point favorites when they host the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC Championship Game next Sunday.

      Mike Perry, oddsmaker for Sportsbook.ag, has opened the floodgates at New England -9.5 with the total set at 51 after the Patriots’ 41-28 victory over the Texans. However, the win did come at a cost. New England lost tight end Rob Gronkowski after he re-injured his surgically repaired right forearm in the first quarter while diving to make a catch. Running back Danny Woodhead (thumb) was also forced to leave the game.

      When asked if the potential loss of Gronkowski next week factored into his line for the AFC Championship Game Perry simply replied, “not really. Not with the way this Pats offense is rolling.”

      The Patriots lost 31-30 at Baltimore in Week 3, but covered the spread as 2.5-point underdogs – the only time New England has been a pup this season.

      Online sportsbook BetOnline has opened the Patriots as 7.5-point favorites with the total also at 51.




      Niners open as 3-point faves in NFC Champ. Game

      The San Francisco 49ers opened as 3-point favorites when they visit the Atlanta Falcons in the NFC Championship Game next Sunday.

      Mike Perry, oddsmaker for Sportsbook.ag, opened the floodgates at San Francisco -3 with the total set at 47.5 after Atlanta’s dramatic 30-28 victory over the Seahawks. Perry was contemplating a line of Niners -1 after the Falcons took a 20-0 lead at the half, but wasn't impressed with Atlanta's near collapse in the second half and pumped the line up to Niners -3.

      Online sportsbook BetOnline has also opened the 49ers as 3-point favorites with a total of 47.5.
      Last edited by Udog; 01-14-2013, 08:50 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        Three tips for betting the shortened NHL season

        The NHL schedule has officially been released, which means we can begin to look at some puck value. Before we dig into the schedule (which we’ll do more in-depth this week) here are three items to keep in mind when betting this shortened 48-game season.

        1. Look hard at underdogs on short rest – The tendency is to want to fade the team that has played a bunch in a short period, say four games in five nights. But keep in mind these lines will be inflated, which is something we learned from the NBA’s lockout-shortened season last year when teams would face the tiresome task of playing three games in three nights.

        “No matter what the number was adjusted to the player felt they had to play it anyway,” said Jeff Sherman, oddsmaker at the Las Vegas Hotel.

        Unlike the NBA last year, teams will only be playing within their own conference this season so I think we could see some value here on the squads playing on short rest as public perception skews the line.

        2. Least change, most value – Look for teams that had the most success last season, combined with the least roster shake-ups this season.

        “If you compare it to the NBA last year, the teams who had the least roster change, excelled the most in general,” says bet365 trades manager Aron Black.

        Think of the L.A. Lakers this year. They made some monster moves in the summer that made them the overwhelming favorite in the West. Now they’re wondering if they’ll make the playoffs.

        The Minnesota Wild and Carolina Hurricanes made splashes in free agency this offseason – and are seeing some strong Stanley Cup futures action as a result – but keep in mind neither team made the playoffs last year.

        3. Chew on some chalk – Everybody loves an underdog, but with the Pens, Rangers and Kings all available as high as between 8-1 to 10-1, there is some strong value with the faves. Looking back to last season, the top eight teams in the East after 48 games were still the top eight teams in the East at the end of the season according to TSN. Same holds true for seven of the eight teams in the West last year. Looking back again to the NBA-shortened season, the preseason favorite Miami Heat won the championship against the West preseason No. 2 favorite, Oklahoma City.




        NHL Handicapping Mistakes Bettors Must Avoid

        With the shortened NHL season and the long lockout, betting on the NHL is going to be very different than it usually is. We learned this from the NBA last year when their shortened season led to countless handicapping headaches — especially early in the year. The biggest key for hockey bettors, then, will be avoiding costly mistakes.

        Here are six mistakes that a lot of bettors are likely to make:

        Not compensating for movement - In normal circumstances it can take a long time for a player to get comfortable with a new team and start to contribute at his full value. In this condensed season, with games played more frequently and the training camp non-existent, it could take much longer. It could be easy for bettors to get excited about teams like Minnesota or the Rangers who have had active offseasons. If you assess those teams just by what they have on paper, though, you are in real danger of overvaluing them early on before they can learn to play together and maximize what they have. Oftentimes adding a high-profile star not only requires adjustment for the player, but the team around him also has to learn to play with him. Coach movement will also be important as well. Coaches hired after the regular season ended last year have not had any time to work with their teams, so they will likely struggle to establish early relationships, get to know their talent, and implement new systems — especially if they are looking to make significant changes from what the team used to do.

        Ignoring European or AHL play - It will be strange early on this year. Some players will be in midseason form because they have been playing in Europe or the AHL for as long as they would have been playing in the NHL. Other guys will be rusty because they haven’t been playing at all. They were either busy negotiating or just relaxing and spending time with their families. They will have spent plenty of time on the ice, but practice isn’t game time. It is going to be important for handicappers to get a sense of how much playing experience a roster has had this year and at what level they were playing. Also, it could be helpful to see which players have been performing very well. Edmonton’s young stars have excelled in the AHL, for example, and Evgeni Malkin has been offensively potent as always in his European vacation.

        Overvaluing European or AHL play - As important as it is to get a sense of who has played and how they have performed, it would be easy to get carried away in your excitement or damnation regarding a player. The KHL is the closest to the NHL, but no player has been playing at the same high level that they will play at in the NHL, and they have been playing with different teammates under a different system and for a different coach. A good comparison would be that early-season play this year is much like the preseason in a regular year. It can be useful to see which players are in good form in the preseason, but you can get in a lot of trouble expecting statistical performance to translate to the regular season.

        Ignoring schedule - The schedule is always important in the NHL — teams tend to perform much worse on the road than at home, and games on short rest are often a big problem. In this short season the schedule is going to be even more of a factor than usual. There are three big reasons for this. First, the schedule is condensed, so consecutive games are likely to be more frequent. Teams that struggle with this in most cases could really be in trouble now. Second, with a shortened schedule there will be less balance in schedules, and it can be easy for one team to face a much bigger challenge than other teams — especially teams in different divisions. This could especially be an issue for West Coast teams that already face significant travel issues in a normal year. Third, with only 48 games instead of 82, each game becomes more significant in terms of importance in the playoff race. A loss means more, and it can be harder for a team to overcome. That means that early struggles can really be amplified, or that a team that gets off to a surprising early start could be better positioned to hold on and contend than they would in a longer season.

        Ignoring public impact - The public is going to struggle to understand what impact the layoff and shortened season is going to have on the game. That lack of understanding won’t stop them from making wild assumptions, though. Teams that the public generally likes will get more attention than normal, and negative opinions will be amplified as well. You’ll need to pay much more attention than normal to how the public is betting and the impact it is having on how lines are set and how they move. This will be particularly significant early in the season when these assumptions are the biggest driving force for public betting decisions.

        Not focusing on goaltending and power play - In a shortened season like this — especially one with essentially no preseason — teams that can shine in these two key areas are going to have a big advantage. Defense takes time to gel, so a strong goalie will be required to keep teams competitive early on. The power play often takes time to get into strong form as well, and it is very important to the success of a team. A team that can be expected to perform well early on with the power play is a team that will be easier to trust in their early games.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Dunkel


          Norfolk State at Howard
          The Spartans look to take advantage of a Howard team that is coming off a 51-49 loss to Hampton and is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games following a SU defeat. Norfolk State is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spartans favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Norfolk State (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

          MONDAY, JANUARY 14

          Game 717-718: Louisville at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)

          Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 78.541; Connecticut 67.593
          Dunkel Line: Louisville by 11; 137
          Vegas Line: Louisville by 7; 133
          Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-7); Over

          Game 719-720: Baylor at Kansas (9:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 66.959; Kansas 81.979
          Dunkel Line: Kansas by 15; 138
          Vegas Line: Kansas by 10 1/2; 142 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-10 1/2); Under

          Game 721-722: Elon at Western Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Elon 50.812; Western Carolina 53.590
          Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 3
          Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 1 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (-1 1/2)

          Game 723-724: Wofford at Furman (7:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 53.545; Furman 46.117
          Dunkel Line: Wofford by 7 1/2
          Vegas Line: Wofford by 7
          Dunkel Pick: Wofford (-7)

          Game 725-726: NC-Greensboro at Appalachian State (7:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 44.132; Appalachian State 46.417
          Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 2 1/2
          Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 4 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (+4 1/2)

          Game 727-728: Davidson at Georgia Southern (7:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 60.453; Georgia Southern 51.014
          Dunkel Line: Davidson by 9 1/2
          Vegas Line: Davidson by 12 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+12 1/2)

          Game 729-730: College of Charleston at The Citadel (7:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 52.904; The Citadel 37.459
          Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 15 1/2
          Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 14
          Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-14)

          Game 731-732: Weber State at Idaho State (9:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 59.791; Idaho State 45.131
          Dunkel Line: Weber State by 14 1/2
          Vegas Line: Weber State by 12 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-12 1/2)

          Game 741-742: Norfolk State at Howard (7:30 p.m. EST)

          Dunkel Ratings: Norfolk State 47.992; Howard 41.543
          Dunkel Line: Norfolk State by 6 1/2; 115
          Vegas Line: Norfolk State by 2 1/2; 120
          Dunkel Pick: Norfolk State (-2 1/2); Under

          Game 743-744: Jackson State at Prairie View (8:00 p.m. EST)

          Dunkel Ratings: Jackson State 38.061; Prairie View 42.792
          Dunkel Line: Prairie View by 4 1/2; 138
          Vegas Line: Prairie View by 6; 134 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Jackson State (+6); Over

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB
            Long Sheet

            Monday, January 14


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LOUISVILLE (15 - 1) at CONNECTICUT (12 - 3) - 1/14/2013, 7:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            LOUISVILLE is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            LOUISVILLE is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            LOUISVILLE is 95-68 ATS (+20.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
            LOUISVILLE is 95-68 ATS (+20.2 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
            LOUISVILLE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
            LOUISVILLE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
            LOUISVILLE is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
            LOUISVILLE is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
            CONNECTICUT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            LOUISVILLE is 3-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
            LOUISVILLE is 3-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            BAYLOR (11 - 4) at KANSAS (14 - 1) - 1/14/2013, 9:00 PM

            Top Trends for this game.
            BAYLOR is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
            BAYLOR is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
            BAYLOR is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            KANSAS is 3-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
            KANSAS is 3-1 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            ELON (8 - 7) at W CAROLINA (7 - 9) - 1/14/2013, 7:00 PM

            Top Trends for this game.
            ELON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
            W CAROLINA is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
            W CAROLINA is 29-54 ATS (-30.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            W CAROLINA is 2-1 against the spread versus ELON over the last 3 seasons
            W CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against ELON over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            WOFFORD (7 - 9) at FURMAN (3 - 11) - 1/14/2013, 7:00 PM

            Top Trends for this game.
            FURMAN is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
            FURMAN is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            WOFFORD is 3-1 against the spread versus FURMAN over the last 3 seasons
            WOFFORD is 3-1 straight up against FURMAN over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            UNC-GREENSBORO (3 - 11) at APPALACHIAN ST (6 - 8) - 1/14/2013, 7:00 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            UNC-GREENSBORO is 3-1 against the spread versus APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
            UNC-GREENSBORO is 3-2 straight up against APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DAVIDSON (9 - 6) at GA SOUTHERN (6 - 10) - 1/14/2013, 7:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            DAVIDSON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
            DAVIDSON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            DAVIDSON is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
            DAVIDSON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
            DAVIDSON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
            DAVIDSON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
            DAVIDSON is 131-100 ATS (+21.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DAVIDSON is 3-1 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
            DAVIDSON is 4-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            COLL OF CHARLESTON (11 - 5) at THE CITADEL (3 - 11) - 1/14/2013, 7:30 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            COLL OF CHARLESTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
            COLL OF CHARLESTON is 87-52 ATS (+29.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
            COLL OF CHARLESTON is 87-52 ATS (+29.8 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
            COLL OF CHARLESTON is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
            THE CITADEL is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
            THE CITADEL is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
            THE CITADEL is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
            THE CITADEL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            COLL OF CHARLESTON is 3-1 against the spread versus THE CITADEL over the last 3 seasons
            COLL OF CHARLESTON is 4-0 straight up against THE CITADEL over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            WEBER ST (10 - 3) at IDAHO ST (3 - 11) - 1/14/2013, 9:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            WEBER ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
            WEBER ST is 118-84 ATS (+25.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
            WEBER ST is 114-83 ATS (+22.7 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
            WEBER ST is 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
            IDAHO ST is 130-172 ATS (-59.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
            IDAHO ST is 130-172 ATS (-59.2 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
            IDAHO ST is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) in all home games since 1997.
            IDAHO ST is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
            IDAHO ST is 81-112 ATS (-42.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
            IDAHO ST is 38-62 ATS (-30.2 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
            IDAHO ST is 78-108 ATS (-40.8 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
            IDAHO ST is 58-84 ATS (-34.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
            IDAHO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
            IDAHO ST is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            IDAHO ST is 3-1 against the spread versus WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
            WEBER ST is 3-1 straight up against IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NORFOLK ST (8 - 10) at HOWARD (4 - 13) - 1/14/2013, 7:30 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            NORFOLK ST is 3-0 against the spread versus HOWARD over the last 3 seasons
            NORFOLK ST is 5-0 straight up against HOWARD over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            JACKSON ST (1 - 13) at PRAIRIE VIEW A&M (6 - 11) - 1/14/2013, 8:30 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            JACKSON ST is 2-1 against the spread versus PRAIRIE VIEW A&M over the last 3 seasons
            JACKSON ST is 4-1 straight up against PRAIRIE VIEW A&M over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAB
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Monday, January 14


              -- Louisville won five of last six games vs UConn; three of last five were decided by 3 or less points. Cardinals won last two visits here by total of three points. Louisville forces turnovers 29% of time; they're 3-0 in true road games, winning by 15-9-42 points. Huskies' losses this year are by 6-4-6 points; the've won six of last seven games, with loss in OT at Marquette. Big East home underdogs are 2-4 vs spread.
              -- Kansas won 10 of last 12 games vs Baylor, with both losses in Big X tourney, including 81-72 LY; Bears lost last five visits here, by 20-15-10-6-18 points. Baylor is 4-2 vs top 100 teams; all four of its losses are by 7 or less points- they've won at Kentucky, lost by 7 at Gonzaga. Big X home favorites are 1-6 vs spread. Jayhawks won last 13 games, with six of last eight wins vs top 100 teams.
              -- Western Carolina won four of last five games vs Elon, winning four of last five played here, with wins by 12-7-2-7 points. Catamounts are 4-0 in SoCon, with home wins by 6-3 points. Elon lost four of its last six games; their last three losses are all by 10+ points- they're 3-5 on road, with a win at South Carolina. SoCon home teams are 1-5 vs spread in games where number is 5 or less points.

              -- Wofford won seven of last eight games with Furman, winning four in a row here, by 3-11-14-7 points; Terriers lost three of last four games; they turn ball over 22.2% of time. Furman lost its last six games, but played fairly well in last two, losing to Charleston by 4, Davidson by 8. Paladins turn ball over 23.5% of time, shoot 28% from arc. SoCon home underdogs are 1-5 vs spread.
              -- NC-Greensboro is 6-5 in last 11 games vs Appalachian State, but lost five of last seven visits here, with losses by 5-14-23-8-14 points. ASU won four of last five games, after starting 0-7 vs D-I foes. UNCG is 1-11 vs D-I teams, with only win over #345 Citadel; six of its last seven losses were by 11+ points. SoCon home teams are 1-5 vs spread in games where number is 5 or less points.
              -- Davidson won 11 in row, 15 of its last 16 games vs Georgia Southern; Wildcats won last six visits here, by 9-20-21-4-7-17 points- they're 4-0 in league play, winning by 26-7-2-8 points. Eagles lost last three games, scoring 59.7 ppg; they turn ball over 23.5% of time. Davidson is 3-3 on road, winning last two away tilts by 6-8 points. SoCon home underdogs are 1-5 vs spread.
              -- Charleston won last four games vs Citadel by average score of 78-59; they won last three visits here, by 6-22-8 points. Cougars turn ball over 24% of time, but won six of last seven games; they're 5-0 on road, with no wins by more than 12 points. Citadel lost last ten games, but lost last two games by total of nine points. SoCon double digit favorites are 2-4 vs spread, 1-0 on road.

              -- Weber State won seven of last eight games vs Idaho State, but lost by hoop in last visit here LY; Wildcats had won previous three visits, by 9-2-24 points, with two of those wins in OT. Weber is 5-0 in Big Sky, 3-0 on road, winning by 21-4-7 points. Bengals won last two games, after a 0-11 start vs D-I teams; their conference losses are by 14-3-13 points. Big Sky home underdogs are 4-3 vs spread.
              -- Norfolk State is 3-0 in MEAC after going 5-10 in pre-conference tilts; their league wins are by 10-6-5 points- they're 6-3 vs teams outside top 200. Howard turns ball over 24.3% of time; their three D-I wins are vs teams ranked #280-311-295. Norfolk won last six series games, with all six by 8+ points- their last three games overall were decided by 6 or less points.
              -- Jackson State is 1-13, 0-5 in SWAC, with three of five losses by 4 or less points; this is their 13th road game out of 15- their conference road losses are by 4-1-27 points. Prairie View lost six of its last seven games; they're 2-1 at home vs D-I teams, with wins by 1-16. State won six of last seven series games. PV turns ball over 21.7% of time, shoots only 26% behind the arc.

              Comment


              • #8
                NCAAB

                Monday, January 14


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Trend Report
                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                7:00 PM
                LOUISVILLE vs. CONNECTICUT
                The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Louisville's last 10 games on the road
                Louisville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                Connecticut is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                Connecticut is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Louisville

                7:00 PM
                UNC GREENSBORO vs. APPALACHIAN STATE
                UNC Greensboro is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                Appalachian State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
                Appalachian State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against UNC Greensboro

                7:00 PM
                WOFFORD vs. FURMAN
                Wofford is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wofford's last 5 games when playing on the road against Furman
                Furman is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Wofford
                Furman is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Wofford

                7:00 PM
                ELON vs. WESTERN CAROLINA
                Elon is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Western Carolina
                Elon is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
                Western Carolina is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Elon
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Carolina's last 5 games when playing Elon

                7:00 PM
                DAVIDSON vs. GEORGIA SOUTHERN
                Davidson is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
                Davidson is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
                Georgia Southern is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                Georgia Southern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Davidson

                7:30 PM
                COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON vs. THE CITADEL
                College of Charleston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                College of Charleston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against The Citadel
                The Citadel is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                The Citadel is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing College of Charleston

                9:00 PM
                BAYLOR vs. KANSAS
                The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baylor's last 9 games on the road
                Baylor is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Kansas
                Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                Kansas is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Baylor

                9:00 PM
                HOUSTON BAPTIST vs. TEXAS EL PASO
                No trends available
                Texas El Paso is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
                Texas El Paso is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

                9:05 PM
                WEBER STATE vs. IDAHO STATE
                Weber State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Idaho State
                Weber State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                Idaho State is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games
                Idaho State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Weber State


                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                Comment


                • #9
                  NCAAB

                  Monday, January 14


                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Game of the day: Louisville at UConn
                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Louisville at Connecticut (+6)

                  No. 4 Louisville is on an impressive run and seeks its 11th consecutive victory when it visits Connecticut in Hartford on Monday. The Cardinals are one of three unbeaten teams in Big East play and are off to the program’s best start since opening 16-1 during the 2003-04 campaign. Louisville coach Rick Pitino is expecting a fierce battle with the Huskies, who notched an impressive road victory at Notre Dame on Saturday under first-year coach Kevin Ollie. “They are a terrific team,” Pitino said. “I’m really happy for them because I love their coach. He is a class young man and I knew he would do a great job.” UConn has won two consecutive games and is 8-0 on its home courts.

                  TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN.

                  ABOUT LOUISVILLE (15-1, 3-0 Big East): Sophomore forward Chane Behanan was a surprise participant in the victory over South Florida and grabbed 12 rebounds while scoring seven points. It was feared Behanan would miss three or four games after he sprained his left ankle on Jan. 7 but he missed just one outing. “My whole foot was swollen for three days and there’s still pain,” Behanan said. “But it’s something I could tolerate and won’t let dictate us getting out of the Top 5 in the country. I can handle the pain.” Behanan is third on the Cardinals in scoring (11.1) and second in rebounding (7.4). Junior guard Russ Smith averages a team-best 18.7 points, senior point guard Peyton Siva contributes 11.9 points and a team-best 5.8 assists and junior center Gorgui Dieng checks in at 9.6 points and 9.8 rebounds per outing.

                  ABOUT CONNECTICUT (12-3, 2-1 Big East): Junior forward Tyler Olander delivered a stunning performance with a career-high 16 points in the win over Notre Dame. Olander entered the contest with a 4.6 scoring average and hit 8-of-9 shots in the best effort of his career. “It’s definitely very rewarding,” said Olander, now averaging 5.3 points. “Things weren’t really working out for me at the beginning of the season. I stuck with it and kept working hard and got into the gym. It feels good to finally have hard work paying off.” Junior guard Shabazz Napier leads the Huskies with a 17.5 scoring average. Sophomore guard Ryan Boatright (16.1), sophomore forward DeAndre Daniels (11 points) and freshman guard Omar Calhoun (10.1) also average in double digits.

                  TRENDS:

                  * Cardinals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.
                  * Huskies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs. Big East foes.
                  * Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last seven Monday games.
                  * Cardinals are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.

                  TIP-INS:

                  1. Louisville leads the series 7-6 and routed UConn 80-59 in last season’s lone meeting.

                  2. Siva had 17 points in Saturday’s win over South Florida to become the 64th player in school history to reach 1,000 career points. He has 1,004.

                  3. UConn is shooting just 32.5 percent from 3-point range with Napier (40.3) the only player shooting better than 40 percent.


                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    NBA
                    Dunkel


                    LA Clippers at Memphis
                    The Grizzlies look to take advantage of a Clippers team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 road games against teams with a home winning percentage above .600. Memphis is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

                    MONDAY, JANUARY 14

                    Game 701-702: Orlando at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)

                    Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 114.999; Washington 115.981
                    Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 197
                    Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 192
                    Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+2 1/2); Over

                    Game 703-704: Charlotte at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)

                    Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 110.798; Boston 124.503
                    Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 13 1/2; 185
                    Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 11; 189 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Boston (-11); Under

                    Game 705-706: Atlanta at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)

                    Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 112.815; Chicago 117.723
                    Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 5; 181
                    Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 185 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3 1/2); Under

                    Game 707-708: LA Clippers at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)

                    Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 122.094; Memphis 127.147
                    Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 5; 188
                    Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 2 1/2; 184
                    Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-2 1/2); Over

                    Game 709-710: Minnesota at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)

                    Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 113.743; Dallas 118.877
                    Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 5; 203
                    Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 7; 197
                    Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+7); Over

                    Game 711-712: Miami at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)

                    Dunkel Ratings: Miami 119.649; Utah 116.866
                    Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 3; 191
                    Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 2 1/2; 197
                    Dunkel Pick: Miami (-2 1/2); Under

                    Game 713-714: Oklahoma City at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)

                    Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 125.390; Phoenix 117.384
                    Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8; 207
                    Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5; 200
                    Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-5); Over

                    Game 715-716: Cleveland at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)

                    Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 110.186; Sacramento 122.277
                    Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 12; 200
                    Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 5 1/2; 204 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (-5 1/2); Under

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      NBA
                      Armadillo's Write-Up

                      Monday, January 14


                      Hot Teams
                      -- Wizards won last two games, covered four of five at home (0-2 HF).
                      -- Celtics won last five games, allowing 84.4 ppg (6-3 last nine HF).
                      -- Clippers won 20 of last 23 games (3-2 AU). Memphis won four of its last five games (10-6-1 HF).
                      -- Dallas won last two games, after losing 13 of previous 15 (5-5 HF).
                      -- Jazz won five of last seven games (3-0 HU).
                      -- Oklahoma City won five of last six games (9-4-1 AF).

                      Cold Teams

                      -- Magic snapped 10-game skid with a win Saturday (9-2 last 11 AU).
                      -- Hornets lost 22 of last 24 games (7-11 AU).
                      -- Hawks lost five of last six games (3-5 AU). Chicago lost four of its last six home games (3-14 HF).
                      -- Minnesota lost four of last five games (2-6 last eight AU).
                      -- Miami lost three of last five games (5-9 AF).
                      -- Suns lost five of their last six games (4-4 HU).
                      -- Kings lost last four games, three by 20+ points (4-3-1 HF). Cavaliers lost seven of last nine games (12-9 AU).

                      Totals

                      -- Last ten Orlando games went over the total.
                      -- Five of last six Charlotte road games stayed under.
                      -- Five of last seven Atlanta games stayed under.
                      -- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Memphis games.
                      -- Five of last six Minnesota road games stayed under total.
                      -- Four of last five Miami games stayed under the total.
                      -- Five of last six Thunder games stayed under the total.
                      -- Nine of last ten Sacramento games went over total.

                      Back-to-backs

                      -- Minnesota is 3-5 vs spread on road if it played night before.
                      -- Thunder is 3-4 vs spread if it played the night before.
                      -- Cleveland is 5-3 vs spread on road if it played night before.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        NBA

                        Monday, January 14


                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                        Trend Report
                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        7:00 PM
                        ORLANDO vs. WASHINGTON
                        Orlando is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
                        Orlando is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Washington
                        Washington is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Orlando
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home

                        7:30 PM
                        CHARLOTTE vs. BOSTON
                        Charlotte is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Boston
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home
                        Boston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

                        8:00 PM
                        LA CLIPPERS vs. MEMPHIS
                        LA Clippers are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games on the road
                        LA Clippers are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games on the road
                        Memphis is 15-7 SU in their last 22 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

                        8:00 PM
                        ATLANTA vs. CHICAGO
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
                        Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                        Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
                        Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

                        8:30 PM
                        MINNESOTA vs. DALLAS
                        Minnesota is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Dallas
                        Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
                        Dallas is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing Minnesota
                        Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

                        9:00 PM
                        MIAMI vs. UTAH
                        Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                        Miami is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
                        Utah is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing Miami
                        The total has gone OVER in 12 of Utah's last 18 games when playing Miami

                        9:00 PM
                        OKLAHOMA CITY vs. PHOENIX
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
                        Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
                        Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
                        Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City

                        10:00 PM
                        CLEVELAND vs. SACRAMENTO
                        Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
                        Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
                        Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                        Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland


                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          NBA

                          Monday, January 14


                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          NBA game of the day: Clippers at Grizzlies
                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          Los Angeles Clippers at Memphis Grizzlies (-2.5, 184)

                          The Memphis Grizzlies did the unthinkable on Saturday - they allowed another team to score at least 100 points. Looking tired on the second night of a back-to-back, the Grizzlies got blown out at Dallas and will be looking to bounce back when they host the Los Angeles Clippers on Monday. The Clippers are coming off an ugly loss of their own and have struggled a bit on the road, dropping their last two.

                          Memphis had allowed an opponent to reach 100 points only twice previously, including the opening game of the season when Los Angeles got 29 points from Jamal Crawford in a 101-92 victory at Staples Center. But after squeezing out an overtime victory over the San Antonio Spurs on Friday, the Grizzlies had little left the next night and had to endure a 104-83 loss to the Mavericks. The Clippers had their 13-game home winning streak end when they were outscored 29-18 in the fourth quarter of a 104-101 loss to lowly Orlando on Saturday.

                          TV: 8 p.m. ET, Prime Ticket (Los Angeles), SportSouth (Memphis)

                          ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (28-9): Los Angeles is not far behind the Grizzlies in terms of its team defense but could not get the stops it needed late in Saturday’s contest. That snapped a three-game overall winning streak for the Clippers, who are opening up a three-game road trip at Memphis and will play 14 of their next 17 away from Staples Center. Chris Paul was dominant in the losing effort again on Saturday with 16 assists and only two turnovers. The MVP candidate is averaging 13.5 assists over the past four contests. Paul collected 12 points and 12 assists in the Oct. 31 meeting with Memphis as the Clippers put six players in double figures and shot 51.4 percent from the floor.

                          ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES (24-11): Memphis had a four-game winning streak snapped in the loss to the Mavericks and is still one of only two teams in the NBA holding opponents to a average of less than 90 points (89.7). The Grizzlies could have attempted to keep it closer against Dallas but elected to sit all five starters for the entire fourth quarter to rest up for Monday. Rudy Gay was the only starter to reach double figures with 12 points. Gay went for 24 points in the opener against the Clippers and Zach Randolph pulled down 16 rebounds but Memphis could not get the job done defensively and went 2-for-14 from 3-point range.

                          TRENDS:

                          * Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a loss.
                          * Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
                          * Over is 4-1 in Clippers’ last five overall.
                          * Under is 6-1 in Grizzlies’ last seven games following a loss.

                          BUZZER BEATERS:

                          1. The Clippers beat the Grizzlies in a seven-game playoff series last spring, taking the clinching game in Memphis 82-72.

                          2. Los Angeles F Grant Hill (knee) made his season debut on Saturday and played six minutes.

                          3. Memphis G Mike Conley is shooting 29.4 percent (5-of-17) from 3-point range in the last six games.


                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            NBA
                            Long Sheet

                            Monday, January 14


                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            ORLANDO (13 - 23) at WASHINGTON (6 - 28) - 1/14/2013, 7:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            ORLANDO is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                            ORLANDO is 23-42 ATS (-23.2 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
                            ORLANDO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
                            ORLANDO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=91 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                            ORLANDO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games this season.
                            WASHINGTON is 604-688 ATS (-152.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
                            WASHINGTON is 289-356 ATS (-102.6 Units) in home games since 1996.
                            WASHINGTON is 140-180 ATS (-58.0 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            WASHINGTON is 6-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
                            ORLANDO is 8-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
                            5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            CHARLOTTE (9 - 27) at BOSTON (19 - 17) - 1/14/2013, 7:35 PM

                            Top Trends for this game.
                            CHARLOTTE is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all games this season.
                            CHARLOTTE is 34-58 ATS (-29.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
                            CHARLOTTE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
                            CHARLOTTE is 19-40 ATS (-25.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
                            CHARLOTTE is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                            CHARLOTTE is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.
                            BOSTON is 21-42 ATS (-25.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            CHARLOTTE is 4-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
                            BOSTON is 5-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
                            3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            ATLANTA (21 - 15) at CHICAGO (20 - 15) - 1/14/2013, 8:05 PM

                            Top Trends for this game.
                            ATLANTA is 56-82 ATS (-34.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
                            CHICAGO is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
                            CHICAGO is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games this season.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            CHICAGO is 8-6 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
                            CHICAGO is 9-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
                            9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            LA CLIPPERS (28 - 9) at MEMPHIS (24 - 11) - 1/14/2013, 8:05 PM

                            Top Trends for this game.
                            LA CLIPPERS are 398-465 ATS (-113.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
                            LA CLIPPERS are 64-90 ATS (-35.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
                            LA CLIPPERS are 152-195 ATS (-62.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
                            LA CLIPPERS are 71-103 ATS (-42.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
                            MEMPHIS is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
                            MEMPHIS is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
                            MEMPHIS is 55-34 ATS (+17.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
                            MEMPHIS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                            MEMPHIS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            LA CLIPPERS is 8-6 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
                            LA CLIPPERS is 9-6 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
                            9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            MINNESOTA (16 - 18) at DALLAS (15 - 23) - 1/14/2013, 8:35 PM

                            Top Trends for this game.
                            DALLAS is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
                            MINNESOTA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
                            MINNESOTA is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            MINNESOTA is 6-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                            DALLAS is 4-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
                            4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            MIAMI (24 - 11) at UTAH (20 - 19) - 1/14/2013, 9:05 PM

                            Top Trends for this game.
                            UTAH is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
                            MIAMI is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            UTAH is 2-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
                            UTAH is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
                            2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            OKLAHOMA CITY (29 - 8) at PHOENIX (13 - 26) - 1/14/2013, 9:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
                            OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
                            OKLAHOMA CITY is 110-79 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road games since 1996.
                            PHOENIX is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
                            PHOENIX is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
                            OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
                            7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            CLEVELAND (9 - 30) at SACRAMENTO (13 - 24) - 1/14/2013, 10:05 PM
                            Top Trends for this game.
                            CLEVELAND is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
                            CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            SACRAMENTO is 2-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
                            CLEVELAND is 2-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
                            2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              NBA

                              Monday, January 14


                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                              NBA's fastest and slowest offensive teams
                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                              Handicapping NBA totals without using offensive pace is like trying to build a shed with just a glue gun – you’re missing a few important tools there bub.

                              Offensive pace, a stat made famous by former ESPN NBA analyst and current Vice President of Basketball Operations for the Memphis Grizzlies John Hollinger, is the average number of possessions a team has per game.

                              For NBA total bettors, possessions mean points and points are the name of the game capping the over/under. Here’s a look at the three teams with the highest offensive pace and the three with the lowest, and how books are dealing with those teams’ totals.

                              Stats prior to action on Sunday, Jan. 12

                              Fastest offensive pace

                              Houston Rockets - 99.3 (22-16 over/under)


                              Houston has rocket fuel in their Nike’s with James Harden and Jeremy Lin headline a high-octane backcourt. The Rockets are second in the league in scoring (105.4) but have also given up a ton of points, allowing 103.3 ppg – 28th in the league. That’s an old fashion recipe for overs.

                              Los Angeles Lakers – 97.5 (19-16-1 over/under)


                              The Lakers pace is averaging 103.1 points, with a push from offensively-minded head coach Mike D’Antoni. With Pau Gasol and Dwight Howard on the shelf, L.A.’s has gone to a smaller, quicker lineup which could see its possession go up even further.

                              San Antonio Spurs/Denver Nuggets – 96.8 (19-20-0 over/under / 19-19-0 over/under)

                              The Spurs inclusion to this list may be a surprise to some, what with their aging core of superstars. San Antonio is making the most of all those possessions, averaging 104.8 points on 48.3 percent shooting a night – fourth best in the NBA. Denver is cut from a similar cloth, scoring 102 points on 46.4 percent shooting – fifth in the league.

                              Slowest offensive pace

                              New Orleans Hornets – 90.2 (18-18-0 over/under)

                              The Hornets only average 92 points a night but have seen a slight boost in scoring since the return of guard Eric Gordon. However, books may have adjusted a little too much for Gordon’s return. New Orleans slow-motion pace has gone 3-4 over/under in those games.

                              Brooklyn Nets – 90.4 (15-20-1 over/under)


                              The offensive pace has picked up since the Nets canned Avery Jones and handed the keys to P.J. Carlesimo. In the eight games since the coaching change, Brooklyn is averaging more than 102 points per game, posting a 5-3 over/under count. On the year, the Nets average just 96.2 points.

                              Indiana Pacers – 92.4 (13-23-1 over/under)


                              No team has a more misleading nickname than the Pacers. Indiana’s pace isn’t anywhere near Indy 500 speeds, making it one of the best under plays in the NBA. The Pacers are among the bottom dwellers in scoring (91.1) and haven’t been able to make up for the loss of Danny Granger, who won’t be back until February – maybe.


                              ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                              Comment

                              Working...
                              X