The Bum's NBA Best Bets For January !

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, January 14

Hot Teams
-- Wizards won last two games, covered four of five at home (0-2 HF).
-- Celtics won last five games, allowing 84.4 ppg (6-3 last nine HF).
-- Clippers won 20 of last 23 games (3-2 AU). Memphis won four of its last five games (10-6-1 HF).
-- Dallas won last two games, after losing 13 of previous 15 (5-5 HF).
-- Jazz won five of last seven games (3-0 HU).
-- Oklahoma City won five of last six games (9-4-1 AF).

Cold Teams
-- Magic snapped 10-game skid with a win Saturday (9-2 last 11 AU).
-- Hornets lost 22 of last 24 games (7-11 AU).
-- Hawks lost five of last six games (3-5 AU). Chicago lost four of its last six home games (3-14 HF).
-- Minnesota lost four of last five games (2-6 last eight AU).
-- Miami lost three of last five games (5-9 AF).
-- Suns lost five of their last six games (4-4 HU).
-- Kings lost last four games, three by 20+ points (4-3-1 HF). Cavaliers lost seven of last nine games (12-9 AU).

Totals
-- Last ten Orlando games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Charlotte road games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Atlanta games stayed under.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Memphis games.
-- Five of last six Minnesota road games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Thunder games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last ten Sacramento games went over total.

Back-to-backs
-- Minnesota is 3-5 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Thunder is 3-4 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Cleveland is 5-3 vs spread on road if it played night before.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Monday, January 14

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. WASHINGTON
Orlando is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
Orlando is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Washington
Washington is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. BOSTON
Charlotte is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home
Boston is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. MEMPHIS
LA Clippers are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games on the road
LA Clippers are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games on the road
Memphis is 15-7 SU in their last 22 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DALLAS
Minnesota is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing Minnesota
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

9:00 PM
MIAMI vs. UTAH
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Miami is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Utah is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Utah's last 18 games when playing Miami

9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City

10:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. SACRAMENTO
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Monday, January 14

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NBA game of the day: Clippers at Grizzlies
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Los Angeles Clippers at Memphis Grizzlies (-2.5, 184)

The Memphis Grizzlies did the unthinkable on Saturday - they allowed another team to score at least 100 points. Looking tired on the second night of a back-to-back, the Grizzlies got blown out at Dallas and will be looking to bounce back when they host the Los Angeles Clippers on Monday. The Clippers are coming off an ugly loss of their own and have struggled a bit on the road, dropping their last two.

Memphis had allowed an opponent to reach 100 points only twice previously, including the opening game of the season when Los Angeles got 29 points from Jamal Crawford in a 101-92 victory at Staples Center. But after squeezing out an overtime victory over the San Antonio Spurs on Friday, the Grizzlies had little left the next night and had to endure a 104-83 loss to the Mavericks. The Clippers had their 13-game home winning streak end when they were outscored 29-18 in the fourth quarter of a 104-101 loss to lowly Orlando on Saturday.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, Prime Ticket (Los Angeles), SportSouth (Memphis)

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (28-9): Los Angeles is not far behind the Grizzlies in terms of its team defense but could not get the stops it needed late in Saturday’s contest. That snapped a three-game overall winning streak for the Clippers, who are opening up a three-game road trip at Memphis and will play 14 of their next 17 away from Staples Center. Chris Paul was dominant in the losing effort again on Saturday with 16 assists and only two turnovers. The MVP candidate is averaging 13.5 assists over the past four contests. Paul collected 12 points and 12 assists in the Oct. 31 meeting with Memphis as the Clippers put six players in double figures and shot 51.4 percent from the floor.

ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES (24-11): Memphis had a four-game winning streak snapped in the loss to the Mavericks and is still one of only two teams in the NBA holding opponents to a average of less than 90 points (89.7). The Grizzlies could have attempted to keep it closer against Dallas but elected to sit all five starters for the entire fourth quarter to rest up for Monday. Rudy Gay was the only starter to reach double figures with 12 points. Gay went for 24 points in the opener against the Clippers and Zach Randolph pulled down 16 rebounds but Memphis could not get the job done defensively and went 2-for-14 from 3-point range.

TRENDS:

* Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a loss.
* Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Over is 4-1 in Clippers’ last five overall.
* Under is 6-1 in Grizzlies’ last seven games following a loss.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Clippers beat the Grizzlies in a seven-game playoff series last spring, taking the clinching game in Memphis 82-72.

2. Los Angeles F Grant Hill (knee) made his season debut on Saturday and played six minutes.

3. Memphis G Mike Conley is shooting 29.4 percent (5-of-17) from 3-point range in the last six games.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, January 14

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ORLANDO (13 - 23) at WASHINGTON (6 - 28) - 1/14/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 23-42 ATS (-23.2 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
ORLANDO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=91 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 604-688 ATS (-152.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 289-356 ATS (-102.6 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 140-180 ATS (-58.0 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 8-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (9 - 27) at BOSTON (19 - 17) - 1/14/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 34-58 ATS (-29.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 19-40 ATS (-25.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.
BOSTON is 21-42 ATS (-25.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 4-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (21 - 15) at CHICAGO (20 - 15) - 1/14/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 56-82 ATS (-34.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
CHICAGO is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 8-6 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 9-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (28 - 9) at MEMPHIS (24 - 11) - 1/14/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 398-465 ATS (-113.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 64-90 ATS (-35.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 152-195 ATS (-62.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 71-103 ATS (-42.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 55-34 ATS (+17.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MEMPHIS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 8-6 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 9-6 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (16 - 18) at DALLAS (15 - 23) - 1/14/2013, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (24 - 11) at UTAH (20 - 19) - 1/14/2013, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (29 - 8) at PHOENIX (13 - 26) - 1/14/2013, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 110-79 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road games since 1996.
PHOENIX is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (9 - 30) at SACRAMENTO (13 - 24) - 1/14/2013, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 2-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 2-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Monday, January 14

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NBA's fastest and slowest offensive teams
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Handicapping NBA totals without using offensive pace is like trying to build a shed with just a glue gun – you’re missing a few important tools there bub.

Offensive pace, a stat made famous by former ESPN NBA analyst and current Vice President of Basketball Operations for the Memphis Grizzlies John Hollinger, is the average number of possessions a team has per game.

For NBA total bettors, possessions mean points and points are the name of the game capping the over/under. Here’s a look at the three teams with the highest offensive pace and the three with the lowest, and how books are dealing with those teams’ totals.

Stats prior to action on Sunday, Jan. 12

Fastest offensive pace

Houston Rockets - 99.3 (22-16 over/under)

Houston has rocket fuel in their Nike’s with James Harden and Jeremy Lin headline a high-octane backcourt. The Rockets are second in the league in scoring (105.4) but have also given up a ton of points, allowing 103.3 ppg – 28th in the league. That’s an old fashion recipe for overs.

Los Angeles Lakers – 97.5 (19-16-1 over/under)

The Lakers pace is averaging 103.1 points, with a push from offensively-minded head coach Mike D’Antoni. With Pau Gasol and Dwight Howard on the shelf, L.A.’s has gone to a smaller, quicker lineup which could see its possession go up even further.

San Antonio Spurs/Denver Nuggets – 96.8 (19-20-0 over/under / 19-19-0 over/under)

The Spurs inclusion to this list may be a surprise to some, what with their aging core of superstars. San Antonio is making the most of all those possessions, averaging 104.8 points on 48.3 percent shooting a night – fourth best in the NBA. Denver is cut from a similar cloth, scoring 102 points on 46.4 percent shooting – fifth in the league.

Slowest offensive pace

New Orleans Hornets – 90.2 (18-18-0 over/under)

The Hornets only average 92 points a night but have seen a slight boost in scoring since the return of guard Eric Gordon. However, books may have adjusted a little too much for Gordon’s return. New Orleans slow-motion pace has gone 3-4 over/under in those games.

Brooklyn Nets – 90.4 (15-20-1 over/under)

The offensive pace has picked up since the Nets canned Avery Jones and handed the keys to P.J. Carlesimo. In the eight games since the coaching change, Brooklyn is averaging more than 102 points per game, posting a 5-3 over/under count. On the year, the Nets average just 96.2 points.

Indiana Pacers – 92.4 (13-23-1 over/under)

No team has a more misleading nickname than the Pacers. Indiana’s pace isn’t anywhere near Indy 500 speeds, making it one of the best under plays in the NBA. The Pacers are among the bottom dwellers in scoring (91.1) and haven’t been able to make up for the loss of Danny Granger, who won’t be back until February – maybe.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, January 14

Orlando at Washington, 7:05 ET
Orlando: 11-2 ATS away after playing BB games as an underdog
Washington: 1-9 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less

Charlotte at Boston, 7:35 ET
Charlotte: 3-12 ATS off a road game
Boston: 16-6 Under in January

Atlanta at Chicago, 8:05 ET NBATV
Atlanta: 25-7 ATS off ATS losses in 5 or 6 of their last 7 games
Chicago: 4-16 ATS in home games

LA Clippers at Memphis, 8:05 ET
LA Clippers: 6-19 ATS away off a combined score of 205+ points
Memphis: 7-0 ATS revenging a road loss

Minnesota at Dallas, 8:35 ET
Minnesota: 18-7 ATS away off an Under
Dallas: 34-17 Over at home off a home win by 20+ points

Miami at Utah, 9:05 ET
Miami: 3-11 ATS after playing as a road favorite
Utah: 22-11 ATS with a line of +3 to -3

Oklahoma City at Phoenix, 9:05 ET
Oklahoma City: 14-4 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Phoenix: 9-25 ATS revenging a road loss

Cleveland at Sacramento, 10:05 ET
Cleveland: 40-21 Under after losing 4 of their last 5 games
Sacramento: 1-8 ATS off a home loss

[StarDust Bum]

Monday, January 14

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Orlando - 7:00 PM ET Orlando +2 500
Washington - Over 192 500

Charlotte - 7:30 PM ET Charlotte +11.5 500
Boston - Under 189 500

Atlanta - 8:00 PM ET Atlanta +4 500
Chicago - Under 185.5 500

L.A. Clippers - 8:00 PM ET L.A. Clippers +2.5 500
Memphis - Over 184.5 500

Minnesota - 8:30 PM ET Minnesota +7 500 POD
Dallas - Under 197 500

Miami - 9:00 PM ET Utah +2.5 500
Utah - Under 197 500

Oklahoma City - 9:00 PM ET Oklahoma City -6 500
Phoenix - Over 201 500

Cleveland - 10:00 PM ET Sacramento -5.5 500
Sacramento - Over 203.5 500

[Udog]

Thanks, Bum! Good luck tonight! Thunder up!

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

New Orleans at Philadelphia
The Sixers look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games against the Hornets. Philadelphia is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Sixers favored by 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-3). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JANUARY 15

Game 501-502: Indiana at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 119.641; Charlotte 110.668
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 9; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 7 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-7 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: New Orleans at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 112.658; Philadelphia 117.999
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 5 1/2; 180
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-3); Under

Game 505-506: Toronto at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 117.631; Brooklyn 122.026
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 7; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+7); Over

Game 507-508: LA Clippers at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 124.885; Houston 121.609
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 509-510: Portland at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 117.513; Denver 127.249
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 9 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 8 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-8 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Milwaukee at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 114.440 LA Lakers 122.339
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 8; 208
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 6 1/2; 212 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-6 1/2); Under




NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 15

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INDIANA (23 - 15) at CHARLOTTE (9 - 28) - 1/15/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 34-59 ATS (-30.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 22-54 ATS (-37.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 19-41 ATS (-26.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (11 - 26) at PHILADELPHIA (16 - 22) - 1/15/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 50-37 ATS (+9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 163-127 ATS (+23.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 70-105 ATS (-45.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (14 - 23) at BROOKLYN (22 - 15) - 1/15/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 171-220 ATS (-71.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 30-46 ATS (-20.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 6-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (29 - 9) at HOUSTON (21 - 17) - 1/15/2013, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (20 - 17) at DENVER (23 - 16) - 1/15/2013, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 63-49 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (19 - 17) at LA LAKERS (16 - 21) - 1/15/2013, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 46-67 ATS (-27.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 43-61 ATS (-24.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
LA LAKERS are 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 15

Hot Teams
-- Pacers won 13 of last 17 games (7-1 AF).
-- Hornets won four of last five games (11-5 AU).
-- Brooklyn won six in row, eight of nine since changing coaches (4-1 last five HF). Raptors won 10 of last 14 games (8-9 AU, 3-1 last four).
-- Clippers won four of last five games (4-6 AF).
-- Nuggets won last five games (11-5 HF). Portland won 12 of last 17 games, covered 7 of 9 (7-9 AU).
-- Bucks won three of four games since changing coaches (8-4 AU).

Cold Teams
-- Charlotte lost 23 of last 25 games (6-7 HU).
-- 76ers lost seven of last nine games (5-8 HF).
-- Houston lost last three games, by 9-12-7 points (2-2 HU).
-- Lakers lost six of last seven games (4-8 last 12 HF).

Totals
-- Seven of last eight Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Hornet games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of last 17 Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Clipper games went over total.
-- Seven of last ten Portland road games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Milwaukee games went over total.

Back-to-backs
-- Charlotte is 5-5 vs spread if it played night before, 2-1 at home.
-- Clippers are 1-4 vs spread on road if they played night before.




NBA

Tuesday, January 15

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. PHILADELPHIA
New Orleans is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Philadelphia's last 12 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans

7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. CHARLOTTE
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Charlotte is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 6 games on the road
LA Clippers are 6-13 SU in their last 19 games when playing Houston
Houston is 13-6 SU in their last 19 games when playing LA Clippers
Houston is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers

9:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. DENVER
Portland is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing at home against Portland

10:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. LA LAKERS
Milwaukee is 5-16 SU in their last 21 games when playing LA Lakers
Milwaukee is 3-14 SU in their last 17 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games when playing Milwaukee
LA Lakers are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games at home

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Tuesday, January 15

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Clippers at Rockets: What bettors need to know
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Los Angeles Clippers at Houston Rockets (+1, 208)

The Los Angeles Clippers turned in perhaps their most impressive performance of the season on Monday, kicking off a three-game road trip by crushing the Memphis Grizzlies without All-Star point guard Chris Paul in the lineup. Paul sat out the 99-73 rout of the Grizzlies due to a bruised right kneecap and he will be a game-time decision for Tuesday's matchup with the Houston Rockets. It was the lowest point total allowed by Los Angeles and started a stretch in which it plays 14 of 17 games away from home.

The Rockets will be happy to be back home - even if it's for only one game - after going winless on a three-game road trip to New Orleans, Boston and Philadelphia. The Rockets had won five straight prior to the recent skid and will be facing a four-game road trip following the matchup with the Clippers. The Rockets averaged 115.8 points during their five-game run but saw that total dip to 90 points in the third-game skid. In all, Houston will play 12 of 17 games away from home in January.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, Prime Ticket (Los Angeles), Comcast SportsNet Houston

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (29-9, 23-15-0 ATS): Eric Bledsoe made his first start of the season in place of Paul and scored 14 points to go along with four assists and two steals. Reserves Jamal Crawford and Matt Barnes scored 16 points apiece and Grant Hill had eight points in his second appearance of the season as Los Angeles' bench outscored the starters 54-45. Hill played 17 minutes and went 3-of-5 from the field while collecting four rebounds and four assists. Barnes is averaging 14 points in his last four games.

ABOUT THE ROCKETS (21-17, 21-16-1 ATS): While James Harden has scored at least 20 points in 20 consecutive games, backcourt mate Jeremy Lin has struggled with his outside shooting during the three-game losing streak. Lin averaged 9.3 points on the road trip while shooting 10-of-34 overall and 2-of-10 from 3-point range. Lin had hit more than one 3-pointer only twice in his last 24 games. The offensive struggles haven't affected Lin's defense - he has at least three steals in four consecutive games.

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.
* Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Houston.
* Clippers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine vs. NBA Southwest.
* Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Clippers won all three meetings last season, including a two-point overtime victory in Houston.

2. The Rockets are shooting 26.1 percent (24-of-92) from behind the arc in the last three games.

3. Paul sat out his first game of the season. He had 16 assists in each of his two previous games.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, January 15

Indiana at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Indiana: 10-2 ATS after playing as a road underdog
Charlotte: 2-13 ATS playing their fourth game in five days

New Orleans at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
New Orleans: 8-0 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Philadelphia: 14-4 Over in home games

Toronto at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
Toronto: 17-4 Under vs. division opponents
Brooklyn: 4-17 ATS at home off an ATS win

LA Clippers at Houston, 8:05 ET
LA Clippers: 12-4 Over off a combined score of 175 points or less
Houston: 13-3 ATS off 3+ road losses

Portland at Denver, 9:05 ET NBATV
Portland: 1-14 ATS off BB ATS wins
Denver: 23-11 Under at home after allowing 105+ points

Milwaukee at LA Lakers, 10:35 ET
Milwaukee: 9-20 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
LA Lakers: 21-8 Over after losing 3 of their last 4 games

[StarDust Bum]

Clippers visit Houston Tuesday, likely minus Paul

LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (29-9)

at HOUSTON ROCKETS (21-17)


Tip-off: Tuesday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Line: Houston -3, Total: 206.5

One night after dismantling Memphis without their star point guard, the Clippers continue their road trip against a slumping Rockets team on Tuesday night.

Los Angeles crushed the Grizzlies on Monday night despite Chris Paul sitting out with a bruised right kneecap, outshooting them 46.1% to 30.3% FG in a 99-73 laugher. That ended a three-game ATS road losing skid and gives the Clippers four wins in the past five contests. Houston is coming off an 0-3 (SU and ATS) road trip where it was beaten by a combined 28 points, but the team is 7-1 SU (6-2 ATS) in its past eight home games. These clubs are meeting for the first time this season after L.A. swept the Rockets (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) in the 2011-12 campaign. Paul is doubtful to return for Tuesday's game, but Houston could also be without its starting point guard, Jeremy Lin, who is questionable due to a sprained ankle.

Can the Rockets stop their slide on Tuesday night? For the answer, connect to NBA Best Bets for all the Expert picks throughout the entire 2012-13 season. ******* Brian is 22-13 ATS (63%) on NBA Best Bets since Dec. 23, giving him a 55% ATS mark (61-51-3) for the season. ******* Scott has a season Best Bets mark of 53.1% ATS (52-46), with Gary going 6-3 ATS since Jan. 9 to boost him to 52.3% ATS for the season. The four experts are collectively 51.1% ATS (230-220-11) on Best Bets for the season. For NBA Totals, Scott continues to have a profitable year at 53-40 (57%) for his season NBA totals.

Los Angeles is one of the better offensive teams in the league with 101.7 PPG (7th in NBA), but its defense has been even more impressive (92.8 PPG allowed, 4th in NBA). With Paul sitting out on Monday, Eric Bledsoe did an admirable job of filling in with 14 points, four assists, zero turnovers and a +10 rating in his 28 minutes of action. The other six reserves also had a huge performance against the Grizzlies with a collective 54 points, 26 rebounds, nine assists and a +97 rating. SF Matt Barnes (11.2 PPG, 5.2 RPG) led the charge with 16 points and eight rebounds, while SG Jamal Crawford (16.2 PPG) also added 16 points, albeit on 5-of-14 shooting. PF Blake Griffin (17.7 PPG, 8.6 RPG) played just 25 minutes to stay fresh for Tuesday's contest, but he still had 10 points, six boards and five assists in his limited action. In last year's series sweep over Houston, Griffin had 18.0 PPG (52.4% FG) and 9.3 RPG.

Houston continues to lead the NBA in scoring (105.4 PPG), hitting 45.9% FG (8th in NBA). But the club has hit just 28.3% three-pointers during the three-game losing skid, while losing the rebounding edge with a minus-4.3 RPG in these three defeats. Lin was able to take part in Tuesday's shoot-around, and expects to play. He's just hoping he shoots a lot better than he has during his team's losing skid, going 10-for-34 (29%), including 2-of-13 FG in the loss at Philadelphia. SG James Harden (26.5 PPG, 4th in NBA) has had no such slump this season at 46% FG, and he has ripped off 20 straight games of 20+ points, averaging 29.0 PPG on 50% FG with 5.3 APG during this impressive run. But the Clippers have defended him very well in the past, as Harden averages just 10.5 PPG on 33% FG in 11 career meetings with Los Angeles. SF Chandler Parsons (14.4 PPG, 6.2 RPG) is also heating up in the past four games with 17.3 PPG on 51% FG. In two games versus the Clippers as a rookie, he made 10-of-14 shots (71.4%). PF Patrick Patterson (11.9 PPG) will likely be tasked with keeping Blake Griffin in check, but he has made just 6-of-20 shots during his team's losing skid. SF Carlos Delfino (9.9 PPG) continues to provide valuable minutes off the bench, as his 16 points in Saturday's loss at Philly gives him 13.3 PPG on 48% FG and 51% threes in the past six games.

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday, January 15

Game Score Status Pick Amount

New Orleans - 7:00 PM ET ( Philadelphia -3 500 POD )
Philadelphia - Under 183.5 500

Indiana - 7:00 PM ET Indiana -8 500
Charlotte - Over 185.5 500

Toronto - 7:30 PM ET Toronto +7 500
Brooklyn - Over 189.5 500

L.A. Clippers - 8:00 PM ET Houston -3 500
Houston - Under 207 500

Portland - 9:00 PM ET Portland +8.5 500
Denver - Under 202 500

Milwaukee - 10:30 PM ET L.A. Lakers -6 500
L.A. Lakers - Under 212.5 500

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday Tips

January 14, 2013

Six games take place on the Tuesday NBA card with plenty of intriguing matchups in the Western Conference. The Lakers go for their second straight victory as the Bucks venture out to Southern California, while the Blazers and Nuggets hook up in a Northwest Division battle. We'll start in the Lone Star State as the Rockets attempt to get on track against the Clippers.

Clippers at Rockets - 8:05 PM EST

Los Angeles is playing with no rest after Monday's rout of Memphis, as Chris Paul missed his first game of the season with a contusion in his right kneecap. The All-Star guard suffered the injury late in Saturday's setback to Orlando, as the Clippers posted a 3-3 SU/ATS record in the six games Paul missed last season.

The Rockets return to the Toyota Center off a dreadful road trip, losing all three games on the highway. Houston's dynamic offense broke the 100-point plateau just once, coming in Saturday's 107-100 defeat at Philadelphia as one-point underdogs. Kevin McHale's team has suffered through three of losing skids of three games this season, but has never dropped four straight.

The Clippers are in a stretch playing 14 of 17 games away from Staples Center, while compiling a 1-4 ATS record on the road without rest. Los Angeles is in the middle of a nice 'over' run, hitting the 'over in six of the last eight games. The Clippers and Rockets are meeting for the first time this season, as Los Angeles captured all three matchups last season, including an overtime triumph in Houston.

Blazers at Nuggets - 9:05 PM EST

Denver concludes a four-game homestand, as the Nuggets seek their sixth consecutive victory. George Karl's team rallied from a 10-point deficit to knock off the Warriors on Sunday as six-point 'chalk,' 116-105. The Nuggets play with revenge on Tuesday after the Blazers upended Denver at the Rose Garden, 101-93 as six-point 'dogs on December 20.

The Blazers pulled off that home triumph without LaMarcus Aldridge, who missed the game with an ankle injury. Portland hasn't had much luck at the Pepsi Center over the years, losing six straight meetings at Denver, while putting together a 1-9 SU/ATS the last 10 visits to Colorado dating back to 2007.

The Nuggets are known for their uptempo style of play, but Denver has cashed the 'under' in four of the last six home contests. Since covering five straight games in mid-December, the Nuggets have been inconsistent by compiling a 2-5 ATS record off an ATS win. Portland is suddenly becoming a solid play on the highway, covering three of the last four road contests.

Bucks at Lakers - 10:35 PM EST

Los Angeles snapped a six-game skid on Sunday by routing Cleveland, 113-93, while limiting an opponent to less than 100 points for the first time since December 28. Dwight Howard returned to the Lakers' lineup after missing three games with a labrum issue, as the All-Star center put up 22 points and 14 rebounds in L.A.'s first win of 2013.

The Bucks rallied from a 20-point deficit to stun the Raptors on Sunday afternoon, 107-96 as 2 ½-point road 'dogs. Milwaukee improved to 3-1 SU/ATS since Scott Skiles was removed as head coach, while the Bucks broke the 100-point mark in each victory during this stretch. The next three games for the Bucks take place against Western Conference foes, as Milwaukee owns a dreadful 2-9 ATS record versus interconference competition.

The Lakers are riding a three-game 'under' streak, as each total ranged between 209 and 217 ½ (Tuesday's total opened at 212). Mike D'Antoni's club has broken the 100-point mark in 20 of the last 22 games, while Los Angeles has covered just four of its last 11 home contests. The Bucks grabbed the only meeting last season at the Bradley Center, 100-89 as 4 ½-point 'dogs, as Kobe Bryant and Metta World Peace were the only two regulars in the Lakers' lineup that night who are still on the team.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday, January 16

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Chicago - 7:00 PM ET Chicago -5 500
Toronto - Over 183 500

Indiana - 7:00 PM ET Orlando +1.5 500
Orlando - Under 187 500

Brooklyn - 7:30 PM ET Brooklyn +3 500 POD
Atlanta - Over 186 500

New Orleans - 8:00 PM ET New Orleans +7.5 500
Boston - Over 184 500

Denver - 8:00 PM ET Oklahoma City -8.5 500
Oklahoma City - Over 209 500

Houston - 8:00 PM ET Houston +4 500
Dallas - Under 214 500

Memphis - 8:30 PM ET Memphis +5.5 500
San Antonio - Over 188.5 500

Washington - 10:00 PM ET Washington +4 500
Sacramento - Over 206.5 500

Cleveland - 10:00 PM ET Portland -7 500
Portland - Under 197 500

Miami - 10:30 PM ET Miami -2.5 500 POD # 2
Golden State - Under 201.5 500