Announcement

**Udog** · 12-27-2012, 09:16 AM

NFL odds: Week 17 opening line report

It’s the final week of the NFL regular season and many of the Week 17 games have postseason implications. None more so than games involving the NFC East.

Three teams – New York, Dallas and Washington – are still battling for playoff berths and the division crown is on the line Sunday when the Cowboys visit the Redskins.

Dallas at Washington (-3.5, 50)

There’s no team hotter than the Redskins, who are on a six-game winning streak straight up and against the spread. Washington prevailed 38-31 over Dallas in Week 12 at Cowboys Stadium and can wrap up the NFC East with a win Sunday night. The Redskins can also clinch a playoff berth if the Bears and Vikings both drop their respective finales. This betting line is a mirror image of the line in Week 12, when the Cowboys were 3.5-point home faves.

Green Bay at Minnesota (3, 46)

There’s no shortage of storylines heading into this clash between NFC North foes. The Vikings were written off after their Week 13 loss at Green Bay, but have rebounded with a three-game SU and ATS win streak to catapult them back into the playoff picture. Green Bay is coming off a 55-7 demolition of the Titans but still has some work to do to secure a first-round bye. The Packers are on a 4-0 SU and ATS run.

Kansas City at Denver (-16, 42)

The Broncos still have plenty to play for in their season finale and oddsmakers are putting them to the test with a daunting 16-point spread – their highest of the season. Denver couldn’t cover the 10 points in the previous Week 12 meeting at Arrowhead and Kansas City will relish the role of spoiler in this one. The Broncos can clinch a first-round bye and even home-field advantage throughout the playoffs with a win and some help.

Houston at Indianapolis (5, 44)

Rookie quarterback Andrew Luck successfully led Indy to the playoffs with a seven-point win over Kansas City on Sunday, but Houston has plenty to play for heading into its finale. The Texans were held to just six points by the Vikings on Sunday and oddsmakers are banking on a rebound performance from the offense this week. Houston can clinch a first-round bye and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs with a win and little luck.

**Udog** · 12-27-2012, 09:16 AM

NFL playoff scenarios: Week 17 hits and misses

Every spot in the AFC has been decided, while the NFC East and the conference’s last two berths are still up for grabs heading into the final weekend.

Here’s a look at Sunday’s games with playoff implications and the contests that don’t mean a darn thing.

Games with playoff implications:

Houston at Indianapolis
The Texans have clinched the AFC South and can earn home-field advantage throughout the playoffs with a win in Week 17.

Philadelphia at N.Y. Giants
This game is a must-win for the Giants, who also need help to earn a playoff berth.

Chicago at Detroit
The Bears need to take business in Detroit and hope Green Bay knocks off Minnesota in order to play January football.

Kansas City at Denver
Denver can earn a first-round bye with a win over the lowly Chiefs.

Arizona at San Francisco
The Niners can clinch the NFC West with a win.

St. Louis at Seattle
The Seahawks can clinch the NFC West with a win, combined with a San Francisco loss.

Green Bay at Minnesota
This is a must-win for both teams. Green Bay can clinch the No. 2 seed in the NFC and Minnesota needs a win to clinch a playoff berth.

Miami at New England
The Patriots hold the head-to-head tiebreaker with Denver and can earn the No. 2 seed in the AFC with a win over the Fish paired with a Broncos loss.

Dallas at Washington
The Redskins can clinch the NFC East with a win over the Cowboys, who also need a win to clinch the division. Dallas has been eliminated from wild-card contention.

Baltimore at Cincinnati
The Ravens were assured of a home playoff game after Sunday’s 33-14 triumph over the Giants and the Bengals punched their ticket to the postseason with a 13-10 victory over the Steelers.

Meaningless Games:

Cleveland at Pittsburgh

Jacksonville at Tennessee

N.Y Jets at Buffalo

Tampa Bay at Atlanta

Carolina at New Orleans

Oakland at San Diego

**Udog** · 12-27-2012, 09:17 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 17

Dallas at Washington
The Redskins look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games against Dallas. Washington is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Redskins favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 30

Game 301-302: NY Jets at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 126.929; Buffalo 126.993
Dunkel Line: Even; 42
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+3 1/2); Over

Game 303-304: Miami at New England (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 133.093; New England 145.612
Dunkel Line: New England by 12 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: New England by 10; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-10); Under

Game 305-306: Baltimore at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 135.262; Cincinnati 136.088
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 44
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3; 41
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+3); Over

Game 307-308: Cleveland at Pittsburgh (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 127.481; Pittsburgh 133.167
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 5 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 309-310: Houston at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 136.397; Indianapolis 128.003
Dunkel Line: Houston by 8 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Houston by 6 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6 1/2); Under

Game 311-312: Jacksonville at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 119.324; Tennessee 128.863
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 9 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3 1/2); Over

Game 313-314: Philadelphia at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 126.476; NY Giants 130.988
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 4 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 7 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+7 1/2); Over

Game 315-316: Dallas at Washington (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 132.004; Washington 138.157
Dunkel Line: Washington by 6; 46
Vegas Line: Washington by 3; 50
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3); Under

Game 317-318: Chicago at Detroit (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 129.177; Detroit 132.120
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 3; 48
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+3); Over

Game 319-320: Green Bay at Minnesota (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 137.563; Minnesota 132.130
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 5 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-3); Under

Game 321-322: Tampa Bay at Atlanta (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 123.549; Atlanta 140.547
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 17; 38
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 323-324: Carolina at New Orleans (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 136.370; New Orleans 132.828
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 3 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+5 1/2); Over

Game 325-326: Kansas City at Denver (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 122.574; Denver 137.006
Dunkel Line: Denver by 14 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Denver by 17; 42
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+17); Over

Game 327-328: Oakland at San Diego (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 121.503; San Diego 137.082
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 15 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 329-330: Arizona at San Francisco (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 125.599; San Francisco 139.614
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 14; 43
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 17; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+17); Over

Game 331-332: St. Louis at Seattle (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 127.510; Seattle 149.603
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 22; 37
Vegas Line: Seattle by 10 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-10 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 12-27-2012, 09:17 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 17

Sunday, December 30

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NY JETS (6 - 9) at BUFFALO (5 - 10) - 12/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 4-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 5-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (7 - 8) at NEW ENGLAND (11 - 4) - 12/30/2012, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 152-112 ATS (+28.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (10 - 5) at CINCINNATI (9 - 6) - 12/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 110-143 ATS (-47.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 57-86 ATS (-37.6 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 4-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (5 - 10) at PITTSBURGH (7 - 8) - 12/30/2012, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (12 - 3) at INDIANAPOLIS (10 - 5) - 12/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in dome games since 1992.
INDIANAPOLIS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in dome games this season.
HOUSTON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (2 - 13) at TENNESSEE (5 - 10) - 12/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 4-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (4 - 11) at NY GIANTS (8 - 7) - 12/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (8 - 7) at WASHINGTON (9 - 6) - 12/30/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 50-81 ATS (-39.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (9 - 6) at DETROIT (4 - 11) - 12/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 9-29 ATS (-22.9 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
CHICAGO is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
DETROIT is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in dome games this season.
DETROIT is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on turf this season.
DETROIT is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (11 - 4) at MINNESOTA (9 - 6) - 12/30/2012, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 55-31 ATS (+20.9 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 56-33 ATS (+19.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 52-28 ATS (+21.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 5-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (6 - 9) at ATLANTA (13 - 2) - 12/30/2012, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (6 - 9) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 8) - 12/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 48-25 ATS (+20.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 66-38 ATS (+24.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 45-22 ATS (+20.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
CAROLINA is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (2 - 13) at DENVER (12 - 3) - 12/30/2012, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
DENVER is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
DENVER is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1992.
DENVER is 45-69 ATS (-30.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
DENVER is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OAKLAND (4 - 11) at SAN DIEGO (6 - 9) - 12/30/2012, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 3-2 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (5 - 10) at SAN FRANCISCO (10 - 4 - 1) - 12/30/2012, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games revenging a loss against opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST LOUIS (7 - 7 - 1) at SEATTLE (10 - 5) - 12/30/2012, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 93-126 ATS (-45.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
SEATTLE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games this season.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
SEATTLE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
SEATTLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf this season.
SEATTLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) revenging a loss against opponent over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
SEATTLE is 53-80 ATS (-35.0 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 22-42 ATS (-24.2 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-2 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-27-2012, 09:17 AM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 17

Sunday, December 30, 2012

NY Jets at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
NY Jets: 0-6 ATS off an Over
Buffalo: 18-7 ATS off 3+ ATS wins

(TC) Miami at New England, 4:25 ET
Miami: 8-1 Under off a win by 10+ points
New England: 27-12 ATS in the last 2 weeks of the season

Baltimore at Cincinnati, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 22-9 Under in the last 2 weeks of the season
Cincinnati: 15-6 ATS off a SU win

Cleveland at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET
Cleveland: 14-5 ATS off BB games allowing 400+ total yards
Pittsburgh: 3-11 ATS after losing 4 of their last 5 games

Houston at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
Houston: 18-6 ATS vs. conference opponents
Indianapolis: 10-1 Under vs. division opponents

Jacksonville at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 15-6 Over off a home game
Tennessee: 1-10 ATS vs. division opponents

Philadelphia at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
Philadelphia: 2-8 ATS vs. conference opponents
NY Giants: 6-0 Over at home after gaining 75 rushing yards or less

(TC) Dallas at Washington, 8:30 ET NBC
Dallas: 2-9 ATS vs. division opponents
Washington: 9-2 ATS vs. division opponents

Chicago at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Chicago: 9-29 ATS away in December
Detroit: 11-3 Over off an Under

(TC) Green Bay at Minnesota, 4:25 ET
Green Bay: 10-1 ATS vs. division opponents
Minnesota: 11-2 Under at home after allowing 9 points or less

Tampa Bay at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 0-7 ATS off 4+ losses
Atlanta: 9-2 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards

Carolina at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
Carolina: 9-2 Over vs. division opponents
New Orleans: 8-1 ATS at home off an Over

Kansas City at Denver, 4:25 ET
Kansas City: 0-6 ATS after losing 4 of their last 5 games
Denver: 9-1 ATS as a favorite

Oakland at San Diego, 4:25 ET
Oakland: 9-2 Over off a non-conference game
San Diego: 0-7 ATS off an Over

Arizona at San Francisco, 4:25 ET
Arizona: 6-0 Over playing with same-season revenge
San Francisco: 9-2 ATS off a road loss

St. Louis at Seattle, 4:25 ET
St. Louis: 14-2 Under off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games
Seattle: 7-0 ATS off an Over

(TC) = Time Change

**Udog** · 12-27-2012, 09:18 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 17

Jets (6-9) @ Bills (5-10)-- Gang Green (-3.5) hammered Buffalo 48-28 in season opener, back in happier days for Jets; Bills turned ball four times (-3), gave up an average of 9.9 ypa to NJ offense that is now dysfunctional at best, turning ball over 18 times in last five games (-14, were +1 in first 10 games). McElroy makes first road start here. Buffalo lost three in row, seven of last nine games; they gave up 18 or less points in all five wins (5-1) but are 0-9 allowing more than 18. Can the Jets score 19? They've now beaten Bills six games in row, winning last three here, by 9-24-16 points. Five of seven Buffalo road games went over total; three of last four Jet games stayed under.

Dolphins (7-8) @ Patriots (11-4)-- New England has to play to win, just in case Denver were to get upset by Browns; Patriots (-7.5) beat Dolphins 23-16 back in Week 13, when Miami kicked late FG to cover spread. Patriots won last five series games and nine of last 11, winning last three played here, by 10-31-3; they are 3-4 as home faves this year, winning at home by 10-3-6-35-28 points. 11 of last 13 Patriot games went over the total; five of last seven Miami games stayed under. Miami is 3-3 as road underdog this year, losing away games by 20-3-3-5-14 points- five of its eight losses are by 7 or less points. Favorites are 6-4 vs the spread in AFC East divisional games, 3-3 at home.

Ravens (10-5) @ Bengals (9-6)-- Both teams will play a playoff game next week, would expect banged-up guys to sit out; Ravens (-6) crushed Cincy 44-13 back in season opener, averaging 8.8 ypa, but they've lost five of last seven visits to Queen City (won 24-16 here LY). Bengals won/covered six of last seven games; they won at Pittsburgh LW despite three turnovers, only 14 rushing yards, and allowing Dalton to be sacked six times. Ravens snapped 3-game skid by routing Giants; they're 4-3 on road, with five of seven games decided by three points or less. Home favorites are 1-3-1 vs spread in AFC North divisional games. Six of last seven Bengal games stayed under; three of last four Raven games went over.

Texans (12-3) @ Colts (10-5)-- Indy coach Pagano's entrance to field will be an emotional moment, coming back from leukemia, but fact of matter is that Indy's spot in playoffs is set, while Texans need this win to clinch home field in AFC playoffs. Houston (-9) beat Colts 29-17 at home two weeks ago, blocking punt for a score- they had only one offensive TD, and didn't have any vs Vikings LW, in awful 23-6 home loss. Star RB Foster has heart issue, not sure if he plays in this game. AFC South home teams are 3-7 vs spread in divisional games, home dogs are 1-3. Houston is 6-1 on road, with five wins by 6+ points. Three of last four Houston games stayed under; under is 6-3-1 in last ten Indy games. Hard to overlook 352 rushing yards Colts allowed in win at Kansas City last week.

Jaguars (2-13) @ Titans (5-10)—Jax lost 11 of last 12 games, with only win 24-19 (+3) over Tennessee at home five weeks ago; they’re 5-7 in last 12 series games, with series splitting five of last six years; Jaguars lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 7-17-6 points. Titans lost at Jacksonville despite having seven sacks. Three of last five series totals were 33 or less. Jaguars outgained New England 436-349 last week, threw an INT in end zone on last play trying to tie game; they’re 5-2 as road underdogs this year, but lost 34-18/24-3 in last two away games. Tennessee lost 55-7 at Lambeau last week, after winning ugly Monday night games week before; they’re 1-2 vs spread as a favorite this year, 3-4 SU at home, with wins by 3-3-4 points. Home teams are 3-7 vs spread in AFC South divisional games, 2-4 if home favorite. Four of last five Jaguar games, three of last four Titan home games stayed under the total.

Eagles (4-11) @ Giants (8-7)—Giants were putrid last two weeks, getting outgained 927-442, outscored 67-14 in pair of lopsided road losses; they need this win and help to make playoffs. Philly was 3-1 after nipping Giants 19-17 (-2.5) in Week 4, outrushing Big Blue 191-57; they had 10-yard advantage in field position, but had just one TD, three FGs in four red zone drives. Roof has fallen in on Eagles since; they’ve lost 10 of last 11 games, still have no wins by more than two points, with seven of last eight losses by 7+ points. With Foles breaking hand, Vick expected to start, which amounts to audition for whatever team sings him next spring. Iggles have now won eight of last nine games with Giants—they won last five visits here, winning by 6-19-7-7-7 points. Five of last seven series totals were 44+. NFC East home teams are 2-8 vs spread in divisional games, 1-5 if favored. Giants won five of last six home games, scoring 90 points in winning last two (Packers/Saints).

Bears (9-6) @ Lions (4-11)—Chicago scored two defensive TDs in easy win at Arizona last week, week after Lions gave up two defensive scores in 38-10 loss in desert, Cardinals’ only win in their last 11 games. It was just second win in last seven games for Bears, who held off Detroit 13-7 (-6.5) back in Week 7, outrushing Lions 171-99; they were saved by four takeaways (+4), as Lions scored only seven points in four trips to Chicago red zone. Series has been swept seven of last eight year, with Chicago 5-2 in last seven visits here. Bears are 4-3 on road, with all four wins by 16+ points; they’re 2-1 as road favorites this year, 8-3-1 since 2008. Detroit lost its last seven games (0-6-1 vs spread) despite Johnson setting single season record for receiving yards; they’ve lost last four home games, with three of four losses by 4 or less points. NFC North home underdogs are 2-2 vs spread in divisional games; NFL-wide, divisional home dogs are 16-19-1 vs spread. Five of Bears’ last six road games went over the total, as did six of last nine Detroit games.

Buccaneers (6-9) @ Falcons (13-2)—Atlanta has #1 seed in NFC wrapped up, would expect banged-up guys to be held out; Bucs lost last five games (0-4-1 vs spread), as friction between players/coaches has been reported. First of those five straight losses was Falcons’ 24-23 win (-1) in Tampa in Week 12, when Ryan passed for 345 yards (10.5 ypa) and Atlanta survived -2 turnover ratio. Falcons are 7-0 at home this year, 4-3 as favorites, with wins by 6-2-3-6-4-10-34 points. Bucs are 4-2 as road underdogs, losing away games by 7-6-8-41 points (3-4 SU on road, but lost last two). Tampa Bay has one offensive TD, 10 turnovers on 23 drives in last two games, as Freeman was picked eight times- they were outscored 48-6 in first half of last three games. NFC South home teams are 6-3-1 vs spread in divisional games, with home favorites 2-1. Five of last six games for both teams stayed under the total.

Panthers (6-9) @ Saints (7-8)—Carolina won four of last five games after 2-8 start; Saints have shot at finishing 8-8 after 0-4 start, which included a 35-27 loss (-2.5) in Charlotte in Week 2, in wild game (Saints outgained Carolina 486-463) that was Panthers’ first win in last five series games- they lost last three visits here, by 10-2-28 points. After going 0-12 on third down in 36-14 loss to Denver in Week 10, Panthers have converted 43-83 (51.8%) over last six games, as Newton’s mobility allows them to move chains. Carolina is 6-3 vs spread as an underdog this year, 4-0 on road; dogs are 10-5 vs spread overall in their ’12 games. Saints scored 41-34 points in winning last two games; they won four of last five home games after losing first two, scoring 30.4 ppg in last five- they’re 3-2 as home favorite this year. NFC South home teams are 6-3-1 vs spread in divisional games, 2-1 if favored. Four of last six Carolina road games, five of Saints’ last seven games went over the total.

Browns (5-10) @ Steelers (7-8)—Pittsburgh in rare spot as also-ran here; they’ve lost three in row and five of last six games- seven of their last eight games were decided by six or less points (3-5). Steelers (-1.5) turned ball over eight times with Batch at QB in hideous 20-14 loss on Lake Erie in Week 12, just their 2nd loss in last 18 games vs Cleveland; Browns outrushed them 108-49, started five drives (scored 17 points) in Steeler territory. Cleveland lost its last eight visits here, with seven of the eight by 11+ points. Browns are 2-4 as road underdogs this year, losing away games by 7-7-14-4-3-22 points, with a win at Oakland. Steelers lost last three home games; they’ve been held under 100 rushing yards in last five games. Pitt has six sacks, three takeaways last week, still lost tough game to Bengals. Home teams are 3-5-2 vs spread in AFC North divisional games, 1-3-1 if favored. Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Cleveland games, 1-3 in last four Steeler games.

Packers (11-4) @ Vikings (9-6)—Both teams need this win; Pack for home field/bye in playoffs, Vikings just to get in tournament. Green Bay (-8) beat Vikings 23-14 at home four weeks ago at Lambeau, despite Minnesota running ball for 240 yards- they’ve now won last five series games, and 10 of last 13. Series has been swept in seven of last eight years; Pack won four of last six visits here, winning 31-3/33-27 last two years. Green Bay won nine of last 10 games overall, four of last five on road since losing to emotional Colts in Week 6, when they blew 21-3 halftime lead; they’ve covered last six games when favored. Vikings won/covered all three games since Lambeau loss, running ball for 558 yards, as Peterson chases Dickerson’s single-season rushing mark; they’re 6-1 at home this year, losing only to Bucs in Thursday night game, 6-3 as underdogs. NFC North underdogs are 5-3-2 in divisional play, 2-2-1 if at home. Five of last six Green Bay games, four of last five Viking games stayed under the total.

Chiefs (2-13) @ Broncos (12-3)— Broncos need win for first round bye in playoffs, which is huge; Denver (-10) had only TD/FG in four red zone drives in 17-9 win at Arrowhead in Week 12- Chiefs outrushed them 148-95, but passed for only 116 yards. Broncos won last five home games, by 31-20-7-8-22 points; they’ve covered seven of last nine games overall, all as favorites. Nightmare of season ends here for Chiefs, with housecleaning likely to follow; KC is 2-5 vs spread on road this year- they’ve lost last three weeks by 23-15-7 points, outscored 32-10 in first half of those three games. Chiefs’ only two TDs on last 33 drives both came on 80+-yard runs by Charles, on the first play of a half. AFC West favorites are 6-4 vs spread in divisional play, 3-3 at home. Six of last seven KC games stayed under total; six of last eight Bronco games went over. This guy Mike McCoy, Denver’s OC? He has easiest job in America, because #18 does it for him.

Raiders (4-11) @ Chargers (6-9)—Carson Palmer is out here; either Leinart or Pryor (or both) get nod here, vs underachieving Charger team likely playing last game for Norv Turner. San Diego (-1.5) opened season with 22-14 win at Oakland, in game where Bolts had a ridiculous 25-yard edge in field position, but only scored one TD (and four FGs) in five red zone drives- it was fourth straight series win for the road team, with San Diego winning 12 of last 15 overall. Oakland won last two visits here, 28-13/24-17, after losing previous seven trips in. Raiders lost seven of last eight games, with only win vs dreadful Chiefs; they’re 2-5 vs spread on road, losing last three away games by average score of 35-12. San Diego lost five of last seven games, with both wins in eastern time zone; they lost last three home games, scoring total of 33 points. Favorites are 6-4 vs spread in AFC West divisional games, 3-3 at home. Last five Raider games, last three San Diego home games stayed under the total.

Cardinals (5-10) @ 49ers (10-4-1)—Things could get ugly at Candlestick, where 49ers need to win in case Minnesota upsets the Packers; Niners (-7) waxed Redbirds 24-3 in Glendale in Week 8, holding Arizona to 7 yards rushing and 4.6 ypa. Series has been swept seven of last eight years; Cardinals lost last three visits here, by combined score of 85-23. Cardinals lost 11 of last 12 games; they gained total of 196 yards in the only win; they’re 3-3 as road underdog, losing away games by 14-7-14-4-1-58 points (they won at Foxboro in Week 2)- none of their QBs are capable of moving ball here. SF is off pair of tough road games- they allowed 31 points in second half at Foxboro, then 28 in first half at Seattle last week- underdogs are 5-2 vs spread when 49ers allow 20+ points, 2-6 when they don’t. Home teams are 6-3-1 vs spread in NFC West divisional games, 2-2-1 if favored. Four of last five Arizona games, six of last seven 49ers games went over the total.

Rams (7-7-1) @ Seahawks (10-5)—Seattle is 7-0 at home this year, 4-0 as home favorite; they were underdog in first three home games this year- Hawks won last three at home by combined score of 128-20 (43-7 average). That said, Seahawks lost 19-13 (-2.5) at St Louis in Week 4, when Rams had three picks (+2), held Seahawks to 2-9 on 3rd down conversions and a TD/two FG on three red zone drives. That was just Rams’ second win in last 15 series games; they’ve lost last seven visits here, with six of seven losses by 10+ points. St Louis is 7-0 this season when they don’t lose turnover battle; they’re 4-0-1 SU in divisional games, tying Niners in Candlestick as 12-point dogs in Week 10- they’re 6-1 vs spread in true road games, losing away games by 4-17-3 points (won last three on road SU). Three of last four Ram games stayed under total; Seattle’s last five games went over. Rams covered last six games that stayed under, are 4-4 vs spread if game goes over.

Cowboys (8-7) @ Redskins (9-6)—Winner here takes NFC East title, which Washington hasn’t won since ’99; Skins won/covered last six games, including 38-31 (+3) at Dallas on Thanksgiving, when they outrushed Pokes 142-35, had three takeaways to offset Dallas’ 423 passing yards. Dallas won six of last eight series games, with five of last six series wins by 4 or less points- they’ve won three of last four played here, with average total in last five, 29. Last four Dallas games were all decided by 5 or less points; they’ve scored average of 21.6 points just in second half of their last seven games, as Romo-Bryant combo has clicked often. Cowboys are 5-2 vs spread on road, winning three of last four SU. Redskins won/covered last six games; they’re 3-3 as home favorites. Despite playing with two rookie QBs, Washington has had only two games this year where they’ve been minus in turnovers (+14). Four of last five games for both teams went over the total.

**Udog** · 12-27-2012, 09:19 AM

NFL

Week 17

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
BALTIMORE vs. CINCINNATI
Baltimore is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
Baltimore is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games
Cincinnati is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. TENNESSEE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 9 games on the road
Jacksonville is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville

1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Cleveland's last 25 games
Cleveland is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games
Pittsburgh is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Cleveland

1:00 PM
NY JETS vs. BUFFALO
NY Jets are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Buffalo
NY Jets are 5-11 SU in their last 16 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets

1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. NEW ORLEANS
Carolina is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Carolina's last 16 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
New Orleans is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Carolina

1:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY GIANTS
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 16 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
Philadelphia is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
NY Giants are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games
NY Giants are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

1:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indianapolis's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Houston

1:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Tampa Bay is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay

1:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. DETROIT
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Chicago is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

4:15 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. DENVER
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Kansas City

4:15 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SEATTLE
St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of St. Louis's last 18 games on the road
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:15 PM
OAKLAND vs. SAN DIEGO
Oakland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games
San Diego is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
San Diego is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing Oakland

4:15 PM
ARIZONA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Arizona is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Arizona is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
San Francisco14-5-1 SU in its last 20 games

4:25 PM
MIAMI vs. NEW ENGLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
New England is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
New England is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

4:25 PM
GREEN BAY vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 9 games when playing Minnesota
Green Bay is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home

8:30 PM
DALLAS vs. WASHINGTON
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Washington is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 12-27-2012, 09:49 PM

NFL poolies betting cheat sheet: Week 17

Check out our NFL poolies' cheat sheet for all your football wagering needs in condensed form. Quick-hitting betting notes on all of Week 17's action.

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals (-1, 41)

These two AFC North rivals could do it all again next week in the conference wildcard game. If Baltimore wins and the Patriots lose to the Dolphins, then the Ravens would host the Bengals in the first round. If they lose, they play the Indianapolis Colts to open the postseason. Baltimore will be looking to rest its starters and protect injured players. Cincinnati is also locked into a postseason spot but will likely try to finish the year with some momentum. The Bengals fell to the Ravens in Week 1, 44-13 as 7-point road underdogs. However, they have managed to go 5-2 ATS in their past seven home games with Baltimore.

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (N/A)

Cleveland is banged up heading into this finale. Running back Trent Richardson is nursing a bum ankle and quarterbacks Brandon Weeden and Colt McCoy are both dealing with shoulder injuries. All three are questionable for Week 17. Pittsburgh missed the playoff bus after a loss to Cincinnati last week. The Steelers say they want to finish the season strong and avoid a losing record for the first time since 2003. Pittsburgh is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven meetings with Cleveland, including a 20-14 loss as 1-point road favorites in Week 12.

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (+7, 46.5)

Houston is skidding at the wrong time. The Texans have lost two of their last three and home-field advantage in the postseason hangs by a string versus Indianapolis. If Houston losses, it could fall as far back as third in the AFC and lose that home edge. Running back Arian Foster is expected to play after leaving with an irregular heartbeat last week. The Colts have clinched the fifth seed in the AFC and will welcome head coach Chuck Pagano back to the sidelines after his battle with leukemia. The home team has covered in each of the past five meetings between these AFC South rivals.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-4, 41.5)

Could the tank be on with Jacksonville? If the Jaguars lose and Kansas City falls to Denver, the Jags would be guaranteed the No. 2 pick in the upcoming draft. RB Maurice Jones-Drew is not expected to suit up for the finale. Tennessee’s front office could be singing for their supper in Week 17. The Titans brass is pointing the finger at head coach Mike Munchak, GM Ruston Webster and COO Mike Reinfeldt and asking what went wrong this year. Going out on a winning note wouldn’t hurt. The Jaguars have covered in each of the past four meeting with the Titans, including a 24-19 win in Week 12.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-7.5, 45.5)

New York not only needs to win to make the playoffs but also needs Dallas, Chicago and Minnesota to lose in Week 17. The Giants have been outscored 67-14 in the last two games, however, those came on the road. New York is averaging 33.7 points at home and can break the franchise home scoring mark if they score at least 13 points Sunday. The Eagles nearly played spoiler to Washington last week and already have a win over the Giants – a 19-17 victory in Week 4. QB Michael Vick returns under center for Philadelphia after Nick Foles broke his hand in Week 16.

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (-3.5, 39)

Jets head coach Rex Ryan said he would use the final contests as a chance to evaluate younger players for next season. The thing is, Ryan may not be around to see those talents in 2013. QB Mark Sanchez will get the start over an injured Greg McIlroy and RB Shonn Greene is trying to add a 1,000-yard rushing season to his free-agent resume. Buffalo desperately needs to end the year on a high note after losing three straight. Head coach Chan Gailey says he doesn’t plan on turning to his reserves in Week 17 and will roll out his usual lineup. New York is 5-1 in its last six meetings with Buffalo.

Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (+3, 44.5)

Chicago needs to win and hope Minnesota loses to Green Bay in order to make the postseason cut. The Bears may also be playing for head coach Lovie Smith’s job. Chicago appeared locked into a high postseason seed before losing six of its last seven games (2-5 ATS). Jay Cutler needs to put the team on his back. The Bears have passed for fewer than 150 yards in six of their last 10 games. Detroit could roll over for Chicago in hopes of bettering its draft position. A Week 17 loss could translate in a third-overall selection. And with Calvin Johnson breaking the single-season receiving record last week, the Lions have little motivation.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (N/A)

Atlanta has already locked up the top seed in the NFC and could choose to rest its starters in a meaningless Week 17 game. However, momentum could be very important to the Falcons, who have flopped in the postseason in past years. Tampa Bay looked like a playoff sleeper at times this season but folded down the home stretch, losing five in a row. QB Josh Freeman is a big reason for that slide, throwing eight interceptions in his last two games. Head coach Greg Schiano is aiming to go out on a positive note, so expect the Bucs to give everything they have left.

Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-5, 54)

Carolina is the hottest team in the NFL in recent weeks, bringing a three-game SU and ATS winning streaking into the season finale. QB Cam Newton has compiled 688 passing yards, 183 yards rushing and seven combined touchdowns in that span. The Saints aren’t going to the postseason for the first time since 2008 but won’t lie down in the finale. Interim head coach Joe Vitt - always one to go for it – says Week 17 is a precursor to the 2013 season. New Orleans has been dismal ATS at home versus Carolina, going just 1-10 ATS in its last 11 home tilts with the Panthers.

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos (-16, 42)

Denver is playing for the first-round bye Sunday and could even clinch home-field advantage through the AFC playoffs if Houston losses to Indianapolis. The last five times the Broncos earned home field through the postseason, they went to the Super Bowl in four of those seasons. Kansas City just wants to get this season over with. Head coach Romeo Crennel and GM Scott Pioli are gone following Week 17. Kansas City, however is 5-2 ATS in its last seven Week 17 contests.

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (N/A)

This is expected to be Norv Turner’s final game as the Bolts head coach with rumors of his dismissal swirling about for the majority of the season. RBs Ryan Matthews and Ronnie Brown are both injured so expect a lot of air time for Philip Rivers and the passing attack. Oakland won’t have QB Carson Palmer in Week 17 after he injured his chest. The Raiders turn the snaps over to backups Matt Leinart and Terrelle Pryor and will look to RB Darren McFadden to shoulder the load on offense. Oakland is 5-2 ATS in its last seven meetings with San Diego.

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers (-16.5, 39.5)

The Niners, who need a win to clinch the NFC West, not only took one on the chin from the Seahawks in Week 16 but also lost one of their biggest weapons in the passing game. WR Mario Manningham is out for the year with a knee injury. San Francisco could go with a ground-heavy attack, pitting their fourth-ranked rushing attack versus Arizona’s 28th-ranked run defense. The Cardinals are poised for a fire sale this offseason and many players may be competing for their jobs this week. Surprisingly, Arizona is the best bet in Week 17, going 8-3 ATS in the season finale since 2001.

St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-10.5, 41)

The Seahawks are in the postseason but can clinch the NFC West title with a victory over St. Louis and a loss for the 49ers. Seattle is coming off an impressive beating of San Francisco at home in Week 16, improving to 7-0 SU and ATS inside CenturyLink Field. The Rams haven’t been great on the road and now visit the toughest venue in the NFL. St. Louis is winless in its last seven trips to Seattle and has been outscored 199-76 in those games. The Rams are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 meetings overall with the Seahawks. St. Louis is 4-0-1 SU and 5-0 ATS versus NFC West rivals this season.

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (+3.5, 46)

Adrian Peterson’s pursuit of the single-season rushing record is on the back burner with the Vikings’ playoff hopes resting on a win at home in Week 17. Minnesota, which has won three in a row SU and ATS, has lost five straight meetings with Green Bay (1-4 ATS). The Packers clinched the NFC North title but can earn the No. 2 seed in the conference with a win in the finale. That bye week could be crucial for a banged-up roster. The Packers could have WR Jordy Nelson back in action this weekend.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-10, 46)

The Patriots are cheering for the Colts and Chiefs Sunday, as a win over Miami and a Houston loss would end up giving New England the AFC’s No. 1 seed and a Denver loss would insure the No. 2 seed. Bill Belichick may want to run up the score early in order to give his starters some down time before the postseason. Miami has lost five in a row to New England (2-3 ATS) and has been dismal on the road this year. The Dolphins are 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS away from Miami and now travel to chilly Gillette Stadium, where the temperatures will dip below 20 degrees with a chance of snow Sunday.

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (-3.5, 48)

These NFC East rivals play for all the marbles Sunday night. A win by either team earns the division crowns and a postseason ticket. Dallas had a three-game winning streak snapped in an overtime loss to New Orleans Sunday while Washington extended its successful stretch to 6-0 SU and ATS since a bye in Week 10. The Cowboys not only fight a classic rival but also the elements Sunday. The temperature is expected to be in the low 30s in D.C. and Dallas is just 4-11 SU in games played in sub-40 degree weather over the past 20 seasons. The Redskins defeated the Cowboys on Thanksgiving and have covered in five straight games versus “America’s Team”.

**Udog** · 12-27-2012, 09:50 PM

Where the action is: NFL mid-week line moves

Week 17 is one of the wildest times for NFL bettors. There are teams resting up for the playoffs, some looking ahead to next year and others fighting for their postseason lives. We talk with Jay Rood, sportsbook director at the MGM Mirage in Las Vegas, about the biggest moves on the board heading into Sunday’s games:

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals – Open: -3, Move: -1

Some online books have moved this line off the key number with money on the road Ravens. Rood is currently dealing Cincinnati -2.5, but says the sharp community came in hard on Baltimore +3 when they opened the Week 17 lines.

“The sharps grabbed the field goal,” Rood told Covers. “Our limits are a little shorter because it’s Week 17, but this was limit plays. Aside from that though, the action has been pretty balanced and there is a little lean toward the under.”

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts – Open: +4, Move: +7

Public money is coming in strong on the Texans, with the No. 1 seed in the AFC still up for grabs. Rood says the dire straits in Houston outweigh the emotional push the Colts will get when head coach Chuck Pagano returns to the sideline for the first time since leaving the team for leukemia treatments in September.

“Houston is kind of playing for their playoff lives,” says Rood. “They don’t want to find themselves traveling to Denver for a playoff game down the road. Their coach (former Broncos player Gary Kubiak) knows all about Denver in the playoffs.”

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants - Open: -9.5, Move: -7.5

The announcement that Michael Vick will start in place of injured Eagles QB Nick Foles has pushed this spread two points. Rood says they adjusted the line to New York -8.5 after news of Vick’s return under center and the sharp money took it to just above a touchdown. However, he expects the public to come back on a home team scratching and clawing for a postseason spot.

“According to the players, it’s a plus,” Rood said when asked whether it was good or bad that Vick was playing. “But I have to think the public is going to side with the Giants. They’re not completely written off.”

St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks – Open: -10.5

Despite a flood of bets coming in on the Seahawks, most online books are reluctant to move the spread for this NFC West battle. Seattle has rolled over its last three opponents and has dominated the Rams at home in recent years. But, St. Louis has played divisional foes tough this year, posting a 4-0-1 SU record and a 5-0 ATS mark versus NFC West opponents.

“Seattle is getting a lot of public play at -10.5,” says Rood. “ How can you not bet them the way they’ve been playing the last three games?”

**Udog** · 12-29-2012, 09:08 PM

NFL

Week 17

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Bears at Lions: What bettors need to know
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Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (3, 44.5)

The Chicago Bears need a win and some help in the final week of the regular season to lock up a playoff spot. The Detroit Lions are only playing for one thing - history for Calvin Johnson. The Bears are hoping to keep Johnson in check when they visit the Lions on Sunday. Johnson broke Jerry Rice’s single-season record for receiving yards last week and is aiming to become the first player in history to reach 2,000.

The Bears kept their playoff hopes alive with a win over the Arizona Cardinals in Week 16 and are hoping their banged-up roster can pull out one more in the final week. Chicago will also need the Green Bay Packers to beat the Minnesota Vikings (9-6). Detroit, which made the playoffs last season, has lost seven games in a row to crush any hope of a return trip. Johnson has been the only thing keeping spirits up with his record 1,892 yards.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Bears -3, O/U 44.5

ABOUT THE BEARS (9-6): Chicago is hoping running back Matt Forte (ankle) will be ready for the Lions. He sat out practice Wednesday and was limited Thursday. Forte was knocked out of Sunday’s win over Arizona and left the locker room in a walking boot, but he told reporters he would play against the Lions. Linebacker Brian Urlacher (hamstring) has missed the last three games and has yet to practice this week. The Bears had dropped five of six prior to the win at Arizona, averaging 11.4 points in the losses. They have won every game in which they have scored at least 18. The defense accounted for a pair of touchdowns in the 28-13 win over the Cardinals and quarterback Jay Cutler bounced back from an awful start to throw for a touchdown and at least keep the offense moving.

ABOUT THE LIONS (4-11): Detroit has simply become the Calvin Johnson show. What was once an explosive offense trying to compensate for a lackluster defense has put up an average of just 16 points in the last three games. Matthew Stafford (4,695) could end up with another 5,000-yard season but has only 17 touchdown passes to go with 16 interceptions. His 443 yards in Saturday’s 31-18 loss to the Atlanta Falcons marked the most in NFL history without a touchdown pass. Stafford hasn’t gotten much help from the running game and is frequently throwing from behind. Johnson caught 11 passes for 225 yards in the loss to Atlanta and is averaging 126.3 yards, making the 108 he needs for 2,000 a strong possibility. He has had at least 118 yards in each of the last eight games.

TRENDS:

* Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Under is 6-0 in Bears’ last six vs. NFC North foes.
* Under is 4-1 in Lions’ last five vs. NFC North foes.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Bears also lost starting S Chris Conte (hamstring) in the Arizona game. Anthony Walters replaced him the rest of the game.

2. Johnson was held to a season-low 34 yards in a 13-7 loss at Chicago on Oct. 22.

3. Chicago has taken eight of the last nine in the series but lost in its last trip to Detroit 24-13 on Oct. 10, 2011.

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**Udog** · 12-29-2012, 09:20 PM

NFL

Week 17

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Packers at Vikings: What bettors need to know
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Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (3.5, 46)

The Green Bay Packers' path is pretty well defined. If the visiting Packers can defeat the NFC North rival Minnesota Vikings on Sunday, they'll receive a bye and punch their ticket to the divisional playoffs. Should Green Bay suffer just its second loss in 11 outings, it could still clinch the No. 2 seed - provided San Francisco stumbles against Arizona and fellow NFC West rival Seattle follows suit versus St. Louis.

Minnesota's path to the postseason is a little trickier. A fourth straight victory on Sunday will secure the Vikings the No. 6 seed - and perhaps a return trip to Lambeau Field for the first round of the playoffs. A loss to the division foe on Sunday isn't entirely a death knell to the season, although Minnesota would require Chicago, Dallas and the New York Giants to all suffer losses in Week 17.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Packers -3.5, O/U 46

ABOUT THE PACKERS (11-4): Green Bay, which has defeated Minnesota in five straight games, secured its postseason berth with a convincing 55-7 rout of Tennessee last week. Pro Bowler Aaron Rodgers led the charge with his second consecutive three-touchdown game on Sunday, and has torched Minnesota during the team's winning streak. Rodgers has thrown for 14 touchdowns and accumulated a 122.2 passer rating. Green Bay's run-by-committee approach has been successful, with veteran Ryan Grant recording 80 yards and a pair of scores last week.

ABOUT THE VIKINGS (9-6): Adrian Peterson's bid to usurp Eric Dickerson's single-season rushing record hit a bump in the road in last week in the team's 23-6 victory over Houston. The Pro Bowler battled abdominal soreness to amass "only" 86 yards, thus requiring 208 on Sunday if he wishes to break Dickerson's 1984 mark. Peterson torched the Packers for 210 yards on Dec. 2, but Green Bay walked away with a 23-14 triumph. Christian Ponder was victimized by two critical interceptions in the loss.

TRENDS:

* Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Vikings are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home games.
* Under is 5-0 in Packers’ last five vs. NFC North foes.
* Under is 6-0 in Vikings’ last six vs. a team with a winning record.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Green Bay OLB Clay Matthews didn't play in the first meeting due to a hamstring injury. The Pro Bowler, who has a team-high 12 sacks, is set to compete on Sunday, however.

2. Ponder has been picked off on only one occasion during Minnesota's three-game winning streak.

3. Packers WR Jordy Nelson returned to practice this week after injuring his hamstring in the teams' earlier tilt.

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**Udog** · 12-29-2012, 09:22 PM

NFL

Week 17

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Sunday Night Football: Cowboys at Redskins
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Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins (-3.5, 48)

The stakes could not be higher for a pair of division rivals as the Washington Redskins host the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday night with the NFC East title on the line. Washington has turned its season around since a 3-6 start, winning each of its six games following its bye week. The winning streak is the longest since a seven-game run in 1996 for the Redskins, who are seeking their first division crown since 1999 but also can earn a playoff berth with losses by Chicago and Minnesota.

Dallas only can reach the postseason with a victory. The Cowboys also have flourished in the second half, following a 3-5 start with wins in five of their next six games before suffering a 34-31 overtime loss to New Orleans at home last Sunday. This week's situation is very familiar to Dallas, which last season lost to the New York Giants in the final week with the division title on the line and also missed the playoffs in 2008 with a setback to Philadelphia in the season finale.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.

LINE: Redskins -3.5, O/U 48.5.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures around the freezing mark and clear skies. Winds will blow out of the NNW at 5 mph.

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (8-7): While the NFC East crown is paramount, Dallas also wouldn't mind avenging a 38-31 home loss to Washington on Nov. 22. The Cowboys had won six of the previous seven meetings between the division rivals. Jason Witten set the NFL record for most receptions by a tight end last week with his 103rd catch. Since 2007, Witten has 547 receptions, the most by by a tight end. Linebacker Anthony Spencer has registered 6 1/2 sacks over his last six contests.

ABOUT THE REDSKINS (9-6): Robert Griffin III returned from a one-game absence due to a sprained right knee and threw two touchdown passes in last Sunday's 27-20 victory at Philadelphia. The knee kept Griffin grounded, however, as he ran only twice for four yards while wearing a brace. "My mobility was down a little bit just because of the brace," Griffin said. "It didn't necessarily slow me down by any means, and I was able to protect myself out there." Griffin has run for 752 yards this season, the most by a rookie quarterback in NFL history.

TRENDS:

* Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
* Redskins are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Over is 4-0 in Cowboys’ last four vs. NFC East foes.
* Over is 4-1 in Redskins’ last five games overall.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Cowboys WR Dez Bryant has caught at least one touchdown pass in each of his last seven games.

2. Griffin has thrown six TD passes without an interception over his last four home contests.

3. Washington RB Alfred Morris leads all rookies with 1,413 rushing yards.

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**Udog** · 12-29-2012, 09:24 PM

NFL weather watch: Snow expected in Buffalo

Now that it’s officially winter, factoring weather into your handicapping will become even more important.

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (-3.5, 39)

Site: Ralph Wilson Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-20s with a 50 percent chance of snow. Winds will blow out of the WNW at 13 mph.

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants (-7, 45.5)

Site: MetLife Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures around the freezing mark and partly cloudy skies. Winds will be strong out of the NW at 19 mph.

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-11, 34.5)

Site: Heinz Field

Forecasts are calling for temperatures around the freezing mark and overcast skies. Winds will blow out of the west at 13 mph.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots (-10, 46)

Site: Gillette Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-20s and partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out of the NW at 13 mph.

Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (-10, 39)

Site: Qualcomm Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s with a 40 percent of thunderstorms. Winds will blow out of the west at 6 mph.

**Udog** · 12-29-2012, 09:26 PM

Where the action is: NFL Week 17 line moves

Playoff implications and lack of motivation litter NFL Week 17. We talk with online sportsbook BetDSI.eu about the biggest line moves on the board.

Miami at New England (-10.5, 46)

Sharp money pounded the total early and often at 48.5, 48, 47.5 down to its current 46 value. The side has seen little preference from sharps or the public at this time.

Green Bay at Minnesota (3.5, 46)

With news of Adrian Peterson’s injury the public has backed the Packers and are loading up on teasers for this game. The bet count is currently about 3-to-1 in favor of Green Bay although the money is not too far out of balance as of yet. As usual, the teaser money is leaning in the direction of the Pack.

Dallas at Washington (-3.5, 48.5)

The public has sided with the Skins and has created a 2-to-1 bet count and a 2-to-1 money wagered position on the side of this game. Some early sharp money did come in on Dallas at 4. Sharp money also hit the total on the game at 50, pushing the number down to its current 48.5 value.

New York Jets at Buffalo (-3.5, 39)

Sharp money continues to follow the Jets this week backing them at the +3 number. The total has seen more sharp money attention and has pushed the line down to 39 from 41.

Baltimore at Cincinnati (-1, 41)

The Ravens attracted early sharp money this week at +3 even money. That action has created a 2-to-1 money wagered advantage on that game. The public has not really chimed in on this game at all.

Jacksonville at Tennessee (-4, 41.5)

The Jacksonville Jaguars also received early sharp attention at the +5.5 number pushing it to the current +4 number. Titans RB Chris Johnson (ankle) is expected to play.

St Louis at Seattle (-11, 41)

Seattle is getting a lot of attention this week with a 3-to-1 bet count favoring the Seahawks. This game saw some of the larger sized bets of this week at the -10 number, creating the move to the current -11 line value. Seattle has joined the elite teaser team ranks with the likes of the New York Giants, New England Patriots, and Green Bay Packers.

Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 17 (Sunday, December 30)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 17 (Sunday, December 30)

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