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**Udog** · 12-17-2012, 08:54 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Six most popular picks and six least popular picks in LVH handicapping contest, which has 700+ contestants, all of whom who pick five NFL games a week against the spread. They put up $1,500 each, so these are serious handicappers........

6) Green Bay Packers, 189- W
T4) Houston Texans, 201- W
T4) Minnesota Vikings, 201- W
3) New Jersey Giants, 208- L
2) San Francisco 49ers, 221-
1) Pittsburgh Steelers, 242- L

25) New Jersey Jets, 77- ??
26) Oakland Raiders, 72- L
27) New Orleans Saints, 71- W
28) San Diego Chargers, 55- L
30) Kansas City Chiefs, 42- L
31) Miami Dolphins, 38- L

*****

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend.........

13) Seven NFL teams this week have had turnover ratios of -2 or worse; not only have all seven lost, they lost by an average score of 38-11. Five of those seven teams also wound up with field position deficits of 10+ yards. You cannot win for long in the NFL playing on a longer field.than the other guys are. Especially if you're not as good as the other guys.

12) Arizona broke its 9-game losing streak by beating the hideous Lions 38-10; on the Cardinals' five TDs, they contributed a total of 37 yards--two TDs were scored by the defense-- offense scored on drives of 3-5-29 yards. Arizona had a 23-yard edge in field position, in addition to the TDs scored by their defense. Another abysmal performance by Detroit.

11) Packers led 21-10 in Chicago with 8:00 left, the Bears are punting, the game is basically over, but Green Bay inexplicably tried a cross-field lateral on the punt return, which was predictably fumbled and Chicago recovered, giving them a chance to move within 21-13. A ridiculously stupid play.

Seriously, this was the worst tactical blunder I've seen since Sam Wyche had the Bengals take a knee on a 4th-down play in a 1987 game aganst the 49ers, giving Joe Montana one more play, on which he threw the winning TD pass. Only thing to save Wyche from being fired that day was the league going on strike the next day. They should've fired him anyway.

10) Chicago is 7-6 after being 6-1, giving them a chance to be second team in the Wild Card era ('96 Redskins) to miss the playoffs after being 7-1. If you like to read body language, Jay Cutler's would have a lot of bleeps in it.

9) Giants are 4th NFL team ever to score 50+ points one week, get shut out the next week; '05 Redskins were last team to do that.

8) Saints gave up those 52 points in Swamp Stadium last week, so of course they shut the Buccaneers out today. Makes perfect sense. Kind of.

7) Disappointed that the Rams got pasted by Minnesota; two worst games the Rams played this year were the only two games they were favored to win. Still lot of progress this year, but this was a deflating performance.

6) A sub-par crowd of 40,770 in Toronto watched Seahawks crush Buffalo 50-17; I am told Seattle ran a fake punt while leading 47-17-- whats the point of doing that, and whats the point of having a game in Toronto, if they don't sell the game out? Seattle-San Francisco next week will be interesting.

5) Buffalo's Stevie Johnson made maybe the best catch I've ever seen early in third quarter of Seahawks-Bills game- tremendous grab of a high ball behind him with just his right hand. And it earned a 1st down on 3rd-and-long. Too bad Johnson doesn't play defense; the Bills got hammered in this game.

4) Before CJ Spiller scored with 0:34 left in first quarter, Seattle had scored 78 unanswered points over three games; that was the Seahawks' last away game of the regular season. Wonder if (former NC State coach) Tom O'Brien roots for the Seahawks? I'm guessing not.

3) What genius came up with the NFL rule, "If QB is hit while throwing the ball, it doesn't matter what direction the ball goes in, it is incomplete (assuming it is not caught)"?

If the ball is thrown backwards, why shouldn't it be a lateral, and therefore a free ball? Why overcomplicate something that should be simple?

2) I'm thinking penalties are the least-telling statistic in football; Steelers didn't have a penalty accepted in Dallas Sunday. Cowboys had eight accepted for 61 yards. There is almost no correlation between penalties and winning.

1) Bad news for the Chiefs: They didn't have a first down in the first 36:00 of their 15-0 loss at Oakland, and gained a total of only 119 yards.

Good news for the Chiefs: Their nightmare of a season ends in two weeks.

**Udog** · 12-17-2012, 08:55 AM

Report: Jays, Mets agree on trade for Dickey

The New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays have agreed in principle to a seven-player deal that would bring reigning NL Cy Young Award winner R.A. Dickey to Toronto, as first reported by FOXSports.

The deal is contingent on Dickey signing a contract extension with the Jays.

John Avello, director of the Wynn Sportsbook in Las Vegas, is keeping the Jays' World Series futures odds at 12/1.

"There's too much competition in the American League," Avello told Covers. "I can't put them any lower...that's low enough."

The Jays are just a month removed from acquiring Jose Reyes, Mark Buehrle and Josh Johnson in a blockbuster trade with the Marlins. That trade bumped Toronto's futures odds up from 40/1 to 12/1 at some Vegas books.

Although he's unwilling to move his futures odds, Avello said Dickey would have a potential impact on season win totals. He projects the Jays to win around 90 games next season with Dickey in the rotation.

"He's (Dickey) worth about four extra wins to the Jays," says Avello.

The 38-year-old knuckleballer went 20-6 with a 2.60 ERA in 33 starts last season.

**Udog** · 12-17-2012, 08:55 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Texas State at Northwestern
The Bobcats look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 road games. Texas State is the pick (+13) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by only 11. Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+13). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, DECEMBER 17

Game 713-714: Detroit at Syracuse (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 58.275; Syracuse 81.958
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 23 1/2; 146
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 19; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-19); Under

Game 715-716: Texas State at Northwestern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 49.020; Northwestern 60.106
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 11; 145
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 13; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+13); Over

Game 717-718: UL-Monroe at Florida State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 40.031; Florida State 67.451
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 27 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida State by 25 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-25 1/2)

Game 719-720: Louisiana Tech at AR-Little Rock (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 60.195; AR-Little Rock 55.635
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-2)

Game 721-722: UNLV at UTEP (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 65.413; UTEP 60.576
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 5; 137
Vegas Line: UNLV by 7 1/2; 131
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+7 1/2); Over

Game 723-724: Cornell at Vanderbilt (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 47.147; Vanderbilt 63.126
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 16; 123
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 9 1/2; 126
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-9 1/2); Under

Game 725-726: Cal Poly at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 52.558; Santa Clara 61.143
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+11 1/2)

Game 727-728: Valparaiso at Oakland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 57.260; Oakland 50.400
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 7
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-3 1/2)

Game 729-730: IPFW at Notre Dame (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 45.010; Notre Dame 72.140
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 27
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 23
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-23)

Game 731-732: Georgia Southern at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 50.336; Bradley 58.520
Dunkel Line: Bradley by 8
Vegas Line: Bradley by 10
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+10)

Game 733-734: Montana State at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 43.375; Northern Arizona 52.808
Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Arizona by 7
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (-7)

Game 735-736: North Dakota at Southern Utah (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 45.780; Southern Utah 43.120
Dunkel Line: North Dakota by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Utah by 1
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (+1)

Game 737-738: Eastern Washington at UC Davis (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 45.584; UC Davis 51.070
Dunkel Line: UC Davis by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: UC Davis by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC Davis (-4 1/2)

**Udog** · 12-17-2012, 08:56 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, December 17

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DETROIT (6 - 4) at SYRACUSE (9 - 0) - 12/17/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
SYRACUSE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
SYRACUSE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
SYRACUSE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SYRACUSE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS ST (4 - 6) at NORTHWESTERN (7 - 3) - 12/17/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA-MONROE (1 - 5) at FLORIDA ST (5 - 4) - 12/17/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISIANA TECH (8 - 3) at ARK-LITTLE ROCK (8 - 4) - 12/17/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 2-1 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-1 straight up against ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UNLV (8 - 1) at UTEP (3 - 4) - 12/17/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
UNLV is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
UTEP is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
UTEP is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTEP is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
UTEP is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 1-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 1-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CORNELL (4 - 5) at VANDERBILT (4 - 4) - 12/17/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
CORNELL is 99-70 ATS (+22.0 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
CORNELL is 96-60 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road games since 1997.
CORNELL is 96-60 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
CORNELL is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in December games since 1997.
CORNELL is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
CORNELL is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
VANDERBILT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAL POLY-SLO (4 - 4) at SANTA CLARA (8 - 2) - 12/17/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SANTA CLARA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
SANTA CLARA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VALPARAISO (7 - 3) at OAKLAND (3 - 7) - 12/17/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VALPARAISO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 1-1 straight up against VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IUPU-FT WAYNE (5 - 6) at NOTRE DAME (9 - 1) - 12/17/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IUPU-FT WAYNE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GA SOUTHERN (4 - 5) at BRADLEY (6 - 2) - 12/17/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRADLEY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MONTANA ST (2 - 5) at N ARIZONA (3 - 5) - 12/17/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ARIZONA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA ST is 4-1 against the spread versus N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA ST is 3-2 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N DAKOTA (2 - 6) at SOUTHERN UTAH (2 - 6) - 12/17/2012, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E WASHINGTON (2 - 7) at CAL DAVIS (1 - 6) - 12/17/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E WASHINGTON is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
E WASHINGTON is 26-47 ATS (-25.7 Units) in December games since 1997.
CAL DAVIS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
CAL DAVIS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
CAL DAVIS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CAL DAVIS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
CAL DAVIS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CAL DAVIS is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
E WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus CAL DAVIS over the last 3 seasons
E WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against CAL DAVIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-17-2012, 08:56 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 17

-- Coach Boeheim goes for win #900 against Detroit team that lost by 3 at St John's, by 13 at Pitt. 9-0 Syracuse hasn't won home game by less than 20 points; six of their nine opponents are ranked lower than #132 Titans. Horizon League road underdogs are 14-12 against the spread. Big East home favorites of 17+ points are 11-7 against spread.
-- Northwestern star Crawford just had shoulder surgery, is out for year; Wildcats lost last three home games, scoring 55.3 ppg; this is their first game in nine days. Texas State plays #2 pace in country, quite contrast to patient Northwestern; State lost six of last eight games, but just lost by only 12 at Texas. WAC double digit road underdogs are 7-5.
-- Florida State lost three of last four games, is just 5-4, with losses to #150/193 teams; they're 2-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 8-32 points. UL-Monroe is 1-5, with three losses by 25+ points; 15% of its shots get blocked. ACC double digit home favorites are 12-8 vs spread; Sun Belt double digit road underdogs are 4-12.
-- Home side won last five Louisiana Tech-Little Rock games; Bulldogs lost last three visits here, by 9-9-14 points.Tech allowed 68 or less in its eight wins, 71+ in its three losses. UALR turns ball over 23% of time but is 6-0 at home. Sun Belt home underdogs are 5-1; WAC teams are 16-11 in games where spread is 5 or less points-- road favorites are 5-0.

-- UNLV is 8-1, winning road games at Portland by 8, Cal by 1, but they aren't as good without injured star Moser; Rebels beat UTEP at home by 11 LY. UTEP is 3-4, but three of losses are to teams in top 80- Miners losing by 21-7-21 points. MWC single digit road favorites are 5-3-1 vs spread. C-USA underdogs are 11-22 vs spread, 0-3 at home.
-- Cornell lost both its road games, by 11 at Arizona State, Wisconsin by 33; Big Red is 0-4 vs teams in top 200, losing by 4-33-11-23; they have a huge loss ahead of them Wednesday at Duke. Vanderbilt is 4-4- three of their four losses are vs top 100 teams. Ivy League road underdogs are 8-16 vs spread. SEC single digit home favorites are 7-10 vs spread.
-- Santa Clara is 8-2 after losing its last 18 games LY; Broncos' senior G Foster is playing well after being suspended most of LY. Santa Clara is 3-0 vs teams not in top 200, winning by 8-15-21 points. Cal Poly won at UCLA but lost its other three road games, by 7-13-18 points- they're 2-4 vs D-I teams. Big West road underdogs are 22-18 against spread.
-- Valparaiso/Oakland split pair of high scoring games last two years, as road team won both, 82-80/103-102; Crusaders are 7-3 this year, 6-1 vs teams not in top 100, with wins at Kent State/Missouri State. Oakland lost seven of last eight games vs D-I teams, allowing 77 ppg in last three. Horizon League road favorites are 8-10 against the spread.
-- Fort Wayne is 3-6 vs D-I teams, 1-5 on road, losing by 5-11-10; they shoot 29.4% from arc, 59.5% from line. This is second of 4 games/7 nights stretch for Notre Dame, before they get two weeks off; Irish had good win over Purdue Saturday. Summit League double digit road faves are 8-15 vs spread; Big East home favorites of 20+ points are 8-2.

-- Georgia Southern won SU as 14-point dogs at Virginia Tech Saturday, just its second win in seven D-I games; Eagles were held to 54 points or less in all five losses- they scored 62+ in four wins. Bradley is 6-2 after ending LY on 2-21 skid; Braves have only one win vs team ranked higher than #285. MVC double digit home favorites are 9-7 against spread.
-- Montana State won 74-72 at Northern Arizona LY, after losing here in previous nine visits, by average of 16 points. Bobcats are 1-5 this season vs D-I teams, with only win by 19 over Portland- they're 0-3 away from home, losing by 15-14-13 points. Lumberjacks are 3-1 vs teams not in top 200; Montana State is lowest-rated team they've played this year.
-- North Dakota is 0-6 vs D-I teams, with three losses by 5 points or less; they've beaten couple of non-D-I teams- they're 0-5 on road, with three losses by 20+ points. Southern Utah is also 0-6 vs D-I teams, with oair of other wins-- this is their first game in 13 days. Thunderbirds are turning ball over 29% of time, shooting 25.8% behind arc. Not good.
-- Eastern Washington is 2-6; five of its last six games were decided by 5 or less points, or in OT; Eagles beat Cal-Davis by 20 LY at home. UCD is 1-6, losing only home game to Sacramento State; Davis turns ball over 23% of time. Big Sky single digit road underdogs are 7-9 vs spread. Big West home favorites are 8-6 against the spread.

**Udog** · 12-17-2012, 08:57 AM

NCAAB

Monday, December 17

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
MD-EASTERN SHORE vs. CONNECTICUT
No trends available
Connecticut is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Connecticut is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

7:00 PM
TEXAS STATE vs. NORTHWESTERN
Texas State is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Northwestern is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Northwestern is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

7:00 PM
VALPARAISO vs. OAKLAND
Valparaiso is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Valparaiso is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
No trends available

7:00 PM
ALABAMA STATE vs. GEORGIA TECH
No trends available
Georgia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Georgia Tech is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

7:00 PM
LONGWOOD vs. CANISIUS
No trends available
Canisius is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
Canisius is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
ALCORN STATE vs. TEMPLE
No trends available
Temple is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Temple is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. SYRACUSE
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Syracuse is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Syracuse is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
IUPU FORT WAYNE vs. NOTRE DAME
No trends available
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. FLORIDA STATE
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Florida State is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Florida State is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home

8:00 PM
UNLV vs. TEXAS EL PASO
UNLV is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
UNLV is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Texas El Paso is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Texas El Paso is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE vs. MISSOURI
No trends available
Missouri is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Missouri is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home

8:00 PM
LOUISIANA TECH vs. ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
Louisiana Tech is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arkansas-Little R
Louisiana Tech is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Arkansas-Little R
Arkansas-Little Rock is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Arkansas-Little Rock is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
USC UPSTATE vs. BAYLOR
No trends available
Baylor is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
Baylor is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

8:00 PM
GEORGIA SOUTHERN vs. BRADLEY
Georgia Southern is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Bradley is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
Bradley is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
EUREKA vs. SIU EDWARDSVILLE
No trends available
SIU Edwardsville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
SIU Edwardsville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:05 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
No trends available
Southern Illinois is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games
Southern Illinois is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

8:35 PM
MONTANA STATE vs. NORTHERN ARIZONA
Montana State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Montana State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Northern Arizona is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Montana State

9:00 PM
CORNELL vs. VANDERBILT
Cornell is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Cornell is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home

9:00 PM
NORTH FLORIDA vs. COLORADO STATE
No trends available
Colorado State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Colorado State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

9:05 PM
TABOR COLLEGE vs. NORTHERN COLORADO
No trends available
Northern Colorado is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Northern Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

9:30 PM
NORTH DAKOTA vs. SOUTHERN UTAH
North Dakota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Utah is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
Southern Utah is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

10:00 PM
CAL POLY vs. SANTA CLARA
Cal Poly is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Cal Poly is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Santa Clara is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games at home
Santa Clara is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

10:00 PM
JACKSON STATE vs. SEATTLE
No trends available
Seattle is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

10:00 PM
EASTERN WASHINGTON vs. UC DAVIS
Eastern Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
UC Davis is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games at home
UC Davis is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games

10:00 PM
CS BAKERSFIELD vs. PORTLAND
No trends available
Portland is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

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**Udog** · 12-17-2012, 09:13 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Chicago at Memphis
The Grizzlies look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is coming off an 83-82 win over Brooklyn and is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games following a SU victory. Memphis is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-6). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, DECEMBER 17

Game 701-702: Minnesota at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 119.426; Orlando 114.832
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 3; 185
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3); Over

Game 703-704: LA Clippers at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 125.147; Detroit 116.671
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-6 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Houston at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 116.663; New York 127.892
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 11; 202
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 9; 210
Dunkel Pick: New York (-9); Under

Game 707-708: Chicago at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 118.618; Memphis 128.272
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 9 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 6; 179
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-6); Over

Game 709-710: San Antonio at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 124.719; Oklahoma City 125.851
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City 5; 207
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+5); Over

Game 711-712: Sacramento at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 110.032; Phoenix 120.324
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 10 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 6; 198
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-6); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, December 17

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MINNESOTA (12 - 9) at ORLANDO (10 - 13) - 12/17/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (17 - 6) at DETROIT (7 - 19) - 12/17/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 91-132 ATS (-54.2 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 2-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (11 - 12) at NEW YORK (18 - 5) - 12/17/2012, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-0 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (13 - 9) at MEMPHIS (15 - 6) - 12/17/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 104-81 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 55-37 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 105-77 ATS (+20.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MEMPHIS is 68-37 ATS (+27.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
CHICAGO is 56-37 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (19 - 6) at OKLAHOMA CITY (19 - 4) - 12/17/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 206-165 ATS (+24.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 53-40 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 66-35 ATS (+27.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 58-39 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 260-195 ATS (+45.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-5 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-5 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (7 - 16) at PHOENIX (9 - 15) - 12/17/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 37-51 ATS (-19.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 17-37 ATS (-23.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 17

Hot Teams
-- Minnesota won its last four games, is 6-1-1 vs spread in last eight, 5-5 as road dog. Magic is 5-3 in last eight games (2-2 as HF).
-- Clippers won last nine games, covered five of last six as a AF.
-- Knicks won nine of last ten games (7-2 as HF).
-- Bulls won seven of their last nine games (2-2 as AU).
-- Spurs won 11 of their last 14 games (1-0 as an U). Oklahoma City won its last ten games (7-6-1 as HF).
-- Suns upset Memphis/Utah in last two games (1-6 as HF).

Cold Teams
-- Pistons lost six of last seven games (3-3 as HU).
-- Rockets lost last seven road games (0-5-1 last six as AU).
-- Grizzlies lost three of last four games (6-3-1 as HF).
-- Kings lost nine of their ten road games (4-6 as AU).

Totals
-- Minnesota's last four road games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Detroit games went over the total.
-- New York's last six home games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Memphis home games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Thunder games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Phoenix home games.

Back-to-backs
-- Houston is 1-4 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Kings are 0-2 vs spread on road if they played night before.

NBA

Monday, December 17

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Orlando
Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games
Orlando is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. NEW YORK
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New York
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

7:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. DETROIT
LA Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on the road
LA Clippers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
San Antonio is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. MEMPHIS
Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing Chicago
Memphis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago

9:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Sacramento's last 11 games when playing Phoenix
Sacramento is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing Sacramento
Phoenix is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Sacramento

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NBA

Monday, December 17

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Spurs at Thunder: What bettors need to know
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San Antonio Spurs at Oklahoma City Thunder (-4.5, 207)

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been rolling along, having won 10 in a row to seize the best record in the NBA. The Thunder will face a familiar opponent on Monday when they host the San Antonio Spurs, the team which they defeated during last season's Western Conference finals. The Spurs exacted a small measure of revenge with an 86-84 triumph when the teams met on Nov. 1.

The Thunder, who posted a 113-103 win over Sacramento on Friday, enters the contest with a league-best 105.7 scoring average and 9.3 point differential. San Antonio can also score some points, as it showed when it surpassed 130 on two occasions recently. The Spurs didn't reach that total, but secured a comfortable 103-88 victory over Boston on Saturday.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, Fox Sports Southwest (San Antonio), Fox Sports Oklahoma

ABOUT THE SPURS (19-6, 16-8-1 ATS): Tony Parker drained the game-winning 21-footer as time expired when the teams met last month. Tim Duncan had 20 points and eight rebounds, but veteran guard Manu Ginobili missed that contest. As it turns out, Ginobili is doubtful to play on Monday as well. Ginobili suffered a bruised left quad in Saturday's win, prompting coach Gregg Popovich to say on Sunday that "it's hard to believe he'd be ready (for Monday), but I'm not sure."

ABOUT THE THUNDER (19-4, 14-8-1 ATS): Kevin Durant, who scored 31 points on Friday, had a game-high 23 points when Oklahoma City last played San Antonio. The three-time NBA scoring champion is having another brilliant season - with his 27.5 points per game already ahead of his career average. Oklahoma City owns a sparkling 13-2 mark at home, bested only by New York's 10-0 record at Madison Square Garden.

CONSENSUS: Sixty percent of Cover Consensus players are picking the Thunder while 69 percent are on the over.

TRENDS:

* Over is 7-1-1 in the last nine meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
* Spurs are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Spurs are 0-4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Oklahoma City will look to match its longest winning streak since November 1996, when the franchise won 11 in a row as the Seattle SuperSonics.

2. San Antonio F Stephen Jackson will miss his 15th consecutive game with a finger injury.

3. Thunder G Russell Westbrook has struggled with his shot over the last two games. Westbrook, who is just 8-for-27, started the month by going 36-for-78.

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**Udog** · 12-17-2012, 10:38 AM

NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, December 17

Minnesota at Orlando, 7:05 ET
Minnesota: 6-1 ATS playing their third game in four days
Orlando: 4-17 ATS off a division win

LA Clippers at Detroit, 7:35 ET
LA Clippers: 12-4 ATS off a SU win
Detroit: 10-28 ATS at home off a division loss by 10+ points

Houston at New York, 7:35 ET NBATV
Houston: 10-26 ATS off BB games allowing 10 or less offensive rebounds
New York: 8-1 ATS off 4+ Overs

Chicago at Memphis, 8:05 ET
Chicago: 13-3 Under as an underdog
Memphis: 24-8 ATS off a SU win as an underdog

San Antonio at Oklahoma City, 8:05 ET
San Antonio: 12-1 ATS after committing 13 fouls or less
Oklahoma City: 12-2 Over at home after playing 3+ games as a home favorite

Sacramento at Phoenix, 9:05 ET
Sacramento: 17-37 ATS in the first half of the season
Phoenix: 25-12 Under after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7 games

**Udog** · 12-17-2012, 10:40 AM

NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Monday, December 17

Detroit at Syracuse, 7:00 ET ESPN2
Detroit: 3-11 ATS off BB non-conference games
Syracuse: 6-0 ATS off BB non-confereence games

UNLV at UTEP, 8:00 ET
UNLV: 1-8 ATS as a road favorite
UTEP: 12-4 Under off a home game

IPFW at Notre Dame, 7:00 ET ESPNU
IPFW: 1-8 ATS with a total of 130 to 139.5 points
Notre Dame: 8-1 ATS at home off an Over

**Udog** · 12-17-2012, 04:52 PM

NFL odds: Week 16 opening line report

Playoff pressure can bring out the best in some teams and cause others to crumble.

With just two weeks left in the NFL regular season, many of the Week 16 games have postseason implications. None more so than games involving the NFC East.

Three teams – New York, Dallas and Washington - sit tied atop the division at 8-6 and it looks like if any of those clubs want a shot at the division crown or the NFC wild card, they’ll need to win out in the final games of the schedule.

It’s no surprise that those three teams are favorites heading into their Week 16 contests. The Cowboys are 3-point favorites at home to New Orleans, the Redskins are 4-point faves in Philadelphia, and the Giants have moved to 1-point road chalk after opening as a pick in Baltimore.

“It absolutely plays into the lines,” Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, says about playoff pressure. “We overcompensate and you can see that in this week’s spreads.”

Perhaps the biggest overcompensation is the Dallas spread. Korner believes the Cowboys, who took an OT win from the Steelers Sunday, aren’t a deserving favorite. The Sports Club sent out Dallas -2 and some online books are offering that spread as big as -3.

“I think the wrong team is favored but you have to remember the point is to draw two-way action,” Korner told Covers. “It was a key win for the Cowboys and everyone saw it, but I expect there to be late money on the Saints. They’re loose and free, they play a loose-and-free style, and that makes them dangerous.”

As for the other two NFC East matchups, Korner says New York’s history of stepping it up in big games is the main reason they opened pick in Baltimore and have drawn the early money from bettors. The Giants suffered a 34-0 drubbing at the hands of the Atlanta Falcons Sunday, their fourth loss in the past six games.

In the case of Washington, Korner says they sent out the Redskins as 6-point favorites in Philly expecting Robert Griffin III to play after missing Week 15's win over Cleveland with a sprained knee. He also stands by the rookie quarterback in this high-pressure situation.

“RG3 is obviously the difference and the reason we sent out -6,” he says. “We’ve had some stud QBs come out this year, with Luck and Griffin. A QB is a QB and results are results, regardless of it they’re from a rookie.”

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5, 43.5)

The AFC North is another division with an unsettled playoff pecking order. The Steelers took a step back with their loss in Dallas Sunday while the Bengals walked over Philadelphia Thursday.

Korner says his oddsmakers came to the table with everything between Pittsburgh -1.5 to -7, eventually settling in the middle. Online shops opened as low as -3.5 but have since taken Steelers money pushing the spread to -4.5.

“I thought the early money would be on Cincinnati, admits Korner. “I don’t think it will run too far. Both teams need it which is perfect, we get the best from both teams. I see this being a tighter spread.”

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks (Pick)

This late-game NFC West showdown has multiple factors pouring into its opening odds.

- The Niners just took a game from the Patriots in New England while the Seahawks have hung an uncharacteristic 108 total points on their last two opponents.

- Seattle has dominated with the running game while San Francisco boasts the best run-stuffing defense in the land.

- The 49ers have a bid at the No. 1 seed in the conference while the Seahawks are trying to hang on to an NFC wild card ticket.

And then there’s CenturyLink Field in December. The extended forecast is calling for rain Sunday night.

Korner is happy both teams showed well on Sunday, making it tougher for bettors to get a grip on the odds. The Sports Club sent out Seattle as a 1-point favorite but Korner doesn’t expect the Niners to coast in the final weeks.

“I don’t see a letdown for this game,” he says. “They just went into New England and won. Who’s to say they can’t go into Seattle and win?”

Announcement

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 12/17 (NBA, NCAAB, Misc.)

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 12/17 (NBA, NCAAB, Misc.)

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