Announcement

**Udog** · 12-14-2012, 09:29 AM

Armadillo: Weekend's six-pack

-- Josh Hamilton gets $125M for five years from the Angels. Should make the Anaheim-Texas rivalry a little more interesting.

-- Lakers are now 2-8 on the road after losing 116-107 to the Knicks.

-- Interesting part of Tom Watson being Captain of the Ryder Cup team is apparently, he and Eldrick Woods don't get along very well.

-- The seven non-football schools in the Big East have apparently defected, making it 17 teams to bolt the Big East, just in the last eight years. TCU set a new standard by bolting the league before they ever played a game there.

-- At what point do the NHL owners wise up and realize how much they are crippling their own business with this lockout? They were doing so bad last year that they couldn't continue?

-- Rutgers suspended coach Mike Rice for three games, fined him $50,000, plus the $24,000 or so he'll lose from those three games, for doing stuff in practice, stuff like throwing basketballs at players' heads. Just fire him, but then the AD who hired him would be under fire. So Rice gets suspended.

*****

Friday's List of 13: Random thoughts with weekend here......

13) ESPN.com's Todd McShay did a mock NFL draft; his first six players were all linemen. In other words, not a very strong draft.

12) Top QB will either be West Virginia's Geno Smith or Matt Barkley of USC, who lost a lot of money by staying in school this year.

11) Oklahoma State booster T. Boone Pickens bought the last 4,000 tickets to Cowboys' December 31 game with Gonzaga, then had school give them away on a first-come, first-serve basis. Tickets were gone in 90 minutes.

10) Kevin Youkilis is the 52nd big league All-Star who will play for both the Red Sox and Bronx Bombers. Eight members of the '04 Red Sox later went on to play in the Bronx; thats a little weird.

9) Michigan beat Binghamton Tuesday night, committing only four fouls the whole game. 30 years ago, when I was in college, Binghamton was such a lousy D-III program they didn't always open both sides of their gym for home games. They played Albany one night with an intramural game being played on the other side of the gym divider. Now they're playing Michigan.

8) Kurt Warner has a new reality show on USA Network starting in April, where he gives nine every-day people the chance to pursue the career of their dreams. Don't think any of the nine chose bagging groceries.

7) Skip Holtz is new football coach at Louisiana Tech; not sure why South Florida pulled the plug so fast on him, but I think he's a good coach and will do well at Tech.

6) One of the cool things about college sports is how some schools are powers in one sport, and doormats in others. Duke-Kentucky-UNLV are dreadful in football, but always win in hoops. Nebraska-Penn State-Virginia Tech are perennial top 20 football teams, but struggle in basketball.

5) Duke lost its last four games, finished 6-6, but is still going to a bowl game; will they bring any fans to Charlotte with them?

4) 11 of 13 NBA games Wednesday were decided by 7 or less points. Just an excellent night of entertainment.

3) Jay Cutler has a sprained MCL, should still start against the Packers Sunday, but more and more, the Bears seem like a sinking ship.

2) Wichita State lost 69-60 at Tennessee, its first loss this season, to a team that scored 36-38 points in its last two games.

1) Honest question: If you owned an NFL team that needed a QB, say you're the Arizona Cardinals, would you make a move for Michael Vick?

*****

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Our NFL List of 13.......

32) Cardinals—Worst QB play the NFL has seen since the ’76-’77 Bucs started out 0-26 in the NFL. Should be noted that the ’79 Bucs played in the NFC title game.

31) Chiefs—Will be lot of relieved people when this season ends December 30; some of them will soon be unemployed, but they will still be relieved this debacle is behind them.

30) Raiders—This just dawned on me; why did they leave LA and go back to Oakland; isn’t LA a better place to own a team than the Bay Area? Al Davis got a pass from the media for lot of the things he did late in his career.

??) Eagles—Someone is going to be lucky to get Andy Reid as coach next year, but this year has been awful for him; all four of their wins are by 1 or 2 points. Turned ball over three times in 71 seconds Thursday night.

9) Giants—Defending champs were 7-7 after 14 games LY and won Super Bowl. Have tough road games next two weeks (Falcons/Ravens), could have trouble holding off Cowboys/Redskins.

8) Seahawks—I’m still mystified why Tom O’Brien ran Russell Wilson off at NC State; won’t this hamper him getting hired anywhere else? How does he explain that? Seahawks better not look ahead to next week's 49er game.

7) Colts—Got squashed at Foxboro, in their first game on a really big stage; this is their second chance, against a Texan team smarting after they got hammered by the Patriots. Indy could still win the AFC South.

6) 49ers—Interesting cold weather game Sunday night in Foxboro, followed by another primetime road game, again possibly in bad weather, at Seattle, which is on Jim Harbaugh’s birthday.

5) Falcons—The least respected 11-2 team in NFL history. Beating the Giants this week would help their perception.

4) Packers—Jordy Nelson. Wes Welker. Danny Amendola. Brandon Stokley. The Hartline kid on Miami; these are guys who almost always make clutch catches to keep the chains moving, and help your field position. Its not talked about much on TV, but average starting field position is a huge stat.

3) Broncos—Denver has Stokley and Eric Decker, two of those possession guys; they also have a pretty good QB. John Fox has won eight games in a row; he’s a happy man.

2) Texans—Got beaten badly in both losses, but what does it matter? Don’t think they’ll lose a home playoff game. Jeff Van Gundy has season tickets, by the way.

1) Patriots—Hard to argue they’re not the best team right now, but do not think they’ll win AFC title. Much like last year’s 49ers, they’re relying too much on forcing turnovers.

Friday's List of 13: Random thoughts with weekend here......
13) ESPN.com's Todd McShay did a mock NFL draft; his first six players were all linemen. In other words, not a very strong draft.

12) Top QB will either be West Virginia's Geno Smith or Matt Barkley of USC, who lost a lot of money by staying in school this year.

11) Oklahoma State booster T. Boone Pickens bought the last 4,000 tickets to Cowboys' December 31 game with Gonzaga, then had school give them away on a first-come, first-serve basis. Tickets were gone in 90 minutes.

10) Kevin Youkilis is the 52nd big league All-Star who will play for both the Red Sox and Bronx Bombers. Eight members of the '04 Red Sox later went on to play in the Bronx; thats a little weird.

9) Michigan beat Binghamton Tuesday night, committing only four fouls the whole game. 30 years ago, when I was in college, Binghamton was such a lousy D-III program they didn't always open both sides of their gym for home games. They played Albany one night with an intramural game being played on the other side of the gym divider. Now they're playing Michigan.

8) Kurt Warner has a new reality show on USA Network starting in April, where he gives nine every-day people the chance to pursue the career of their dreams. Don't think any of the nine chose bagging groceries.

7) Skip Holtz is new football coach at Louisiana Tech; not sure why South Florida pulled the plug so fast on him, but I think he's a good coach and will do well at Tech.

6) One of the cool things about college sports is how some schools are powers in one sport, and doormats in others. Duke-Kentucky-UNLV are dreadful in football, but always win in hoops. Nebraska-Penn State-Virginia Tech are perennial top 20 football teams, but struggle in basketball.

5) Duke lost its last four games, finished 6-6, but is still going to a bowl game; will they bring any fans to Charlotte with them?

4) 11 of 13 NBA games Wednesday were decided by 7 or less points. Just an excellent night of entertainment.

3) Jay Cutler has a sprained MCL, should still start against the Packers Sunday, but more and more, the Bears seem like a sinking ship.

2) Wichita State lost 69-60 at Tennessee, its first loss this season, to a team that scored 36-38 points in its last two games.

1) Honest question: If you owned an NFL team that needed a QB, say you're the Arizona Cardinals, would you make a move for Michael Vick?

**Udog** · 12-14-2012, 09:34 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Charlotte at Miami (FL)
The 49ers look to build on their 13-3-1 ATS record in their last 17 non-conference games. Charlotte is the pick (+8) according to Dunkel, which has the Hurricanes favored by only 4. Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+8). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 14

Game 823-824: Central Florida at Old Dominion (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 60.459; Old Dominion 53.142
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 5
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-5)

Game 825-826: Charlotte at Miami (FL) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 60.843; Miami (FL) 64.697
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 4
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 8
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+8)

Game 827-828: LSU at Boise State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 61.628; Boise State 64.446
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 3
Vegas Line: Boise State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+6 1/2)

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, December 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCF (5 - 2) at OLD DOMINION (1 - 8) - 12/14/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLD DOMINION is 99-139 ATS (-53.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-0 straight up against OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (9 - 0) at MIAMI (5 - 1) - 12/14/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LSU (6 - 0) at BOISE ST (6 - 2) - 12/14/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 1-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-0 straight up against BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Friday, December 14

** No Top 25 CBB Games Today **

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, December 14

-- Central Florida is 4-2; none of its wins are vs top 100 teams, but three of their four wins are by 10+ points; UCF turns ball over 24% of time, shoots just 59.8% from line. Old Dominion lost its last seven games; its only win was over #248 Morgan State. Monarchs are 0-3 vs teams in top 100, losing by 7-27-13 points- they lost 61-53 at UCF last year.
-- Miami won by 15 at Charlotte LY, but 49ers are 9-0 this year, with upset win at Davidson in only road game (even if it was crosstown road trip)- it is also their only top 100 game. 5-1 Hurricanes haven't played a game in 13 days, long time; they beat Michigan State by 8 on this floor. ACC single digit home favorites are 7-6. A-16 road underdogs: 19-18.
-- 6-0 LSU leaves home for first time; they were down 16 to Seton Hall, but put press on and rallied to win; Tigers turn ball over 24% of time, make just 55.8% from foul line-- Pirates were only team they've played ranked above #190. Boise State won at Creighton, a great win, then lost by 21 at Utah. MWC home favorites are 9-13 against the spread.

NCAAB

Friday, December 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. OLD DOMINION
Central Florida is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Central Florida is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Old Dominion is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
Old Dominion is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. MIAMI
Charlotte is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Miami is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte

8:00 PM
EAST TENNESSEE STATE vs. MISSISSIPPI
No trends available
Mississippi is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Mississippi is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

9:00 PM
LSU vs. BOISE STATE
LSU is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
LSU is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Boise State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Boise State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

10:00 PM
EASTERN NEW MEXICO vs. CAL POLY
No trends available
Cal Poly is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

10:30 PM
PORTLAND BIBLE COLLEGE vs. PORTLAND
No trends available
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-14-2012, 09:35 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Milwaukee at Cleveland
The Bucks look to take advantage of a Cleveland team that is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games against Central Division opponents. Milwaukee is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bucks favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 14

Game 801-802: LA Lakers at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 120.284; Washington 112.280
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 8; 195
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5 1/2; 200
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-5 1/2); Under

Game 803-804: Dallas at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 117.833; Toronto 111.319
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 6 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 5; 194
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-5); Over

Game 805-806: Philadelphia at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 113.899; Indiana 122.073
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 8; 187
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 807-808: Milwaukee at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 117.247; Cleveland 111.202
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 6; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 2 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-2 1/2); Under

Game 809-810: Detroit at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 113.166; Brooklyn 120.643
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 7 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 811-812: Boston at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 117.963; Houston 123.524
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 5 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 2 1/2; 206
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-2 1/2); Under

Game 813-814: Minnesota at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 118.366; New Orleans 112.098
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 6 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 4; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-4); Over

Game 815-816: Sacramento at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 111.688; Oklahoma City 130.407
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 18 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 13; 206
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-13); Under

Game 817-818: Golden State at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 119.536; Orlando 114.832
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 4 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 4; 194
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-4); Over

Game 819-820: Utah at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 122.641; Phoenix 117.045
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 5 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 1 1/2; 200
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-1 1/2); Under

Game 821-822: Memphis at Denver (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 120.126; Denver 118.421
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 1 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 1 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+1 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 12-14-2012, 09:35 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, December 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (9 - 14) at WASHINGTON (3 - 16) - 12/14/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 40-59 ATS (-24.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) in road games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=91 points/game since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 71-94 ATS (-32.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 58-79 ATS (-28.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 283-353 ATS (-105.3 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 108-145 ATS (-51.5 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 91-123 ATS (-44.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 2-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (11 - 11) at TORONTO (4 - 19) - 12/14/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 252-199 ATS (+33.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (12 - 10) at INDIANA (11 - 11) - 12/14/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (11 - 9) at CLEVELAND (5 - 18) - 12/14/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after allowing 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 45-73 ATS (-35.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 124-164 ATS (-56.4 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 8-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (7 - 17) at BROOKLYN (12 - 9) - 12/14/2012, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (12 - 9) at HOUSTON (10 - 11) - 12/14/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 248-190 ATS (+39.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 205 and 209.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (10 - 9) at NEW ORLEANS (5 - 16) - 12/14/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 67-49 ATS (+13.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (7 - 14) at OKLAHOMA CITY (18 - 4) - 12/14/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 36-50 ATS (-19.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 16-36 ATS (-23.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 60-46 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 53-39 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (15 - 7) at ORLANDO (8 - 13) - 12/14/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 50-37 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 32-50 ATS (-23.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 3-1 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (13 - 10) at PHOENIX (8 - 15) - 12/14/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) first half of the season this season.
PHOENIX is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (14 - 5) at DENVER (11 - 12) - 12/14/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 103-80 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after allowing 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-14-2012, 09:37 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, December 14

Hot Teams
-- Mavericks won four of last six games, covered last four.
-- Pacers are 7-4 in their last 11 games (4-3 as HF).
-- Warriors won eight of last nine games (7-1-1 vs spread).
-- Bucks won/covered their last three games (6-4 vs spread on road).
-- Minnesota won four of last five games, but lost four of last five away games (6-4 vs spread on road).
-- Celtics won three of their last four games overall, but lost four of last five away games (3-4-2 vs spread on road).
-- Oklahoma City won its last nine games (5-2 last seven as HF).
-- Utah won last four games, covered last three (3-2 as AF).

Cold Teams
-- Toronto lost six in row, 12 of last 13 games (2-4 vs spread last six).
-- Lakers lost eight of their ten road games. Wizards lost three of their last four games (3-4-1 as HU).
-- 76ers lost four of last six games (3-2 as AU).
-- Orlando lost last four home games, scoring 85 ppg in last three.
-- Brooklyn lost five of last six games (3-3-2 as HF). Pistons lost six of their last eight games (4-8 as AU).
-- Cavaliers lost six of their last seven games (4-5 vs spread at home).
-- Hornets lost their last five games (1-3-1 vs spread).
-- Houston lost three of its last four games (7-6 vs spread at home).
-- Sacramento covered only two of its last seven road games.
-- Suns lost six of their last seven games (2-2 as HU).
-- Memphis lost three of last five games, after a 12-1 streak (5-3 SU on road this season). Nuggets lost six of last nine games (4-2 as HF).

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Dallas road games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last eleven Washington games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Philly games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Golden State games went over the total. Orlando's last four games all stayed under.
-- 11 of last 14 Brooklyn games stayed under the total; last five Detroit games went over.
-- Eight of last ten Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight New Orleans games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Boston games stayed under the total.
-- 10 of last 14 Thunder games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Phoenix home games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Memphis games; seven of last nine Denver games went over.

Back-to-backs
-- Lakers are 2-0 vs spread when playing 2nd straight night on road.

**Udog** · 12-14-2012, 09:37 AM

NBA

Friday, December 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Indiana's last 22 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Indiana's last 16 games when playing Philadelphia

7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. TORONTO
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Dallas is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Toronto's last 15 games at home
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games when playing Washington
LA Lakers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games when playing Washington
Washington is 1-9 SU in their last 10 games when playing LA Lakers
Washington is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

7:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. ORLANDO
Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 9 games when playing Golden State

7:30 PM
DETROIT vs. BROOKLYN
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 12 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Brooklyn's last 11 games

7:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CLEVELAND
Milwaukee is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 12 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

8:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games on the road
Sacramento is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing Sacramento

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. HOUSTON
Boston is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

8:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. NEW ORLEANS
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games at home

9:00 PM
UTAH vs. PHOENIX
Utah is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Utah is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing at home against Utah

10:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. DENVER
Memphis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Memphis is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games
Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-14-2012, 09:40 AM

NBA

Friday, December 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the day: Celtics at Rockets
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston Celtics at Houston Rockets (-2.5, 205.5)

The road has not been very kind to the Boston Celtics so far. A three-game trip starting at the Houston Rockets on Friday is going to make it tough to change their fortunes. The Celtics have won four straight at home after surviving the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday but have dropped four of their last five away from TD Garden. The Rockets have been much better at home and appear to be getting their defense under control.

Houston had surrendered an average of 113.6 points in its previous eight games before settling down in a 99-93 win over the Washington Wizards on Wednesday. The Celtics will provide a stiffer offensive test, with point guard Rajon Rondo playing well and Paul Pierce coming off his highest scoring total of the season. It’s likely that both Rondo and Pierce and perhaps a few others will take turns guarding Houston leading scorer James Harden, who scored 31 points in his return to the lineup Wednesday after missing a game.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN, CSNNE (Boston), CSH (Houston)

ABOUT THE CELTICS (12-9, 8-11-2 ATS): Boston has been getting better on the defensive end the last two weeks, having held six straight opponents below 100 points before a 117-115 double overtime win over the Mavericks on Wednesday. The Celtics forced 28 turnovers in that game, including three in the final 1:07 of the second overtime. Boston’s improvement on the defensive end has given the offense a chance to gel. Pierce is leading the team in scoring at 19.9 points but had been held below 20 in five of the previous six before exploding for 34 against Dallas. The one consistent threat on offense has been Rondo, who has reached double figures in assists in all but one of his starts and has pulled down 10.3 rebounds in the last three contests.

ABOUT THE ROCKETS (10-11, 9-11-1 ATS): Houston has had its own problems on defense and ranks last in the NBA in points allowed, surrendering an average of 104.8. The offense, which puts up 104.2, has been able to bail the team out at times but could not keep up during the recent losing streak. Wednesday was a switch in the other direction, as the Rockets held the Wizards to 39.3 percent shooting. Harden, who sat out Tuesday’s 134-126 overtime loss to San Antonio with a sprained ankle, returned to the lineup with 31 points in the win over Washington. Harden has pulled out of a lengthy shooting slump by connecting on 50 percent or better from the field in each of the last three games.

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Houston.
* Celtics are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Houston.
* Underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.
* Road team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Rockets PG Jeremy Lin, who exploded for a season-high 38 points without Harden on Tuesday but was back down to 10 on 4-of-8 shooting Wednesday. Lin has been held to 10 points or less in four of the last five contests.

2. Pierce has averaged 21.6 points in 24 career games against Houston.

3. Boston had taken three straight in Houston before dropping its last trip, 93-77, on Mar. 18, 2011.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-14-2012, 12:11 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Friday, December 14

LA Lakers at Washington, 7:05 ET
LA Lakers: 6-18 ATS after scoring 105+ points
Washington: 8-0 Under off ATS wins in 3 of their last 4 games

Dallas at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Dallas: 18-7 ATS away in the first half of the season
Toronto: 12-27 ATS at home off a home division loss

Philadelphia at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Philadelphia: 6-1 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games
Indiana: 0-7 ATS after playing as a home favorite

Milwaukee at Cleveland, 7:35 ET
Milwaukee: 5-17 ATS after allowing 85 points or less
Cleveland: 19-7 Under at home off a loss

Detroit at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
Detroit: 21-11 ATS off BB ATS losses
Brooklyn: 2-8 ATS off BB games allowing 40 or less rebounds

Boston at Houston, 8:05 ET ESPN
Boston: 30-16 Over off a win by 6 points or less
Houston: 13-29 ATS at home with a total of 205 to 209.5 points

Minnesota at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
Minnesota: 3-12 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
New Orleans: 30-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points

Sacramento at Oklahoma City, 8:05 ET
Sacramento: 2-10 ATS off an ATS loss
Oklahoma City: 13-4 ATS at home with a total of 200 to 209.5 points

(TC) Golden State at Orlando, 7:05 ET
Golden State: 29-14 ATS off an Under
Orlando: 12-25 ATS off a division game

Utah at Phoenix, 9:05 ET
Utah: 18-7 Under with a total of 200+ points
Phoenix: 7-23 ATS revenging a road loss

Memphis at Denver, 10:35 ET ESPN
Memphis: 14-4 ATS after allowing 85 points or less
Denver: 21-9 Under at home after allowing 105+ points

(TC) = Time Change

**Udog** · 12-14-2012, 12:41 PM

Angels sign Hamilton; futures odds on the move

Highly-coveted free-agent outfielder Josh Hamilton has signed a five-year, $125 million deal with the Los Angeles Angels, according to numerous reports.

Mike Perry, oddsmaker at Sportsbook.ag, has moved the Angels from 10/1 to 7/1 to win the World Series and 5/1 to 4/1 to capture the AL pennant upon hearing news of the signing. The LVH SuperBook also had the Angels listed as 10/1 favorites to win the Fall Classic on Monday.

“We haven’t moved Texas yet, as we assume they may make a couple more moves themselves now that they have more money to use,” Perry told Covers.

Hamilton, 31, belted a career-high 43 home runs last season for the Rangers and is a five-time All-Star.

The Angels have been busy this offseason, previously acquiring pitchers Joe Blanton and Tommy Hanson.

Announcement

Friday's Trends and Indexes - 12/14 (NBA, NCAAB, Misc.)

Friday's Trends and Indexes - 12/14 (NBA, NCAAB, Misc.)

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment