Posting it now cause I played it now, Notre Dame +9' over Bama. (3 unit play)
I may be all wrong but I see this as a 3 point game either way. These two teams are evenly matched from a statistical standpoint. Total offense Bama is ranked 40th gaining 439 yards a game, N.D. is 49th with 421 yards/game. Total defense, Bama is #1 giving up an average of 246 yards a game, N.D. is ranked 6th giving up 286 yards per game. The kicker is strength of schedule (SOS). I know everyone thinks Bama had the tougher schedule but N.D.'s SOS was #8 while Bama's SOS was 15th. The books know a hell of a lot more than me but no way do I cap this game as Bama being a 9' point favorite, even if they were playing in Tuscaloosa. On a neutral field Bama should be -3 at most, at least IMO. Bol to all this bowl season.
I may be all wrong but I see this as a 3 point game either way. These two teams are evenly matched from a statistical standpoint. Total offense Bama is ranked 40th gaining 439 yards a game, N.D. is 49th with 421 yards/game. Total defense, Bama is #1 giving up an average of 246 yards a game, N.D. is ranked 6th giving up 286 yards per game. The kicker is strength of schedule (SOS). I know everyone thinks Bama had the tougher schedule but N.D.'s SOS was #8 while Bama's SOS was 15th. The books know a hell of a lot more than me but no way do I cap this game as Bama being a 9' point favorite, even if they were playing in Tuscaloosa. On a neutral field Bama should be -3 at most, at least IMO. Bol to all this bowl season.
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