The Bum's December NBA Best Bets !e Bum's

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Indiana at Chicago
The Pacers look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 home games. Indiana is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulls favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+4). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 4

Game 701-702: Miami at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 123.015; Washington 116.187
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 7; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 11;196
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+11); Under

Game 703-704: Minnesota at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 115.309; Philadelphia 119.443
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 4; 193
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 705-706: Oklahoma City at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 127.121; Brooklyn 124.623
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 2 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+4); Under

Game 707-708: Indiana at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 118.068; Chicago 119.983
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 180
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+4); Over

Game 709-710: Phoenix at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 113.566; Memphis 128.753
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 15; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 10 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-10 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: LA Lakers at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 121.866; Houston 116.044
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 6; 209
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 2; 214
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 4

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MIAMI (12 - 3) at WASHINGTON (1 - 13) - 12/4/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 67-94 ATS (-36.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 54-79 ATS (-32.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 281-353 ATS (-107.3 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 83-114 ATS (-42.4 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 135-178 ATS (-60.8 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 69-105 ATS (-46.5 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 278-336 ATS (-91.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 75-103 ATS (-38.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (7 - 8) at PHILADELPHIA (10 - 7) - 12/4/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (14 - 4) at BROOKLYN (11 - 5) - 12/4/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 58-44 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 51-37 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 105-76 ATS (+21.4 Units) in road games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) first half of the season since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 48-71 ATS (-30.1 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (8 - 9) at CHICAGO (8 - 7) - 12/4/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games this season.
CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 9-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (7 - 11) at MEMPHIS (12 - 3) - 12/4/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (8 - 9) at HOUSTON (8 - 8) - 12/4/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 38-55 ATS (-22.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 78-110 ATS (-43.0 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 4-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, December 4

Hot Teams
-- Miami won its last six games (2-4 as AF).
-- 76ers won three of last four games (3-5 as HF).
-- Brooklyn won/covered five of last six games (2-0 as HU). Thunder won/covered last five games (4-2 as AF).
-- Chicago won three of its last four games (1-7 as HF). Pacers won three of their last four road games (2-5 as AU).
-- Grizzlies won/covered 12 of last 14 games.
-- Houston won/covered four of its last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Wizards are off to a 1-13 start (2-4 as HU).
-- Minnesota lost five of last seven games, but covered last three.
-- Suns lost three of last four games (1-5 as AU).
-- Lakers lost four of last six games; they're 5-1 vs spread in game after their last six losses (0-2 as AU).

Totals
-- Five of seven Miami road games stayed under the total. Five of last six Washington games went over.
-- Four of last five Philly games went over the total. Three of last four Minnesota games stayed under.
-- Last nine Brooklyn games stayed under the total.
-- Bulls' last five games stayed under the total. Five of last six Indiana games went over.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Memphis games.
-- Six of last nine Laker games, last four Houston games went over total.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Tuesday, December 4

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Minnesota is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
Miami is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Washington
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games at home

7:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City

8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. MEMPHIS
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Memphis is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing Phoenix

8:00 PM
INDIANA vs. CHICAGO
Indiana is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Indiana is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
Chicago is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indiana

8:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 17 of the LA Lakers last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Houston is 7-15 SU in their last 22 games when playing LA Lakers

[StarDust Bum]

NBA

Tuesday, December 4

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Thunder at Nets: What bettors need to know
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Oklahoma City Thunder at Brooklyn Nets (+3.5, 191)

The Brooklyn Nets had a chance to make a statement in Saturday's game at Miami, but they wilted in the second half in falling by 13 points to the reigning NBA champions. The Nets get another chance at a statement game when they host Kevin Durant and the red-hot Oklahoma Thunder on Tuesday. Brooklyn is 7-1 at the Barclays Center and has won six straight on its home court since blowing a 22-point lead against Minnesota in its second game of the season.

Oklahoma City has ripped off five consecutive victories and is coming off a rout at New Orleans in which it led by 27 points after three quarters. The league's highest-scoring team, the Thunder have won their last four by an average of 25 points. Durant is shooting 61.8 percent from the floor in that span as he bids for a fourth consecutive league scoring title. Oklahoma City has won the past six meetings with the Nets.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, FSOK (Oklahoma City), YES (New York), NBATV

ABOUT THE THUNDER (14-4, 12-5-1 ATS): Center Kendrick Perkins is coming off his best two games of the season, scoring 12 points against Utah and 10 against New Orleans while shooting a combined 11-for-15 from the floor. It marked only the second and third times that Perkins has scored in double figures. The 6-10 Perkins underwent surgery on his groin and wrist in July and had been questionable to be ready for the start of the season.

ABOUT THE NETS (11-5, 10-4-2 ATS): Brooklyn scored only 30 points in the second half and 11 in the fourth quarter against Miami. Andray Blatche scored 20 points in his second start for ailing center and leading scorer Brook Lopez (foot), who will sit out his third straight game. However, the elevation of Blatche to the starting lineup has had a ripple effect on Brooklyn's bench, which has produced 23 and 20 points, respectively, in the last two games.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings at Nets.
* Favorite is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
* Thunder are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
* Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Oklahoma City leads the league in free-throw percentage (83.4). The Nets rank 27th (71.9).

2. Lopez underwent a precautionary MRI exam that came back negative. He missed practice Monday and is listed as day-to-day.

3. Thunder PG Russell Westbrook has been disruptive at both ends of the floor in the last three games, averaging nine assists, 4.3 steals and six turnovers.

[StarDust Bum]

Lakers Look To Rebound With Win At Houston Tuesday

Pau Gasol has struggled for the Lakers since Mike D’Antoni took over as head coach.

Los Angeles Lakers at Houston Rockets
NBA Betting Preview
Date: 12/4/2012 at 8:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: LA -1, O/U 214
Television: Local Networks

Los Angeles Lakers: The Lakers (8-9 straight-up, 7-10 against the spread) have been the most disappointing team in the NBA early on this season. They have already had three coaches (one interim), with Mike D’Antoni making his debut seven games ago. Los Angeles is just 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS over that span, including a horrible 113-103 home loss to Orlando on Sunday as big 13-point favorites. The team needs to stay afloat while point guard Steve Nash (shin) is still out. Darius Morris is starting at the point with Steve Blake (abdominal) also injured. Power forward Pau Gasol (10.1 points per game on 38.8 percent field goal shooting since D’Antoni took over) needs to get integrated into the offense and avoid Kobe Bryant’s wrath, as the 7-foot Spaniard was just publicly criticized by the team's star player. The Lakers have played just five road games this year, going 1-4 SU and ATS.

Houston Rockets: The Rockets (8-8 SU, 8-7-1 ATS) are dealing with their own coaching issue as Kevin McHale is on a leave of absence due to the death of his daughter. Houston did struggle initially under interim coach Kelvin Sampson but has gone 4-1 SU and ATS in its last five after a 124-116 home win over Utah on Saturday as 6 ½-point favorites. The "over" is 4-0 in Houston’s last four games, averaging 117.5 ppg. All five starters are scoring in double-digits for the season, and seven of the team's players reached that mark last game. New addition James Harden (24.1 ppg) is fifth in the league in scoring after coming over from Oklahoma City. These teams last met on Nov. 18 in Los Angeles, with the Lakers winning 119-108 as 7-point favorites. Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS in the last six games between the teams in Houston, and the "over" is 8-0 in the last eight meetings overall.

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Tuesday

December 4, 2012

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The 76ers are 0-9 ATS (-11.4 ppg) since December 14, 2001 at home with two or more days of rest after a road loss in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Wizards are 0-16 OU (-13.6 ppg) since March 02, 2009 at home with at least one day of rest after a road loss in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Thunder are 8-0 OU (12.2 ppg) since January 30, 2012 after a win on the road in which Russell Westbrook had at least 5 turnovers.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Grizzlies are 0-10 OU (-12.0 ppg) since January 02, 2009 with two or more days of rest after a game in which they shot less than 40% from the field.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Grizzlies are 0-8 ATS (-4.8 ppg) since December 29, 2008 after a loss on the road in which Rudy Gay had a double double.

-- The Bulls are 0-7 ATS (-10.5 ppg) since May 01, 2012 after a win in which Joakim Noah was not the Bulls’ high scorer.

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday Tips

December 3, 2012

The Tuesday NBA card showcases several Western Conference teams that are looking to make moves heading into the quarter-season mark. The Lakers hit the road for their first substantial trip of the season starting in Houston, while the Grizzlies return home following Saturday's overtime setback at San Antonio. We'll start in Brooklyn with the Thunder attempting to stay on fire at Barclays Center.

Thunder at Nets - 7:35 PM EST

The defending Western Conference champions are rolling right now with wins in eight of the last nine games, while covering eight times. Oklahoma City's offense can't be stopped by eclipsing the 100-point mark in nine consecutive contests, as the 'over' has been cashed six times. The Thunder wraps up a two-game road trip against a Nets' club that is returning to Brooklyn after a successful 2-1 SU/ATS mark on the highway.

The Nets beat the Celtics and Magic by double-digits, but came up lame in the finale at Miami, 102-89. Brooklyn backers felt pretty good as eight-point underdogs with a 14-point advantage in the first half. However, the Heat limited the Nets to just 30 points in the second half to grab the home cover. Brook Lopez missed his second straight game with a lingering foot injury, as the Brooklyn center is likely 'out' again on Tuesday.

Oklahoma City owns the second best ATS record in the league (12-5-1) behind Memphis, while leading Denver by five games in the Northwest Division. The Thunder faces a Nets' squad that has compiled a 7-1 SU and 5-1-2 ATS at Barclays Center, as OKC is 5-2 SU and 4-2-1 ATS on the highway. Scott Brooks' team has won six consecutive meetings with the Nets, including each of the last three at New Jersey.

Suns at Grizzlies - 8:05 PM EST

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Memphis picked up another ATS win on Saturday, but blew a 15-point lead in an overtime setback at San Antonio as six-point underdogs. The Grizzlies return to FedEx Forum seeking their ninth home victory in 10 tries, while holding all nine opponents to less than 100 points ('under' is 6-3). Phoenix concludes a six-game trip, as the Suns have won just once in their first five on this voyage.

The most recent defeat for Alvin Gentry's club came in a Sunday matinee at New York, 106-99, but the Suns cashed as 11 ½-point underdogs. The loss dropped Phoenix to 2-8 away from the Valley, while the Suns have put together one of the worst ATS records by covering just six of 18 times. Phoenix did have success against Memphis last season, taking two of three meetings, both as a home 'dog.

The Grizzlies have won and covered in both games following a loss, while hitting the 'under' in six of the last seven contests overall. In three games as a double-digit favorite, Memphis has cashed two of three times, as the Grizzlies were bailed out by a late three-pointer to receive a front-door cover against the Pistons last Friday.

Lakers at Rockets - 8:05 PM EST

Los Angeles has no doubt been the biggest disappointment through the first month of the season at 8-9, as the Lakers begin their first extended road trip of the season. The Purple and Gold ended a three-game homestand with a humiliating loss to Dwight Howard's old squad as the Magic upset the Lakers as 13-point underdogs.

The first time the Lakers faced the Rockets, L.A. grabbed a 119-108 victory at Staples Center as seven-point favorites. The Lakers ran all over Houston in the first half, putting up 68 points in the first 24 minutes, while easily clinching the 'over' of 205. The Rockets allowed 54% shooting from the floor, as Howard torched Houston for 28 points and 13 rebounds.

Houston has played extremely well at the Toyota Center recently by winning five consecutive home contests. The Rockets have covered against several of the top teams in the East at home by picking up ATS wins over the Knicks, Bulls, and Heat. The key to Houston's success is their outside shooting, as James Harden and Chandler Parsons have helped lead the Rockets to 'overs' in eight of the last 10 games overall.

[StarDust Bum]

Tuesday, December 4

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Minnesota - 7:00 PM ET Minnesota +3 500
Philadelphia - Over 187 500

Miami - 7:00 PM ET Miami -10 500
Washington - Under 194 500

Oklahoma City - 7:30 PM ET Brooklyn +4 500
Brooklyn - Over 195.5 500

Indiana - 8:00 PM ET Indiana +3.5 500
Chicago - Under 180 500

Phoenix - 8:00 PM ET Phoenix +10 500
Memphis - Over 196.5 500

L.A. Lakers - 8:00 PM ET Houston +1 500
Houston - Over 214.5 500

[StarDust Bum]

Mavs Open Road Trip Against Clippers On Wednesday

Denver Nuggets at Atlanta Hawks
Date: 12/5/2012 at 8:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Atlanta -2, O/U 198
Television: ESPN

Denver Nuggets: Denver (9-9 straight-up, 10-8 against the spread) ended a three-game losing streak on Monday with a 113-110 home win over Toronto. That was as 10½-point favorites, making the Nuggets 0-3 ATS in their last three. The "over" is 4-0 in the team’s last four games (surrendering 110.8 points per game) and 7-1 in its last eight road games overall.

Atlanta Hawks: Atlanta (9-5 SU, 5-9 ATS) is well-rested having last played on Friday. That was a 113-111 home loss to Cleveland as 8½-point favorites, snapping a six-game winning streak. Starting guard Kyle Korver (back) missed last game and is questionable for Wednesday (click to check updated NBA injury report). The Hawks are just 1-7 ATS at home this year despite going 5-3 SU. They’re 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS in their last four against Denver, with the latest coming in March (a 118-117 overtime loss).

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Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers
NBA Betting Preview
Date: 12/5/2012 at 10:30 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: LA -9, O/U 199
Television: ESPN

Dallas Mavericks: Dallas (8-9 SU, 7-10 ATS) starts a three-game road trip on Wednesday that continues in Phoenix and Houston. The road hasn’t been kind to the Mavericks this year at 2-6 SU (3-5 ATS). The "under" is 5-1 in their last six away and road scoring overall this year (93.3 ppg) is much lower than in Big D (103.8 ppg).

Los Angeles Clippers: The Clippers (11-6 SU, 9-8 ATS) have won three straight after a 105-104 decision at Utah on Monday. However, that was a failure to cover as 2-point favorites, making Los Angeles 1-6 ATS in its last seven. The "over" is 5-0 in the last five for the Clips, with 197 points the highest total listed. This is the first meeting between Dallas and the Clippers this season. L.A. is 2-1 SU and ATS in the last three matchups after going 0-7 SU and ATS in the previous seven.

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Wednesday

December 5, 2012

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Pistons are 0-11 ATS (-7.4 ppg) since March 07, 2009 after a double digit win in which they allowed less than 40% from the field.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Cavaliers are 10-0 OU (19.6 ppg) since December 08, 1995 with at most one day of rest after a double digit loss in which they shot at least twenty three-pointers and made less than a 25% of them.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Cavaliers are 11-0 ATS (10.1 ppg) since March 19, 2008 at home after a loss on the road in which Anderson Varejao had more turnovers than assists.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Nuggets are 10-0 ATS (10.0 ppg) since December 29, 2010 with at most one day of rest off a win in which their leading scorer for that game had fewer than 20 points.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Spurs are 8-0 ATS (11.8 ppg) since January 05, 2012 at home after a win at home in which Tim Duncan had a double double.

-- The Jazz are 10-0-1 ATS (7.5 ppg) since January 26, 2007 as a home favorite with at most one day of rest after a game at home in which they shot at least 55% from the

DAILY ANGLE

-- When a team wins twice as an away dog, they become a good fade if they are a dog for a third time. In Database history, this trend is 108-69-3 ATS (1.2 ppg - 61.0%). Notice that in either case this on is a winner, but the third road stand is the toughest for the dog. Active with Utah against Orlando.

[StarDust Bum]

Wednesday Tips

December 4, 2012


Wednesday's NBA card takes center-stage in the betting community with 11 games on tap. Three of the more intriguing matchups involves interconference foes hooking up, while the Mavericks and Clippers close the night at Staples Center. We'll begin in Atlanta with the rested Hawks battling a road-weary Denver squad.

Nuggets at Hawks - 8:05 PM EST

Denver is playing in its fifth city and third different time zone since last Monday, as the Nuggets embark on a five-game road trip. George Karl's club slid by the Raptors two days ago at the Pepsi Center as 10 ½-point favorites in a 113-110 victory. The Nuggets have allowed at least 100 points in four straight games, all resulting in the 'over.' A lower-scoring contest may be on tap in Atlanta, facing a Hawks' team that is giving up 93.5 points per game.

Atlanta's six-game winning streak came to a screeching halt last Friday in a 113-111 home defeat to Cleveland as 8 ½-point 'chalk. The Hawks squandered an 11-point halftime lead, while giving up at least 100 points in regulation for just the second time this season. Larry Drew's club owns a dreadful 0-6 ATS mark as a favorite at Philips Arena, but the Hawks won four of those games straight-up.

The Nuggets are just 4-8 SU and 6-6 ATS on the highway, as two of those covers came as an underdog of at least seven points at Memphis and Miami. The 'over' is profiting for Denver on the road, posting an 8-2 mark the last 10 games away from the Pepsi Center. Denver has claimed five of the last six meetings with Atlanta, including an overtime thriller at home last season, 118-117.

Bucks at Spurs - 8:35 PM EST

Milwaukee continues its road swing through the Southwest Division with a matchup against a San Antonio squad that has been off four three days. The Spurs returned home from their 5-1 SU/ATS away trip to rally past the Grizzlies on Saturday night in overtime, while improving to 14-4 on the season. The Bucks head to the Alamo coming off a disappointing setback on Monday at New Orleans.

Scott Skiles' club has struggled in the role of a favorite this season, posting a 3-5 ATS record when laying points. The most recent loss came to a struggling Hornets' squad in a 102-81 loss, the sixth straight game Milwaukee has been limited to 93 points or less. The Bucks are currently riding a six-game 'under' streak, but three of the last four trips to the AT&T Center have resulted in an 'over.'

San Antonio has burned cash recently at home by failing to cover in three of the last four, while losing outright to the Clippers and Knicks in this stretch. The Spurs are going in an opposite direction of the Bucks in the totals department by eclipsing the 'over' in six of the previous seven games, as the overtime win over Memphis amazingly stayed 'under.'

Magic at Jazz - 9:05 PM EST

Orlando has caught fire on its West Coast swing with outright victories as large 'dogs against the Lakers and Warriors. The Magic is riding an impressive 4-1 ATS run away from central Florida, as the trip continues in Salt Lake City against a banged-up Jazz squad. Utah is without several key members of its frontcourt as Marvin Williams (concussion) and Derrick Favors (foot) remain sidelined, while the Jazz try to get on track following Monday's meltdown.

The Clippers stunned the Jazz, 105-104, but failed to cover as two-point road favorites. However, Utah threw away a 14-point lead in spite of shooting 57% from the floor. The loss was the first in seven home contests for Tyrone Corbin's squad, while the Jazz have now dropped three consecutive games for the first time this season. Utah takes care of business as home favorite with a 4-2 ATS mark, as the two ATS losses came in two-point victories over Denver and Sacramento.

The Magic broke a 69-69 tie by outscoring the Warriors, 33-25 in the final quarter of Monday's 102-94 triumph as 9 ½-point road 'dogs. Arron Afflalo, Glen Davis, and J.J. Redick each scored at least 22 points at Golden State, one night after Orlando shot 50% and put up 40 points in the final quarter in an upset of Los Angeles. Even though many of the faces have changed, the Magic looks to snap a three-game skid at Utah, which was capped off by an unbelievable front-door cover by the Jazz in overtime as 9 ½-point favorites this past April.

Mavericks at Clippers - 10:35 PM EST

Los Angeles is getting hot at the moment with three consecutive victories, fresh off the massive rally at Utah on Monday. The Clips are in the midst of five straight 'overs,' taking on a Mavs' squad that has been held to less than 100 points in four consecutive contests. Dallas plays six of its next seven games away from American Airlines Center, as the Mavs own a dreadful 2-6 record on the highway.

Rick Carlisle's club lost each of the last two games on a mini road swing through Philadelphia and Chicago, while allowing at least 100 points in all six road defeats. The Mavs snapped a three-game skid with an impressive second half effort in a 92-77 home rout of the Pistons, giving up just 29 points to an unrested Detroit team.

All three meetings between Dallas and Los Angeles last season were relatively low-scoring contests, each finishing 'under' the total. The Clippers have struggled in the role of a heavy favorite, putting together a 1-4 ATS record when laying at least seven points. The lone victory came on Saturday in a blowout of Sacramento, 116-81 as 12 ½-point 'chalk.' Vinny Del Negro's team is struggling against the number of late by cashing just once in the last six games.

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Denver at Atlanta
The Hawks look to build on their 10-4 ATS record in their last 14 games against Western Conference teams. Atlanta is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Hawks favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-1). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 5

Game 501-502: Portland at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 115.253; Indiana 117.623
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 2 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 4; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+4); Under

Game 503-504: New York at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 122.513; Charlotte 112.452
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 10; 202
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 7; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-7); Over

Game 505-506: Minnesota at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 111.948; Boston 123.027
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 11; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 5 1/2; 190
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-5 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Denver at Atlanta (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 116.817; Atlanta 122.857
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 199
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-1); Under

Game 509-510: Golden State at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 118.809; Detroit 113.970
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 5; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 1; 191
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-1); Over

Game 511-512: LA Lakers at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 118.499; New Orleans 119.761
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 513-514: Chicago at Cleveland (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 118.156; Cleveland 116.349
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 515-516: Milwaukee at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 117.249; San Antonio 124.060
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 7; 194
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+9); Under

Game 517-518: Orlando at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 112.393; Utah 121.840
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 9 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 8 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-8 1/2); Over

Game 519-520: Toronto at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 112.773; Sacramento 114.782
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 521-522: Dallas at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 113.311; LA Clippers 120.500
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7; 192
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+8 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 5

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PORTLAND (8 - 10) at INDIANA (9 - 9) - 12/5/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 126-87 ATS (+30.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-0 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (12 - 4) at CHARLOTTE (7 - 9) - 12/5/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 95-74 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 29-52 ATS (-28.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (8 - 8) at BOSTON (9 - 8) - 12/5/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 95-126 ATS (-43.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (9 - 9) at ATLANTA (9 - 5) - 12/5/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
DENVER is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 56-37 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (10 - 7) at DETROIT (6 - 13) - 12/5/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 91-131 ATS (-53.1 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
DETROIT is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 2-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (8 - 10) at NEW ORLEANS (5 - 11) - 12/5/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 7-6 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 11-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (8 - 8) at CLEVELAND (4 - 14) - 12/5/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 8-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (8 - 8) at SAN ANTONIO (14 - 4) - 12/5/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 61-33 ATS (+24.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 49-25 ATS (+21.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 2-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (7 - 10) at UTAH (9 - 10) - 12/5/2012, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-0 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (4 - 14) at SACRAMENTO (4 - 12) - 12/5/2012, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 2-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 2-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (8 - 9) at LA CLIPPERS (11 - 6) - 12/5/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 268-214 ATS (+32.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 252-198 ATS (+34.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 62-89 ATS (-35.9 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 5

Hot Teams
-- Pacers won five of last seven games (3-2 as HF). Portland won its last two games, scoring 118 points both games, but they're 1-6 vs spread in last seven road games.
-- Knicks won last three games, by 14-21-7 points (3-3 as AF).
-- Minnesota won three of last four games, covering all four (6-3 AU).
-- Hawks won six of last seven games (1-7 vs spread at home).
-- Detroit won its last five home games (2-3 as HF). Warriors won five of last seven games (4-2-2 vs spread on road).
-- Spurs won six of last seven games (1-3 last four as HF).
-- Magic beat Lakers/Warriors to start this road trip; they covered four of last five away games.
-- Clippers won last three games, but covered only one of last seven.

Cold Teams
-- Bobcats lost last four games (3-4 as HU).
-- Celtics are 4-5 in last nine games (2-4-1 as HF).
-- Denver lost three of last four games (6-4 vs spread last 10 on road).
-- Lakers lost five of their last seven games (1-3 as AF). Hornets lost seven of last nine games (1-5 last six as HU).
-- Cleveland lost six of last seven games (3-3 vs spread at home). Bulls are 6-8 in last 14 games, covering once in last four on road.
-- Bucks lost six of last eight games (4-1 as AU).
-- Utah lost last three games, by 12-8-1 point (4-2 as HF).
-- Raptors lost seven of last eight games (5-3 vs spread in last eight on the road). Sacramento lost last three games, scoring 89-92-81 points.
-- Mavericks lost three of last four games (3-4 as AU).

Totals
-- Five of last seven Indiana games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Knick games, six of last eight Charlotte games went over the total.
-- Last three Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Denver games went over the total.
-- Last three Golden State games went over the total; last four Detroit games stayed under.
-- Four of last five New Orleans games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Milwaukee ganes stayed under the total. Over is 7-2-1 in last ten San Antonio games.
-- Five of last six Orlando games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Toronto games went over the total.
-- Eight of last 12 Dallas games stayed under the total; four of last five Clipper games went over.