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**Udog** · 11-29-2012, 09:59 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- Arizona is 7-13 vs spread in its last 20 road games.

-- Washington covered nine of last 13 games as an underdog.

-- Tampa Bay is 18-7-1 vs spread in its last 26 road games.

-- Jacksonville covered its last six road games.

-- Cowboys are 6-19-1 vs spread in their last 26 games as a favorite.

-- Buffalo covered seven of last ten tries as a home favorite.

*****

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud........

13) Six Big East teams have already bolted for greener pa$ture$; UConn-Cincinnati-South Florida are jockeying to get the remaining two spots that the ACC seems destined to open up.

Its very possible that the football end of the Big East could be defunct by July, with the non-football Big East teams forming a new basketball league. This is all a high stakes game of musical chairs where no one knows when the music will stop, or if it ever will.

12) Despite 18 consecutive winning football seasons, Southern Mississippi was always on the outside looking in on conference realignment. Now, after Ellis Johnson’s first season as coach ended at 0-12, ending their streak of winning seasons, USM showed him the door. No matter what league you’re in, 0-12 still gets you fired, and it always will.

11) With five weeks to go in the regular season, 95 of 176 NFL games (54%) have been decided by 8 or less points, the highest percentage ever at this point of the season.

10) Tennessee Titans fired OC Chris Palmer with five games left in the season, a definite red flag, especially when you’re playing a QB with almost no experience. Palmer didn’t seem too sad about losing his job, saying the Titans can hire/fire who they want, but firing him didn’t fix any of the problems. Developing a young QB usually takes time, but 86-year old owners don’t tend to look at the big picture. Impatience breeds mistakes.

9) ACC pulled a tremendous coup getting Louisville to replace departed Maryland. Cardinals are better than Maryland in both in both football/ basketball; only thing you lose with Terrapins leaving is tradition, since Maryland was an ACC charter member. No one care$ about that anymore.

8) Speaking of the Cardinals, Louisville QB Teddy Bridgewater is a tough human; he played the second half against UConn last week with a broken left (non-throwing) wrist. He’s very good in addition to being very tough.

7) Conference USA replaced East Carolina/Tulane with Middle Tennessee. Its hard to imagine anyone will miss having Tulane in their league, other than the easy wins and the trips to Bourbon Street.

6) Tonight’s Big East football game on ESPN between Louisville of the ACC and Rutgers of the Big 14 is sold out, the first Rutgers home sellout in three years.

5) I understand that Notre Dame is 12-0 and deserves to play for a national title, but if I’m voting for Coach of the Year, I’m adamant that 10-1 at Kansas State is better than 12-0 almost anywhere else. The job Bill Snyder has done in the Little Apple is truly amazing.

4) Denver Pioneers played in the Sun Belt last year, the WAC this year and will be in the Summit League starting next year.

I’m wondering if they tried to get into the Mountain West as a basketball-only member? Seems like a better fit than the obscure Summit League.

3) CBS showed A Charlie Brown Christmas last night, couple of nights after the Grinch was on. These are classic shows that should be on closer to Christmas; late November? Not good.

2) As it stands right now, a San Diego State-SMU football game next season will be a Big East conference game. Get a map. SMU is in Dallas. San Diego State is in, well, San Diego. How does this make any sense?

1) Big East basketball tournament is a staple of March; lot of great games over the years. Big East final has 8:00 Saturday spot during Championship Week. In 2014, you could get a Tulane-Central Florida championship game; in the Big East, not Conference USA. Want to see how ESPN sells that one, or any of this stuff.

**Udog** · 11-29-2012, 09:59 AM

See spot, bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities

Spot bets are a classic handicapping practice that has proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.

Here’s a look at some possible spot bet opportunities this week:

Letdown spot

The Michigan Wolverines took care of business in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge Tuesday, knocking off No. 18 North Carolina State 79-72 as 5.5-point home favorites. That marquee win will be remembered on Selection Sunday and it comes on the heels of a championship run at the NIT Season Tip-Off last week. Michigan topped three potential NCAA-tourney quality opponents in Kansas State, Pitt and Cleveland State.

The Wolverines, however, take a step down in competition when they visit Bradley Saturday. The Bears are projected to finish last in the Missouri Valley but have opened the season with a strong record against the spread, going 3-1 ATS with a 4-1 SU mark. Two of those three covers came as double-figure favorites at home.

Look-ahead spot

Spot bets are harder to find in the pro ranks but even some of the best teams, like the New England Patriots, are susceptible to the classic look-ahead spot. The Patriots visit the Miami Dolphins in Week 13, a nice getaway from the cold November temperatures of Foxborough. Oddsmakers have New England set as a big 9-point favorite after combining for 108 points in its last two outings.

With such a lopsided game expected, the sun-soaked Pats could be looking past the Dolphins and to next week’s AFC showdown with the Houston Texans. The Patriots were in a similar situation last season, taking on Washington in Week 14 before an important conference date with Denver the following Sunday. They squeaked out a 34-27 win over the Redskins, failing to cover as a 7.5-point road chalk.

Schedule spot

A favorite spot bet of handicappers is playing against a team coming home for a brief one-game stay before heading back out on the road. The Dallas Mavericks are in Chicago Wednesday then return home to play the Detroit Pistons Saturday before leaving for three more away games.

The logic behind the play is that players are more focused on settling their home life (wife, girlfriend, kids, bills, business) than basketball in that short period before leaving again.

NBA bettors get a second look at this spot when the Mavs return to Dallas on Dec. 10 to play Sacramento before another three-game trip. They play just twice at home over the next nine games. Dallas is 5-3 SU but just 3-5 ATS at home this season.

**Udog** · 11-29-2012, 10:00 AM

NBA
Dunkel

San Antonio at Miami
The Spurs look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 road games. San Antonio is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 29

Game 501-502: San Antonio at Miami (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.910; Miami 127.015
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 6 1/2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+6 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Denver at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.146; Golden State 116.628
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 3 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 1 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-1 1/2); Over

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 29

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SAN ANTONIO (13 - 3) at MIAMI (10 - 3) - 11/29/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 60-32 ATS (+24.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 55-37 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 50-27 ATS (+20.3 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 257-194 ATS (+43.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 90-124 ATS (-46.4 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (8 - 7) at GOLDEN STATE (8 - 6) - 11/29/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 97-75 ATS (+14.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 6-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, November 29

Hot Teams
-- Miami won its last four games (3-3 as HF). Spurs won last five games, all on road; this is their 4th game in last five nights. Also first time Spurs are an underdog this season. Heat hasn't played since Saturday.
-- Nuggets won four of last five games (2-3 as AF). Golden State won five of last seven games (0-2 as HU).

Cold Teams
-- None.

Totals
-- Seven of last eight San Antonio games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Denver road games went over the total.

NBA

Thursday, November 29

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. MIAMI
San Antonio is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 20 of San Antonio's last 24 games when playing Miami
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

10:30 PM
DENVER vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games on the road
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Denver
Golden State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

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NBA

Thursday, November 29

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NBA TNT doubleheader: Rested Heat host Spurs, Nuggets visit red-hot Warriors
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San Antonio Spurs at Miami Heat (-6, 203.5)

The San Antonio Spurs have built up the best road record in the NBA at 9-1. The Miami Heat have yet to lose at home. Something has to give when the Heat host the Spurs on Thursday. San Antonio has won the first five of its six-game road trip and was able to give stars Tim Duncan and Tony Parker plenty of rest in a blowout of the Orlando Magic on Wednesday. Miami has been waiting around since Saturday.

The Heat have won four straight overall and are leading the NBA in scoring at 104.8 points. LeBron James has been fantastic, but Miami has also benefited from the addition of Ray Allen, who has scored 17 points in each of the last two games and is averaging 12.8 off the bench. The Spurs have their own dynamic scoring threat off the bench in Manu Ginobili and are only slightly behind Miami in scoring at 102.6 points.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE SPURS (13-3, 10-5-1 ATS): San Antonio did not have any player log more than 32 minutes in Wednesday’s 110-89 victory at Orlando and needed Duncan for only 27. The former MVP has gotten off to his best start in years and is contributing on both ends. He had five blocks to go along with 15 points against the Magic. The Spurs have been able to put up big point totals thanks to Parker’s penetration and a host of 3-point shooters. Ginobili went 6-of-9 from beyond the arc on Wednesday and Danny Green, Gary Neal and Matt Bonner are all capable of getting hot from 3-point range.

ABOUT THE HEAT (10-3, 6-7 ATS): Miami can shoot 3-pointers too, with Allen and Mario Chalmers streaking out on the wings, but is also able to play just about any style thanks to James. The reigning MVP continues to round out his game as both a scorer and a distributor. He scored 30 points and the Heat exploded in the last two minutes to avoid a loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers on Saturday. Dwyane Wade, who has been battling a foot injury, will benefit the most from the four-day break Miami has had between games. Wade has played in the last two games but struggled to 6-of-15 shooting and committed four turnovers against the Cavaliers.

TRENDS:

* Under is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in Miami.
* Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Under is 19-4 in the last 23 meetings.
* Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Miami F Shane Battier (knee) is doubtful for Thursday after missing practice this week.

2. The Heat have taken two straight in the series, including a 120-98 home win in the lone meeting last season. James scored 33 in that matchup.

3. The Spurs have done the bulk of their damage on the road trip without F Kawhi Leonard (knee) and G-F Stephen Jackson (finger). Both will be out on Thursday.

Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors (+1.5, 200)

The Golden State Warriors have surged into contention at the top of the Pacific Division thanks to five wins in seven games and some rapid improvement from their young players. One opponent the Warriors have not been able to solve has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets have taken two meetings from Golden State already this season, including a 107-101 overtime setback at ORACLE Arena on Nov. 10.

Denver had its four-game winning streak snapped at Utah on Monday - the beginning of a stretch of eight of nine on the road. The Nuggets had built that winning streak on defense, holding the four opponents to an average of 90.3 points - including a 102-91 win over the Warriors on Friday. Golden State struggled to contain Ty Lawson and Andre Iguodala in that contest but bounced back the following night as rookie Harrison Barnes and second-year swingman Klay Thompson stepped up against Minnesota.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE NUGGETS (8-7, 10-5 ATS): After a 4-6 start that had Denver struggling to put things together on both ends of the floor during the same game, the Nuggets seemed to gel during the four-game winning streak. They went over 100 points three times during the run while also holding each of the four opponents under the century mark. Denver could not keep that up on Monday, when it suffered a 105-103 loss at Utah. Iguodala drew a pair of technical fouls and was ejected in the third quarter and the Nuggets struggled to contain the Jazz on the interior.

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (8-6, 8-5-1 ATS): Golden State does not have the pieces to exploit Denver’s deficiency on the interior due to Andrew Bogut’s slow recovery from an ankle injury. But the Warriors are becoming one of the stronger perimeter teams with Barnes and Thompson joining Stephen Curry as reliable scoring threats. Barnes struggled through the worst game of his rookie campaign at Denver on Friday, recording a season-low four points on 1-of-5 shooting while struggling with foul trouble against Iguodala and company. Barnes bounced back against the Timberwolves, recording his third double-double with 10 points and 11 rebounds.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Golden State.
* Nuggets are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.
* Over is 15-5 in the last 20 meetings in Golden State.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Denver has won in four of its last six trips to ORACLE Arena. Danilo Gallinari and Kenneth Faried each recorded a double-double in the Nov. 10 win.

2. Curry was held to six points in the last game against Denver.

3. Gallinari has recorded 20 or more field goal attempts in only two games this season - both against the Warriors. He shot a combined 16-for-42 (38 percent) in those two games.

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**Udog** · 11-29-2012, 10:06 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Marquette at Florida
The Golden Eagles look to follow up their 79-46 win over UMBC and build on their 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 games following a SU victory of more than 20 points. Marquette is the pick (+10) according to Dunkel, which has the Gators favored by only 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Marquette (+10). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 29

Game 505-506: Kentucky at Notre Dame (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 76.202; Notre Dame 68.649
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 7 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 1 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+1); Over

Game 507-508: South Alabama at Florida Atlantic (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 52.860; Florida Atlantic 47.141
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 3
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (-3)

Game 509-510: Troy at AR-Little Rock (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 46.168; AR-Little Rock 58.553
Dunkel Line: AR-Little Rock by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (-10 1/2)

Game 511-512: Arkansas State at Florida International (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 56.198; Florida International 47.728
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 4
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-4)

Game 513-514: South Carolina at St. John's (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 53.966; St. John's 62.755
Dunkel Line: St. John's by 9; 132
Vegas Line: St. John's by 8 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (-8 1/2); Under

Game 515-516: Middle Tennessee State at UL-Lafayette (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 64.845; UL-Lafayette 54.344
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-7 1/2)

Game 517-518: Western Kentucky at UL-Monroe (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 58.911; UL-Monroe 47.436
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-10 1/2)

Game 519-520: Marquette at Florida (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 67.058; Florida 75.780
Dunkel Line: Florida by 8 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Florida by 10; 137
Dunkel Pick: Marquette (+10); Under

Game 521-522: Seton Hall at LSU (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 61.681; LSU 66.275
Dunkel Line: LSU by 4 1/2; 130
Vegas Line: LSU by 4; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-4); Under

Game 523-524: TX-San Antonio at Oregon (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 51.002; Oregon 73.330
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-15 1/2)

Game 525-526: Long Beach State at Loyola-Marymount (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 58.592; Loyola-Marymount 57.974
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 1
Vegas Line: Loyola-Marymount by 2
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (+2)

Game 527-528: Manhattan at Fordham (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 51.804; Fordham 44.046
Dunkel Line: Manhattan by 8
Vegas Line: Manhattan by 6
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (-6)

Game 529-530: LaSalle at Rider (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 57.838; Rider 52.464
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (-2 1/2)

Game 531-532: Western Illinois at South Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 57.754; South Dakota 50.906
Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 7
Vegas Line: Western Illinois by 3
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (-3)

Game 533-534: IUPUI at UMKC (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 50.024; UMKC 47.032
Dunkel Line: IUPUI by 3
Vegas Line: UMKC by 1
Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+1)

Game 535-536: NE-Omaha at North Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NE-Omaha 37.313; North Dakota State 60.696
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-20 1/2)

Game 537-538: Southern Utah at TCU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 43.602; TCU 56.910
Dunkel Line: TCU by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: TCU by 10
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-10)

Game 539-540: Tennessee-Martin at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 42.968; Memphis 65.642
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 22 1/2
Vegas Line: Memphis by 25 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee-Martin (+25 1/2)

Game 541-542: Pepperdine at Montana State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 50.679; Montana State 50.746
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Montana State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+2 1/2)

Game 761-762: Ohio State at Duke (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 72.263; Duke 80.446
Dunkel Line: Duke by 8; 139
Vegas Line: Duke by 6; 142
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-6); Under

Game 763-764: Wyoming at UC-Santa Barbara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 57.785; UC-Santa Barbara 55.154
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming

Game 765-766: Idaho at Washington State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 54.101; Washington State 64.370
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (-6 1/2)

Game 767-768: UC Davis at Nevada (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC Davis 44.514; Nevada 55.822
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Nevada by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC Davis (+12 1/2)

Game 769-770: UC-Irvine at UNLV (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 51.612; UNLV 72.431
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 21
Vegas Line: UNLV by 15
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-15)

Game 771-772: Seattle at Stanford (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 50.798; Stanford 70.453
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: Stanford by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+20 1/2)

Game 773-774: Utah State at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 58.909; Santa Clara 60.277
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 7
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+7)

Game 775-776: St. Louis at Washington (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 63.403; Washington 69.900
Dunkel Line: Washington by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 3
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-3)

Game 777-778: CS-Northridge at UCLA (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 54.548; UCLA 65.865
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: UCLA by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (+14 1/2)

Game 779-780: Morehead State at Marshall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 50.276; Marshall 64.359
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 14
Vegas Line: Marshall by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-11 1/2)

Game 781-782: Duquesne at Appalachian State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 51.294; Appalachian State 49.386
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 2
Vegas Line: Duquesne by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Appalachian State (+3 1/2)

Game 783-784: Weber State at Dayton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 51.330; Dayton 66.171
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 15
Vegas Line: Dayton by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-13 1/2)

Game 785-786: Elon at Georgia Southern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 51.094; Georgia Southern 51.432
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 1
Dunkel Pick: Elon (+1)

Game 787-788: Western Carolina at Furman (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 50.700; Furman 52.708
Dunkel Line: Furman by 2
Vegas Line: Furman by 1
Dunkel Pick: Furman (-1)

Game 789-790: Niagara at Iona (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 49.871; Iona 63.115
Dunkel Line: Iona by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Iona by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-8 1/2)

Game 791-792: Massachusetts at Siena (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 56.775; Siena 51.825
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 5
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 7
Dunkel Pick: Siena (+7)

Game 793-794: North Dakota at South Dakota State (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 45.789; South Dakota State 65.054
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 19 1/2
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 18
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-18)

Game 795-796: Tennessee Tech at Loyola-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 48.846; Loyola-Chicago 51.276
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+4 1/2)

Game 797-798: Montana at BYU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 58.543; BYU 66.468
Dunkel Line: BYU by 8
Vegas Line: BYU by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana (+9 1/2)

Game 799-800: Northern Arizona at Arizona (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 42.110; Arizona 68.183
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 26
Vegas Line: Arizona by 25
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-25)

**Udog** · 11-29-2012, 10:07 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 29

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KENTUCKY (4 - 1) at NOTRE DAME (6 - 1) - 11/29/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S ALABAMA (2 - 3) at FLA ATLANTIC (2 - 3) - 11/29/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
S ALABAMA is 3-1 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-2 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TROY (4 - 3) at ARK-LITTLE ROCK (4 - 3) - 11/29/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 1-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 2-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARKANSAS ST (4 - 1) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (1 - 2) - 11/29/2012, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games in November games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 57-87 ATS (-38.7 Units) in all home games since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 57-87 ATS (-38.7 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 43-64 ATS (-27.4 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 44-71 ATS (-34.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S CAROLINA (5 - 1) at ST JOHNS (4 - 2) - 11/29/2012, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIDDLE TENN ST (4 - 1) at LA-LAFAYETTE (2 - 4) - 11/29/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus LA-LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 straight up against LA-LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W KENTUCKY (4 - 2) at LA-MONROE (0 - 2) - 11/29/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA-MONROE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
LA-MONROE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LA-MONROE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 3-0 against the spread versus LA-MONROE over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 3-0 straight up against LA-MONROE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARQUETTE (5 - 1) at FLORIDA (5 - 0) - 11/29/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in November games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 95-67 ATS (+21.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 231-187 ATS (+25.3 Units) in all games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 231-187 ATS (+25.3 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 68-44 ATS (+19.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 96-59 ATS (+31.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 96-59 ATS (+31.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in November games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 178-135 ATS (+29.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SETON HALL (5 - 1) at LSU (4 - 0) - 11/29/2012, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
LSU is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
LSU is 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
LSU is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TX-SAN ANTONIO (3 - 2) at OREGON (5 - 1) - 11/29/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TX-SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in November games since 1997.
TX-SAN ANTONIO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
TX-SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LONG BEACH ST (2 - 3) at LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT (3 - 3) - 11/29/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 69-100 ATS (-41.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 58-85 ATS (-35.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 1-0 against the spread versus LONG BEACH ST over the last 3 seasons
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 1-0 straight up against LONG BEACH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MANHATTAN (1 - 3) at FORDHAM (1 - 4) - 11/29/2012, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FORDHAM is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FORDHAM is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FORDHAM is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
FORDHAM is 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) in November games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
FORDHAM is 1-1 against the spread versus MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
FORDHAM is 1-1 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LASALLE (3 - 1) at RIDER (4 - 3) - 11/29/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 53-80 ATS (-35.0 Units) in all home games since 1997.
RIDER is 53-80 ATS (-35.0 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
RIDER is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
RIDER is 1-1 against the spread versus LASALLE over the last 3 seasons
RIDER is 1-1 straight up against LASALLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W ILLINOIS (3 - 3) at S DAKOTA (3 - 3) - 11/29/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
S DAKOTA is 1-1 against the spread versus W ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
W ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against S DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IUPUI (3 - 4) at MISSOURI-KC (2 - 3) - 11/29/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI-KC is 3-2 against the spread versus IUPUI over the last 3 seasons
IUPUI is 3-2 straight up against MISSOURI-KC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEBRASKA-OMAHA (2 - 5) at N DAKOTA ST (5 - 2) - 11/29/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N DAKOTA ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
N DAKOTA ST is 1-0 straight up against NEBRASKA-OMAHA over the last 3 seasons

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SOUTHERN UTAH (1 - 4) at TCU (5 - 2) - 11/29/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 73-104 ATS (-41.4 Units) in all home games since 1997.
TCU is 73-104 ATS (-41.4 Units) in home lined games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENN-MARTIN (2 - 4) at MEMPHIS (3 - 2) - 11/29/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENN-MARTIN is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TENN-MARTIN is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TENN-MARTIN is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TENN-MARTIN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENN-MARTIN is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 1-0 straight up against TENN-MARTIN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PEPPERDINE (3 - 2) at MONTANA ST (1 - 3) - 11/29/2012, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PEPPERDINE is 1-0 against the spread versus MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
PEPPERDINE is 1-0 straight up against MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-29-2012, 10:07 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, November 29

-- Kentucky is young (337th in experience), thin (330th in bench time), and 4-1, beating Maryland by 3 on neutral court, losing by 7 to Duke, also neutral court. Wildcats beat Notre Dame 72-58 in last meeting two years ago. Irish are 6-1, with BYU only top 100 win; they don't sub much, but have some experience, and are shooting 37.1% behind arc.
-- South Alabama swept FAU by 9-3 points LY; they're 4-1 in last five visits here, with last two wins in OT. USA opened with great upset at Florida State, but they're lost three in row since, all three losses to teams ranked #171 or worse, last two by 2 points each. 2-3 Owls are shooting just 36% inside arc; their wins are against teams ranked #250/318.
-- Road team won four of last five Troy-Little Rock games, with all five decided by 5 or less points, or in OT. Trojans won two of last three in this gym, but lost by 20 at home to UAB two nights ago; they're 4-3 so far this month, with only road win in three tries at Chattanooga. UALR won three of last four games; they covered only game as a favorite.
-- Home side won six of last seven Arkansas State-FIU games; ASU lost two of last three visits here, but they're 4-1 this year, with best victim ranked #292- they won last two road games, in triple OT and by point. Richard Pitino is FIU's new coach; they're 1-2, opponents making 59% of 2-pointers so far.

-- South Carolina gets PG Ellington back from football team here, but he played at Clemson Saturday; is he game-ready? St John's is 4-2, losing to only top 100 teams they played- they're #344 in country in experience. #146 Gamecocks won tourney in Mexico last week, Big East single digit home favorites are 4-3 vs spread; SEC single digit road dogs are 7-7.
-- Middle Tennessee won its last seven games vs UL-Lafayette, winning last two visits here, by 6-2 points; Blue Raiders are 4-1, winning at UCF for best win this year (only loss to Florida). ULL lost last four games vs D-I teams, but lost 63-60 at Michigan State last game, promising effort. All four losses are on road; they beat Oakland in only home game.
-- Western Kentucky won last three games vs UL-Monroe, winning here in OT LY; Hilltoppers are 3-2 vs D-I squads, losing in OT at Southern Miss in only road game. Monroe scored 51.5 ppg in losing first its first two games, by 16 at La Tech, by 34 at Oklahoma. WKU's only win on road was 70-61 over DePaul on a neutral floor.
-- First true road game for Marquette team that lost at buzzer on Maui to Butler, then beat Miss State/USC next two days. Golden Eagles play their bench 42% of time, goo depth. Florida is 5-0, beating Wisconsin by 18; Gators are rebounding 43% of their missed shots. Big East road dogs are 7-7, 4-0 in true road games; SEC home favorites are 11-7 vs spread.
-- LSU scored 81.8 ppg in 4-0 start vs #339 schedule; they've turned ball over 25% of time, with best win over #164 UCSB, which lost by 28 at home to Wyoming last nite. Seton Hall is 5-1 with best win over #235 St Peter's; they lost in OT to Washington, after being down 16 at half. Big East teams are 12-10 vs spread if number is 5 or less points.

-- Long Beach State is 2-3, but they've lost to UNC/Arizona in its annual overscheduling- 49ers had good win in Fresno Sunday. LMU lost two of three in Alaska over weekend, losing to host, D-2 UAA; best team they beat is #258 Texas State. Big West teams are 7-6 vs spread when number is less than 5 points. WCC teams are 2-6 in games like that.
-- Manhattan won three of last four games vs Fordham- they crushed the Rams 81-47 LY. Jaspers are 1-3 with only win vs #286 Hofstra, and are last in country, turning ball over on 35% of possessions. Fordham is 1-4, with only win by hoop over Penn; young Rams are #332 in experience. MAAC favorites are 7-1-1 against spread this season.
-- LaSalle beat Delaware/Villanova, lost to Central Connecticut, typical for this month so far. Explorers won three of last four games with Rider, winning by 9 in last visit here. Broncs are 1-3 vs teams ranked in top 200, losing by 8-12-13 points. A-16 single digit road favorites are 11-6 vs spread. MAAC single digit dogs are 4-10, but 2-0 at home.
-- Pepperdine/Montana State are both picked to finish #9 in conference play; Waves won last three games after 0-2 start, with two of three wins in OT- they beat Bobcats 59-36 LY in Malibu. MSU is allowing foes to shoot 59% inside arc in 1-3 start, but they beat WCC's Portland in only home game. Big Sky teams are 3-5 vs spread when number is 5 or less points; WCC teams are 2-7.

**Udog** · 11-29-2012, 10:08 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, November 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
LA SALLE vs. RIDER
No trends available
Rider is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

7:00 PM
NEW HAMPSHIRE vs. CONNECTICUT
No trends available
Connecticut is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Connecticut is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
SACRED HEART vs. BROWN
No trends available
Brown is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
Brown is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games

7:00 PM
SOUTH ALABAMA vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
South Alabama is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing South Alabama
Florida Atlantic is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against South Alabama

7:00 PM
HIGH POINT vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
No trends available
Western Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
KENTUCKY vs. NOTRE DAME
Kentucky is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Kentucky's last 15 games on the road
Notre Dame is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
HARTFORD vs. YALE
No trends available
Yale is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hartford
Yale is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home

7:00 PM
CANISIUS vs. UMBC
Canisius is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
No trends available

7:30 PM
ARKANSAS STATE vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida Internati
Arkansas State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida International's last 9 games when playing Arkansas State
Florida International is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arkansas State

7:30 PM
MANHATTAN vs. FORDHAM
Manhattan is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Manhattan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Fordham is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Fordham is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Manhattan

7:30 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA vs. ST. JOHN'S
South Carolina is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
St. John's is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
St. John's is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
Middle Tennessee is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Middle Tennessee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Louisiana-Lafayet
Louisiana-Lafayette is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Middle Tennessee
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Middle Tennessee

8:00 PM
SE MISSOURI STATE vs. NEW ORLEANS
SE Missouri State is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
SE Missouri State is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
No trends available

8:00 PM
TENNESSEE-MARTIN vs. MEMPHIS
Tennessee-Martin is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tennessee-Martin is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee-Martin
Memphis is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games

8:00 PM
SOUTHERN UTAH vs. TCU
Southern Utah is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
TCU is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
TCU is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

8:05 PM
ALCORN STATE vs. MISSOURI STATE
No trends available
Missouri State is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
Missouri State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:30 PM
TROY vs. ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK
Troy is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Arkansas-Little Rock is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Arkansas-Little Rock is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Troy

8:30 PM
WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
Western Kentucky is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Western Kentucky
Louisiana-Monroe is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
MARQUETTE vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Marquette's last 9 games on the road
Marquette is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
LEWIS-CLARK ST. vs. GONZAGA
No trends available
Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:05 PM
WEST MONTANA vs. IDAHO STATE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Idaho State's last 6 games at home
Idaho State is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home

9:30 PM
SETON HALL vs. LSU
Seton Hall is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Seton Hall is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LSU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

10:00 PM
LONG BEACH STATE vs. LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Long Beach State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Loyola Marymount
Long Beach State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Loyola Marymount is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

10:00 PM
PEPPERDINE vs. MONTANA STATE
Pepperdine is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Montana State is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games

10:00 PM
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO vs. OREGON
Texas-San Antonio is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Oregon is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Oregon is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

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**Udog** · 11-29-2012, 10:09 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, November 29

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
What bettors need to know: Kentucky at Notre Dame
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENTUCKY at NOTRE DAME

Kentucky has had a chance to fix several of the things that went wrong in its loss to Duke earlier this month, starting with an offense that struggled to push the pace. The eighth-ranked Wildcats have averaged 95.3 points in three straight wins since that loss to the Blue Devils, and have gone over the century mark twice. They will test that explosive offense against a higher caliber of competition when they visit Notre Dame on Thursday.

Unlike freshman-dominated Kentucky, the Fighting Irish rely heavily on upperclassmen and returned all five starters from a team that won 22 games last season. That experience and familiarity has helped Notre Dame execute in the half court and on the defensive end en route to four straight wins. The Wildcats will try to get out and run, using their superior athleticism to make up the difference in experience. Their big challenge will be stopping Irish forward Jack Cooley, who is averaging a double-double while shooting over 60 percent from the field.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2.

LINE: The early overnight line has Kentucky as a 1-point road favorite and the total was recommended at 135.

ABOUT KENTUCKY (4-1): The SEC/Big East Challenge will provide the Wildcats with a better approximation of their growth than wins over Louisiana-Lafayette, Morehead State and Long Island University-Brooklyn. Kentucky rebuilt over the summer with a strong recruiting class and has watched those players come together over the last three games. Guard Archie Goodwin came within one rebound and one assist of a triple-double in the 104-75 win over LIU-Brooklyn on Friday while Alex Poythress has gone for 20 or more in four straight games. Nerlens Noel continues to fill up the box score in much the same way that Michael Kidd-Gilchrist did for last season’s national championship squad.

ABOUT NOTRE DAME (6-1): The Irish suffered an overtime loss to St. Joe’s during the Coaches vs. Cancer Classic earlier this month but have recovered nicely, especially on the defensive end. Notre Dame is allowing just 58.3 points during its four-game winning streak. Six players scored in double figures in Monday’s 92-65 win over Chicago State, led by Jerian Grant’s 22 points and 10 assists. The Irish are so balanced offensively that Cooley only had four field goal attempts (making all four) in the win. That efficiency is made possible by the backcourt duo of Grant and Eric Atkins, who have a combined assist-to-turnover ratio of 3.08.

TIP-INS

1. Kentucky G Ryan Harrow (illness) has not played since the opener but returned to practice this week.

2. The Wildcats beat Notre Dame 72-58 in Louisville in the last meeting on Dec. 8, 2010.

3. The Fighting Irish are averaging 19 assists as a team.

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**Udog** · 11-29-2012, 12:21 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, November 29

San Antonio at Miami, 8:05 ET TNT
San Antonio: 26-10 Over as an underdog
Miami: 15-4 ATS at home off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games

Denver at Golden State, 10:35 ET TNT
Denver: 8-1 ATS off an ATS win
Golden State: 1-9 ATS after allowing 85 points or less

**Udog** · 11-29-2012, 12:23 PM

NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Thursday, November 29

Kentucky at Notre Dame, 7:00 ET
Kentucky: 8-1 Under in road games
Notre Dame: 1-10 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

Marquette at Florida, 9:00 ET
Marquette: 15-5 Over off a win by 30+ points
Florida: 31-16 ATS in November

Announcement

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 11/29 (NBA, NCAAB, Misc.)

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 11/29 (NBA, NCAAB, Misc.)

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