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**Udog** · 11-27-2012, 09:41 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Six of the more interesting games on next weekend's schedule......

-- UCLA @ Stanford-- Cardinal just drilled UCLA in Pasadena.

-- Northern Illinois-Kent State-- Underrated MAC title game.

-- Georgia-Alabama-- Winner plays for a national title.

-- Saints @ Falcons-- Mike Smith has trouble with New Orleans.

-- Buccaneers @ Broncos-- Oddly enough, this is the best game of week.

-- Giants @ Redskins-- First meeting had a dramatic ending.

*********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but............

13) If your favorite NFL team is 5-6, all isn’t lost; in seven of last eight years, a team that 5-6 at this point of the season wound up making the playoffs. First time Rams made the Super Bowl, in 1979, they were 5-6, so it can happen. Not likely, but still possible.

12) Falcons have led at halftime in only one of their last seven games; they haven’t covered spread in four of 10 wins (0-3-1). Eagles didn’t cover any of their three wins, Ravens failed to cover five of their nine; other 29 teams are covering 84.2% of their wins.

11) If either Louisville or UConn leave the Big East before July, the league could just dissolve and go away, making way for a new, basketball-only league with the seven non-football Big East schools, plus other teams like Butler/Saint Louis/VCU/Xavier. Conference juggling never seems to stop.

10) USC basketball coach Kevin O’Neill let a TV camera inside his locker room at halftime of their game Sunday night; as luck would have it, Trojans were down 12, so his halftime talk was…..passionate.

He told the kids they were going to win, which they didn’t, but at one point they did storm back to take the lead. USC has a lot of talent, but lot of transfers, so not lot of chemistry; how quickly they gel could determine if O’Neill keeps his job next year.

9) University of North Dakota is now in the Big Sky Conference; problem is, they’re 800 miles from their closest conference rival. Can’t even imagine what living out there must be like in the winter.

8) Speaking of which, not sure if I ever knew that Alaska is twice as large as Texas, and is actually 20% as big as the contiguous 48 states. Not lot of people there, but lot of frozen spaces.

7) I feel bad for NHL fans, who love the sport and have to watch it wither away during another labor impasse. Not sure how the owners think this is good for their business; lot of people blame the Commissioner, but doesn’t he just do the owners’ bidding for them?

6) Speaking of the NHL, former St Louis Blues coach Jacques Demers is now an elected official, a Senator in Canada; there are debates going on in Canada about whether to legalize sports betting north of the border. For purely selfish reasons, I hope they do.

5) Something to think about when the minor bowls start; Conference USA teams are 7-35 SU this season in non-conference games vs other I-A teams, 1-23 vs teams from BCS leagues.

4) San Francisco Giants’ World Series shares are $377,002, not much less than the minimum salary for big leaguers. Posey/Bumgarner combined to make $1,175,000 this season, so thats significant money for them.

3) Tampa Bay Rays signed Evan Longoria to a 10-year contract extension; two thoughts:
a) I wonder where the Rays will call home by time that contract ends and
b) It would be nice if Longoria’s hamstrings stayed in one piece so he could earn the $100M he’s going to make; he had a procedure on his injured hamstring earlier this month.

Interesting note: Longoria does not have a no-trade clause.

2) Kansas City Chiefs are 0-6 at home for the first time since 1976.

1) San Diego Chargers had 10 takeaways in two wins against the Chiefs this year; they’ve had nine takeaways in other nine games (2-7) combined.

**Udog** · 11-27-2012, 09:42 AM

Pucking the trends: AHL betting news and notes

No NHL. No problem. Check out the latest betting news and notes from the young guns in the AHL.

Hot Team: Oklahoma City Barons

The addition of Taylor Hall to the Barons’ stable of Oilers prospects, which already includes Jordan Eberle, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and AHL scoring leader Justin Schultz, has turned Oklahoma City into the most feared opponent in the league.

In the last seven games, Hall has 14 points and the Barons are 6-0-1-0, averaging over four goals per game. After two convincing road victories over Charlotte this on the weekend, Oklahoma City trails the division-leading Checkers by only two points.

The Barons remain on the road against divisional opponents Houston and San Antonio before closing out 2012 with seven of nine games at home. They could be a difficult team to catch in the standings by then.

Cold Team: San Antonio Rampage

The Rampage hit the road this week, a welcome change after playing seven of their last eight games at home and going 0-6-0-2 in that span. The slump has knocked San Antonio to the bottom of the league with 11 points.

Scoring is a big concern for the Rampage, who are relying on rookies Drew Shore, Quinton Howden and John McFarland to carry the load. So far, only Shore seems comfortable in a scoring role, tied for the team lead with 14 points. Howden has seven points and McFarland has just three assists.

Jacob Markstrom, San Antonio’s star goaltender, is also struggling with the starting role he claimed last season. Markstrom has a goals-against average over 3.00, a save percentage under .900, and two wins in nine starts.

Prospect Watch: Milwaukee Admirals

Milwaukee should receive a boost to its mediocre season now that Ryan Ellis is back in the lineup. Ellis was sidelined with a broken wrist suffered in the offseason and his return will allow the Admirals more flexibility on their defense, taking some pressure off Jonathon Blum.

With eight points and a minus-7 rating through 17 games, Blum has been overshadowed by teammates like 2009 fourth-round pick Mattias Ekholm. But Ellis’ return has helped Blum simplify his game, and he has a plus-3 rating from the last two games because of it.

Ellis will provide more offense from the blueline (he already has 12 shots in his first four games) and complement the scoring of fellow OHL alumnus Austin Watson, who is tied for the team lead with 13 points as a rookie.

Surveying the schedule:

- The Texas Stars have a busy week on the road, with a stop at Rockford on Tuesday before playing back-to-back games in Grand Rapids on Friday and Saturday and travelling to Peoria for Sunday. The Stars end their midwest road trip in Milwaukee next Wednesday.

- The Syracuse Crunch conclude a five-game road swing this weekend with games against Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (Friday), Connecticut (Saturday) and Binghamton (Sunday). With a 9-0-0-1 away record, the Crunch probably wish they could stay on the road forever.

**Udog** · 11-27-2012, 09:43 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

North Carolina at Indiana
The Tar Heels look to take advantage of an Indiana team that is coming off a 101-53 win over Ball State and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. North Carolina is the pick (+9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hoosiers favored by only 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+9 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 27

Game 511-512: Detroit at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 59.599; Bowling Green 54.865
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 4 1/2;
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3 1/2)

Game 513-514: Minnesota at Florida State (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 69.529; Florida State 71.133
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 1 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Florida State by 3; 138
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3); Over

Game 515-516: Iowa at Virginia Tech (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 63.056; Virginia Tech 65.107
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 2
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 3
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+3)

Game 517-518: NC State at Michigan (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 66.550; Michigan 75.623
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 9; 131
Vegas Line: Michigan by 6; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-6); Under

Game 519-520: Illinois-Chicago at Northern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 55.898; Northern Illinois 44.336
Dunkel Line: Illinois-Chicago by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois-Chicago by 6
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (-6)

Game 521-522: UAB at Troy (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 54.551; Troy 51.717
Dunkel Line: UAB by 3
Vegas Line: UAB by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+4 1/2)

Game 523-524: Denver at Southern Mississippi (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 57.722; Southern Mississippi 64.552
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 7
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-5 1/2)

Game 525-526: Nebraska at Wake Forest (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 52.711; Wake Forest 57.029
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 4 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 6; 130
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+6); Over

Game 527-528: Maryland at Northwestern (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 62.784; Northwestern 68.199
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 5 1/2; 125
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 4; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-4); Under

Game 529-530: North Carolina at Indiana (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 73.541; Indiana 81.175
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 7 1/2; 160
Vegas Line: Indiana by 9 1/2; 156
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+9 1/2); Over

Game 531-532: Fairfield at DePaul (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 53.857; DePaul 59.397
Dunkel Line: DePaul by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: DePaul by 7
Dunkel Pick: Fairfield (+7)

Game 541-542: Vermont at Harvard (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vermont 57.299; Harvard 65.482
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 8
Vegas Line: Harvard by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Harvard (-5 1/2)

**Udog** · 11-27-2012, 09:43 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 27

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DETROIT (2 - 2) at BOWLING GREEN (2 - 3) - 11/27/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 2-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (6 - 1) at FLORIDA ST (4 - 1) - 11/27/2012, 7:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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IOWA (5 - 1) at VIRGINIA TECH (5 - 0) - 11/27/2012, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 12-31 ATS (-22.1 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
IOWA is 69-99 ATS (-39.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
VIRGINIA TECH is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NC STATE (4 - 1) at MICHIGAN (5 - 0) - 11/27/2012, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 43-22 ATS (+18.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 43-22 ATS (+18.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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IL-CHICAGO (4 - 1) at N ILLINOIS (1 - 3) - 11/27/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IL-CHICAGO is 97-70 ATS (+20.0 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 94-64 ATS (+23.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 95-60 ATS (+29.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UAB (3 - 3) at TROY (4 - 2) - 11/27/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
UAB is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
UAB is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 1-1 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 2-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (1 - 3) at SOUTHERN MISS (5 - 0) - 11/27/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 65-91 ATS (-35.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
DENVER is 65-91 ATS (-35.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
SOUTHERN MISS is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
SOUTHERN MISS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 1-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEBRASKA (4 - 1) at WAKE FOREST (3 - 2) - 11/27/2012, 9:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 65-96 ATS (-40.6 Units) in road games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 65-96 ATS (-40.6 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 147-185 ATS (-56.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 1-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARYLAND (4 - 1) at NORTHWESTERN (6 - 0) - 11/27/2012, 9:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
NORTHWESTERN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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N CAROLINA (5 - 1) at INDIANA (6 - 0) - 11/27/2012, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 128-97 ATS (+21.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 128-96 ATS (+22.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FAIRFIELD (3 - 3) at DEPAUL (2 - 3) - 11/27/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 40-61 ATS (-27.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
FAIRFIELD is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VERMONT (3 - 1) at HARVARD (2 - 2) - 11/27/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HARVARD is 1-0 straight up against VERMONT over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 11-27-2012, 09:44 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, November 27

-- Home teams won last four Detroit-Bowling Green games; Titans lost last two visits here, by 20-6 points. Detroit is 1-2, losing at St John's by 3, Miami by 15, both ranked in top 90. #208 BG is 0-3 vs D-I teams, but all three games were away from home. MAC single digit underdogs are 2-8 vs spread. Horizon road favorites are 4-8.
-- 6-1 Minnesota spent weekend in Bahamas, losing by 18 to Duke, but beating Memphis/Stanford to finish trip well; physical Gophers are #3 offensive rebounding team in country (get 47.3% of misses). Florida St. is 4-1, beating BYU/St Joe's on neutral floors after South Alabama upset them at home. Big Dozen teams are 8-5 if spread is less than 5 points.
-- Virginia Tech made 42.7% from arc in 5-0 start, but none of its victims are ranked higher than #217; Hokies are scoring 85.4 ppg. #58 Iowa split pair of games in Cancun last week, losing to Wichita State by 12. ACC home favorites are 11-5 vs spread. Big Dozen road underdogs are 3-6. Toughest test yet for Tech, which is playing faster with new coach.
-- 4-1 NC State has high expectations, but lost to Oklahoma State by 20 on neutral floor; best team they've beaten is #80 UMass. Michigan won its first five games, beating pair of top 20 teams on neutral floor, Pitt by 5, Kansas State by 14. Big Dozen home favorites are 12-5 vs spread. ACC road underdogs are 7-4 vs spread.

-- Ill-Chicago is 4-1 this year, after going 23-68 last three years; Flames' only loss is by 7 to good New Mexico team- they beat Iona, Mercer on neutral floor. Northern Illinois has 7 freshmen, 2 sophs, a junior, which explains 0-3 record vs D-I teams, losing by 13-23-7 points. Home team won last three series games; Flames lost last visit here by a hoop.
-- Troy is 4-2 with win over Miss State, but are 0-2 vs teams in top 200, losing by 18-23 points. UAB is 2-3 vs D-I teams, 0-3 vs teams in top 300, losing by 17-12-3 points; Blazers beat Troy last four years, with wins by 12-21-18-5 points. C-USA road favorites are 4-6 vs the spread. Sun Belt underdogs are 10-15 vs spread, 3-0 at home.
-- Southern Mississippi is 5-0, with pair of OT wins (WKU/Georgia), and win over good Cal-Irvine team; they lost 59-52 at Denver last year. Pioneers are 1-3, losing by 7-11-7 points to teams that are all in top 103- they lost by 7 at Iona in only road game. C-USA home favorites are 3-5 vs spread. Sun Belt road underdogs are 7-15.

-- Well-coached Wake Forest is 3-2 vs mediocre schedule; they're #3 in country at getting to foul line, but #265 at making foul shots, which is a problem- seven of their top nine guys are frosh/sophs. Nebraska is 4-1, but all five games were at home, and schedule is ranked #322; they've allowed 55.5 ppg in wins, 74 in the only loss.
-- Maryland lost by 3 to Kentucky on neutral court; they're #1 team in country on offensive boards. Terps beat four stiffs after opening loss. Northwestern is 6-0 after beating good Illinois State team in OT in finals of South Padre tournament Saturday; Wildcats had beaten five stiffs before that quality win. ACC teams are 9-6 if spread is 5 or less points.
-- North Carolina was on Maui last week, losing to Butler by 11 in semis of Maui Classic; they're not getting to line much, and making 57.7% once they get there, not good. Indiana is 6-0, beating Georgia/Georgetown on neutral court for best wins- they beat Dawgs by by 13, Hoyas by 10 in OT. Hoosiers are making 59% of shots inside arc, 41% outside it.
-- Fairfield is 3-0 on neutral floors, 0-3 on road, losing at Virginia by 9, Providence by 19; Stags' three losses are to teams ranked in top 80- best team they've beaten is #186. DePaul lost couple games in Cancun last week and also lost at home to Gardner-Webb. Big East single digit home favorites are 13-7. MAAC single digit road underdogs are 2-9.

**Udog** · 11-27-2012, 09:44 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, November 27

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North Carolina at Indiana: What bettors need to know
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North Carolina Tar Heels at Indiana Hoosiers (-9.5)

Two of the nation’s premier programs will meet Tuesday night when top-ranked Indiana hosts No. 13 North Carolina in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge. The Hoosiers feature a deep, talented roster that includes five players averaging double figures in scoring and three who led the team in scoring in each of the last three seasons. Cody Zeller, a 7-foot sophomore forward, leads Indiana in scoring (15.2) after averaging a team-high 15.6 last season. The Tar Heels have three players averaging in double figures and they've already been stung by a team from Indiana, losing to Butler at last week’s Maui Invitational.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (5-1): James Michael McAdoo has seen his minutes nearly double from last season and his scoring average nearly triple from 6.1 to 16.8 points, but his turnovers are also skyrocketing. The sophomore forward didn’t have more than three turnovers in any game last season, but he’s already had four or more in four of six games this season, including seven in the loss to Butler. The Tar Heels are also experiencing some growing pains with freshman point guard Marcus Paige, who has 20 assists and 19 turnovers while shooting 37.5 percent from the floor this season.

ABOUT INDIANA (6-0): With the emergence of Zeller the last two seasons, senior forward Christian Watford has seen his shot attempts gradually decline. Watford averaged a team-high 16 points two seasons back but fell to 12.6 last season and 13.2 so far this year. Watford, who's best remembered for hitting a buzzer-beating 3-pointer last season to knock off No. 1 Kentucky, is averaging 8.7 field-goal attempts, which would be a career low. He’s making his presence known in other areas, particularly rebounding, where he’s averaging a team-high eight a game.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-1 in Hoosiers’ last five overall.
* Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Under is 4-0 in Tar Heels’ last four vs. Big Ten foes.

TIP-INS:

1. Zeller’s older brother, Tyler, starred at North Carolina the previous four seasons and now plays in the NBA for the Cavaliers. His other brother, Luke, plays for the Phoenix Suns.

2. Indiana senior guard Jordan Hulls is eight 3-pointers away from moving into No. 2 all time on the Indiana career list.

3. Indiana will be without freshmen Hanner Mosquera-Perea and Peter Jurkin. Both were suspended for the first nine games for accepting benefits from a former AAU coach. The players lost an appeal last week that would have shortened the suspension to five games and made them available against the Tar Heels.

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**Udog** · 11-27-2012, 09:46 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Toronto at Houston
The Rockets look to take advantage of a Toronto team that is coming off a 111-106 loss to San Antonio and is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. Houston is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockets favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Houston (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 27

Game 501-502: Dallas at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 112.078; Philadelphia 119.526
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 7 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3; 194
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-3); Over

Game 503-504: Phoenix at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 118.263; Cleveland 113.411
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 5; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2 1/2; 204
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-2 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Toronto at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 113.818; Houston 123.391
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 9 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 4 1/2; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-4 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Minnesota at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 114.948; Sacramento 114.188
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 1 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: Indiana at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 117.218; LA Lakers 123.117
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 6; 193
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7 1/2; 197
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+7 1/2); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 27

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DALLAS (7 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (8 - 6) - 11/27/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 267-213 ATS (+32.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 127-95 ATS (+22.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
DALLAS is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 70-107 ATS (-47.7 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (6 - 8) at CLEVELAND (3 - 11) - 11/27/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 123-160 ATS (-53.0 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (3 - 11) at HOUSTON (6 - 7) - 11/27/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 171-214 ATS (-64.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
HOUSTON is 247-189 ATS (+39.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (5 - 7) at SACRAMENTO (4 - 9) - 11/27/2012, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 4-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (6 - 8) at LA LAKERS (7 - 7) - 11/27/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 37-53 ATS (-21.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, November 27

Hot Teams
-- Rockets won four of last five home games (2-3 as HF).
-- Lakers won five of last six home games (4-3 as HF).

Cold Teams
-- 76ers lost two of last three games (3-4 as HF). Dallas lost four of last five road games (2-3 as AU).
-- Phoenix covered once in five games as a road underdog. Cavaliers lost nine of last ten games, covered last four.
-- Toronto lost last four games, last three by 1-1-5(2ot) (4-4 as AU).
-- Minnesota lost last five (0-5 vs spread) games (3-3 as AU). Kings lost six of last eight games, but won last two at home (0-2-1 as F).
-- Pacers lost six of last seven road games (1-4 as AU).

Totals
-- Six of last nine Maverick games stayed under total. Three of Philly's last four games went over.
-- Over is 9-2-1 in last twelve Phoenix games.
-- Five of last seven Houston games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Sacramento games went over the total.
-- Last three Indiana games went over the total.

NBA

Tuesday, November 27

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DALLAS vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games
Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Philadelphia is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games on the road
Phoenix is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. HOUSTON
Toronto is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games

10:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. SACRAMENTO
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Sacramento is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Sacramento is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

10:30 PM
INDIANA vs. LA LAKERS
Indiana is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Indiana is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
LA Lakers are 14-2 SU in their last 16 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 12 of the LA Lakers last 18 games at home

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**Udog** · 11-27-2012, 03:16 PM

NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Tuesday, November 27

NC State at Michigan, 7:30 ET ESPN
NC State: 12-26 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite
Michigan: 20-9 ATS in home lined games

North Carolina at Indiana, 9:30 ET ESPN
North Carolina: 13-4 Under in road games after 2 consecutive non-conf games
Indiana: 9-0 ATS as a home favorite of 10 or more points

**Udog** · 11-27-2012, 04:46 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, November 27

Dallas at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET NBATV
Dallas: 37-19 ATS as a road underdog
Philadelphia: 64-42 Over after a close win by 3 points or less

Phoenix at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Phoenix: 19-7 Over in November games
Cleveland: 14-30 ATS at home after playing 4 consecutive games as an underdog

Toronto at Houston, 8:05 ET
Toronto: 19-6 ATS after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8
Houston: 59-37 Under in home games in November

Minnesota at Sacramento, 10:05 ET
Minnesota: 24-11 Over in road games after playing a game as a road underdog
Sacramento: 5-19 ATS in November

Indiana at LA Lakers, 10:35 ET
Indiana: 26-15 Over after having won 2 of their last 3
LA Lakers: 5-15 ATS in home games after scoring 110 points or more

Announcement

Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 11/26 (NBA, NCAAB, Misc.)

Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 11/26 (NBA, NCAAB, Misc.)

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