The Bum's NCAAB November's Best Bets !

[StarDust Bum]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/11/12 8-*10-*0 44.44% -*1500 Detail
11/10/12 12-*6-*0 66.67% +*2700 Detail
11/09/12 18-*15-*0 54.55% +*750 Detail

Totals 38-*31-*0 55.07% +1950




Monday, November 12

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Rhode Island - 7:00 PM ET Rhode Island +11 500
Virginia Tech -

Youngstown St. - 7:00 PM ET Georgia -8 500
Georgia -

Yale - 7:00 PM ET Yale +14 500
St. Joseph's -

Fairfield - 7:00 PM ET Virginia -9 500
Virginia -

Buffalo - 7:00 PM ET Buffalo +13 500
Florida St. - Over 131.5 500

North Dakota State - 7:00 PM ET North Dakota State +20 500
Indiana -

Central Michigan - 7:36 PM ET Central Michigan +22.5 500
Iowa - Over 146.5 500

Lamar - 8:00 PM ET Kansas St. -23 500
Kansas St. -

Troy - 8:00 PM ET Troy +15.5 500
Texas A&M - Over 131.5 500

Toledo - 8:00 PM ET Minnesota -20.5 500
Minnesota -

Morehead St. - 8:00 PM ET Maryland -14 500
Maryland -

UC Santa Barbara - 8:05 PM ET Illinois St. -12 500
Illinois St. -

Robert Morris - 8:30 PM ET Robert Morris +3.5 500
Lehigh -

Indiana - Purdue - 9:00 PM ET Indiana - Purdue +19 500
Michigan - Over 131 500

Portland St. - 9:30 PM ET Portland St. +14 500
Oregon -

Pennsylvania - 9:30 PM ET Delaware -9 500
Delaware -

Northern Arizona - 10:00 PM ET UNLV -27 500
UNLV -

Eastern Washington - 10:05 PM ET CSU Northridge -4.5 500
CSU Northridge -

Cal St. Fullerton - 11:30 PM ET Stanford -16.5 500
Stanford -

West Virginia - 11:59 PM ET West Virginia +11.5 500
Gonzaga - Under 138 500

[StarDust Bum]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/12/12 13-*11-*1 54.17% +*450 Detail
11/11/12 8-*10-*0 44.44% -*1500 Detail
11/10/12 12-*6-*0 66.67% +*2700 Detail
11/09/12 18-*15-*0 54.55% +*750 Detail

Totals 51-*42-*1 54.84% +2400



Tuesday, November 13

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Northeastern - 7:00 PM ET Princeton -11 500
Princeton -

Michigan St - 7:00 PM ET Kansas -3 500
Kansas - Under 130.5 500

Wichita St. - 7:00 PM ET Wichita St. +9 500
VCU - Under 133 500

NC-Wilmington - 7:00 PM ET Richmond -16 500
Richmond -

Delaware 0 0th Virginia -6 500
Virginia 0

Austin Peay - 8:00 PM ET Western Kentucky -9.5 500
Western Kentucky -

Florida Atlantic - 8:00 PM ET Mississippi St. -5.5 500
Mississippi St. -

Wright St. - 8:00 PM ET Wright St. -8 500
Eastern Illinois -

Texas Southern - 8:00 PM ET Northwestern -18 500 Northwestern -

Tennessee St. - 8:00 PM ET South Dakota State -11 500
South Dakota State -

Cleveland St. - 8:00 PM ET Michigan -16 500
Michigan - Under 129 500

Georgia Southern - 9:00 PM ET Georgia Southern +11.5 500
Charlotte - Over 133 500

Georgia St - 9:00 PM ET Brigham Young -15 500
Brigham Young -

Lehigh - 9:00 PM ET Pittsburgh -12 500
Pittsburgh - Under 140.5 500

Pepperdine - 9:30 PM ET California -19.5 500
California -

Long Beach St. - 9:30 PM ET Long Beach St. +8.5 500
Southern California -

Duke - 9:30 PM ET Kentucky +4 500
Kentucky - Over 139.5 500

Oakland - 9:30 PM ET Boise St. -9 500
Boise St. -

Houston - 10:00 PM ET San Jose St. +2 500
San Jose St. -

UC Irvine - 11:30 PM ET UCLA -16.5 500
UCLA -

[StarDust Bum]

Wisconsin Visits Florida In Top 25 ESPN2 Matchup


Wisconsin Badgers at Florida Gators

College Basketball Betting Preview
Date: 11/14/2012 at 7:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Florida -5½, O/U 122½
Television: ESPN2

Wisconsin Badgers: Coach Bo Ryan brings the Badgers (1-0 straight-up, 0-0 against the spread) into Wednesday's contest ranked 20th in the coaches poll, one of five Big Ten schools in the early Top 25 rankings. Wisconsin has a very experienced group returning to the floor, losing only point guard Jordan Taylor among last year's starters. The Badgers steamrolled Southeastern Louisiana in Sunday's season opener, 87-47, led by Jared Berggren's 19 points and Ben Brust's double-double (14 points, 11 rebounds). Ryan and the Badgers suffered a big blow when junior guard Josh Gasser was lost for the season due to a knee injury suffered in practice in late October, which means redshirt freshman George Marshall will have to step into the starting role at point in an effort to replace Taylor. The good news is forward Mike Bruesewitz was able to play in the season opener after it was thought he would miss November with a leg laceration (click to check updated college basketball injury report).

Florida Gators: Seen as the top threat to unseat Kentucky in the SEC, the Gators (1-0 SU, 0-0 ATS) cranked their season up on Sunday with an 84-35 thrashing of Alabama State in an unlined affair. The contest took place after Florida's original season opener vs. Georgetown was canceled last Friday due to a slippery court aboard the USS Bataan. The Gators were leading 27-23 when the game was called off. Coach Billy Donovan and UF lost two starters from last season, point guard Erving Walker and forward Bradley Beal, but do get top scorer Kenny Boynton (15.9 points per game) back. Boynton played just 22 minutes in the win over Alabama State, but he tallied 22 points and sank all four of his 3-point attempts. Florida also returns center Patric Young, who posted a double-double on Sunday (12 points, 12 rebounds), and forward Erik Murphy to form one of the top frontcourt duos in the SEC. The Gators and Badgers are meeting for the first time since 1968, and the all-time series is tied 1-1.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Wisconsin at Florida
The Gators are coming off an 84-35 win over Alabama State and look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Florida is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Gators favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Florida (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 14

Game 721-722: Wisconsin at Florida (7:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 70.968; Florida 78.941
Dunkel Line: Florida by 8; 127
Vegas Line: Florida by 6 1/2; 123
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-6 1/2); Over

Game 723-724: St. Bonaventure at Cornell (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 64.629; Cornell 54.424
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 10; 129
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 2; 131
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (-2); Under

Game 725-726: Arkansas-Little Rock at Louisiana Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas-Little Rock 53.082; Louisiana Tech 61.747
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-7 1/2)

Game 727-728: UAB at Creighton (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 57.566; Creighton 70.088
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Creighton by 16 1/2;
Dunkel Pick: UAB (+16 1/2)

Game 729-730: Santa Clara at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 46.993; St. Louis 72.746
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 26
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 14 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-14 1/2)

Game 731-732: Toledo at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 48.956; Northern Iowa 58.757
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 10
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 14
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+14)

Game 733-734: Fresno State at UC-Riverside (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 55.196; UC-Riverside 48.625
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 11
Dunkel Pick: UC-Riverside (+11)

Game 735-736: South Dakota vs. Southern (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota 48.809; Southern 39.758
Dunkel Line: South Dakota by 9
Vegas Line: South Dakota by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota (-2 1/2)

Game 737-738: NC Central at Wyoming (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC Central 49.962; Wyoming 61.490
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (-10 1/2)

Game 739-740: Northern Kentucky at San Diego (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Kentucky 48.892; San Diego 59.888
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 11
Vegas Line: San Diego by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Kentucky (+12 1/2)

Game 741-742: Nebraska-Omaha at Texas Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska-Omaha 39.979; Texas Tech 54.587
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-12 1/2)

Game 743-744: Western Illinois at SIU-Edwardsville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 48.632; SIU-Edwardsville 51.750
Dunkel Line: SIU-Edwardsville by 3
Vegas Line: SIU-Edwardsville by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SIU-Edwardsville (-1 1/2)

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, November 14

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WISCONSIN (1 - 0) at FLORIDA (1 - 0) - 11/14/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in November games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 93-66 ATS (+20.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
WISCONSIN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ST BONAVENTURE (1 - 0) at CORNELL (1 - 0) - 11/14/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CORNELL is 98-68 ATS (+23.2 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
CORNELL is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
CORNELL is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
ST BONAVENTURE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ST BONAVENTURE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST BONAVENTURE is 2-0 against the spread versus CORNELL over the last 3 seasons
ST BONAVENTURE is 2-0 straight up against CORNELL over the last 3 seasons

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ARK-LITTLE ROCK (1 - 0) at LOUISIANA TECH (0 - 1) - 11/14/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 2-0 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 straight up against ARK-LITTLE ROCK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UAB (1 - 0) at CREIGHTON (1 - 0) - 11/14/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
UAB is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CREIGHTON is 1-0 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 1-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SANTA CLARA (1 - 0) at SAINT LOUIS (1 - 0) - 11/14/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SANTA CLARA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SANTA CLARA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TOLEDO (0 - 2) at N IOWA (1 - 0) - 11/14/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 40-17 ATS (+21.3 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FRESNO ST (0 - 1) at UC-RIVERSIDE (0 - 2) - 11/14/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 100-132 ATS (-45.2 Units) as a favorite since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UC-RIVERSIDE over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 1-0 straight up against UC-RIVERSIDE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S DAKOTA (0 - 0) vs. SOUTHERN U (0 - 2) - 11/14/2012, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NC CENTRAL (1 - 1) at WYOMING (1 - 0) - 11/14/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEBRASKA-OMAHA (1 - 1) at TEXAS TECH (1 - 0) - 11/14/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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W ILLINOIS (1 - 0) at SIU EDWARDSVL (0 - 1) - 11/14/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W ILLINOIS is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
W ILLINOIS is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
W ILLINOIS is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, November 14

-- Wisconsin is without PG Gasser, which hurts them in games like this. Florida was up 4 at half on Georgetown on battleship but conditions caused game to be cancelled; Gators have 3 starters back from 26-11/10-6 team. SEC home favorites of less than 10 points are 4-2 vs spread.
-- Cornell lost 79-58 at St Bonaventure LY; Big Red won its opener vs Western Michigan by 8- they've got 3 starters back from 12-16 team. Ivy League underdogs are 2-2-1 vs spread. Bonnies won opener by 10 vs Bethune-Cookman- they've got 3 starters back from 20-12/10-6 team.
-- Louisiana Tech has three starters back from 18-16/6-8 team; they lost opener by 12 to Texas A&M. Ark-Little Rock lost 71-68 at Tech LY; Trojans lost three starters from 15-16 team that got hot in league play (12-4). Sun Belt road underdogs are 2-7 vs spread this season.

-- Creighton won 70-60 at UAB LY; Bluejays have 4 starters back from 29-6/14-4 team. MVC home favorites are 3-0 vs spread so far this year. Blazers return 67% of its scoring from LY's 15-16/9-7 but they got new coach- they pounded on a stiff in opener. This is tough road opener.
-- Saint Louis has 3 starters back from 26-8/12-4 team that won NCAA tourney game, but Majerus is ill and isn't coaching. A-16 faves are 7-3 vs spread so far this month. Santa Clara has all 5 starters back from 8-22 team that fell apart after star Foster was suspended-- not sure how good Foster will be now that he is back on team.
-- Toledo lost first two games, by 12 at Loyola, 26 at Minnesota; they only lost one kid from LY's 19-17/7-9 team, but they're still rebuilding. Northern Iowa has 4 starters back from 20-14/9-9 team. MAC road dogs are 2-8 vs spread this month. MVC home favorites are 3-0.

-- UC-Riverside lost by 7 at UIC, 32 at DePaul on midwest swing; they lost 4 starters from LY's 14-17/7-9 team and are playing lot of freshmen. Fresno State (+12) lost 55-53 at Texas in opener, outscored 18-6 on foul line. Big West double digit underdogs are 4-2 against the spread.
-- Texas Tech has interim coach after Gillispie was fired for breaking the rules on length of practices; Tech has 16 players on roster, as Gillispie kept reloading roster. Omaha beat Northern Illinois in its opener, fairly promising start, then lost to St Mary (KS), who I have never heard of.
-- Western Illinois was 18-15 LY, losing in OT to South Dakota State in Summit tournament; Leathernecks have 3 starters back- they whacked a D-3 team in opener. SIU-Edwardsville has 4 starters back from 10-17 team (6-10 in first year in OVC). They lost opener at Missouri by 14.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB

Tuesday, November 13

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Game of the day: Wisconsin at Florida
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Wisconsin Badgers at Florida Gators (-5, 121)

Defense is the focal point as Florida hosts Wisconsin on Wednesday. The 20th-ranked Badgers, which posted an 87-47 victory over Southeastern Louisiana in Sunday's opener, led Division I in scoring defense last season. Meanwhile, the Gators allowed just nine first-half points -- setting a shot-clock era team record for fewest points allowed in a half -- during Sunday's 84-35 win against Alabama State.

Both teams have gone to backup plans at point guard. Florida coach Billy Donovan suspended his starter, Scottie Wilbekin, last week and said Tuesday he's highly unlikely to play against the Badgers. Wisconsin's earmarked starter Josh Gasser tore his ACL in preseason practice.

TV: ESPN2, 7 p.m.

ABOUT WISCONSIN (1-0): The Badgers are facing a top-10 opponent on the road in November for the second straight season. forward Mike Bruesewitz was expected to miss the first month of the season after lacerating his leg in a freak mishap in practice. Instead, Bruesewitz suited up and tallied 10 points in 13 minutes of floor time against Southeastern Louisiana. Having Bruesewitz available will help against Florida's talented front line.

ABOUT FLORIDA (1-0): Donovan challenged his starters prior to the Alabama State game, promising to bench the entire quintet quickly if he didn't like their play. The Gators responded by taking an 8-0 lead and 8 percent shooting in the first half. Kenny Boynton, who leads all active SEC players in career scoring, is playing the point in Wilbekin's absence. Boynton had 22 points and five assists Sunday, surpassing Neal Walk to become the seventh all-time scorer at Florida.

TRENDS:

* Badgers are 5-0 ATS in their last five vs. Southeastern.
* Gators are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games.
* Under is 7-1 in Badgers last eight vs. Southeastern.
* Over is 9-3 in Gators last 12 vs. Big Ten.

TIP-INS:

1. Last season marked the second time in the past five years Wisconsin led Division I in scoring defense. The Badgers have ranked in the top 10 in fewest points allowed for six straight years.

2. The Badgers started redshirt freshman George Marshall at PG against Southeastern Louisiana. Marshall became the first freshman to start a Wisconsin season opener since Devin Harris in 2001.

3. Florida junior F Casey Prather will miss the Wisconsin game. Prather is still recovering after suffering two concussions in a nine-day span.

[StarDust Bum]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/13/12 13-*12-*1 52.00% -*100 Detail
11/12/12 13-*11-*1 54.17% +*450 Detail
11/11/12 8-*10-*0 44.44% -*1500 Detail
11/10/12 12-*6-*0 66.67% +*2700 Detail
11/09/12 18-*15-*0 54.55% +*750 Detail

Totals 64-*54-*2 54.24% +2300

Wednesday, November 14

Game Score Status Pick Amount

South Dakota - 6:30 PM ET South Dakota -2.5 500
Southern -

Wisconsin - 7:00 PM ET Wisconsin +6.5 500
Florida -

St. Bonaventure - 7:00 PM ET Cornell +2.5 500
Cornell -

Western Illinois - 8:00 PM ET Western Illinois +1.5 500
SIU - Edwardsville -

Santa Clara - 8:00 PM ET Saint Louis -14.5 500
Saint Louis -

Nebraska Omaha - 8:00 PM ET Texas Tech -13 500 Texas Tech -

Arkansas-Little Rock - 8:00 PM ET Louisiana Tech -7.5 500
Louisiana Tech -

Toledo - 8:00 PM ET Toledo +13.5 500
Northern Iowa -

UAB - 8:05 PM ET Creighton -16.5 500
Creighton -

North Carolina Central - 9:00 PM ET Wyoming -10.5 500
Wyoming -

Fresno St. - 10:00 PM ET Fresno St. -10.5 500
UC Riverside -

Northern Kentucky - 10:00 PM ET San Diego -12.5 500

[StarDust Bum]

My College Wednesday Night Double MAC Game of the Year Goes tonight........

[Kaptain]

as always Bum.....gl to ya....lock and load.........get em in RoundBall this year

[StarDust Bum]

Toledo-NIU clash for MAC West title Wednesday

TOLEDO ROCKETS (8-2)
at NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES (9-1)

Kickoff: Wednesday, 9:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Northern Illinois -10.5, Total: TBD

Northern Illinois looks to stay unbeaten in MAC play when it hosts high-powered division rival Toledo on Wednesday night.

These MAC West rivals have met for each of the past 15 seasons, with Toledo going 11-4 SU (9-5-1 ATS). But NIU has taken three of four (SU and ATS), including two straight, winning 65-30 in 2010 and 63-60 last year with a game-winning TD with 19 seconds left in regulation. This season, the Huskies have rolled through conference play, going 6-0 (SU and ATS) and winning by an average score of 47.2 to 15.2 PPG. However, the Rockets have also been great in-conference, going 5-1 SU (3-3 ATS), with 36.3 PPG, but allowing 28.0 PPG. NIU is the better team, but this spread is way too large. Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after 8+ straight SU wins, carrying a win pct. of at least 80% facing a good team (60% to 80% win pct.) are just 13-40 ATS (24%) since 1992. Also, Toledo is 4-0 ATS as an underdog this season, and Northern Illinois is just 6-16 ATS (27%) after gaining 7.25+ yards per play in its previous game since 1992. The pick here is TOLEDO to win ATS.

For more college picks, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the ******* Experts picks for every key college football game throughout the 2012 season.

Toledo is coming off a 34-27 home loss to Ball State, where it outgained the Cardinals 526 to 446 in total yards and 311 to 166 in rushing yards. David Fluellen rushed for 200 of those on 34 carries (5.9 YPC), giving him a ridiculous 1,094 rushing yards (182 per game) and 9 TD in six games versus MAC opponents this year. He is now tied for second in the nation with 138.1 rushing YPG, averaging a hefty 6.0 YPC this year. Fluellen had just eight carries for 31 yards in last year's loss to NIU. Rockets QB Terrance Owens played sparingly in the 2011 meeting with the Huskies (1-for-2, 3 yds), but totaled 211 yards with 2 TD and 1 INT in the 2010 loss in Dekalb. Owens has been solid this season (2,412 pass yds, 14 TD, 5 INT), but has thrown just 5 TD and 5 INT over his past six games. The Rockets defense continues to struggle in 2012, especially against the pass, where they allow 288 passing YPG (9th-most in FBS). They have surrendered at least 200 passing yards in all 10 of their games this year, giving up 280 in last week's loss to Ball State. Toledo's run defense has also been shoddy in the past four weeks, allowing 228 rushing YPG on 6.1 YPC. The one positive for the defense is that the Rockets continue to force turnovers, tallying 14 takeaways in the past six games. They could be without senior S Mark Singer (41 tackles, 2 INT), who missed last week's loss with a knee injury.

Northern Illinois ranks ninth in the nation in scoring (40.6 PPG), thanks mostly to dual-threat QB Jordan Lynch, whose 352 total YPG is fourth-most in the nation and his 134 rushing YPG ranks fifth among all FBS players. The junior has not thrown an interception in MAC play this year (155 pass attempts), piling up 12 TD through the air and 11 TD on the ground during this six-game stretch. Senior WR Martel Moore has 8 touchdown grabs in his past nine games, but in three career meetings versus Toledo, he's totaled just five catches for 37 yards. The NIU defense has given up just 17.9 PPG (15th in FBS), holding three of the past four opponents to seven points or less, including last week's 63-0 shutout of Massachusetts. The Huskies have gotten great penetration at the line with 2.8 sacks per game (T-17th in FBS), including a MAC-best 7.4 Tackles For Loss per game. They have also done a stellar job of forcing mistakes, causing 16 turnovers in six games versus MAC opponents.

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 12

Wednesday, November 14

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OHIO U (8 - 2) at BALL ST (7 - 3) - 11/14/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
BALL ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 1-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 1-0 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TOLEDO (8 - 2) at N ILLINOIS (9 - 1) - 11/14/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
N ILLINOIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
N ILLINOIS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
N ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
N ILLINOIS is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
N ILLINOIS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 12

Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Ohio U at Ball State, 8:00 ET ESPNU
Ohio U: 1-5 ATS vs. conference opponents
Ball State: 7-0 ATS off a conference win

Toledo at Northern Illinois, 9:00 ET ESPN2
Toledo: 12-4 Under after gaining 275+ rushing yards
Northern Illinois: 7-1 ATS as a favorite


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NCAAF

Week 12

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Trend Report
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Wednesday, November 14

8:00 PM
OHIO vs. BALL STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio's last 5 games on the road
Ohio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Ball State's last 15 games
Ball State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
TOLEDO vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Toledo is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toledo's last 6 games
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Northern Illinois is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Toledo


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NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 12

Ohio at Ball State
The Bobcats look to take advantage of a Ball State team that is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 home games. Ohio is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+6). Here are all of the weekday games.

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 14

Game 301-302: Ohio at Ball State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 79.922; Ball State 82.168
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 2; 67
Vegas Line: Ball State by 6; 63
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+6); Over

Game 303-304: Toledo at Northern Illinois (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 81.095; Northern Illinois 100.178
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 19; 60
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 10 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-10 1/2); Under

[StarDust Bum]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/14/12 5-*7-*0 41.67% -*1350 Detail
11/13/12 13-*12-*1 52.00% -*100 Detail
11/12/12 13-*11-*1 54.17% +*450 Detail
11/11/12 8-*10-*0 44.44% -*1500 Detail
11/10/12 12-*6-*0 66.67% +*2700 Detail
11/09/12 18-*15-*0 54.55% +*750 Detail

Totals 69-*61-*2 53.08% +950




Thursday, November 15

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Illinois St. - 7:00 PM ET Illinois St. +5.5 500
Drexel - Over 130 500

Alabama 0 0th Oregon St. +2 500
Oregon St. 0 Under 134.5 500

Sam Houston St. - 7:00 PM ET Indiana -30 500
Indiana -

Samford - 7:00 PM ET Samford +28.5 500
Louisville -

Providence - 7:30 PM ET Massachusetts -8 500
Massachusetts - Over 153 500

Tulsa - 7:30 PM ET Tulsa -7 500
Northern Kentucky -

Murray St. - 8:00 PM ET Auburn +3 500
Auburn -

Southern Methodist - 8:00 PM ET Texas Christian -2 500
Texas Christian -

Chattanooga - 8:00 PM ET Kansas -26.5 500
Kansas -

Western Carolina - 8:00 PM ET Wichita St. -16.5 500
Wichita St. -

Tennessee St. - 8:00 PM ET Minnesota -16.5 500
Minnesota -

Southern Miss - 8:00 PM ET Georgia -2.5 500 Georgia - Under 124.5 500

Buffalo - 8:05 PM ET Buffalo +8 500
Evansville -

South Dakota - 9:00 PM ET South Dakota +16.5 500
Wyoming -

Valparaiso - 9:00 PM ET Nebraska +5 500
Nebraska - Under 124 500

St. Mary's - 9:05 PM ET St. Mary's -5.5 500
Utah St. -

Villanova - 9:30 PM ET Villanova +2 500
Purdue - Over 137 500

Idaho State - 10:00 PM ET Portland -9 500
Portland -

Texas-El Paso - 10:00 PM ET Texas-El Paso +9 500
Arizona - Over 128 500

Northern Colorado - 10:00 PM ET Cal Poly SLO -3 500
Cal Poly SLO -

CSU Northridge - 10:00 PM ET San Diego -6.5 500
San Diego -

Weber St. - 10:30 PM ET Weber St. -2.5 500
San Jose St. -

James Madison - 11:00 PM ET James Madison +16 500
UCLA -

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, November 15

-- Illinois State beat UCSB by 28 in its opener; Redbirds have 4 starters back from 21-14/9-9 team, but new starter is PG. MVC teams are 6-2 vs spread so far this season. Drexel is supposed to be best team in CAA, but they lost opener at Kent State- they still struggle to score.
-- Southern Mississippi lost 3 starters and its coach from LY's 25-9 club that was 11-5 in C-USA and made NCAAs; Eagles won opener in OT over Western Kentucky. Georgia has 3 starters back from 15-17/5-11 team, but home loss to Youngstown State last game wasn't good.
-- Nebraska has new coach, 4 new starters; they beat Southern by 11 in opener. Big Dozen teams are 1-3 vs spread in games where number was ingle digits. Valparaiso won 7am home game Tuesday; they return five starters from LY's 22-12/14-4 team that won Horizon in regular season.
-- TCU-SMU both have new coaches; Horned Frogs won three of last four games vs Mustangs, losing 68-62 LY. TCU won its first two games allowing 46-47 points. SMU has 3 starters back from 13-19/4-12 team, and drastic upgrade at coach. C-USA road underdogs are 1-3 vs spread.

-- St Mary's has 4 starters back 27-6/14-2 team; they're picked 2nd in stronger WCC, whose teams are 7-3 vs spread this year. Utah State has tough home court; they're #3 pick in WAC, with 3 starters back from LY's 21-16/8-6 team. Aggies beat Idaho State 56-48 in opener.
-- Arizona returns 57% of scoring from LY's 23-12/12-6 team, plus they added Xavier transfer Lyons, who won't kill them til March. Charleston Southern shot 54% on 2-pointers against them in opener. UTEP has 3 starters back from 15-17/7-9 team. Floyd's teams always defend well.
-- Akron lost opener in OT at Coastal Carolina, bad loss for team with 4 starters back from LY's 22-12/13-3 team. MAC underdogs are 4-9 vs spread this month. Oklahoma State has 4 starters back from 15-18/7-11 team. Cowboys beat Cal-Davis 73-65 in their opener.
-- Dayton has 3 starters back from 20-13/9-7 team; they won opener by 13 over Arkansas State, are picked #7 in A-16. Colorado took Europe trip this summer, should help them get off to better start- they return 2 starters from 24-12/11-7 team- they won opener by 15 over Wofford. .
-- Boston College has 4 starters back from 9-22/4-12 team, but two new recruits will push 2 starters to bench- their better players are younger. Baylor has good guards, but graduated all its frontcourt starters. Drew always recruits good talent; guards have to carry them early on.

-- St John's struggled at home vs Detroit Tuesday before pulling ahead in last 5:00; Lavin misses tactician/assistant Dunlap, who is 4-3 as coach of NBA's Bobcats (7-59 LY). Charleston has new coach, 4 starters back from 19-12/10-8 team- they beat Towson State by 17 in opener.
-- Auburn has 4 starters back from 15-16/5-11 team; they're picked #8 in SEC, as their talent level rises. Murray State lost 3 starters and backup PG from LY's 31-2/15-1 team- they get transfer guard from UAB who could help right away. Racers are picked to win their half of OVC again.
-- Alabama had all it could handle with South Dakota State in its opener, but hit 3 at buzzer for home won; Crimson Tide has 3 starters back from LY's 21-12/9-7 team. Oregon State plays fast now that talent level is bit higher; Beavers won first two games by 19-9 points (Niagara/NM St.).
-- Purdue lost at home to Bucknell, then pounded Hofstra by 29-- they have 2 starters back from 22-13/10-8 team, are picked #9 in Big Dozen. Villanova beat D-2 team, Marshall by 12 to open season; they've got 3 starters back from 13-19/5-13 team. Freshman PG has helped so far.

[StarDust Bum]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/16/12 0-*1-*0 0.00% -*550 Detail
11/15/12 15-*15-*0 50.00% -*750 Detail
11/14/12 5-*7-*0 41.67% -*1350 Detail
11/13/12 13-*12-*1 52.00% -*100 Detail
11/12/12 13-*11-*1 54.17% +*450 Detail
11/11/12 8-*10-*0 44.44% -*1500 Detail
11/10/12 12-*6-*0 66.67% +*2700 Detail
11/09/12 18-*15-*0 54.55% +*750 Detail

Totals 84-*77-*2 52.17% -*350



Friday, November 16

Game Score Status Pick Amount


Wake Forest 0 0th Connecticut -10 500
Connecticut 0

NC-Greensboro - 7:00 PM ET NC-Greensboro +11 500
East Carolina -

Brigham Young - 7:00 PM ET Florida St. +2 500
Florida St. -

NC-Wilmington - 7:00 PM ET NC-Wilmington +20 500
Ohio -

Eastern Illinois - 7:00 PM ET Eastern Michigan -12.5 500
Eastern Michigan -

Rutgers - 7:00 PM ET Rutgers +2.5 500
Princeton -

Clemson - 7:00 PM ET Clemson -8.5 500
Furman -

Wofford - 7:00 PM ET Ball St. -5.5 500
Ball St. -

Maryland - E. Shore - 7:30 PM ET South Florida -23 500
South Florida -

Oklahoma - 8:00 PM ET Oklahoma -7 500
Texas-Arlington -

California - 8:00 PM ET California +0 500
Denver -

Arkansas St. - 8:00 PM ET Arkansas St. -8 500
Tenn-Martin -

Arkansas-Little Rock - 8:00 PM ET Mississippi -15.5 500
Mississippi -

St. Peter's - 8:00 PM ET St. Peter's +6.5 500
Cornell -

Sacramento State - 9:00 PM ET Utah -4.5 500
Utah -

Quinnipiac - 9:00 PM ET Iona -5.5 500
Iona -

Cal St. Fullerton - 9:00 PM ET Cal St. Fullerton +5 500
Nevada -

St. Joseph's - 9:30 PM ET St. Joseph's +3 500
Notre Dame -

Washington St. - 10:00 PM ET Washington St. -10 500
Pepperdine -

Pacific - 10:00 PM ET Fresno St. -5.5 500
Fresno St. -

Vanderbilt - 11:00 PM ET Vanderbilt +5.5 500
Oregon -

North Carolina - 11:10 PM ET North Carolina -10 500
Long Beach St. -

Southern Utah - 11:30 PM ET Green Bay -7.5 500
Green Bay -

Illinois - 11:59 PM ET Hawaii +7 500
Hawaii -