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**Udog** · 11-03-2012, 09:37 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Some college football trends to ponder, with Week 9 on the horizon........

-- Auburn covered once in its last 12 non-conference games.

-- Home side covered six of last eight UConn-USF games.

-- South Florida is only team in D-I without an interception this year.

-- Home side covered seven of last nine Wyoming-Colorado State games; this is a pretty big rivalry.

-- Road team covered last seven Hawai'i-Fresno State games.

-- Home side covered eight of last nine Arizona-UCLA games.

********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......

13) Lot of fuss in the Big Apple this week about the merits of holding the New York City marathon Sunday, while thousands of citizens still don’t have power in their homes after the hurricane. I don’t know enough about the situation to have an educated opinion, but I do know this; if I was a billionaire like Mayor Bloomberg, last thing I’d be doing was a job where people give me grief, like he is getting now. Bloomberg seems like a good guy who means well, by the way.

12) Guy who won the World Series of Poker won $8.53M; fella is from Maryland. He only had to play heads-up for an hour or so, after the final table had played 3-handed for 250 hands and 11 grueling hours.

11) Problem ESPN has televising the final table is that its so difficult to get to a final table more than once, its always new people who get there, strangers to the viewers, so it doesn’t have the same appeal as a team sport where you get to “know” coaches/players over the course of time.

10) Odds of flopping 4-of-a-kind after being dealt a pocket pair? 407-1.

9) Houston Rockets finished over .500 LY but didn’t make the playoffs; GM Daryl Morey blew the team up and started over, trying to build a team that can win a championship. Quite a gamble, since the Rockets only have 13.5% of their minutes back from LY, but James Harden has 86 points in his first two games and looks like a tremendous addition.

8) Mike Rice Sr, TV analyst for the Trailblazers, used to be the coach at Duquesne/Youngstown State; his son coaches Rutgers now. Talking about the Lakers running a version of the Princeton offense, Rice’s opinion was that it was better served for teams that have lesser talent than most of their opponents. That group would not include the Lakers.

7) Hey, if you’ve got an extra $241M hanging around the house, London police are selling Scotland Yard, their old police headquarters; would make a pretty good vacation getaway, and you could lock your kids up in a holding cell if they got in trouble.

6) NBA record for most points on an Opening Night? Wilt Chamberlain, with 56.

5) Indiana Hoosiers are favored to beat Iowa this week; its first time in five years Indiana is favored to win a football game in league play.

4) Florida/Florida State don’t play FAU, FIU or South Florida in basketball. Why is that?

3) Feel bad for the Nets, who spent the last two years promoting how their move to Brooklyn would be good since fans could just take the train right to their new arena. What were the odds that the subway would get flooded for the first time the same week the Nets had their home opener?

2) Chargers may have struck gold with WR Danario Alexander, who is very talented but has a really bad knee; he helped the Rams at times, but playing on the artificial surface didn’t help his balky knee. He looked good on grass Thursday night.

1) Rafael Soriano did a nice job filling in as closer in the Bronx after Mariano Rivera got hurt, but now, with Rivera looking like he might retire, Soriano’s scumweasel agent, Scott Boras, has opted out of next year’s contract and will test the free agent waters.

Interesting to see if he’s just holding Brian Cashman up for more money, or if Soriano will be elsewhere next year. If Rivera retires and Soriano bolts, that leaves a huge void in the Bronx bullpen.

**Udog** · 11-03-2012, 09:38 AM

NASCAR betting: AAA Texas 500 preview

As the NASCAR Sprint Cup series heads to Texas Motor Speedway for Sunday’s AAA Texas 500, Jimmie Johnson finds himself in a familiar spot - on top of the points. Behind him there are 11 other drivers who won't be wishing him much good luck this weekend.

With only three races left in the season, the opportunity to recover from a bad race is a tall order, so any mistakes will be magnified. Realistically, the Chase field has been narrowed to the top four or five but should any of the top three have a disaster this weekend, the Chase could be up for grabs.

Here’s a rundown of the Top 12 in points heading to Texas, along with some non-Chasers who could spoil the party.

Jimmie Johnson has only one win at Texas but has four Top 10s, including two second-place finishes in the last five races. One of those runner-up finishes came in the spring. But in 2009, Johnson was involved in a crash on Lap 3 that sent him to the garage with a 38th-place finish. If Johnson and crew chief Chad Knaus are on their game this weekend - there’s no reason they won’t be - and if he can avoid trouble, the No. 48 Chevy will be hard to beat.

“I expect us to be really strong this weekend at Texas,” Johnson told reporters. “I love that race track. We were very good there in the spring. Our 1.5-mile stuff has been really fast. I’m thinking we are going to be really strong.”

Brad Keselowski will need to step up his game. He survived last week at a track many felt he would struggle out. He lost the points lead but is only two points behind. He’s never had a top ten here, and in the spring finished as the last car running coming home 36th.Can BK pull off another decent finish two weeks in a row?

Clint Bowyer ran better here when he was Richard Childress Racing; prior to this season, he had three top ten finishes including a second last spring. In his first race with Michael Waltrip Racing here in April, Bowyer finished 17th. That’s something he will definitely need to improve on Sunday.

Kasey Kahne, like Bowyer, is with a new team. With Red Bull Racing he was third in this race last year. In his first race with Hendrick Motorsports here in April, Kahne was seventh. Prior to his third last year, Kahne was outside the top ten two races prior. He won here in 2006 and Kahne has been showing some strength lately; he could have a decent finish Sunday.

Denny Hamlin needs to recover from a terrible finish last week. He took a tumble in the points and is looking for redemption this week. He does have two wins here, in fact he swept the races in 2010, but was outside the top ten since then and 12th in the spring. Hamlin will need a little magic Sunday if he hopes to turn things around.

Jeff Gordon moved up in the standings with a strong finish last week. He won here in 2009 and was fourth in the spring and sixth here in this race last year. Prior to that Gordon finished outside the top 20 in the two races previous. Gordon knows he won’t win a title this season, but could visit victory lane before season’s end and that visit could come Sunday.

Martin Truex has had a forgettable Chase so far. Coming off a second place finish at Kansas, Truex struggled to 23rd last week His last two trips here have been decent; he was sixth in the spring and eighth in this race last year. Prior to that however, his Texas record isn’t so hot with finishes outside the top 30 in the previous two Texas races.

Matt Kenseth has been a surprise in the Chase. And he could surprise again this weekend. He was fifth in the spring, fourth in this race last year and won last spring race. He was second prior to that. Kenseth won’t win a title this season but could score another win this Sunday in the Lone Star State.

Greg Biffle had mediocre run last week and is still searching to find his way. He could do just that Sunday. Biffle won in the spring and finished in the top five in three races prior to that. Biffle could be the driver to beat Sunday.

Tony Stewart has been struggling in the last few weeks and in fact the entire Chase. The reigning Cup champ won’t repeat this season, but could make some noise before it’s over. He’s the defending winner of this race but he’s surrounded by subpar runs finishing outside the top 10 in four of the last five races here.

Kevin Harvick hasn’t been a factor for the entire Chase and that probably won’t change this weekend. He was ninth in the spring and in the Texas races prior to that he has two top ten’s, but also two finishes outside the top ten including an unlucky 13th in this race last year. Don’t look for his luck to change this weekend.

Dale Earnhardt Jr. scored his first career win in 2000. In the last five races he has four top ten’s; he was tenth in the spring and seventh in this race last year. Could Earnhardt nail his second season win Sunday? He very well could.

Non-Chasers

Carl Edwards leads all active drivers here with three wins. He was eighth here in the spring, second in this race last year and third prior to that. After missing the Chase and going winless all season, Edwards needs a victory and could get that this Sunday.

Mark Martin won here back in 1998 and in the last six races had finished in the top five in three including a third here in the spring. With the strength of the MWR team behind him, Martin could be a surprise Sunday.

Bottom line: 17 of 23 races have been won from a top-10 starting position. Only one has been won from the pole - Kasey Kahne in 2006.Matt Kenseth started 31st en route to his victory at Texas in 2002, the deepest in the field that a race winner has started. Roush Fenway Racing leads all owners in victories, with nine. Joe Gibbs Racing and Hendrick Motorsports have three wins each.

Favorites:

Jimmie Johnson

Greg Biffle

Kasey Kahne

Non-Chasers:

Carl Edwards

Mark Martin

Odds to win AAA Texas 500 (Odds courtesy of JustBet)

Denny Hamlin 5-1
Jimmie Johnson 5-1
Kyle Busch 8-1
Brad Keselowski 8-1
Matt Kenseth 10-1
Kasey Kahne 10-1
Greg Biffle 10-1
Jeff Gordon 12-1
Clint Bowyer 12-1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 12-1
Carl Edwards 15-1
Tony Stewart 15-1
Martin Truex Jr. 15-1
Mark Martin 20-1
Kevin Harvick 35-1
Joey Lagano 60-1
Marcos Ambrose 100-1
Aric Almirola 100-1
Kurt Busch 100-1
Ryan Newman 100-1
Sam Hornish, Jr. 200-1
Paul Menard 200-1
Jeff Burton 200-1
Juan Montoya 200-1
Jamie McMurray 200-1
Bobby Labonte 300-1
Trevor Bayne 300-1
Danica Patrick 300-1
A.J. Allmendinger 300-1
Field (Any Other Driver) 50-1

**Udog** · 11-03-2012, 09:39 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Saskatchewan at BC
The Roughriders look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games in November. Saskatchewan is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lions favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 3

Game 495-496: Montreal at Winnipeg (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 112.012; Winnipeg 113.451
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 1 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Montreal by 1; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+1); Under

Game 497-498: Saskatchewan at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 115.390; BC 116.187
Dunkel Line: BC by 1; 52
Vegas Line: BC by 3 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+3 1/2); Over

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 19

Saturday, November 3

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MONTREAL (11 - 6) at WINNIPEG (5 - 12) - 11/3/2012, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-3 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SASKATCHEWAN (8 - 9) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (12 - 5) - 11/3/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 110-72 ATS (+30.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-4 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-5 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 19

Home (37-31). Favorites (29-38), Over (33-33-2). West 20-12 vs East.
Home underdogs are 12-5 in the CFL this season.

Montreal (11-6) @ Winnipeg (5-12)—Been lost season for Bombers, but they’ve split last six games after 2-10 start, including 27-22 win at Montreal four weeks ago as 13-point underdog; Alouettes won first two meetings, 41-30 (-6.5) at home in Week 2, 36-26 (-1.5) here four weeks after that. Montreal won last three games, scoring 27-34-27 points; they’re 4-4 on road, 2-1 as road favorites. Winnipeg is 3-5 at home, 5-2 vs spread as road underdogs- their last four losses were all by 10+ points. Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Winnipeg games, 5-2 in Alouettes’ last seven. Montreal is another team looking ahead to playoffs.

Saskatchewan (8-9) @ British Columbia (12-5)—Lions expected to rest some starters here; they’ve won last five home games (4-1 vs spread) by average score of 32-16. Home side won all three series games this year; Roughriders lost 24-5 (+6.5) here in Week 8, but beat BC twice at home in Regina, 23-20 (+2.5) in Week 3, 27-21 (+2.5) five weeks ago. Streaky Riders’ season has gone 4W-4L-2W-L-3W-3L, so they’re in funk now, allowing 37-34-31 points in last three games. BC is 10-1 when it allowed 23 or less points, 2-4 when it allows more. Over is 4-1-1 in last six Saskatchewan games.

CFL

Week 19

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Trend Report
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Saturday, November 3

3:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. WINNIPEG
Montreal is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Winnipeg
Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal
Winnipeg is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games

10:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Saskatchewan is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games
British Columbia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan

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CFL

Week 19

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Canadian Bacon: Week 19 CFL betting preview
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It’s Week 19 in the CFL and that means playoffs are right around the corner. Some teams are still battling for their playoff lives, while others have already clinched and plan to rest their starters before playoffs begin next week.

Montreal at Winnipeg (1, 49.5)

Alouettes backup QB Adrian McPherson will play the entire game to give first-stringer Anthony Calvillo gets some much needed rest. Montreal has locked up the East and is expected to sideline many of its starters for this one.

Winnipeg is playing for (no) pride having already been eliminated from playoff contention. Quarterback Buck Pierce (shoulder) is out once again and backup Joey Elliott (knee) is questionable. That means third-stringer Alex Brink could start at QB in the final game ever to be played at Canad Inns Stadium. Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last five trips to Winnipeg.

Saskatchewan at B.C. (-3.5, 46)

The Roughriders will know prior to their game Saturday if they absolutely need to win to make the playoffs and if they’re going to remain in the West or cross over to play the Argos in the Eastern semi-final. Saskatchewan has dropped three straight and QB Darian Durant is expected to sit with Drew Willy guiding the offense.

The Lions have first place in the West all wrapped up but head coach Mike Benevides still wants to get at least some reps for starting QB Travis Lulay, who missed a couple games with a sore throwing shoulder. The teams have played under the total in their last five meetings.

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**Udog** · 11-03-2012, 09:40 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Charlotte at Dallas
The Mavericks look to bounce back from their 113-94 loss to Utah and build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games following a SU defeat of more than 10 points. Dallas is the pick (-9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mavericks favored by 17. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-9 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 3

Game 501-502: Boston at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 126.097; Washington 117.392
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 8 1/2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 6; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-6); Under

Game 503-504: Sacramento at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 115.537; Indiana 119.583
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 4; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 8 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+8 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Denver at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 117.587; Miami 135.802
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 18; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 9; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-9); Under

Game 507-508: Toronto at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 112.660; Brooklyn 117.629
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 5; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 6; 193
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+6); Over

Game 509-510: New Orleans at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 115.611; Chicago 126.637
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 11; 179
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-9); Under

Game 511-512: Portland at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 113.546; Houston 116.847
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 3 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 5 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+5 1/2); Over

Game 513-514: Charlotte at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 102.556; Dallas 119.573
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 17; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 9 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-9 1/2); Under

Game 515-516: Utah at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 121.158; San Antonio 125.465
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 199
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+7 1/2); Over

Game 517-518: Cleveland at Milwaukee (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 111.027; Milwaukee 116.590
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 5 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 6 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+6 1/2); Over

Game 519-520: Golden State at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 114.010; LA Clippers 124.033
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10; 192
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-8 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 11-03-2012, 09:40 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, November 3

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BOSTON (0 - 2) at WASHINGTON (0 - 1) - 11/3/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 61-87 ATS (-34.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 48-73 ATS (-32.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 279-348 ATS (-103.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 74-113 ATS (-50.3 Units) in November games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 91-129 ATS (-50.9 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 67-105 ATS (-48.5 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) in home games after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (0 - 2) at INDIANA (1 - 1) - 11/3/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 54-32 ATS (+18.8 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
INDIANA is 123-86 ATS (+28.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 2-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 2-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (0 - 2) at MIAMI (1 - 1) - 11/3/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 131-177 ATS (-63.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DENVER is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 88-121 ATS (-45.1 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (0 - 1) at BROOKLYN (0 - 0) - 11/3/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 4-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (1 - 1) at CHICAGO (2 - 0) - 11/3/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 99-72 ATS (+19.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 83-56 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 79-54 ATS (+19.6 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (1 - 1) at HOUSTON (2 - 0) - 11/3/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (1 - 0) at DALLAS (1 - 1) - 11/3/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 26-49 ATS (-27.9 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 126-94 ATS (+22.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
DALLAS is 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (1 - 1) at SAN ANTONIO (2 - 0) - 11/3/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 50-28 ATS (+19.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 127-96 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (1 - 1) at MILWAUKEE (1 - 0) - 11/3/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 45-69 ATS (-30.9 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 7-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (1 - 1) at LA CLIPPERS (2 - 0) - 11/3/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-4 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 11-03-2012, 09:41 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, November 3

Its too early to get crazy with investing here, but we're getting closer; after this weekend, teams will have 2-3 games under their belt and we can start learning who they are..........best of luck to you.

Hot Teams
-- Heat won seven of their last nine gamex.
-- Hornets covered nine of their last 13 games; they're without rookie star Davis here (concussion). Chicago won its first two games by 6-29 points.
-- Rockets won four of their last five games.
-- Spurs won 22 of their last 26 games.
-- Bucks won their season opener by 11 at Boston.
-- Clippers won their first two games, by 10-9 points.

Cold Teams
-- Celtics lost first two games, by 11-13 points. Wizards lost their first game by 10 points at Cleveland.
-- Pacers split first two games, with games decided by total of 3 points; they lost to the Bobcats (7-59 LY) last night. Sacramento lost its first two games, by 6-12 points.
-- Nuggets lost their first two games, by 13-9 points.
-- Nets lost their last six games LY (1-5 vs spread). Raptors lost their first game by a hoop at home to Indiana.
-- Trailblazers lost their last seven road games (3-4 vs spread).
-- Bobcats, who were 7-59 LY, won their opener Friday. Dallas lost seven of its last eight games.
-- Jazz lost five of its last six games.
-- Cavaliers lost five of their last six games.
-- Warriors lost 11 of their last 13 games.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Boston games went over the total.
-- First two Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 10-5 in Denver's last fifteen road games.
-- Last five Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Portland road games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Dallas games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Utah road games stayed under total.
-- Last five Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Golden State games.

Last Year's Series Records
-- Celtics were 4-0 vs Washington LY, winning by 8-8-6-12 points.
-- Pacers lost 92-88 at Sacramento, in LY's only meeting.
-- Heat lost 117-104 at Denver in LY's meeting.
-- Raptors-Nets split four games LY (1-1 in each building).
-- Bulls beat New Orleans twice LY, by 23-4 points.
-- Rockets were 3-0 vs Portland LY, winning by 2-7-5 points.
-- Bobcats lost 101-96 at Dallas, in LY's only meeting.
-- Spurs were 3-1 vs Utah LY, winning games here by 10-14 points.
-- Bucks were 4-0 vs Cleveland LY, winning by 10-9 at home.
-- Warriors-Clippers split four games LY (1-1 in each building).

**Udog** · 11-03-2012, 09:41 AM

NBA

Saturday, November 3

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. INDIANA
Sacramento is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games
Sacramento is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games
Indiana is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Sacramento

7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games
Boston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games at home
Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
DENVER vs. MIAMI
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games
Miami is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
Miami is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing Denver

8:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. HOUSTON
Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland

8:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. CHICAGO
New Orleans is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
New Orleans is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:30 PM
UTAH vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Utah's last 19 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
San Antonio is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

8:30 PM
CLEVELAND vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

8:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. DALLAS
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Charlotte is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games at home
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte

10:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. LA CLIPPERS
Golden State is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games
LA Clippers are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
LA Clippers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

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**Udog** · 11-03-2012, 09:42 AM

NBA

Saturday, November 3

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NBA's fastest and slowest starters to the season
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The Los Angeles Lakers have stumbled out of the blocks to start one of the most anticipated seasons in the franchise’s storied history.

Despite the additions of Dwight Howard, Steve Nash and Antawn Jamison, The Lakers are 0-2 headed into Friday’s date with the rival Los Angeles Clippers. However, while the NBA world has been captivated by the Lakers’ early troubles, it’s the Clippers basketball bettors should worry about.

The “other” L.A. team is historically a slow starter, going just 65-81-4 ATS (64-86 SU) in the month of November the since 2000-01 season.

Here’s a look at the best and worst teams out of the blocks, looking at November records from 2000-01 to 2010-11 (last year the lockout-shortened season started in December).

NBA’s fastest starters

Detroit Pistons (86-65-2 ATS, 90-63 SU in November since 2000-01)

The Pistons are expected to stay in the middle of the road in the Central Division. But with Derrick Rose out for Chicago, Detroit could put itself in the running with another strong November showing. Two years ago, the Pistons posted a 10-5 ATS mark in November (9-6 SU). That record could be hard to top in 2012, with the schedule makers doing Detroit no favors and handing it a six-game Western road trip right off the bat. There could be value with the Pistons getting the points on the left side of the country.

San Antonio Spurs (83-64-5 ATS, 107-45 SU in November since 2000-01)

It wouldn’t be a “best bets” list without the Spurs and their money-making ways. San Antonio doesn’t waste time finding its form in the early stages of the schedule. A consistent core of superstars and solid role players – not to mention the infinite wisdom of Gregg Popovich – has allowed the Spurs to get down to business without many hiccups in November. San Antonio looks like it’s ready for another strong start after knocking off Oklahoma City in dramatic fashion Thursday.

Indiana Pacers (84-68-2 ATS, 90-64 SU in November since 2000-01)

Indiana was a monster against the spread in the early 2000s, leaning on a reliable veteran corps. Things have taken a step back in recent years, with the franchise in transition following the retirement of Reggie Miller, but happy times may be here again for Pacers backers in November. In 2011, Indiana went 8-5 ATS (7-6 SU) in November. Last season, with the schedule opening in December, the Pacers won their first three (2-1 ATS) and were 5-3 ATS through the first eight games. They could be back on the same track, opening 2012 with a win over Toronto on Halloween.

NBA’s slowest starters

Miami Heat (61-92-3 ATS, 65-91 SU in November since 2000-01)

Two years ago, following the formation of the “Big 3”, the Heat opened the season with a 2-12 ATS mark in November, going 7-7 SU. With such a turnover in talent and mixing three guys who were used to being the focal point of the offense, Miami struggled to be a cohesive unit. But even before LeBron took his talents to South Beach, the Heat were a dismal early-season bet. They went 2-11 ATS in 2001-02 and 4-11 ATS in 2004-05, the year they got Shaquille O’Neal. The 2012 defending champion Heat are always a tough bet – no matter the month – thanks to the inflated spreads and public perception.

Washington Wizards (59-88-1 ATS, 54-94 SU in November since 2000-01)

It’s never a good time to bet on the Wizards, especially this season with star guard John Wall out of action until late November. Washington has managed to cover in just under 40 percent of its November games since 2000-01. Even two seasons with Michael Jordon on the roster – in which the team went a combined 8-18 ATS and 9-17 SU – couldn’t help bettors cover with the Wiz. Washington lost its season opener to Cleveland and plays four of its next six on the road.

Los Angeles Clippers (65-81-4 ATS, 64-86 ATS in November since 2000-01)

The Clippers were a bad team for many, many years. But even their resurgence in recent seasons hasn’t helped their loyal backers. Los Angeles did however go 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS in its first 10 games of the shortened 2011-12 season with new point guard Chris Paul at the wheel and got this year off on the right foot with a win and cover over Memphis on Oct. 31. The Clippers play just two road games in their first eight contests, and one of those is against the Lakers. All the Staples Center crew has to do is flip the floor boards.

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Announcement

Saturday's Trends and Indexes - 11/3 (NBA, NCAAB, CFL, Misc.)

Saturday's Trends and Indexes - 11/3 (NBA, NCAAB, CFL, Misc.)

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