Announcement

**Udog** · 11-01-2012, 08:34 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some NFL trends to ponder, with Week 9 on the horizon........

-- Redskins covered twice in last 11 games as a favorite.

-- Colts covered five of last six home games.

-- Minnesota is 7-14-1 vs spread in last 22 road games.

-- Eagles covered 10 of last 12 Monday night road games.

-- Tampa Bay covered 13 of last 19 road games.

-- Lions covered twice in last nine road games.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Our NFL List of 13...........

32) Chiefs—Travel west to San Diego with banged-up Cassel starting at QB, backed up by former Iowa Hawkeye Ricky Stanzi. Not good.

??) Eagles—Just fired their DC; now starting status of Vick is in question. If he can’t move ball vs defenseless Saints, change is in order.

??) Jets—If they could pawn Tebow off on Jaguars, what a bonanza. Would help Sanchez’ play, but other problems still exist.

??) Panthers—Still think its goofy to have Mike Shula, the old Alabama coach tutoring your franchise QB, an Auburn alum. Maybe its me.

9) Steelers—I’d love to know how many of those throwback jerseys they’ve sold. Can't be too many.

8) Packers—Slept thru Jaguar game last week, won by 9. Now John Skelton brings the Redbirds into Lambeau on a 4-game skid. Hard to believe Arizona can spring the upset.

7) Broncos—When early NFL lines were released in late May, some folks were buying into Denver games all season. Those are the people you see smiling in Vegas today.

6) Bears—Defense/special teams are carrying squad; at some point, offense will need to drive the bus for a while. Can they?

5) Texans—Old friend Mario Williams comes calling with schizophrenic Bills this week.

4) 49ers— Going to jog to NFC West title. Not seeing them as Super Bowl threat.

3) Patriots—Won last two trips to London, 34-7/45-7. Maybe the teams they play over there should stay stateside until Friday, too.

2) Giants— Not sure if everyone realizes this, but Tom Coughlin is a Hall of Fame coach, for sure.

1) Falcons—Atlanta coach Smith worked at Tennessee Tech for 12 years. Tennessee-freakin’-Tech. Now he's 7-0 in the NFL. Go figure.

**Udog** · 11-01-2012, 08:36 AM

CFL
Dunkel

Hamilton at Toronto
The Argonauts look to take advantage of a Hamilton team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against teams with a losing record. Toronto is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Argonauts favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+7). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 1

Game 491-492: Hamilton at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 105.648; Toronto 112.046
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 6 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 7; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+7); Over

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 2

Game 493-494: Calgary at Edmonton (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 120.228; Edmonton 116.460
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 4; 46
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 3

Game 495-496: Montreal at Winnipeg (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 112.012; Winnipeg 113.451
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 1 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Montreal by 1; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+1); Under

Game 497-498: Saskatchewan at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 115.390; BC 116.187
Dunkel Line: BC by 1; 52
Vegas Line: BC by 3 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+3 1/2); Over

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 19

Thursday, November 1

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HAMILTON (6 - 11) at TORONTO (8 - 9) - 11/1/2012, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-5 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 6-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, November 2

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CALGARY (11 - 6) at EDMONTON (7 - 10) - 11/2/2012, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-4 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 7-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, November 3

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MONTREAL (11 - 6) at WINNIPEG (5 - 12) - 11/3/2012, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-3 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SASKATCHEWAN (8 - 9) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (12 - 5) - 11/3/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 110-72 ATS (+30.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-4 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-5 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 19

Home (37-31). Favorites (29-38), Over (33-33-2). West 20-12 vs East.
Home underdogs are 12-5 in the CFL this season.

Hamilton (6-11) @ Toronto (8-9)-- Argonauts (+5) lost 36-27 at Hamilton back in Week 4, then beat TiCats in consecutive weeks, 33-30 (+3.5) on road, 35-31 (-3) in Rogers Centre in weeks 10-11. Toronto snapped a 1-5 skid with 31-26 upset win at Saskatchewan last week- they've lost five of last seven home games (0-7 vs spread), and allowed 33.3 ppg in last four games. TiCats are 1-7 on road, covering just one of last six on foreign soil- they've covered three of nine when favored this season. Over is 12-5 in Hamilton games this season.

CFL

Week 19

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Trend Report
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Thursday, November 1

7:30 PM
HAMILTON vs. TORONTO
Hamilton is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games at home

Friday, November 2

9:00 PM
CALGARY vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games on the road
Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 8 games when playing at home against Calgary

Saturday, November 3

3:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. WINNIPEG
Montreal is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Winnipeg
Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal
Winnipeg is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games

10:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Saskatchewan is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games
British Columbia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan

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**Udog** · 11-01-2012, 08:38 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Oklahoma City at San Antonio
The Thunder look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in the last 4 meetings between the two teams. Oklahoma City is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 1

Game 503-504: Oklahoma City at San Antonio (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 130.226; San Antonio 129.465
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1; 206
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 2 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+2 1/2); Over

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 1

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OKLAHOMA CITY (0 - 0) at SAN ANTONIO (1 - 0) - 11/1/2012, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 50-28 ATS (+19.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 127-96 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-5 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-5 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, November 1

Its too early to get crazy with investing here, but what else is there to do? No football til Thursday, damn kids ringing the bell, asking for free candy. Here is some NBA information.......best of luck to you.

Obviously, no one is hot/cold right now; these are LY's numbers........ Knicks-Nets game has been postponed because of the damage done by the hurricane in NYC.

Hot Teams
-- Spurs won 21 of last 25 games; they won in New Orleans last night.

Cold Teams
-- Thunder lost last four games in NBA Finals to Miami, but still went 13-7 in playoffs last spring.

Totals
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Oklahoma City games.

Last Year's Series Records
-- Oklahoma City beat the Spurs in six games in playoffs LY, ending the Spurs' 20-game winning streak in the process.

NBA

Thursday, November 1

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Trend Report
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9:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
San Antonio is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

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NBA

Thursday, November 1

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NBA on TNT: Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs
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Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs (-2.5, 201.5)

After having the summer to stew over losing to LeBron James and the Miami Heat in the NBA Finals, the Oklahoma City Thunder will tip off their 2012-13 season when they visit the San Antonio Spurs on Thursday. While the Thunder still boast three-time scoring champion Kevin Durant and fellow Olympian Russell Westbrook, they traded James Harden to Houston for Kevin Martin and Jeremy Lamb. Harden, who was the Sixth Man of the Year, agreed to a five-year, $80 million extension on Wednesday.

Despite finishing with the best record in West, the Spurs watched helplessly as Oklahoma City won four straight against them in the conference finals. The veteran Spurs will look to exact a small measure of revenge and feed off Wednesday's 99-95 triumph over New Orleans. Tim Duncan had 24 points on 10-of-15 shooting from the field in the victory.

TV: 9:30 p.m., TNT

LINE: The Spurs opened as 2.5-point home favorites. The total has moved from 201 to 201.5 points.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (2011-12: 47-19): Harden's departure was the only ripple in an otherwise quiet offseason for Scott Brooks' club. Kendrick Perkins is expected to log plenty of minutes at center and improve upon a woeful 5.1 points per game - his lowest output since his sophomore season in the league. Guard Thabo Sefolosha and power forward Serge Ibaka will round out the starting lineup for Oklahoma City, which will have a tough road to repeat as Western Conference champions.

ABOUT THE SPURS (1-0, 0-1 ATS): Although Tony Parker started his season with a flourish on Wednesday by scoring 23 points, he was simply sensational in a 107-96 victory over Oklahoma City last Feb. 4. The Frenchman scored 42 points and added nine assists in the triumph. Swingman Kawhi Leonard put together strong spurts to finish with 19 points in the opener, which saw veteran guard Manu Ginobili sit out with back spasms.

TRENDS:

* Thunder are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in San Antonio.
* Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Thunder also shipped Cole Aldrich, Lazar Hayward and Daequan Cook to the Rockets, who in turn sent two 2013 first-round picks to complete the Harden deal.

2. Parker's heroics aside, Oklahoma City won two of the three regular-season meetings between the clubs.

3. The Thunder led the league with an 80.6 free-throw percentage in 2011-12. The Spurs were 19th with a 74.8 percentage.

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**Udog** · 11-01-2012, 06:33 PM

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, November 1, 2012

Oklahoma City at San Antonio, 9:35 ET TNT
Oklahoma City: 9-3 Over vs. San Antonio
San Antonio: 10-4 ATS in November

**Udog** · 11-01-2012, 06:37 PM

Argos sitting starting QB, among others, versus Ticats

It’s not often you see CFL games make sudden mid-week line moves. But that’s what happened Tuesday when the Hamilton Tiger-Cats jumped from 6-point road favorites to 7-point road favorites for their matchup against the Toronto Argonauts Thursday night.

It’s strange enough that the Ti-Cats are favored on the road where they’re 1-7 SU this season. And now the line is moving up because they're fighting for their playoff lives in their final game of the regular season while Toronto has nothing to play for.

The Argos already have home field sewn up for next week’s Eastern Division playoff game and they announced Tuesday they’ll be sitting starting quarterback Ricky Ray this week, among other players.

“My job is to get Ricky into the playoffs as healthy as can be. It’s in the best interest of the football team,” head coach Scott Milanovich told the Toronto Star.

Hamilton needs a win Thursday - and some help from Calgary against Edmonton Friday - just to earn a return trip to Toronto. The Ticats lost and failed to cover in both meetings with the Argos and won’t decline any advantages the Argos want to send their way.

Toronto plans on starting backup quarterback Jarious Jackson but rookies Trevor Harris and Zach Collaros will also get a chance because the
Argos want to see if one of them can challenge for the No. 2 role next year.

Here’s a quick look at others who’ll likely be missing time for Toronto Thursday:

- Starting running back Chad Kackert as a safety precaution.

- Rookie receiver Dontrelle Inman will replace Maurice Mann, who is coming off his best game of the season.

- Rookie Joel Reinders will make his first CFL start on the offensive line and you’ll likely see multiple backups play extended time with veterans Marc Parenteau and Chris Van Zeyl slightly banged up.

- Linebacker Brandon Isaac will be serving a one-game suspension for an illegal hit on Saskatchewan QB Darian Durant last week. Isaac had two sacks and eight tackles in the first half before the hit.

- Defensive tackle Kevin Huntley and defensive end Ronald Flemons are also banged up so we could see multiple changes on the defensive line throughout the game.

Announcement

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 11/1 (NBA, NCAAB, CFL, Misc.)

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 11/1 (NBA, NCAAB, CFL, Misc.)

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