Announcement

**Udog** · 10-25-2012, 09:13 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some NFL trends to peruse, with Week 8 upon us........

-- Buccaneers are 10-3-1 vs spread in last 14 non-divisional road games.

-- Carolina is 4-9 in its last 13 games as a road underdog.

-- Titans covered just once in their last six divisional games.

-- Dolphins covered seven of last nine tries as an underdog.

-- Seattle covered its last six non-divisional games.

-- Chiefs are 3-13 vs spread in last 16 games as a home favorite.

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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud......

13) Jeffrey Loria somehow parlayed owning the Montreal Expos into owning the Marlins, then got a new stadium built in south Florida, but he’s a junior Steinbrenner, goes thru a lot of managers; even Joe Girardi only lasted a year there. He’s never going to get a real good manager unless its someone who has never managed in the big leagues before or a retread desperate for one more big league paycheck.

12) Then there is Boston, where the new manager had to be someone with experience, and someone who is familiar with the intense scrutiny the Red Sox get from the local media. John Farrell makes sense, but keeping Terry Francona made more sense, though Francona seems very happy to be working for people he trusts in Cleveland. I’ll miss him on ESPN; seems like a good guy.

11) Lets hope ESPN doesn’t replace Francona with guy he replaced, Bobby Valentine; not hard to see why no one in Boston seemed to like Bobby V. He’s spent lot of time the last few months pointing fingers, and not many at himself.

10) Coaches with Browns/Panthers have to be uneasy after the recent changes in those teams’ front offices. When the people who hired you get fired, it’s a good time to be nervous about your future, especially when you’re not winning.

9) Only once in last 21 games has Alabama allowed more than 14 points, and it was a I-AA team (Georgia Southern) that did it in a 45-21 win last November. Why was Alabama playing a I-AA team, especially one that runs the option, like Georgia Southern does?

8) There is some good hockey news, but only in Columbus; when the NHL starts playing again, the very astute John Davidson will be running the Blue Jackets’ franchise. Hopefully, that will be soon.

7) The Islanders will move from Long Island to Brooklyn in 2015; are there lot of hockey fans in Brooklyn who aren’t already Ranger fans? By the way, last time the Islanders won a playoff series? 1993.

6) Was surprised to be reminded that Florida Gators are 18-4 in their last 22 games with Georgia, a game most always played on a neutral field in Jacksonville. As good as the Dawgs usually are, you figure they would’ve won more than 4 of 22.

5) Over their last five games, the relentlessly-good Boise State Broncos have outscored opponents 90-0 in the first half. Still hard to fathom them in the Big East, but they will be next year, at least in football.

4) Wyoming coach Dave Christensen got suspended for a game and fined $50,000 for a verbal outburst after his Cowboys lost to Air Force two weeks ago; it was the school and not the MWC that suspended him, so not sure what took a week to happen.

3) Was surprised to hear that only nine NBA teams have a season ticket base of 10,000+; they were talking about that on Warriors-Suns broadcast Tuesday night. Warriors are moving from Oakland to a new arena (yet to be built) in San Francisco in five years.

2) All of which reminds me, the Warriors are getting a new arena, the 49ers are getting a new stadium, why can’t the A’s get one?

1) Pablo Sandoval just hit another home run.

**Udog** · 10-25-2012, 09:14 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Detroit at San Francisco
The Tigers look to bounce back from last night's loss and take advantage of a San Francisco team that is 2-8 in Madison Bumgarner's last 10 starts as an underdog. Detroit is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 25

Game 903-904: Detroit at San Francisco (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Fister) 17.953; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 17.033
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-120); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-120); N/A

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 25

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DETROIT (95 - 77) at SAN FRANCISCO (102 - 73) - 8:05 PM
DOUG FISTER (R) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 95-77 (-8.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 8-17 (-12.3 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
DETROIT is 41-46 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 91-74 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 55-51 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 9-17 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.
FISTER is 11-29 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-9 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in playoff games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 62-35 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 102-73 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 102-73 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 65-41 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 56-35 (+17.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
FISTER is 14-6 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 (+1.6 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

DOUG FISTER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. DETROIT since 1997
BUMGARNER is 0-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 1.23 and a WHIP of 0.819.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, October 25

Detroit is 29-26 vs lefty starters this year, so they're way better when righty is on hill. Fister is 1-1, 2.10 in last five starts, 0-0, 1.35 in two playoff starts, 1-1, 3.00 in two interleague starts. Bumgarner is 2-4, 7.34 in his last seven starts, 0-2, 11.25 in playoffs, 1-1, 3.21 in two interleague starts.

Tigers are 15-5 in last 20 games, 7-3 in playoffs, 3-3 on road; this is first time this fall they've been behind in a series. Giants were down 2-0/3-1 in first two series; they are 8-5 in playoffs, 4-3 at home. Remember, no DH in games played in NL parks. Under is 8-4-2 in last 14 Detroit games, 3-9-1 in last thirteen Giant games.

MLB

Thursday, October 25

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Trend Report
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8:07 PM
DETROIT vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing Detroit
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 10-25-2012, 09:16 AM

CFL
Dunkel

BC at Calgary
The Lions look to take advantage of a Calgary team that is coming off a win over and is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games following a SU win. BC is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: BC (+4). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 26

Game 291-292: BC at Calgary (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 118.270; Calgary 120.569
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 2 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Calgary by 4; 50
Dunkel Pick: BC (+4); Over

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 27

Game 293-294: Winnipeg at Hamilton (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 106.414; Hamilton 112.852
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 6 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 4 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-4 1/2); Under

Game 295-296: Toronto at Saskatchewan (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 110.791; Saskatchewan 114.711
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 4; 53
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 6; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+4); Over

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 28

Game 297-298: Edmonton at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 111.300; Montreal 117.692
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 6 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Montreal by 4 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-4 1/2); Under

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 18

Friday, October 26

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (12 - 4) at CALGARY (10 - 6) - 10/26/2012, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-4 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-3 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 27

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WINNIPEG (5 - 11) at HAMILTON (5 - 11) - 10/27/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 6-4 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 7-3 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (7 - 9) at SASKATCHEWAN (8 - 8) - 10/27/2012, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, October 28

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EDMONTON (7 - 9) at MONTREAL (10 - 6) - 10/28/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.
MONTREAL is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-0 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 5-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL

Week 18

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Trend Report
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Friday, October 26

9:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. CALGARY
British Columbia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
British Columbia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Calgary is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing British Columbia
Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia

Saturday, October 27

1:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. HAMILTON
Winnipeg is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 8 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Hamilton is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games

4:00 PM
TORONTO vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Toronto is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Toronto is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing Toronto

Sunday, October 28

1:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games on the road
Edmonton is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Montreal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games

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**Udog** · 10-25-2012, 10:14 AM

MLB

Thursday, October 25

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World Series Game 2 betting preview: Tigers at Giants
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Detroit Tigers at San Francisco Giants (113, OFF)

One night after Pablo Sandoval put his name in the record book, the San Francisco Giants attempt to take a 2-0 lead in the World Series as they host the Detroit Tigers at AT&T Park on Thursday. Sandoval belted a career-high three home runs, including two off reigning American League MVP and Cy Young Award winner Justin Verlander, and added a single to complete a 4-for-4 performance in San Francisco's 8-3 triumph in the Series opener Tuesday. Sandoval joined Babe Ruth (1926 and 1928), Reggie Jackson (1977) and Albert Pujols (2011) as the only players to hit three homers in a World Series game.

National League Championship Series MVP Marco Scutaro continued his torrid pace, going 2-for-4 with two RBIs. After going 0-for-8 over his first two playoff games, Scutaro has hit safely in each of his last 11 contests and collected two or more hits in seven of his last eight. Jhonny Peralta went deep for Detroit, giving him three home runs in his last two games after belting 13 over his previous 158 contests - including the playoffs. Tigers reliever Jose Valverde, who had not pitched since blowing a save opportunity in the ALCS opener against the New York Yankees, continued to struggle as he surrendered two runs and four hits while retiring one of the five batters he faced. Meanwhile, San Francisco's Tim Lincecum continued to excel in a relief role, recording five strikeouts in 2 1/3 perfect innings. Lincecum has yielded one run over 10 2/3 frames in four appearances out of the bullpen this postseason.

TV: 8:07 p.m. ET, FOX

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-50s under clear skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 9 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Tigers RH Doug Fister (0-0, 1.35 ERA) vs. Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (0-2, 11.25)

Fister has not pitched since scattering six hits over 6 1/3 scoreless innings against the Yankees in the opener of the ALCS on Oct. 13. The 28-year-old settled for a no-decision, as he did versus the Oakland Athletics in Game Two of the AL Division Series, when he yielded two runs and six hits in seven frames. Fister, who went 4-7 in 13 road starts during the regular season, will be facing San Francisco for the first time in his career.

Bumgarner has been inactive nearly as long as Fister, last pitching in the opener of the NLCS against St. Louis on Oct. 14, when he was tagged for six runs and eight hits in just 3 2/3 innings. The 23-year-old also did not fare well versus Cincinnati in the NLDS as he surrendered four runs over 4 1/3 frames in a Game Two loss. Bumgarner, who went 10-3 in 15 starts at home in the regular season, did not figure in the decision in his only career start against the Tigers on July 1, 2011 despite allowing only one run in 7 1/3 innings at Detroit.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in Giants’ last four World Series home games.
* Over is 4-1-1 in Tigers’ last six games vs. a left-handed starter.
* Giants are 5-0 in their last five World Series home games.
* Tigers are 1-7 in Fister’s last eight starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150.

UMP TRENDS- Dan Iassogna:

* Tigers are 5-1 in their last six games with Iassogna behind home plate.
* Road team is 4-1 in Iassogna’s last five Thursday games behind home plate.
* Over is 5-1-2 in Iassogna’s last eight games behind home plate vs. San Francisco.
* Over is 4-1 in Iassogna’s last five Thursday games behind home plate vs. San Francisco.

WALK-OFFS:

1. Fister has not won since tossing his first career shutout against Minnesota on Sept. 22, going 0-1 in four starts despite allowing three runs or less in each outing.

2. The winner of Game One has gone on to capture the World Series eight of the last nine years.

3. San Francisco's starting pitchers have allowed a total of two runs over 26 innings in the club's last four games.

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**Udog** · 10-25-2012, 12:10 PM

MLB
Short Sheet

Thursday, October 25

World Series, Game Two (San Francisco Leads, 1-0)
Detroit at San Francisco, 8:05 ET FOX
Fister: Detroit 8-17 SU as a road favorite of -125 or less
Bumgarner: 20-6 TSR off BB starts allowing 1 or 0 walks

Announcement

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 10/25 (MLB, CFL, WNBA, Misc.)

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 10/25 (MLB, CFL, WNBA, Misc.)

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