The Bum's MLB World Series Best Bets !

[StarDust Bum]

Playoff Record:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/25/12 1-*1-*0 50.00% +*15 Detail
10/24/12 1-*1-*0 50.00% +*220 Detail
10/22/12 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
10/21/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
10/19/12 1-*1-*0 50.00% +*175 Detail
10/18/12 1-*1-*0 50.00% 0 Detail
10/17/12 0-*2-*0 0.00% -*1050 Detail
10/16/12 1-*1-*0 50.00% 0 Detail
10/15/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail
10/14/12 4-*0-*0 100.00% +*2225 Detail
10/13/12 0-*2-*0 0.00% -*1225 Detail
10/12/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1110 Detail
10/11/12 5-*3-*0 62.50% +*1220 Detail
10/10/12 5-*0-*1 100.00% +*2520 Detail
10/09/12 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*240 Detail
10/08/12 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1110 Detail
10/07/12 4-*4-*0 50.00% +*55 Detail
10/06/12 1-*3-*0 25.00% -*1150 Detail
10/05/12 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*1610 Detail

Totals: 37-23-1 61.66% +8471

MLB

Saturday, October 27

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Francisco - 8:00 PM ET San Francisco +136 500

Detroit - Over 7 500

[StarDust Bum]

Sanchez looks to cool off Giants on Saturday

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

at DETROIT TIGERS


World Series Game 3 - San Francisco leads series 2-0
First pitch: Saturday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
Line: Detroit -145, San Francisco +135, Total: 7

The Tigers look to wake up their bats and get back in the World Series for the first of a potential three games in Detroit on Saturday night.

Detroit has scored only three runs during its two losses in San Francisco, as the team managed just two hits while getting shut out 2-0 in Game 2 at AT&T Park on Thursday night. Anibal Sanchez, coming off two strong postseason starts (1.35 ERA, 0.98 WHIP) will try to trim the series deficit for the Tigers. However, the Giants will also trot out a hot pitcher in Ryan Vogelsong who has allowed just one run in each of his past six starts, posting a 1.42 ERA in three playoff outings. But he'll be facing a desperate Detroit team that has the majors' best home record at 54-31 (.635), which includes eight straight victories, and outscoring playoff foes 18-7 in Comerica Park. Sanchez is very familiar with this San Francisco lineup, posting a 1.98 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in five starts against them, all in the past three seasons when he was with the Marlins. Although the money line is a bit lopsided, the play here is DETROIT to win and close the gap in the series.

This three-star FoxSheets also trend also expects the Tigers to win:

Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SAN FRANCISCO) - NL team with a low on-base percentage (<=.350) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start. (159-58 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.3%, +69.4 units. Rating = 3*).

Vogelsong (16-9, 3.19 ERA, 1.20 WHIP in 2012) has led his team to a 22-12 record in his 34 starts spanning both the regular season and playoffs. He had identical pitching lines in his two NLCS starts, allowing one run on four hits in seven innings. But those outings were both at home, and he has been much worse on the road this season, going 7-5 with a 3.77 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Vogelsong has faced Detroit just once in his career, allowing three runs (2 ER) on four hits in 6.2 strong innings of work. He struck out five and walked four as his team fell at Comerica Park, 6-3. Vogelsong averages 6.1 innings per start for the season, but his bullpen hasn't been great outside of AT&T Park in 2012, posting a 3.86 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. However, Giants relievers have been strong during the playoffs, going 2-0 with a 2.66 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 46 K's in 47.1 IP.

Sanchez (10-14, 3.70 ERA, 1.25 WHIP in 2012) has pitched just six times at Comerica Park in his career, going 3-2 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. However, the last time Sanchez pitched in Detroit on Sept. 25, he threw a three-hit shutout with 10 K's in a 2-0 win over Kansas City. Sanchez's three starts versus San Francisco since 2011 have all been opposite Vogelsong. Sanchez won the first two by allowing just one run in 16 innings, but the Giants crushed him on May 24, scoring five runs in his 5.1 innings. But Sanchez was outstanding in his last outing in Game 2 of the ALCS, throwing seven shutout innings of three-hit ball at Yankee Stadium. Detroit's bullpen numbers have been poor during the postseason (4.39 ERA, 1.28 WHIP), but much of that is on former closer Jose Valverde who has allowed nine runs in 2.2 innings this postseason. He gave up four hits and two runs in just 0.1 innings in Thursday's Game 2. Taking Valverde out of the equation, the other six Tigers relievers have a 1.50 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in the 2012 playoffs, striking out 23 batters in 24 innings.

[StarDust Bum]

Tigers look to cool off Giants at home

October 26, 2012

SAN FRANCISCO (AP) - The temperature will be chillier and the Detroit Tigers are hoping home field will cool off the San Francisco Giants in the World Series soon.

After all, October sure has been warmer for San Francisco this fall.

With the Giants getting some friendly bounces and powerful pitching at spacious AT&T Park, the Tigers head back to Comerica Park down 2-0. Detroit's Anibal Sanchez starts opposite San Francisco's Ryan Vogelsong in Game 3 on Saturday night, with temperatures expected to be in the low 40s.

Whether those ``baseball gods'' some Giants joked about travel to the upper Midwest remains a mystery.

``Maybe they favor the home team,'' quipped Detroit slugger Delmon Young.

Teams that have won the first two games at home in the World Series are 29-7.

The AL champion Tigers were 50-31 at home during the regular season and only 38-43 on the road. In the postseason, they are 4-0 at home, winning twice against both the Oakland Athletics and New York Yankees.

``We're going try go out there more aggressive at home, trying to win the first one,'' Tigers third baseman Miguel Cabrera said. ``If we win the first one I think it's going to be a different story.''

The Giants, however, have traveled well in the playoffs.

After losing the first two at home in the NL division series, San Francisco won three straight to stun Cincinnati and become the first team in major league history to overcome an 0-2 deficit in a best-of-five series by winning the final three on the road. The Giants were 1-2 in St. Louis in the championship series, winning Games 6 and 7 at home.

``You can't count anybody out. Look at what we were able to do the last couple series,'' Giants closer Sergio Romo said. ``You definitely can't count that team out. They were American League champions. They were picked to be here from the get-go for a reason. (But) we like our position and we like our chances and the way our team has fought.''

---

CLOSE DOWN: He's a bearded and boisterous reliever pulling pranks in the dugout and closing out games for the San Francisco Giants in the World Series again.

No, it's not Brian Wilson - though it might be hard to tell.

Sergio Romo pitched a perfect ninth inning for his first World Series save Thursday night, stranding Triple Crown winner Miguel Cabrera - the potential tying run - on deck to finish off San Francisco's 2-0 victory over the Detroit Tigers in Game 2.

The sold-out crowd of 42,982 cheered Romo's every gyration.

``You don't feel alone out there. I'm 5-10. I don't feel 5-10 out there,'' said Romo, who helped the Giants take a 2-0 Series lead. ``I feel 6-10. I feel much bigger. I feel important. I feel like my teammates legitimately feel like I'm somebody.''

So does an entire city.

On the Fox broadcast earlier in the game, Romo teased teammates, popping up behind them for all the television cameras to catch - photobombing. The jokes helped him become a worldwide trend on Twitter and showed that Wilson, out since April recovering from elbow ligament replacement surgery, might not be the only San Francisco closer with some personality.

``He's a little different than me,'' laid-back lefty reliever Jeremy Affeldt said of Romo. ``And it works for him.''

For all his antics, Romo looks totally in control in the ninth.

Romo, a self-described ``fan for the first five innings,'' had the look in his eye as soon as he ran out to the bullpen in third-base foul territory to roaring cheers from the crowd. He got Quintin Berry to fly to left and struck out Austin Jackson swinging on 79 mph slider that energized the orange-and-black faithful even more.

The right-hander capped his 11-pitch inning by forcing Omar Infante to pop up to first. With the ball still in the air, Romo punched his glove and jumped, then hugged catcher Buster Posey in a rather casual celebration by his standards.

``It's just a way to show personality and just kind of show who I am,'' Romo said. ``And I appreciate that opportunity to do so. All in all, it's just fun to be on this stage and do so.''

---

PANDAMONIUM: Pablo Sandoval had more than 300 text messages on his phone when he woke up Thursday morning. Players from around major league baseball, including the rival Dodgers' Matt Kemp, acknowledged his accomplishment on social media. Even Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez tweeted in Spanish, ``There goes the third! Pablo makes history!''

Sandoval's three World Series swings truly were heard around the globe.

A day after joining Babe Ruth (who did it twice), Reggie Jackson and Albert Pujols as the only players to hit three home runs in a single World Series game, Sandoval soaked in the moment before Game 2. He said he was overwhelmed by the reaction his long balls created from San Francisco to the East Coast to Venezuela and beyond.

``I still can't believe it,'' Sandoval said. ``In the morning when I wake up, all the stuff, my friends keep texting me. But, you know, you have to realize what's going on right now in your life, so you have to keep your head up and keep focused.''

The Kung Fu Panda's pops highlighted his remarkable turnaround.

The portly third baseman was benched during San Francisco's 2010 World Series championship run. His production and confidence went down, and his went weight up. Even Giants general manager Brian Sabean and manager Bruce Bochy basically told Sandoval to shape up - or he might be out.

So Sandoval spent that winter running up desert hills in Arizona. He has made the All-Star team the last two seasons - starting for the first time this July - although his weight remains a testy topic even now, with more questions typically surfacing anytime he slumps.

``Right now we like where he's at,'' Bochy said, drawing laughs.

Pablo's brother, mentor and workout partner, Mike, was all smiles in AT&T Park's tunnel after Sandoval's homers. Sandoval connected twice against Detroit ace Justin Verlander and once off Al Alburquerque to power the Giants past the Tigers 8-3 in Wednesday night's opener.

``I've always been proud of him,'' Mike said. ``I haven't seen him have a big moment like this. This one is really special. It's a blessing and a dream come true.''

``Wow! That's all I can say,'' tweeted Kemp, who used the hash tag ``panda.'' Even Sandoval's fellow Venezuelan and former Giants infielder Omar Vizquel was in disbelief watching the third baseman's homers as a fan in the ballpark.

``Magnifico!'' Vizquel said. ``What did Pablo eat today? My God.''

---

DESIGNATED PITCHER: Giants manager Bruce Bochy has been contemplating who to use as his designated hitter when the World Series shifts to Detroit for Game 3 on Saturday night - a pitcher has not been among them.

Maybe one should.

Entering Game 2 on Thursday night, San Francisco was the first team to have a pitcher with an RBI in four consecutive games in the same postseason. Barry Zito, who batted .075 with only two RBIs all season, has a pair during the current streak - including an opposite-field RBI single to left off Justin Verlander in the fourth inning of Game 1.

That streak ended in San Francisco's 2-0 win in Game 2.

``It's been huge,'' Bochy said. ``Pitchers can just help themselves in different ways, whether it's hold runners, fielding their position or find a way to get a bunt down or even drive in a run. I mean, they're part of the offense, too.''

Bochy has been leaning toward backup catcher Hector Sanchez to DH for Game 3. He already has said he plans to have All-Star Buster Posey catch every game.

Bochy could also have Pablo Sandoval DH and shift slick-fielding Joaquin Arias to third. Aubrey Huff and Ryan Theriot are also options to DH.

Since interleague play began in 1997, the American League has a 2,081-1,883 record against the NL in the regular season. The last time the NL won the season series was in 2003. The AL is 8-7 in the World Series during that same span.

Through Game 1, the NL is 24-19 in its home parks during the World Series since 1997. The AL is 27-11 in its home park in the Series during that time.

Detroit has had to put designated hitter Delmon Young in left field in San Francisco. Andy Dirks and Quintin Berry split time in left most of the season.

``I think it's different for your pitcher not only in that he's pitching a game, but now that those moments that he takes underneath to sit and relax between innings, now he's hitting,'' Tigers manager Jim Leyland said.

---

[StarDust Bum]

Sunday, October 28

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Francisco - 8:00 PM ET San Francisco +138 500

Detroit - Under 7 500

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 28

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SAN FRANCISCO (104 - 73) at DETROIT (95 - 79) - 8:05 PM
MATT CAIN (R) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-0 (+4.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

MATT CAIN vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

MAX SCHERZER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
SCHERZER is 1-3 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.12 and a WHIP of 1.396.
His team's record is 1-3 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

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MLB
Short Sheet

Sunday, October 28

World Series, Game Four (San Francisco Leads, 3-0)
San Francisco at Detroit, 8:05 ET FOX
Cain: San Francisco 13-3 SU off a combined score of 3 runs or less
Scherzer: Detroit 9-2 Over off 3+ losses




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, October 28

Detroit is first team since 1966 to get shut out in consecutive World Series games; they've won eight of last nine home games, are 4-1 at home in playoffs, allowing total of nine runs, but no one has ever come back from down 3-0 to win a World Series. Giants won their last six games by the combined score of 32-4. Cain is 2-2, 3.52 in four playoff starts; he finished sixth inning in only one of his last five starts. Scherzer is 1-0, 1.64 in two playoff starts, 6-1, 1.52 in all games since August 15. Under is 9-3-1 in last dozen Detroit games, 5-9-1 in last fifteen San Francisco games. Not impossible to come back from down in a series 3-0, '04 Red Sox did it, but its never been done in a World Series.




MLB

Sunday, October 28

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World Series Game 4 betting preview: Giants at Tigers
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San Francisco Giants at Detroit Tigers (-150, 6.5)

Giants lead series 3-0

Series odds: Giants -1200, Tigers +850

The San Francisco Giants attempt to complete a four-game sweep and capture their second World Series championship in three years Sunday, when they take on the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. San Francisco, which faced elimination six times this postseason, has put Detroit in a similar position after posting back-to-back 2-0 victories. The Giants became the first team to record consecutive shutouts in the World Series since 1966, when the Baltimore Orioles blanked the Los Angeles Dodgers three straight times.

After sweeping the New York Yankees in the American League Championship Series, the Tigers sat for five days while waiting for their next opponent. The layoff has affected them offensively as they have scored only three runs over the first three games of the series and have registered a total of seven hits over the last two contests. Detroit sluggers Miguel Cabrera and Prince Fielder have gone a combined 3-for-19. The Tigers now look to join the 2004 Boston Red Sox as the only teams in major-league history to overcome a 3-0 playoff series deficit. Boston accomplished the feat against the Yankees in the ALCS.

TV: 8:07 p.m. ET, FOX

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-30s under cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 16 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Giants RH Matt Cain (2-2, 3.52 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Max Scherzer (1-0, 0.82)

Cain is coming off his best performance of the postseason, a triumph over St. Louis in Game Seven of the National League Championship Series in which he scattered five hits over 5 2/3 scoreless innings. The 28-year-old went 1-2 while allowing three runs in each of his previous three playoff starts. Cain, who was 8-2 in 17 regular-season road outings and has gone 1-1 away from home this postseason, has never faced Detroit in his career.

Scherzer has not pitched since Oct. 18, when he yielded one run and two hits while striking out 10 in 5 2/3 innings as the Tigers completed a four-game sweep of the New York Yankees in the ALCS. The 28-year-old was just as effective in Game Four of the AL Division Series against Oakland, yielding an unearned run and three hits in 5 1/3 frames while settling for a no-decision. Scherzer has not fared well versus San Francisco in his career, going 1-3 with a 5.12 ERA in four starts.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-1-1 in Scherzer’s last six starts overall.
* Under is 5-0 in Giants’ last five World Series road games.
* Giants are 6-2 in Cain’s last eight road starts.
* Tigers are 0-6 in their last six World Series games.

UMP TRENDS- Brian O’Nora

* Under is 17-4-1 in O'Noras last 22 games behind home plate.
* Road team is 4-1 in O'Noras last five games behind home plate.
* Road team is 4-1 in O'Noras last five interleague games behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. San Francisco has won a franchise-record six consecutive playoff games and has not trailed in any of them.

2. Detroit was shut out only twice during the regular season. It has been blanked three times already this postseason.

3. The Tigers have lost six straight World Series games dating back to 2006

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MLB
Dunkel

San Francisco at Detroit
The Giants look to close out the series and build on their 9-2 record in their last 11 playoff games as an underdog of +110 to +150. San Francisco is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+125). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 28

Game 907-908: San Francisco at Detroit (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 18.207; Detroit (Scherzer) 16.779
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-145); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+125); Over