Announcement

**Udog** · 10-18-2012, 09:45 AM

NFL odds: Week 7 opening line report

Week 6 of the NFL season was the betting equivalent of coming across the middle and getting your bell rung by a helmet-to-helmet hit – WTF just happened?

If you were one of the public players siding with the favorites, you had your pockets turned inside out. Heading into the Monday night game, underdogs went a silly 11-2 ATS in Week 6.

The New York Giants’ win over the San Francisco 49ers, the Seattle Seahawks’ shocker over the New England Patriots, and the Green Bay Packers’ triumph over the Houston Texans were the hardest games to swallow if you gladly gave the points.

Those three losers were supposed to be the cream of the crop, as far as the Super Bowl futures odds were concerned. And now, heading into Week 7, football bettors’ heads are spinning like Barry Sanders in the open field.

“I think with the case of Green Bay-Houston, it says more about not underestimating the Packers,” Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, told Covers. “Some places dropped their odds a lot before that win. That was a statement from Green Bay in a must-win situation and it puts them back on schedule. Another big win like that and you'll see Green Bay's odds make a significant jump.”

Green Bay was set as a suggested 6-point road favorite in St. Louis for Week 7 while Houston, off its first loss of the year, faces the Baltimore Ravens as 5-point home chalk Sunday.

The Ravens will be without CB Lardarius Webb and LB Ray Lewis, the team’s emotional leader on and off the field. Baltimore’s defense is already without the services of LB Terrell Suggs and is a shell of its former self - ranked 26th in the league.

“I don’t have a point value for him,” Korner says of Lewis’ impact to the spread. “It’s tough to put a value on what he does. (The Ravens) are down two very good players but we have to look at their impact on a play-to-play basis, and you can’t really put a value on that."

"Lewis isn’t the same player he used to be, but he is a very valuable player," says Korner. "I'm not factoring his absence into the odds and I don't think bettors will either."

Washington Redskins at New York Giants (-7, 49.5)

The Giants, who thumped the Niners in San Francisco, are 7-point home favorites against the Washington Redskins. Korner says his group of oddsmakers brought spreads between -6.5 and -9 to the table but settled on a touchdown, trying to estimate the public’s opinion on this NFC East rivalry game.

“The Giants are obviously one of the top teams,” says Korner. “They perform so well in crunch time at the end of the season but have the ability to have a stinker earlier on. Washington played a good game, so it’s making these divisional games very tough for gamblers to predict.”

New York Jets at New England Patriots (-10.5, 47)

The Patriots let a 13-point lead slip away in Seattle Sunday and now return home to face a divisional foe, which has looked strong in its past two outings. New England is the biggest favorite on the Week 7 board, giving 10.5 points to the New York Jets.

“This is too high,” admits Korner. “I originally came with -8 because I think the Jets will keep it close, but some of our other guys came in as high as -12. I changed it to -9 and sent out -9.5, but some places have gone as high as -11 with this. There’s a big difference between 9.5 and 10.5. That’s a lot of points for dog players.”

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (-5, 47.5)

The Bears are coming off the bye week and hosting a Lions squad that pulled out a must-win game against the Philadelphia Eagles in overtime Sunday.

“This is such a good game,” says Korner. “The Lions are a good team and much better than their record indicates, but Chicago is a really good team. This will go up before it comes down. I see this line coming in around -6 on Monday.”

As for the total, Korner says these NFC North rivalries always bring up memories of grind-it-out defenses and tough runs. But the total could go up with the way the Lions and Bears can strike on offense -plus the appeal of the over during the Monday night games. The total opened as low as 47 at some online books while the Sports Club sent out a suggested number of 48 points.

**Udog** · 10-18-2012, 09:45 AM

NFL
Dunkel

Week 7

Seattle at San Francisco
The Niners look to bounce back from their 26-3 loss to the Giants and build on their 15-4-3 in their last 22 games following an ATS defeat. San Francisco is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Niners favored by 14 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-7). Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 18

Game 303-304: Seattle at San Francisco (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 131.001; San Francisco 145.350
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 14 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 7; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-7); Under

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 21

Game 415-416: Tennessee at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 124.708; Buffalo 126.383
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+3 1/2); Over

Game 417-418: Arizona at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 135.928; Minnesota 132.922
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 3; 45
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 6; 40
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+6 1/2); Over

Game 419-420: Cleveland at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 125.229; Indianapolis 129.479
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 4 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3; 45
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-3); Under

Game 421-422: Baltimore at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 134.763; Houston 144.495
Dunkel Line: Houston by 9 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Houston by 6 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6 1/2); Over

Game 423-424: Green Bay at St. Louis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 137.827; St. Louis 130.430
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 7 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 5; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-5); Under

Game 425-426: Dallas at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 130.827; Carolina 127.236
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 3 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Dallas by 1; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-1); Under

Game 427-428: Washington at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 132.731; NY Giants 140.413
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 7 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 5 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-5 1/2); Over

Game 429-430: New Orleans at Tampa Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 132.610; Tampa Bay 128.555
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 4; 46
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-2 1/2); Under

Game 431-432: NY Jets at New England (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 130.799; New England 142.820
Dunkel Line: New England by 12; 51
Vegas Line: New England by 10 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: New England (-10 1/2); Over

Game 433-434: Jacksonville at Oakland (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 125.907; Oakland 126.831
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Oakland by 4 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+4 1/2); Over

Game 435-436: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 128.756; Cincinnati 136.591
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 8; 42
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3; 46
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3); Under

MONDAY, OCTOBER 22

Game 437-438: Detroit at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 130.145; Chicago 137.683
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 7 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Chicago by 5 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-5 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 10-18-2012, 09:45 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 7

Thursday, October 18

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SEATTLE (4 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 2) - 10/18/2012, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 26-49 ATS (-27.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, October 21

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TENNESSEE (2 - 4) at BUFFALO (3 - 3) - 10/21/2012, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (4 - 2) at MINNESOTA (4 - 2) - 10/21/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (1 - 5) at INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 3) - 10/21/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 1-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (5 - 1) at HOUSTON (5 - 1) - 10/21/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (3 - 3) at ST LOUIS (3 - 3) - 10/21/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 123-158 ATS (-50.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 61-87 ATS (-34.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 89-124 ATS (-47.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 123-158 ATS (-50.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (2 - 3) at CAROLINA (1 - 4) - 10/21/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 62-36 ATS (+22.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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WASHINGTON (3 - 3) at NY GIANTS (4 - 2) - 10/21/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 2-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (1 - 4) at TAMPA BAY (2 - 3) - 10/21/2012, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (3 - 3) at NEW ENGLAND (3 - 3) - 10/21/2012, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
NY JETS are 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (1 - 4) at OAKLAND (1 - 4) - 10/21/2012, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 27-61 ATS (-40.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (2 - 3) at CINCINNATI (3 - 3) - 10/21/2012, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 106-141 ATS (-49.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 56-85 ATS (-37.5 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, October 22

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DETROIT (2 - 3) at CHICAGO (4 - 1) - 10/22/2012, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 10-18-2012, 09:46 AM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 7

Thursday, October 18, 2012

(TC) Seattle at San Francisco, 8:25 ET NFL
Seattle: 6-0 Over as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
San Francisco: 7-0 ATS off a SU loss as a favorite

Sunday, October 21, 2012

Tennessee at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 25-12 Over off a win by 3 points or less
Buffalo: 30-10 ATS off a win by 3 points or less

Arizona at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
Arizona: 2-8 ATS in October
Minnesota: 39-22 Over off ATS wins in 3 of their last 4 games

Cleveland at Indianapolis, 1:00 ET
Cleveland: 14-4 ATS off BB games allowing 400+ total yards
Indianapolis: 3-11 ATS with a line of +3 to -3

Baltimore at Houston, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 25-12 Under off 3+ wins
Houston: 14-4 ATS vs. conference opponents

Green Bay at St. Louis, 1:00 ET
Green Bay: 11-2 ATS off a road win
St. Louis: 19-8 Over off 3+ ATS wins

Dallas at Carolina, 1:00 ET
Dallas: 3-12 ATS vs. conference opponents
Carolina: 9-2 Over as an underdog

Washington at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
Washington: 6-0 Under as a road underodg of 3.5 to 7 points
NY Giants: 7-0 ATS off a win by 10+ points

New Orleans at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 11-3 ATS off an ATS win
Tampa Bay: 8-1 Over off a home game

NY Jets at New England, 4:25 ET
NY Jets: 10-1 Over off an Under
New England: 13-5 ATS vs. conference opponents

Jacksonville at Oakland, 4:25 ET
Jacksonville: 12-3 Under vs. conference opponents
Oakland: 6-0 ATS off BB losses

(TC) Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, 8:30 ET NBC
Pittsburgh: 2-10 ATS in road games
Cincinnati: 9-2 Over as an underdog

Monday, October 22, 2012

(TC) Detroit at Chicago, 8:40 ET ESPN
Detroit: 10-1 Over away off a road win
Chicago: 4-17 ATS off BB games scoring 25+ points

(TC) = Time Change

** Week 7 Byes: Atlanta, Denver, Kansas City, Miami, Philadelphia, San Diego **

**Udog** · 10-18-2012, 09:46 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 7

Seahawks (4-2) @ 49ers (4-2)—No love lost between HCs since they were Pac-10 rivals; Harbaugh’s Stanford team once beat Carroll’s USC squad as 41-point underdogs, but he is favored here, coming off 26-3 loss to Giants, his first non-cover (10-1) as home favorite with 49ers, whose four wins are all by 8+ points. Underdog is 6-0 vs spread in Seattle games this year, with five of six games decided by 6 or less points; Hawks were favored in two of three road games- they’ve scored only 15 ppg in three road tilts (1-2, with losses by 4-6 points). 49ers are 16-4-2 vs spread in game following their last 22 losses. Two SF losses came in games where they were minus in turnovers; they were -3 last week, are +2 for years, +30 in 22 regular season games under Harbaugh. Seattle has turned ball over eight times (-4) in three road games. Keep in mind NFC underdogs are 32-5 vs spread this year, 4-1 as divisional road dogs.

Titans (2-4) @ Bills (3-3)—Buffalo lost its last 12 pre-bye games (3-8-1 vs spread, 1-4 last five when favored); they’ve lost seven of last eight games with Titans, including last four in row by average (23-17 LY), with average total in those four, 50.3. Tennessee has extra prep time after upsetting Steelers last Thursday, but teams are 3-7 this year coming off Wed/Thurs games- since start of ’10, Titans are 5-10 vs spread in game following a win. Buffalo allowed 17-14-16 points in its wins, 48-52-45 in losses; favorites covered five of their six games this year (Bills 2-0 as favorite in ’12, 7-11-1 as home favorites since ‘08). Tennessee won three of last four visits here, where fans will be fired up with all four AFC East teams tied for first at 3-3. AFC East non-divisional favorites are 5-3 vs spread, 3-2 at home; AFC South non-divisional road dogs are 1-4. Three of last four Titan games, four of six Buffalo games went over total.

Cardinals (4-2) @ Vikings (4-2)—Larry Fitzgerald goes home to Metrodome, where Cardinals lost last seven visits (27-24ot/34-10 last two years); Arizona has injury issues at QB, with Kolb/Skelton both having been KO’d from games this year. Redbirds lost last two games, scoring one TD on 25 drives, after scoring nine TDs on 49 drives in 4-0 start. Dogs are 6-0 vs spread in Arizona games; Cards are 5-3 in last eight games as a road dog. Minnesota gave up total of 33 points in three consecutive wins, then goes to Washington and gives up 38 points to rookie QB in game where they outgained Skins by 60 yards, but did turn ball over three times. Vikings are 3-0 at home this year, winning by 3-11-23 points; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six games as a home fave. NFC West non-divisional dogs are 9-1 vs spread, 5-1 on road; NFC North non-divisional home favorites are 4-3. Five of six Arizona games, four of last five Viking games stayed under total.

Browns (1-5) @ Colts (2-3)—Two rookie QBs and an interim coach in this game, good one to skip. Cleveland’s 27-19 win here LY was its first in six series games, with average total in last four meetings, 24.0; Browns are coming off first win of year, revenge win over Bengals where Cincy outgained them by 110 yards but turned ball over four times. Cleveland is 3-5-2 vs spread in game following its last 10 wins- they’re 0-3 on road, allowing 32.7 ppg in losses by 7-7-14 points. Indy is 2-3 with both wins by FG; they’re 2-1 at home, giving up 80-yard TD pass in last 2:00 in only loss. Browns need to make hay on ground; Indy allowed average of 192.7 rushing yards/game in last three games. Cleveland allowed 23+ points in each of last five games; Colts are 2-0 when they score 23+. AFC South teams are 2-2 as non-divisional favorite (they’ve been dog in 11 of 15 non-div games); AFC North teams are 3-3 as non-divisional underdogs.

Ravens (5-1) @ Texans (5-1)—Ravens won last two weeks by total of 5 points despite allowing 214-227 rushing yards, and having 10-yard deficits in field position in both games; Baltimore defense crippled with Webb/Lewis out for year, so expecting Ravens to become more of offense-driven team. Ravens won four games in row, with three of four wins by 3 or less points—underdogs covered their last five games. Houston got waxed in primetime Sunday night, as quality of opponent improved; since ’07, they’re 17-12-3 as home favorite. Since ’08, Ravens are 11-6-1 as road dogs. Texans are have never beaten (0-6) Baltimore, losing twice to them LY, including 20-13 in Charm City playoff game- Ravens are 3-0 here, winning by 4-28-6 points. Houston is 7-3 vs spread in pre-bye games; Ravens won three of their last four such games. Four of six Baltimore games, three of last four Texan games went over total.

Packers (3-3) @ Rams (3-3)—Third straight road game (historic weak spot) for Green Bay, which woke up bigtime last week and pounded Texans in primetime; defense had six takeaways (+6), after having total of five in first five games. Pack won last three series games by 19-19-21 points; this is huge upgrade in opposing QB for stout Ram defense, which faced three rookies/Kolb in first six games (Stafford/Cutler other two). Ram offense is awful in red zone (3.79 per trip, well below NFL average), and with shaky OL/Amendola out, they’re even worse, but St Louis is 3-0 at home, allowing 14.7 ppg- they’ve given up 11 ppg in last three games (three TD’s on 31 drives). Packers scored 28-27-42 points in last three games; they’re 1-2 on road, losing in Seattle/Indy by total of five points, but loss at Seattle was bogus. NFC West non-divisional home dogs are 4-0 vs spread; NFC North favorites are 4-7, 1-3 on road.
Cowboys (2-3) @ Panthers (1-4)—Dallas is 8-3 in this series, 4-2 here, with both losses in playoff games; Pokes won last four series games by average score of 25-18. Cowboys lost three of last four games, allowing 27-34-31 points (four TD’s on defense/special teams)- they’ve held foes to 17-10 points in wins. Carolina was held under 400 yards in three of five games; they scored 10-7-12 points in those games. Only one of five opponents (Bears, 360) gained more than 316 vs Dallas. Cam Newton hasn’t played as well this year; Panthers lost last two home games, scoring 9.5 ppg (1 TD/19 drives)- their only win was over dysfunctional Saints, but Carolina has won five of last seven post-bye games. NFC East non-divisional favorites are 2-8 vs spread, 0-4 on road; NFC South teams are 4-5 SU in non-divisional home games (favored in all nine). Garrett/ Romo combo under fire for shaky time management in last minute of LW’s loss at Baltimore- this is game they have to have.

Redskins (3-3) @ Giants (4-2)—Little bit of trap game for Big Blue, after convincing 49er win last week and with hated Cowboys on deck, but Redskins swept series (28-14/23-10) LY, after losing nine of previous ten series games, so Giants do have revenge motive of sorts. Redskins lost six of last eight visits here, but finally have franchise QB in rookie Griffin, whose offense has been held under 24 points in only one of six games- they’ve been plus in turnovers in five of six games (+9) and were even in 6th game. Skins won SU both times they’ve been favored this year, with no losses by more than seven points. Giants won four of last five games, covered last four- their last three wins are by 29-14-23 points. Big Blue is 1-2 as home favorite; road team covered five of their six games. Divisional favorites are 6-7 vs spread this season, 1-4 in NFC. Five of six Redskin games went over total; three of last four Giant games stayed under.

Saints (1-4) @ Buccaneers (2-3)—Saints are still scoring points; they’ve scored 24+ in all five games, but they’re not running ball well (83 or less yards in all four losses). Teams split season series last four years, going 2-2 in each park; Saints lost four of last six visits here. Bucs held three of five opponents to 16 or less points, but they also gave up 25 points in 4th quarter to Giants, and Brees’ offense is as explosive as that one. Tampa Bay allowed 10 points in both wins; 16-41-24 in losses- they should throw parade for Schiano if he holds NO to 10 points. Dogs covered four of five Buc games; Tampa is 2-1 at home, with only loss 24-22 to Redskins. Saints are 5-8 in last 13 tries as road favorite; they scored 27 points in both road games this year, but lost both anyway- they won/covered last three post-bye games, scoring 48-34-49 points, but those games were with Payton as coach, under normal circumstances. Four of five Saint games, three of last four Tampa Bay games went over total.

Jets (3-3) @ Patriots (3-3)—Way to beat the Patriots is thru air; they’ve allowed 7.2+ yards/pass attempt in each of last four games, one of only two teams (Titans) to do that. Brady was sub-par in red zone in Seattle, scoring one TD, three FG’s on six visits in 24-23 loss; NE averaged 3.79 pts/red zone drive in its three losses, 5.93 in wins—they’ll move ball between 20’s vs anyone. Jets are 6-8 as road dog under Ryan; they’ve allowed only one TD, three FGs in red zone last two games, after getting crushed 34-0 at home by 49ers. Since ’05, Patriots are 28-28-1 vs spread as home favorite, 9-12 in division games. Pats won 30-21/37-16 in LY’s meetings, also beat Tebow’s Broncos 41-23/45-10; after Sparano sprung Wildcat on NE and upset them in its debut, Patriots have learned to defend it. Last nine series games were decided by 9+ points; Jets lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 17-42-9 points, and win in ’10 playoffs. Last four New England games went over total.

Jaguars (1-4) @ Raiders (1-4)—Oakland hired Denver’s DC as its new head coach, so of course they stink on defense, allowing 31.5 ppg in last four games (14 TD’s on last 43 drives); since ’06, Raiders are 4-14 vs spread as home favorites, 0-1 this year- their only win was 34-31 upset of Steelers four weeks ago. In their history, Jags were underdog in only two of 17 post-bye games (9-8 SU), failing to cover either; they’ve played better on road this year, with both away games (1-1) coming down to last minute- they got smoked in all three home games. Jags are giving up average of 163 rushing yards/game, would expect Oakland to try and pound ball to take stress off defense. Jax won four of five series games, with only loss in first meeting (‘96); they’ve won two of three visits here, with average total in three games, 22.7. AFC South non-divisional road dogs are 1-4 against spread. Three of last four Jaguar games stayed under the total.

Steelers (2-3) @ Bengals (3-3)—Since 2006, Pitt is just 11-17-1 vs spread in games where line was 3 or less points; Cincy covered 11 of last 17 such games. Steelers won four in row, nine of last 11 series games, with average score in last four meetings, 27-13; they’ve won 10 of last 11 visits here, in what has been lopsided rivalry. Pitt has issues on OL; only once in its five games have they run ball for more than 75 yards. Steelers allowed 10-14 points in its two wins, 26+ in its three losses; they had three extra days to rest/prep here after damaging loss in Nashville last week. Bengals were 3-1, then lost to Miami/Browns last two weeks, turning ball over seven times; they’re now -7 in turnovers for season- if they don’t clean that up, this’ll be another long season. Cincy won three of last four pre-bye games, but since ’91, they’re 4-8 vs spread as underdog in pre-bye tilts. All three Steeler road games, and four of six Bengal games went over total.

Lions (2-3) @ Bears (4-1)—Chicago’s four wins are all by 16+ points; their only loss was on very short week at Lambeau. Bears are 2-0 as home favorites this year, beating lesser foes by 20-17 points- since ’05, they’re 8-6 as a divisional home favorite. Bears already have 17 takeaways this year (+9), trait of Smith’s better teams. Undisciplined Lions have allowed six TD’s on defense/special teams; they won at Philly last week despite being penalized 16 times for 132 yards. Three of five Detroit games were decided by 4 or less points, with two of last three going OT; dogs covered four of their five games. Chicago won seven of last eight series games, winning last four here by average score of 33-19; Lions ended long series skid with home win LY. Bears won five of last six post-bye games, including win as an 8-point dog LY. Bears are averaging 4.8 explosive (20+ yards) plays per game; Lions allowed a total of three in their last two games.

**Udog** · 10-18-2012, 09:47 AM

NFL

Week 7

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Trend Report
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Thursday, October 18

8:20 PM
SEATTLE vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Seattle is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
San Francisco is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games
San Francisco is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

Sunday, October 21

1:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. NY GIANTS
Washington is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the NY Giants last 9 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the NY Giants last 13 games

1:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Minnesota is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games at home

1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

1:00 PM
BALTIMORE vs. HOUSTON
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Cleveland is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games at home
Indianapolis is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home

1:00 PM
DALLAS vs. CAROLINA
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games
Carolina is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

1:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. BUFFALO
Tennessee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Buffalo is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing at home against Tennessee

1:00 PM
GREEN BAY vs. ST. LOUIS
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Green Bay's last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games when playing at home against Green Bay
St. Louis is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

4:15 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. OAKLAND
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oakland's last 12 games

4:15 PM
NY JETS vs. NEW ENGLAND
NY Jets are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing New England
NY Jets are 5-15 SU in their last 20 games when playing New England
New England is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games when playing NY Jets

8:20 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CINCINNATI
Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 1-9-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 3-9-3 ATS in its last 15 games

Monday, October 22

8:30 PM
DETROIT vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Detroit is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games at home
Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit

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**Udog** · 10-18-2012, 09:47 AM

NFL

Week 7

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Thursday Night Football: Seahawks at 49ers
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Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (-7.5, 37.5)

Week 7 kicks off Thursday night with a big NFC West showdown between the visiting Seattle Seahawks and the San Francisco 49ers.

Seattle is coming off an unlikely 24-23 comeback victory at home over New England in which it scored 14 points over the final 7:21 of the fourth quarter. Rookie Russell Wilson upstaged a 395-yard passing performance from Tom Brady by throwing late touchdown passes to Braylon Edwards and Sidney Rice, the latter coming with 1:18 remaining.

San Francisco is hoping to bounce back from a dismal 26-3 home loss to the New York Giants. The 49ers, who outscored their opponents 79-3 in their previous two games, took the lead against New York before allowing 26 unanswered points. They are in danger of losing consecutive contests for the first time under coach Jim Harbaugh, who guided them to a 13-3 record last season - his first with the team.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE: The 49ers opened as high as 9-point home favorites but have been bet down to -7 with action on the Seahawks. The total has also moved, going from 39.5 to 37.5 points.

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for clear skies in the Bay Area, with temperatures in the mid 60s. Winds are expected to blow WSW at 6 mph.

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS): Wilson was the first rookie quarterback in the NFL to overcome a 13-point deficit in the fourth quarter since Tennessee's Vince Young, who accomplished the feat in 2006 against the Giants. Wilson has defeated Brady, Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers and Dallas' Tony Romo already this season. Jon Ryan averaged 60.0 yards on four punts Sunday, becoming just the third punter in history to average at least 60 yards on a minimum of four punts and first since Detroit's Bob Cifers, who had a 61.75 average on Nov. 24, 1946. Running back Marshawn Lynch gained only 41 yards on the ground, his lowest total since running for 24 yards against Cincinnati on Week 8 last season.

ABOUT THE 49ERS (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS): Quarterback Alex Smith, who also was sacked four times, threw three interceptions in Sunday's loss to the Giants. It was the seventh time in his career and first since Dec. 20, 2009, against Philadelphia that the former No. 1 overall pick was picked off three times. Tackle Joe Staley left Sunday's game in the third quarter with a concussion. New York's Ahmad Bradshaw rushed for 116 yards, becoming the first opponent to eclipse the 100-yard mark in San Francisco in 22 games. He also recorded the first rushing touchdown allowed by the 49ers in 14 contests. After recording seven first downs in the opening quarter on Sunday, the 49ers notched a total of seven over the final three periods. Thursday's contest is San Francisco's first divisional game of the season.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings in San Francisco.
* Seahawks are 18-37-2 ATS in their last 57 road games.
* 49ers are 21-8-3 ATS in their last 32 home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. 49ers WR Randy Moss became the fourth receiver in NFL history to reach the 15,000-yard mark, joining Jerry Rice (22,895), Terrell Owens (15,934) and Isaac Bruce (15,208). Moss enters Thursday with 15,032 yards.

2. Seattle's top-ranked defense allowed a season-high 475 yards Sunday. None of its first five opponents eclipsed 300 yards.

3. San Francisco K David Akers has kicked a field goal in a franchise-record 22 consecutive games.

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**Udog** · 10-19-2012, 10:19 AM

Where the action is: NFL mid-week line moves

Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans
Open: Houston -4
Move: Houston -6.5

This one is all about Baltimore’s glut of injuries on the defensive side of the ball. As soon as the news broke that LB Ray Lewis and CB Lardarius Webb were cooked for the year, says Teddy, “a trickle of Texas money turned into a flood on Monday” as bettors almost completely ignored Houston’s inept performance against the Packers (42-24 loss). Texan backers figure that it will take a while for the Ravens to sort things out, though Terrell Suggs says he hopes to be in the lineup this Sunday.

Washington Redskins at New York Giants
Open: Giants -7
Move: Giants -5.5

Teddy is following the money, and speculates that there is a group of sharps betting against the Giants every week. “We’ve seen money [this week] against New York, just like last week when money poured in on San Francisco. And the week before when money came in on Cleveland. And two weeks before that on Carolina.” The Covers Expert also says that some bettors feel like NY is in for a letdown after its cross-country road win at San Francisco. “I’m not buying that, though,” he says. “Washington is a division opponent that swept the Giants last year.”

**Udog** · 10-20-2012, 09:26 AM

NFL poolies betting cheat sheet: Week 7

Check out our NFL poolies' cheat sheet for all your football wagering needs in condensed form. Here are our quick-hitting notes on all of Week 7's action.

Washington Redskins at New York Giants (-5.5, 50.5)

Rookies Albert Morris and Robert Griffin III have Washington ranked No. 2 in the NFL in rushing, averaging 166.0 yards. However, The Redskins rank last in the league in pass defense, allowing an average of 328.3 yards per game through the air. The stop unit has yet to hold an opponent under 22 points and may be without S Jordan Pugh (concussion) this week. The Giants defense came up huge in the 26-3 upset over San Francisco last week, intercepting Alex Smith three times, while sacking the QB six times. New York is 3-0-1 ATS in its last four games overall.

Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings (-6, 40)

John Skelton returns to his role as starting QB this week after Kevin Kolb sustained a rib injury in Arizona's 19-16 overtime loss to Buffalo last week. The Vikings were allowing only 15.5 points per game before getting thrashed 38-26 by the Redskins in Week 7. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.

Dallas Cowboys at Carolina Panthers (1, 45.5)

Dallas is looking to rebound from a 31-29 loss at Baltimore in which Dan Bailey missed a 51-yard field goal with two seconds left. The Cowboys also lost RB DeMarco Murray to a foot injury last week. Felix Jones could get the majority of the carries, with Murray missing practice on both Wednesday and Thursday. The Panthers are coming off a bye week and have dropped eight consecutive meetings with Dallas. Carolina is 4-0 ATS in its last four games vs. a team with a losing record.

New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1, 49.5)

The Saints could get a big boost on defense with the return of LB Jonathan Vilma, who is getting a one-week reprieve from the bounty scandal before the commissioner rules on the appeal of his suspension. The news isn’t as good on offense as tight end Jimmy Graham is questionable with an ankle injury. Quarterback Josh Freeman and the Bucs set season highs with 145 yards rushing and 318 yards passing in last week’s win 38-10 over Kansas City. Freeman has flourished after a dismal start, completing 60 percent of his passes for 627 yards with four TDs and two picks in his last two games. The teams have played under the total in seven consecutive meetings.

Green Bay Packers at St. Louis Rams (5, 45.5)

Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers made a loud statement last week to those predicting the team's demise, dominating the previously unbeaten Houston Texans behind six touchdown passes from the league's reigning MVP. The Rams are coming off a three-point loss in Miami but they have already surpassed last season's victory total behind a defense that has surrendered only 33 points in the last three weeks. The Packers beat the Rams 24-3 last season and have won the last three meetings by a combined 93-34 margin. The favorite is 7-0 ATS in their last seven meetings.

Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans (-6.5, 48)

Baltimore begins life without LB Ray Lewis (triceps) and CB Lardarius Webb (ACL), but reports are surfacing that reigning Defensive Player of the Year Terrell Suggs (Achilles) has an outside chance at suiting up Sunday. The Texans’ sixth-ranked rushing attack was stuck in neutral and their defense was gashed for six touchdowns by Aaron Rodgers in a 42-24 loss to Green Bay last Sunday night. Arian Foster, the league’s second-leading rusher (561 yards), was held to 29 yards on 17 carries with a pair of 1-yard touchdown runs. The road team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.

Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts (-1, 45)

Cleveland stopped a franchise record-tying 11-game skid with a 34-24 victory over Cincinnati last week as rookie QB Brandon Weeden threw a pair of touchdown passes and CB Sheldon Brown returned an interception 19 yards for a score. The win was the first since Nov. 20 for the Browns, who enter Week 7 having lost 10 straight road games. Indianapolis showed little fight in a 35-9 loss at New York. The Colts allowed a season-high 252 rushing yards and lost defensive end Cory Redding with a right knee injury. The road team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills (-3.5, 46)

Buffalo went into Arizona and surprised the Cardinals in overtime last week, rebounding from back-to-back maulings in which the team was outscored 97-31. The Titans also bounced back from a pair of lopsided defeats in beating the Steelers. Tennessee has won four straight and seven of eight meetings with the Bills, including a 23-17 victory at Buffalo last December. The Titans and Bills rank 1-2 in the league in most points allowed with 204 and 192, respectively. The over is 4-0 in Buffalo’s last four games overall.

New York Jets at New England (-10, 47)

The Jets ended a two-game skid by returning to their “Ground-and-Pound” ways against the overmatched Colts last week, as Shonn Greene ran for a career-best 161 yards and three touchdowns on 32 carries in a 35-9 win. Tom Brady and company are fuming mad after blowing a 13-point fourth-quarter lead in a stunning 24-23 defeat to Seattle – a loss that sent them to their worst start in seven years. The over is 5-0-1 in their last six meetings.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Oakland Raiders (-4, 43.5)

Jacksonville has the worst offense in the NFL at 13.0 points per game and is averaging 241.2 yards. Quarterback Blaine Gabbert leads the league's worst passing offense (142.8 yards) and his completion percentage of 54.8 is 31st. While Oakland's rushing attack is 29th in the NFL at 78.4 yards per game, a healthy Darren McFadden against Jacksonville's suspect defense could improve those numbers. The favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (1, 45.5)

The last thing the Pittsburgh Steelers need is another injury, but they got one when QB Ben Roethlisberger turned his right ankle in practice Thursday. Roethlisberger, though, will play when the Steelers try for their fifth straight victory over the Bengals on Sunday. The Bengals have hurt themselves with a minus-7 turnover margin, including minus-4 in the last two games. Cincinnati has salvaged just two wins in its last 11 meetings with Pittsburgh. The Steelers are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games in Cincinnati.

**Udog** · 10-21-2012, 09:19 AM

NFL

Week 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ravens at Texans: What bettors need to know
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Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans (-7, 48)

The Baltimore Ravens’ defense has carried the team for years. Now, more than ever, it’s time for Joe Flacco and the offense to lead the way. Baltimore’s already hamstrung defense will be missing emotional leader Ray Lewis and top cornerback Lardarius Webb - both out for the season - when the Ravens head to Houston to face the Texans, who are looking to rebound from their first loss. The Texans’ sixth-ranked rushing attack was stuck in neutral and their defense was gashed for six touchdowns by Aaron Rodgers in a 42-24 loss to Green Bay last Sunday night.

Baltimore may have had an even worse week, even though it ran its winning streak to four games. The Ravens allowed 481 yards, including a franchise-record 227 rushing yards, in a 31-29 win over Dallas – a game in which Lewis tore his biceps and Webb suffered a torn anterior cruciate ligament. The teams faced off in the divisional playoffs last season, with the Ravens beating the Matt Schaub-less Texans 20-13 to improve to 6-0 against Houston. Webb intercepted T.J. Yates twice in that contest.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: Texans -7, O/U 48

ABOUT THE RAVENS (5-1): Flacco, an impending free agent, has been pining for a new contract and now is the time to prove his worth. After going a modest 17-of-26 for 234 yards and a touchdown against the league’s top-ranked pass defense, he gets another stern test against the Texans’ seventh-ranked pass defense (213.2 ypg). It will be interesting to see how much Baltimore uses its no-huddle offense considering it forces the injury-ravaged defense to be on the field more than usual. That unit has struggled to generate a pass rush (its 11 sacks ranks 23rd) minus reigning Defensive Player of the Year Terrell Suggs, (Achilles) and is 26th against the run (136.5). Therefore, Baltimore needs an offense that is averaging 26.8 points to continue to play well. They’ll continue to lean on RB Ray Rice, who is second in the league in yards from scrimmage (715), and play-making WR Torrey Smith, who ranks fourth in the league in yards per reception (18.8).

ABOUT THE TEXANS (5-1): Houston received a mulligan after running into a desperate and angry Green Bay team last week. The Texans' first order of business will be re-establishing their dominant rushing attack after Arian Foster, the league’s second-leading rusher (561 yards), was held to 29 yards on 17 carries with a pair of 1-yard touchdown runs. Meanwhile, the defense, which is without LB Brian Cushing (torn ACL), still leads the AFC in scoring (19.2) despite the hiccup against Green Bay. Leading Defensive Player of the Year candidate J.J Watt was the lone bright spot in the loss, racking up two more sacks to push his league-leading total to 9.5. Watt has also batted down a league-best eight passes at the line of scrimmage.

TRENDS:

* Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Texans are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 4-1 in Texans’ last five home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The 37-year-old Lewis missed four games last season with a toe injury and the Ravens went 4-0 in his absence.

2. Suggs, who reportedly suffered the injury playing pickup basketball in the offseason, was activated from the physically unable to perform list and returned to practice Wednesday. The team anticipated a return around November, but reports have surfaced that Suggs plans to plan Sunday.

3. Foster ran for 132 yards and a touchdown in the playoff loss to Baltimore, making him the only player to rush for 100 yards against the Ravens in the postseason.

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**Udog** · 10-21-2012, 09:22 AM

NFL

Week 7

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Jets at Patriots: What bettors need to know
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New York Jets at New England Patriots (-10.5, 47)

Despite all of the "Sky is Falling" talk, Rex Ryan's New York Jets find themselves in a four-way tie atop the AFC East as they renew their rivalry with Tom Brady and the shellshocked New England Patriots on Sunday in Foxborough. The Jets ended a two-game skid by returning to their ground-and-pound ways against the overmatched Indianapolis Colts last week as Shonn Greene ran for a career-best 161 yards and three touchdowns in a 35-9 win.

That strategy has quieted some of the Mark Sanchez-Tim Tebow controversy for the moment, but the Jets will likely have to throw the ball more than 18 times to keep up with the Patriots’ top-ranked offense. Especially since Brady and company are fuming after blowing a 13-point fourth-quarter lead in a stunning 24-23 defeat to Seattle – a loss that sent them to their worst start in seven years. History says Brady's bunch will bounce back against the Jets. The Patriots have won two straight and 15 of the last 20 meetings, including the last three regular-season meetings by a combined score of 112-40. Brady threw for 329 yards and three touchdowns – two to All-Pro tight end Rob Gronkowski - in a 37-16 romp in New Jersey last season.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.

LINE: Patriots -10.5, O/U 47.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-50s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will be light out of the west.

ABOUT THE JETS (3-3): Ryan is trash-talking once again after the Jets bludgeoned the rebuilding Colts. He said of the Patriots: “I want them to know, and they know, that I think we’re going to beat them.” In order to back up Ryan’s words, the Jets need another big game from Greene, who had been averaging 2.7 yards over the previous four contests. And with Bilal Powell (shoulder) and Joe McKnight (high ankle sprain) both out, he’ll be the workhorse against the NFL’s sixth-ranked rush defense (82.7 ypg). Sanchez will have to throw for more than 82 yards. The embattled fourth-year quarterback has the worst completion percentage (49.7) in the league, which has led to some cameo appearances from Tebow.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (3-3): The 3,000-plus mile plane ride back from Seattle must have felt longer than the line at Starbucks after the Patriots let a 23-10 lead slip away in the final 7:31. The defense, which let Sidney Rice get behind it for the winning 46-yard touchdown, is largely to blame, but Brady was not absolved of guilt. He threw two touchdowns but was intercepted twice – once in the end zone – and also had a costly intentional-grounding penalty in the red zone at the end of the first half. Brady finished 36-of-58 (a career high in attempts) for 395 yards. He was forced to throw an inordinate amount because the Patriots, who entered third in the league averaging 165.4 rushing yards, were held to 87 yards on the ground. New England, which welcomed back TE Aaron Hernandez from a month-long absence last week, is still averaging a league-best 31.3 points and 445.3 yards.

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings.
* Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Patriots are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven Week 7 games.
* Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last four October games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Since 2009, the Patriots have lost seven games in which they led with less than five minutes remaining in regulation - tied for third most in the NFL.

2. The Jets’ defense, which is ranked 30th in third-down conversion rate (46.0), will face its toughest test since star CB Darrelle Revis (torn ACL) went down three weeks ago.

3. The Patriots announced on Twitter that the team will wear the popular throwback red uniforms, circa 1992, featuring the helmet logo of “Patriot Pat” snapping a football.

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**Udog** · 10-21-2012, 09:24 AM

NFL weather watch: Pleasant conditions expected Sunday

Find out if weather will impact your wagers in Week 7 of the NFL season:

Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills (-3.5, 46.5)

Site: Ralph Wilson Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow from the west at 14 mph.

Washington Redskins at New York Giants (-6, 51)

Site: MetLife Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-60s under sunny skies. Winds will blow out of the west at 12 mph.

New York Jets at New England Patriots (-10.5, 47.5)

Site: Gillette Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-50s under clear skies. Westerly winds are expected to blow at 12 mph.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Oakland Raiders (-6, 43.5)

Site: O. co Coliseum

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies with an increasing chance of a shower in the late afternoon hours. Winds will blow out of the west at 11 mph

**Udog** · 10-22-2012, 07:58 AM

NFL

Week 7

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Tale of the tape: Lions at Bears
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Take a quick glance at the tale of the tape for Monday night’s showdown between the Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears.

Offense

The Lions are coming off a 26-23 overtime triumph in Philadelphia. Detroit scored 10 points in the final 3:32 of regulation and Jason Hanson kicked his fourth field goal of the game from 45 yards out to complete the comeback. Quarterback Matthew Stafford is seeking his third consecutive game with 300 yards passing after racking up 311 yards in the air last week. Joique Bell is second among NFC running backs with 178 yards receiving.

Quarterback Jay Cutler is 5-1 as a Bears starter against the Lions and has a career 105.0 passer rating against them in seven starts overall - his best passer rating against any opponent with a minimum of four starts. Offensive coordinator Mike Tice has gone on the record saying the team plans to pick up the tempo, with its own version of a no-huddle offense this week against Detroit. Chicago has outscored its opponents 98-27 over its last three contests.

Edge: Bears

Defense

Lions S Louis Delmas and CB Chris Houston each had an interception in last week's victory - Detroit’s first two picks of the season. The Lions are allowing 3.7 yards per carry - 10th in the league – and may have their hands full with Matt Forte. The Pro Bowl back has ran all over the Lions in his last eight games in the series, compiling 975 yards from scrimmage and seven touchdowns.

The Bears are the first team in NFL history to return an interception for a touchdown five times in their first five games. CB Charles Tillman and LB Lance Briggs have both brought back an interception for a score in each of Chicago's last two contests. The Bears have returned an interception for a score in a franchise-high three consecutive contests and DE Julius Peppers has registered 10 sacks in his last eight meetings with the Lions.

Edge: Bears

Special teams

Detroit K Jason Hanson was named NFC Special Teams Player of the Week after nailing all four of his field goals, including the game-winner, in last Sunday's victory over Philadelphia. The 42-year-old has made 16 of 17 field goals, including his last 12 attempts this year. The Lions have struggled to cover the opposition on special teams this season. Opponents are averaging 19.6 yards per punt return and 30.3 per kickoff returns.

The Bears have listed their top special teams tackler, CB Sherrick McManis, as questionable for Monday night due to a hip strain he suffered in the team's Week 5 win over the Jaguars. Return man Devin Hester (quad) and LB Blake Costanzo (thumb) are listed as probable on the official injury report, which is great news for Chicago.

Edge: Bears

Word on the street

"I think teams are doing everything they can to take him away. Anytime we get inside about the 10-yard line, they’re ... rolling guys over the top -- whatever they’re doing to try and keep him out of the end zone. We just have to do a better job of finding other guys and other guys making plays, and me putting it on other guys to get sevens.” – Lions QB Matthew Stafford on how opposing defenses are attempting to contain WR Calvin Johnson and how he needs to adjust.

“We didn’t spend our bye week working on Monday night’s game. We didn’t start that until this week. We spent our time working on things that we feel like we need to improve on, looked at some things that we’d want to try to get to but we haven’t gotten to yet and then talked about things we need to throw out because we weren’t doing very well. Most teams do that during the bye week, I think.” – Bears offensive coordinator Mike Tice on the how the team used their practice time during the bye week.

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**Udog** · 10-22-2012, 08:00 AM

NFL

Week 7

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Monday Night Football: Lions at Bears
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Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (-6, 47)

Coming off their bye week, the Chicago Bears attempt to extend their winning streak to four games and remain atop the NFC North when they host the division-rival Detroit Lions on Monday night. Chicago, which enters Week 7 with a half-game division lead over Minnesota, has outscored its opponents 98-27 over its last three contests. The Bears also are hoping to continue their dominance over Detroit as Chicago has won seven of the last eight meetings between the clubs.

The Lions are seeking their second consecutive victory as they are coming off a 26-23 overtime triumph in Philadelphia. Detroit scored 10 points in the final 3:32 of regulation and Jason Hanson kicked his fourth field goal of the game from 45 yards out to complete the comeback. The victory ended the Lions' three-game overall losing streak as well as their five-game skid against the Eagles.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Bears -6, O/U 47.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-60s with a 55 percent chance of thunderstorms. Winds will blow out of the south at 12 mph.

ABOUT THE LIONS (2-3): S Louis Delmas and CB Chris Houston each had an interception in last week's victory. They were Detroit's first two interceptions of the season. QB Matthew Stafford is seeking his third straight game with 300 yards passing. He threw for 311 yards in the win over Philadelphia. RB Joique Bell is proving to be a dangerous weapon out of the backfield as he is second among NFC running backs with 178 yards receiving.

ABOUT THE BEARS (4-1): QB Jay Cutler has faced the Lions six times while with Chicago, throwing 10 touchdown passes and just one interception in five victories. The Bears are the first team in NFL history to return an interception for a touchdown five times in its first five games. CB Charles Tillman and LB Lance Briggs have both brought back an interception for a score in each of Chicago's last two contests. Tillman (seven) and Briggs (five) have the most TDs off picks in club history. The Bears have returned an interception for a score in a franchise-high three consecutive contests. DE Julius Peppers has registered 10 sacks in eight meetings with the Lions.

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-2 in their last seven meetings.
* Over is 7-1 in Bears’ last eight games following a win.
* Over is 5-1-1 in Lions’ last seven games overall.
* Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The Bears are 8-2 on Monday night under coach Lovie Smith.

2. Chicago RB Matt Forte has registered 975 yards from scrimmage and seven touchdowns in his last eight games against the Lions.

3. Last week, Detroit became the first team to win despite committing 16 penalties since Cincinnati was flagged 17 times in a triumph over Minnesota on Sept. 18, 2005

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Announcement

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 7 (Thursday, October 18 - Monday, October 22)

NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 7 (Thursday, October 18 - Monday, October 22)

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