NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 6 (Thursday, October 11 - Monday, October 15)

[Udog]

NFL Trends and Indexes

Thursday, October 11 - Monday, October 15

Additional trends and information will be added as available.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

NFL odds: Week 6 opening line report

Betting the Green Bay Packers as underdogs in recent seasons has been about as rare as Dracula’s steak. However, NFL bettors get that chance when the Packers limp into the Lone Star State to take on the Houston Texans in Week 6.

The early odds for Sunday night’s showdown have the Cheeseheads set as high as 5.5-point pups, facing a Texans team that is undefeated heading into Monday night’s matchup with the New York Jets.

Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, says depending on Houston’s performance at MetLife Stadium, this spread could go as high as -6 by Monday night.

“This was one of the toughest lines to make in a long time,” Korner, who sent out a suggested spread of Houston -4, told Covers. “Our guys had it as high as -7 and as low as -3.5. Houston has the short week and we’ll see what happens Monday. But this is a must-win for Green Bay.”

The Packers are reeling from a 30-27 upset loss to the Indianapolis Colts in Week 5, failing to cover as 6.5-point favorites and dropping to 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS on the season.

Green Bay was an underdog only once last season, set at +6.5 versus the Detroit Lions in the final game of the season – a throw-away game for the Packers, who still won 45-41. During the 2010 regular season, Green Bay was a 14-point pup at New England with Aaron Rodgers sidelined in Week 15, a 2.5-point underdog at Atlanta in Week 12, and got 6.5 points from books visiting the Jets in Week 8.

The Packers were tagged as 1-point underdogs in their first two playoff games that year, winning and covering in both en route to a Super Bowl title. Green Bay is a profitable 5-1 ATS in its last six games as the betting underdog.

Here are the opening odds for some of the biggest games on the Week 6 schedule:

Oakland Raiders at Atlanta Falcons (-9.5, 48.5)

The undefeated Falcons opened as low as 8.5-point home favorites versus the rested Raiders and have since been bet up a point.

Korner was shocked to see so many online markets open the spread that low and suggests his clients keep this number as high as they can.

“I think that line is absurd,” says Korner, who sent out a suggested spread of Atlanta -10.5. “We set it high and will be unyielding in our advice to keep this spread high. We expect money on the favorite to be around 10-1 or 15-1.”

New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers (-6, 45.5)

These teams know each other well after two run-ins last season, including a thrilling 20-17 overtime victory for the Giants in the NFC Championship Game.

There is a measure of revenge involved, as far as 49ers backers are concerned, but oddsmakers put more weight into the teams’ current forms when making the odds. The Niners, coming off a dominant win against the Buffalo Bills, are 6-point home chalk in this heated rematch.

Korner says Nevada books will likely have this game a little higher, especially in the northern part of the state, thanks to the proximity of California and the Bay Area. The Sports Club sent out a suggested line of San Francisco -7 with the total posted two points higher at 47.

“We recommend our clients going a little higher with this spread,” says Korner. “They’re going to be blitzed by San Francisco money on the (parlay cards).”

The Niners won 27-20 as 4-point home favorites versus the Giants in Week 10 last season, then fell in overtime as 2-point home faves in the NFC Championship.

Dallas Cowboys at Baltimore Ravens (-3.5, 43.5)

The Ravens escaped Arrowhead Stadium with a weird 9-6 win over the Chiefs in Week 5, settling for three field goals from kicker Justin Tucker.

Baltimore’s new-look offense has been impressive up to that point and oddsmakers aren’t putting too much weight into the dud in Kansas City when setting the spread for Sunday’s home date versus Dallas.

“Sometimes you just need to throw away a game and forget about it, says Korner. “That’s what we’re doing with Baltimore here.”

The Cowboys had a bye week to wash away the stink of their Monday night mess against Chicago. Dallas’ offense has been terrible – ranked 30th in points (16.2 per game) – and has pushed the opening total down from 44 to 43.5. However, the Cowboys have shown a tendency to tighten the screws during the week off and boast an NFL-best 16-7 SU and ATS mark coming off the bye since 1990.

“We don’t use those past results,” Korner says of Dallas' record off the bye week. “We let the bettors look at that and bet them all they want.”

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 6

Pittsburgh at Tennessee
The Steelers look to take advantage of a Tennessee team that is coming off a 30-7 loss to Minnesota last weekend and is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points. Pittsburgh is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Steelers favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-5 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 11

Game 101-102: Pittsburgh at Tennessee (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 132.289; Tennessee 124.886
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 7 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 5 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-5 1/2); Under

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 7

Game 209-210: Cincinnati at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 129.426; Cleveland 130.392
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 47
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+1 1/2); Over

Game 211-212: Indianapolis at NY Jets (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 126.479; NY Jets 127.518
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 1; 45
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+3 1/2); Over

Game 213-214: Kansas City at Tampa Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 125.795; Tampa Bay 130.222
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 4 1/2; 36
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-3 1/2); Under

Game 215-216: Oakland at Atlanta (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 131.831; Atlanta 139.473
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 7 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 9 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+9 1/2); Over

Game 217-218: Dallas at Baltimore (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 130.827; Baltimore 138.864
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 8; 41
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-3 1/2); Under

Game 219-220: Detroit at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 130.529; Philadelphia 136.836
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 6 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-3 1/2); Under

Game 221-222: St. Louis at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 132.430; Miami 132.180
Dunkel Line: Even; 42
Vegas Line: Miami by 3 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+3 1/2); Over

Game 223-224: New England at Seattle (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 137.458; Seattle 137.829
Dunkel Line: Even; 41
Vegas Line: New England by 3 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3 1/2); Under

Game 225-226: Buffalo at Arizona (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 130.662; Arizona 132.929
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Arizona by 4 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+4 1/2); Over

Game 227-228: Minnesota at Washington (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 129.722; Washington 133.055
Dunkel Line: Washington by 3 1/2;
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 229-230: NY Giants at San Francisco (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 137.563; San Francisco 138.380
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 42
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 5 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+5 1/2); Under

Game 231-232: Green Bay at Houston (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 137.076; Houston 142.666
Dunkel Line: Houston by 5 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Houston by 3 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-3 1/2); Under


MONDAY, OCTOBER 15

Game 233-234: Denver at San Diego (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 135.211; San Diego 134.078
Dunkel Line: Denver by 1; 52
Vegas Line: San Diego by 2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+2); Over

[Udog]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 6

Thursday, October 11

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PITTSBURGH (2 - 2) at TENNESSEE (1 - 4) - 10/11/2012, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 89-58 ATS (+25.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, October 14

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CINCINNATI (3 - 2) at CLEVELAND (0 - 5) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 106-140 ATS (-48.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 56-84 ATS (-36.4 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 2) at NY JETS (2 - 3) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NY JETS are 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after playing on Monday night football since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 1-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (1 - 4) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 3) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OAKLAND (1 - 3) at ATLANTA (5 - 0) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DALLAS (2 - 2) at BALTIMORE (4 - 1) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.
DALLAS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) against AFC North division opponents since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (1 - 3) at PHILADELPHIA (3 - 2) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 148-108 ATS (+29.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against NFC North division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST LOUIS (3 - 2) at MIAMI (2 - 3) - 10/14/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 122-158 ATS (-51.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 122-158 ATS (-51.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 63-88 ATS (-33.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 57-81 ATS (-32.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 57-81 ATS (-32.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ENGLAND (3 - 2) at SEATTLE (3 - 2) - 10/14/2012, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 91-66 ATS (+18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
SEATTLE is 25-49 ATS (-28.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (2 - 3) at ARIZONA (4 - 1) - 10/14/2012, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MINNESOTA (4 - 1) at WASHINGTON (2 - 3) - 10/14/2012, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY GIANTS (3 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 1) - 10/14/2012, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (2 - 3) at HOUSTON (5 - 0) - 10/14/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 144-106 ATS (+27.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, October 15

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DENVER (2 - 3) at SAN DIEGO (3 - 2) - 10/15/2012, 8:40 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 6

Thursday, October 11, 2012

(TC) Pittsburgh at Tennessee, 8:25 ET NFL
Pittsburgh: 1-8 ATS away vs. conference opponents
Tennessee: 9-2 ATS off BB games scoring 14 points or less


Sunday, October 14, 2012

Cincinnati at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 13-3 Over vs. conference opponents
Cleveland: 3-11 ATS with a line of +3 to -3

Indianapolis at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis: 30-15 Over off BB home games
NY Jets: 15-4 ATS after playing on MNF

Kansas City at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
Kansas City: 8-2 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Tampa Bay: 1-8 ATS off BB losses

Oakland at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 22-10 Under away with a total of 45.5+ points
Atlanta: 3-12 ATS at home off 3+ wins

Dallas at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Dallas: 0-7 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
Baltimore: 7-0 ATS at home off a road win by 3 points or less

Detroit at Philadelphia, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 6-0 Over after losing 3 of their last 4 games
Philadelphia: 0-6 ATS vs. NFC North opponents

St. Louis at Miami, 1:00 ET
St Louis: 10-2 ATS off BB division wins
Miami: 8-20 ATS at home off a SU win as an underdog

New England at Seattle, 4:05 ET
New England: 6-0 ATS away off 3+ Overs
Seattle: 13-4 Over after allowing 200 or less total yards

Buffalo at Arizona, 4:05 ET
Buffalo: 16-5 ATS away after allowing 35+ points
Arizona: 7-0 Over at home after winning 4 of their last 5 games

Minnesota at Washington, 4:25 ET
Minnesota: 1-6 ATS off a home win
Washington: 27-13 Under vs. NFC North opponents

NY Giants at San Francisco, 4:25 ET
NY Giants: 6-0 ATS off a win by 10+ points
San Francisco: 12-4 Under off a home game

(TC) Green Bay at Houston, 8:30 ET NBC
Green Bay: 15-5 ATS off a road game
Houston: 8-1 Under as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points


Monday, October 15, 2012

(TC) Denver at San Diego, 8:40 ET ESPN
Denver: 15-6 Over off a loss
San Diego: 1-8 ATS off an Over


(TC) = Time Change


** Week 6 Byes: Carolina, Chicago, Jacksonville, New Orleans **

[Udog]

NFL

Week 6

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Trend Report
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Thursday, October 11

8:20 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. TENNESSEE
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh


Sunday, October 14

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. PHILADELPHIA
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

1:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. MIAMI
St. Louis is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games on the road
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Miami's last 20 games

1:00 PM
INDIANAPOLIS vs. NY JETS
Indianapolis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
NY Jets are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

1:00 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
DALLAS vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
OAKLAND vs. ATLANTA
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Oakland

1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CLEVELAND
Cincinnati is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati

4:05 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games on the road
New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New England

4:05 PM
BUFFALO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Buffalo

4:15 PM
MINNESOTA vs. WASHINGTON
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games when playing Minnesota
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota

4:15 PM
NY GIANTS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
NY Giants are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Giants last 9 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing NY Giants
San Francisco is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games

8:20 PM
GREEN BAY vs. HOUSTON
Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Green Bay's last 21 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home


Monday, October 15

8:30 PM
DENVER vs. SAN DIEGO
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Diego's last 14 games at home


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[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 6

Thursday's Game

Steelers (2-2) @ Titans (1-4)-- Tennessee is awful, with all four losses by 21+ points; in their only win, they scored three TDs via defense/special teams and still needed OT to win. Pitt won last three series games, by 3-8-21, but they're 2-7 overall in Tennessee- they beat Titans 38-17 at Heinz LY. Steelers finally ran ball better vs Philly (136 YR) after averaging 65 ypg in 1-2 start; they're 0-2 on road this year, giving up 31-34 points at Denver/Oakland. Pitt is 10-20-1 vs spread in last 31 games as a road favorite. Titans are 10-6 in last 16 games as a home underdog- they've allowed 34-41 points in splitting first two home games. AFC North favorites are 1-6 vs spread in non-divisional games, 0-3 on road.

[Udog]

NFL

Week 6

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Steelers at Titans: What bettors need to know
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Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans (5.5, 42.5)

The Pittsburgh Steelers try for their first road win of the season Thursday, when they kick off Week 6 against the struggling Tennessee Titans. Pittsburgh has lost both of its games away from home thus far, dropping its season opener in Denver on Sept. 9 and allowing 13 fourth-quarter points in a 34-31 setback in Oakland. The Steelers evened their overall record Sunday with a 16-14 home triumph over Philadelphia.

Pittsburgh will be without safety Troy Polamalu, who aggravated his strained right calf in the first quarter of the victory over the Eagles. The All-Pro originally suffered the injury in the season opener and missed the team's next two games. That is good news for Matt Hasselbeck, who will make his second straight start at quarterback for Tennessee. With Jake Locker still recovering from a separated left shoulder, Hasselbeck gets the call despite passing for only 200 yards in Sunday's 30-7 loss at Minnesota. The Steelers lead the all-time series 44-30 and have won each of the last three meetings.

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE: Steelers -5.5, O/U 42.5.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-60s with a slight chance of a thunderstorm late in the evening hours. Wind shouldn’t be a factor.

ABOUT THE STEELERS (2-2): Ryan Mundy is expected to fill in at safety for Polamalu, but Will Allen also may receive more playing time as a result of the star's absence. While Polamalu definitely is out, linebacker LaMarr Woodley is considered doubtful with a strained right hamstring. Shaun Suisham booted a 34-yard field goal as time expired Sunday, helping Pittsburgh avoid its first 1-3 start under coach Mike Tomlin. Tight end Heath Miller made four catches for 43 yards, becoming the eighth player in franchise history to surpass 4,000 yards receiving.

ABOUT THE TITANS (1-4): Running back Javon Ringer is expected to miss four to six weeks with a sprained left MCL suffered in the fourth quarter of Sunday's loss. Tennessee has to be pleased with the news as it feared Ringer, who was carted off the field, tore his ACL. Hasselbeck completed 26 of 43 passes and threw for a touchdown, but the majority of his success came with the game's outcome already decided. Running back Chris Johnson's next 100-yard rushing game will be the 30th of his career. Only Earl Campbell (39) and Eddie George (36) have had more for the franchise.

TRENDS:

* Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Steelers are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games.
* Underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Under is 5-1-1 in Titans’ last seven home games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Pittsburgh has lost four of its last five road games dating to last season.

2. The Titans gained only 52 yards on the ground against the Vikings, with Johnson rushing 15 times for 24 yards.

3. Tennessee has allowed a league-worst 181 points.


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[Udog]

NFL

Week 6

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Tale of the tape: Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans
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Take a quick glance at the tale of the tape for Thursday night’s showdown between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Tennessee Titans.

Offense

Steelers RB Rashard Mendenhall had a strong performance in his first game since tearing his ACL on New Year’s Day. The Illinois product rushed for 81 yards and a TD last Sunday against the Eagles. He also caught two passes for 20 yards and was called “a savior” to the offense by QB Ben Roethlisberger after the game. Big Ben passed for 207 yards without a TD Sunday, but recorded his 25th-career fourth-quarter comeback.

Titans QB Matt Hasselbeck will make his second straight start for Tennessee Thursday in place of injured first-string signal-caller Jake Locker (shoulder). Second-string RB Javon Ringer is expected to miss four to six weeks with a strained left MCL suffered in the fourth quarter of Sunday’s loss to the Vikings. That means Chris Johnson will see a heavy workload against the Steelers. He rushed 15 times for just 24 yards last week.

Edge: Steelers


Defense

Pittsburgh will be without S Troy Polamalu, who aggravated his strained right calf in the first quarter of the victory over the Eagles. The All-Pro originally sustained the injury in the season opener and missed the team's next two games. Linebacker LaMarr Woodley is considered doubtful with a strained right hamstring. Pittsburgh ranks fifth in the NFL with 280.0 yards allowed per contest, but it's given up 65 total points in road defeats to Denver and Oakland.

The Tennessee Titans have been blown out in four of their five games this year and have allowed a league-worst 181 points. The Titans rank in the bottom quarter of the NFL in points allowed, total yards allowed, rushing yards allowed, passing yards allowed and sacks allowed.

Edge: Steelers


Special Teams

Steelers K Shaun Suisham booted a 34-yard field goal as time expired Sunday, helping Pittsburgh avoid its first 1-3 start under coach Mike Tomlin. His three field goals (20, 34 and 34 yards) were his most in a contest since the Steelers beat New England in October 2011. Suisham is perfect on the season, hitting all eight of his field-goal attempts.

Titans kick returner Darius Reynaud was named the AFC Special Teams Player for the month of September for a reason. Reynaud is the first Titans player to win an AFC Player of the Month Award for special teams and is averaging 27.6 yards per kick return. The West Virginia product brought a kick back 105 yards for a TD against the Lions on Sept. 23.

Edge: Tie


Word on the street

We've also got a desire to increase our chances of winning, and when you're picking up 30 yards of penalties in one drive that's going to give people an opportunity to score. So, obviously, we're trying to rectify those things. We're less concerned with judgments and interpretations and more concerned about playing in a manner that the flags stay in the pocket.''-- Steelers coach Mike Tomlin on his team’s recent lack of discipline.

"That’s just part of the makeup of them (Steelers). They’re a 3-4 team, so they’re going to bring at least four, which most teams do on a 4-3. But you can get four or five guys every snap. I think the thing they do, people perceive it as they’re blitzing all the time, a lot of times they’re bringing five, six. They’re not always bringing as much as people think, it just appears that way. Their thing is more that they try to confuse you with who is coming, try to get mismatches by how they do it. You have to block them. That’s pretty much the No. 1 thing, is blocking and giving your quarterback a chance to make plays down the field." --Titans coach Mike Munchak on the Steelers pass rush.


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[Udog]

NFL Week 6 line moves: 'Drama' in Philly bumps line

A weekly look at a few games and what direction the numbers are moving as we head into Week 6, with an assist from Mike Perry at sportsbook.ag.

Cincinnati at Cleveland – Open: Bengals -3, Move: Bengals -1

The public seems to be coming to the conclusion that the Browns really aren’t as bad as their SU (straight up) record indicates (0-5). Cleveland played the Bengals to a statistical standout in Week 2 on the road, with the only thing separating the teams being a Browns special teams breakdown that allowed an 81-yard punt-return score. The Brownies are continuing to play hard. Bengals backers like the way they’ve played on the road since getting demolished at Baltimore on opening day.

“The wise guys and public are on opposite sides in this one,” says Perry.

Detroit at Philadelphia – Open: Philadelphia -6; Move Philadelphia -4

So much drama and so much uncertainty in Philadelphia. Can Michael Vick hold onto the ball? If he doesn’t, will there be an in-game change at quarterback? There’s no alpha dog yet in the NFC East, but with the Giants on the West Coast (49ers) this week, there could be an opening for the Eagles. The Lions haven’t covered the number yet, but bettors haven’t abandoned them, as the number has steadily melted since its -6 opener. Decent action (65 percent) on the Lions has depressed the number, says Perry.

Green Bay at Houston – Open Green Bay +4.5; Move Green Bay +3.5

The NFC North seems upside down, with GB and Detroit at the bottom looking up at Minnesota and Chicago. The screw-job in Seattle has drawn a bit of attention away from the fact that the Packers have become a crap cover team. Still, public money has tightened this game a point after the opener, and now Perry reports that there is even action on both sides, with a slight edge to the Texans. GB should be emptying the playbook on this one –- another loss could knock GB three full games off the division lead.

[Udog]

NFL poolies betting cheat sheet: Week 6

Check out our NFL poolies' cheat sheet for all your football wagering needs in condensed form. Here are our quick hitting notes on all of Week 6's action.

Oakland Raiders at Atlanta Falcons (-9.5, 48)

The Raiders are coming off a bye week and WR Darrius Heyward-Bey could be healthy enough to suit up for the first time since being hospitalized after being on the wrong end of a helmet-to-helmet hit against Pittsburgh in Week 3. Oakland hasn’t performed well on the road this season, being outscored 72-19 in two road losses to Miami and Denver. The Falcons are off to the best start in franchise history (5-0) and are seeking a seventh straight home victory Sunday. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.

Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4, 40)

Chiefs Backup QB Brady Quinn is prepared to make his first start in almost three years after first-string signal-caller Matt Cassel was knocked out of last week’s loss to Baltimore with a concussion. Kansas City has committed a league-high 19 turnovers and its defense has allowed 29 points per game. Tampa Bay has dropped its last three contests by a combined 15 points since opening the season with a 16-10 victory over Carolina. The Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last five October games.

Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets (-3.5, 43)

Colts rookie QB Andrew Luck has exceeded preseason expectations, throwing for more than 1,200 yards and seven touchdowns over his first four games. Indianapolis comes in on a high after storming back from an 18-point deficit to beat the Green Bay Packers 30-27 last weekend. The Jets had a glorious opportunity to knock off the unbeaten Houston Texans last Monday, but poor personnel management and more Mark Sanchez mistakes ultimately proved costly. Sanchez could have a short leash this week if he doesn’t get off to a good start. These teams have played over the total in four of their last five meetings.

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (1, 43.5)

The visiting Bengals have won four straight and 13 of the last 16 meetings in the "Battle of Ohio" rivalry with Cleveland, which has lost 11 in a row overall. The Browns’ secondary will be bolstered this week by the return of star cornerback Joe Haden, who served a four-game suspension for violating the league’s drug policy. The underdog is 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles (-4, 47.5)

The Detroit Lions are hoping the bye week was just what they needed. Detroit enters its Week 6 meeting with the Philadelphia Eagles having lost three straight games following a season-opening victory over St. Louis. The Lions have put up a fight in the setbacks, however, as each loss was by eight points or fewer. Philadelphia has taken the last five meetings with Detroit, scoring at least 30 points in each of the last three victories. The home team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

St. Louis Rams at Miami Dolphins (-3.5, 38)

Jeff Fisher has the Rams north of the .500 mark for the first time in six years and the club has already surpassed last year’s win total. St. Louis will play without top WR Danny Amendola, who broke his collarbone in last week’s win over Arizona, so the team’s focus could shift to Steven Jackson and the running game. The only problem is that Miami is ranked No.1 in the league against the run and has recorded 11 sacks in the past two weeks. The home team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.

Dallas Cowboys at Baltimore Ravens (-3.5, 44)

Cowboys QB Tony Romo threw five INTs against Chicago in Week 4 (Dallas is coming off a bye week) and has two TDs against seven INTs in the last three games combined. Dallas’ secondary also took a hit against Chicago when S Barry Church was lost for the season with a torn Achilles tendon. The Ravens defense forced four turnovers to grind out a 9-6 win at Kansas City in Week 5 and are riding a three-game winning streak. Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in its last six home games.

Buffalo Bills at Arizona Cardinals (-4.5, 43)

Arizona suffered its first loss of the season at the hands of St. Louis last Thursday. Quarterback Kevin Kolb was sacked nine times and RB Ryan Williams sustained a season-ending shoulder injury in the defeat. The Buffalo defense has been downright awful lately, surrendering 1,201 total yards to New England and San Francisco over the past two games. The Bills have played over the total in nine of their last 12 road games.

New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks (3.5, 44.5)

New England leads the league in scoring and is averaging 165.4 yards on the ground behind Stevan Ridley and Brandon Bolden. The Patriots have tallied over 200 yards rushing in back-to-back games for the first time since 1978 and used the ground game along with Brady’s passing to set a franchise record with 35 first downs in a 31-21 win over the Denver Broncos last week. Seattle has one of the best stop units in the league and is 2-0 at home, while allowing a total of 19 points at CenturyLink Field. The Seahawks have played under the total in all five games this season.

New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers (-6.5, 45.5)

The Giants, who rebounded from an early 14-0 deficit to trounce Cleveland 41-27 last Sunday, are going for their fourth win in five regular-season meetings with San Francisco. The 49ers have been unstoppable since losing to Minnesota in Week 3, outscoring their opponents 79-3 in two victories. San Francisco became the first team in NFL history to record 300 yards both passing and rushing en route to a franchise-record 621 yards in last Sunday's 45-3 rout of Buffalo. The Giants are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.

Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins (Projected -2.5, 45)

The Vikings go for a fourth straight victory and look to claim sole possession of the NFC North lead Sunday. Minnesota expects star RB Adrian Peterson, who has 420 yards rushing and two scores so far this season, to be available after he suffered a left ankle sprain in last week’s convincing victory over the Titans. Redskins’ rookie QB Robert Griffin III has been cleared to practice after suffering a concussion in last week’s loss to the Falcons, but he could be held out if he experiences any setbacks throughout the week. If the No. 2 overall pick can't suit up, head coach Mike Shanahan will start either rookie Kirk Cousins or Rex Grossman. The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.

Green Bay Packers at Houston Texans (-3.5, 47.5)

The undefeated Houston Texans will be without the services of Brian Cushing for the remainder of the season after the All-Pro linebacker suffered a torn knee ligament in Monday's narrow victory over the New York Jets. Green Bay squandered an 18-point lead over the weekend, dropping a 30-27 decision to the host Indianapolis Colts. The Packers' running game is now in limbo following a serious foot injury to primary back Cedric Benson. Alex Green is expected to get the bulk of the carries against the Texans with James Starks also seeing action. Wide receiver Greg Jennings did not practice Wednesday and is expected to miss another week with a groin ailment. Green Bay has failed to cover in its last four road games.

[Pitt37]

Bump....WVU Sucks cost me tons of cash!

[Udog]

Bump....WVU Sucks cost me tons of cash!

Me, too, Pitt. I think they got a lot of people today. I'm sweating out South Carolina right now.

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 6

Sunday's Games
Bengals (3-2) @ Browns (0-5)—First rematch of young season; Cleveland (+6.5) lost 34-27 at Cincy in Week 2, their 8th loss in last nine series games- Bengals ran punt back for TD, but were outgained 439-375, and Dalton was sacked six times. Four of last seven series games were decided by 3 or less points. Bengals won two of three on road this year, scoring 38-27 points in wins at Redskins/Jaguars- they’re 3-1-1 as road favorites since ’10, after covering only two of previous 10 in that role. Browns jumped out to quick 14-0 lead in Swamp last week, but gave up 502 TY (243 RY/259 PY) in 41-27 loss to Giants, fourth game in row they’ve allowed 23+ points. Bengals scored 27+ points in their three wins, 13 in both losses. Home dogs are 5-5 in divisional play this season; 5-0 in AFC, 0-5 in NFC.

Colts (2-2) @ Jets (2-3)—Indy played with great emotion last week for coach Pagano (leukemia), rallying from down 21-3 at half to upset Packers and even record; this is their first road game since 41-21 (+9.5) loss at Chicago in season opener- Colts’ last three games were all decided by 5 or less points. Dysfunctional Jets need to define roles for their QBs, to reduce confusion; they’re on short week here, after Monday night home loss. Jets scored 23+ points in both wins, 10-0-17 in losses- their overrated defense allowed 185-245-169 rushing yards in last three games. Rookie QB Luck isn’t playing like; Colts converted 25 of last 55 (45.5%) third down plays. Teams are 3-3 since they’ve no longer been division rivals, with last two meetings in playoffs. Three of last four Jet games stayed under total.

Chiefs (1-4) @ Buccaneers (1-3)—Quinn has 3-9 career W-L record as NFL starter, gets first start for Chiefs here, vs Bucs’ squad that lost last three games, all by 7 or less points. KC held Ravens without TD last week after allowing 34 ppg in first four games, but Cassel’s goal line fumble killed one drive and proved fatal in difficult 9-6 loss that had some idiots cheering when Cassel got hurt (head). Unsure Quinn has weaponry to exploit Buc defense that allowed 8+ yards/pass attempt in three of its four games. Keep in mind Chiefs were down 24-6 in Superdome in their only win. Underdogs covered all four Tampa bay games. NFC South home favorites are 2-5 vs spread in non-division games; AFC West road teams are 1-5. Tampa won four of last five post-bye games, covered five of last six.

Raiders (1-3) @ Falcons (5-0)—Oakland is 0-9 vs spread in last nine post-bye games, with four of last five post-bye losses by 14+ points; they allowed 35-31-37 points in last three games, giving up TD on first drive in all three games. Raiders lost 34-13/37-6 in their two road games, giving up nine TDs on 21 drives, despite being even in turnovers. Oakland hasn’t picked off a pass yet this year. Falcons won six of last eight pre-bye games, covered seven of last eight; they’re 3-1 as a favorite this year, winning both home games (27-21 vs Denver/30-28 vs Carolina). AFC West unon-divisional underdogs are 3-6 vs spread, 1-4 on road. Atlanta is 7-5 in series, 3-3 here, Well-coached Falcons have 35-13 scoring edge on first drive of each half this season. With last three series games all decided by 24+ points.

Cowboys (2-2) @ Ravens (4-1)—Baltimore’s struggles last week could’ve been connected to knowing former DC Pagano is ill; he worked for Ravens for last four years; since 2003, Ravens are 27-10-2 vs spread as non-divisional home favorites, but three of their last four games this year were decided by 3 or less points. Dallas covered 15 of last 20 post-bye games (4-2 as underdog), but lost 34-27/20-16 last two years; Pokes lost two of last three games, scoring 13.7 ppg while running ball for just 42.7 ypg, while giving up two defensive TDs and one on a blocked punt. Ravens won last four series games by average score of 27-12; last Dallas series win was against old Browns in ’91. NFC East non-divisional road underdogs are 4-0 vs spread this season; AFC North favorites are 1-6. Cowboys covered seven of last 11 as a road underdog.

Lions (1-3) @ Eagles (3-2)—Detroit allowed four special teams TDs in last two games, bad news for team that employs two special teams coaches. Four of five Philly games been decided by 1 or 2 points; over last two years, Vick has nine red zone turnovers; no one else has more than five, and it cost them a win at Heinz last week. Eagles won last six games in this series, scoring 121 points in last three meetings, but 14 giveaways in five games this year is red flag- -they beat Giants in only game without TO. Lions lost three of last four post-bye games, are 3-5 vs spread in last eight tries as post-bye underdog- they’re 0-6 vs spread in last six road games, overall. Philly OC Mornhinweg went 5-27 as Lions’ HC in 2001-02. Four of five Eagle games stayed under total. NFC East non-divisional favorites are 1-7 against the spread.

Rams (3-2) @ Dolphins (2-3)—St Louis coach Fisher had choice of these two jobs last winter, made right call, but sure Miami is happy with Philbin, too, since Fish staying competitive with rookie QB- their last two losses were both in OT. Rams are 2-0 vs rookie QBs (RGIII/Wilson) this year, but both of those games were in dome; they lost 23-6 at Chicago in only outdoor action so far this season, and lost late at Detroit, 27-23, in only other road game. Since ’06, Rams are 14-9-1 vs spread in game following a win. Shaky OL has hindered Ram offense; they’ve run ball for only 68.5 ypg in two road game- they’ll need to run ball better with best WR Amendola (collarbone) out for two months. Fish won nine of 11 in this seldom-played series; Rams are 1-4 at Miami, with only win coming in first visit 36 years ago. Miami is 20-50 vs spread in last 70 home games (1-1 in ’12).

Patriots (4-1) @ Seahawks (3-2)—Pete Carroll was Pats’ coach before Belichick; big egos involved here, this should be good game. Can Seattle crowd disrupt NE no-huddle offense, which ran 321 plays in last four games (awful lot for NFL team)? Patriots scored 37.7 ppg in last three games (14 TDs on 39 drives); they’re 2-1 on road, scoring 38.7 ppg, and are Hawks scored 16 or less points in four of five games, all four of which were decided by 6 or less points; Seattle won its two home games, jumping on Dallas early with special teams play, then lucking out on last second Hail Mary TD vs Packers. Patriots are 9-5 vs spread in last 14 games as non-divisional road favorite. Seahawks covered 12 of last 20 tries as a home dog. All five Seattle games stayed under total; last three Patriot games went over.

Bills (2-3) @ Cardinals (4-1)—Interesting to see how Redbirds rebound after 17-3 loss in St Louis; Kolb has been sacked 17 times in last two games, and with RB Williams out for year, not sure if Arizona can exploit Buffalo defense that allowed 558 rushing yards (7.2 ypc) in last two games (90 points in last six quarters). Bills allowed 45+ in three losses, by 20-24-42 points; they’ve allowed 17-14 in their wins. Ram loss was first time this year Cardinals scored less than 20 points- they’ve had three extra days to prep since that Thursday loss, while Bills are out west for second week in row. Underdogs are 5-0 vs spread in Arizona games this year; Redbirds are 1-7-1 vs spread in last nine tries as non-divisional home favorites. AFC East teams are 9-5 vs spread in non-divisional games, 3-3 as road dogs. NFC West teams are 10-3, 3-2 as favorites.

Vikings (4-1) @ Redskins (2-3)— Washington fired its kicker this week after losing its 8th straight home game; he missed 31-yarders two games in row, so it was justified, but they’re unsure if RGIII (concussion) will play and even if he does, they’ve lost three of last four games, with losses to Rams/Bengals, so spunky Minnesota will be formidable foe, seeing as they find ways to win (won at Detroit without scoring an offensive TD). Home team lost last four series games; Vikings won last three visits here (17-13/33-26 last two years)- they’ve turned ball over only six times in five games, as 2nd year QB Ponder has managed games well. Minnesota has run ball for 149.3 yards/game the last three weeks, including 146 against the 49ers, so they’re hot team right now. Four of five Washington games went over total; last four Minnesota games stayed under.

Giants (3-2) @ 49ers (4-1)—Niners lost four of last five games to Big Blue, including OT loss in NFC title game LY, so this shot at revenge was circled on calendar when schedule came out in spring. Giants lost five of last seven visits here (two of last four were playoff games). 49ers crushed last two opponents by combined score of 79-3, running ball for 556 yards (6.8 ypc), but they also lost to Vikings and their other two wins are by 8 points each. Under Harbaugh, Niners are 9-0 vs spread as home favorites, 10-4-1 after a win; they’re +5 in turnovers, making them +33 in last 21 regular season games. Giants are 6-2 in last eight tries as a road underdog; they scored 17 points in both their losses, scored 41-36-41 points in wins (vs three weak sisters) despite falling behind early vs both Tampa/Cleveland. NFC East non-divisional road underdogs are 4-0 vs spread.

Green Bay (2-3) @ Houston (5-0)—Pack been off-kilter all year; they’ve yet to score on opening drive of game, gaining just 14.2 yards/drive, and they’ve been in wrong place at wrong time, getting hosed by replacement refs in Seattle, being in Indy the week Colts’ head coach became ill, which elicited an emotional effort by home team. Still, blowing a 21-3 halftime lead is a red flag; they lose this game, and they’re 2-4. Texans came out of blocks in last two games and had TD drives of 77-85 yards; they’re loaded on offense, but seem cautious about using some of those weapons. Short week for Texans after they played not-to-lose in 23-17 win at Swamp; loss of star LB Cushing for year (ACL) is going to hurt. Road team won both series games by a FG. Houston has waxed two lesser foes at home, 30-10/38-14, but this isn’t a lesser opponent.


Monday's Game
Broncos (2-3) @ Chargers (3-2)—Network TV’s fascination with Peyton Manning has Denver playing schedule frontloaded with tough games; they’ve lost three of last four games, but three losses came to teams ranked in top four in league. Winner of this game and rematch in five week goes long way towards taking AFC West title. Broncos lost 27-21 in Atlanta, 31-21 in Foxboro, but you get feeling Manning is feeling more comfortable with receivers. San Diego won nine of last 12 series games and four of last five, with last three decided by 5 or less points, but Denver won two of last three visits here. Chargers got hosed by officials in Superdome Sunday night; they’ve turned ball over six times in two losses (-4), twice in three wins (+6)- they were 7-24 on 3rd down last two games, after going 20-41 in first three. Divisional home favorites are 6-6 vs spread so far this season.

[Udog]

NFL

Week 6

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Giants at 49ers: What bettors need to know
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New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers (-6.5, 45.5)

The San Francisco 49ers will be seeking revenge when they host the New York Giants on Sunday. San Francisco dropped a 20-17 overtime decision at home to New York in last season's NFL Championship game as Kyle Williams muffed two late punts, including one in the extra session that led to the Giants' game-winning field goal. The 49ers have been unstoppable since losing to Minnesota in Week 3, outscoring their opponents 79-3 in two victories.

The Giants, who rebounded from an early 14-0 deficit to trounce Cleveland 41-27 last Sunday, are going for their fourth win in five regular-season meetings with San Francisco. New York could be facing a pair of former teammates in running back Brandon Jacobs and wide receiver Mario Manningham, who both were allowed to leave as free agents. Jacobs, however, is questionable to make his 49ers debut due to a knee injury he suffered during the preseason.

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: 49ers -6.5, O/U 45.5.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-60s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will be light out of the west.

ABOUT THE GIANTS (3-2): Quarterback Eli Manning has passed for at least 200 yards in 24 consecutive games, the second-longest streak in NFL history. New York ranks second in the league with an average of 30.4 points. Running back Ahmad Bradshaw and wide receiver Victor Cruz became the first teammates to run for 200 yards and haul in three touchdown passes in a game since 1960. The Giants' defense has struggled, allowing an average of 22.2 points.

ABOUT THE 49ERS (4-1): San Francisco is tied for third in the league in scoring as it is averaging 29.8 points per game. It became the first team in NFL history to record 300 yards both passing and rushing in last Sunday's 45-3 rout of Buffalo. The 49ers gained a franchise-record 621 yards in the triumph. Quarterback Alex Smith suffered a sprained middle finger against the Bills but insists it won't affect him versus New York. San Francisco has allowed only one 100-yard rusher in its last 43 contests.

TRENDS:

* Giants are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Under is 4-0 in Giants’ last four road games.
* Under is 4-1-1 in 49ers’ last six vs. a team with a winning record.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. The home team has won each of the last three meetings and four of the last five.

2. New York has scored at least 36 points in each of its three wins while notching 17 in each of its two losses.

3. San Francisco has allowed a league-low 13.6 points per game this season.


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