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  • Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 10/7 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, October 7

    Good Luck on day #281 of 2012!

    At this time, the sports menu in this thread consists of MLB, CFL and WNBA until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  • #2
    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Six most popular picks and six least popular picks in Hilton handicapping contest, which has 700+ contestants, all of whom who pick five NFL games a week against the spread. They put up $1,500 each, so these are serious handicappers........

    6) Houston Texans, 177
    5) Tennessee Titans, 198
    4) Baltimore Ravens, 203
    3) New Orleans Saints, 205
    2) Pittsburgh Steelers, 217
    1) Cincinnati Bengals, 255

    25) Indianapolis Colts, 91
    26) San Diego Chargers, 87
    27) New England Patriots, 86
    28) Kansas City Chiefs, 78
    T29) Buffalo Bills, 75
    31) New Jersey Giants, 65

    ********


    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday........

    13) Three of top five teams got beat Saturday, with LSU/Florida State getting blanked in the second half on the road, first time since 2008 that three of the top five teams lost on the same day.

    12) Florida State led 16-0 at halftime in Raleigh, but Seminole QB Manuel took an awful sack in Wolfpack territory when Seminoles were up 16-10, costing his team a shot a field goal that would've been very helpful about an hour later. NC State was missing three starters on offensive line.

    11) If you like to invest in games, you can spend hours looking at stats, like some of us do, or you can just read the papers, and go against the teams who appear on that week's police blotter........
    -- TCU's QB was suspended after a DUI: Frogs (-7) lost on the up.
    -- Missouri had five guys suspended; Tigers (-7) lost on the up.
    -- Wake Forest had five guys suspended; Deacons (+7) lost 19-14, but at least they covered the spread.

    Winning two of three by that method ain't bad.

    10) Miami had a WR drop a wide-open TD on the first play of the game, and it was all downhill from there, as they got bamboozled 41-3 in Chicago by Notre Dame. They'll be payback down the road for this one.

    Quick lookalike: Miami coach Al Golden and the late George Allen, who coached the Rams and Redskins. He has some of Allen's mannerisms.

    9) Wheels have completely fallen off at Auburn, which lost 24-7 at home to a dysfunctional Arkansas team. Is it possible for a coach to be on the hot seat less than two years after he won a national title? Nothing has gone well for coach Chizik since Cam Newton left town.

    8) LSU was supposed to have improved QB play this year, but they've scored 18 points in their last two road games, they converted only 1-13 on 3rd down Saturday with only 8 first downs in an ugly 14-6 loss at Florida. The offensive coordinator at LSU makes $750,000 a year; could be a long week for him.

    7) Duke is 5-1, its best start since 1994; Blue Devils beat Virginia 42-17, after trailing 17-14 at the half. Duke is coached by David Cutcliffe, who had a decent stint at Ole Miss but got run out of town after Eli Manning went on to the NFL, despite having only one losing season in Oxford.

    6) ESPN might want to think twice about airing BYU games on weeknights; they've already had a 7-6 loss to Boise State, a 6-3 win over Utah Stateon the nation's airwaves, a couple of snoozefests. Conference games are more fun to watch, that is almost always true.

    5) North Carolina outrushed Virginia Tech 339-40, thumped Hokies in Chapel Hill, 48-34. UNC survived 15 penalties for 126 yards. This is as bad as the Hokies have played in years.

    4) If you bet on Central Michigan (+11.5) Saturday, someone upstairs has it out for you; Chippewas were down 5 in the last minute, and Toledo kicked a FG to go up 43-35 with 0:54 left, something like that. You know it is a bad day when Toledo runs pick-6 back with 0:38 left to cover, 50-35. Rockets also had a punt return for TD and another pick-6 earlier.

    3) There were 23 unbeatens coming into this week; now there are 16.

    2) Penn State outscored Northwestern 22-0 in 4th quarter to hand the Wildcats their first loss of the year, 39-28. ESPN's Brian Griese went out of his way to praise the coaching QB McGloin has been getting this year, a not so subtle dig at the old QB coach, Jay Paterno.

    1) Ohio State 63, Nebraska 38. Cornhuskers' coach Bo Pelini played at Ohio State; you get the feeling these two teams are going to be great rivals, both on the field and on the recruiting trail.

    Buckeyes scored a TD on a 16-yard run with 0:48 left; hmmm.....

    Comment


    • #3
      NLDS preview and pick: Nationals vs. Cardinals

      Check out our breakdown of the NL Divisional Series between the Washington Nationals and St. Louis Cardinals.

      Washington Nationals (98-64) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (88-74)

      Regular season head-to-head: Washington won the season series 4-3.

      Series odds: Nationals -135, Cardinals +115 - Bet365.com

      PITCHING

      It’s time to find out whether the decision to shut down ace Stephen Strasburg in early September will come back to haunt the Nationals. Team management believes that 21-game winner Gio Gonzalez and righty Jordan Zimmermann can lead the charge and with good reason. Both of the young hurlers had better ERAs (2.89 and 2.94) than Strasburg (3.16) this season. Drew Storen and Tyler Clippard form a formidable one-two punch late in games and Sean Burnett is one of the most effective lefty specialists in the bigs.

      The Cardinals are the defending World Series champs and boast a pitching staff that’s playoff proven. Chris Carpenter has rejoined the rotation just in time for the playoff run after finally dealing with a nerve ailment. The battle-tested veteran was untouchable in October last year, posting a perfect 4-0 record. Adam Wainwright missed last year’s storybook run because of Tommy John surgery, but he isn’t a stranger to the postseason. Remember, he closed out Game 5 against the Tigers during the club’s 2006 title run. Kyle Lohse and up-and-comer Lance Lynn round out a rotation that can most certainly repeat as champions. Closer Jason Motte proved last year he’s a playoff performer, closing out five games.

      Edge: Nationals


      HITTING


      First baseman Adam LaRoche matched a career high with 100 RBI and he and the rest of the infield - Ryan Zimmerman, Ian Desmond and Danny Espinosa - combined for 100 homers this season. Oh yeah, and don’t forget about Bryce Harper. The rookie phenom led the NL in runs (27) in September and ranked in the top five in slugging percentage (.643) and batting average (.330) down the stretch.

      Carlos Beltran was brought in to replace Albert Pujols' numbers this season and he didn’t disappoint. The veteran outfielder hit .269 with 32 home runs, while driving in 97 runs. Catcher Yadier Molina, who is renowned for his game-calling abilities, should receive some consideration for the league MVP after also putting up big offensive numbers (.315 BA, 22 HRs, 76 RBIs) this season.

      Edge: Cardinals


      INTANGIBLES


      The Nationals return to the postseason for the first time since 1981, back when they were the Montreal Expos. The club posted the best record in the bigs this year, but have 11 regulars who will be making their playoff debuts Sunday. They'll have little margin for error in a shortened five-game series against a Cardinals squad loaded with postseason experience.

      St. Louis overcame a 9 1/2-game deficit last season to nab a playoff spot on the season's final day and rode that momentum to claim its 11th World Series title. The Cardinals were once again strong down the stretch this year, taking 12 of their final 16 regular-season to build some serious momentum heading into the play-in game against Atlanta.

      Edge: Cardinals


      PREDICTION: Cardinals in five games.

      Comment


      • #4
        ALDS preview and pick: Yankees vs. Orioles

        Check out our breakdown of the AL Divisional Series between the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles.

        New York Yankees (95-67) vs. Baltimore Orioles (93-69)

        Regular season head-to-head: The clubs split 18 meetings this season.

        Series odds: Yankees -220, Orioles + 180- Bet365.com

        PITCHING

        The Yankees will send staff ace CC Sabathia to the mound for Game 1. The big lefty has struggled against Baltimore this season, going 0-2 with a 6.38 ERA in 16 innings pitched against Orioles hitters, who have a combined .312 batting average against him this year. Hiroki Kuroda, Andy Pettitte and Phil Hughes will round out the rotation. Pettitte owns a major-league record 19 postseason wins, but the Yankees will surely miss the experience of all-time saves leader Mariano Rivera (ACL). Righties David Robertson and Joba Chamberlain will be the go-to guys in the seventh and eighth innings before handing things over to Rafael Soriano, who saved 42 games and boasts a 2.26 ERA this season.

        Baltimore has the most feared bullpen in the AL. Closer Jim Johnson led the majors with a team-record 51 saves, a major reason why the Orioles are 75-0 this season when leading after seven innings. Sidewinder Darren O’Day has thrived in the setup role and Brian Matusz has made a successful transition from a starter to a lefty specialist. Baltimore’s young starters (except for Joe Saunders) will get a taste of playoff pressure for the first time. It will be interesting to see how they respond.

        Edge: Tie. The Yankees have the better starting pitching, but the Orioles boast a superior bullpen.


        HITTING

        They aren’t called the Bronx Bombers for nothing. The Yankees belted out a league-best 245 home runs this season. Robinson Cano enters the series on a torrid pace. The second baseman is hitting .615 with three HRs and 14 RBIs over his last nine games. Captain Derek Jeter hit .403 in 18 games against the Orioles this season, and OF Ichiro Suzuki batted .361 in 10 contests against the O's.

        Orioles 1B Mark Reynolds has feasted on Yankees pitching this season, belting seven HRs and 14 RBIs in 15 games. Catcher Matt Wieters and OF Adam Jones also have averages above .300 against New York this campaign. The O’s have received unexpected offensive contributions down the stretch from OF Nate McLouth, who joined the team in August, and 3B Manny Machado, the 20-year-old prospect recalled in July.

        Edge: Yankees


        INTANGIBLES


        The New York Yankees begin their quest for a 28th World Series title on Sunday at Camden Yards. Their roster is loaded with talented veterans that are proven playoff performers.

        The Orioles are back in the postseason for the first time since 1997, mostly because of their uncanny ability to win close games this year. The O's outscored the opposition only 712-705 en route to their 93-69 record.

        Edge: Yankees


        PREDICTION: Yankees in five games.

        Comment


        • #5
          WNBA
          Dunkel


          Minnesota at Los Angeles
          The Sparks look to build on their 9-1-1 ATS record in their last 11 home games. Los Angeles is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

          SUNDAY, OCTOBER 7

          Game 605-606: Minnesota at Los Angeles (3:30 p.m. EST)

          Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 113.024; Los Angeles 124.147
          Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 11; 163
          Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2 1/2; 167 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-2 1/2); Under




          WNBA
          Long Sheet

          Sunday, October 7


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MINNESOTA (30 - 8) at LOS ANGELES (26 - 11) - 10/7/2012, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MINNESOTA is 64-89 ATS (-33.9 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1997.
          LOS ANGELES is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games this season.
          LOS ANGELES is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) after a division game this season.
          LOS ANGELES is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more this season.
          LOS ANGELES is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          LOS ANGELES is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
          LOS ANGELES is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
          LOS ANGELES is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
          MINNESOTA is 46-33 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
          LOS ANGELES is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
          LOS ANGELES is 28-43 ATS (-19.3 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          LOS ANGELES is 8-6 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
          LOS ANGELES is 7-7 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
          9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




          WNBA

          Sunday, October 7


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          3:30 PM
          MINNESOTA vs. LOS ANGELES
          Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
          Minnesota is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
          Los Angeles is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
          Los Angeles is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB
            Dunkel


            NY Yankees at Baltimore
            The Orioles look to build on their 6-0 record in their last 6 games as a home underdog. Baltimore is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+140). Here are all of today's picks.

            SUNDAY, OCTOBER 7

            Game 909-910: Washington at St. Louis (3:00 p.m. EST)

            Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 16.882; St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.266
            Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
            Vegas Line: St. Louis (-110); 7
            Dunkel Pick: Washington (-110); Over

            Game 911-912: Cincinnati at San Francisco (9:30 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.759; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 16.320
            Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
            Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 6 1/2
            Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-140); Under

            Game 913-914: Oakland at Detroit (12:00 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 16.537; Detroit (Fister) 15.656
            Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 7
            Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 7 1/2
            Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+140); Under

            Game 915-916: NY Yankees at Baltimore (6:00 p.m. EST)
            Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.385; Baltimore (Hammel) 17.050
            Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 9
            Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-160); 8
            Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+140); Over




            MLB
            Long Sheet

            Sunday, October 7


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            WASHINGTON (98 - 64) at ST LOUIS (89 - 74) - 3:05 PM
            GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)
            Top Trends for this game.
            ST LOUIS is 17-8 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 3 seasons.
            ST LOUIS is 49-36 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            WASHINGTON is 98-64 (+22.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
            WASHINGTON is 48-33 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
            WASHINGTON is 95-64 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
            WASHINGTON is 69-45 (+16.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
            WASHINGTON is 59-38 (+13.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
            WASHINGTON is 47-35 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
            WASHINGTON is 39-30 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            GONZALEZ is 24-8 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
            GONZALEZ is 14-4 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
            GONZALEZ is 25-10 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
            GONZALEZ is 24-8 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
            GONZALEZ is 16-5 (+9.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
            ST LOUIS is 89-74 (-3.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
            ST LOUIS is 8-15 (-9.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
            ST LOUIS is 89-74 (-3.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
            ST LOUIS is 26-35 (-16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
            WAINWRIGHT is 10-16 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less since 1997. (Team's Record)

            Head-to-Head Series History
            WASHINGTON is 4-3 (+1.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
            6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.0 Units)

            GIO GONZALEZ vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
            GONZALEZ is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.889.
            His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

            ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
            WAINWRIGHT is 4-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.447.
            His team's record is 4-4 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.4 units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CINCINNATI (98 - 65) at SAN FRANCISCO (94 - 69) - 9:35 PM
            BRONSON ARROYO (R) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            CINCINNATI is 5-3 (+2.5 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
            4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

            BRONSON ARROYO vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
            ARROYO is 3-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.93 and a WHIP of 1.415.
            His team's record is 4-7 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-1. (+7.8 units)

            MADISON BUMGARNER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
            BUMGARNER is 1-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.279.
            His team's record is 1-3 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            OAKLAND (94 - 69) at DETROIT (89 - 74) - 12:05 PM
            TOM MILONE (L) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
            Top Trends for this game.
            DETROIT is 37-17 (+16.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
            DETROIT is 31-14 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            OAKLAND is 94-69 (+36.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
            OAKLAND is 44-38 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
            OAKLAND is 96-79 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
            OAKLAND is 88-66 (+31.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
            OAKLAND is 62-40 (+31.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
            OAKLAND is 36-32 (+11.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
            OAKLAND is 49-39 (+20.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
            OAKLAND is 27-20 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
            MILONE is 20-11 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
            MILONE is 19-10 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
            DETROIT is 89-74 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
            DETROIT is 85-71 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
            DETROIT is 46-43 (-12.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DETROIT is 5-3 (+1.1 Units) against OAKLAND this season
            5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

            TOM MILONE vs. DETROIT since 1997
            MILONE is 1-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.542.
            His team's record is 2-0 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.2 units)

            DOUG FISTER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
            FISTER is 5-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.212.
            His team's record is 5-6 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.5 units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NY YANKEES (95 - 67) at BALTIMORE (94 - 69) - 6:05 PM
            C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R)
            Top Trends for this game.
            NY YANKEES are 27-31 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
            NY YANKEES are 67-74 (-23.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
            SABATHIA is 4-8 (-8.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
            BALTIMORE is 94-69 (+38.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
            BALTIMORE is 36-22 (+17.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
            BALTIMORE is 47-34 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
            BALTIMORE is 23-13 (+10.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
            BALTIMORE is 15-4 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
            BALTIMORE is 43-29 (+21.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
            BALTIMORE is 86-59 (+37.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
            BALTIMORE is 62-54 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
            BALTIMORE is 27-18 (+11.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
            BALTIMORE is 54-39 (+20.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
            BALTIMORE is 54-41 (+28.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
            BALTIMORE is 26-22 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
            HAMMEL is 13-7 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
            HAMMEL is 7-1 (+7.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record)
            HAMMEL is 12-6 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
            HAMMEL is 27-17 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
            NY YANKEES are 89-55 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
            BALTIMORE is 167-246 (-76.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday since 1997.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            BALTIMORE is 9-9 (+4.1 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
            9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-1.1 Units)

            C.C. SABATHIA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
            SABATHIA is 16-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.136.
            His team's record is 19-6 (+8.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 14-9. (+4.4 units)

            JASON HAMMEL vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
            HAMMEL is 1-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.53 and a WHIP of 1.574.
            His team's record is 3-5 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.4 units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




            MLB
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Sunday, October 7


            Detroit is 5-3 vs Oakland this year, but Verlander is three of the five wins; A's have won eight of last ten games, Tigers nine of last 11. Winning team scored 10+ runs in four of eight series games. Milone is 2-0, 3.58 in last five starts; he was 1-0, 3.86 in two starts vs Detroit this year-- he started only game the A's won here, back on Sept 20. Fister is 1-2, 3.96 in his last four starts-- Detroit won his last four home starts. Fister lost 3-1 in Oakland May 12, allowing one run in six IP. A's are only road team to lose in first four playoff games.

            Washington is 4-3 vs World Champ Cardinals this year, with home side 5-2 in those games; six of the seven games went over total. Not sure if Strasburg not pitching matters here, but he is Washington's best pitcher and he is inactive. Gonzalez won 21 games, is 5-1, 1.80 in his last six starts; om August 31, he threw 5-hit shutout vs St Louis (won 10-0). Just for the record, Strasburg blanked the Cards on two hits over six innings on Sept 2nd. Wainwright is 1-3, 6.34 in his last six starts, but the win was Sept 28 against Washington- they KO'd him in 3rd inning of that August 31 game.

            Bronx-Baltimore split 18 games this year, with road team winning 12 of the 18 games (6-3 in each park). Last five series games all went over total. Hammel (knee) hasn't pitched since Sept 11; he had a 3.09 RA in his last three starts, and was 0-1, 4.50 in three starts vs Bronx this season. Sabathia is 2-0, 1.50 in his last three starts, going 8 innings in all three; he is 0-2, 6.38 in three starts against Baltimore this year. Keep in mind this is first time in years Bombers don't have Rivera to lean on to close out a playoff game.

            Arroyo is 0-3, 4.32 in his last four starts; he allowed four runs in 11 IP in his two no-decisions against Giants this year. Bumgarner was 2-2, 6.15 in his five September starts; he threw one-hitter vs Cincinnati here June 28. Reds/Giants are both 11-6 in last 17 games- Reds are 5-3 against SF this year, with 5-2 win last night first of the five games here to go over total. Cueto got back spasms after eight pitches last night, had to leave, which fouled up rotation but Latos bailed them out with stellar effort in long relief.




            MLB

            Sunday, October 7


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            12:07 PM
            OAKLAND vs. DETROIT
            Oakland is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
            Oakland is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games on the road
            Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Detroit's last 23 games at home

            3:07 PM
            WASHINGTON vs. ST. LOUIS
            Washington is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
            St. Louis is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

            6:07 PM
            NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
            NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
            Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
            Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

            9:37 PM
            CINCINNATI vs. SAN FRANCISCO
            Cincinnati is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Francisco
            Cincinnati is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
            San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati


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            • #7
              MLB
              Short Sheet

              Sunday, October 7, 2012

              National League


              NL Division Series, Game One (Series Tied, 0-0)
              Washington at St. Louis, 3:05 ET TBS
              Gonzalez: 14-4 TSR in road games
              Wainwright: St. Louis 8-15 SU with a total of 7 runs or less

              NL Division Series, Game Two (Cincinnati Leads, 1-0)
              Cincinnati at San Francisco, 9:35 ET TBS
              Arroyo: 13-3 Under in road games
              Bumgarner: 20-5 TSR as a home favorite


              American League

              AL Division Series, Game Two (Detroit Leads, 1-0)
              Oakland at Detroit, 12:05 ET MLB
              Milone: 16-4 TSR in the second half of the season
              Fister: 20-37 TSR with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs

              NL Division Series, Game One (Series Tied, 0-0)
              NY Yankees at Baltimore, 6:05 ET TBS
              Sabathia: Yankes 14-24 SU away off BB home games
              Hammel: Baltimore 20-10 SU off a win by 4+ runs

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