Tweet
1*: .66-.75 Unit
2*: 1 Unit
3*: 1.3-1.5 Units
4*: 1.5-1.66 Units
5*: 2+ Units
Possible play on Monday
It is a rare week where I like over half the games. The games that almost made the cut are Minnesota (numbers strongly fav Minn, but trend/schedule fav Det), Oak, Miami. Didn't included these as official plays because of conflicting stats/trends. Good luck!
3* Jax +2 over Cin
3* pick or better
2* -1.5 or better
Jax will easily be able to move the ball against Cin D that is 32nd in run D (YPR) and 28th in pass D (YPPA). Tough schedule spot for Cinci as well as they won as a dog last week in Washington and are playing their 3rd road game in 4 weeks.
2* St. Louis +3 over Seattle
2* at +2 or better
There is a strong 48-21 ATS trend favoring the rams after their blowout loss last week. Seattle is coming off a short week after a crazy emotional win Monday. Gimme the Rams in an upset.
1* Carolina +7 over Atl
1* at +7 or better
Atlanta won and covered all 3 games, but that will change today. Their run D is 31st in the league and will get exposed. Carolina ha a 71-32 ATS trend favoring them based on last weeks loss and they have 10 days rest to think about it.
1* SD -1 over KC
1* at -2 or better
SD is way better statistically than KC. KC has the best run off in league, but SD's run D is 8th. KC is 28th and 26th in running and passing D, respectively. The Chiefs can't throw the ball, and this will continue as SD is 9th in pass D. KC is +6 in turnovers, which is unlikely to continue,
2* Phil -1.5 over NYG
2* at -2.5 or better
When is team can't get any lower, back them! Philly's stock is low...so buy now, bc when they win this week you won't get any value. The Giants pass D is dead last in the league and Vick will exploit this. The Giants strenght is their pass game (3rd in YPPA), but the Eagles are 1st in pass D.
2*: 1 Unit
3*: 1.3-1.5 Units
4*: 1.5-1.66 Units
5*: 2+ Units
Possible play on Monday
It is a rare week where I like over half the games. The games that almost made the cut are Minnesota (numbers strongly fav Minn, but trend/schedule fav Det), Oak, Miami. Didn't included these as official plays because of conflicting stats/trends. Good luck!
3* Jax +2 over Cin
3* pick or better
2* -1.5 or better
Jax will easily be able to move the ball against Cin D that is 32nd in run D (YPR) and 28th in pass D (YPPA). Tough schedule spot for Cinci as well as they won as a dog last week in Washington and are playing their 3rd road game in 4 weeks.
2* St. Louis +3 over Seattle
2* at +2 or better
There is a strong 48-21 ATS trend favoring the rams after their blowout loss last week. Seattle is coming off a short week after a crazy emotional win Monday. Gimme the Rams in an upset.
1* Carolina +7 over Atl
1* at +7 or better
Atlanta won and covered all 3 games, but that will change today. Their run D is 31st in the league and will get exposed. Carolina ha a 71-32 ATS trend favoring them based on last weeks loss and they have 10 days rest to think about it.
1* SD -1 over KC
1* at -2 or better
SD is way better statistically than KC. KC has the best run off in league, but SD's run D is 8th. KC is 28th and 26th in running and passing D, respectively. The Chiefs can't throw the ball, and this will continue as SD is 9th in pass D. KC is +6 in turnovers, which is unlikely to continue,
2* Phil -1.5 over NYG
2* at -2.5 or better
When is team can't get any lower, back them! Philly's stock is low...so buy now, bc when they win this week you won't get any value. The Giants pass D is dead last in the league and Vick will exploit this. The Giants strenght is their pass game (3rd in YPPA), but the Eagles are 1st in pass D.
Comment