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The Bum's Thursday's MLB Best Bets !

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  • The Bum's Thursday's MLB Best Bets !

    White Sox Open Big Series With Tampa Bay Rays

    It's a 4-game series that could propel one team or the other into the postseason. The next four days on Chicago's South Side could also ultimately cost both the White Sox and Tampa Bay Rays a chance to play on when the regular season draws to a close a week from now.

    A lot is at stake when the Rays and White Sox open their long set Thursday at US Cellular Field (8:10 p.m. ET). Fittingly, each club will send a top-notch hurler to the mound for Game 1 as James Shields gets the nod for Tampa opposite Chicago's Jake Peavy.

    Also appropriate for such a crucial series are the opening numbers for the first of four contests. Early MLB odds had the game near a pick 'em at some outlets while visiting Tampa Bay was a slight favorite at others. Thursday's 8-run total was priced 20ยข to the 'under.'

    Time may have already run out for Joe Maddon and the Rays who sit three games behind Oakland for the second wild card opening in the American League. Tampa Bay not only has to catch the Athletics, but climb over the Los Angeles Angels as well. A split in Chicago just won't cut it, and even taking three of four might not be enough to accomplish anything but knocking the Pale Hose out of the AL Central race.

    Robin Ventura and the ChiSox were tied with Detroit for the top spot in the division heading into Wednesday action which was still pending. Chicago was a solid $1.70 favorite in its series finale vs. the Indians while the Rays were priced a bit more modestly at -135 when they wrapped up a set in Boston.

    It has been about four months since the clubs last met, and that series down at Tropicana Field was certainly no fun for the Rays who were broomed by the Pale Hose. Two of the three contests failed to reach the total, continuing a trend since the start of the 2011 season when six of the eight went 'under.'

    Chicago has also been a bad destination for Tampa Bay over the years. The White Sox are 32-19 at home vs. the Rays, winning six of the last nine played on the Windy City diamond.

    Shields has had his ups-&-downs facing the White Sox during his career. Ten regular season outings have netted the big right-hander a 4.95 ERA while the Rays broke even at 5-5. Shields also owns a win over Chicago in the 2008 ALCS, but it's his most recent outing that we're more concerned with as the ChiSox banged on him in St. Pete back in late-May, scoring six runs (5 earned) in his six innings of work.

    Peavy has the luxury of an extra day off thanks to Ventura tweaking his rotation during the series against Cleveland. The injury-plagued hurler reached the 200-inning plateau for the first time since 2007 last Friday against the Angels, though it wasn't necessarily a joyous occasion as Peavy suffered the loss after giving up five runs in as many frames.

    The Alabama native last saw the Rays in 2010, and neither assignment against them that season will make his career highlight reel as Peavy was touched for 12 runs in less than 10 innings between the two starts. The White Sox bailed him out with enough plate crossings for a win in one of the affairs.

    Current weather forecasts call for a clear, cool and humid evening in Chicago on Thursday. First pitch should come with temps in the low-60s, and the weatherman is calling for an 8-10 mph NNE wind (3B out to RF corner).
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Early Thursday's MLB Best Bets:

    Thursday, September 27

    Game Score Status Pick Amount

    Milwaukee - 12:35 PM ET Milwaukee +136 500
    Cincinnati - Under 8 500

    Kansas City - 1:05 PM ET Kansas City +193 500
    Detroit - Over 8.5 500

    Pittsburgh - 1:10 PM ET Pittsburgh +178 500
    NY Mets - Under 7 500

    Oakland - 2:05 PM ET Oakland +178 500
    Texas - Over 9.5 500

    Chi. Cubs - 3:10 PM ET Colorado -148 500
    Colorado - Over 11 500

    Seattle - 3:35 PM ET Seattle +187 500
    LA Angels - Under 8 500

    Arizona - 3:45 PM ET San Francisco -120 500
    San Francisco - Under 7.5 500
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Thursday, September 27

      Game Score Status Pick Amount

      Washington - 7:05 PM ET Washington -119 500
      Philadelphia - Under 7.5 500

      NY Yankees - 7:07 PM ET NY Yankees -131 500
      Toronto - Over 9 500

      Miami - 7:10 PM ET Atlanta -172 500
      Atlanta - Under 8 500

      Tampa Bay - 8:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -103 500
      Chi. White Sox - Over 8 500

      LA Dodgers - 10:05 PM ET LA Dodgers -107 500
      San Diego - Under 7 500
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        MLB
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Thursday, September 27

        Hot pitchers
        -- Latos is 3-0, 2.52 in his last five starts. Peralta is 2-1, 2.78 in four starts this season.
        -- Dickey is going for his 20th win; he is 4-2, 2.22 in his last six starts. Correia is 2-2, 3.24 in his last four starts.
        -- Chacin is 2-2, 3.15 in his last seven starts.
        -- Zito is 3-0, 1.45 in his last three starts.
        -- GGonzalez is 4-1, 1.32 in his last five starts. Cloyd is 2-1, 3.86 in his five starts this season.

        -- Fister is 3-1, 2.67 in his last four starts. Mendoza is 1-0, 2.25 in his last couple starts.
        -- Harrison is 2-1, 1.61 in his last three starts.
        -- Iwakuma is 4-2, 2.79 in his last seven starts. Haren is 4-1, 2.90 in his last five outings.
        -- Shields is 3-2, 1.93 in his last five starts.

        Cold pitchers
        -- Volstad is 1-1, 6.86 in his last four starts.
        -- Corbin is 1-3, 5.91 in his last six starts.
        -- Hanson is 0-4, 6.46 in his last six starts. Turner is 1-3, 4.97 in his last five.
        -- Capuano is 0-3, 6.96 in his last six starts. CKelly is 1-2, 8.84 in his last four starts.

        -- Blackley has a 7.82 RA in his last three starts.
        -- Nova is 1-1, 6.14 in his last four starts. Morrow is 0-2, 4.79 in his last four starts.
        -- Peavy is 1-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.

        Hot Teams
        -- Phillies won nine of their last eleven home games.
        -- Braves won eight of their last ten games.
        -- Mets won four of their last five games.
        -- Brewers won 25 of their last 34 games. Cincinnati won six of eight.
        -- Padres won nine of their last eleven home games.
        -- Arizona won six of its last nine games. Giants won 11 of last 13.

        -- Tigers won seven of their last ten home games.
        -- Tampa Bay won its last seven games, scoring 55 runs.
        -- Bronx won 11 of its last 14 games.
        -- A's won three of their last four games.
        -- Angels won nine of their last twelve games.

        Cold Teams
        -- Washington lost seven of its last eleven games.
        -- Marlins, who appear disinterested, lost seven of last eight games.
        -- Pirates lost 13 of their last 18 games.
        -- Colorado lost 16 of its last 20 games; Cubs lost seven of eight.
        -- Dodgers lost 12 of their last 18 games.

        -- Royals lost last four games, allowing 28 runs.
        -- Blue Jays lost 12 of their last 16 games.
        -- White Sox lost seven of their last eight games.
        -- Rangers are 3-4 in their last seven home games.
        -- Mariners lost nine of their last twelve games.

        Totals
        -- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Washington games.
        -- Under is 5-1-1 in Miami's last seven games.
        -- Over is 17-8-1 in last 26 Milwaukee games.
        -- Under is 22-12-2 in Mets' last 36 games.
        -- 13 of last 17 Colorado games went over the total.
        -- 12 of last 16 Dodger games stayed under the total.
        -- Six of last eight Giant games went over the total.

        -- Eight of last eleven Detroit games went over the total.
        -- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Oakland games.
        -- Under is 9-5-2 in last sixteen Angel games.
        -- Over is 4-1-2 in last seven Bronx games.
        -- Six of last nine White Sox games stayed under total.

        Umpires
        -- Wsh-Phil-- Six of last seven Muchlinski games went over.
        -- LA-SD-- Under is 11-2-2 in last fifteen Winters games.
        -- Mil-Cin-- Over is 9-2-1 in last twelve Wegner games.
        -- Pitt-NY-- Favorites won last six Davis games.
        -- Mia-Atl-- Home side won five of last six TBarrett games.
        -- Chi-Col-- Underdogs won five of last seven Porter games.
        -- Az-SF-- Underdogs won five of last seven Randazzo games.

        -- KC-Det-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Nelson games.
        -- A's-Tex-- Over is 26-4-1 in Emmel games this season.
        -- Sea-LA-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Barksdale games.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          MLB
          Short Sheet

          Thursday, September 27

          National League

          Milwaukee at Cincinnati, 12:35 ET
          Peralta: Milwaukee 11-20 SU off a win by 4+ runs
          Latos: 18-2 TSR as a favorite of -150 or higher

          Pittsburgh at NY Mets, 1:10 ET
          Correia: Pittsburgh 6-18 SU in September
          Dickey: 13-2 TSR in day games

          Chicago Cubs at Colorado, 3:10 ET
          Volstad: Cubs 0-15 SU away vs. NL West opponents
          Chacin: Colorado 10-1 Over at home after allowing 2 runs or less

          Arizona at San Francisco, 3:45 ET
          Corbin: Arizona 13-3 Over away off 6+ division games
          Zito: 14-6 TSR pitching off a team win

          Washington at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
          Gonzalez: 15-5 TSR pitching off a team win
          Cloyd: Philadelphia 20-9 Over off a loss by 4+ runs

          Miami at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
          Turner: Miami 10-28 SU off 3+ division games
          Hanson: 9-0 TSR after allowing 2+ home runs last start

          LA Dodgers at San Diego, 10:05 ET
          Capuano: Dodgers 5-19 SU away off BB games allowing 2 runs or less
          Kelly: San Diego 15-5 Over off BB games scoring 2 runs or less


          American League

          Kansas City at Detroit, 1:05 ET
          Mendoza: 11-4 TSR vs. division opponents
          Fister: 19-36 TSR with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs

          Oakland at Texas, 2:05 ET
          Blackley: Oakland 9-1 SU off 7+ road games
          Harrison: Texas 18-8 Under revenging a loss as a home favorite

          Seattle at LA Angels, 3:35 ET
          Iwakuma: Seattle 18-5 SU after losing 6 or 7 of their last 8 games
          Haren: 0-5 TSR as a favorite of -175 to -250

          NY Yankees at Toronto, 7:05 ET
          Nova: 13-2 TSR as a road favorite of -150 or less
          Morrow: Toronto 19-37 SU off 3+ road games

          Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
          Shields: 13-2 TSR pitching off BB wins
          Peavy: White Sox 7-14 SU at home after losing 4 of their last 5 games
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment

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