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[StarDust Bum]

Orioles Begin Tough Road Trip At Oakland A's

Baltimore Orioles at Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Preview
Date: 9/14/2012 at 10:05 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Oakland -130, O/U 8u20

Baltimore Orioles: The Orioles start a key nine-game road trip in Oakland on Friday and have played some of their best baseball away from home with an impressive 39-30 mark. They have dropped two of three to the A’s at home and on the road and will send lefty Joe Saunders (8-11, 4.22 ERA) to the mound looking for his third straight win. Saunders is 2-1 with a 4.24 ERA since joining Baltimore in a trade after going 6-10 with a 4.22 ERA for the Arizona Diamondbacks earlier this season. He faced Oakland in interleague play with the Diamondbacks back on June 10, allowing one earned run and seven hits in six innings of a 4-3 victory. The ‘over’ is 3-1 in his last four starts overall.

Oakland Athletics: The A’s return home from a very successful seven-game road trip that saw them win the first six games heading into Thursday’s series finale against the Los Angeles Angels. They appear primed to grab one of the two Wild Card spots in the American League and will hand the ball to starting pitcher Tom Milone (12-10, 3.90), who is also a lefty and lost his last home start to the Angels on September 3. Two of Milone’s last three outings have come on the road with him winning both, including a 4-2 victory at the Seattle Mariners on Sunday in which he allowed two runs and eight hits in six innings with no walks and tied a season high with 10 strikeouts. The ‘under’ is 3-1 in his past four overall after the ‘over’ cashed in each of his previous four.

[StarDust Bum]

Diamond Trends - Friday

September 14, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Dodgers are 0-9 since June 20, 2012 after a loss in which they allowed 5+ walks for a net profit of $977 when playing against.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Marlins are 0-8 OU since July 30, 2011 as a dog when they are off a game that was tied at the end of at least six separate innings for a net profit of $800 when playing the under.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Braves are 17-0 since June 03, 2010 when Kris Medlen starts after his team won the last time he started for a net profit of $1785.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Orioles are 14-1-1 OU since May 11, 2004 as a dog or even money play after a win in which they allowed 12+ hits in a day game.

TODAY’S TRENDS:

-- The Reds are 6-0 since June 26, 2012 when Bronson Arroyo starts as a favorite after his team won the last time he started vs this opponent for a net profit of $600.

-- The Giants are 8-0 since May 12, 2012 when Matt Cain starts on the road after a quality start for a net profit of $820.

[StarDust Bum]

Yankees host Rays for 3-game set starting Friday

TAMPA BAY RAYS (77-66)

at NEW YORK YANKEES (81-62)


First pitch: Friday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
Line: New York -120, Tampa Bay +110, Total: 8

Two of baseball’s premier southpaws will duel when the Yankees and Rays begin a three-game set as they battle for position within the AL East.

The Rays enter this series needing to bounce back from a sweep against the Orioles, who sit atop the division alongside the Yankees, four games ahead of Tampa Bay. The Rays offense was anemic in the series, scoring just two runs in each game, but if there is one guy who can win with that run support it’s David Price. Price has a 17-5 record in 2012, with a 2.54 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. And he faces fellow lefty CC Sabathia, who is 13-5 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.20 WHIP this year. He has struggled lately, however, with an 0-2 record, 4.43 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in his past three starts, allowing five home runs in those games. The Rays have also been hot against the Yankees lately, winning five of their past seven contests while accumulating a 9-6 record against the Pinstripes in 2012. As underdogs, take Price and TAMPA BAY in this one.

This three-star FoxSheets trend also favors the Rays:

Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (TAMPA BAY) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities, in September games. (118-80 over the last 5 seasons.) (59.6%, +56.1 units. Rating = 3*).

Price has already started against the Yankees four times this season, with a 2-1 record and 3.20 ERA. Overall in his career he is 6-3 (team 10-6) in 16 career starts against New York, with a 3.87 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. His last start was skipped because of precautionary shoulder soreness, but even if he has to be pulled early, he is supported by an elite bullpen. Tampa Bay relievers have a 2.86 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 44 saves in 52 chances in 2012. But that tends not to be a problem for Price, who averages 6.7 innings per start.

Sabathia has been pretty strong against the Rays in his career with a 3.12 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 28 starts. This includes three quality starts in three outings against them in 2012, where Sabathia has a 2.05 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 26 K’s in 22 innings. The Yankees closed out their series against the Red Sox with a 2-0 victory on Thursday, giving them three wins in their past four games. And as they look to prevent Price from becoming the AL’s first 18-game winner, they will hope to repeat their performances against southpaws from this year against whom they are 32-22 (.593), averaging 5.4 runs per start. They will still miss Mark Teixeira in the lineup, though, which could make the matchup against Price tough.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, September 14

Hot pitchers
-- Arroyo is 5-0, 2.40 in his last six starts.
-- Medlen is 6-0, 0.79 in his last six starts; Braves won his last 19 starts. Detwiler is 3-1, 3.90 in his last five starts.
-- Hamels is 3-0, 2.22 in his last six starts. EGonzalez is 2-0, 1.74 in his two starts for the Astros.
-- Niese is 2-3, 2.10 in his last five starts.
-- Cain is 3-0, 2.79 in his last six starts.
-- Cashner is 0-0, 2.87 in four starts this season.
-- JKelly is 1-0, 2.84 in two starts this month.

-- Price is 6-1, 2.22 in his last ten starts.
-- Iwakuma is 3-1, 2.43 in his last five starts. Darvish is 2-0, 2.05 in his last three starts.
-- Wilson is 3-0, 2.89 in his last three starts.
-- Sale is 4-0, 1.91 in his last four home starts.
-- Milone is 3-1, 3.13 in his last four outings. Saunders is 2-0, 1.54 in his last couple starts.

Cold pitchers
-- McDonald is 2-2, 6.28 in his last seven starts. Rusin is 0-2, 5.73 in his three starts this season.
-- Turner is 0-2, 5.29 in three starts for the Marlins.
-- Fiers is 3-3, 7.06 in his last six starts.
-- Skaggs is 1-1, 4.87 in four starts this season.
-- Chatwood is 1-2, 7.65 in his last five starts.
-- Capuano is 0-2, 5.93 in his last five starts.

-- Verlander is 1-1, 5.19 in his last five starts. Kluber is 1-3, 7.09 in his eight starts this season.
-- Matsuzaka lost his last two starts, allowing 11 runs in five IP. Laffey is 0-3, 5.24 in his last four starts.
-- Sabathia is 0-2, 5.75 in his last three starts.
-- BChen is 0-2, 8.25 in two starts this month.
-- EVasquez is 0-1, 9.35 in two starts this season.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs won five of their last six games.
-- Reds won their last three games, allowing seven runs.
-- Washington won 12 of its last 15 games.
-- Phillies won eleven of their last fourteen games.
-- Milwaukee won 18 of its last 23 games.
-- Giants won 10 of their last 15 games. Diamondbacks won five of their last seven games.
-- Padres won seven of their last eight games.

-- Toronto won five of its last seven games.
-- Rangers won ten of their last fourteen home games.
-- Royals won four of their last six games.
-- Oakland won 15 of its last 19 games. Baltimore won seven of ten.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost their last six games, outscored 31-14.
-- Marlins lost ten of their last fourteen games.
-- Braves lost their last three games, outscored 17-3.
-- Astros lost 19 of their last 26 games.
-- Mets lost their last six games, scoring nine runs.
-- Rockies lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Cardinals lost eleven of their last sixteen games. Dodgers lost seven of their last eight games.

-- Detroit lost 16 of its last 22 road games. Indians lost their last five games, outscored 29-15.
-- Rays lost five of their last seven games. Bronx Bombers are 6-8 in their last 14 games.
-- Mariners are 3-5 in their last eight games.
-- Angels lost three of their last four games.
-- Boston lost 13 of its last 15 games.
-- White Sox are 5-8 in their last 13 games overall. Twins lost 14 of their last 20 home games.

Totals
-- Last four Chicago Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Cincinnati games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Houston games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of last 14 Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Arizona games went over the total.
-- Five of last six San Diego games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten St Louis games went over the total.

-- Under is 17-3-1 in last 21 Detroit games.
-- Boston's last four games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Seattle road games stayed under.
-- Over is 8-2-2 in last twelve Kansas City games.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in Minnesota's last five games.
-- Four of last five Oakland games stayed under the total.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Short Sheet

Friday, September 14

National League

Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 ET
McDonald: Pittsburgh 15-8 SU after 4 or more consecutive unders
Rusin: Chicago Cubs 30-52 SU as an underdog of +100 to +15

Cincinnati at Miami, 7:10 ET
Arroyo: Cincinnati 22-9 SU in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners
Turner: Miami 7-16 SU at home vs. a bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better

Washington at Atlanta, 7:35 ET MLB
Detwiler: Washington 13-2 SU in road games in September
Medlen: Atlanta 16-23 SU in September

Philadelphia at Houston, 8:05 ET
Hamels: Philadelphia 9-3 SU in September
Norris: Houston 14-40 SU after a game where the bullpen gave up no runs

NY Mets at Milwaukee, 8:10 ET
Niese: NY Mets 6-16 SU when playing on Friday
Fiers: Milwaukee 32-9 SU as a home favorite of -150 to -175

San Francisco at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Cain: San Francisco 15-7 SU when the total is 8.5 to 10
Skaggs: Arizona is 1-9 SU at home after scoring 4 runs or less in 3 games

Colorado at San Diego, 10:05 ET
Chatwood: Colorado 9-25 SU after allowing 8 runs or more
Cashner: San Diego 22-13 at home when the total is 7 to 7.5

St. Louis at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Kelly: St Louis 35-30 SU as a road underdog of +100 or higher
Capuano: LA Dodgers 6-13 SU after 3 or more consecutive unders

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Short Sheet

Friday, September 14

American League

Detroit at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Verlander: Detroit 20-12 SU after 3 consecutive games versus a division rival
Kluber: Cleveland 17-26 SU after 2 or more consecutive unders

Boston at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Matsuzaka: Boston 9-24 SU as a road underdog of +100 or higher
Laffey: Toronto 15-7 SU after scoring 8 runs or more

Tampa Bay at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET MLB
Price: Tampa Bay 20-14 SU as a road underdog of +100 to +150
Sabathia: NY Yankees 19-23 SU after 2 or more consecutive unders

Seattle at Texas, 8:05 ET
Iwakuma: Seattle 6-17 SU when playing on Friday
Darvish: Texas 39-17 SU after a loss

LA Angels at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Wilson: LA Angels 22-26 SU after allowing 2 runs or less
Chen: Kansas City 26-19 SU after having won 2 of their last 3

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Liriano: White Sox 11-4 SU when playing with a day off
De Vries: Minnesota 11-19 SU after a win by 2 runs or less

Baltimore at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Saunders: Baltimore 20-13 SU after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less
Milone: Oakland 29-18 Over against left-handed starters

[StarDust Bum]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

09/13/12 8-*8-*0 50.00% +*380 Detail
09/12/12 18-*10-*0 64.29% +*4015 Detail
09/11/12 11-*19-*0 36.67% -*4225 Detail
09/10/12 11-*8-*1 57.89% +*1535 Detail
09/09/12 16-*11-*1 59.26% +*3980 Detail
09/08/12 9-*7-*2 56.25% +*895 Detail
09/07/12 15-*14-*1 51.72% +*215 Detail
09/06/12 5-*5-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
09/05/12 9-*5-*2 64.29% +*1985 Detail
09/04/12 17-*9-*3 65.38% +*5270 Detail
09/03/12 17-*11-*0 60.71% +*3655 Detail
09/02/12 18-*11-*1 62.07% +*3840 Detail
09/01/12 14-*13-*2 51.85% -*735 Detail

Totals 168-*131-*13 56.19% +20710

Friday, September 14

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Tampa Bay - 7:05 PM ET Tampa Bay +116 500
NY Yankees - Over 8 500

Detroit - 7:05 PM ET Cleveland +190 500
Cleveland - Over 8 500

Boston - 7:07 PM ET Toronto -128 500
Toronto - Under 9 500

Cincinnati - 7:10 PM ET Miami +124 500
Miami - Over 8.5 500

Washington - 7:35 PM ET Atlanta -159 500
Atlanta - Under 7 500

Philadelphia - 8:05 PM ET Philadelphia -207 500
Houston - Under 7.5 500

Seattle - 8:05 PM ET Seattle +218 500
Texas - Under 9 500

NY Mets - 8:10 PM ET Milwaukee -147 500
Milwaukee - Over 7.5 500

Chi. White Sox - 8:10 PM ET Minnesota +173 500
Minnesota - Over 8.5 500

LA Angels - 8:10 PM ET Kansas City +149 500
Kansas City - Under 8.5 500

San Francisco - 9:40 PM ET Arizona +124 500
Arizona - Over 8.5 500

Baltimore - 10:05 PM ET Baltimore +138 500
Oakland - Under 7 500

Colorado - 10:05 PM ET San Diego -172 500
San Diego - Over 7.5 500

St. Louis - 10:10 PM ET St. Louis +118 500
LA Dodgers - Under 8 500